1995 Cantabrian regional election
{{Short description|none}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 1995 Cantabrian regional election
| country = Cantabria
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 1991 Cantabrian regional election
| previous_year = 1991
| next_election = 1999 Cantabrian regional election
| next_year = 1999
| outgoing_members =
| elected_members =
| seats_for_election = All 39 seats in the Regional Assembly of Cantabria
| majority_seats = 20
| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls
| registered = 435,752 File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5.7%
| turnout = 322,654 (74.0%)
File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.7 pp
| election_date = 28 May 1995
| image1 = 170x170px
| leader1 = José Joaquín Martínez Sieso
| party1 = People's Party of Cantabria
| leader_since1 = 1995
| last_election1 = 6 seats, 14.4%
| seats1 = 13
| seat_change1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg7
| popular_vote1 = 104,008
| percentage1 = 32.5%
| swing1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg18.1 pp
| image2 = 170x170px
| leader2 = Julio Neira
| party2 = Socialist Party of Cantabria
| leader_since2 = 23 February 1995
| last_election2 = 16 seats, 34.8%
| seats2 = 10
| seat_change2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg6
| popular_vote2 = 80,464
| percentage2 = 25.1%
| swing2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg9.7 pp
| image3 = 170x170px
| leader3 = Vicente de la Hera
| party3 = Union for the Progress of Cantabria
| leader_since3 = 13 December 1994
| last_election3 = 15 seats, 33.5%
| seats3 = 7
| seat_change3 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg8
| popular_vote3 = 53,191
| percentage3 = 16.6%
| swing3 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg16.9 pp
| image4 = 170x170px
| leader4 = Miguel Ángel Revilla
| party4 = Regionalist Party of Cantabria
| leader_since4 = 1983
| last_election4 = 2 seats, 6.4%
| seats4 = 6
| seat_change4 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg4
| popular_vote4 = 46,587
| percentage4 = 14.6%
| swing4 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg8.2 pp
| image5 = 170x170px
| leader5 = Ángel Agudo
| party5 = United Left of Cantabria
| leader_since5 = 1983
| last_election5 = 0 seats, 4.4%
| seats5 = 3
| seat_change5 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3
| popular_vote5 = 23,563
| percentage5 = 7.4%
| swing5 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3.0 pp
| map_image =
| map_size =
| map_caption =
| title = President
| before_election = None
{{smaller|(Juan Hormaechea as acting)}}
| before_party =
| after_election = José Joaquín Martínez Sieso
| after_party = People's Party of Cantabria
}}
The 1995 Cantabrian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 1995, to elect the 4th Regional Assembly of the autonomous community of Cantabria. All 39 seats in the Regional Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in 12 other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The People's Party won the election, recovering much of the vote it had lost in 1991 to Hormaechea's Union for the Progress of Cantabria (UPCA), which fell to third place and lost over half of its seats and votes. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), which in 1991 had won the regional election, collapsed and obtained its worst result until that time. The Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC) recovered and scored fourth with nearly 15% of the vote, while United Left (IU) entered the Assembly for the first time.
As a result of the election, José Joaquín Martínez Sieso from the People's Party was able to be elected as regional President thanks to a PP-PRC coalition agreement.
Overview
=Electoral system=
The Regional Assembly of Cantabria was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Cantabria, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Cantabrian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a President of the Regional Deputation.{{cite act |title=Statute of Autonomy of Cantabria of 1981 |type=Organic Law |number=8 |language=es |date=30 December 1981 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-635&tn=1&p=19940325 |access-date=18 September 2017}} Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Cantabria and in full enjoyment of their political rights.
The 39 members of the Regional Assembly of Cantabria were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally.{{cite act |title=Regional Assembly of Cantabria Elections Law of 1987 |type=Law |number=5 |language=es |date=27 March 1987 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-8958&tn=1&p=19910326 |access-date=18 September 2017}}
The electoral law provided that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors were allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors were required to secure the signature of at least 1 percent of the electors registered in Cantabria. Electors were barred from signing for more than one list of candidates. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.{{cite act |title=General Electoral System Organic Law of 1985 |type=Organic Law |number=5 |language=es |date=19 June 1985 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=19950324 |access-date=28 December 2016}}{{cite web |url=http://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/LOREG_ENG |title=Representation of the people Institutional Act |website=www.juntaelectoralcentral.es |publisher=Central Electoral Commission |access-date=16 June 2017}}
=Election date=
The term of the Regional Assembly of Cantabria expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Regional Assembly were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 1991, setting the election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 28 May 1995.
The Regional Assembly of Cantabria could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional President within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the Regional Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.
Opinion polls
The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 20 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Regional Assembly of Cantabria.
