2012 Sydney state by-election

Moore was first elected to the marginal seat of Bligh at the 1988 election. Her largest primary vote was 43.7 percent in 1991, while her largest two-candidate preferred vote was 64.7 percent in 2003. The seat was replaced by Sydney at the 2007 election, where Moore retained the seat with a primary vote of 39.6 percent (+7.2) and a two-candidate preferred vote of 66.6 percent (+1.6) against {{Australian politics/name|Labor NSW}}. At the 2011 election, Moore retained the seat with a primary vote of 36.3 percent and a two-candidate vote of 53.1 percent against the {{Australian politics/name|Liberal NSW}}s with a primary vote of 36.2 percent (+14.6), the {{Australian politics/name|Greens NSW}} on 12.8 percent (−2.8), and Labor on 11.3 percent (−8.7). In two-party preferred terms, the seat had a Liberal vote of 65.5 percent (+22.4) against Labor.{{cite news |url=http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2011/guide/sydn.htm |title=Sydney 2011 election results |first=Antony |last=Green |authorlink=Antony Green |publisher=ABC News |location=Australia |date=4 April 2011 |work=NSW Votes 2011 }}{{cite news |url=http://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2012/sydney/ |title=Sydney 2012 by-election background |first=Antony |last=Green |authorlink=Antony Green |publisher=ABC News |location=Australia |work=ABC Elections }}

There was a 16.3 percent two-party preferred swing away from the Coalition government at the 2011 Clarence by-election. The Coalition did not contest the 2012 Heffron by-election which Labor retained with an increased margin. Labor strategically chose not to contest the Sydney by-election.{{cite news |url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/state-politics/labor-opts-out-of-clovers-seat-to-give-her-candidate-a-chance-over-lib/story-e6frgczx-1226477625750 |title= Labor opts out of Clover's seat to give her candidate a chance over Lib |work=The Australian |date=20 September 2012 |author=Salusinszky, Imre |authorlink=Imre Salusinszky |access-date=15 October 2012 }}

The five candidates in ballot paper order were as follows:

• On 26 September 2012, 422 voters (5% MoE) in the seat were robocall polled by ReachTel. Greenwich was on a primary vote of 31.4 percent, the Liberals were on 30.6 percent, the Greens were on 25.4 percent, with 'others' on 12.5 percent (respondents were told Labor was not fielding a candidate).{{cite web |url=http://www.reachtel.com.au/blogs/sydney-by-election-neck-and-neck |title=Sydney by-election neck and neck |publisher=ReachTEL |date=2 October 2012 |access-date=2 October 2012 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121024062655/http://www.reachtel.com.au/blogs/sydney-by-election-neck-and-neck |archive-date=24 October 2012 |url-status=dead }} Although no two-candidate preferred vote was given, the ABC's election analyst Antony Green said Greenwich would have been favoured to win on preferences given that Labor decided not to run a candidate.{{cite news |author=Toovey, Josephine |url=http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/tied-in-the-lead-for-moore-seat-20121001-26vgg.html |title=Tied in the lead for Moore seat |work=The Sydney Morning Herald |date=2 October 2012 |access-date=15 October 2012 }}

{{Election box begin

|title=2012 Sydney by-election
Saturday 27 October{{hsp}}{{cite web |url=http://www.elections.nsw.gov.au/results/by-elections/state/2012_sydney_by-election_results |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20121031031040/http://www.elections.nsw.gov.au/results/by-elections/state/2012_sydney_by-election_results |archive-date=2012-10-31 |title=2012 Sydney By-election Results |publisher=Electoral Commission of New South Wales}}{{cite web |url=https://www.abc.net.au/elections/nsw/2012/sydney/result.htm |work=2012 Sydney by-election |title=Results |author=Green, Antony |authorlink=Antony Green |publisher=ABC News |location=Australia |date=30 October 2012 |access-date=30 October 2012 }}

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

|candidate = Alex Greenwich

|party = Independent

|votes = 17,687

|percentage = 47.3

|change = +47.3

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

|candidate = Shayne Mallard

|party = Liberal NSW

|votes = 11,543

|percentage = 30.9

|change = –5.3

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

|candidate = Chris Harris

|party = Greens NSW

|votes = 6,616

|percentage = 17.7

|change = +4.9

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

|candidate = Glenn Wall

|party = Independent

|votes = 825

|percentage = 2.2

|change = +2.2

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

|candidate = Robyn Peebles

|party = Christian Democrats

|votes = 724

|percentage = 1.9

|change = +0.8

}}

{{Election box formal

|votes = 37,395

|percentage = 97.2

|change = –0.6

}}

{{Election box informal

|votes = 1,062

|percentage = 2.8

|change = +0.6

}}

{{Election box turnout

|votes = 38,457

|percentage = 62.6

|change = –21.3

}}

{{Election box 2cp}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

|party = Independent

|candidate = Alex Greenwich

|votes = 21,283

|percentage = 63.7

|change = +63.7

}}

{{Election box candidate AU party

|party = Liberal NSW

|candidate = Shayne Mallard

|votes = 12,120

|percentage = 36.3

|change = –10.6

}}

{{Election box hold AU party

|winner = Independent

|swing = N/A

}}

{{Election box end}}

Clover Moore ({{Australian politics/name|Independent}}) resigned.

• Electoral results for the district of Sydney
• Electoral results for the district of Bligh
• List of New South Wales state by-elections

{{reflist}}

{{NSW by-elections 55th parl|state=expanded}}

{{Results of New South Wales state elections}}

{{DEFAULTSORT:Sydney 2012}}

Category:2012 elections in Australia

Category:New South Wales state by-elections

Category:2012 in New South Wales