2010 Idaho gubernatorial election
{{Short description|none}}
{{for|related races|2010 United States gubernatorial elections}}
{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election
| country = Idaho
| type = presidential
| ongoing = Yes
| previous_election = 2006 Idaho gubernatorial election
| previous_year = 2006
| election_date = November 2, 2010
| next_election = 2014 Idaho gubernatorial election
| next_year = 2014
| image1 = File:Butchotter (cropped).jpg
| image_size = 150x150px
| nominee1 = Butch Otter
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 267,483
| percentage1 = 59.11%
| map_image = 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
| map_size = 180px
| map_caption = County results
Otter: {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}}
Allred: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}}
| title = Governor
| before_election = Butch Otter
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Butch Otter
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
| image2 = 3x4.svg
| nominee2 = Keith G. Allred
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 148,680
| percentage2 = 32.85%
| image3 = 3x4.svg
| nominee3 = Jana Kemp
| party3 = Independent
| popular_vote3 = 26,655
| percentage3 = 5.89%
}}
{{ElectionsID}}
The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.
A former Lieutenant Governor and U.S. Representative, Otter won an open seat race in 2006 against Democratic Party nominee Jerry Brady with 52.67% of the vote.
Republican primary
=Candidates=
- Walt Bayes, perennial candidate
- Fred Nichols
- Butch Otter, Governor of Idaho{{cite web|url=http://www.kboi2.com/news/87522842.html|title=Gov. Otter files candidacy papers for re-election|date=March 12, 2010|access-date=March 15, 2010|publisher=KBOI-TV|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110718232056/http://www.kboi2.com/news/87522842.html|archive-date=July 18, 2011}}
- Pete Peterson (endorsed independent candidate Jana Kemp, but still filed for the primary{{cite web|url=http://www.spokesman.com/blogs/boise/2010/mar/08/three-one-out-guvs-race/|title=Three in, one out in Guv's race|date=March 8, 2010|access-date=March 15, 2010|work=The Spokesman-Review}})
- Rex Rammell, veterinarian, conservative activist and independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008{{cite web|url=http://www.kpvi.com/Global/story.asp?S=10356321 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110713171828/http://www.kpvi.com/Global/story.asp?S=10356321 |url-status=dead |archive-date=July 13, 2011 |title=Rex Rammell Announcement To Run For Governor |date=May 13, 2009 |access-date=March 15, 2010 |publisher=KPVI-DT |first=Aaron |last=Kunz }}
- Sharon Ullman, Ada County Commissioner{{cite web|url=http://www.idahostatesman.com/2009/07/14/833951/ada-county-commissioner-sharon.html|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130208090817/http://www.idahostatesman.com/2009/07/14/833951/ada-county-commissioner-sharon.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=February 8, 2013|title=Ada County Commissioner Sharon Ullman will run for governor in 2010|date=July 14, 2009|access-date=March 15, 2010|work=Idaho Statesman}}
- Tamara Wells
=Campaign=
Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax.
In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license to hunt President Barack Obama.{{cite web|url=http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2009/08/28/2009-08-28_idaho_republican_governor_hopeful_rex_rammell_makes_obama_tags_joke_about_huntin.html|title=Idaho Republican, governor hopeful Rex Rammell makes 'Obama tags' joke about hunting President Obama|date=August 28, 2009|access-date=March 15, 2010|work=Daily News}}
=Polling=
| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;" |
| valign="top"
! Poll ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin of ! Walt ! Butch ! Ron"Pete" ! Rex ! Sharon ! Tamara ! Un- |
| align=center
| align=left| Mason-Dixon ([https://web.archive.org/web/20100524164038/http://media.idahostatesman.com/smedia/2010/05/21/22/0522_Local_poll_Governor.source.prod_affiliate.36.pdf report]) | May 17–19, 2010 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 1% | {{party shading/Republican}}| 60% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 25% |
=Results=
[[File:Idaho gubernatorial Republican primary, 2010.svg|thumb|180px|Results by county:
{{legend|#d40000|Otter—70–80%}}
{{legend|#cc2f4a|Otter—60–70%}}
{{legend|#e27f90|Otter—50–60%}}
{{legend|#f2b3be|Otter—40–50%}}
{{legend|#ffb380|Rammell—40–50%}}
{{legend|#ff9955|Rammell—50–60%}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results{{cite web|url=http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2010/by_county/ID_Governor_0525.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS|title=Idaho Governor Primary Results |date=May 25, 2010 |agency=The Associated Press |access-date=May 25, 2010}}
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Butch Otter (incumbent)
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 89,117
| percentage = 54.6
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Rex Rammell
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 42,436
| percentage = 26.0
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Sharon Ullman
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 13,749
| percentage = 8.4
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Pete Peterson
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 8,402
| percentage = 5.2
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Walt Bayes
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 4,825
| percentage = 3.0
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Tamara Wells
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 4,544
| percentage = 2.8
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Fred Nichols
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 38
| percentage = 0.0
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 163,111
| percentage = 100
}}
{{Election box end}}
Democratic primary
=Candidates=
==Declared==
- Keith G. Allred, activist and mediator{{cite web|url=http://www.idahostatesman.com/2009/12/11/1005367/keith-allred-will-run-as-a-democrat.html|title=Keith Allred will run as a Democrat in Idaho's race for governor|date=December 11, 2009|access-date=March 15, 2010|work=Idaho Statesman|first=Dan|last=Popkey}}
