2008 United States Senate election in New Jersey
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use mdy dates | date=December 2017}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2008 United States Senate election in New Jersey
| country = New Jersey
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2002 United States Senate election in New Jersey
| previous_year = 2002
| next_election = 2013 United States Senate special election in New Jersey
| next_year = 2013 (special)
| election_date = November 4, 2008
| image1 = File:Frank Lautenberg, official portrait, 112th portrait crop.jpg
| image_size = 150x150px
| nominee1 = Frank Lautenberg
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 1,951,218
| percentage1 = 56.03%
| image2 = File:Richard Alan Zimmer portrait (cropped).gif
| nominee2 = Dick Zimmer
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 1,461,025
| percentage2 = 41.95%
| map_image = {{switcher |280px|County results |280px|Congressional district results |280px|Municipality results}}
| map_size =
| map_caption = Lautenberg: {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933E5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Zimmer: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}}
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Frank Lautenberg
| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| after_election = Frank Lautenberg
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{ElectionsNJ}}
The 2008 United States Senate election in New Jersey was held on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Frank Lautenberg won re-election to a fifth, non-consecutive term, defeating former Republican congressman Dick Zimmer, who was also the nominee for this seat in 1996. This election, alongside the concurrent Senate election in Minnesota, was the last U.S. Senate election in which both major party candidates were Jewish. {{cite news |last1=Rudin |first1=Ken |title=Who Will Succeed Obama Or McCain In The Senate? |url=https://www.npr.org/2008/07/23/92822450/who-will-succeed-obama-or-mccain-in-the-senate |access-date=10 September 2024 |work=NPR |date=23 July 2008}}
Background
In November 2006, Senator Lautenberg had the lowest approval rating of any Democrat running for re-election in 2008 (with 39% approving and 45% disapproving),{{cite web | url=http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7f2453b4-1590-478a-bbf4-29bb08ae42da | title= Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #11152 | access-date=February 5, 2007 | date=November 2006 | publisher=SurveyUSA}} with his approval improving only slightly to 42% as of September 2007. In the same September 2007 poll conducted by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, voters surveyed decided that Lautenberg does not deserve re-election (46% to 36%) and that he is too old to effectively serve another six years in the Senate (54% to 40%).[http://politickernj.com/voters-still-say-lautenberg-too-old-12097 "Voters still say Lautenberg is too old"]. PolitickerNJ.com, September 25, 2007. Accessed April 8, 2008.
Poll results suggested that given the right formula, this could have been a surprise upset race in November 2008. "The poll shows that Sen. Frank Lautenberg, who many voters say is too old to run for another term, would be vulnerable to a strong Republican candidate next year," according to Quinnipiac pollster Clay Richards.
The first poll conducted after the primaries (Rasmussen Reports, June 4, 2008) showed a tighter than expected race between Lautenberg and Zimmer, with the two candidates in a virtual tie.[http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/new_jersey/election_2008_new_jersey_senate "Election 2008: New Jersey Senate - New Jersey Senate Race a Dead Heat"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080622095354/http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/new_jersey/election_2008_new_jersey_senate |date=June 22, 2008 }}, Rasmussen Reports, June 9, 2008. Accessed June 9, 2008.
However, the prevailing political climate at the time of the election was also a major factor. Voter anger was targeted against the GOP, and many Democrats once considered vulnerable managed to hold on.