;{{smaller|Color key:}}
{{smaller|{{legend2|#EAFFEA|Exit poll|border=1px solid #AAAAAA}}}}
class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;" |
style="height:42px;"
! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner ! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date ! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size ! style="width:45px;" rowspan="2"| Turnout ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PSOE, 1976-2001.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Unión para el Progreso de Cantabria.jpg ! style="width:35px;"| File:People's Party (Spain) Logo (1993-2000).svg ! style="width:35px;"| PRC ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo-izquierda-unida2.png ! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Cantabria}};"|
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Union for the Progress of Cantabria}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Cantabria}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Regionalist Party of Cantabria}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Cantabria}};"| |
---|
colspan="10" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| 28 May 1995 | {{N/A}} | 74.0 | 25.1 | 16.6 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 32.5 | 14.6 | 7.4 | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Cantabria}}; color:white;"| 7.4 |
colspan="10" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
style="background:#EAFFEA;"
| 28 May 1995 |? |? | 22.8 | 14.6 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.3 | 12.6 | 8.6 | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Cantabria}}; color:white;"| 12.5 |
style="background:#EAFFEA;"
| 28 May 1995 |? |? |? |? | {{Party shading/PP}}|? |? |? | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Cantabria}}; color:white;"|? |
Demoscopia/El País{{cite web |title=El PP será la fuerza más votada en 12 comunidades |url=http://elpais.com/diario/1995/05/20/espana/800920832_850215.html |language=es |work=El País |date=20 May 1995}}{{cite web |title=Hormaechea y los socialistas pierden |url=https://elpais.com/diario/1995/05/20/espana/800920827_850215.html |language=es |work=El País |date=20 May 1995}}{{cite web |title=Mañana, previsiones para las municipales |url=https://elpais.com/diario/1995/05/20/espana/800920801_850215.html |language=es |work=El País |date=20 May 1995}}{{cite web |title=El PP gana en doce autonomías y el PSOE sólo en Extremadura, según un sondeo |url=http://hemeroteca.lavanguardia.com/preview/1995/05/21/pagina-16/33769178/pdf.html |language=es |work=La Vanguardia |date=21 May 1995}}
| 10–15 May 1995 | 500 |? | 22.0 | 19.4 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 32.7 | 12.5 | 11.3 | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Cantabria}}; color:white;"| 10.7 |
CIS{{cite web |title=Preelectoral Comunidad Autónoma de Cantabria (Estudio 2164. Abril-Mayo 1995) |url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/2160_2179/2164/e216400.html |language=es |work=CIS |date=10 May 1995}}{{cite web |title=Estudio CIS nº 2164. Ficha técnica |url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/2160_2179/2164/FT2164.pdf |language=es |work=CIS |date=10 May 1995}}
| 24 Apr–10 May 1995 | 500 | 67.6 | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 31.3 | 22.0 | 29.7 | 10.8 | 5.5 | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Cantabria}}; color:white;"| 1.6 |
style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| 12 Jun 1994 | {{N/A}} | 61.9 | 32.2 | – | {{Party shading/PP}}| 49.5 | – | 12.3 | style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Cantabria}}; color:white;"| 17.3 |
style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| 6 Jun 1993 | {{N/A}} | 79.0 | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 37.2 | 8.2 | 37.0 | 5.7 | 7.4 | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Cantabria}}; color:white;"| 0.2 |
colspan="10" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| 26 May 1991 | {{N/A}} | 72.3 | {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 34.8 | 33.5 | 14.4 | 6.4 | 4.4 | style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Cantabria}}; color:white;"| 1.3 |
colspan="10" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
Results
class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"
|+ ← Summary of the 28 May 1995 Regional Assembly of Cantabria election results → | |||
colspan="7"| File:CantabriaAssemblyDiagram1995.svg | |||
style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="525"| Parties and alliances
! colspan="3"| Popular vote ! colspan="2"| Seats | |||
---|---|---|---|
width="75"| Votes
! width="45"| % ! width="45"| ±pp ! width="35"| Total ! width="35"| +/− | |||
width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Cantabria}}"|
| align="left"| People's Party (PP) | 104,008 | 32.50 | style="color:green;"| +18.06
| 13 | style="color:green;"| +7 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Cantabria}}"|
| align="left"| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 80,464 | 25.14 | style="color:red;"| –9.67
| 10 | style="color:red;"| –6 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Union for the Progress of Cantabria}}"|
| align="left"| Union for the Progress of Cantabria (UPCA) | 53,191 | 16.62 | style="color:red;"| –16.91
