2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

{{Short description|none}}

{{use mdy dates|date=November 2020}}

{{use American English|date=November 2020}}

{{main article|2020 United States presidential election}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

| country = Pennsylvania

| flag_image = Flag of Pennsylvania.svg

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| college_voted = yes

| previous_election = 2016 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

| previous_year = 2016

| election_date = November 3, 2020

| next_election = 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania

| next_year = 2024

| turnout = 76.5%{{cite web |url=https://www.dos.pa.gov/VotingElections/BEST/Pages/BEST-Election-Stats.aspx |title=Election Stats |access-date=December 11, 2020 |archive-date=December 9, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201209180102/https://www.dos.pa.gov/VotingElections/BEST/Pages/BEST-Election-Stats.aspx |url-status=live }} {{increase}} 5.2 pp

| last_update = Nov. 24, 2020 8:21 am

| time_zone = EST{{cite news|title=Pennsylvania Election Results 2020|url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-pennsylvania.html|work=The New York Times|date=November 3, 2020|access-date=November 5, 2020|archive-date=November 4, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201104235038/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-pennsylvania.html|url-status=live}}

| image1 = Joe Biden presidential portrait (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Joe Biden

| party1 = Pennsylvania Democratic Party

| home_state1 = Delaware

| running_mate1 = Kamala Harris

| electoral_vote1 = 20

| popular_vote1 = 3,458,229{{cite web |url=https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/_ENR/General/SummaryResults?ElectionID=83&ElectionType=G&IsActive=0 |website=electionreturns.pa.gov |publisher=Pennsylvania Department of State |access-date=22 January 2025|title=Pennsylvania Elections - Summary Results}}

| percentage1 = 50.01%

| image_size = 200x200px

| image2 = Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg

| nominee2 = Donald Trump

| party2 = Pennsylvania Republican Party

| home_state2 = Florida

| running_mate2 = Mike Pence

| electoral_vote2 = 0

| popular_vote2 = 3,377,674

| percentage2 = 48.84%

| map_image = {{Switcher

| 300px

| County results

| 300px

| Congressional district results

| 300px

| Municipality results

| 300px

| Precinct results

}}

| map_size = 300px

| map_caption = {{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Biden

{{legend|#B9D7FF|40–50%}}

{{legend|#86B6F2|50–60%}}

{{legend|#4389E3|60–70%}}

{{legend|#1666CB|70–80%}}

{{legend|#0645B4|80–90%}}

{{legend|#002B84|90–100%}}

{{col-2}}

Trump

{{legend|#F2B3BE|40–50%}}

{{legend|#E27F90|50–60%}}

{{legend|#CC2F4A|60–70%}}

{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}

{{legend|#AA0000|80–90%}}

{{legend|#800000|90–100%}}

{{col-3}}

Tie/No Votes

{{legend|#D4C4DC}}

{{legend|#808080}}

{{col-end}}

| title = President

| before_election = Donald Trump

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Joe Biden

| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Elections in Pennsylvania sidebar}}

The 2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.{{Cite news|url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180802011326/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections-key-dates-midterms-2020-presidential-house-congress-senate-a8472821.html |archive-date=2018-08-02 |url-access=limited |url-status=live|title=US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?|last=Kelly|first=Ben|date=August 13, 2018|work=The Independent|access-date=January 3, 2019}} Pennsylvania voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Pennsylvania had 20 electoral votes in the Electoral College.{{Cite web|url=https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html|title=Distribution of Electoral Votes|website=National Archives and Records Administration|access-date=January 3, 2019|archive-date=January 9, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190109144218/https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/allocation.html|url-status=live}}

Although Trump had won the state in 2016 by a narrow margin of 0.72%, Biden was able to reclaim the state, winning it by a similarly narrow 1.17% margin. Because of the way the state counted in-person ballots first, Trump started with a wide lead on election night. However, over the next few days, Biden greatly closed the margin due to outstanding votes from Democratic-leaning areas, most notably Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, as well as mail-in ballots from all parts of the state which strongly favored him. On the morning of November 6, election-calling organization Decision Desk HQ forecast that Biden had won Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes, and with them the election.{{cite news |last1=Prokop |first1=Andrew |title=Why Decision Desk called Pennsylvania, and the presidential race, for Joe Biden |url=https://www.vox.com/21552641/joe-biden-wins-pennsylvania-decision-desk |access-date=November 7, 2020 |work=Vox |date=November 6, 2020 |archive-date=November 6, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201106221719/https://www.vox.com/21552641/joe-biden-wins-pennsylvania-decision-desk |url-status=live }} The following morning, November 7, at the same time that the Trump campaign was holding a press conference outside of a Philadelphia landscaping business, nearly all major news organizations followed suit and called Pennsylvania for Biden, proclaiming him president-elect.{{Cite web|author=Stephen Collinson and Maeve Reston|title=Biden wins Pennsylvania, becoming the 46th president of the United States|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/06/politics/presidential-election-biden-trump-2020/index.html|access-date=2020-11-07|website=CNN|date=November 7, 2020|archive-date=November 7, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201107175513/https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/06/politics/presidential-election-biden-trump-2020/index.html|url-status=live}}

One key to Biden's success in the state was his improvement on Hillary Clinton's margins in the large Philadelphia-area suburban counties: he won Bucks by 3.60% more than Clinton did, Delaware by 4.38% more, Montgomery by 4.80% more, and Chester—which Mitt Romney had narrowly won just eight years prior—by 6.60% more. At the same time, he reclaimed two of the three large industrial counties which had voted Democratic for at least six consecutive elections before Trump flipped them in 2016: Erie and Northampton. While Trump prevailed in the third, Luzerne County, he did so by a reduced margin with respect to 2016; and Biden increased the margin of victory in his birth county, Lackawanna County, which Trump had nearly flipped in 2016. Biden halted the four-election Democratic slide in formerly traditionally Democratic Westmoreland County, where, before 2020, Al Gore had been the last Democrat to improve on the previous nominee's vote share (and which had given Trump his margin in the state in 2016). He also improved on Clinton's margins in Lehigh County by 2.9% and won Allegheny County with the largest percentage of the vote since 1988; however, Biden's vote share in Philadelphia County actually declined slightly compared to Clinton's, although he still outperformed either Al Gore in 2000 or John Kerry in 2004 in the county. Biden became the first Democratic candidate running for president to garner at least 100,000 votes in the Republican stronghold county of Lancaster.{{Cite web |last=NBC |title=Pennsylvania Presidential Election Results 2020 |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/pennsylvania-president-results?icid=election_usmap |access-date=September 7, 2022 |website=NBC News |archive-date=September 8, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220908013514/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/pennsylvania-president-results?icid=election_usmap |url-status=live }}{{Cite web |last=Leip |first=Dave |title=Dave Leip's Atlas of Presidential Elections |url=https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ |access-date=September 7, 2022 |archive-date=February 22, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110222105145/http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/ |url-status=live }} He also became the second presidential candidate since 1964, the last time the county voted for a Democrat, to get at least 40% of the vote. This was due to the large number of votes Biden received from the city of Lancaster and a competitive margin in voting precincts in and around Lititz and Columbia.{{Cite web |last1=Park |first1=Alice |last2=Smart |first2=Charlie |last3=Taylor |first3=Rumsey |last4=Watkins |first4=Miles |date=March 30, 2021 |title=An Extremely Detailed Map of the 2020 Election |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/upshot/2020-election-map.html |access-date=September 7, 2020 |website=New York Times |archive-date=February 2, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210202111549/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/upshot/2020-election-map.htmle |url-status=live }}

Despite Biden's victory, Pennsylvania weighed in for this election as 3.3% more Republican than the national average. This is the second consecutive presidential election in which Pennsylvania voted to the right of the nation. Previously, it had not done so since 1948. With Ohio, Florida, and Iowa backing the losing candidate for the first time since 1960, 1992, and 2000 respectively, this election established Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan as the states with the longest bellwether streak still in effect today. The last time any of them voted against the winning candidate was 2004, when all three voted for the losing Democrat John Kerry. Biden became the first Democrat to win the White House without carrying Luzerne County since Harry Truman in 1948. This was the first election since 1932 that the county voted for the statewide loser.

Primary elections

The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020, also originally joining several northeastern states in holding primaries on the same date, including Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New York, and Rhode Island.{{cite news|last1=Thompson|first1=Steve|last2=Nirappil|first2=Fenit|title=D.C. is slated to vote last in 2020 Democratic primaries. That might change.|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-politics/dc-is-slated-to-vote-last-in-the-2020-democratic-primary-that-might-change/2019/02/06/3f6d142e-2a3d-11e9-b011-d8500644dc98_story.html|newspaper=The Washington Post|date=February 6, 2019|access-date=June 23, 2019|archive-date=March 10, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190310145101/https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/dc-politics/dc-is-slated-to-vote-last-in-the-2020-democratic-primary-that-might-change/2019/02/06/3f6d142e-2a3d-11e9-b011-d8500644dc98_story.html|url-status=live}} On March 26, Pennsylvania joined several other states in moving its primary to June 2 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.{{cite news|url=https://www.inquirer.com/news/pa-primary-postponed-coronavirus-campaigns-20200327.html|title=Pennsylvania just postponed its primary due to coronavirus. Here's what it means for voters and 2020 campaigns|work=The Philadelphia Inquirer|date=March 27, 2020|access-date=March 29, 2020|archive-date=May 14, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200514050442/https://www.inquirer.com/news/pa-primary-postponed-coronavirus-campaigns-20200327.html|url-status=live}}

=Republican primary=

{{main|2020 Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary}}

Even though the Republican National Committee mailed Pennsylvania voters encouraging mail-in voting, describing it as a "convenient and secure" option, most Republicans expressed opposition to the prospect. Earlier, the Republican-controlled House blocked a proposal to mail every Pennsylvanian a mail-in ballot application. This was in response to President Trump's skepticism of the practice, expressing concern mail-in voting may result in voter fraud that would potentially benefit the Democratic Party.{{cite news|url=https://www.inquirer.com/news/mail-in-election-voting-rights-pennsylvania-primary-2020-election-trump-20200413.html|title=Do Republicans oppose vote by mail? In Pennsylvania, it's not that simple.|work=The Philadelphia Inquirer|date=April 13, 2020|access-date=April 14, 2020|archive-date=April 14, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200414004056/https://www.inquirer.com/news/mail-in-election-voting-rights-pennsylvania-primary-2020-election-trump-20200413.html|url-status=live}}

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;"

|+ style="background-color:#f2f2f2;margin-bottom:-1px;border:1px solid #aaa;padding:0.2em 0.4em;" |2020 Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary{{cite news |title=Pennsylvania Presidential Republican Primary Election Results |work=The New York Times |date=June 2, 2020 |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/06/02/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-president-republican-primary-election.html |access-date=June 3, 2020 |archive-date=June 2, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200602213447/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/06/02/us/elections/results-pennsylvania-president-republican-primary-election.html |url-status=live }}

! style="text-align:left;" | Candidate

! Votes

! %

! Delegates{{cite web|title=Pennsylvania Republican Delegation 2020|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/PA-R|publisher=The Green Papers|access-date=June 3, 2020|archive-date=June 3, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200603210301/https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P20/PA-R|url-status=live}}

{{party shading/Republican}}

| style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Trump, Donald" | Donald Trump

| 1,053,616

| 92.1%

| 34

style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="Weld, Bill" | Bill Weld

| 69,427

| 6.1%

| 0

style="text-align:left;" data-sort-name="De La Fuente, Rocky" | Rocky De La Fuente

| 20,456

| 1.8%

| 0

Total

!1,143,499

!100%

!34

Trump was declared the winner in the Republican primary, and received all of the state's 34 pledged delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention (the state also has 54 unpledged delegates).