Democratic primary
{{main|2008 Democratic primary in New Jersey}}
= Candidates =
- Rob Andrews, U.S. Representative from Haddon Heights
- Donald Cresitello, Mayor of Morristown
- Frank Lautenberg, incumbent U.S. Senator
= Polling =
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
Source
! Date ! style="width:100px;"| Frank ! style="width:100px;"| Rob |
---|
align=left |Joel Benenson[http://www.politickernj.com/max/18127/dscc-poll-shows-lautenberg-52-21-lead-over-andrews Joel Benenson]
| April 1–2, 2008 | {{party shading/Democratic}} | 52% | 21% |
align=left |Rasmussen Reports[https://web.archive.org/web/20080606034308/http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_senate_elections/new_jersey/election_2008_new_jersey_democratic_senate_primary Rasmussen Reports]
| May 15, 2008 | {{party shading/Democratic}} | 49% | 19% |
= Results =
{{Election box begin no change
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Frank Lautenberg (incumbent)
| votes = 203,012
| percentage = 58.9%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Rob Andrews
| votes = 121,777
| percentage = 35.3%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Donald Cresitello
| votes = 19,743
| percentage = 5.7%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 344,532
| percentage = 100.0%
}}
{{Election box end}}
==Results by county==
class="wikitable sortable"
|+ Results by county | ||||||
County
! Lautenberg ! % ! Andrews ! % ! Cresitello ! % | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlantic | 4,798 | 45.4% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|5,287 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|50.1% | 472 | 4.5% |
Bergen | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|26,848 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|78.9% | 5,645 | 16.6% | 1,554 | 4.6% |
Burlington | 7,757 | 42.4% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|9,483 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|51.8% | 1,059 | 5.8% |
Camden | 5,995 | 16.5% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|29,175 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|80.1% | 1,256 | 3.4% |
Cape May | 1,433 | 45.4% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|1,566 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|49.6% | 159 | 5.0% |
Cumberland | 1,746 | 46.1% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|1,799 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|47.5% | 246 | 6.5% |
Essex | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|31,844 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|76.4% | 8,671 | 20.8% | 1,190 | 2.9% |
Gloucester | 3,135 | 17.0% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|14,775 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|80.0% | 563 | 3.0% |
Hudson | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|28,446 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|74.8% | 8,233 | 21.7% | 1,343 | 3.5% |
Hunterdon | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|2,061 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|58.8% | 1,180 | 33.7% | 264 | 7.5% |
Mercer | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|10,093 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|74.0% | 3,053 | 22.4% | 494 | 3.6% |
Middlesex | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|17,131 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|62.0% | 7,918 | 28.7% | 2,573 | 9.3% |
Monmouth | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|10,570 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|66.3% | 3,568 | 22.4% | 1,808 | 11.3% |
Morris | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|8,432 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|65.0% | 3,151 | 24.3% | 1,394 | 10.7% |
Ocean | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|8,869 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|57.9% | 5,037 | 32.9% | 1,421 | 9.3% |
Passaic | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|9,842 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|79.3% | 1,700 | 13.7% | 872 | 7.0% |
Salem | 928 | 31.9% | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|1,734 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|59.6% | 248 | 8.5% |
Somerset | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|5,640 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|64.7% | 2,209 | 25.3% | 873 | 10.0% |
Sussex | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|1,379 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|52.7% | 784 | 29.9% | 456 | 17.4% |
Union | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|15,103 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|67.6% | 6,179 | 27.7% | 1,060 | 4.7% |
Warren | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|962 | {{Party shading/Democratic}}|47.4% | 630 | 31.0% | 438 | 21.6% |
Republican primary
