2018 Nebraska gubernatorial election

{{Short description|none}}

{{see also|2018 United States gubernatorial elections}}

{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2018 Nebraska gubernatorial election

| country = Nebraska

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| turnout = 57.95%{{Cite news |date=November 8, 2022 |title=Nebraska Voter Turnout in 2022 |work=Nebraska Secretary of State |url=https://www.civicnebraska.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/06/20230606-x-trove-001.pdf |access-date=February 28, 2023 }}

| previous_election = 2014 Nebraska gubernatorial election

| previous_year = 2014

| next_election = 2022 Nebraska gubernatorial election

| next_year = 2022

| election_date = November 6, 2018

| image1 = File:Nebraska WWII veteran honored by France (5) (cropped).jpg

| image_size = x150px

| nominee1 = Pete Ricketts

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| running_mate1 = Mike Foley

| popular_vote1 = 411,812

| percentage1 = 59.00%

| image2 = File:Bob Krist photo.jpg

| nominee2 = Bob Krist

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| running_mate2 = Lynne Walz

| popular_vote2 = 286,169

| percentage2 = 41.00%

| map_image = {{switcher |300px |County results |300px |Congressional district results |300px |Precinct results|default=1}}

| map_size = 300px

| map_caption = Ricketts: {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Krist: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No votes}}

| title = Governor

| before_election = Pete Ricketts

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Pete Ricketts

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)|

}}

{{ElectionsNE}}

The 2018 Nebraska gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Nebraska, concurrently with the election of Nebraska's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various Nebraska and local elections. Incumbent Republican governor Pete Ricketts won re-election to a second term.

Republican primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Krystal Gabel, writer, candidate for Metropolitan Utilities District in 2016 and candidate for Omaha City Council in 2017{{cite web|url=http://journalstar.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/omaha-writer-marijuana-advocate-announces-bid-for-governor-as-republican/article_1ff4b6c8-9235-5fba-a27b-9293329c118a.html|title=Omaha writer, marijuana advocate announces bid for governor as Republican|work=Lincoln Journal Star|date=July 22, 2017|access-date=September 13, 2017}}{{cite web|url=http://nebraska.tv/news/local/omaha-writer-says-nebraskans-need-options-in-governors-race|title=Omaha writer says Nebraskans need options in governor's race|work=NTV News|last=Kirkley|first=Sara|date=August 28, 2017|access-date=September 13, 2017}}
  • Pete Ricketts, incumbent governor{{cite web|url=http://journalstar.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/ricketts-ties-conservative-goals-to-two-terms/article_f1d4480a-a995-51ee-a8b7-bccc67415fd9.html|title=Ricketts ties conservative goals to two terms|work=Lincoln Journal Star|last=Walton|first=Don|date=April 21, 2016|access-date=July 7, 2016}}{{cite web|url=http://journalstar.com/news/local/ricketts-embarks-on-re-election-campaign-promises-tax-relief-every/article_6f3e6282-788a-50e0-826a-0703cea05889.html|title=Ricketts embarks on re-election campaign, promises tax relief every year|work=Lincoln Journal Star|last=Walton|first=Don|date=June 4, 2017|access-date=June 29, 2017}}

:*Running mate: Mike Foley, incumbent lieutenant governor

==Declined==

  • Mike Flood, former speaker of the Nebraska Legislature{{cite web|url=http://www.omaha.com/news/politics/after-heineman-says-mike-flood-would-make-an-outstanding-governor/article_26be93c8-5d00-11e7-9a75-5f33d809254d.html|title=After Heineman says Mike Flood would make an 'outstanding governor,' ex-speaker says it's not his time|work=Omaha World-Herald|last=Duggan|first=Joe|date=June 29, 2017|access-date=June 29, 2017}}
  • Bob Krist, state senator (running as a Democrat){{cite web|url=http://www.omaha.com/news/nebraska/state-sen-bob-krist-says-he-s-thinking-about-challenging/article_92e764a2-2f98-11e7-87e8-dfd5deeaf811.html|work=Omaha World-Herald|title=State Sen. Bob Krist says he's thinking about challenging Pete Ricketts for governor in 2018|date=May 3, 2017|access-date=May 5, 2017|first=Paul|last=Hammel}}{{cite web|url=http://www.omaha.com/news/politics/nebraska-state-sen-bob-krist-to-leave-gop-try-to/article_49708893-def0-51ca-875d-a2251187aac0.html|title=Nebraska State Sen. Bob Krist to leave GOP, try to challenge Ricketts as third-party candidate|work=Omaha World-Herald|last=Konnath|first=Hailey|date=July 17, 2017|access-date=July 17, 2017}}