=Democratic primary=

{{excerpt|2020 Pennsylvania Democratic presidential primary|fragment=PAresults}}

=Green Caucus=

The Green Caucus was held during April 2020 and was won by Howie Hawkins.{{cite web|title=Hawkins Wins PA Presidential Caucus|url=https://www.gpofpa.org/hawkins_wins_pa_presidential_caucus_2020_green_primary|website=Green Party of Pennsylvania|date=May 4, 2020|access-date=September 11, 2020|archive-date=September 13, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200913065210/https://www.gpofpa.org/hawkins_wins_pa_presidential_caucus_2020_green_primary|url-status=live}}

General election

=Final predictions=

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

align="left" |The Cook Political Report{{Cite web|url=https://cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/2020-03/EC%20030920.4.pdf|title=2020 POTUS Race ratings|website=The Cook Political Report|language=en|access-date=2019-05-21|archive-date=March 23, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200323201534/https://cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/2020-03/EC|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

align="left" |Inside Elections{{Cite web|url=https://insideelections.com/ratings/president|title=POTUS Ratings {{!}} Inside Elections|website=insideelections.com|access-date=2019-05-21|archive-date=May 27, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200527172010/http://insideelections.com/ratings/president|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

align="left" |Sabato's Crystal Ball{{Cite web|url=http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-president/|title=Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President|website=crystalball.centerforpolitics.org|access-date=2019-05-21|archive-date=April 4, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200404113514/http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-president/|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

align="left" |Politico{{Cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/president/|title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019|publisher=Politico|access-date=April 8, 2020|archive-date=June 14, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200614095303/https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/president/|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

align="left" |RCP{{cite web|url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html|title=Battle for White House|date=April 19, 2019|publisher=RCP|access-date=April 27, 2020|archive-date=May 3, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200503201848/https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

align="left" |Niskanen[https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200423025500/https://www.niskanencenter.org/bitecofer-post-primary-update/ |date=April 23, 2020 }}, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D|Flip}}

align="left" |CNN{{Cite web|author1=David Chalian|author2=Terence Burlij|title=Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/11/politics/electoral-college-2020-election/index.html|access-date=2020-06-16|website=CNN|date=June 11, 2020|archive-date=June 16, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200616072308/https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/11/politics/electoral-college-2020-election/index.html|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

align="left" |The Economist{{cite news |title=Forecasting the US elections |url=https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president |newspaper=The Economist |access-date=July 7, 2020 |archive-date=July 5, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200705184025/https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president |url-status=live }}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D|Flip}}

align="left" |CBS News{{cite web|url=https://www.cbsnews.com/2020-us-election-battleground-tracker/|title=2020 Election Battleground Tracker|website=CBS News|date=July 12, 2020|access-date=July 13, 2020|archive-date=July 12, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200712224038/https://www.cbsnews.com/2020-us-election-battleground-tracker/|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

align="left" |270towin{{cite web|url=https://www.270towin.com/|title=2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map|website=270 to Win|access-date=April 15, 2020|archive-date=April 15, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200415144813/https://www.270towin.com/|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

align="left" |ABC News{{cite web|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-Electoral-Interactive-Map?basemap=71662160&promoref=brandpromo|title=ABC News Race Ratings|website=ABC News|date=July 24, 2020|access-date=July 24, 2020|archive-date=July 24, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200724202455/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/2020-Electoral-Interactive-Map?basemap=71662160&promoref=brandpromo|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

align="left" |NPR{{Cite web|title=2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes|url=https://www.npr.org/2020/08/03/897202359/2020-electoral-map-ratings-trump-slides-biden-advantage-expands-over-270-votes|access-date=2020-08-03|website=NPR.org|date=August 3, 2020|language=en|last1=Montanaro|first1=Domenico|archive-date=August 4, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200804144852/https://www.npr.org/2020/08/03/897202359/2020-electoral-map-ratings-trump-slides-biden-advantage-expands-over-270-votes|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

align="left" |NBC News{{Cite web|title=Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/biden-dominates-electoral-map-here-s-how-race-could-tighten-n1236001|access-date=2020-08-06|website=NBC News|date=August 6, 2020 |language=en|archive-date=August 7, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200807053603/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/biden-dominates-electoral-map-here-s-how-race-could-tighten-n1236001|url-status=live}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

align="left" |538{{cite web |title=2020 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ |website=FiveThirtyEight |date=August 12, 2020 |access-date=August 14, 2020 |archive-date=September 11, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200911151821/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/ |url-status=dead }}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D|Flip}}

=Polling=

==Graphical summary==

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Trump

| y2Title=Biden

| y3Title=Jorgensen

| y4Title=Hawkins

| y5Title=Other/Undecided

| type=line

|xGrid=|yGrid=

| x=

2019/03/21,2019/03/28,2019/04/30,2019/05/14,2019/06/13,2019/09/09,2019/10/25,2019/11/09,2019/12/05,2020/02/18,2020/02/18,2020/02/20,2020/02/20,2020/03/07,2020/03/08,2020/03/21,2020/03/23,2020/03/25,2020/04/18,2020/04/20,2020/04/20,2020/04/21,2020/04/21,2020/04/26,2020/05/13,2020/05/14,2020/05/26,2020/05/31,2020/06/11,2020/06/14,2020/06/16,2020/06/16,2020/06/23,2020/06/28,2020/06/30,2020/07/02,2020/07/12,2020/07/13,2020/07/16,2020/07/16,2020/07/20,2020/07/21,2020/07/22,2020/07/23,2020/07/24,2020/07/26,2020/07/26,2020/07/26,2020/07/31,2020/08/06,2020/08/04,2020/08/07,2020/08/09,2020/08/10,2020/08/17,2020/08/17,2020/08/17,2020/08/23,2020/08/24,2020/08/24,2020/08/27,2020/08/30,2020/08/31,2020/09/01,2020/09/03,2020/09/04,2020/09/06,2020/09/06,2020/09/07,2020/09/07,2020/09/08,2020/09/14,2020/09/15,2020/09/16,2020/09/17,2020/09/17,2020/09/20,2020/09/20,2020/09/21,2020/09/21,2020/09/22,2020/09/23,2020/09/25,2020/09/26,2020/09/26,2020/09/27,2020/09/30,2020/10/02,2020/10/02,2020/10/04,2020/10/04,2020/10/05,2020/10/05,2020/10/05,2020/10/06,2020/10/08,2020/10/09,2020/10/11,2020/10/11,2020/10/12,2020/10/13,2020/10/15,2020/10/15,2020/10/19,2020/10/20,2020/10/21,2020/10/22,2020/10/23,2020/10/25,2020/10/26,2020/10/27,2020/10/28,2020/10/29,2020/10/29,2020/10/30,2020/10/31,2020/11/01,2020/11/02

| y1=

43,45,45,42,42,41,45,43,45,42,42,45,47,45,40,47,50,47,47,42,40,42,44,43,51,39,44,50,42,46,40,39,41,44,48,43,42,40,48,46,39,41,45,43,45,42,41,46,48,41,46,43,44,47,45,44,41,46,42,43,46,45,45,46,44,43,42,44,46,45,44,46,44,45,46,45,45,42,45,45,45,45,43.5,44,45,40,46,42,44,43.3,46,45,41,47,42,45,46,44,44.5,45,43,46,46,47,43,46,46,44,48.5,44.5,45.3,46,46,50,43,45,47

| y2=

50,55,46,53,43,45,46,52,41,47,50,46,47,44,46,45,47,45,47,48,46,50,51,49,46,48,48,46,54,49,50,49,46,50,50,48,50,53,47,51,50,48,51,44,48,50,50,48,50,50,50,49,48,53,49,51,48,49,50,52,46,49,51,49,52,48,44,51,50,50,53,49,49,52,49,47,50,48,49,52,49,47,51,50,50,49,52,49,51,53.7,50,50,54,51,49,50,51,52,51,47,46,51,48,50,53,52,51,51,45.5,50.5,50.6,52,51,49,51,52

| y3=

, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,01, , , , , , , , , , ,01, ,04, , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,01,01, , , , , , , , , ,01, , ,02, , , , , ,01,02,02,00, ,02, , ,03, , 0.3, , , , ,01,01, , ,0.5,03,02, ,03,02, , , ,03,1.5, , , , ,02,0.3

| y4=

, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,01, , , , , , , , , ,00, ,02, , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,01,0.5, , , , , , , , , ,01, , ,01, , , , , ,01,00, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,00, , ,00, , , , , , , , , , , , , ,00, , , , , ,0.3

| y5=

07,00,09,05,15,14,09,05,14,11,08,09,06,11,14,08,03,08,06,10,14,08,05,08,03,13,08,04,04,05,10,10,13,06,02,09,08,07,05,03,11,10,04,07,07,08,09,06,02,09,04,08,08,00,06,05,09,05,09,05,08,06,04,05,04,07,14,05,04,05,03,05,05,03,02,03,05,05,05,10,06,03,06,06,3.5,06,05,09,02,06,05,2.7,04,05,05,02,08,03,03,04,04,09,03,03,03,02,02,03,05,03,3.5,4.1,02,03,01,06,3.4

| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, gold, green, #DCDCDC

| showSymbols = 1,1,1.5,1.5,1

| symbolsShape = cross

}}

==Aggregate polls==

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

|+

!Source of poll
aggregation

!Dates
administered

!Dates
updated

! class="unsortable" |Joe
Biden

{{nobold|Democratic}}

! class="unsortable" |Donald
Trump

{{nobold|Republican}}

! class="unsortable" |Other/
Undecided
{{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=othercalc|group=}}

!Margin

270 to Win[https://www.270towin.com/2020-polls-biden-trump/pennsylvania/ 270 to Win]

|October 22 – November 2, 2020

|November 3, 2020

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49.4%

|45.7%

|4.9%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|{{hs|3.7}}Biden +3.7

Real Clear Politics[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/pa/pennsylvania_trump_vs_biden-6861.html Real Clear Politics]

|October 29 – November 2, 2020

|November 3, 2020

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48.7%

|47.5%

|3.8%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|{{hs|1.2}}Biden +1.2

FiveThirtyEight[https://web.archive.org/web/20190515213909/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/pennsylvania/ FiveThirtyEight]

|until November 2, 2020

|November 3, 2020

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50.2%

|45.6%

|4.2%

|{{party shading/Democratic}} |{{hs|4.6}}Biden +4.6

colspan="3" |Average

|{{party shading/Democratic}} |49.4%

|46.3%

|4.3%

|{{party shading/Democratic}} |Biden +3.1

==2020 polls==

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key|{{Polling Table Key}}}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! class="unsortable" |Donald
Trump

{{nobold|Republican}}

! class="unsortable" |Joe
Biden

{{nobold|Democratic}}

! class="unsortable" |Jo
Jorgensen

{{nobold|Libertarian}}

! class="unsortable" |Howie
Hawkins

{{nobold|Green}}

! class="unsortable" |Other

! class="unsortable" |Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/SusquehannaPolling-PAStatewidePoll-Oct2020.pdf Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.]

|Nov 1–2

|499 (LV)

|± 4.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|49%{{efn|With voters who lean towards a given candidate|name="lean"}}

|48%

|1%

| -

|0%{{efn|Would not vote with 0%}}

|0%

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios[https://www.tableau.com/data-insights/us-election-2020/candidate-preference SurveyMonkey/Axios]

|Oct 20 – Nov 2

|6,045 (LV)

|± 2%

|47%{{efn|Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/pennsylvania_biden_49_trump_45 Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports]

|Oct 31 – Nov 1

|800 (LV)

|± 3.5%

|47%{{efn|name="lean"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|1%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 1%}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Research Co.[https://researchco.ca/2020/11/02/us2020-eight-states-uspoli/ Research Co.]

