2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts#Libertarian primary

{{Short description|none}}

{{Main|2020 United States presidential election}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=November 2020}}

{{use American English|date=November 2020}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

| country = Massachusetts

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| college_voted = yes

| previous_election = 2016 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

| previous_year = 2016

| election_date = November 3, 2020

| next_election = 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

| next_year = 2024

| turnout = 76%{{cite web|url=https://www.sec.state.ma.us/ele/elevoterturnoutstats/voterturnoutstats.htm|title=MA SOC Voter Turnout Statistics}} {{increase}}

| image_size = 200x200px

| image1 = Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Joe Biden

| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)

| home_state1 = Delaware

| running_mate1 = Kamala Harris

| electoral_vote1 = 11

| popular_vote1 = 2,382,202

| percentage1 = 65.60%

| image2 = Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg

| nominee2 = Donald Trump

| party2 = Republican Party (United States)

| home_state2 = Florida

| running_mate2 = Mike Pence

| electoral_vote2 = 0

| popular_vote2 = 1,167,202

| percentage2 = 32.14%

| map = {{switcher

|350px

|County results

|350px

|Municipality results

|350px

|Congressional district results

|350px

|Precinct results}}

| map_caption =

{{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Biden

{{legend|#b9d7ff|40–50%}}

{{legend|#86b6f2|50–60%}}

{{legend|#4389e3|60–70%}}

{{legend|#1666cb|70–80%}}

{{legend|#0645b4|80–90%}}

{{legend|#002b84|90–100%}}

{{col-2}}

Trump

{{legend|#f2b3be|40–50%}}

{{legend|#e27f90|50–60%}}

{{col-end}}

| title = President

| before_election = Donald Trump

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Joe Biden

| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Elections in Massachusetts sidebar}}

The 2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.{{Cite news|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180802011326/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html |archive-date=2018-08-02 |url-access=limited |url-status=live|title=US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?|last=Kelly|first=Ben|date=August 13, 2018|work=The Independent|access-date=January 3, 2019}} Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Massachusetts has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College.{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html|title=Distribution of Electoral Votes|website=National Archives and Records Administration|access-date=January 3, 2019}}

Prior to the election, Massachusetts was widely considered a state Biden would win or a safe blue state. On election day, Biden easily carried Massachusetts with a 33-point margin, the largest margin whereby any nominee had carried the state since Lyndon B. Johnson's 1964 landslide. Massachusetts was one of three states where Biden won every county, the other two being Rhode Island and Hawaii.

Massachusetts voted 29% more Democratic than the national average.

Primary elections

Presidential preference primaries were scheduled for March 3, 2020, for each of the political parties with state ballot access.

=Democratic primary=

{{main|2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary}}

Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden were among the declared major Democratic candidates. Elizabeth Warren, one of the two current senators from Massachusetts, formed an exploratory committee in December 2018 and declared her intention to run in February 2019.{{cite news |last1=Taylor |first1=Kate |title=Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass. |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/09/us/politics/elizabeth-warren-2020.html |access-date=February 10, 2019 |work=The New York Times |date=February 9, 2019}}{{cite news |last1=Herndon |first1=Astead W. |last2=Burns |first2=Alexander |title=Elizabeth Warren Announces Iowa Trip as She Starts Running for President in 2020 |work=The New York Times |date=December 31, 2018 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/31/us/politics/elizabeth-warren-2020-president-announcement.html}}

{{Excerpt|2020 Massachusetts Democratic presidential primary|fragment=MAresults}}