=Endorsements=

{{Endorsements box

| title = Pete Ricketts

| list =

;Organizations

  • Nebraska Farm Bureau{{cite web|url=https://www.theindependent.com/news/local/pete-ricketts-receives-ne-farm-bureau-endorsement/article_f7858f96-a97d-11e8-821a-8f3589b850c1.html|title=Pete Ricketts receives NE Farm Bureau endorsement|work=Grand Island Independent|last=Koeller|first=Austin|date=August 26, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180827014930/https://www.theindependent.com/news/local/pete-ricketts-receives-ne-farm-bureau-endorsement/article_f7858f96-a97d-11e8-821a-8f3589b850c1.html|archive-date=August 27, 2018|url-status=live}}{{Subscription required|date=July 2023}}
  • NRA Political Victory Fund{{cite web|title=NRA Endorses Ricketts, Evnen, Murante for Top State Offices in Nebraska|url=https://www.nraila.org/articles/20180425/nra-endorses-ricketts-evnen-murante-for-top-state-offices-in-nebraska|work=NRA-ILA|date=April 25, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180425181054/https://www.nraila.org/articles/20180425/nra-endorses-ricketts-evnen-murante-for-top-state-offices-in-nebraska|archive-date=April 25, 2018|quote=National Rifle Association's Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) proudly announces its endorsement of Pete Ricketts for Governor of Nebraska}}

}}

=Results=

[[File:2018 Nebraska gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county:

{{legend|#800000|Ricketts—>90%}}

{{legend|#aa0000|Ricketts—80–90%}}

{{legend|#d40000|Ricketts—70–80%}}

{{legend|#cc2f4a|Ricketts—60–70%}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results{{cite book|last1=Gale|first1=John A.|title=Official Report of the Nebraska Board of State Canvassers, Primary Election, May 15, 2018|date=2018|url=https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/default/files/doc/elections/2018/2018-canvass-book.pdf}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Pete Ricketts (inc.)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 138,292

| percentage = 81.42%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Krystal Gabel

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 31,568

| percentage = 18.58%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 169,860

| percentage = 100.00%

}}

{{Election box end}}

Democratic primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Tyler Davis, University of Nebraska, Omaha instructor{{Cite news |url=http://columbusnewsteam.com/local-news/democrats-short-list-for-governor-slowly-emerging/ |title=Democrats Short List for Governor Slowly Emerging |last=Jordan |first=Joe |date=October 26, 2017 |work=News Channel Nebraska |access-date=December 20, 2017}}
  • Bob Krist, state senator{{cite web|url=https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/nebraska/articles/2018-02-12/nebraska-governor-hopeful-krist-joins-democratic-party|title=Nebraska Governor hopeful joins Democratic Party|work=USNews|last=Schulte |first=Grant|date=February 12, 2018|access-date=May 2, 2018}}

:* Running mate: Lynne Walz, state senator{{cite web|url=http://www.omaha.com/news/politics/elections/state-sen-lynne-walz-chosen-as-democrat-bob-krist-s/article_227d8f0d-c285-5856-8a86-7b0fb668eaa8.html|title=State Sen. Lynne Walz chosen as Democrat Bob Krist's running mate|work=Omaha World Herald|last=Gaardner |first=Nancy|date=April 30, 2018|access-date=May 2, 2018}}

  • Vanessa Gayle Ward, activist

==Declined==

  • Chuck Hassebrook, former regent of the University of Nebraska and nominee for governor in 2014 (running for the legislature){{cite web|url=http://journalstar.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/don-walton-good-week-for-ricketts-in-political-terms/article_66083d03-9d43-53d9-9097-36817e66f245.html|title=Good week for Ricketts in political terms|work=Lincoln Journal Star|last=Walton|first=Don|date=July 2, 2017|access-date=July 17, 2017}}{{cite web|url=http://journalstar.com/legislature/chuck-hassebrook-seeks-seat-in-legislature/article_ac15a153-6bc9-581d-9d33-6b3604413cc8.html|title=Chuck Hassebrook seeks seat in Legislature|work=Lincoln Journal Star|last=Walton|first=Don|date=August 30, 2017|access-date=August 30, 2017}}
  • Steve Lathrop, former state senator (running for the legislature){{cite web|url=http://www.omaha.com/news/legislature/ex-state-sen-steve-lathrop-plans-to-run-for-his/article_90258f15-e413-5a96-b00f-0b277592be53.html|title=Ex-State Sen. Steve Lathrop plans to run for his old seat, challenging incumbent Merv Riepe|work=Omaha World-Herald|last=Hammel|first=Paul|date=August 29, 2017|access-date=August 29, 2017}}

=Endorsements=

{{Endorsements box

| title = Bob Krist

| list =

;State legislators

  • Burke Harr, Nebraska Legislature 8th District{{cite news|url=http://www.omaha.com/news/politics/gubernatorial-candidate-bob-krist-switches-to-democratic-party/article_51cf6228-a252-5ce5-b00b-47c8ecc46f91.html|title=Gubernatorial candidate Bob Krist switches to Democratic Party|work=Omaha World-Herald|author=Roseann Moring}}

;Mayors

;Federal-level politicians

=Results=

[[File:2018 Nebraska gubernatorial Democratic primary election results map by county.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county:

