Login
Login

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

{{Short description|none}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=January 2019}}

{{use American English|date=November 2020}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

| country = New Hampshire

| type = legislative

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

| previous_year = 2018

| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire

| next_year = 2022

| seats_for_election = All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives

| election_date = November 3, 2020

| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)

| last_election1 = 2

| seats1 = 2

| seat_change1 = {{steady}}

| popular_vote1 = 413,469

| percentage1 = 52.59%

| swing1 = {{Decrease}} 1.94%

| party2 = Republican Party (United States)

| last_election2 = 0

| seats2 = 0

| seat_change2 = {{steady}}

| popular_vote2 = 353,650

| percentage2 = 44.98%

| swing2 = {{Increase}} 1.36%

| map_caption = {{col-begin}}

{{col-3}}

Democratic

{{legend|#B9D7FF|40–50%}}

{{legend|#86b6f2|50–60%}}

{{legend|#4389e3|60–70%}}

{{legend|#1666cb|70–80%}}

{{legend|#0645b4|80–90%}}

{{legend|#002b84|90–100%}}

{{col-3}}

Republican

{{legend|#f2b3be|40–50%}}

{{legend|#e27f90|50–60%}}

{{legend|#cc2f4a|60–70%}}

{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}

{{col-end}}

| map = {{switcher

|x245px

|District results

|x245px

|Municipality results}}

}}

{{Elections in New Hampshire sidebar}}

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

{{TOC limit|2}}

Overview

class="wikitable plainrowheaders sortable" style="font-size:100%; text-align:right;"

! scope=col rowspan=3|District

! scope=col colspan=2|Democratic

! scope=col colspan=2|Republican

! scope=col colspan=2|Others

! scope=col colspan=2|Total

! scope=col rowspan=3|Result

scope=col colspan=2 style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}"|scope=col colspan=2 style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}"|scope=col colspan=2|scope=col colspan=2|
scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%
{{Party shading/Democratic}}

| align=left|{{ushr|NH|1|District 1}}

205,60651.32%185,15946.21%9,8962.47%400,661100.0%align=left|Democratic hold
{{Party shading/Democratic}}

| align=left|{{ushr|NH|2|District 2}}

208,28953.91%168,88643.70%9,2662.40%386,441100.0%align=left|Democratic hold
class="sortbottom" style="font-weight:bold"

| align=left|Total

413,46952.59%353,65044.98%19,1362.43%787,102100.0%

{{bar box

| title=Popular vote

| titlebar=#ddd

| width=600px

| barwidth=410px

| bars=

{{bar percent|Democratic|{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}|52.59}}

{{bar percent|Republican|{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}|44.98}}

{{bar percent|Other|#777777|2.43}}

}}

{{bar box

| title=House seats

| titlebar=#ddd

| width=600px

| barwidth=410px

| bars=

{{bar percent|Democratic|{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}|100.00}}

}}

{{clear}}

District 1

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election

| country = New Hampshire

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 1

| previous_year = 2018

| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 1

| next_year = 2022

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Chris Pappas, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Chris Pappas

| party1 = Democratic Party (US)

| popular_vote1 = 205,606

| percentage1 = 51.3%

| image2 = 3x4.svg

| nominee2 = Matt Mowers

| party2 = Republican Party (US)

| popular_vote2 = 185,159

| percentage2 = 46.2%

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Chris Pappas

| before_party = Democratic Party (US)

| after_election = Chris Pappas

| after_party = Democratic Party (US)

| map_image = 2020 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district election results by town.svg

| map_size = 125px

|map_caption = Municipality results
Pappas: {{legend0|#8da9e2ff|50–60%}} {{legend0|#678cd7ff|60–70%}} {{legend0|#416fcdff|70–80%}}
Mowers: {{legend0|#ed8883|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55751|60–70%}}

