2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey

{{Short description|none}}

{{Main|2020 United States presidential election}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=November 2020}}

{{use American English|date=November 2020}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey

| country = New Jersey

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| college_voted = yes

| previous_election = 2016 United States presidential election in New Jersey

| previous_year = 2016

| election_date = November 3, 2020

| next_election = 2024 United States presidential election in New Jersey

| next_year = 2024

| turnout = {{increase}} 72%

| image_size = 200x200px

| image1 = Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Joe Biden

| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)

| home_state1 = Delaware

| running_mate1 = Kamala Harris

| electoral_vote1 = 14

| popular_vote1 = 2,608,400

| percentage1 = {{percent|2,608,400|4,549,457|2|pad=yes}}

| image2 = Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg

| nominee2 = Donald Trump

| party2 = Republican Party (United States)

| home_state2 = Florida

| running_mate2 = Mike Pence

| electoral_vote2 = 0

| popular_vote2 = 1,883,313

| percentage2 = {{percent|1,883,313|4,549,457|2|pad=yes}}

| map_image = {{Switcher

| 350px

| County results

| 350px

| Congressional district results

|350px

|Municipality results

|180px

|Precinct results

}}

| map_caption =

{{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Biden

{{legend|#b9d7ff|40–50%}}

{{legend|#86b6f2|50–60%}}

{{legend|#4389e3|60–70%}}

{{legend|#1666cb|70–80%}}

{{legend|#0645B4|80–90%}}

{{legend|#002B84|90–100%}}

{{col-2}}

Trump

{{legend|#F2B3BE|40–50%}}

{{legend|#e27f90|50–60%}}

{{legend|#cc2f4a|60–70%}}

{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}

{{legend|#AA0000|80–90%}}

{{legend|#800000|90–100%}}

{{col-3}}

Tie/No Data

{{legend|#D4C4DC}}

{{legend|#808080}}

{{col-end}}

| title = President

| before_election = Donald Trump

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Joe Biden

| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Elections in New Jersey sidebar}}

The 2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.{{Cite news|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180802011326/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html |archive-date=2018-08-02 |url-access=limited |url-status=live|title=US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?|last=Kelly|first=Ben|date=August 13, 2018|work=The Independent|access-date=January 3, 2019}} New Jersey voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. New Jersey has 14 electoral votes in the Electoral College.{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html|title=Distribution of Electoral Votes|website=National Archives and Records Administration|access-date=January 3, 2019}}

Biden carried New Jersey by 15.94%, making the state 11.48% more Democratic than the nation as a whole. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Biden's victory came from a coalition of key Democratic constituencies, including 86% of Blacks, 76% of Asians, 72% of Hispanic and Latino Americans, and 50% of Whites.{{Cite news|date=2020-11-03|title=New Jersey Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted|language=en-US|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/ap-polls-new-jersey.html|access-date=2020-11-09|issn=0362-4331}} Biden's strength with Asian Americans was evident in New Jersey, where Asians constituted 10.0% of the population in 2019.{{Cite web|last=Mehta|first=Dhrumil|date=2020-09-18|title=How Asian Americans Are Thinking About The 2020 Election|url=https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-asian-americans-are-thinking-about-the-2020-election/|access-date=2020-11-09|website=FiveThirtyEight|language=en-US}}{{cite web |title=QuickFacts New Jersey |url=https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/NJ |website=United States Census Bureau |access-date=May 21, 2021}}