|Oct 31 – Nov 1

|450 (LV)

|± 4.6%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%|name="SE2"}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|AYTM/Aspiration[https://blog.aspiration.com/divided-over-the-election-but-ready-to-move-to-clean-money/ AYTM/Aspiration]

|Oct 30 – Nov 1

|340 (LV)

| –

|49%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-17/ Change Research/CNBC]

|Oct 29 – Nov 1

|699 (LV)

|± 3.71%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

|2%

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Marist College/NBC[https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/final-nbc-marist-state-polls-show-close-races-pennsylvania-arizona-n1245775 Marist College/NBC]

|Oct 29 – Nov 1

|772 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|1%

|2%

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University[https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_pa_110220/ Monmouth University]

|rowspan=3 |Oct 28 – Nov 1

|502(RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 4.4%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

|1%

| -

|0%{{efn|"Other candidate" and "No one" with 0%|name="OCNO0"}}

|4%

rowspan=2 |502 (LV)

|44%{{efn|With a likely voter turnout model featuring high turnout|name="turnHigh"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

| –

| –

45%{{efn|With a likely voter turnout model featuring low turnout|name="turnLow"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Swayable[https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html Swayable] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201113073344/https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html |date=November 13, 2020 }}

|Oct 27 – Nov 1

|1,107 (LV)

|± 3.9%

|48%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

|2%

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Data for Progress[https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_pa_11.2.20.pdf Data for Progress]

|Oct 27 – Nov 1

|1,417 (LV)

|± 2.6%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

|2%

|0%

|0%{{efn|"Other candidate or write-in" with 0%}}

| –

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Ipsos/Reuters[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_pennsylvania_state_poll_w6_11_01_2020_.pdf Ipsos/Reuters]

|rowspan=3|Oct 27 – Nov 1

|rowspan=3|673 (LV)

|rowspan=3|± 4.3%

|45%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse|Standard VI response}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

|1%

|1%

|2%{{efn|West (B) with 2%; "Some other candidate" and would not vote with 0%}}

| –

44%{{efn|If only Biden, Trump and "some other candidate" were available|name="onlyBidTruOther"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 3%; would not vote with 0%|name="SOC3WNV0"}}

|2%

46%{{efn|Results considering those who lean towards a given candidate among those initially predisposed towards abstention, indecision or a candidate besides Biden or Trump in the response section immediately above}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%|name="SOC2"}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar[https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/pa-pres-1102/ Trafalgar]

|Oct 30–31

|1,062 (LV)

|± 2.93%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|46%

|2%

| -

|1%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%|name="SE1"}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[https://competeeverywhere.com/2020/11/fresh-polling-shows-biden-poised-for-victory/ Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere]{{efn-ua|Compete Everywhere primarily supports Democratic candidates}}

|Oct 30–31

|879 (LV)

|± 3%

|48%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[https://web.archive.org/web/20201101215939/https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/11/PA-POll-Oct-31st-final-poll-a1-.pdf Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness] {{efn-ua|name=amgreatness|The Center for American Greatness is a pro-Trump organization}}

|Oct 30–31

|500 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48.7%

|47.4%

|1.3%

| -

| –

|2.6%

style="text-align:left;"|Siena College/NYT Upshot[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az-fl-pa-wi/bc6b622f38350414/full.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot]

|Oct 26–31

|1,862 (LV)

|± 2.4%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|2%

| -

|0%{{efn|"Someone else" and would not vote with 0%|name="SEWNV0"}}

|5%{{efn|Includes "Refused"|name="inclRef"}}

style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult[https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/ Morning Consult]

|Oct 22–31

|2,686 (LV)

|± 2%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/super-poll-sunday-biden-with-slight-lead-over-trump-in-pennsylvania-maine-s-second-district-competitive Emerson College]

|Oct 29–30

|823 (LV)

|± 3.3%

|47%{{efn|name="lean"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|name="SE2"}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|AtlasIntel[https://web.archive.org/web/20201101024658/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/10312020_PA_AtlasIntel.pdf AtlasIntel]

|Oct 29–30

|672 (LV)

|± 4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|50%

|49%

| -

| -

|2%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Targoz Market Research/PollSmart[https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5e28be4ccb16eb0aa6496c31/t/5f9f6d4d11f67f690ade11aa/1604283726251/Crosstab+-+Pennsylvania+2020+PollSmart+Poll+Demos.pdf Targoz Market Research/PollSmart]

|Oct 25–30

|998 (LV)

| –

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|56%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|"Not sure/Someone else/Undecided" with 2%}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[https://www.climatepower2020.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/23/2020/10/Pennsylvania-Results.pdf Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC]{{efn-ua|Climate Power 2020 was created by the League of Conservation Voters, which endorsed Biden prior to the sampling period}}

|Oct 28–29

|1,012 (V)

| –

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/eve-of-the-election-report-and-final-swing-states-voting-intention-26-29-october/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies]

|Oct 26–29

|2,125 (LV)

| –

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

|1%

| -

|1%

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Harvard-Harris/The Hill[https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/523477-exclusive-poll-biden-leads-in-florida-pennsylvania-and-north-carolina Harvard-Harris/The Hill]

|Oct 26–29

|901 (LV)

| –

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

| –

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|ABC/Washington Post[https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1216a62020StateBattlegrounds-FLPA.pdf ABC/Washington Post]

|Oct 24–29

|824 (LV)

|± 4%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

|3%

| -

|0%{{efn|"None of these" and "Other" with 0%; would not vote with no voters}}

|1%

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/surveys/pennsylvania/FINAL_PA_ELEC2020_LATE_OCT_REPORT%20(1)%20(1).pdf Muhlenberg College/Morning Call]

|Oct 23–28

|419 (LV)

|± 5.5%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

|4%{{efn|"Neither/other" with 4%}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Oct 1–28

|10,599 (LV)

|± 1.5%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

| -

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/28/post-debate-pennsylvania-biden-51-trump-45/ RMG Research/PoliticalIQ] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201029150055/http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/28/post-debate-pennsylvania-biden-51-trump-45/ |date=October 29, 2020 }}

|rowspan=3|Oct 25–27

|rowspan=3|800 (LV)

|rowspan=3|± 3.5%

|45%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|2%

|2%

44%{{efn|Results generated with high Democratic turnout model|name="highDemo"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

|2%

|2%

47%{{efn|Results generated with high Republican turnout model|name="highRepub"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

|2%

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University[https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3682 Quinnipiac University]

|Oct 23–27

|1,324 (LV)

|± 2.7%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|1%{{efn|name="SE1"}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Swayable[https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-10-28.html Swayable]

|Oct 23–26

|491 (LV)

|± 6%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

|2%

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Daily Kos[https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_PA_banner_book_2020_10_3x5e25.pdf Civiqs/Daily Kos]

|Oct 23–26

|1,145 (LV)

|± 3%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|name="SE2"}}

|1%

rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|Ipsos/Reuters[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_pennsylvania_state_poll_w5_10_26_2020.pdf Ipsos/Reuters]

|rowspan=2|Oct 20–26

|rowspan=2|655 (LV)

|rowspan=2|± 4.4%

|44%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

|3%

|0%

|1%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 1%; West (B) and would not vote with 0%}}

| –

45%{{efn|name="onlyBidTruOther"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|name="SOC3WNV0"}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[https://amgreatness.com/2020/10/26/trump-takes-the-lead-in-pennsylvania-3-per-new-poll/ Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness]{{efn-ua|name=amgreatness}}

|Oct 25

|400 (LV)

|± 4.9%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48.5%

|45.5%

|3.3%

| -

| –

|2.8%

style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar Group[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1OILz8BjBnlIYfPo6ln-yMm6r12cUaVfp/view Trafalgar Group]

|Oct 24–25

|1,076 (LV)

|± 2.91%

|48%

|48%

|2%

| -

|1%{{efn|name="SE1"}}

|1%

style="text-align:left;"|Wick Surveys{{Cite web |url=https://medium.com/wick-research/predicting-2020-research-on-the-research-57ad9b7b3d5a |title=Wick Surveys |access-date=November 3, 2020 |archive-date=December 3, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201203105519/https://medium.com/wick-research/predicting-2020-research-on-the-research-57ad9b7b3d5a |url-status=dead }}

|Oct 24–25

|1,000 (LV)

|± 3.1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|49%

|47%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Franklin & Marshall College[https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/730787120293897090-f-m-poll-release-october-2020.pdf Franklin & Marshall College]

|Oct 19–25

|558 (LV)

|± 5%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

|2%

| -

|1%{{efn|"Refused" with 1%; "Some other candidate" with 0%}}

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Univision/University of Houston/Latino
Decisions/North Star Opinion Research[https://st1.uvnimg.com/33/8f/ed1016da4a5fb16ec7e34cd5568a/univision-crosstabs-october-final.pdf Univision/University of Houston/Latino
Decisions/North Star Opinion Research]

|Oct 17–25

|723 (RV)

|± 3.64%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|"Someone else" with 3%|name="SE3"}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Gravis Marketing[https://gravismarketing.com/2020-pa-poll-results/ Gravis Marketing]

|Oct 23

|602 (LV)

|± 4%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

| –

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[https://americanbridgepac.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/PennsylvaniaResults.pdf Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC]{{efn-ua|The American Bridge PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates}}

|Oct 21–22

|980 (V)

| –

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

| –

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Dan Hopkins[https://web.sas.upenn.edu/danhop/files/2020/10/PublicRelease10222020.zip Civiqs/Dan Hopkins]

|Oct 17–21

|1,577 (A)

|3%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[https://elections.wisc.edu/fourth-2020-election-survey/ YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison]

|Oct 13–21

|669 (LV)

|± 4.45%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|Includes Undecided}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Citizen Data[https://github.com/GetCitizenData/VoteByMail/blob/master/VoteByMail-Pennsylvania/Modeling/October/Pennsylvania%20VBM%20Toplines%2010_23_2020.pdf Citizen Data]

|Oct 17–20

|1,000 (LV)

|± 3.1%

|39%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|44%

|9%

|0%

|1%

|7%

style="text-align:left;"|CNN/SSRS[http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/21/rel1a_pa.pdff CNN/SSRS] {{Dead link|date=August 2021|bot=InternetArchiveBot|fix-attempted=yes}}

|Oct 15–20

|843 (LV)

|± 4%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

|2%

| -

|1%{{efn|"Other" with 1%; "None of these" with 0%}}

|1%

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/surveys/pennsylvania/PA_ELEC2020_OCT_REPORT_1.pdf Muhlenberg College/Morning Call] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201103175438/https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/surveys/pennsylvania/PA_ELEC2020_OCT_REPORT_1.pdf |date=November 3, 2020 }}

|Oct 13–20

|416 (LV)

|± 5.5%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|"Neither/other" with 2%}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult

|Oct 11–20

|2,563 (LV)

|± 1.9%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Fox News[https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/10/Fox_October-17-20-2020_Complete_Pennsylvania_Topline_October-21-Release-002.pdf Fox News]

|Oct 18–19

|1,045 (LV)

|± 3%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

|1%

| -

|1%{{efn|"Other" with 1%; would not vote with no voters|name="O1WNVno"}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/pennsylvania_biden_50_trump_45 Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports]

|Oct 18–19

|800 (LV)

|± 3.5%

|47%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|name="SOC2"}}

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University[https://poll.qu.edu/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=3680 Quinnipiac University]

| Oct 16–19

| 1,241 (LV)

| ± 2.8%

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

| 1%{{efn|name="SE1"}}

| 5%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/20/voters-want-senate-to-choose-coronavirus-stimulus-over-supreme-court.html Change Research/CNBC]

|Oct 16–19

|574 (LV){{efn|name=538data|Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight}}

| –

|47%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Suffolk University/USA Today[https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/21/pennsylvania-poll-joe-biden-leads-donald-trump-usa-today-suffolk-poll/5990219002/ Suffolk University/USA Today][https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2020/10_21_2020_marginals_pdftxt.pdf]

|Oct 15–19

|500 (LV)

|± 4.4%

| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| 1%

| -

| 4%{{efn|"Refused" with 3%; "Others" with 1%}}

| 4%

rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|Ipsos/Reuters[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_pennsylvania_state_poll_w4_10_19_20.pdf Ipsos/Reuters]

|rowspan=2|Oct 13–19

|rowspan=2|653 (LV)

|rowspan=2|± 4.4%

|45%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|2%

|0%

|3%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%; West (B) with 1%; would not vote with 0%}}

| –

45%{{efn|name="onlyBidTruOther"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|name="SOC3WNV0"}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/991/attachments/original/1603117915/RSTP_PA_'20_Oct_Press_Report.pdf?1603117915 Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration|The Restoration PAC is a 501 non-profit which supports Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign}}

|Oct 13–15

|1,041 (LV)

|± 2.96%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

|3%

| -

|2%{{efn|name="SE2"}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|HarrisX/The Hill[https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/521421-biden-holds-five-point-lead-over-trump-in-pennsylvania-poll HarrisX/The Hill]

|Oct 12–15

|1,289 (LV)

| –

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/10/Insider-Advantage_Center-for-American-Greatness-PA-POll-.pdf Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201017032855/https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/10/Insider-Advantage_Center-for-American-Greatness-PA-POll-.pdf |date=October 17, 2020 }}{{efn-ua|name=amgreatness}}

|Oct 12–13

|400 (LV)

|± 4.9%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|46%

| 2%

| -

| –

| 9%

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Redfield__Wilton_Strategies_Eve_of_the_Election_Report_SB.pdf#page=22 Redfield & Wilton Strategies]

|Oct 10–13

|1,289 (LV)

| –

|43%{{efn|name=538data}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

|1%

|0%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar Group[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1zZdYPhVEQQ9ZATepZLjVA-RZbwMCoLuQ/view Trafalgar Group]

|Oct 10–12

|1,034 (LV)

|± 2.97%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

|3%

| -

|3%{{efn|name="SE3"}}

|2%

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/14/pa-biden-49-trump-43/ RMG Research/PoliticalIQ] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201014165106/http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/14/pa-biden-49-trump-43/ |date=October 14, 2020 }}

|rowspan=3|Oct 7–12

|rowspan=3|800 (LV)

|rowspan=3| –

|43%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|1%

| –

|1%

|6%

42%{{efn|name="highDemo"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

|1%

| –

|1%

|6%

45%{{efn|name="highRepub"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

|1%

| –

|1%

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1kioj7cMIsxOhN81x_i1ZPNrgbClGmy95/view Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising]{{efn-ua|name=rustbelt|Rust Belt Rising is affiliated with the Democratic Party}}

|Oct 8–11

|600 (LV)

|± 4.2%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|name="SE2"}}

|1%

rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|Ipsos/Reuters[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_pennsylvania_state_poll_w3_10_12_20.pdf Ipsos/Reuters]

|rowspan=2|Oct 6–11

|rowspan=2|622 (LV)

|rowspan=2|± 4.5%

|45%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

|1%

|0%

|2%{{efn|"Some other candidate" and would not vote with 1%; West (B) with 0%}}

| –

44%{{efn|name="onlyBidTruOther"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|1%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 1%; would not vote with 0%}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult[https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/#section-5 Morning Consult]

| Oct 2–11

| 2,610 (LV)

| ± 1.9%

| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies

|Oct 9–10

|1,145 (LV)

| –

|44%{{efn|name=538data}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|1%

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Whitman Insight Strategies[https://wins-csip.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Whitman-Insight-Strategies-Pennsylvania-Likely-Voter-Survey-10.12.2020.pdf Whitman Insight Strategies]

|Oct 5–9

|517 (LV)

|± 4.3%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|1%{{efn|name="SE1"}}

