2019 Kentucky Attorney General election

{{Short description|none}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2019 Kentucky Attorney General election

| country = Kentucky

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2015 Kentucky Attorney General election

| previous_year = 2015

| next_election = 2023 Kentucky Attorney General election

| next_year = 2023

| election_date = November 5, 2019

| image1 = File:Attorney General Daniel Cameron - Official Portrait (cropped2).jpg

| nominee1 = {{nowrap|Daniel Cameron}}

| party1 = Kentucky Republican Party

| popular_vote1 = 823,343

| percentage1 = 57.8%

| image2 = File:Greg Stumbo (cropped).jpg

| image_size = x150px

| nominee2 = Greg Stumbo

| party2 = Kentucky Democratic Party

| popular_vote2 = 602,218

| percentage2 = 42.2%

| image4 =

| nominee4 =

| party4 =

| popular_vote4 =

| percentage4 =

| image5 =

| nominee5 =

| party5 =

| popular_vote5 =

| percentage5 =

| map_image = {{switcher

|300px |County results |300px |Congressional district results |300px |Precinct results

}}

| map_size =

| map_caption = Cameron: {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Stumbo: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584CDE|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933E5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}}

| title = Attorney General

| before_election = Andy Beshear

| before_party = Kentucky Democratic Party

| after_election = Daniel Cameron

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{ElectionsKY}}

The 2019 Kentucky Attorney General election was conducted on November 5. Primary elections occurred on May 21, 2019.{{cite web|url=https://elect.ky.gov/calendar/Documents/2019%20Election%20Calendar.pdf |title=Election calendar |date=2019 |website=elect.ky.gov }} The general election was held on November 5, 2019. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Andy Beshear declined to seek reelection to a second term to instead successfully run for Governor. Republican nominee Daniel Cameron won with 57.8% of the vote.{{cite news |last1=Wiegel |first1=David |title=Democrats look past 2020 |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/paloma/the-trailer/2019/05/23/the-trailer-democrats-look-past-2020/5ce546b0a7a0a46b92a3fd75/ |access-date=July 31, 2019 |newspaper=Washington Post |date=May 23, 2019}} He became the first Republican elected attorney general of Kentucky since Eldon S. Dummit in 1943,{{cite news |title=President Trump endorses Daniel Cameron in Kentucky attorney general race |url=https://www.wkyt.com/content/news/President-Trump-endorses-Daniel-Cameron-in-Kentucky-attorney-general-race-513352501.html |access-date=July 31, 2019 |publisher=WKYT-TV |date=July 29, 2019}} and the state's first black attorney general.{{cite news |last1=Crain |first1=Brennan |title=Trump endorses Cameron for attorney general |url=https://wcluradio.com/trump-endorses-cameron-for-attorney-general/ |access-date=August 1, 2019 |publisher=WCLU |date=July 31, 2019 |archive-date=August 1, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190801100602/https://wcluradio.com/trump-endorses-cameron-for-attorney-general/ |url-status=dead }}

Democratic primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Greg Stumbo, former Attorney General of Kentucky and former Speaker of the Kentucky House of Representatives{{Cite news|url=https://www.wdrb.com/news/greg-stumbo-running-to-serve-again-as-ky-s-attorney/article_4b8254d2-0c4b-11e9-aa50-63197a8974fa.html|title=Greg Stumbo running to serve again as Ky.'s Attorney General|work=WDRB|access-date=January 25, 2019|language=en}}{{Cite news|url=https://www.courier-journal.com/story/news/2018/12/29/former-ketnucky-attorney-general-greg-stumbo-seeks-job-again/2441130002/|title=Former Attorney General Greg Stumbo plans to run for the job again|work=Louisville Courier Journal|access-date=January 25, 2019|language=en}}

Republican primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Daniel Cameron, attorney for Senator Mitch McConnell and former University of Louisville football player{{Cite news|url=https://www.wdrb.com/news/former-u-of-l-football-player-daniel-cameron-wants-to/article_4cf3d7ea-1e76-11e9-8e28-4bc64590ef57.html|title=Former U of L football player Daniel Cameron wants to be Kentucky's next attorney general|work=WDRB|access-date=January 25, 2019|language=en}}
  • Wil Schroder, member of the Kentucky Senate for the 24th District{{Cite news|url=https://www.cincinnati.com/story/news/politics/2019/01/25/nky-state-senator-run-kentucky-attorneynky-state-senator-will-run-for-kentucky-attorney-gene-general/2677541002/|title=NKY state senator Wil Schroder will run for Kentucky Attorney General|work=Cincinnati Enquirer|access-date=January 25, 2019|language=en}}