Biden flipped Gloucester County, which was reliably Democratic until Trump flipped it in 2016. He also became the first Democrat since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 to win Morris County, which Cory Booker won in the simultaneous senate election.{{Cite web|last=Homan|first=Timothy R.|date=2020-11-11|title=On The Trail: Biden wins America's economic engines|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/525499-on-the-trail-biden-wins-americas-economic-engines|access-date=2020-11-15|website=The Hill|language=en}} This also became the first presidential election since 2000 in which Salem County did not vote for the national winner.{{refn|{{cite web|title=Salem County General Election Results: Presidential (2016)|url=https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/2016/2016-gen-elect-presidential-results-salem.pdf|access-date=2020-12-18|work=New Jersey Division of Elections}}{{cite web|title=General Election Results Salem County: Presidential (2012)|url=https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/2012/2012-presidential-salem.pdf|access-date=2020-12-18|work=New Jersey Division of Elections}}{{cite web|title=General Election Presidential Results: Salem County (2008)|url=https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/2008/2008-gen-elect-presidential-results-salem.pdf|access-date=2020-12-18|work=New Jersey Division of Elections}}{{cite web|title=Salem County Presidential Results (2004)|url=https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/2004/2004-presidential_salem_co_2004.pdf|access-date=2020-12-18|work=New Jersey Division of Elections}}{{cite web|title=Official General Election Results: President (2000)|url=https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/2000/2000-general-elect-president-candidate-tallies.pdf|access-date=2020-12-18|work=New Jersey Division of Elections}}{{cite web|title=General Election Results: President (1992)|url=https://www.nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/1992/1992-general-election-results-president.pdf|access-date=2020-12-20|work=New Jersey Division of Elections}}}} Trump carried 255 of New Jersey's 565 municipalities, fewer than the 307 he carried in 2016, with Biden carrying the other 310.{{Cite web |title=These 53 N.J. Towns flipped from Trump to Biden in 2020 |url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/these-53-n-j-towns-flipped-from-trump-to-biden-in-2020/ar-BB1c8xJr |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210801203909/https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/these-53-n-j-towns-flipped-from-trump-to-biden-in-2020/ar-BB1c8xJr |archive-date=August 1, 2021 |access-date=April 6, 2024 |website=MSN}} Biden's 2.6 million votes is the most received by any candidate of either party in a presidential election in the state's history.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for June 2, 2020. In April, they were moved to July 7 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.{{cite news|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/491813-new-jersey-moves-primary-elections-to-july|title=New Jersey moves primary elections to July|work=The Hill|date=April 8, 2020}} On May 15, 2020, Governor Phil Murphy signed an executive order declaring the primary election to become a primarily vote-by-mail election. Democratic and Republican voters will automatically receive a vote-by-mail ballot while unaffiliated and inactive voters will get a vote-by-mail application. Unaffiliated voters must declare their party in the application and send in to their respective county board of elections in order to vote and receive their primary election ballot. A limited number of polling stations in each county were available on primary day for those who prefer to vote in person (including with provisional ballots if they're unable to obtain one) and for voters with disabilities.{{Cite web|url=https://www.nj.com/coronavirus/2020/05/njs-july-7-primary-election-will-be-mostly-vote-by-mail-during-coronavirus-pandemic-murphy-says.html|title = N.J.'s July 7 primary election will be mostly vote-by-mail during coronavirus pandemic, Murphy says|date = May 15, 2020}}

=Republican primary=

{{main|2020 New Jersey Republican presidential primary}}

Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary.{{Cite news|url=https://www.nj.com/politics/2020/07/trump-biden-no-surprise-prevail-in-njs-presidential-primary.html|title=Trump, Biden (no surprise) prevail in N.J.'s presidential primary|website=NJ.com|date=July 7, 2020}} The state has 49 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.{{cite web|title=New Jersey Republican Delegation 2020|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/NJ-R|publisher=The Green Papers|access-date=June 23, 2020}}

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;"

|+ style="background-color:#f2f2f2;margin-bottom:-1px;border:1px solid #aaa;padding:0.2em 0.4em" |2020 New Jersey Republican primary

!Candidate

!Votes

!%

!Delegates

{{party shading/Republican}}

|{{sortname|Donald|Trump}} (incumbent)

| 457,212

|100

|49

style="background-color:#F6F6F6"

! style="text-align:right;" |Total

! style="text-align:right;" | 457,212

! style="text-align:right;" | 100.00

! style="text-align:right;" | 49

=Democratic primary=

{{Excerpt|2020 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary|fragment=NJresults}}

=Green primary=

{{transcluded section|source=Results of the 2020 Green Party presidential primaries}}

{{trim|{{#section-h:Results of the 2020 Green Party presidential primaries|New Jersey primary}}}}

General election

=Predictions=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align="left" |The Cook Political Report{{Cite web|url= https://cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/2020-10/EC%20Ratings.102820.pdf |title=2020 POTUS Race ratings|website=The Cook Political Report|language=en|access-date=2020-10-31}}

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|D}}

|October 28, 2020

align="left" |Inside Elections{{Cite web|url=https://insideelections.com/ratings/president|title=POTUS Ratings {{!}} Inside Elections|website=insideelections.com|access-date=2019-05-21}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|October 16, 2020

align="left" |Sabato's Crystal Ball{{Cite web|url=http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-president/|title=Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President|website=crystalball.centerforpolitics.org|access-date=2019-05-21}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|October 8, 2020

align="left" |Politico{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/president/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019 |publisher=Politico}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|September 8, 2020

align="left" |RCP{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html|title=Battle for White House|date=April 19, 2019 |publisher=RCP}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|August 3, 2020

align="left" |Niskanen[https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200423025500/https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ |date=April 23, 2020 }}, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|July 26, 2020

align="left" |CNN{{Cite web|author1=David Chalian |author2=Terence Burlij|title=Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/11/politics/electoral-college-2020-election/index.html|access-date=2020-06-16|website=CNN|date=June 11, 2020 }}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|August 3, 2020