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Baldwin Wallace University[https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/10-2020-bw-gl-poll-4-final.pdf Baldwin Wallace University]

|Sep 30 – Oct 8

|1,140 (LV)

|± 3.1%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

|1%

|0%

|0%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 0%}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov/CCES[https://bfschaffner.shinyapps.io/ces_swing/ YouGov/CCES] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201101220046/https://bfschaffner.shinyapps.io/ces_swing/ |date=November 1, 2020 }}

| Sep 29 – Oct 7

| 2,703 (LV)

| –

| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-4-7-october/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies]

| Oct 4–6

| 927 (LV)

| ± 3.22%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|1%

| -

|1%{{efn|"Another Third Party/Write-in" with 1%|name="ATPWI1"}}

|7%

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/pennsylvania-2020-biden-holds-edge-in-home-state-trump-closing-gap Emerson College]

| Oct 4–5

| 688 (LV)

| ± 3.7%

| 47%{{efn|name="lean"}}

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

| 2%{{efn|name="SE2"}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University[https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3678 Quinnipiac University]

| Oct 1–5

| 1,211 (LV)

| ± 2.8%

| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|54%

| -

| -

| 1%{{efn|name="SE1"}}

| 3%

style="text-align:left;"|Ipsos/Reuters[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_pennsylvania_state_poll_w2_10_05_20.pdf Ipsos/Reuters]

| Sep 29 – Oct 5

| 605 (LV)

| ± 4.5%

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| 2%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 0%|name="SOC2WNV0"}}

| 3%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-15/ Change Research/CNBC]

|Oct 2–4

|468 (LV)

| –

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

| –

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University[https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_pa_100620.pdf/ Monmouth University]

|rowspan=3 |Sep 30 – Oct 4

|500 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 4.4%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|54%

|1%

| -

|0%{{efn|name="OCNO0"}}

|2%

rowspan=2 |500 (LV)

|43%{{efn|name="turnHigh"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|54%

| -

| -

| –

| –

45%{{efn|name="turnLow"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov/CBS[https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-trump-opinion-poll-ohio-pennsylvania-mail-voting-10-04-2020/ YouGov/CBS]

| Sep 30 – Oct 2

|1,287 (LV)

|± 3.2%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|"Someone else/third party" with 2%}}

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Siena College/NYT Upshot[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/flpa-0930-crosstabs/16c21b7ab34ed4d1/full.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot]

| Sep 30 – Oct 2

| 706 (LV)

| ± 4.1%

| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| 3%

| -

| 0%{{efn|name="SEWNV0"}}

| 5%{{efn|name="inclRef"}}

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Sep 1–30

|4,613 (LV)

| –

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|ABC News/Washington Post[https://www.langerresearch.com//wp-content//uploads//1216a32020StateBattlegrounds-PA.pdf ABC News/Washington Post]

| Sep 21–26

| 567 (LV)

| ± 5.0%

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|54%

| -

| -

|0%{{efn|"Neither" and "Other" with 0%; would not vote with no voters}}

|1%

style="text-align:left;"|Siena College/NYT Upshot[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/pa-0920-crosstabs/0d7e4a610ceeb14b/full.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot]

| Sep 25–27

| 711 (LV)

| ± 4.3%

| 40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| 2%

| -

| 0%{{efn|name="SEWNV0"}}

| 8%{{efn|name="inclRef"}}

style="text-align:left;"|TIPP/The Federalist[https://www.scribd.com/document/477721916/The-Federalist-TIPP-Pennsylvania-Poll-Sept-24-26-2020 TIPP/The Federalist]

| Sep 24–26

| 774 (LV)

| ± 3.6%

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| 1%{{efn|"Other" with 1%; "Prefer not to answer" with 0%}}

| 4%

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-23-27-september/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies]

|Sep 23–25

|1,015 (LV)

|± 3.08%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

|0%

| –

|1%{{efn|name="ATPWI1"}}

|5%

rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|Fox News[https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/09/Fox_September-20-23-2020_Complete_Pennsylvania_Topline_September-24-Rel....pdf Fox News]

| rowspan=2 |Sep 20–23

| 856 (LV)

| ± 3%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

|2%

| –

|1%{{efn|name="O1WNVno"}}

|2%

910 (RV)

|± 3%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

|2%

| –

|2%{{efn|"Other" and would not vote with 1%}}

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Baldwin Wallace University[https://www.bw.edu/Assets/stories/2020/fall/2020_glp_3%20final-1.pdf Baldwin Wallace University]

| Sep 9–22

| 1,012 (LV)

| ± 3.6%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

|2%

|0%

|1%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 1%}}

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/865/attachments/original/1600985448/Trafalagar_PA_Sept.pdf Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration}}

| Sep 18–21

| 1,006 (LV)

| ± 2.99%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

|1%

|1%

|2%{{efn|name="SE2"}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research
Center/Wisconsin State Journal[https://elections.wisc.edu/third-2020-election-survey/ YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research
Center/Wisconsin State Journal]

| Sep 10–21

| 642 (LV)

| –

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-14/ Change Research/CNBC]

| Sep 18–20

| 579 (LV)

| –

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Franklin & Marshall College[https://www.citizensvoice.com/news/election/new-f-m-poll-shows-biden-up-6-points-in-pennsylvania/article_8e3ef5b5-ecd4-597b-9f86-9af2928c3dc4.html Franklin & Marshall College]

|Sep 14–20

|480 (LV)

|± 7.8%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[https://www.hrc.org/parts/HRC-Poll-917-202020.pdf Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign] {{Dead link|date=June 2022|bot=InternetArchiveBot|fix-attempted=yes}}{{efn-ua|The Human Rights Campaign endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period}}

|Sep 17–19

|400 (LV)

|± 4.9%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|CPEC[https://web.archive.org/web/20200924002930/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200923_PA.pdf CPEC]{{efn-ua|CPEC campaigns exclusively for Democratic candidates}}

|Sep 15–17

|830 (LV)

|± 2.3%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|1%{{efn|"Third party candidate" with 1%}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar Group (R)[https://drive.google.com/file/d/10w6DzQtjbRcFFqpnsGIwmRstjY7fDa5e/view Trafalgar Group (R)]

|Sep 15–17

|1,006 (LV)

|± 2.99%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

|2%

|1%

|2%{{efn|name="SE2"}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Ipsos/Reuters[https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-09/topline_reuters_pennsylvania_state_poll_w1_09_21_2020.pdf Ipsos/Reuters]

|Sep 11–16

|611 (LV)

|± 4.5%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

| 2%{{efn|name="SOC2WNV0"}}

| 4%

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1-sIWzRRaoTXBYsilhoKQwy0GjrBhtPi4/view Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising]{{efn-ua|name=rustbelt}}

|Sep 11–15

|704 (RV)

|± 4.4%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

|1%{{efn|name="SE1"}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/US-Swing-State-Polls-Mid-September-Cover-Sheet.pdf Redfield & Wilton Strategies]

|Sep 12–14

|1,036 (LV)

|± 3.04%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|1%

|1%

|0%{{efn|"Another Third Party/Write-in" with 0%}}

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Climate Nexus[https://climatenexus.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Pennsylvania-Climate-Change-Poll-Toplines.pdf Climate Nexus]

|Sep 8–11

|659 (RV)

|± 4%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|"Neither candidate or other candidate" with 3%}}

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP[https://www.aarp.org/research/topics/politics/info-2020/2020-election-battleground-state-surveys.html Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP]

|Aug 28 – Sep 8

|1,600 (LV)

|± 2.5%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

|1%{{efn|Would not vote with 1%}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Marist College/NBC News[http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/NBC-News_Marist-Poll_PA-Likely-Voters_NOS-and-Tables_202009081145.pdf Marist College/NBC News]

|Aug 31 – Sep 7

|771 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

| -

| -

|1%

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult[https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/09/trump-biden-race-tightens-2020-polling/ Morning Consult]

|Aug 29 – Sep 7

|2,227 (LV)

|± (2%–4%)

|45%{{efn|Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://www.cnbc.com/2020/09/09/2020-election-polls-trump-leads-biden-in-az-fl-mi-nc-pa-and-wi.html Change Research/CNBC]

|Sep 4–6

|829 (LV)

| –

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|4%{{efn|"Other/not sure" with 4%}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|TargetSmart[http://tsinsights.staging.wpengine.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/pa_crosstabs_freq.pdf TargetSmart] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201004160110/http://tsinsights.staging.wpengine.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/pa_crosstabs_freq.pdf |date=October 4, 2020 }}

|Sep 3–6

|835 (LV)

|± 3.4%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|3%

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.[https://susquehannapolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Toplines-PAStatewide-FallOmnibus-Sept2020.pdf Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.]

|Aug 26 – Sep 4

|498 (LV)

|± 4.3%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|44%

| -

| -

|6%{{efn|"Other" and "Refused" with 3%}}

|7%

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-30-august-4-september/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies]

|Aug 30 – Sep 3

|1,053 (LV)

|± 3.02%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

|1%

|1%

|1%{{efn|name="ATPWI1"}}

|7%

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac[https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3672 Quinnipiac] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200903180841/https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3672 |date=September 3, 2020 }}

|Aug 28 – Sep 1

|1,235 (LV)

|± 3%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

|1%{{efn|name="SE1"}}

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute[https://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/ALG.PA_.OH_.energy-poll.09.30.20-.pdf ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute]{{efn-ua|The Progressive Policy Institute endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period}}

|Aug 26 – Sep 1

|500 (LV)

| –

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

| –

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University[https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_pa_090220.pdf/ Monmouth University]

|rowspan=3 |Aug 28–31

|400 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 4.9%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|2%

|0%

|1%{{efn|"No one" with 1%; "Other candidate" with no voters}}

|4%

rowspan=2 |400 (LV)

|46%{{efn|With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election|name="higher2016"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

|2%

|3%

47%{{efn|With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election|name="lower2016"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| -

| -

|2%

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/448/attachments/original/1599254895/Banner_20-3020_PA_Aug2020_08-31-2020.pdf Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration}}

|Aug 26–31

|600 (LV)

| –

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

| –

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Aug 1–31

|3,531 (LV)

| –

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

| -

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult[https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/01/battleground-presidential-polling-post-conventions/ Morning Consult]

|Aug 21–30

|2,158 (LV)

|± (2%–4%)