}}

{{see also|New Hampshire's 1st congressional district}}

The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent was Democrat Chris Pappas, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018.{{cite web|last1=Wasserman|first1=David|last2=Flinn|first2=Ally|title=2018 House Popular Vote Tracker|url=https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WxDaxD5az6kdOjJncmGph37z0BPNhV1fNAH_g7IkpC0/htmlview|publisher=Cook Political Report|date=November 7, 2018|access-date=February 15, 2019|archive-date=April 3, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190403141334/https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WxDaxD5az6kdOjJncmGph37z0BPNhV1fNAH_g7IkpC0/htmlview|url-status=dead}}

=Democratic primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

===Endorsements===

{{Endorsements box

|title = Chris Pappas

|list =

U.S. presidents

Organizations

  • League of Conservation Voters Action Fund{{cite web |last1=Sittenfeld |first1=Tiernan |title=LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-announces-first-round-2020-environmental-majority-makers/ |website=League of Conservation Voters |publisher=LCV Action Fund |date=June 5, 2019}}
  • LGBTQ Victory Fund{{cite web|url=https://victoryfund.org/victory-fund-endorses-39-lgbtq-candidates-for-2019-and-2020/|title=Victory Fund Endorses 39 LGBTQ Candidates for 2019 and 2020|date=November 26, 2019|first=Elliot|last=Imse|access-date=March 25, 2020}}
  • Sierra Club{{cite web |title=Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements |url=https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements|website=Sierra Club}}

}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title=Democratic primary results{{cite web |title=2020 State Primary Democratic State Primary |url=https://sos.nh.gov/elections/elections/election-results/2020/2020-state-primary/democratic-state-primary/ |website=New Hampshire Department of State |access-date=September 16, 2020}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Chris Pappas (incumbent)

|votes = 70,643

|percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 70,643

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Republican primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Matt Mowers, former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party and former U.S. State Department staffer{{cite web |last1=Sexton |first1=Adam |title=Republicans Mayberry, Mowers push for chance to unseat Pappas in First Congressional District |url=https://www.wmur.com/article/matt-mayberry-matt-mowers-republican-1st-congressional-district-new-hampshire-primary-preview/33811331 |website=WMUR 9 |access-date=August 29, 2020 |date=August 26, 2020}}

===Eliminated in primary===

  • Michael Callis{{cite web |last1=Markos |first1=Mary |title=2020 Voter's Guide: How to Cast a Ballot in New England During the Pandemic |url=https://www.necn.com/news/politics/decision-2020/2020-voters-guide-how-to-safely-cast-a-ballot-in-new-england/2313776/ |website=New England Cable News |access-date=August 29, 2020 |date=August 21, 2020}}
  • Jeff Denaro
  • Matt Mayberry, U.S. Air Force veteran and former Dover city councilor{{cite web |last1=DiStaso |first1=John |title=NH Primary Source: Republican Matt Mayberry says he'll run for 1st District US House seat |url=https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-republican-matt-mayberry-says-hell-run-for-1st-district-us-house-seat/30126812 |website=WMUR 9 |access-date=December 9, 2019 |date=December 5, 2019}}
  • Kevin Rondeau

===Withdrawn===

  • William Fowler, state representative (endorsed Mowers){{cite web |last1=DiStaso |first1=John |title=NH Primary Source: Fowler ends US House campaign, endorses Mowers |url=https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-fowler-ends-us-house-campaign-endorses-mowers/32088635 |website=WMUR |publisher=WMUR9 |date=April 9, 2020}}

===Declined===

  • Eddie Edwards, former police chief of South Hampton, former chief of the New Hampshire State Division of Liquor Enforcement, and nominee for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2018{{cite news|last1=DiStaso|first1=John|title=NH Primary Source: Eddie Edwards is being urged to run again for US House|url=https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-eddie-edwards-is-being-urged-to-run-again-for-us-house/25927238|publisher=WMUR|date=January 17, 2019|access-date=February 15, 2019}}

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title=Matt Mayberry

|list=

Federal officials

  • Jeb Bradley, former U.S. representative from this district (2003–2007)