align="left" |The Economist{{cite news |title=Forecasting the US elections |url=https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president |newspaper=The Economist |access-date=July 7, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|September 2, 2020

align="left" |CBS News{{cite web|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/2020-us-election-battleground-tracker/|title=2020 Election Battleground Tracker|website=CBS News|date=July 12, 2020|access-date=July 13, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|September 27, 2020

align="left" |270towin{{cite web|url=https://www.270towin.com/|title=2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map|website=270 to Win}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|August 2, 2020

align="left" |ABC News{{cite web|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-Electoral-Interactive-Map?basemap=71662160&promoref=brandpromo|title=ABC News Race Ratings|website=CBS News|date=July 24, 2020|access-date=July 24, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|July 31, 2020

align="left" |NPR{{Cite news|title= Final NPR Electoral Map: Biden Has The Edge, But Trump Retains Narrow Path |url=https://www.npr.org/2020/10/30/929077049/final-npr-electoral-map-biden-has-the-edge-but-trump-retains-narrow-path |access-date=2020-10-31|website=NPR|language=en}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|October 30, 2020

align="left" |NBC News{{Cite web|title=Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/biden-dominates-electoral-map-here-s-how-race-could-tighten-n1236001|access-date=2020-08-06|website=NBC News|date=August 6, 2020 |language=en}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|August 6, 2020

align="left" |538{{cite web |title=2020 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ |archive-url=https://archive.today/20200812114512/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=August 12, 2020 |website=FiveThirtyEight |date=August 12, 2020 |access-date=August 14, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|D}}

|September 27, 2020

align="left" |Fox News{{cite web |title=2020 Battleground Power Rankings |url=https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results |website=Fox News |access-date=November 2, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|November 2, 2020

=Polling=

==Graphical summary==

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Biden

| y2Title=Trump

| y3Title=Other

| type=line

| xGrid=

| yGrid=

| x=

2020/02/16,2020/04/19,2020/05/02,2020/05/04,2020/6/30,2020/07/12,2020/07/31,

2020/08/13,2020/8/31,2020/09/07,2020/09/16,2020/09/30,2020/10/05,2020/10/13,2020/10/24,2020/10/26,2020/10/28,2020/11/01,2020/11/01,2020/11/02

| y1=

53,54,56,54,61,51,61,52,57,58,52,60,53,56,56,59,62,60,59,59,59

| y2=

35,38,33,35,37,33,37,33,40,40,38,37,38,34,36,37,38,37,40,40,38

| y3=

,8,12,11,3,15,2,15,3,2,10,3,9,10,,2,,,,6

| colors = #3333FF, #E81B23, #DCDCDC

| showsymbols = 1,1,2,2,1

| symbolsShape = cross

}}

==Aggregate polls==

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

|+

!Source of poll
aggregation

!Dates
administered

!Dates
updated

! class="unsortable" |Joe
Biden

{{nobold|Democratic}}

! class="unsortable" | Donald
Trump

{{nobold|Republican}}

!class="unsortable" |Other/
Undecided
{{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=othercalc|group=}}

!Margin

270 to Win[https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/new-jersey/ 270 to Win]

|October 9 – November 2, 2020

|November 3, 2020

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|56.5%

|37.3%

|6.2%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|{{hs|19.2}}Biden +19.2

Real Clear Politics[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/nj/new_jersey_trump_vs_biden-7193.html Real Clear Politics]

|September 4 – October 13, 2020

|November 3, 2020

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|54.7%

|37.3%

|8.0%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|{{hs|17.4}}Biden +17.4

FiveThirtyEight[https://web.archive.org/web/20200728064804/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/new-jersey/ FiveThirtyEight]

|until November 2, 2020

|November 3, 2020

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|58.4%

|37.9%

|3.7%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|{{hs|20.4}}Biden +20.4

colspan="3" |Average

|{{party shading/Democratic}} |56.5%

|37.5%

|7.8%

|{{party shading/Democratic}} |Biden +19.0

Polls

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key|{{Polling Table Key}}}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! class="unsortable" | Donald
Trump

{{nobold|Republican}}

! class="unsortable" |Joe
Biden

{{nobold|Democratic}}

! class="unsortable" |Jo
Jorgensen

{{nobold|Libertarian}}

! class="unsortable" |Howie
Hawkins

{{nobold|Green}}

! class="unsortable" |Other

! class="unsortable" |Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios[https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference SurveyMonkey/Axios]

|Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020

|3,870 (LV)

|± 2%

|38%{{efn|Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|59%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Research Co.[https://researchco.ca/2020/11/02/us2020-eight-states-uspoli/ Research Co.]