=Republican primary=

{{Main article|2020 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary}}

Massachusetts governor Charlie Baker declined to run, as did Utah Senator and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney.{{cite news |last1=Markos |first1=Mary |title=Charlie Baker 'absolutely' staying put |url=http://www.bostonherald.com/news/local_politics/2018/11/charlie_baker_absolutely_staying_put |access-date=November 9, 2018 |work=Boston Herald |date=November 8, 2018 |language=en}}{{cite web|url=https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2018/02/16/mitt-romney-on-trump-misfires-ill-call-them-like-i-see-them-but-on-policy-were-going-to-work-together-a-qampa-with-utahs-new-senate-candidate/|title=Mitt Romney: On school shootings, immigration and when he'll challenge Trump. A Q&A with Utah's new Senate candidate.|date=February 16, 2018|first=Thomas|last=Burr|work=The Salt Lake Tribune|access-date=February 18, 2018}}{{cite web |url=http://nationalinterest.org/feature/donald-trumps-biggest-fear-romney-2020-primary-challenge-23895|title=Donald Trump's Biggest Fear: A Romney 2020 Primary Challenge|first=Jacob|last=Heilbrunn|date=January 2, 2018|work=The National Interest |access-date=January 2, 2018}}{{cite web|url=http://boston.cbslocal.com/2018/01/02/mitt-romney-donald-trump-senate-utah/ |title=Keller @ Large: Could Romney Be Trump's Worst Nightmare?|first=Jon|last=Keller|date=January 2, 2018|publisher=WBZ-TV |access-date=January 2, 2018}}

{{Excerpt|2020 Massachusetts Republican presidential primary|fragment=MAresults}}

=Libertarian primary=

{{main|2020 Libertarian Party presidential primaries}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary

| country = Massachusetts

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election =

| previous_year =

| next_election = 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts#Libertarian primary

| next_year = 2024

| election_date = March 3, 2020

| outgoing_members = CA

| elected_members = NC

| votes_for_election =

| image1 = File:3x4.svg

| candidate1 = Write-in
(uncounted)

| color1 = ffffff

| home_state1 = Various

| delegate_count1 =

| popular_vote1 = 958

| percentage1 = 25.0%

| image2 = File:NOTA Option Logo 3x4.svg

| candidate2 = No preference

| color2 = 000000

| home_state2 = N/A

| delegate_count2 =

| popular_vote2 = 804

| percentage2 = 21.0%

| image3 = x130px

| candidate3 = Vermin Supreme

| color3 = fb9bc2

| home_state3 = Massachusetts

| delegate_count3 =

| popular_vote3 = 398

| percentage3 = 10.4%

| image4 = x130px

| candidate4 = Jacob Hornberger

| color4 = DAA521

| home_state4 = Virginia

| delegate_count4 =

| popular_vote4 = 369

| percentage4 = 9.6%

| image5 = x130px

| candidate5 = Dan Behrman

| color5 = ff7102

| home_state5 = Nevada

| delegate_count5 =

| popular_vote5 = 294

| percentage5 = 7.7%

| image6 = x130px

| candidate6 = Kim Ruff
(withdrawn)

| color6 = 88aa00

| home_state6 = Arizona

| delegate_count6 =

| popular_vote6 = 224

| percentage6 = 5.8%

| map_image = Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary results by county, 2020.svg

| map_size = 300px

| map_caption = Election results by county{{efn|Excluding write-ins, which were not tallied.}}

{{(!}} style="text-align:left; margin:auto; width:400px;"

{{!}}

{{legend|#000000|No preference}}

{{!}}

{{legend|#DAA520|Jacob Hornberger}}

{{!)}}

}}

A number of Libertarian candidates declared for the race, including New Hampshire State Representative Max Abramson, Adam Kokesh, Vermin Supreme and former Libertarian National Committee vice-chair Arvin Vohra.{{cite web|url=https://www.seacoastonline.com/news/20190728/seabrooks-abramson-seeks-libertarian-presidential-nomination|title=Seabrook's Abramson seeks Libertarian presidential nomination|date=July 28, 2019|author=Sullivan, Max|access-date=December 22, 2019|work=The Portsmouth Herald|archive-date=December 29, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201229143648/https://www.seacoastonline.com/news/20190728/seabrooks-abramson-seeks-libertarian-presidential-nomination|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/presidential-candidate-vows-to-abolish-federal-government-on-day-1-then-resign|title=Presidential candidate vows to abolish federal government on day 1, then resign|date=June 18, 2019|work=Fox Business|author=Limitone, Julia|access-date=December 22, 2019}}{{cite web|url=http://www.oleantimesherald.com/commentary/libertarians-offer-voters-nothing-new/article_33b4aec0-0580-11ea-bac9-e38dbc36e6df.html|title=Libertarians Offer Voters Nothing New|author=Clark, Bob|date=November 12, 2019|access-date=December 22, 2019|work=Olean Times Herald}}

