2018 Texas Attorney General election
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{citation style|date=June 2021}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2018 Texas Attorney General election
| country = Texas
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2014 Texas Attorney General election
| previous_year = 2014
| next_election = 2022 Texas Attorney General election
| next_year = 2022
| election_date = November 6, 2018
| turnout = 41.6%{{cite web|url=https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/historical/70-92.shtml|title=Turnout and Voter Registration Figures (1970-current)|website=www.sos.state.tx.us|access-date=September 6, 2024}} ({{increase}} 17.0%)
| image1 = File:Ken Paxton by Gage Skidmore.jpg
| image_size = 150x150px
| nominee1 = Ken Paxton
| party1 = Republican Party of Texas
| popular_vote1 = 4,193,207
| percentage1 = 50.57%
| image2 = File:3x4.svg
| nominee2 = Justin Nelson
| party2 = Texas Democratic Party
| popular_vote2 = 3,898,098
| percentage2 = 47.01%
| map_image = {{switcher |310px |County results |310px |Congressional district results |310px |Precinct results |default=1}}
| map_size = x310px
| map_caption = Paxton: {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#a80000|>90%}}
Nelson: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933E5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#D2B1D9|40–50%}} {{legend0|#AE8BB1|50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}}
| title = Attorney General
| before_election = Ken Paxton
| before_party = Republican Party of Texas
| after_election = Ken Paxton
| after_party = Republican Party of Texas
}}
{{ElectionsTX}}
The 2018 Texas Attorney General election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Attorney General of Texas. Incumbent Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton ran for re-election.{{Cite news|last=Patrick|first=Svitek|date=July 25, 2018|title=In re-election bid, Attorney General Ken Paxton emphasizes record as Democrat seizes on indictment|work=The Texas Tribune|url=https://www.texastribune.org/2018/07/25/texas-attorney-general-ken-paxton-justin-nelson/|access-date=June 4, 2021}} The Democratic Party nominated attorney Justin Nelson.{{Cite news|last=McElroy|first=Ashley|date=November 8, 2017|title=Justin Nelson vies for TX attorney general nomination|work=Spectrum News|url=https://spectrumlocalnews.com/tx/san-antonio/news/2017/11/08/justin-nelson-vies-for-tx-attorney-general-nomination|access-date=June 4, 2021}}{{Cite web|last=Riedel|first=Sean|date=October 9, 2018|title=Democratic Texas attorney general nominee Justin Nelson makes appearance in Denton|url=https://www.ntdaily.com/democratic-texas-attorney-general-nominee-justin-nelson-makes-appearance-in-denton/|url-status=live|access-date=June 4, 2021|website=North Texas Daily|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181010130614/https://www.ntdaily.com/democratic-texas-attorney-general-nominee-justin-nelson-makes-appearance-in-denton/ |archive-date=2018-10-10 }}
Paxton was narrowly re-elected to a second term by a 3.56% margin of victory.{{Cite news|last=Zdun|first=Matt|last2=Collier|first2=Kiah|date=November 6, 2018|title=Gov. Greg Abbott clinches second term as GOP wins closest statewide races in 20 years|work=The Texas Tribune|url=https://www.texastribune.org/2018/11/06/greg-abbott-lupe-valdez-dan-patrick-justin-nelson-texas-midterm-2018/|access-date=June 4, 2021}}
Republican primary
=Candidates=
- Ken Paxton, incumbent attorney general
=Results=
{{Election box begin
|title=Republican primary results{{cite web|url=https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/mar06_325_state.htm|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180310232609/https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/mar06_325_state.htm|url-status=dead|archive-date=10 March 2018|title=2018 Republican Party Primary Election - RESULTS|date=10 March 2018}}}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
|candidate=Ken Paxton (incumbent)
|party=Republican Party (United States)
|votes=1,312,172
|percentage=100%
|change=+55.55%
}}
{{Election box total
|votes=1,312,172
|percentage=100%
|change=+32,112}}
{{Election box turnout
|votes=
|percentage=8.6%*
|change=-0.81%*
}}
{{Election box end}}
Democratic primary
=Candidates=
- Justin Nelson, Susman Godfrey partner
= Results =
{{Election box begin|title=Democratic primary results{{cite web|url=https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/mar06_324_state.htm|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180310232754/https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/mar06_324_state.htm|url-status=dead|archive-date=10 March 2018|title=2018 Democratic Party Primary Election - RESULTS|date=10 March 2018}}}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
|candidate=Justin Nelson
|party=Democratic Party (United States)
|votes=884,376|percentage=100%
|change=}}
{{Election box total
|votes=884,376
|percentage=100%
|change=+446,858}}
{{Election box turnout
|votes=
|percentage=5.79%*
|change=+2.57%*
}}
{{Election box end}}
Libertarian convention
= Nominated =
General election
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box|title=Ken Paxton|list=
U.S. executive branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States{{cite web|url=https://www.republicanags.com/2018/05/07/president-trump-endorsed-texas-attorney-general-ken-paxton/|title=President Trump endorsed Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton|work=RAGA|date=May 7, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180907221858/https://www.republicanags.com/2018/05/07/president-trump-endorsed-texas-attorney-general-ken-paxton/|archive-date=September 7, 2018|url-status=dead}}