State officials

State legislators

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title = Matt Mowers

|list =

Federal officials

  • Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Leader and Representative for California's 23rd congressional district{{Cite web|url=https://www.wmur.com/article/us-house-republican-leader-kevin-mccarthy-endorses-matt-mowers-in-1st-congressional-district-race/32724552|title=US House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy endorses Matt Mowers in 1st Congressional District race|first=John|last=DiStaso|date=June 1, 2020|website=WMUR}}
  • Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States{{cite web|last1=DiStaso|first1=John|title=Trump gives 'Complete and Total Endorsement' to former appointee Mowers in 1st US House District|url=https://www.wmur.com/article/trump-gives-complete-and-total-endorsement-to-former-appointee-mowers-in-1st-us-house-district/32844245|website=WMUR|date=June 12, 2020}}

State officials

  • Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present){{Cite web|url=https://www.unionleader.com/news/politics/national/trump-endorses-mowers-in-republican-primary/article_2af1f52e-58cb-5ca9-9ae8-f0b6bdb69baa.html|title=Trump endorses Mowers in Republican primary|author=Staff report|website=UnionLeader.com|date=June 11, 2020 }}

Organizations

  • Tea Party Express, conservative PAC{{Cite web|url=https://www.insidernj.com/press-release/tea-party-express-endorses-matt-mowers-congress-new-hampshire/|title=Tea Party Express Endorses Matt Mowers for Congress in New Hampshire|website=Insider NJ|date=June 30, 2020 }}

}}

==Polling==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:60px;"| Matt Mayberry

! style="width:60px;"| Matt Mowers

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire[https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1606&context=survey_center_polls University of New Hampshire]

| August 28 – September 1, 2020

| 323 (LV)

| –

| 17%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|48%

| 0%{{efn|name="Another0"|"Another candidate" with 0%}}

| 34%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College[https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/August%202020%20Summary.pdf Saint Anselm College]

| August 15–17, 2020

| 261 (RV)

| ± 6.1%

| 12%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|23%

| 8%{{efn|"Someone else" with 8%}}

| {{party shading/Undecided}}|57%

==Debate==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2020 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district republican primary debate

scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}}

! scope="col" | Date

! scope="col" | Host

! scope="col" | Moderator

! scope="col" | Link

! scope="col"| Republican

! scope="col"| Republican

colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key:
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant  {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent  {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited  {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"|

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"|

scope="col" | Matt Mayberry

! scope="col" | Matt Mowers

1

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Sep. 2, 2020

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Adam Sexton

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vVQTrhW3USY YouTube]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title=Republican primary results{{cite web |title=2020 State Primary Republican State Primary |url=https://sos.nh.gov/elections/elections/election-results/2020/2020-state-primary/republican-state-primary/ |website=New Hampshire Department of State |access-date=September 16, 2020}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Matt Mowers

|votes = 41,100

|percentage = 59.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Matt Mayberry

|votes = 18,479

|percentage = 26.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Kevin Rondeau

|votes = 4,203

|percentage = 6.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Jeff Denaro

|votes = 2,723

|percentage = 3.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Michael Callis

|votes = 2,703

|percentage = 3.9

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 69,208

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Libertarian primary=

==Candidates==

===Declared===

  • Zachary Dumont, Newmarket town councilor{{cite web |last1=DiStaso |first1=John |title=Libertarian Party says it has enough certified petitions for its candidates to appear on Nov. ballot |url=https://www.wmur.com/article/libertarian-party-says-it-has-enough-certified-petitions-for-its-candidates-to-appear-on-nov-ballot/33826199 |website=WMUR 9 |access-date=August 29, 2020 |date=August 27, 2020}}

=General election=

==Debates==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2022 New Hampshire's 1st congressional district debates

scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}}

! scope="col" | Date

! scope="col" | Host

! scope="col" | Moderator

! scope="col" | Link

! scope="col"| Democratic

! scope="col"| Republican

! scope="col"| Libertarian

colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key:
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant  {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent  {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited  {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"|