| 7 | style="color:red;"| –8 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Regionalist Party of Cantabria}}"|
| align="left"| Regionalist Party of Cantabria (PRC) | 46,587 | 14.56 | style="color:green;"| +8.21
| 6 | style="color:green;"| +4 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Cantabria}}"|
| align="left"| United Left (IU) | 23,563 | 7.36 | style="color:green;"| +2.96
| 3 | style="color:green;"| +3 |
colspan="7" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| | |||
bgcolor="white"|
| align="left"| Independents of Cantabria (INCA) | 3,182 | 0.99 | New
| 0 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Democratic and Social Centre (Spain)}}"|
| align="left"| Democratic and Social Centre (CDS) | 1,267 | 0.40 | style="color:red;"| –2.28
| 0 | ±0 |
bgcolor="white"|
| align="left"| Cantabria Renewal Coalition (CR–CA) | 879 | 0.27 | New
| 0 | ±0 |
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain}}"|
| align="left"| Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE) | 705 | 0.22 | style="color:red;"| –0.08
| 0 | ±0 |
bgcolor="white"|
| align="left"| Neighborhood Group of Cantabria (AAVV–C) | 0 | 0.00 | style="color:red;"| –0.49
| 0 | ±0 |
align="left" colspan="2"| Blank ballots
| 6,186 | 1.93 | style="color:green;"| +0.24
| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"| | |
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| | |||
style="font-weight:bold;"
| align="left" colspan="2"| Total | 320,032 | bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|
| 39 | ±0 | |
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| | |||
align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes
| 320,032 | 99.19 | style="color:green;"| +0.04
| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2" rowspan="5"| | |
align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid votes
| 2,622 | 0.81 | style="color:red;"| –0.04 | |
style="font-weight:bold;"
| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout | 322,654 | 74.05 | style="color:green;"| +1.71 | |
align="left" colspan="2"| Abstentions
| 113,098 | 25.95 | style="color:red;"| –1.71 | |
style="font-weight:bold;"
| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters | 435,752 | bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"| | ||
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| | |||
align="left" colspan="7"| Sources{{cite web |url=https://parlamento-cantabria.es/informacion-general/elecciones-auton%C3%B3micas-28-de-mayo-de-1995 |title=Regional election, 28 May 1995 |language=es |website=parlamento-cantabria.es |publisher=Parliament of Cantabria |access-date=28 September 2017}}{{cite web |url=http://www.historiaelectoral.com/acantabria.html |title=Elecciones al Parlamento de Cantabria (1983 - 2019) |language=es |website=Historia Electoral.com |access-date=28 September 2017}} |
{{bar box
|title=Popular vote
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=550px
|barwidth=500px
|bars=
{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party of Cantabria}}|32.50}}
{{bar percent|PSOE|{{party color|Socialist Party of Cantabria}}|25.14}}
{{bar percent|UPCA|{{party color|Union for the Progress of Cantabria}}|16.62}}
{{bar percent|PRC|{{party color|Regionalist Party of Cantabria}}|14.56}}
{{bar percent|IU|{{party color|United Left of Cantabria}}|7.36}}
{{bar percent|Others|#777777|1.89}}
{{bar percent|Blank ballots|#DDDDDD|1.93}}
}}
{{bar box
|title=Seats
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=550px
|barwidth=500px
|bars=
{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party of Cantabria}}|33.33}}
{{bar percent|PSOE|{{party color|Socialist Party of Cantabria}}|25.64}}
{{bar percent|UPCA|{{party color|Union for the Progress of Cantabria}}|17.95}}
{{bar percent|PRC|{{party color|Regionalist Party of Cantabria}}|15.38}}
{{bar percent|IU|{{party color|United Left of Cantabria}}|7.69}}
}}
Aftermath
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;" |
colspan="4" align="center" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| Investiture José Joaquín Martínez Sieso (PP) |
colspan="2" width="150px"| Ballot →
! 11 July 1995 ! 13 July 1995 |
---|
colspan="2"| Required majority →
| 20 out of 39 {{xmark|15}} | Simple {{tick|15}} |
width="1px" style="background:green;"|
| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Yes | • PP (13) | • UPCA (7) {{small|(on 13 Jul)}} | • PRC (6) }} | {{Composition bar|19|39|green|width=125px}} | {{Composition bar|26|39|green|width=125px}} |
style="color:inherit;background:red;"|
| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = No | • PSOE (10) | • UPCA (7) {{small|(on 11 Jul)}} | • IU (3) {{small|(on 11 Jul)}} }} | {{Composition bar|20|39|red|width=125px}} | {{Composition bar|10|39|red|width=125px}} |
style="color:inherit;background:gray;"|
| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Abstentions | • IU (3) {{small|(on 13 Jul)}} }} | {{Composition bar|0|39|gray|width=125px}} | {{Composition bar|3|39|gray|width=125px}} |
style="color:inherit;background:black;"|
| align="left"| Absentees | {{Composition bar|0|39|black|width=125px}} | {{Composition bar|0|39|black|width=125px}} |
align="left" colspan="4"| Sources |
References
;Opinion poll sources
{{reflist|group="p"}}
;Other
{{reflist}}
{{Cantabrian elections}}
{{Regional elections in Spain in the 1990s}}