|Oct 31 – Nov 1, 2020

|450 (LV)

|± 4.6%

|40%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|59%

| -

| -

|1%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%}}

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Swayable[https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html Swayable] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201113073344/https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html |date=November 13, 2020 }}

|Oct 27 – Nov 1, 2020

|324 (LV)

|± 7.2%

|40%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|59%

|1%

|0%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Oct 1–28, 2020

|6,472 (LV)

| –

|37%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|60%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Swayable[https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-10-28.html Swayable]

|Oct 23–26, 2020

|386 (LV)

|± 6.5%

|38%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|62%

|0%

|0%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Rutgers-Eagleton[https://www.insidernj.com/rutgers-eagleton-poll-biden-holds-large-lead-new-jersey/ Rutgers-Eagleton]

|Oct 19–24, 2020

|834 (LV)

|± 4%

|37%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|59%

| -

| -

|1%{{efn|"Neither" with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%}}

|1%

style="text-align:left;"|Stockton College[https://stockton.edu/hughes-center/polling/documents/2020-1016-stockton-poll-biden-booker-lead-trump-stronger-in-sj.pdf Stockton College]

|Oct 7–13, 2020

|721 (LV)

|± 3.7%

|36%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|56%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[https://www.investorideas.com/news/2020/cannabis/10202New-Jersey-Low-Level-Marijuana-Convictions.asp DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler]

|Oct 5–13, 2020

|500 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|34%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|56%

| -

| -

| 10%{{efn|"Another candidate or unsure" with 10%|name="ACoU10"}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Fairleigh Dickinson University[http://publicmind.fdu.edu/2020/201009/final.pdf Fairleigh Dickinson University]

|Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2020

|582 (LV)

|± 4.6%

|38%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

| -

| -

|5%{{efn|"Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" with 1%}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Sep 1–30, 2020

|2,952 (LV)

| –

|37%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|60%

| -

| -

| –

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[https://cannabislaw.report/nj-law-firm-brach-eichler-survey-reveals-65-voters-in-the-state-want-legal-cannabis/ DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler]

| Sep 8–16, 2020

| 501 (LV)

| ± 4.4%

| 38%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| 10%{{efn|name="ACoU10"}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/new-jersey-2020-biden-and-booker-with-significant-leads-in-the-garden-state Emerson College]

| Sep 4–7, 2020

| 500 (LV)

| ± 4.4%

| 40%{{efn|With voters who lean towards a given candidate}}

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|58%

| -

| -

| 2%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Aug 1–31, 2020

|2,309 (LV)

| –

|40%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|57%

| -

| -

| –

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[https://www.bracheichler.com/insights/brach-eichler-poll-shows-new-jersey-voters-favor-a-higher-sales-tax-on-legal-marijuana/ DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler]

| Aug 5–13, 2020

| 500 (LV)

| ± 4.383%

|33%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| 15%{{efn|"Another candidate or unsure" with 15%}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Jul 1–31, 2020

|2,426 (LV)

| –

|37%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|61%

| -

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Pollfish/DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler[https://www.marijuanamoment.net/nearly-seven-in-ten-new-jersey-voters-support-marijuana-legalization-ballot-measure-poll-finds/ Pollfish/DKC Analytics/Brach Eichler]

| Jul 7–12, 2020

| 500 (LV)

| ± 4.383%

|33%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|7%{{efn|"For another candidate" with 7%}}

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Jun 8–30, 2020

|1,110 (LV)

| –

|37%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|61%

| -

| -

| –

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac[https://poll.qu.edu/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=3660 Quinnipiac]

| Apr 30 – May 4, 2020

| 941 (RV)

| ± 3.2%

|35%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|54%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 1%}}

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Rutgers-Eagleton[https://eagletonpoll.rutgers.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Vote-By-Mail-NJ-Primaries-2020.pdf Rutgers-Eagleton]

|Apr 22 – May 2, 2020

|689 (RV)

|± 4.2%

|33%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|56%

| -

| -

|5%{{efn|"Neither" with 4%; "someone else" with 1%}}

|7%

style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University[https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_nj_042320.pdf/ Monmouth University]

| Apr 16–19, 2020

| 635 (RV)

| ± 3.9%

| 38%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 54%

| -

| -

| 2%

| 6%

style="text-align:left;"|Fairleigh Dickinson University[http://publicmind.fdu.edu/2020/200218/final.pdf Fairleigh Dickinson University]

| Feb 12–16, 2020

| 715 (RV)

| –

| 35%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 53%

| -

| -

| –

| –

{{collapse top|1=Former candidates|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}}