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"|

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Libertarian Party (US)}}"|

scope="col" | Chris Pappas

! scope="col" | Matt Mowers

! scope="col" | Zachary Dumont

1

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | October 7, 2020

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | NHPR
New Hampshire PBS

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Peter Biello
Laura Knoy

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVlv_zzQH8o YouTube]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{No|N}}

1

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | October 21, 2020

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UlUmipjzdX8 YouTube]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{No|N}}

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{cite web | title=2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019 | url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings |website=The Cook Political Report | access-date=September 20, 2019}}

| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|August 14, 2020

align=left | Inside Elections{{cite web | title=2020 Senate Ratings | url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-may-6-2019 | work=Senate Ratings | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | access-date=October 3, 2019}}

| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|August 7, 2020

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web | title=2020 Senate race ratings | url=http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | access-date=August 28, 2019 | archive-date=August 22, 2019 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190822073139/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ | url-status=dead }}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

| October 8, 2020

align="left" |Politico{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019 |publisher=Politico}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|July 6, 2020

align="left" |Daily Kos{{Cite web |url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/27/1922458/-Daily-Kos-Elections-releases-initial-Senate-race-ratings-for-2020 | website=Daily Kos Elections|title=Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020 | access-date=February 28, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

| October 26, 2020

align="left" |RCP{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html|title=Battle for White House|date=April 19, 2019 |publisher=RCP}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|June 9, 2020

align="left" |Niskanen{{Cite web|url=https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/|title=2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections|date=April 28, 2020|publisher=Niskanen Center|access-date=May 1, 2020|archive-date=June 21, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200621124503/https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/|url-status=dead}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|July 26, 2020

==Polling==

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Pappas

| y2Title=Mowers

| y3Title=Other/Undecided

| type=line

|xGrid=

| x= 2020/09/1,2020/09/28,2020/10/1,2020/10/4,2020/10/12,2020/10/26,2020/10/28

|y1= 52,56,49,53,49,48

|y2= 34,38,41,43,44,50

|y3= 14,6,10,4,7,2

| colors = #3333FF, #E81B23, #DCDCDC

| showSymbols = 1

| yGrid = true

| linewidth = 2.0

}}

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Chris
Pappas (D)

! style="width:105px"| Matt
Mowers (R)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire[https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1624&context=survey_center_polls University of New Hampshire]

| October 24–28, 2020

| 451 (LV)

| ± 4.6%

| 48%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|50%

| 2%{{efn|Dumont (L) with 2%; "Other" with no voters}}

| 0%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College[https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/saintanselmlateoctoberpoll-1604003692.pdf Saint Anselm College]

| October 23–26, 2020

| 560 (LV)

| ± 4.1%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| 44%

| 2%{{efn|Dumont (L) and "Someone else" with 1%}}

| 5%

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire[https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1619&context=survey_center_polls University of New Hampshire]

| October 9–12, 2020

| 477 (LV)

| ± 4.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

| 43%

| 1%{{efn|Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another Candidate" with no voters}}

| 3%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College[https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/October%202020%20FullResults.pdf Saint Anselm College]

| October 1–4, 2020

| 595 (LV)

| ± 4%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| 41%

| 3%{{efn|Olding (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%}}

| 7%

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire[https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/613/ University of New Hampshire]

| September 24–28, 2020

| 504 (LV)

| ± 4.4%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|56%

| 38%

| 2%{{efn|Dumont (L) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with no voters}}

| 4%

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire

| August 28 – September 1, 2020

| 925 (LV)

| –

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| 34%

| 2%{{efn|name="Dumont1Another1"|Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%}}

| 12%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

with Matt Mayberry

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Chris
Pappas (D)

! style="width:105px"| Matt
Mayberry (R)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire

| August 28 – September 1, 2020

| 926 (LV)

| –

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| 34%

| 2%{{efn|name="Dumont1Another1"}}

| 12%

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"|Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Democrat