class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"

|+ Massachusetts Libertarian presidential primary, March 3, 2020{{cite web|url=https://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/search/date:2020-03-03/office_id:1/stage:Libertarian|title=Massachusetts Election Statistics: 2020 Libertarian Primary|website=Massachusetts Secretary of State|date=March 3, 2020}}

Candidate

!Votes

!Percentage

style="text-align:left;" | All others

|958

|25.0%

style="background:"

| style="background:#ffef99; style=" text-align:left;" | No preference

| style="background:#ffef99;" |804

| style="background:#ffef99;" |21.0%

style="text-align:left;" | Vermin Supreme

|399

|10.4%

style="text-align:left;" | Jacob Hornberger

|369

|9.6%

style="text-align:left;" | Dan Behrman

|294

|7.7%

style="text-align:left;" | Kim Ruff (withdrawn)

|224

|5.8%

style="text-align:left;" | Arvin Vohra

|151

|3.9%

style="text-align:left;" | Ken Armstrong

|145

|3.8%

style="text-align:left;" | Jo Jorgensen

|141

|3.7%

style="text-align:left;" | Sam Robb

|127

|3.3%

style="text-align:left;" | Adam Kokesh

|125

|3.3%

style="text-align:left;" | Max Abramson

|98

|2.6%

style="background:#eee;"

| style="margin-right:0.50px" | Total

| style="margin-right:0.50px" | 3,835

| style="margin-right:0.50px" | 100%

=Green primary=

{{main|2020 Green Party presidential primaries}}

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;"

|+ Massachusetts Green Party presidential primary, March 3, 2020 https://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/view/135904/{{Dead link|date=August 2021 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

Candidate

! Votes

! Percentage

! National delegates

style="text-align:left;" |Dario Hunter

| 224

| 16.9

| 2

style="text-align:left;" |Howie Hawkins

| 217

| 16.4

| 1

style="text-align:left;" |Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza-Curry

| 141

| 10.6

| 1

style="text-align:left;" | Kent Mesplay

| 55

| 4.1

| 0

style="text-align:left;" |David Rolde

| 4

| 0.3

| 0

style="text-align:left;" |Write-In

| 369

| 27.8

| 0

style="text-align:left;" |No Preference

| 316

| 23.8

| 7

style="background:#eee;"

| style="margin-right:0.50px" | Total

| style="margin-right:0.50px" |1326

| style="margin-right:0.50px" |100.00%

| style="margin-right:0.50px" |11

General election

=Predictions=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align="left" |The Cook Political Report{{Cite web|url=https://cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/2020-03/EC%20030920.4.pdf|title=2020 POTUS Race ratings|website=The Cook Political Report|language=en|access-date=2019-05-21}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|September 10, 2020

align="left" |Inside Elections{{Cite web|url=https://insideelections.com/ratings/president|title=POTUS Ratings {{!}} Inside Elections|website=insideelections.com|access-date=2019-05-21}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|September 4, 2020

align="left" |Sabato's Crystal Ball{{Cite web|url=http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-president/|title=Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President|website=crystalball.centerforpolitics.org|access-date=2019-05-21}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|July 14, 2020

align="left" |Politico{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/president/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019 |publisher=Politico}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|September 8, 2020

align="left" |RCP{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html|title=Battle for White House|date=April 19, 2019 |publisher=RCP}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|August 3, 2020

align="left" |Niskanen[https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200423025500/https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ |date=April 23, 2020 }}, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|July 26, 2020

align="left" |CNN{{Cite web|author1=David Chalian |author2=Terence Burlij|title=Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/11/politics/electoral-college-2020-election/index.html|access-date=2020-06-16|website=CNN|date=June 11, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|August 3, 2020