Organizations
- National Rifle Association of America{{cite web|url=https://www.nraila.org/articles/20180907/nra-endorses-ken-paxton-for-attorney-general|title=NRA Endorses Ken Paxton for Attorney General|work=NRA-ILA|date=September 7, 2018}}
- Open Carry Texas{{cite web|url=https://www.ammoland.com/2018/09/open-carry-texas-endorses-attorney-general-ken-paxton/#axzz5QRP81nFd|title=Open Carry Texas Endorses Attorney General Ken Paxton|work=AmmoLand.com|date=September 5, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180905174815/https://www.ammoland.com/2018/09/open-carry-texas-endorses-attorney-general-ken-paxton/|archive-date=September 5, 2018|url-status=live}}
}}
= Polling =
{{Graph:Chart
| width=700
| height=400
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%support
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Candidate
| interpolate = bundle
| size = 77
| xType = date
| y1Title=Ken Paxton
| y2Title=Justin Nelson
| y3Title=Michael Ray Harris
| y4Title=Other/Undecided
| type=line
|xGrid=
| x= 2018/05/28, 2018/06/17, 2018/07/07, 2018/07/26, 2018/09/07
| y1= 45, 32, 45, 35, 45
| y2= 33, 31, 41, 25, 39
| y3= , 6, , 4, 2
| y4= , 30, 14, 37, 15
| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, gold, #DCDCDC
| showSymbols = 1
| yGrid = true
| linewidth = 2.0
}}
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
!Poll source !Date(s) !Sample !Margin ! Ken ! Justin ! Michael Ray !Other !Undecided |
Dixie Strategies[https://www.cbsnews.com/dfw/news/cruz-clings-to-small-lead-in-texas/ Dixie Strategies]
| align="center" |September 6–7, 2018 | align="center" |519 | align="center" |± 4.3% | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" |45% | align="center" |39% | align="center" |2% | align="center" |– | align="center" |15% |
Texas Lyceum[https://web.archive.org/web/20180801190600/https://www.texaslyceum.org/resources/Poll%202018/Day%202/Day%202%202018%20Texas%20Lyceum%20Toplines%20(2).pdf Texas Lyceum]
| align="center" |July 9–26, 2018 | align="center" |441 | align="center" |± 4.7% | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" |35% | align="center" |25% | align="center" |4% | align="center" |– | {{party shading/Undecided}} align="center" |37% |
Gravis Marketing[https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-much-trouble-is-ted-cruz-really-in/ Gravis Marketing]
| align="center" |July 3–7, 2018 | align="center" |602 | align="center" |± 4.0% | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" |45% | align="center" |41% | align="center" |– | align="center" |– | align="center" |14% |
UoT/Texas Tribune[https://www.texastribune.org/2018/06/25/ted-cruz-beto-orourke-poll-5-points-texas-senate-race-uttt/ UoT/Texas Tribune]
| align="center" |June 8–17, 2018 | align="center" |1,200 | align="center" |± 2.83% | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" |32% | align="center" |31% | align="center" |6% | align="center" |4% | align="center" |26% |
Baselice & Associates (R-TLRPAC)[https://web.archive.org/web/20180703220238/https://www.tlrpac.com/press-release/poll-shows-texas-voters-continue-support-reform-minded-candidates Baselice & Associates (R-TLRPAC)]
| align="center" |May 21–28, 2018 | align="center" |– | align="center" |– | {{party shading/Republican}} align="center" |45% | align="center" |33% | align="center" |– | align="center" |– | align="center" |– |
= Results =
{{Election box begin|title=General election results}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
|candidate=Ken Paxton (incumbent)
|party=Republican Party (United States)
|votes=4,193,207
|percentage=50.57%
|change=-8.23%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
|party=Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate=Justin Nelson|votes=3,898,098
|percentage=47.01%
|change=+8.99%}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
|party=Libertarian Party (United States)
|candidate=Michael Ray Harris|votes=201,310
|percentage=2.43%
|change=-0.10%}}
{{Election box total
|votes=8,292,615
|percentage=100%}}
{{Election box hold with party link no swing
| winner = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
==By congressional district==
Paxton won 21 of 36 congressional districts, with the remaining 15 going to Nelson, including two that elected Republicans.{{Cite web|url=https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::19b1b774-7706-485b-a21a-896bbcbddbba|title=DRA 2020|website=Daves Redistricting|accessdate=August 18, 2024}}
class="wikitable sortable"
! District ! Paxton ! Nelson ! Representative |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|1|1st}} | 71% | 28% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Louie Gohmert |
align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|2|2nd}} | rowspan=2|50% | rowspan=2|48% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Ted Poe |
align=center
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Dan Crenshaw |
align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|3|3rd}} | rowspan=2|51% | rowspan=2|46% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Sam Johnson |
align=center
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Van Taylor |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|4|4th}} | 73% | 25% | {{party shading/Republican}}|John Ratcliffe |
align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|5|5th}} | rowspan=2|59% | rowspan=2|39% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Jeb Hensarling |
align=center
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Lance Gooden |
align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|6|6th}} | rowspan=2|51% | rowspan=2|47% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Joe Barton |
align=center
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Ron Wright |