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Republican

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College[https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/June%202020%20Survey.pdf Saint Anselm College]

| June 13–16, 2020

| 567 (RV)

| ± 4.1%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

|42%

|2%

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College[https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/stanselmpollapril2020-1588192419.pdf Saint Anselm College]

|April 23–27, 2020

|442 (RV)

|± 4.7%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|43%

|1%

|6%

{{hidden end}}

==Results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title=New Hampshire's 1st congressional district, 2020{{cite web |last1=Gardner |first1=William M. |author1-link=Bill Gardner (politician) |title=2020 General Election Results |url=https://sos.nh.gov/elections/elections/election-results/2020/general-election/ |website=New Hampshire Department of State |access-date=November 22, 2020 |date=November 19, 2020}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Chris Pappas (incumbent)

|votes = 205,606

|percentage = 51.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Matt Mowers

|votes = 185,159

|percentage = 46.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Libertarian Party (United States)

|candidate = Zachary Dumont

|votes = 9,747

|percentage = 2.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| party = N/A

| candidate = Scatter

| votes = 149

| percentage = 0.0

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 400,661

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

District 2

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election

| country = New Hampshire

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 2

| previous_year = 2018

| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire#District 2

| next_year = 2022

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Ann McLane Kuster official photo (cropped 2).jpg

| nominee1 = Annie Kuster

| party1 = Democratic Party (US)

| popular_vote1 = 207,863

| percentage1 = 53.9%

| image2 = File:Steve Negron.png

| nominee2 = Steve Negron

| party2 = Republican Party (US)

| popular_vote2 = 168,491

| percentage2 = 43.7%

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Annie Kuster

| before_party = Democratic Party (US)

| after_election = Annie Kuster

| after_party = Democratic Party (US)

| map_image = 2020 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district election results by town.svg

| map_size = 125px

| map_caption = Municipality results
Kuster: {{legend0|#b4c7ec |40–50%}} {{legend0|#8da9e2ff|50–60%}} {{legend0|#678cd7ff|60–70%}} {{legend0|#416fcdff|70–80%}}

{{legend0|#3357a2ff|80–90%}} {{legend0|#244079|90–100%}}
Negron: {{legend0|#f1b4b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#ed8883|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55751|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02823|70–80%}}

}}

{{see also|New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district}}

The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent was Democrat Annie Kuster, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.

=Democratic primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Annie Kuster, incumbent U.S. representative{{Cite web|url=http://www.kusterforcongress.com/|title=Home - Annie Kuster for Congress|website=www.kusterforcongress.com}}

===Eliminated in primary===

  • Joseph Mirzoeff

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title=Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Annie Kuster (incumbent)

|votes = 71,358

|percentage = 92.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Joseph Mirzoeff

|votes = 5,500

|percentage = 7.2

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 76,858

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Republican primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Steve Negron, former state representative and nominee for this seat in 2018

===Eliminated in primary===

  • Matthew Bjelobrk, Haverhill town selectman{{cite web |last1=Rooney |first1=Jack |title=Four Republicans seek Congressional seat in NH-2 |url=https://www.sentinelsource.com/news/local/four-republicans-seek-congressional-seat-in-nh-2/article_75c74d87-6df2-5f18-a115-bb0046ec3880.html |website=Sentinel Source |access-date=August 29, 2020 |date=August 29, 2020}}
  • Lynne Blankenbeker, former state representative and candidate for this district in 2018{{cite news|last1=Steinhauser|first1=Paul|title=On the trail: Blankenbeker launches 2020 congressional bid, Gabbard accuses Dems of election rigging|url=https://www.concordmonitor.com/Tulsi-Gabbard-says-Democrats-are-rigging-the-election-On-the-Trail-by-Paul-Steinhauser-29255559|date=October 10, 2019|access-date=October 28, 2019}}
  • Eli Clemmer, school media specialist{{Cite web|url=https://clemmerforcongress.com/|title=Clemmer For NH|website=Clemmer For NH|access-date=2020-02-19|archive-date=February 22, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200222015547/https://clemmerforcongress.com/|url-status=dead}}{{Cite web|url=https://www.conwaydailysun.com/berlin_sun/eeditions_archives/berlin/pdf_e9264ee0-36d5-11ea-b1ed-6b82df66a7cf.html|title=Berlin 1-14-20|website=The Berlin Sun|access-date=2020-02-19}}{{Dead link|date=February 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