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Bernie
Sanders (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Fairleigh Dickinson University

| Feb 12–16, 2020

| 715 (RV)

| –

| 36%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 53%

| –

| –

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Elizabeth
Warren (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Fairleigh Dickinson University

| Feb 12–16, 2020

| 715 (RV)

| –

| 36%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 50%

| –

| –

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Michael
Bloomberg (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Fairleigh Dickinson University

| Feb 12–16, 2020

| 715 (RV)

| –

| 32%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 56%

| –

| –

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Pete
Buttigieg (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Fairleigh Dickinson University

| Feb 12–16, 2020

| 715 (RV)

| –

| 36%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 48%

| –

| –

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Amy
Klobuchar (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Fairleigh Dickinson University

| Feb 12–16, 2020

| 715 (RV)

| –

| 36%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47%

| –

| –

{{collapse bottom}}

=Results=

File:2020 Cartogram New Jersey President.png

File:2020 NJ presidential results by muni graduated.svg, darker colors indicate higher win percentage:

-Blue municipalities won by Biden

-Red municipalities won by Trump]]

File:New Jersey Presidential Swing From 2016 to 2020 by Municipality.png, darker colors indicate a higher swing from 2016:

-Blue municipalities swung towards Biden

-Red municipalities swung towards Trump]]

{{Election box begin|title=2020 United States presidential election in New Jersey{{Cite web |title=Federal Elections 2020 |url=https://www.fec.gov/documents/4227/federalelections2020.pdf |publisher=Federal Election Commission |date=October 2022}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|party=Democratic Party (United States)|candidate=Joseph R. Biden Jr.
Kamala D. Harris|votes=2,608,400|percentage={{percent|2,608,400|4,549,457|2|pad=yes}}|change=+1.87%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Donald Trump
Mike Pence|votes=1,883,313|percentage={{percent|1,883,313|4,549,457|2|pad=yes}}|change=+0.05%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Libertarian Party (United States)|candidate=Jo Jorgensen
Spike Cohen|votes=31,677|percentage={{percent|31,677|4,549,457|2|pad=yes}}|change=−1.17%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Green Party (United States)|candidate=Howie Hawkins
Angela Walker|votes=14,202|percentage={{percent|14,202|4,549,457|2|pad=yes}}|change=−0.67%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Unity Party of America|candidate=Bill Hammons
Eric Bodenstab|votes=3,255|percentage={{percent|3,255|4,549,457|2|pad=yes}}|change=±0.00%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Constitution Party (United States)|candidate=Don Blankenship
William Mohr|votes=2,954|percentage={{percent|2,954|4,549,457|2|pad=yes}}|change=−0.10%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Party for Socialism and Liberation|candidate=Gloria La Riva
Sunil Freeman|votes=2,928|percentage={{percent|2,928|4,549,457|2|pad=yes}}|change=+0.02%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Alliance Party (United States)|candidate=Rocky De La Fuente
Darcy Richardson|votes=2,728|percentage={{percent|2,728|4,549,457|2|pad=yes}}|change=+0.01%}}

{{Election box total

| votes = 4,549,457

| percentage = 100.00%

| change =

}}

{{Election box end}}

==By county==

width="60%" class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center"
style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| County

! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Joe Biden
Democratic

! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Donald Trump
Republican

! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Various candidates
Other parties

! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Margin

! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| Total votes cast

style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| #

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| %

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| #

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| %

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| #

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| %

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| #

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| %

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Atlantic

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 73,808

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 52.71%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 64,438

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 46.02%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,785

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.27%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 9,370

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6.69%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 140,031

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Bergen

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 285,967

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 57.44%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 204,417

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 41.06%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 7,454

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.50%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 81,550

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 16.38%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 497,838

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Burlington

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 154,595

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 58.86%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 103,345

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 39.35%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 4,710

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.79%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51,250

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 19.51%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 262,650

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Camden

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 175,065

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 65.91%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 86,207

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 32.46%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 4,327

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.63%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 88,858

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 33.45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 265,599

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}}| Cape May

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 23,941

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 41.33%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 33,158

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 57.24%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 834

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.43%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -9,217

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -15.91%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 57,933

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Cumberland

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 32,742

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 52.32%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 28,952

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 46.27%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 881

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,790

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 6.05%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 62,575

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Essex

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 266,820

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 77.07%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 75,475

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 21.80%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,892

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.13%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 191,345

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 55.27%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 346,187

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Gloucester

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 86,702

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 49.99%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 83,340

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 48.05%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,411

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.96%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 3,362

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 1.94%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 173,453

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Hudson

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 181,452

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 72.45%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 65,698

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 26.23%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,308

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.32%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 115,754

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46.22%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 250,458

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}}| Hunterdon

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39,457

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46.60%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 43,153

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 50.96%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2,063

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.44%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -3,696

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -4.36%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 84,673

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Mercer

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 122,532

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 69.14%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 51,641

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 29.14%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,050