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports[https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/pennsylvania_trump_46_biden_46 Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports]

| Aug 25–27

| 1,000 (LV)

| ± 3%

| 48%{{efn|Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight; with voters who lean towards a given candidate}}

| 48%

| -

| -

| 4%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 4%}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[https://web.archive.org/web/20200901210615/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200831_PA_UniteTheCountryPAC.pdf GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC]{{efn-ua|Unite the Country PAC endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period}}

| Aug 20–24

| 971 (LV)

| ± 4.4%

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

| –

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Franklin & Marshall College[https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/166320825519932897-f-m-poll-release-aug-2020.pdf Franklin & Marshall College]

| Aug 17–24

| 681 (RV)

| ± 5.2%

| 42%{{efn|name="lean"}}

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| 3%{{efn|"Some other candidate" with 3%}}

| 7%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-12/ Change Research/CNBC]

| Aug 21–23

| 984 (LV)

| –

| 46%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

| –

| –

rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|Global Strategy Group/Climate Power 2020
/League of Conservation Voters/Sierra Club{{Cite web |url=https://www.climatepower2020.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/23/2020/08/Climate-Power-2020-Pennsylvania-Stakeholder-Briefing-F08.31.20.pdf |title=Global Strategy Group/Climate Power 2020
/League of Conservation Voters/Sierra Club |access-date=August 31, 2020 |archive-date=September 1, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200901223510/https://www.climatepower2020.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/23/2020/08/Climate-Power-2020-Pennsylvania-Stakeholder-Briefing-F08.31.20.pdf |url-status=dead }}
{{efn-ua|The League of Conservation Voters and the Sierra Club endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period}}

| rowspan=2 |Aug 13–19

| rowspan=2 |801 (RV)

| rowspan=2 |± 3.5%

| 42%{{efn|name=StandardVIresponse}}

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| 2%

| 1%

| –

| 5%

43%{{efn|If only Biden and Trump were candidates}}

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

| -

| -

| –

| 4%

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield and Wilton Strategies[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-us-swing-states-voting-intention-16-19-august/ Redfield and Wilton Strategies]

|Aug 16–17

|1,006 (LV)

|± 3.1%

|41%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| 1%

| 1%

|1%{{efn|name="ATPWI1"}}

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[https://web.archive.org/web/20200913072203/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200821_MIOHPAWI.pdf Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising]{{efn-ua|name=rustbelt}}

|Aug 13–17

|617 (RV)

| –

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|name="SE3"}}

|1%

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/aug2020election/ Muhlenberg College/Morning Call]

|Aug 11–17

|416 (LV)

|± 5.5%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|"Neither/other" with 3%}}

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult

|Aug 7–16

|1,777 (LV)

|± (2%–4%)

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/north-carolina-pennsylvania-and-arizona-2020-tight-races-in-battleground-states-leading-into-party-conventions Emerson College]

|Aug 8–10

|843 (LV)

|± 3.8%

|47%{{efn|Including voters who lean towards a given candidate}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-11 Change Research/CNBC]

|Aug 7–9

|456 (RV)

| –

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov/CBS[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1CFgA4CjSVJSJYPxfLsQj6BUWuXo_YHd7/view YouGov/CBS]

|Aug 4–7

|1,211 (LV)

|± 3.7%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|"Someone else/third party" with 3%}}

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[https://s3.amazonaws.com/hafa/Heritage-Action-August-2020-Battleground-Survey.pdf OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action]{{efn-ua|Heritage Action is the sister organization of the Heritage Foundation, which exclusively endorses Republican candidates}}

|Aug 2–4

|400 (LV)

|± 4.7%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fqH-jLCyrO5lZ6Mugvj_77fXDc9aVHtc/view YouGov/University of Wisconsin-Madison]

|Jul 27 – Aug 6

|742 (RV)

|± 4.9%

|41%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|"Other" with 2%; would not vote with 0%}}

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Jul 1–31

|4,208 (LV)

| –

|48%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-10 Change Research/CNBC][https://web.archive.org/web/20200806112252/https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-10]

|Jul 24–26

|382 (LV)

| –

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Franklin & Marshall College[https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/90560429767618014-f-m-poll-release-july-2020.pdf Franklin & Marshall College]

|Jul 20–26

|667 (RV)

|± 5.5%

|41%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|name="SOC2"}}

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult[https://morningconsult.com/form/july-presidential-battleground-state-polling/ Morning Consult]

|Jul 17–26

|2,092 (LV)

|± 2.1%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Gravis Marketing[https://fr.scribd.com/document/470353601/Pennsylvania-July-23-2020-v2#fullscreen&from_embed Gravis Marketing][https://web.archive.org/web/20200728004338/https://gravismarketing.com/pa-poll-results/]

|Jul 22–24

|1,006 (RV)

|± 3.1%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| -

| -

| –

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Zogby Analytics[https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/950-the-zogby-poll-trump-and-biden-neck-and-neck-in-florida-ohio-and-pennsylvania-biden-up-by-four-percent-in-north-carolina-trump-winning-big-with-swing-voters Zogby Analytics]

|Jul 21–23

|809 (RV)

|± 3.4%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|44%

| 4%

| 2%

| -

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/448/attachments/original/1596556896/Banners_July2020_PA_07-22-2020.pdf Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration}}

|Jul 17–22

|600 (LV)

| –

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

| –

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-voting-intention-19-to-24-july/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies]

|Jul 19–21

|1,016 (LV)

| –

|41%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| 1%

| 0%

|2%{{efn|West (B) and "Another Third Party/Write-In" with 1%}}

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Fox News[https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/07/Fox_July-18-20-2020_Complete_Pennsylvania_Topline_July-23-Release.pdf Fox News]

|Jul 18–20

|793 (RV)

|± 3.5%

|39%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|5%{{efn|"Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%}}

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[https://kittyhawk.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/07/Toplines-American-Greatness-Pennsylvania-July-15-16%5EJ-2020.pdf Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200731032154/https://kittyhawk.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/07/Toplines-American-Greatness-Pennsylvania-July-15-16%5EJ-2020.pdf |date=July 31, 2020 }}{{efn-ua|name=amgreatness}}

|Jul 15–16

|750 (LV)

|± 4%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|name="SOC2"}}

|1%

style="text-align:left;"|Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/APP_PA.pdf Spry Strategies/American Principles Project]{{efn-ua|This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.}}

|Jul 11–16

|700 (LV)

|± 3.7%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|47%

| -

| -

| –

|5%

style="text-align:left;" rowspan=3|Monmouth University[https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_pa_071520.pdf/ Monmouth University]

|rowspan=3 |Jul 9–13

|401 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 4.9%

|40%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 3%; "No one" with 0%}}

|4%

|rowspan=2 |401 (LV)

|42%{{efn|name="higher2016"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| -

| -

|3%

|3%

|44%{{efn|name="lower2016"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| -

| -

|2%

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-9 Change Research/CNBC]

|Jul 10–12

|743 (LV)

| –

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Trafalgar Group[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ogy9usBPpSYOVTYilcOB1mhVvI8rTXk9/view Trafalgar Group]

|Jun 29 – Jul 2

|1,062 (LV)

|± 2.92%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| -

| -

|6%{{efn|"Other party candidate" with 6%}}

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyMonkey/Axios

|Jun 8–30

|2,184 (LV)

| –

|48%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-8 Change Research/CNBC]

|Jun 26–28

|760 (LV){{efn|name=538data}}

| –

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Susquehanna Polling/Fox 43[https://www.fox43.com/article/news/biden-leads-trump-by-five-points-in-fox43-susquehanna-polling-and-research-survey/521-3944bc02-f008-49d5-9318-76a5a5436611 Susquehanna Polling/Fox 43]

|Jun 15–23

|715 (LV)

| –

|41%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|46%

| -

| -

|5%

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-voting-intention-14-to-19-june/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies]

|Jun 14–16

|1,125 (LV)

|± 2.92%

|39%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| 1%

| 1%

|1%{{efn|"other" with 1%}}

|9%

style="text-align:left;"|Siena College/NYT Upshot[https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/battleground-0625/6ca076db1919b722/full.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot]

|Jun 8–16

|651 (RV)

|± 4.2%

|40%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 2%; would not vote with 1%}}

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-states-of-play-battleground-wave-7 Change Research/CNBC]

|Jun 12–14

| 491 (LV){{efn|name=538data}}

| –

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

|3%{{efn|"Libertarian Party candidate/Green Party candidate" with 3%}}

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/448/attachments/original/1593026426/FinalBanner_PA_June2020_Crosstabs.pdf Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration}}

|Jun 8–11

|600 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|54%

| -

| -

| –

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Dan Hopkins

|Jun 6–11

|1,221 (A)

|3.6%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

| –

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Dan Hopkins

|May 30 – Jun 2

|2,045 (A)

|2.4%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

| –

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research/CNBC[https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-6 Change Research/CNBC]

|May 29–31

|579 (LV){{efn|name=538data}}

| –

|{{party shading/Republican}}|50%

|46%

| -

| -

|2%

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Morning Consult

|May 17–26

|2,120 (LV)

| –

|44%{{efn|name=538data}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Redfield & Wilton Strategies[https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/the-story-in-six-swing-states/ Redfield & Wilton Strategies]

|May 10–14

|963 (LV)

|± 3.2%

|39%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| -

| -

|2%{{efn|"Third party/write-in" with 2%}}

|11%

style="text-align:left;"|Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/448/attachments/original/1589919532/restoration_pac_pennsylvania_toplines_may2020.pdf Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration}}

| May 9–13

| 600 (LV)

| ± 3.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|51%

| 46%

| -

| -

| –

| 4%

style="text-align:left;"|Harper Polling (R)[http://www.harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/20-04-harper-polling-pa-statewide-results.pdf Harper Polling (R)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200501220603/http://www.harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/20-04-harper-polling-pa-statewide-results.pdf |date=May 1, 2020 }}

| Apr 21–26

| 644 (LV)

| ± 3.9%

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| -

| -

| –

| 8%

style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling[https://www.protectourcare.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/PennsylvaniaResults1.pdf Public Policy Polling]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Protect Our Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organization}}

| Apr 20–21

| 1,251 (RV)

| –

| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51%

| -

| -

| –

| 5%

style="text-align:left;"|Fox News[https://www.scribd.com/document/457806530/Fox-News-Poll-April-18-21-2020#from_embed/ Fox News]

|Apr 18–21

|803 (RV)

|± 3.5%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Ipsos[https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/editorcharts/jznvnwawplm/index.html Ipsos]

| Apr 15–20

| 578 (RV)

| ± 5.0%

| 40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Susquehanna Research/Fox 43[https://www.fox43.com/article/news/fox43-poll-majority-approve-wolf-biden-leads-trump/521-f7d7fd42-1e39-43fd-864f-0ede71dfc711 Susquehanna Research/Fox 43]

| Apr 14–20

| 693 (LV)

| –

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[https://data.restorationofamerica.com/pennsylvania_april Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration}}

| Apr 16–18

| 600 (RV)

| ± 3.0%

| 47%

| 47%

| -

| -

| –

| 6%

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Dan Hopkins

|Apr 4–8

|1,912 (A)

|2.5%

|47%

|47%

| -

| -

| –

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes[https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/03-2020_great_lakes_poll_ii%20final.pdf Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes]

| Mar 17–25

| 973 (RV)

| ± 3.9%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 47%

| 45%

| -

| -

| –

| 9%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research[https://rustbeltrising.com/files/March2020RBRpoll.pdf Change Research]

|Mar 21–23

|510 (LV)

| –

|{{party shading/Republican}}|50%

|47%

| -

| -

| –

| 4%

style="text-align:left;"|Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[https://www.restorationofamerica.com/reelection_index_release Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC]{{efn-ua|name=restoration}}

|Mar 19–21

| 600 (RV)

| –

|{{party shading/Republican}}|47%

|45%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Dan Hopkins

|Mar 14–18

|1,589 (A)

|2.7%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|46%

| -

| -

| –

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov/Yahoo News[https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/fwvdnnbigm/20200308_yahoo_primary_crosstabs.pdf YouGov/Yahoo News]

|Mar 6–8

|725 (RV)

| –

|40%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|46%

| -

| -

|5%{{efn|"Other" with 2%; would not vote with 3%}}

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191209190423/https://firehousestrategies.com/analysis/december_2019_battleground_survey/ |date=December 9, 2019 }}

|Mar 5–7

|533 (RV)

|± 5.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|45%

| 44%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs/Dan Hopkins

|Feb 27 – Mar 3

|2,462 (A)

|2.2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|46%

| -

| -

| –

|7%

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/6786445/FULL-RESULTS-Morning-Call-Muhlenberg-College.pdf Muhlenberg College/Morning Call]

|Feb 12–20

|424 (RV)

|± 5.5%

|47%

|47%

| -

| -

| 2%

| 4%

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov[https://news.wisc.edu/battleground-state-poll-1/ YouGov]

|Feb 11–20

|1,171 (RV)

|± 4.0%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|46%

| -

| -

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University[https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200513025805/https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3656 |date=May 13, 2020 }}

|Feb 12–18

|849 (RV)

|± 3.4%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| -

| -

|6%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 5%|name="SE1WNV5"}}

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute[https://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/PPI_SwingVoterPoll_Feb2020.pdf Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute]

| Feb 6–18

| 500 (RV)

| –

| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

| -

| -

| –

| 11%

==2017–2019 polls==

class="wikitable sortable mw-collapsible mw-collapsed" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! class="unsortable" | Donald
Trump