==Polling==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=Key|Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:60px;"| Lynn Blankenbeker

! style="width:60px;"| Steve Negron

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire

| August 28 – September 1, 2020

| 367 (LV)

| –

| 20%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|50%

| 1%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 1%}}

| 29%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College

| August 15–17, 2020

| 216 (RV)

| ± 6.7%

| 15%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|37%

| 4%{{efn|"Someone else" with 4%}}

| {{party shading/Undecided}}|44%

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title=Republican primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Steve Negron

|votes = 30,503

|percentage = 48.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Lynne Blankenbeker

|votes = 24,464

|percentage = 38.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Matthew Bjelobrk

|votes = 4,381

|percentage = 6.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Eli Clemmer

|votes = 3,850

|percentage = 6.1

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 63,198

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title = Annie Kuster (D)

|list =

U.S. presidents

Local officials

  • Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020), and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination{{cite news|url=https://edition.cnn.com/2020/05/13/politics/buttigieg-endorsements-super-pac/index.html|access-date=May 14, 2020|title=Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements|agency=CNN|last=Merica|first=Dan|date=May 13, 2020}}

Organizations

  • J Street PAC{{cite web |title=JStreetPAC Candidates |url=https://donate.jstreetpac.org/candidate-directory/ |website=JStreetPAC |access-date=January 29, 2020 |archive-date=May 2, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180502152638/https://donate.jstreetpac.org/candidate-directory/ |url-status=dead }}
  • League of Conservation Voters Action Fund{{cite web |last1=Sittenfeld |first1=Tiernan |title=LCV Action Fund Endorses Annie Kuster for Re-Election|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-annie-kuster-re-election/ |website=League of Conservation Voters |publisher=LCV Action Fund |date=August 13, 2020}}
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund{{cite web |title=2020 Endorsements |url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/elections/2020-endorsements#full |website=plannedparenthoodaction.org |publisher=Planned Parenthood Action Fund |access-date=January 29, 2020 |archive-date=November 15, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191115032119/https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/elections/2020-endorsements#full |url-status=dead }}
  • Sierra Club

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title = Steve Negron (R)

|list =

U.S. presidents

  • Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States{{Cite tweet|number=1322556070645039111|user=realDonaldTrump|title=Steve Negron (@SteveNegronNH) will be a tireless advocate in Congress for the State of New Hampshire! An Air Force Veteran, he is Strong on the Economy, our Brave Law Enforcement and your Second Amendment. Steve has my Complete and Total Endorsement! #NH02 https://t.co/9Zq8LQXZkn|author=Donald Trump|author-link=Donald Trump|date=2020-10-31|access-date=2021-01-29|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201106064917/https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1322556070645039111|archive-date=2020-11-06|url-status=dead}}

Organizations

  • Maggie's List{{cite web |title=2020 Candidates |url=http://maggieslist.org/candidates/2020-candidates |website=Maggie's List |access-date=February 27, 2020}}

}}

=Libertarian primary=

==Candidates==

===Declared===

  • Andrew Olding

=General election=

==Debate==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2022 New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district debate

scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}}

! scope="col" | Date

! scope="col" | Host

! scope="col" | Moderator

! scope="col" | Link

! scope="col"| Democratic

! scope="col"| Republican

! scope="col"| Libertarian

colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key:
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant  {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent  {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited  {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"|

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"|

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Libertarian Party (US)}}"|

scope="col" | Annie Kuster

! scope="col" | Steve Negron

! scope="col" | Andrew Olding

1

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | October 22, 2020

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | New Hampshire Institute of Politics
WMUR

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FebDuay1VJ4 YouTube]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{No|N}}