align="left" |The Economist{{cite news |title=Forecasting the US elections |url=https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president |newspaper=The Economist |access-date=July 7, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|September 2, 2020

align="left" |270towin{{cite web|url=https://www.270towin.com/|title=2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map|website=270 to Win}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|August 2, 2020

align="left" |ABC News{{cite web|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-Electoral-Interactive-Map?basemap=71662160&promoref=brandpromo|title=ABC News Race Ratings|website=CBS News|date=July 24, 2020|access-date=July 24, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|July 31, 2020

align="left" |NBC News{{Cite web|title=Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/biden-dominates-electoral-map-here-s-how-race-could-tighten-n1236001|access-date=2020-08-06|website=NBC News|date=August 6, 2020 |language=en}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|August 6, 2020

align="left" |538{{cite web |title=2020 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ |archive-url=https://archive.today/20200812114512/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=August 12, 2020 |website=FiveThirtyEight |date=August 12, 2020 |access-date=August 14, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|September 9, 2020

=Polling=

==Graphical summary==

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| yAxisMin = 0

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Trump

| y2Title=Biden

| y3Title=Jorgensen

| y4Title=Hawkins

| y5Title=Other/undecided

| type=line

| xGrid=

| yGrid=

| x=2020/04/07, 2020/05/01, 2020/05/05, 2020/06/30, 2020/07/20, 2020/07/31, 2020/08/07, 2020/08/09, 2020/08/27, 2020/08/31, 2020/09/30, 2020/10/21, 2020/10/28, 2020/10/30

| y1=31, 30, 33, 27, 23, 26, 28, 27, 31, 29, 32, 29, 28, 28

| y2=69, 58, 67, 71, 55, 72, 61, 63, 69, 69, 66, 64, 70, 62

| y3=, , , , , , , , , , , ,

| y4=, , , , , , , , , , , ,

| y5=, 11, , 2, 22, 2, , 9, , 2, 2, 3, , 8

| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, #DCDCDC, #FED105, #17AA5C

| showSymbols = 2, 2, 2, 2

| symbolsShape = cross

}}

Aggregate polls

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

|+

!Source of poll
aggregation

!Dates
administered

!Dates
updated

! class="unsortable" |Joe
Biden

{{nobold|Democratic}}

! class="unsortable" | Donald
Trump

{{nobold|Republican}}

! class="unsortable" |Other/
Undecided
{{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=othercalc|group=}}

!Margin

270 to Win[https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/massachusetts/ 270 to Win]

|October 17 – November 2, 2020

|November 3, 2020

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |65.0%

|28.7%

|6.3%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |{{hs|36.3}}Biden +36.3

RealClearPolitics[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/ma/massachusetts_trump_vs_biden-6876.html RealClearPolitics]

|July 31 – August 27, 2020

|September 15, 2020

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |64.0%

|28.3%

|7.7%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |{{hs|35.7}}Biden +35.7

FiveThirtyEight[https://web.archive.org/web/20190407205939/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/massachusetts/ FiveThirtyEight]

|until November 2, 2020

|November 3, 2020

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |64.6%

|28.9%

|6.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |{{hs|35.8}}Biden +35.8

colspan="3" |Average

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |64.5%

|28.6%

|6.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Biden +35.9

Polls

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key|{{Polling Table Key}}}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! class="unsortable" | Donald
Trump

{{nobold|Republican}}

! class="unsortable" |Joe
Biden

{{nobold|Democratic}}

! class="unsortable" |Jo
Jorgensen

{{nobold|Libertarian}}

! class="unsortable" |Howie
Hawkins

{{nobold|Green}}

! class="unsortable" |Other

! class="unsortable" |Undecided

style="text-align:left;" |MassInc[https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5eb9fa2f8ac4df11937f6a49/t/5fa088d3ed792d738727353a/1604356307884/Crosstabs+2020+11+MA+Statewide.pdf MassInc]

| Oct 23–30, 2020

| 929 (LV)

| –

|28%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |62%

| -

| -

|8%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 5%; "Refused" with 3%; would not vote with no voters}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;" |SurveyMonkey/Axios[https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference SurveyMonkey/Axios]