= Candidates =
- Joseph Pennacchio, State Senator from Rockaway Township
- Murray Sabrin, professor at Ramapo College and perennial candidate
- Dick Zimmer, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996
==Withdrew==
- Anne Evans Estabrook, real estate developer{{cite news|url=https://observer.com/2008/03/bateman-considers-u-s-senate-bid/|date=6 Mar 2008|access-date=21 Aug 2021|title=Bateman considers U.S. Senate bid|quote=The race changed yesterday with the surprise withdrawal of Anne Evans Estabrook, a millionaire businesswoman who had courted party leaders for almost a year. Estabrook suffered a mini-stroke on Monday and decided to quickly exit the contest.|work=Observer|author=PolitickerNJ}}
- Andrew Unanue, former Goya Foods executive (endorsed Zimmer){{cite news|url=https://www.politico.com/blogs/politico-now/2008/04/new-jersey-senate-merry-go-round-continues-007731|title=New Jersey Senate merry-go-round continues|last=Krashuaar|first=Josh|date=11 Apr 2008|access-date=21 Aug 2021|work=Politico|quote=Former Goya Foods executive Andrew Unanue, whose campaign was controversy-ridden ever since he announced his candidacy on Easter Sunday, withdrew from the race today and threw his support behind former GOP Rep. Dick Zimmer.}}
==Declined==
- Kip Bateman, State Senator from Neshanic Station{{cite news|url=https://observer.com/2008/03/bateman-considers-u-s-senate-bid/|date=6 Mar 2008|access-date=21 Aug 2021|title=Bateman considers U.S. Senate bid|work=Observer|author=PolitickerNJ}}
- Mehmet Oz, cardiologist{{Cite web|url=https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/democrats-to-dr-oz-run-for-office-as-a-republican-in-new-jersey-please/|title=Democrats to Dr. Oz: run for office as a Republican in New Jersey, please|first=David|last=Wildstein|date=12 January 2023|website=New Jersey Globe|accessdate=7 May 2023}}
= Results =
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| candidate = Dick Zimmer
| votes = 84,663
| percentage = 45.8%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| candidate = Joseph Pennacchio
| votes = 74,546
| percentage = 40.3%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| candidate = Murray Sabrin
| votes = 25,576
| percentage = 13.8%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 184,785
| percentage = 100.0%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Official results, New Jersey Division of Elections ([https://web.archive.org/web/20080806212619/http://www.njelections.org/2008results/08primary-election/08-official-pri-elect-senate-candidate-tallies-071108.pdf PDF], July 11, 2008)
==Results by county==
class="wikitable sortable" | |||
County
! Zimmer !% ! Pennacchio !% ! Sabrin !% | |||
---|---|---|---|
Atlantic | {{Party shading/Republican}}|3,909
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|65% | 1,322
|22% | 810
|13% |
Bergen | 5,145
|30% | {{Party shading/Republican}}|10,761
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|62% | 1,384
|8% |
Burlington | {{Party shading/Republican}}|8,629
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|63% | 2,869
|21% | 2,276
|16% |
Camden | {{Party shading/Republican}}|3,123
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|49% | 2,166
|34% | 1,036
|16% |
Cape May | {{Party shading/Republican}}|3,615
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|70% | 1,034
|20% | 483
|9% |
Cumberland | {{Party shading/Republican}}|1,566
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|72% | 395
|18% | 225
|10% |
Essex | {{Party shading/Republican}}|3,592
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|57% | 2,262
|36% | 493
|8% |
Gloucester | 1,206
|26% | {{Party shading/Republican}}|2,161
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|47% | 1,254
|27% |
Hudson | {{Party shading/Republican}}|1,487
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|48% | 955
|31% | 641
|21% |
Hunterdon | {{Party shading/Republican}}|5,519
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|60% | 2,730
|30% | 977
|11% |
Mercer | {{Party shading/Republican}}|2,555
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|56% | 1,538
|34% | 488
|11% |
Middlesex | 2,603
|33% | {{Party shading/Republican}}|4,195
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|54% | 1,021
|13% |
Monmouth | {{Party shading/Republican}}|7,981
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|56% | 4,630
|33% | 1,510
|11% |
Morris | 8,094
|36% | {{Party shading/Republican}}|12,700
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|56% | 1,855
|8% |
Ocean | {{Party shading/Republican}}|10,875
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|48% | 4,820
|21% | 6,778
|30% |
Passaic | 1,271
|20% | {{Party shading/Republican}}|4,570
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|72% | 545
|8% |
Salem | {{Party shading/Republican}}|769
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|47% | 657