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|August 5, 2020

align=left | Inside Elections

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|August 7, 2020

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|July 23, 2020

align="left" |Politico

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|July 6, 2020

align="left" |Daily Kos

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|July 21, 2020

align="left" |RCP

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|October 24, 2020

align="left" |Niskanen

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|July 26, 2020

==Polling==

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Kuster

| y2Title=Negron

| y3Title=Olding

| y4Title=Other/Undecided

| type=line

|xGrid=

| x= 2020/09/1,2020/09/28,2020/10/1,2020/10/4,2020/10/12,2020/10/26,2020/10/28

|y1= 52,48,52,49,54,51

|y2= 40,42,38,45,39,41

|y3= 2,5,4,2,3,7

|y4= 7,5,7,3,4,1

| colors = #3333FF, #E81B23, gold, #DCDCDC

| showSymbols = 1

| yGrid = true

| linewidth = 2.0

}}

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Annie
Kuster (D)

! style="width:105px"| Steve
Negron (R)

! style="width:105px"| Andrew
Olding (L)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire

| October 24–28, 2020

| 451 (LV)

| ± 4.6%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| 41%

| 7%

| 0%{{efn|"Other" with no voters}}

| 1%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College

| October 23–26, 2020

| 458 (LV)

| ± 4.6%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|54%

| 39%

| 3%

| 1%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%}}

| 3%

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire

| October 9–12, 2020

| 410 (LV)

| ± 4.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| 45%

| 2%

| 0%{{efn|name="Another0"}}

| 3%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College

| October 1–4, 2020

| 552 (LV)

| ± 4.1%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| 38%

| 4%

| 2%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%}}

| 5%

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire

| September 24–28, 2020

| 463 (LV)

| ± 4.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| 42%

| 5%

| 0%{{efn|name="Another0"}}

| 5%

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire

| August 28 – September 1, 2020

| 917 (LV)

| –

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| 40%

| 2%

| 3%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 3%}}

| 4%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

with Lynne Blankenbeker

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Annie
Kuster (D)

! style="width:105px"| Lynne
Blankenbeker (R)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire

| August 28 – September 1, 2020

| 920 (LV)

| –

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| 39%

| 5%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 3%; Olding (L) with 2%}}

| 5%

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Democrat

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Republican

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College

| Jun 13–16, 2020

| 505 (RV)

| ± 4.4%

|44%

|44%

|3%

|9%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College

|Apr 23–27, 2020

|378 (RV)

|± 5%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

|41%

|5%

|7%

{{hidden end}}

==Results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title=New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district, 2020

}}{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Annie Kuster (incumbent)

|votes = 208,289

|percentage = 53.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Steve Negron

|votes = 168,886

|percentage = 43.7

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

|party = Libertarian Party (United States)

|candidate = Andrew Olding

|votes = 9,119

|percentage = 2.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| party = N/A

| candidate = Scatter

| votes = 147

| percentage = 0.0

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 386,441

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

See also

Notes

{{notelist}}

References

{{reflist}}

External links

  • {{citation |author= Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association |work=Voting & Elections Toolkits |url= https://godort.libguides.com/votingtoolkit/newhampshire |title= New Hampshire }}
  • {{citation |work=Vote.org |location=Oakland, CA |url= https://www.vote.org/state/new-hampshire/ |title= New Hampshire: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links }}
  • {{cite web |title= League of Women Voters of New Hampshire |url= https://www.lwv.org/local-leagues/find-local-league }} (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
  • {{Ballotpedia|New_Hampshire|New Hampshire}}

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

  • [https://www.dumontnh.com/ Zachary Dumont (L) for Congress] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200913085749/https://www.dumontnh.com/ |date=September 13, 2020 }}
  • [https://mattmowers.com/ Matt Mowers (R) for Congress]
  • [https://www.chrispappas.org/ Chris Pappas (D) for Congress]

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

  • [http://www.kusterforcongress.com/ Annie Kuster (D) for Congress]
  • [https://negron4congress.com/ Steve Negron (R) for Congress]

{{Elections in New Hampshire footer}}

{{2020 United States elections}}

2020

New Hampshire

United States House of Representatives