{{legend|#1666cb|Krist—70–80%}}

{{legend|#4389e3|Krist—60–70%}}

{{legend|#86b6f2|Krist—50–60%}}

{{legend|#b9d7ff|Krist—40–50%}}

{{legend|#d3e7ff|Krist—<40%}}

{{legend|#646464|Tie}}

{{legend|#ffb380|Ward—40–50%}}

{{legend|#ff9955|Ward—50–60%}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Bob Krist

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 54,992

| percentage = 59.81%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Vanessa Gayle Ward

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 26,478

| percentage = 28.80%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Tyler A. Davis

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 10,472

| percentage = 11.39%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 91,942

| percentage = 100.00%

}}

{{Election box end}}

Independents

State Senator Bob Krist announced in September 2017 that he had left the Republican Party in order to mount a third party challenge against Governor Ricketts. Krist planned to create a new party in order to run, which would require submitting 5,000 signatures to qualify the party for the ballot. However, in February 2018 he abandoned his independent candidacy and became a Democrat.

=Candidates=

==Withdrawn==

  • Bob Krist, state senator (running as a Democrat)

General election

=Predictions=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

The Cook Political Report{{cite web|url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings/187543|title=2018 Governor Race Ratings for October 26, 2018|website=The Cook Political Report|language=en|access-date=2021-04-10}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|October 26, 2018

The Washington Post{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2018/politics/governors-ratings/|title=The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings|newspaper=The Washington Post|date=October 16, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

FiveThirtyEight{{cite web|url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/governor/#deluxe|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181018002046/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/governor/#deluxe|url-status=dead|archive-date=October 18, 2018|title=2018 Governor Forecast|website=FiveThirtyEight|date=October 17, 2018 |language=en|access-date=October 17, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

Rothenberg Political Report{{cite web|url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2018-gubernatorial-ratings-november-1-2018|title=2018 Gubernatorial Ratings {{!}} Inside Elections|website=insideelections.com|language=en|access-date=2017-11-15}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 1, 2018

Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web|url=http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2018-governor/|title=Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor|website=www.centerforpolitics.org|language=en-US|access-date=2017-11-15}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

RealClearPolitics{{cite web|url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/governor/2018_elections_governor_map.html|title=2018 Governor Races|website=RealClearPolitics|date=October 9, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 4, 2018

Daily Kos{{cite web|url=https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2018/office/governor|title=2018 Governor Race Ratings|website=Daily Kos|date=June 5, 2018}}{{Dead link|date=August 2021 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

Fox News{{cite web|url=https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018|title=2018 Midterm Power Ranking|website=Fox News}}{{efn|The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races}}

| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|November 5, 2018

Politico{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/house-senate-race-ratings-and-predictions/|title=Politico Race Ratings|website=Politico}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

Governing{{cite web |url= http://www.governing.com/topics/politics/gov-governors-races-july-ratings.html |title= 2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups |website= www.governing.com |language= en |access-date= 2018-07-18 |archive-date= October 21, 2018 |archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20181021005343/http://www.governing.com/topics/politics/gov-governors-races-july-ratings.html |url-status= dead }}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 5, 2018

{{smalldiv|1=;Notes

{{notelist}}}}

=Debates=

class="wikitable"

|+

! rowspan="2" |Host
network/sponsors

! rowspan="2" |Date

! rowspan="2" |Link(s)

! colspan="3" |Participants

Bob
Krist (D)

!Pete
Ricketts (R)

align="center" |KMTV-TV

| align="center" |August 30, 2018
3:00 pm MDT

| align="center" |{{cite web|url=https://www.3newsnow.com/news/local-news/election-2018-gov-pete-ricketts-and-state-sen-bob-krist-debate-at-nebraska-state-fair|title=WATCH: Ricketts, Krist debate at state fair|date=30 August 2018|website=KMTV|access-date=April 3, 2019}}

| {{Yes|Invited}}

| {{Yes|Invited}}

=Results=

{{Election box begin

| title=2018 Nebraska gubernatorial election{{cite book|last1=Gale|first1=John A.|title=Official Report of the Board of State Canvassers, General Election, November 6, 2018|date=2018|url=https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/default/files/doc/elections/2018/2018-general-election-official-results.pdf}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Pete Ricketts (inc.)

|votes = 411,812

|percentage = 59.00%

|change = +1.85%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Bob Krist

|votes = 286,169

|percentage = 41.00%

|change = +1.77%

}}

{{Election box majority

|votes = 125,643

|percentage = 18.00%

|change = +0.08%

}}

{{Election box total

|votes = 697,981

|percentage = 100.0%

|change =

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no swing

|winner = Republican Party (United States)

|loser = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

==Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican==

== Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic ==

==By congressional district==

Rickets won two of three congressional districts, with Krist winning the remaining one, which elected a Republican.https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::a2b03bdb-525c-4082-945f-1150528ec151

class=wikitable

! District

! Ricketts

! Krist

! Representative

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Nebraska|1|1st}}

| 56%

| 44%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Jeff Fortenberry

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Nebraska|2|2nd}}

| 49%

| 51%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Don Bacon

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Nebraska|3|3rd}}

| 74%

| 26%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Adrian Smith

See also

References

{{Reflist|30em}}