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.72%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 70,891

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 40.00%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 177,223

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Middlesex

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 226,250

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 60.22%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 143,467

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 38.19%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 5,975

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.59%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 82,783

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 22.03%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 375,692

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}}| Monmouth

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 181,291

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47.91%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 191,808

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 50.69%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 5,291

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.40%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -10,517

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -2.78%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 378,390

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Morris

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 153,881

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51.14%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 141,134

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 46.90%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 5,902

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.96%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 12,747

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 4.24%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 300,917

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}}| Ocean

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 119,456

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34.85%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 217,740

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 63.53%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 5,550

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.62%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -98,274

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -28.68%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 342,746

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Passaic

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 129,097

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 57.55%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 92,009

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 41.02%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,224

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 37,088

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 16.53%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 224,330

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}}| Salem

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 14,479

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 42.53%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 18,827

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 55.31%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 736

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.16%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -4,348

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -12.78%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 34,042

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Somerset

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 111,173

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 59.49%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 71,996

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 38.52%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,722

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.99%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39,177

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 20.97%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 186,891

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}}| Sussex

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 34,481

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 39.03%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 51,701

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 58.52%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2,173

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.45%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -17,220

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -19.49%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 88,355

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| Union

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 170,310

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 67.01%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 80,038

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 31.49%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 3,794

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1.50%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 90,272

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 35.52%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 254,142

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}}| Warren

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 24,901

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 40.78%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 34,769

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 56.95%

| {{party shading/Others}}| 1,387

| {{party shading/Others}}| 2.27%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -9,868

| {{party shading/Republican}}| -16.17%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 61,057

Totals2,608,40057.14%1,883,31341.25%73,4691.61%725,08715.89%4,565,182

{{align|right|{{Switcher| 300px|Swing by county
{{collapsible list| title = Legend|

{{legend|#09ceff|Democratic — +10-12.5%}}|

{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5-10%}}|

{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5-7.5%}}|

{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5-5%}}|

{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0-2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0-2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5-5%}}|

{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5-7.5%}}|

{{legend|#ff5555|Republican — +7.5-10%}}}}|

300px|Trend relative to the state by county
{{collapsible list| title = Legend|

{{legend|#09ceff|Democratic — +10-12.5%}}|

{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5-10%}}|

{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5-7.5%}}|

{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5-5%}}|

{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0-2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0-2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5-5%}}|

{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5-7.5%}}|

{{legend|#ff5555|Republican — +7.5-10%}}}}|

300px|County flips
{{collapsible list| title = Legend| {{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Democratic

{{legend|#92c5de|Hold}}

{{legend|#0671b0|Gain from Republican}}

{{col-2}}

Republican

{{legend|#f48882|Hold}}

{{col-end}}}}}}}}

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Gloucester (largest municipality: Washington Township){{Cite news |date=March 17, 2021 |title=Counties that flipped from Donald Trump to Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election |work=The Republican |url=https://www.masslive.com/politics/2021/03/counties-that-flipped-from-donald-trump-to-joe-biden-in-the-2020-presidential-election.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20250104034534/https://www.masslive.com/politics/2021/03/counties-that-flipped-from-donald-trump-to-joe-biden-in-the-2020-presidential-election.html |archive-date=January 4, 2025}}
  • Morris (largest municipality: Parsippany)

==By congressional district==

Biden won 9 out of the 12 congressional districts in New Jersey. Trump won 3, including one that elected a Democrat.{{cite web|url= https://m.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-2020-2016-and-2012|title= Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012|publisher = Daily Kos | access-date= 2021-02-10}}

class=wikitable

! District

! Biden

! Trump

! Representative

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|1|1st}}

|62.1%

|36.6%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Donald Norcross

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|2|2nd}}

|47.9%

|50.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Jeff Van Drew

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|3|3rd}}

|49.2%

|49.4%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Andy Kim

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|4|4th}}

|44.1%

|54.6%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Chris Smith

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|5|5th}}

|51.9%

|46.7%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Josh Gottheimer

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|6|6th}}

|57.2%

|41.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Frank Pallone Jr.

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|7|7th}}

|54.2%

|44.3%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Tom Malinowski

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|8|8th}}

|71.8%

|27.2%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Albio Sires

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|9|9th}}

|62.2%

|36.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Bill Pascrell

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|10|10th}}

|84.2%

|15.0%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Donald Payne Jr.