|Oct 1–28, 2020

|5,848 (LV)

| –

|28%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |70%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;" |YouGov/UMass Amherst[https://polsci.umass.edu/sites/default/files/GeneralElectionToplines.pdf YouGov/UMass Amherst]

| Oct 14–21, 2020

| 713 (LV)

| –

| 29%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |64%

| -

| -

| 3%{{efn|"Other" with 3%; would not vote with 0%}}

| 3%

style="text-align:left;" |SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Sep 1–30, 2020

|2,655 (LV)

| –

|32%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |66%

| -

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;" |SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Aug 1–31, 2020

|2,286 (LV)

| –

|29%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |69%

| -

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;" |Emerson College/WHDH[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/massachusetts-2020-senator-markey-takes-lead-in-senate-primary-over-congressman-kennedy Emerson College/WHDH]

|Aug 25–27, 2020

|763 (LV)

|± 3.5%

|31%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |69%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;" |MassINC/WBUR[https://d279m997dpfwgl.cloudfront.net/wp/2020/08/Topline-2020-09-WBUR-MA-faves-HR-mail.pdf MassINC/WBUR]

|Aug 6–9, 2020

|501 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|27%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |63%

| -

| -

|5%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 2%; "Refused" with 3%}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;" |UMass/YouGov[https://www.wcvb.com/article/umass-amherstwcvb-poll-biden-leads-trump-in-mass-us-going-off-on-the-wrong-track/33600766 UMass/YouGov]

|Jul 31 – Aug 7, 2020

|500 (RV)

|± 5.9%

|28%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |61%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;" |SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Jul 1–31, 2020

|2,509 (LV)

| –

|26%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |72%

| -

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;" |MassINC[https://www.massincpolling.com/the-topline/edxk6ycbjxssb1vp0rkcmtnpy5leau MassINC]

|Jul 17–20, 2020

|797 (RV)

| –

|23%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |55%

| -

| -

|10%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 7%; would not vote with 3%}}

|12%

style="text-align:left;" |SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Jun 8–30, 2020

|1,091 (LV)

| –

|27%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |71%

| -

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;" |Emerson College/7 News[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/massachusetts-2020-kennedy-leading-markey-by-16-points-in-us-senate-race Emerson College/7 News]

|May 4–5, 2020

|740 (RV)

|± 3.5%

|33%{{efn|Including voters who lean towards a given candidate}}

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |67%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;" |University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[https://www.uml.edu/docs/2020-COVID-Topline_tcm18-325770.pdf University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov]

|Apr 27 – May 1, 2020

|1,000 (RV)

|± 3.6%

|30%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |58%

| -

| -

|7%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 7%}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;" |Emerson College[http://emersonpolling.com/2019/04/07/massachusetts-2020-sanders-biden-lead-warren-in-her-home-state-mayor-pete-in-top-four-trump-popular-only-with-his-base/ Emerson College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190420123812/http://emersonpolling.com/2019/04/07/massachusetts-2020-sanders-biden-lead-warren-in-her-home-state-mayor-pete-in-top-four-trump-popular-only-with-his-base/ |date=April 20, 2019 }}

| Apr 4–7, 2019

| 761 (RV)

| ± 3.5%

| 31%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | 69%

| -

| -

| –

| –

{{collapse top|1=Former candidates|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}}

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Bernie
Sanders (D)

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College

| Apr 4–7, 2019

| 761 (RV)

| ± 3.5%

| 36%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 64%

| –

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Elizabeth
Warren (D)

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College

| Apr 4–7, 2019

| 761 (RV)

| ± 3.5%

| 37%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 63%

| –

{{collapse bottom}}

=Results=

{{Election box begin|title=2020 United States presidential election in Massachusetts{{cite web |url=https://electionstats.state.ma.us/elections/view/140751/|title=2020 President General Election|website= Massachusetts Secretary of State|access-date=2020-11-24}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| candidate = Joe Biden
Kamala Harris

| votes = 2,382,202

| percentage = 65.60

| change = +4.62

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Donald Trump
Mike Pence|votes=1,167,202|percentage=32.14|change=–0.67}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Libertarian Party (United States)|candidate=Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen|votes=47,013|percentage=1.29|change=–2.93}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Green Party (United States)|candidate=Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker|votes=18,658|percentage=0.51|change=–0.95}}