- Lee Chaney, laborer{{cite web|url=http://www.kpvi.com/Global/story.asp?S=10659562 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110713171851/http://www.kpvi.com/Global/story.asp?S=10659562 |url-status=dead |archive-date=July 13, 2011 |title=Lee Chaney Runs for Governor as Democrat |date=July 7, 2009 |access-date=March 15, 2009 |publisher=KPVI-DT |first=Aaron |last=Kunz }}
==Declined==
- Jerry Brady, nominee for governor in 2002 and 2006[http://www.idaho-democrats.org/ht/display/ArticleDetails/i/978071/pid/304476 Brady done, but other Idaho Dems consider running again] Accessed 16 August 2007 {{webarchive |url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110718214521/http://www.idaho-democrats.org/ht/display/ArticleDetails/i/978071/pid/304476 |date=July 18, 2011 }}
=Results=
[[File:Idaho gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2010.svg|thumb|180px|Results by county:
{{legend|#0645b4|Allred—80–90%}}
{{legend|#1666cb|Allred—70–80%}}
{{legend|#4389e3|Allred—60–70%}}
{{legend|#86b6f2|Allred—50–60%}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Keith Allred
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 22,386
| percentage = 81.7
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Lee Chaney
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 5,026
| percentage = 18.3
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 27,412
| percentage = 100
}}
{{Election box end}}
Third party candidates
=Libertarian Party=
- Ted Dunlap
=Independents=
- Jana Kemp, former Republican State Representative
- Pro-Life (formerly known as Marvin Richardson), organic strawberry farmer, Constitution Party nominee for governor in 2006 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2008{{cite web|url=http://prolifeidaho.com/2010/01/31/pro-life-for-governor-2010/|title=Pro-Life For Governor, 2010|work=ProLifeIdaho.com|access-date=March 15, 2010|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100914043922/http://prolifeidaho.com/2010/01/31/pro-life-for-governor-2010/|archive-date=September 14, 2010|url-status=dead}}
General election
=Campaign=
Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature was in session.{{cite web|url=http://www.idahoreporter.com/2010/allred-outearns-otter-from-january-to-early-may/|title=Allred leading Otter in fundraising so far in 2010|date=May 18, 2010|access-date=June 6, 2010|work=Idaho Reporter|first=Brad|last=Iverson-Long}}
Allred has criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.{{cite web|url=http://www.journalnet.com/news/state/article_628177fa-681a-11df-be35-001cc4c002e0.html|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130126204016/http://www.journalnet.com/news/state/article_628177fa-681a-11df-be35-001cc4c002e0.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=January 26, 2013|title=Otter, Allred win their Idaho primaries|date=May 25, 2010|access-date=June 6, 2010|work=Idaho State Journal|first=John|last=Miller}}
=Predictions=
=Polling=
=Results=
{{Election box begin | title=Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010{{cite web|url=http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/RESULTS/2010/General/tot_stwd.htm |title = 2010 General Results statewide |access-date=2012-10-06 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120922074307/http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/RESULTS/2010/General/tot_stwd.htm |archive-date=2012-09-22 }}}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Butch Otter (incumbent)
|votes = 267,483
|percentage = 59.11%
|change = +6.44%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = Keith G. Allred
|votes = 148,680
|percentage = 32.85%
|change = -11.25%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Independent
|candidate = Jana M. Kemp
|votes = 26,655
|percentage = 5.89%
|change =
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Libertarian Party (United States)
|candidate = Ted Dunlap
|votes = 5,867
|percentage = 1.30%
|change = -0.31%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Independent
|candidate = Pro-Life
|votes = 3,850
|percentage = 0.85%
|change = -0.77%
}}
{{Election box majority|
|votes = 118,803
|percentage = 26.25%
|change = +17.69%
}}
{{Election box turnout|
|votes = 452,535
|percentage =
|change =
}}
{{Election box hold with party link|
|winner = Republican Party (United States)
|swing =
}}
{{Election box end}}
== Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican ==
References
{{reflist}}
External links
- [http://idaho.gov/elections/ Idaho Office of Elections]{{dead link|date=November 2017 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
- [http://www.votesmart.org/election_state.php?state_id=ID Idaho Governor Candidates] at Project Vote Smart
- [http://www.followthemoney.org/database/StateGlance/state_candidates.phtml?s=ID&y=2010&f=G Campaign contributions for 2010 Idaho Governor] from Follow the Money
- [http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=409674 Idaho Governor 2010] from OurCampaigns.com
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100131023533/http://www.pollster.com/polls/id/ 2010 Idaho Gubernatorial General Election] graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- [http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/idaho/election_2010_idaho_governor Election 2010: Idaho Governor] from Rasmussen Reports
- [http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/governor/id/idaho_governor_otter_vs_allred-1429.html 2010 Idaho Governor Race: Otter vs. Allred] from Real Clear Politics
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20101011011900/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=governor-2010-id 2010 Idaho Governor's Race] from CQ Politics
- [http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/governor/idaho Race Profile] in The New York Times
Official campaign websites (Archived)
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20101028214239/http://www.otter4idaho.com/ Butch Otter for Re-election]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20100529054352/http://www.rexrammell.com/ Rex Rammell for Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20101028214424/http://www.allredforidaho.com/home.aspx Keith Allred for Governor]
{{United States elections, 2010}}
{{US Third Party Election}}
{{DEFAULTSORT:Idaho Gubernatorial Election, 2010}}