{{nobold|Republican}}

! class="unsortable" |Joe
Biden

{{nobold|Democratic}}

! class="unsortable" |Other

! class="unsortable" |Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Dec 3–5, 2019

| 598 (LV)

| ± 4.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|45%

| 41%

| 8%{{efn|A third party candidate with 6%; will not vote with 2%}}

| 6%{{efn|name="inclRef"}}

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/academics/polisci/PA_Pres_Nov_2019__Report_%20(1).pdf Muhlenberg College/Morning Call] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191114164942/https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/academics/polisci/PA_Pres_Nov_2019__Report_%20%281%29.pdf |date=November 14, 2019 }}

| Nov 4–9, 2019

| 410 (RV)

| ± 6.0%

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 52%

| 4%

| 2%

style="text-align:left;"|Siena College/NYT Upshot[https://github.com/ndcohn/battleground-poll-2019/blob/master/PA110419%20Crosstabs.pdf Siena College/NYT Upshot]

| Oct 13–25, 2019

| 661 (LV)

| ± 4.4%

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[http://firehousestrategies.com/exclusive-survey-democrats-lead-trump-in-key-swing-states/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190912235454/http://firehousestrategies.com/exclusive-survey-democrats-lead-trump-in-key-swing-states/ |date=September 12, 2019 }}

| Sep 7–9, 2019

| 527 (LV)

| ± 4.2%

| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45%

| 14%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[http://firehousestrategies.com/june-2020-survey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus]

| Jun 11–13, 2019

| 565 (LV)

| ± 4.2%

| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 43%

| 15%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University[https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/pa/pa05152019_potp20.pdf Quinnipiac University]

| May 9–14, 2019

| 978 (RV)

| ± 4.2%

| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 53%

| 1%

| 3%

style="text-align:left;"|WPA Intelligence[https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/gop-poll-reassuring-for-trump-in-key-states-but-offers-warning-about-michigan WPA Intelligence]

| Apr 27–30, 2019

| 200 (LV)

| ± 6.9%

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46%

| –

| 8%

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/28/pennsylvania-2020-biden-leads-democratic-field-biden-and-sanders-lead-trump-by-10-points-in-general-election/ Emerson College] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190420173916/http://emersonpolling.com/2019/03/28/pennsylvania-2020-biden-leads-democratic-field-biden-and-sanders-lead-trump-by-10-points-in-general-election/ |date=April 20, 2019 }}

| Mar 26–28, 2019

| 808 (RV)

| ± 3.4%

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 55%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus[http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190403182858/http://firehousestrategies.com/2020battlegroundsurvey/ |date=April 3, 2019 }}

| Mar 19–21, 2019

| 632 (LV)

| ± 4.0%

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 50%

| 4%

| –

==Former candidates and hypothetical polling==

{{collapse top|1=Former candidates|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}}

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Michael
Bloomberg (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

|Feb 12–20, 2020

|424 (RV)

|± 5.5 %

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|45%

| 2%

| 5%

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University

|Feb 12–18, 2020

|849 (RV)

|±3.4%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

|6%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 4%}}

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute

| Feb 6–18, 2020

| 500 (RV)

| –

| 39%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| –

| 13%

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Dec 3–5, 2019

| 598 (LV)

| ± 4.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|45%

| 41%

| 9%{{efn|A third party candidate with 6%; will not vote with 3%}}

| 5%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Pete
Buttigieg (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

|Feb 12–20, 2020

|424 (RV)

|± 5.5 %

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

|45%

| 3%

| 5%

style="text-align:left;"|Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute

| Feb 6–18, 2020

| 500 (RV)

| –

| 40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|46%

| –

| 14%

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov

|Feb 11–20, 2020

|1,171 (RV)

|±4.0%

|44%

|44%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University

|Feb 12–18, 2020

|849 (RV)

|±3.4%

|43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

|8%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%; would not vote with 6%|name="SE2WNV6"}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Dec 3–5, 2019

| 598 (LV)

| ± 4.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|46%

| 40%

| 7%{{efn|A third party candidate with 4%; will not vote with 3%}}

| 7%{{efn|name="inclRef"}}

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Jun 11–13, 2019

| 565 (LV)

| ± 4.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 45%

| 32%

| 23%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University

| May 9–14, 2019

| 978 (RV)

| ± 4.2%

| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45%

| 4%

| 6%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Kamala
Harris (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University

| May 9–14, 2019

| 978 (RV)

| ± 4.2%

|45%

|45%

| 3%

| 5%

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College

| Mar 26–28, 2019

| 808 (RV)

| ± 3.4%

| 49%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51%

| –

| –

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Amy
Klobuchar (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

|Feb 12–20, 2020

|424 (RV)

|± 5.5 %

|{{party shading/Republican}}|45%

|44%

| 3%

| 8%

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov

|Feb 11–20, 2020

|1,171 (RV)

|±4.0%

|43%

|43%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University

|Feb 12–18, 2020

|849 (RV)

|±3.4%

|42%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|6%{{efn|name="SE1WNV5"}}

|4%

Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Beto
O'Rourke (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University

| May 9–14, 2019

| 978 (RV)

| ± 4.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 46%

| 44%

| 4%

| 5%

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College

| Mar 26–28, 2019

| 808 (RV)

| ± 3.4%

| 49%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Mar 19–21, 2019

| 632 (LV)

| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 47%

| 40%

| 8%

| –

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Bernie
Sanders (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Baldwin Wallace University Great Lakes

| Mar 17–25, 2020

| 973 (RV)

| ± 3.9%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 48%

| 42%

| –

| 10%

style="text-align:left;"|Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC{{efn-ua|name=restoration}}

|Mar 19–21, 2020

| 600 (RV)

| –

|{{party shading/Republican}}|49%

|43%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov/Yahoo News

|Mar 6–8, 2020

|725 (RV)

| –

|41%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|43%

|6%{{efn|"Other" with 4%; would not vote with 2%}}

|10%

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

|Mar 5–7, 2020

|533 (RV)

|± 5.3 %

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

| 42%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

|Feb 12–20, 2020

|424 (RV)

|± 5.5 %

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

| 3%

| 3%

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov

|Feb 11–20, 2020

|1,171 (RV)

|±4.0%

|45%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University

|Feb 12–18, 2020

|849 (RV)

|±3.4%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

|5%{{efn|"Someone else" with 1%; would not vote with 4%}}

|1%

style="text-align:left;"|Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute

| Feb 6–18, 2020

| 500 (RV)

| –

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|45%

| –

| 12%

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Dec 3–5, 2019

| 598 (LV)

| ± 4.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|48%

| 37%

| 8%{{efn|A third party candidate with 5%; will not vote with 3%|name="TPC5WNV3"}}

| 6%{{efn|name="inclRef"}}

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

| Nov 4–9, 2019

| 410 (RV)

| ± 6.0%

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 50%

| 4%

| 1%

style="text-align:left;"|NYT Upshot/Siena College[https://github.com/ndcohn/battleground-poll-2019/blob/master/PA110419%20Crosstabs.pdf NYT Upshot/Siena College]

| Oct 13–25, 2019

| 661 (LV)

| ± 4.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|45%

| 44%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Sep 7–9, 2019

| 527 (LV)

| ± 4.2%

| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 44%

| 14%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Jun 11–13, 2019

| 565 (LV)

| ± 4.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 44%

| 41%

| 15%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University

| May 9–14, 2019

| 978 (RV)

| ± 4.2%

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 50%

| 2%

| 3%

style="text-align:left;"|Tulchin Research (D)[https://tulchinresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Tulchin-Research-Memo-Sanders-Defeating-Trump-in-Industrial-Battleground-States-4-19-final.pdf Tulchin Research (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the Sanders campaign|name="Sanders"}}

| Apr 14–18, 2019

| 400 (LV)

| ± 4.9%

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College

| Mar 26–28, 2019

| 808 (RV)

| ± 3.4%

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 55%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Mar 19–21, 2019

| 632 (LV)

| ± 4.0%

|44%

|44%

| 8%

| –

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Elizabeth
Warren (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

|Feb 12–20, 2020

|424 (RV)

|± 5.5 %

|47%

|47%

| 4%

| 3%

style="text-align:left;"|YouGov

|Feb 11–20, 2020

|1,171 (RV)

|±4.0%

|45%

|45%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University

|Feb 12–18, 2020

|849 (RV)

|±3.4%

|44%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

|8%{{efn|name="SE2WNV6"}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Dec 3–5, 2019

| 598 (LV)

| ± 4.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|47%

| 40%

| 8%{{efn|name="TPC5WNV3"}}

| 5%{{efn|name="inclRef"}}

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

| Nov 4–9, 2019

| 410 (RV)

| ± 6.0%

| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 50%

| 4%

| 1%

style="text-align:left;"|NYT Upshot/Siena College

| Oct 13–25, 2019

| 661 (LV)

| ± 4.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 46%

| 44%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Sep 7–9, 2019

| 527 (LV)

| ± 4.2%

| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 43%

| 16%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Firehouse Strategies/Øptimus

| Jun 11–13, 2019

| 565 (LV)

| ± 4.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}}| 45%

| 34%

| 21%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Quinnipiac University

| May 9–14, 2019

| 978 (RV)

| ± 4.2%

| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47%

| 3%

| 4%

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College

| Mar 26–28, 2019

| 808 (RV)

| ± 3.4%

| 48%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 52%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Zogby Analytics[https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/792-the-zogby-poll-trump-approval-trump-vs-warren-in-11-states Zogby Analytics]

| Aug 17–23, 2017

| 813 (LV)

| ± 3.4%

| 38%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 46%

| –

| 16%

{{collapse bottom|}}

{{collapse top|1=Hypothetical polling|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}}

Donald Trump vs. Generic Democrat

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Generic
Democrat (D)

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University[https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/03-2020_great_lakes_poll_ii%20final.pdf Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University]

| Mar 17–25, 2020

| 997 (RV)

| ± 3.7%

| 48.6%{{efn|Figures for each candidate in this poll include undecided voters who were reported to lean towards that candidate at the time of polling.|name="figlean"}}

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|49.2%

| 2.1%{{efn|"It depends on who the Democrats nominate" with 1.4%; "unsure" with 0.7%}}

style="text-align:left;"|Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies Institute

| Feb 6–18, 2020

| 500 (RV)

| –

| 38%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

| 11%

style="text-align:left;"|Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University[https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/2020-great-lakes-poll-full-FINAL.pdf Baldwin Wallace University/Oakland University/Ohio Northern University]

| Jan 8–20, 2020

| 1,037 (RV)

| ± 3.2%

| 39.7%{{efn|name="figlean"}}

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|49.5%

| 10.7%

style="text-align:left;"|KFF/Cook Political Report[https://www.kff.org/other/report/blue-wall-voices-project/ KFF/Cook Political Report]

|Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019

|752 (RV)

| ± 4%

|29%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|40%

|22%

Donald Trump vs. Generic Opponent

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
{{nowrap|of error}}

! Donald
Trump (R)

! Generic
Opponent

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

|Oct 23–28, 2020

|419 (LV)

|± 5.5%

|42%

|{{party shading/Other }}|54%

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201103175438/https://www.muhlenberg.edu/media/contentassets/pdf/about/polling/surveys/pennsylvania/PA_ELEC2020_OCT_REPORT_1.pdf |date=November 3, 2020 }}

|Oct 13–20, 2020

|416 (LV)

|± 5.5%

|44%

|{{party shading/Other }}|51%

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

|Aug 11–17, 2020

|416 (LV)

|± 5.5%

|44%

|{{party shading/Other}}|53%

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

|Feb 12–20, 2020

|424 (RV)

|± 5.5%

|42%

|{{party shading/Other}}|54%

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Muhlenberg College/Morning Call

| Nov 4–9, 2019

| 410 (RV)

| ± 6.0%

|42%

|{{party shading/Other}}|57%

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|F&M/PoliticsPA[https://www.politicspa.com/fm-poll-wolf-holds-solid-approval-rating-trump-lags-behind/90795/ F&M/PoliticsPA]

|Mar 18–24, 2019

|540 (RV)

|± 5.5%

|36%

|{{party shading/Other}}|61%{{efn|61% "time for a change" as opposed to "Trump has done a good enough job to deserve re-election"}}

|4%

{{collapse bottom|}}

=Electoral slates=

These slates of electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidates win the state:{{cite web |author1=Commonwealth of Pennsylvania |title=Pennsylvania Certificate of Ascertainment 2020 |url=https://www.archives.gov/files/electoral-college/2020/ascertainment-pennsylvania.pdf |publisher=National Archives and Records Administration |access-date=July 17, 2021 |date=November 24, 2020 |archive-date=June 29, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210629011853/https://www.archives.gov/files/electoral-college/2020/ascertainment-pennsylvania.pdf |url-status=live }}

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"

! Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Republican Party

! Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Democratic Party

! Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Libertarian Party

{{unbulleted list center|Robert B. Asher|Bill Bachenberg|Lou Barletta|Ted Christian|Ted Coccodrilli|Bernadette Comfort|Sam DeMarco|Marcela Diaz-Myers|Josephine Ferro|Robert Gleason|Ash Khare|Thomas Marino|Lissa Patton|Pat Poprik|Andy Reilly|Lance Stange|Lawrence Tabas|Christine Toretti|Calvin Tucker|Carolyn Bunny Welsh}}

| {{unbulleted list center|Nina Ahmad|Val Arkoosh|Cindy Bass|Rick Bloomingdale|Ryan Boyer|Paige Gebhardt Cognetti|Daisy Cruz|Kathy Dahlkemper|Janet Diaz|Charles Hadley|Jordan Harris|Malcolm Kenyatta|Gerald Lawrence|Clifford Levine|Virginia McGregor|Nancy Mills|Marian Moskowitz|Josh Shapiro|Sharif Street|Connie Williams}}

| {{unbulleted list center|Kyle Burton|Henry Conoly|Daniel Cooper|Thomas Eckman|Greg Faust|Kevin Gaughen|Willie Harmon|Ken Krawchuk|Brandon Magoon|Roy Minet|Paul Nicotera|Paul Rizzo|Richard Schwartzman|William Sloane|Kathleen Smith|Jake Towne|Glenn Tuttle|Stephen Wharhaftig|John Waldenberger|Daniel Wassmer}}

=Results=

9,098,998{{Cite web|url=https://www.dos.pa.gov/VotingElections/OtherServicesEvents/VotingElectionStatistics/Pages/VotingElectionStatistics.aspx|title=Home|website=Pennsylvania Department of State|access-date=March 2, 2021|archive-date=August 24, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170824051302/http://www.dos.pa.gov/VotingElections/OtherServicesEvents/VotingElectionStatistics/Pages/VotingElectionStatistics.aspx|url-status=live}} residents registered to vote by the voter registration deadline on October 15, which had been extended from its original date on October 13 by court order.

{{Election box begin|title=2020 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania{{Cite web |title=Federal Elections 2020 |url=https://www.fec.gov/documents/4227/federalelections2020.pdf |publisher=Federal Election Commission |date=October 2022}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|party=Pennsylvania Democratic Party|candidate={{ubl|Joe Biden|Kamala Harris}}|votes=3,458,229|percentage=49.85|change=+2.39}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Pennsylvania Republican Party|candidate={{ubl|Donald Trump (incumbent)|Mike Pence (incumbent)}}|votes=3,377,674|percentage=48.69|change=+0.51}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|party=Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania|candidate={{ubl|Jo Jorgensen|Spike Cohen}}|votes=79,380|percentage=1.14|change=−1.24}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

| party = Green Party of the United States

| candidate = Howie Hawkins (write-in)
Angela Walker (write-in)

| votes = 1,282

| percentage = 0.02

| change = -0.79

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

| party = American Solidarity Party

| candidate = Brian T. Carroll (write-in)
Amar Patel (write-in)

| votes = 362

| percentage = 0.01

| change = N/A

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link

| votes = 20,049

| percentage = 0.29

| change = -0.31

}}

{{Election box total

| votes = 6,936,976

| percentage = 100.00%

| change = N/A

}}

{{election box win

| winner = Pennsylvania Democratic Party

}}

{{Election box end}}

==By county==

{{Update|part=County results|date=December 2024|reason=County results needs to be fixed, totals aren't accurate when summed}}

width="60%" class="wikitable sortable"

! rowspan="2" |County{{Cite web|url=https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=42&year=2020&f=1&off=0|title=2020 Presidential General Election Results - Pennsylvania}}

! colspan="2" |Joe Biden
Democratic

! colspan="2" |Donald Trump
Republican

! colspan="2" |Jo Jorgensen
Libertarian

! colspan="2" |Various candidates
Other parties

! colspan="2" |Margin

! rowspan="2" |Total votes cast

style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |#

! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number" |%

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Adams

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |18,254

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |32.13%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |37,567

| {{party shading/Republican}} |66.13%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |814

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.43%

| {{party shading/Others}} |174

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.31%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−19,313

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−34.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |56,809

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Allegheny

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |430,759

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |59.43%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |282,913

| {{party shading/Republican}} |39.03%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |8,361

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.15%

| {{party shading/Others}} |2,767

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.38%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |147,846

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |20.40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |724,800

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Armstrong

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,457

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.22%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |27,489

| {{party shading/Republican}} |75.47%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |424

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.16%

| {{party shading/Others}} |56

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.15%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−19,032

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−52.25%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |36,426

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Beaver

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |38,122

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |40.38%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |54,759

| {{party shading/Republican}} |58.01%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,241

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.31%

| {{party shading/Others}} |275

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.29%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−16,637

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−17.63%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |94,397

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Bedford

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,367

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |15.82%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |23,025

| {{party shading/Republican}} |83.39%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |182

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |0.66%

| {{party shading/Others}} |36

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.13%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−18,658

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−67.57%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |27,610

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Berks

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |93,116

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |45.08%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |109,926

| {{party shading/Republican}} |53.22%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |2,924

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.42%

| {{party shading/Others}} |587

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.28%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−16,810

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−8.14%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |206,553

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Blair

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |17,636

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.67%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |45,306

| {{party shading/Republican}} |71.07%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |653

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.02%

| {{party shading/Others}} |153

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.24%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−27,670

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−43.40%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |63,748

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Bradford

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,046

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.61%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |21,600

| {{party shading/Republican}} |71.45%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |513

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.70%

| {{party shading/Others}} |73

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.24%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−13,554

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−44.84%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |30,232

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Bucks

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |204,712

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |51.53%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |187,367

| {{party shading/Republican}} |47.16%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |4,155

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.05%

| {{party shading/Others}} |1,057

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.27%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |17,345

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4.37%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |397,291

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Butler

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |37,508

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |74,359

| {{party shading/Republican}} |65.42%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,438

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.27%

| {{party shading/Others}} |358

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.31%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−36,851

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−32.42%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |113,663

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Cambria

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |21,730

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.71%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |48,085

| {{party shading/Republican}} |67.96%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |759

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.07%

| {{party shading/Others}} |177

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.25%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−26,355

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−37.25%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |70,751

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Cameron

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |634

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.98%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,771

| {{party shading/Republican}} |72.58%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |29

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.19%

| {{party shading/Others}} |6

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.25%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−1,137

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−46.60%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,440

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Carbon

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |11,212

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.28%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |21,984

| {{party shading/Republican}} |65.26%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |433

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.29%

| {{party shading/Others}} |60

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.18%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−10,772

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−31.98%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |33,689

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Centre

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |40,055

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |51.42%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |36,372

| {{party shading/Republican}} |46.70%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,066

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.37%

| {{party shading/Others}} |398

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.51%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,683

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4.72%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |77,891

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Chester

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |182,372

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |57.76%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |128,565

| {{party shading/Republican}} |40.72%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |3,565

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.13%

| {{party shading/Others}} |1,251

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |53,807

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |17.04%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |315,753

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Clarion

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,678

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.96%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |14,578

| {{party shading/Republican}} |74.67%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |237

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.21%

| {{party shading/Others}} |31

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.16%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−9,900

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−50.71%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |19,524

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Clearfield

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,673

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.49%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |29,203

| {{party shading/Republican}} |73.94%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |546

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.38%

| {{party shading/Others}} |74

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.19%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−19,530

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−49.45%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |39,496

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Clinton

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,502

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.15%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |11,902

| {{party shading/Republican}} |67.39%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |221

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.25%

| {{party shading/Others}} |36

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.20%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−6,400

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−36.24%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |17,661

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Columbia

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |10,532

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.67%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |20,098

| {{party shading/Republican}} |64.25%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |541

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.73%

| {{party shading/Others}} |109

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.35%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−9,566

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−30.58%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |31,280

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Crawford

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |12,924

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.69%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |28,561

| {{party shading/Republican}} |67.82%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |521

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.24%

| {{party shading/Others}} |108

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.26%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−15,637

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−37.13%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |42,114

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Cumberland

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |62,245

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |43.78%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |77,212

| {{party shading/Republican}} |54.30%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |2,138

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.50%

| {{party shading/Others}} |592

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.42%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−14,967

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−10.52%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |142,187

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Dauphin

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |78,983

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |53.40%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |66,408

| {{party shading/Republican}} |44.90%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,977

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.34%

| {{party shading/Others}} |533

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.36%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |12,575

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |8.50%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |147,901

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Delaware

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |206,709

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |62.75%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |118,639

| {{party shading/Republican}} |36.02%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |2,981

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |0.90%

| {{party shading/Others}} |1,075

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.33%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |88,070

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.73%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |329,404

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Elk

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,522

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.68%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |12,140

| {{party shading/Republican}} |71.64%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |244

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.44%

| {{party shading/Others}} |40

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.24%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−7,618

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−44.96%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |16,946

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Erie

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |68,286

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |49.66%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |66,869

| {{party shading/Republican}} |48.63%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,928

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.40%

| {{party shading/Others}} |411

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.30%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,417

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1.03%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |137,494

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Fayette

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |20,469

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |32.87%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |41,251

| {{party shading/Republican}} |66.24%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |468

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |0.75%

| {{party shading/Others}} |91

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.15%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−20,782

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−33.37%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |62,279

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Forest

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |728

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.43%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |1,882

| {{party shading/Republican}} |70.91%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |36

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.36%

| {{party shading/Others}} |8

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.30%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−1,154

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−43.48%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,654

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Franklin

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |22,422

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.67%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |57,245

| {{party shading/Republican}} |70.65%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,116

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.38%

| {{party shading/Others}} |242

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.30%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−34,823

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−42.98%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |81,025

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Fulton

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,085

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |13.58%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |6,824

| {{party shading/Republican}} |85.41%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |68

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |0.85%

| {{party shading/Others}} |13

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.26%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−5,739

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−71.83%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |7,990

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Greene

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,911

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |27.75%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |12,579

| {{party shading/Republican}} |71.08%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |179

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.01%

| {{party shading/Others}} |28

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.16%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−7,668

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−43.33%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |17,697

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Huntingdon

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,445

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.84%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |17,061

| {{party shading/Republican}} |74.69%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |286

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.25%

| {{party shading/Others}} |51

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.22%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−11,616

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−50.85%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |22,843

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Indiana

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |12,634

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |30.60%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |28,089

| {{party shading/Republican}} |68.03%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |475

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.15%

| {{party shading/Others}} |91

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.22%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−15,455

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−37.43%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |41,289

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Jefferson

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,529

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.80%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |17,964

| {{party shading/Republican}} |78.54%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |337

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.47%

| {{party shading/Others}} |42

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.18%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−13,435

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−58.74%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |22,872

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Juniata

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |2,253

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |18.66%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |9,649

| {{party shading/Republican}} |79.93%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |141

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.17%

| {{party shading/Others}} |29

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.24%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−7,396

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−61.27%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |12,072

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Lackawanna

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |61,991

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |53.58%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |52,334

| {{party shading/Republican}} |45.23%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,085

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |0.94%

| {{party shading/Others}} |285

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.25%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,657

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |8.35%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |115,695

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lancaster

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |115,847

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |41.17%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |160,209

| {{party shading/Republican}} |56.94%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |4,183

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.49%

| {{party shading/Others}} |1,136

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.40%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−44,362

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−15.77%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |281,375

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lawrence

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |15,978

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |34.59%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |29,597

| {{party shading/Republican}} |64.08%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |501

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.08%

| {{party shading/Others}} |111

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.24%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−13,619

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−29.49%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |46,187

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lebanon

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |23,932

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |33.30%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |46,731

| {{party shading/Republican}} |65.03%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |989

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.38%

| {{party shading/Others}} |206

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.29%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−22,799

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−31.73%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |71,858

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Lehigh

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |98,498

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |53.05%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |84,418

| {{party shading/Republican}} |45.47%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |2,176

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.17%

| {{party shading/Others}} |563

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.30%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |14,080

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |7.58%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |185,655

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Luzerne

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |64,873

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |42.26%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |86,929

| {{party shading/Republican}} |56.63%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,519

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |0.99%

| {{party shading/Others}} |178

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.12%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−22,056

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−14.37%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |153,499

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Lycoming

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |16,971

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |28.57%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |41,462

| {{party shading/Republican}} |69.80%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |821

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.38%

| {{party shading/Others}} |143

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.24%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−24,491

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−41.23%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |59,397

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |McKean

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,098

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.13%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |14,083

| {{party shading/Republican}} |72.18%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |285