{{Election box write-in with party link

| votes = 16,327

| percentage = 0.45

| change = –1.07

}}

{{Election box total

| votes = 3,631,402

| percentage = 100%

| change = +1.49

}}

{{election box win

| winner = Massachusetts Democratic Party

}}

{{Election box end}}

File:2020 Mass. president treemap.jpg

==By county==

width="60%" class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center"
style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| County

! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Joe Biden
Democratic

! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Donald Trump
Republican

! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Various candidates
Other parties

! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Margin

! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| Total votes cast

style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| #

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| %

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| #

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| %

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| #

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| %

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| #

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| %

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Barnstable

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 91,994

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 61.20%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 55,311

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 36.79%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,020

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.01%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36,683

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 24.41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 150,325

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Berkshire

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51,705

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 72.44%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 18,064

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 25.31%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,606

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.25%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 33,641

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47.13%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 71,375

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Bristol

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 153,377

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 54.92%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 119,872

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 42.92%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 6,030

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.16%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 33,505

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 12.00%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 279,279

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Dukes

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 9,914

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 77.47%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 2,631

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 20.56%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 253

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.97%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,283

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 56.91%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 12,798

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Essex

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 267,198

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 63.44%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 144,837

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 34.39%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 9,175

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.17%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 122,361

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 29.05%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 421,210

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Franklin

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 30,030

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 70.73%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 11,201

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 26.38%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,227

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.89%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 18,829

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 44.35%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 42,458

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Hampden

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 125,948

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 57.73%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 87,318

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 40.02%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 4,911

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.25%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 38,630

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 17.71%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 218,177

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Hampshire

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 63,362

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 72.12%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 22,281

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 25.36%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2,211

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.52%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41,081

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46.76%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 87,854

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Middlesex

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 617,196

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 71.47%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 226,956

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 26.28%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 19,425

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.25%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 390,240

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45.19%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 863,577

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Nantucket

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 5,241

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 71.74%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 1,914

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 26.20%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 151

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.06%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,327

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45.54%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 7,306

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Norfolk

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 273,312

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 67.03%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 125,294

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 30.73%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 9,145

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.24%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 148,018

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 36.30%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 407,751

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Plymouth

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 173,630

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 57.53%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 121,227

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 40.17%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 6,959

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.30%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 52,403

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 17.36%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 301,816

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Suffolk

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 270,522

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 80.64%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 58,613

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 17.47%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 6,327

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.89%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 211,909

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 63.17%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 335,462

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Worcester

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 248,773

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 57.58%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 171,683

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 39.74%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 11,558

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.68%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 77,090

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 17.84%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 432,014

Totals2,382,20265.60%1,167,20232.14%81,9982.26%1,215,00033.46%3,631,402

{{align|right|{{Switcher| 300px|Swing by county
{{collapsible list| title = Legend|

{{legend|#09ceff|Democratic — +10-12.5%}}|

{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5-10%}}|

{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5-7.5%}}|

{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5-5%}}|

{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0-2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0-2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5-5%}}|

{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5-7.5%}}}}|

300px|Trend relative to the state by county
{{collapsible list| title = Legend|

{{legend|#09ceff|Democratic — +10-12.5%}}|

{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5-10%}}|

{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5-7.5%}}|

{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5-5%}}|

{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0-2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0-2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5-5%}}|

{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5-7.5%}}}}|

}}}}

== By congressional district ==

Biden won all nine congressional districts, breaking 60% of the vote in eight of them.

class="wikitable"

! District

! Trump

! Biden

! Representative

align="center"

! {{party shading/Democratic}} | {{ushr|Massachusetts|1|1st}}

| 36.9%

| 61.1%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | Richard Neal

align="center"