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|11|11th}}

|52.7%

|46.0%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Mikie Sherrill

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Jersey|12|12th}}

|67.3%

|31.4%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Bonnie Watson Coleman

align=center

{{Cite web|url=https://nj.gov/state/elections/election-information-results-county-sites.html|title = New Jersey Department of State - Division of Elections}}

Analysis

As the polls predicted, Joe Biden won New Jersey by a wide margin. Biden ran up huge margins in the state's major cities such as Newark, Jersey City, Paterson, Trenton, Atlantic City, Camden, and several others. In addition to carrying all the counties that Clinton won in 2016, Biden flipped Gloucester County, which was a reliably blue county before Trump won it in 2016. Biden also won Morris County, which had never voted Democratic in any presidential race since 1964; Senator Cory Booker concurrently won Morris County in his reelection victory as well. In neighboring Hunterdon County, Biden came within 4.4 points of victory despite the county being a reliably Republican stronghold as well. Biden recorded the highest share of the vote in Sussex and Hunterdon Counties for a Democrat since 1964, the last time either county voted Democratic.

Trump, meanwhile, performed strongly in Ocean County, which is reliably red. He also did well in Sussex and Warren counties, two northern rural counties that have not voted Democratic since 1964. Salem County, which Trump flipped in 2016, remained in his column and he also narrowly held on to Monmouth County, which has not voted Democratic since 2000 but where the margins have always been somewhat close. He also improved in the urban counties of Essex and Hudson, due to noticeable improvements in several of those counties' most populated cities, such as Jersey City and Newark.{{cite web|title = NJ DOS - Division of Elections - 2020 Election Information|url=https://nj.gov/state/elections/election-information-2020.shtml#general}}

Ultimately, Trump carried 255 of New Jersey's 565 municipalities, less than the 307 he carried in 2016, with Biden carrying the other 310. Compared to their 2016 margins, 471 of New Jersey's 565 municipalities swung towards Biden in this election. However, Trump was able to improve significantly upon his 2016 margins in many of New Jersey's most heavily populated cities, which kept the statewide margin within 2% of the 2016 results. For example, in New Jersey's most populated city, Newark, Trump nearly doubled his 2016 share of the vote, going from 6.63% to 12.25% of the vote. This was the best Republican performance in Newark since George W. Bush received 12.8% of the vote in 2004.{{cite web|url=https://nj.gov/state/elections/assets/pdf/election-results/2004/2004-presidential_essex_co_2004.pdf|title=2004 Presidential Election - Essex County}} Other populated cities, such as Paterson and Camden, posted similarly notable shifts towards the GOP, with much of the rest of the state shifting towards the Democrats instead.

= Voter demographics =

class="wikitable sortable" style="font-size:90%; line-height:1.2"

|+ 2020 presidential election in New Jersey voter demographics{{Cite news|date=2020-11-03|title=New Jersey Voter Surveys: How Different Groups Voted|language=en-US|work=The New York Times|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/ap-polls-new-jersey.html|access-date=2024-04-27|issn=0362-4331}}