==Withdrawn==

  • Whitney Westerfield, member of the Kentucky Senate for the 3rd District and candidate for Attorney General in 2015{{Cite news|url=https://www.stamfordadvocate.com/news/article/Westerfield-withdraws-from-Kentucky-attorney-13561054.php|title=Westerfield withdraws from Kentucky attorney general's race|work=Stamford Advocate|access-date=January 25, 2019|language=en}}{{Dead link|date=June 2023 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

=Polling=

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin
of error

! style="width:60px;"| Daniel
Cameron

! style="width:60px;"| Wil
Schroder

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal[http://www.cygn.al/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/90510-Cygnal-KY-Toplines.pdf Cygnal]

| May 10–12, 2019

| 600

| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 26%

| 19%

| {{party shading/Undecided}}| 55%

=Results=

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Daniel Cameron

| party = Kentucky Republican Party

| votes = 132,580

| percentage = 55.4%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Wil Schroder

| party = Kentucky Republican Party

| votes = 106,950

| percentage = 44.6%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 239,530

| percentage = 100.0%

}}

{{election box end}}

General election

The general election took place on November 5, 2019, following the May 21 primary elections.

=Endorsements=

{{Endorsements box

| title = Daniel Cameron (R)

| list =

U.S. federal officials

  • Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States{{cite tweet|user=realDonaldTrump|number=1155938087886700544|title=The Republican Party has a new STAR, his name is Daniel Cameron (@djaycameron), and he is running for Attorney General of the Commonwealth of Kentucky....|date=July 29, 2019}}{{cite tweet|user=realDonaldTrump|number=1155938089044307970|title=....He is tough on Crime, Strong on Borders, and will fight for our Second Amendment. Daniel will never let you down. He has my Full and Complete Endorsement!|date=July 29, 2019}}
  • Ben Carson, U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development{{cite web |last1=Cameron |first1=Daniel |title=It was an honor to welcome @RealBenCarson to Louisville this morning. Thankful for his service to our country.pic.twitter.com/x1QdncphDk |url=https://twitter.com/DanielCameronAG/status/1190001577232412673 |website=@DanielCameronAG |language=en |date=31 October 2019}}
  • Tim Scott, U.S. senator (R-SC){{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/DanielCameronAG/status/1184186673531424768|title=Had a fantastic morning in Lexington. Thankful / @SenatorTimScott could stop by and headline an event with us. Directly after that I had the chance to sit down with @MarioAndersonTV and discuss my vision for the office of Attorney General. #DC4AG|author=Daniel Cameron|date=October 15, 2019}}
  • James Comer, U.S. representative (R-KY){{cite web |title=Twitter|url=https://twitter.com/djaycameron/status/1191397178998173698}}

State and local officials

  • Max Wise, state senator{{cite web |title=Twitter|url=https://twitter.com/djaycameron/status/1191397178998173698}}
  • Damon Thayer, state senator{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/damon_thayer/status/1162884813327601664|title=I can't wait to cast my vote this fall for @djaycameron for Attorney General. He'll restore integrity to the office after years of partisan abuse by a succession of pathetic @KyDems like Andy Beshear and retread Greg Stumbo.|author=Damon Thayer|date=August 17, 2019}}
  • John Schickel, state senator{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/SenatorSchickel/status/1154033094711603200|title=honor 2 endorse ⁦@djaycameron⁩ 4 ky attorney general. He will make a great attorney general!|author=John Schickel|date=July 24, 2019}}
  • Kevin Bratcher, state representative{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/JerryTMiller/status/1151630448210173957|title=Proud to support our next Attorney General ⁦@djaycameron⁩ ⁦@RepBratcherKY⁩ ⁦@jmnemes⁩|author=Jerry T Miller|date=July 17, 2019}}
  • Jason Nemes, state representative
  • Jerry T. Miller, state representative
  • Savannah Maddox, state representative{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/SavannahLMaddox/status/1166773998308532226|title=⁩Enjoyed hearing from our next Attorney General, @DanielCameronAG, at the Optimist Club meeting this afternoon along with Rep. Mark Hart.|author=Savannah Maddox|date=August 28, 2019}}

Individuals

  • Patrick Morrisey, Attorney General of West Virginia{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/MorriseyWV/status/1191027299761709056|title=Very happy to support @DanielCameronAG for Attorney General of Kentucky. We need another strong, rule of law conservative in our ranks. Daniel's great talent and terrific experiences will help him become an outstanding AG.|author=Patrick Morrisey}}
  • Jason Ravnsborg, Attorney General of South Dakota{{cite tweet|user=JasonRavnsborg

|number=1155953582505508864|title=Keep up the good work Daniel! Ladies and Gentleman join me in supporting the next Attorney General of Kentucky Daniel Cameron @djaycameron!|date=July 29, 2019}}