! {{party shading/Democratic}} | {{ushr|Massachusetts|2|2nd}}

| 36%

| 61.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | Jim McGovern

align="center"

! {{party shading/Democratic}} | {{ushr|Massachusetts|3|3rd}}

| 34.6%

| 63.4%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | Lori Trahan

align="center"

! rowspan="2" {{party shading/Democratic}} | {{ushr|Massachusetts|4|4th}}

| rowspan="2" | 33.7%

| rowspan="2" | 64.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | Joe Kennedy III

align="center"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | Jake Auchincloss

align="center"

! {{party shading/Democratic}} | {{ushr|Massachusetts|5|5th}}

| 23.9%

| 74.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | Katherine Clark

align="center"

! {{party shading/Democratic}} | {{ushr|Massachusetts|6|6th}}

| 35.6%

| 62.6%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | Seth Moulton

align="center"

! {{party shading/Democratic}} | {{ushr|Massachusetts|7|7th}}

| 13.3%

| 85.3%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | Ayanna Pressley

align="center"

! {{party shading/Democratic}} | {{ushr|Massachusetts|8|8th}}

| 32.2%

| 66.2%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | Stephen Lynch

align="center"

! {{party shading/Democratic}} | {{ushr|Massachusetts|9|9th}}

| 40.3%

| 57.9%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} | Bill Keating

Analysis

Massachusetts has been a Democratic-leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and has maintained extremely large Democratic margins since 1996. This remained true in 2020, with Massachusetts being one of six states (along with Hawaii, Vermont, Maryland, California, and New York) to give Biden over 60% of the vote. Massachusetts is ethnically diverse, highly urbanized, highly educated, and among the least religious states.

Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's strength came from winning 74% of college-educated voters, which carries particular weight in Massachusetts, as the state contains the highest proportion of graduates of any state in the country.{{Cite news |date=2020-11-03 |title=Massachusetts Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted |language=en-US |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/ap-polls-massachusetts.html |access-date=2020-11-09 |issn=0362-4331}} Trump's slip among suburban white voters led Biden to carry almost every municipality in the Greater Boston area by at least 60% or more, while Trump carried only several towns on the South Shore and in Central Massachusetts. Biden won 298 of the 351 municipalities.{{Cite web |title=Map: See How Your Town Or City Voted In The 2020 Election |url=https://www.wbur.org/news/2020/11/03/2020-massachusetts-election-map |access-date=2020-11-15 |website=www.wbur.org |date=November 3, 2020 |language=en}} Biden swept all demographic groups, garnering 63% of whites, 84% of Latinos, 58% of Catholics, 56% of Protestants, and 86% of Jewish voters. Additionally, Biden won 52% of whites without a college degree within the state, one of Trump's strongest demographics elsewhere in the country. While Biden overwhelmingly carried Latino voters in the state, Trump improved on his 2016 performance in heavily Hispanic cities such as Lawrence, Chelsea, and Holyoke.{{Cite web |date=November 6, 2020 |title=One place Trump gained in Mass.: Heavily Latino cities |url=https://commonwealthmagazine.org/politics/one-place-trump-gained-in-mass-heavily-latino-cities/}} Trump had the worst vote share in Massachusetts of any Republican nominee since Bob Dole in 1996, and slightly underperformed George W. Bush's 32.5% vote share in 2000.

Massachusetts was one of five states in the nation in which Biden's victory margin was larger than 1 million raw votes, the others being California, Maryland, New York and Illinois.

See also

Notes

{{Notelist}}

References

{{Reflist|30em}}

Further reading

  • {{citation |url=https://www.nass.org/sites/default/files/surveys/2020-10/summary-electoral-college-laws-100220.pdf |publisher=National Association of Secretaries of State |location=Washington DC |title=Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors |date=August 2020 |quote= Massachusetts }}
  • {{citation |title=A farmer made a giant Biden-Harris sign out of hay bales. It was set on fire the next day |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/10/12/sign-biden-fire-farm/ |work=Washingtonpost.com |date=October 12, 2020 }}. (About incident in Dalton, Massachusetts)