Demographic subgroup

! {{party shading/Democratic}} |Biden

! {{party shading/Republican}} |Trump

! % of
total vote

Total vote

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 57

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41

| style="text-align:right;" | 100

colspan="4" |Ideology
Liberals

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 92

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 7

| style="text-align:right;" | 34

Moderates

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 63

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 35

| style="text-align:right;" | 35

Conservatives

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 11

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 88

| style="text-align:right;" | 31

colspan="4" |Party (including leaners)
Democrat or lean democrat

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 95

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 4

| style="text-align:right;" | 53

Republican or lean republican

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 10

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 89

| style="text-align:right;" | 42

Independent

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41

| style="text-align:right;" | 5

colspan="4" |Gender
Men

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 49

| style="text-align:right;" |47

Women

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" |64

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" |35

| style="text-align:right;" |53

colspan="4" |Marital status
Married

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 44

| style="text-align:right;" | 61

Never married

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 68

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 30

| style="text-align:right;" | 23

colspan="4" |Gender by marital status
Married men

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 49

| style="text-align:right;" | 29

Married women

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 58

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41

| style="text-align:right;" | 31

Unmarried men

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 15

Unmarried women

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 68

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 31

| style="text-align:right;" | 25

colspan="4" |Race/ethnicity
White

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 50

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 49

| style="text-align:right;" | 71

Black

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 86

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 12

| style="text-align:right;" | 11

Latino

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 72

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 27

| style="text-align:right;" | 11

Asian

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 76

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 23

| style="text-align:right;" | 3

Other

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 3

colspan="4" | Gender by race/ethnicity
White men

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56

| style="text-align:right;" | 33

White women

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 56

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 44

| style="text-align:right;" | 38

Black men

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 4

Black women

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

Latino men

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 6

Latina women

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 6

Other

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 66

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 32

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

colspan="4" |Religion
Protestant/Other Christian

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 56

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42

| style="text-align:right;" | 28

Catholic

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52

| style="text-align:right;" | 39

Jewish

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 70

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 30

| style="text-align:right;" | 8

Other religion

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 67

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 32

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

None

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 73

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 25

| style="text-align:right;" | 17

colspan="4" |White evangelical or born-again Christian
Yes

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 9

No

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 59

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40

| style="text-align:right;" | 91

colspan="4" |Age
18–24 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 59

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40

| style="text-align:right;" | 6

25–29 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 66

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 32

| style="text-align:right;" | 4

30–39 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 66

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 33

| style="text-align:right;" | 15

40–49 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 57

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 41

| style="text-align:right;" | 14

50–64 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 44

| style="text-align:right;" | 32

65 and older

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46

| style="text-align:right;" | 28

colspan="4" |Age by race
White 18–29 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 57

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

White 30–44 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46

| style="text-align:right;" | 14

White 45–64 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52

| style="text-align:right;" | 28

White 65 and older

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52

| style="text-align:right;" | 22

Nonwhite 18–29 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 69

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 29

| style="text-align:right;" | 4

Nonwhite 30–44 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 79

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 19

| style="text-align:right;" | 8

Nonwhite 45–64 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 75

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 24

| style="text-align:right;" | 11

Nonwhite 65 and older

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 6

colspan="4" |Sexual orientation
LGBT

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 6

Non-LGBT

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 57

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42

| style="text-align:right;" | 94

colspan="4" |Education
High school or less

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 44

| style="text-align:right;" | 25

Some college education or Associate degree

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 47

| style="text-align:right;" | 27

College graduate

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 63

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 36

| style="text-align:right;" | 30

Postgraduate degree

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 60

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 39

| style="text-align:right;" | 18

colspan="4" |Education by race
White college graduates

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 57

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 42

| style="text-align:right;" | 35

White no college degree

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56

| style="text-align:right;" | 35

Black college graduates

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 4

Black no college degree

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

Latino college graduates

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 4

Latino no college degree

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 69

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 29

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

All others

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 66

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 32

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

colspan="4" |Education by race/gender
White women with college degrees

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 65

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 34

| style="text-align:right;" | 17

White women without college degrees

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 47

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 52

| style="text-align:right;" | 20

White men with college degrees

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 50

| style="text-align:right;" | 18

White men without college degrees

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 35

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 63

| style="text-align:right;" | 15

Nonwhite women with college degrees

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 84

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 15

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

Nonwhite women without college degrees

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 83

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 15

| style="text-align:right;" | 9

Nonwhite men with college degrees

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 68

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 30

| style="text-align:right;" | 6

Nonwhite men without college degrees

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 66

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 32

| style="text-align:right;" | 8

colspan="4" |Income
Under $50,000

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 63

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 36

| style="text-align:right;" | 26

$50,000–99,999

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 44

| style="text-align:right;" | 37

$100,000 or more

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 43

| style="text-align:right;" | 37

colspan="4" |Military service
Veterans

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 9

Veteran in household

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 14

Non-veterans

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 63

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 37

| style="text-align:right;" | 77

colspan="4" |Issue regarded as most important
Racial inequality

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 80

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 20

| style="text-align:right;" | 9

COVID-19 pandemic

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff" | 75

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3" | 24

| style="text-align:right;" | 43

Economy

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff" | 20

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 78

| style="text-align:right;" | 26

Crime and safety

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 4

Health care

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 79

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 19

| style="text-align:right;" | 10

Climate change

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 91

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 9

| style="text-align:right;" | 3

colspan="4" |Area type
Urban

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 67

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 31

| style="text-align:right;" | 15

Suburban

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 59

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 40

| style="text-align:right;" | 62

Small town

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 48

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 51

| style="text-align:right;" | 15

Rural

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56

| style="text-align:right;" | 8

colspan="4" |Family's financial situation today
Getting ahead

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | -

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | -

| style="text-align:right;" | 13

Falling behind

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff" | 66

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3" | 34

| style="text-align:right;" | 17

Holding steady

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 57

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 43

| style="text-align:right;" | 70

colspan="4" |Abortion should be
Legal in all/most cases

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 70

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 29

| style="text-align:right;" | 71

Illegal in all/most cases

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 25

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 72

| style="text-align:right;" | 28

colspan="4" |Climate change is a serious problem
Yes

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 77

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 22

| style="text-align:right;" | 75

No

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 11

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 89

| style="text-align:right;" | 25

See also

Notes

{{Notelist}}

References

{{Reflist|30em}}

Further reading

  • {{citation |url=https://www.nass.org/sites/default/files/surveys/2020-10/summary-electoral-college-laws-100220.pdf |publisher=National Association of Secretaries of State |location=Washington DC |title=Summary: State Laws on Presidential Electors |date=August 2020 |quote= New Jersey }}