align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|7|7th}} | rowspan=2| 46% | rowspan=2|52% | {{party shading/Republican}}|John Culberson |
align=center
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Lizzie Fletcher |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|8|8th}} | 71% | 27% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Kevin Brady |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|9|9th}} | 19% | 80% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Al Green |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|10|10th}} | 49% | 48% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Michael McCaul |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|11|11th}} | 76% | 21% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Mike Conaway |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|12|12th}} | 60% | 38% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Kay Granger |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|13|13th}} | 78% | 20% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Mac Thornberry |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|14|14th}} | 57% | 41% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Randy Weber |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|15|15th}} | 41% | 57% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Vicente Gonzalez |
align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|16|16th}} | rowspan=2| 28% | rowspan=2| 68% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Beto O'Rourke |
align=center
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Veronica Escobar |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|17|17th}} | 54% | 43% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Bill Flores |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|18|18th}} | 20% | 78% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Sheila Jackson Lee |
align=center
!{{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|19|19th}} | 70% | 27% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Jodey Arrington |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|20|20th}} | 33% | 64% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Joaquín Castro |
align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|21|21st}} | rowspan=2| 49% | rowspan=2| 48% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Lamar Smith |
align=center
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Chip Roy |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|22|22nd}} | 50% | 48% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Pete Olson |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|23|23rd}} | 47% | 50% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Will Hurd |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|24|24th}} | 48% | 49% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Kenny Marchant |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|25|25th}} | 52% | 46% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Roger Williams |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|26|26th}} | 57% | 40% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Michael Burgess |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|27|27th}} | 59% | 38% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Michael Cloud |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|28|28th}} | 39% | 59% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Henry Cuellar |
align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|29|29th}} | rowspan=2| 26% | rowspan=2|73% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Gene Green |
align=center
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Sylvia Garcia |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|30|30th}} | 18% | 80% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Eddie Bernice Johnson |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|31|31st}} | 50% | 46% | {{party shading/Republican}}|John Carter |
align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|32|32nd}} | rowspan=2| 45% | rowspan=2|53% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Pete Sessions |
align=center
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Colin Allred |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|33|33rd}} | 22% | 75% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Marc Veasey |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|34|34th}} | 40% | 57% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Filemon Vela Jr. |
align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Texas|35|35th}} | 28% | 69% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Lloyd Doggett |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Texas|36|36th}} | 70% | 28% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Brian Babin |
align=center |
{{align|right|{{Switcher
|300px|Shift by county
{{collapsible list | title = Legend
|{{legend|#d40000|Republican — >15%}}
|{{legend|#ff0000|Republican — +12.5−15%}}
|{{legend|#ff2a2a|Republican — +10−12.5%}}
|{{legend|#ff5555|Republican — +7.5−10%}}
|{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5−7.5%}}
|{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5−5%}}
|{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0−2.5%}}
|{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0−2.5%}}
|{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5−5%}}
|{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5−7.5%}}
|{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5-10%}}
|{{legend|#09ceff|Democratic — +10−12.5%}}
|{{legend|#00bdec|Democratic — +12.5−15%}}
|{{legend|#00a1c8|Democratic — >15%}}}}}}}}
See also
References
{{Reflist|2}}
{{Texas elections}}
{{2018 United States elections}}