Organizations

  • Kentucky Fraternal Order of Police{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/DanielCameronAG/status/1173678816318939136|title=It is a great honor to receive the endorsement of the bipartisan Kentucky Fraternal Order of Police. To the men and women in blue, I pledge to be your advocate and your voice every day.⁩|author=Daniel Cameron}}

Newspapers

  • Bowling Green Daily News{{cite web|url=https://www.bgdailynews.com/opinion/our_opinion/bevin-cameron-adams-best-choices-for-state/article_16e665eb-2cbb-52a6-936d-8ca18eafa21e.html|title=Bevin, Cameron, Adams best choices for state|work=Bowling Green Daily News|author=Our Opinion|date=November 3, 2019|access-date=November 5, 2019}}

}}

{{Endorsements box

| title = Greg Stumbo (D)

| list =

State officials

Local and county officials

Individuals

  • Amy McGrath, retired marine fighter pilot and nominee for KY-6 in 2018{{cite news |url=https://www.kentucky.com/news/state/kentucky/article233385572.html|title=GMcGrath and Stumbo join protesting Harlan County miners who blocked a coal train|publisher=Lexington Herald Leader|access-date=August 1, 2019}}

Organizations

}}

=Predictions=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

Cook{{cite web|title=Handicapping the 2019 and 2020 Attorney General Elections|url=https://cookpolitical.com/handicapping-2019-and-2020-attorney-general-elections|url-status=live|access-date=March 29, 2021|website=The Cook Political Report|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220216221759/https://www.cookpolitical.com/handicapping-2019-and-2020-attorney-general-elections |archive-date=2022-02-16 }}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R|flip}}

|October 25, 2019

=Polling=

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Greg
Stumbo (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Daniel
Cameron (R)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|The Trafalgar Group (R)[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1v7FI6EDsEFMyrauwT3oGBMIcENE93KyY/view The Trafalgar Group (R)]

| October 29 – November 2, 2019

| 1,117

| ± 3.0%

| 43%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 57%

| 0%

| 0%

style="text-align:left;"|Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1u8YVWbHfqEgiA5WpK3jow5QrSim3zjLJ/view Clarity Campaign Labs (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Democratic Attorney General Association|name="DAGA"}}

| August 12–13, 2019

| 792

| ± 3.3%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46%

| 39%

| 3%

| 13%

style="text-align:left;"|Gravis Marketing[http://www.gravismarketing.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Kentucky-June-14-2019.pdf Gravis Marketing]

| June 11–12, 2019

| 741

| ± 3.6%

| 36%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 47%

| –

| 16%

style="text-align:left;"|WPA Intelligence (R)[https://archive.today/20190605171545/https://twitter.com/phillipmbailey/status/1136309012012707846 WPA Intelligence (R)]

| June 2019

| 900

| ± 3.3%

| 37%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 44%

| –

| 18%

=Results=

{{Election box begin

| title = Kentucky Attorney General election, 2019{{cite web |title=2019 General Election |url=https://elect.ky.gov/results/2010-2019/Documents/2019%20General%20Certified%20Results.pdf |publisher=Kentucky State Board of Elections |access-date=December 7, 2019}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| candidate = Daniel Cameron

| votes = 823,343

| percentage = 57.8%

| change = +7.9%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Democratic Party (United States)|candidate=Greg Stumbo|votes=602,218|percentage=42.2%|change= -7.9%}}

{{Election box total

| votes = 1,425,561

| percentage = 100.00%

| change =

}}

{{Election box gain with party link no swing

|winner = Republican Party (United States)

|loser = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

==By congressional district==

Cameron won 5 of 6 congressional districts.{{cite web | url=https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::4f9930e4-072e-452d-9b5f-12cab0427ece | title=Dra 2020 }}

class=wikitable

! District

! Cameron

! Stumbo

! Representative

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|1|1st}}

| 67%

| 33%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|James Comer

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|2|2nd}}

| 64%

| 36%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Brett Guthrie

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|3|3rd}}

| 40%

| 60%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|John Yarmuth

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|4|4th}}

| 63%

| 37%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Thomas Massie

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|5|5th}}

| 68%

| 32%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Hal Rogers

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|6|6th}}

| 51%

| 49%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Andy Barr

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

{{notelist-ua}}

References

{{reflist}}