|41% | 193
|12% |
Somerset | {{Party shading/Republican}}|5,227
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|46% | 4,875
|43% | 1,170
|10% |
Sussex | 2,850
|40% | {{Party shading/Republican}}|3,621
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|51% | 647
|9% |
Union | 2,896
|32% | {{Party shading/Republican}}|4,653
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|52% | 1,388
|15% |
Warren | {{Party shading/Republican}}|1,751
|{{Party shading/Republican}}|46% | 1,632
|43% | 402
|11% |
General election
= Candidates =
== Major ==
- Frank Lautenberg, incumbent U.S. Senator
- Dick Zimmer, former U.S. Representative
== Minor ==
- Jeff Boss (I)
- Daryl Mikell Brooks (I)
- J.M. Carter (I)
- Carl Peter Klapper (Write In){{Cite web|url=http://carlpeterklapper.org/|title=Home|website=carlpeterklapper.org|accessdate=7 May 2023}}
- Sara Lobman (Socialist Workers)
- Jason Scheurer (Libertarian)[http://www.njelections.org/2008results/08generalelection/certification-memo-senate.pdf 2008 General Election Candidate Certification] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20081001230653/http://www.njelections.org/2008results/08generalelection/certification-memo-senate.pdf |date=October 1, 2008 }}, New Jersey Division of Elections. Accessed September 28, 2008
= Debates =
On October 29, 2008, a debate between Lautenberg and Zimmer was held on the radio station NJ 101.5.Burton, Cynthia. [http://www.philly.com/inquirer/local/nj/20081030_Lautenberg_and_Zimmer_spar_over_issues.html "Lautenberg and Zimmer spar over issues"], The Philadelphia Inquirer, October 30, 2008.
On November 1, 2008, the two candidates debated for the second time on New Jersey Network, in the only televised debate agreed to by the Lautenberg campaign.Schwaneberg, Robert. [http://www.nj.com/news/index.ssf/2008/10/lautenberg_zimmer_to_debate_no.html Lautenberg, Zimmer agree to debate on Nov. 1], The Star-Ledger, October 1, 2008.
= Predictions =
= Polling =
= Results =
{{Election box begin
| title = 2008 United States Senate election in New Jersey}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Frank Lautenberg (incumbent)
| votes = 1,951,218
| percentage = 56.03%
| change = +2.15%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Dick Zimmer|votes=1,461,025|percentage=41.95%|change=-2.00%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Independent (United States)|candidate=Daryl Mikell Brooks|votes=20,920|percentage=0.60%|change=n/a}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Libertarian Party (United States)|candidate=Jason Scheurer|votes=18,810|percentage=0.54%|change=-0.05}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Independent (United States)|candidate=J.M. Carter|votes=15,935|percentage=0.46%|change=n/a}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Independent (United States)|candidate=Jeff Boss|votes=10,345|percentage=0.30%|change=n/a}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Socialist Workers Party (United States)|candidate=Sara Lobman|votes=9,187|percentage=0.26%|change=n/a}}
{{Election box total
| votes = 3,482,445
| percentage = 100.00%
| change = n/a
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no swing
| winner = Democratic Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
See also
References
{{Reflist}}
External links
- [http://www.njelections.org/ Division of Elections] from the New Jersey Secretary of State
- [http://www.votesmart.org/election_congress_state.php?state_id=NJ&go33.x=12&go33.y=8 U.S. Congress candidates for New Jersey] at Project Vote Smart
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20080827202328/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=senate-NJ New Jersey, U.S. Senate] from CQ Politics
- [http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=29723 New Jersey U.S. Senate] from OurCampaigns.com
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20080616202035/http://www.2008racetracker.com/page/NJ-Sen New Jersey U.S. Senate race] from 2008 Race Tracker
- [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?id=NJS2&cycle=2008 Campaign contributions] from OpenSecrets
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20080820053506/http://www.pollster.com/08-NJ-Sen-GE-ZvL.php Zimmer (R) vs Lautenberg (D-i)] graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20081031225413/http://www.lautenbergfornj.com/home.php Frank Lautenberg], Democratic nominee
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20081031225432/http://www.zimmerforsenate.com/volunteers Dick Zimmer], Republican nominee
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20081031043234/http://jasonforsenate2008.com/ Jason Scheurer], Libertarian candidate
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20081004051938/http://www.votebrooks08.org/ Daryl Mikell Brooks], Independent candidate
{{2008 United States elections}}