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.46%

| {{party shading/Others}} |44

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.23%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−8,985

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−46.05%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |19,510

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Mercer

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |21,067

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |36.25%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |36,143

| {{party shading/Republican}} |62.19%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |744

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.28%

| {{party shading/Others}} |163

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.28%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−15,076

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−25.94%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |58,117

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Mifflin

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,603

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |21.36%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |16,670

| {{party shading/Republican}} |77.37%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |229

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.06%

| {{party shading/Others}} |45

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.21%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−12,067

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−56.01%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |21,547

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Monroe

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |44,060

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |52.43%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |38,726

| {{party shading/Republican}} |46.08%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,043

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.24%

| {{party shading/Others}} |205

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.24%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,334

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |6.35%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |84,034

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Montgomery

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |319,511

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |62.41%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |185,460

| {{party shading/Republican}} |36.23%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |5,186

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.01%

| {{party shading/Others}} |1,763

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.35%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |134,051

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |26.18%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |511,920

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Montour

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |3,771

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |38.41%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |5,844

| {{party shading/Republican}} |59.53%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |156

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.59%

| {{party shading/Others}} |46

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.47%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−2,073

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−21.12%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |9,817

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Northampton

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |85,087

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |49.64%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |83,854

| {{party shading/Republican}} |48.92%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |2,001

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.17%

| {{party shading/Others}} |457

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.27%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,233

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |0.72%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |171,399

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Northumberland

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |12,703

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |29.94%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |28,975

| {{party shading/Republican}} |68.28%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |657

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.55%

| {{party shading/Others}} |100

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.24%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−16,272

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−38.34%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |42,435

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Perry

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |5,950

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |24.06%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |18,293

| {{party shading/Republican}} |73.98%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |409

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.65%

| {{party shading/Others}} |76

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.31%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−12,343

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−49.92%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |24,728

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |Philadelphia

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |604,175

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |81.21%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |132,870

| {{party shading/Republican}} |17.86%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |4,854

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |0.65%

| {{party shading/Others}} |2,067

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.28%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |471,305

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |63.35%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |743,966

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Pike

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |13,052

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |40.02%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |19,241

| {{party shading/Republican}} |58.99%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |323

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |0.99%

| {{party shading/Others}} |0

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−6,189

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−18.97%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |32,616

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Potter

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |1,726

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |19.00%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |7,239

| {{party shading/Republican}} |79.68%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |99

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.09%

| {{party shading/Others}} |21

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.23%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−5,513

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−60.68%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |9,085

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Schuylkill

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |20,727

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |29.29%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |48,871

| {{party shading/Republican}} |69.07%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,005

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.42%

| {{party shading/Others}} |152

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.21%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−28,144

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−39.78%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |70,755

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Snyder

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,910

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.60%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |13,983

| {{party shading/Republican}} |72.90%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |247

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.29%

| {{party shading/Others}} |41

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.21%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−9,073

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−47.30%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |19,181

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Somerset

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |8,654

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |21.30%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |31,466

| {{party shading/Republican}} |77.45%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |423

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.04%

| {{party shading/Others}} |83

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.20%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−22,812

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−56.15%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |40,626

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Sullivan

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |921

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |25.60%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |2,619

| {{party shading/Republican}} |72.79%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |55

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.53%

| {{party shading/Others}} |3

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.08%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−1,698

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−47.19%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |3,598

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Susquehanna

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,236

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |28.59%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |15,207

| {{party shading/Republican}} |69.72%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |309

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.42%

| {{party shading/Others}} |61

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.28%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−8,971

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−41.13%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |21,813

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Tioga

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,955

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |23.45%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |15,742

| {{party shading/Republican}} |74.51%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |378

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.79%

| {{party shading/Others}} |51

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.24%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−10,787

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−51.06%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |21,126

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Union

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |7,475

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |37.02%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |12,356

| {{party shading/Republican}} |61.19%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |284

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.41%

| {{party shading/Others}} |77

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.38%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−4,881

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−24.17%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |20,192

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Venango

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |7,585

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |28.51%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |18,569

| {{party shading/Republican}} |69.81%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |374

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.41%

| {{party shading/Others}} |73

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.27%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−10,984

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−41.30%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |26,601

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Warren

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |6,066

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |29.37%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |14,237

| {{party shading/Republican}} |68.92%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |347

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.68%

| {{party shading/Others}} |7

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.03%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−8,171

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−39.55%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |20,657

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Washington

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |45,088

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |37.97%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |72,080

| {{party shading/Republican}} |60.70%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1,310

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.10%

| {{party shading/Others}} |278

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.23%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−26,992

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−22.73%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |118,756

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Wayne

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |9,191

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |32.65%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |18,637

| {{party shading/Republican}} |66.21%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |261

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |0.93%

| {{party shading/Others}} |58

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.21%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−9,446

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−33.56%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |28,147

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Westmoreland

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |72,192

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |35.16%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |130,299

| {{party shading/Republican}} |63.46%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |2,353

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.15%

| {{party shading/Others}} |486

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.24%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−58,107

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−28.30%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |205,330

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |Wyoming

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |4,704

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |31.57%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |9,936

| {{party shading/Republican}} |66.68%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |218

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.46%

| {{party shading/Others}} |42

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.28%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−5,232

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−35.11%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |14,900

style="text-align:center;"

| {{party shading/Republican}} |York

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |88,114

| {{party shading/Democratic}} |36.85%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |146,733

| {{party shading/Republican}} |61.36%

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |3,624

| {{party shading/Libertarian}} |1.52%

| {{party shading/Others}} |675

| {{party shading/Others}} |0.28%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−58,619

| {{party shading/Republican}} |−24.51%

| {{party shading/Republican}} |239,146

Totals3,461,22149.87%3,379,05548.69%79,4451.14%20,7280.30%82,1661.18%6,940,449

{{align|right|{{Switcher| 300px|Swing by county
{{collapsible list| title = Legend|

{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5–10%}}|

{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5–7.5%}}|

{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5–5%}}|

{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0–2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0–2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5–5%}}|

{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5–7.5%}}}}|

300px|Trend relative to the state by county
{{collapsible list| title = Legend|

{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5–10%}}|

{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5–7.5%}}|

{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5–5%}}|

{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0–2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0–2.5%}}|

{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5–5%}}|

{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5–7.5%}}}}|

300px|County flips
{{collapsible list| title = Legend| {{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Democratic

{{legend|#92c5de|Hold}}

{{legend|#0671b0|Gain from Republican}}

{{col-2}}

Republican

{{legend|#f48882|Hold}}

{{col-end}}}}}}}}

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

  • Erie (largest municipality: Erie){{Cite news |date=March 17, 2021 |title=Counties that flipped from Donald Trump to Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election |work=The Republican |url=https://www.masslive.com/politics/2021/03/counties-that-flipped-from-donald-trump-to-joe-biden-in-the-2020-presidential-election.html |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20250104034534/https://www.masslive.com/politics/2021/03/counties-that-flipped-from-donald-trump-to-joe-biden-in-the-2020-presidential-election.html |archive-date=January 4, 2025}}
  • Northampton (largest municipality: Bethlehem)

==By congressional district==

Biden and Trump both won half of the 18 congressional districts in Pennsylvania,{{cite web|url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-2020-2016-and-2012|title=Daily Kos Elections' presidential results by congressional district for 2020, 2016, and 2012|website=Daily Kos|access-date=March 4, 2021|archive-date=March 4, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210304174742/https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/11/19/1163009/-Daily-Kos-Elections-presidential-results-by-congressional-district-for-2020-2016-and-2012|url-status=live}} including each winning one held by the opposite party.

class=wikitable

! District

! Trump

! Biden

! Representative

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|1st

| 46.6%

| 52.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Brian Fitzpatrick

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|2nd

| 29.1%

| 70.1%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Brendan Boyle

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|3rd

| 8.1%

| 91.3%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Dwight Evans

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|4th

| 37.4%

| 61.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Madeleine Dean

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|5th

| 34%

| 65.1%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Mary Gay Scanlon

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|6th

| 41.9%

| 56.9%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Chrissy Houlahan

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|7th

| 47%

| 51.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Susan Wild

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|8th

| 51.7%

| 47.3%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Matt Cartwright

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|9th

| 64.5%

| 34.1%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Dan Meuser

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|10th

| 50.7%

| 47.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Scott Perry

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|11th

| 60.2%

| 38.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Lloyd Smucker

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|12th

| 67.3%

| 31.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Fred Keller

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|13th

| 71.6%

| 27.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|John Joyce

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|14th

| 63.2%

| 35.7%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Guy Reschenthaler

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|15th

| 71.2%

| 27.5%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Glenn Thompson

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|16th

| 58.7%

| 40%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Mike Kelly

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|17th

| 48%

| 50.7%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Conor Lamb

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|18th

| 34.4%

| 64.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Mike Doyle

Analysis

Throughout the year, Pennsylvania was regarded as the most important (or likely tipping-point) state in the entire election; Pennsylvania had 20 electoral votes, and it was one of the closest states of the 2016 presidential election. Both candidates aggressively played for the state; Trump needed the state as it represented his narrow path to re-election, while Biden needed the state to rebuild the blue wall, which Trump had broken in 2016 by carrying the northern industrial states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.{{cite news |last1=Sprunt |first1=Barbara |title=Unlocking The Keystone State: Why Pennsylvania Is Crucial |url=https://text.npr.org/930283252 |access-date=December 19, 2020 |agency=NPR |date=November 3, 2020 |archive-date=November 3, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201103172341/https://text.npr.org/930283252 |url-status=live }}

Historically, Pennsylvania has usually been a competitive state. During the Second Party System from 1828 to 1852, it voted for the winner of every election. From the Civil War on, it has generally had a partisan lean; during the Third and Fourth Party Systems, Pennsylvania was a classic Yankee Republican state. When Franklin Roosevelt carried it in 1936, he became the first Democrat in eighty years to do so. Between 1936 and 1988, neither major party carried Pennsylvania for more than three straight presidential elections, although between 1952 and 1988, it voted Democratic in every close election (1960, 1968, 1976), and consistently voted more Democratic than the nation. Starting in 1992, Pennsylvania became part of the blue wall—the group of states that voted Democratic for six straight elections from 1992 through 2012. In 2016, it was one of three blue wall states that Trump won on his way to an upset victory.

State Republicans sought to require that only mail-in ballots received by Election Day be counted. The Commonwealth's Supreme Court rejected their demands, deciding that, due to probable delays due to the ongoing coronavirus and U.S. Postal Service crisis, ballots received up to three days after Election Day would also be counted.{{cite news|url=https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/19/politics/pennsylvania-mail-in-voting-supreme-court/index.html|title=Supreme Court allows Pennsylvania to count mail-in ballots received after Election Day|publisher=CNN|last=de Vogue|first=Ariane|date=October 19, 2020|access-date=November 21, 2020|archive-date=February 17, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210217194110/https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/19/politics/pennsylvania-mail-in-voting-supreme-court/index.html|url-status=live}} Republicans then appealed the decision to the U.S. Supreme Court. Supreme Court justices produced a 4–4 tie (as the late Ruth Bader Ginsburg's seat remained vacant when the ruling was issued), with Chief Justice John Roberts siding with the three liberal justices, allowing the state supreme court decision to stand.

At 1.17%, Biden's winning margin percentage in Pennsylvania was the smallest ever for a Democratic presidential candidate who won Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania remained redder than the country in 2020 even as Biden won it, by about 3.3%. As in Michigan and Wisconsin, Biden ran behind Barack Obama's performances in 2008 and 2012, though he received more votes total in the state this cycle due to record-breaking turnout. Biden's margin of victory was also less than Al Gore's 4.2% margin of victory in 2000 and John Kerry's 2.5% margin of victory in 2004.

As for Trump, he easily set the record for total number of votes for a Republican candidate in Pennsylvania history (as with Biden, largely due to record-breaking turnout). With 48.84% of the vote, he did slightly outpace both his own vote share in 2016 (48.18%) and George W. Bush's in 2004 (48.42%), the latter of which had previously stood as the highest Republican vote share in the state since 1988.

Biden's strongest base of support was the Philadelphia metro area. In the city of Philadelphia itself, Biden won by 63.4%, a weaker win than Hillary Clinton's 66.9% margin in the city in 2016, but still better than Kerry's 61.1% margin in 2004 or Gore's 62.0% margin in 2000.{{cite web|last1=Tamari|first1=Jonathan|last2=Brennan|first2=Chris|last3=Walsh|first3=Sean Collins|last4=Lai|first4=Jonathan|date=2020-11-15|title=Philly was supposed to turn out huge for Biden. It didn't. What happened?|url=https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/philadelphia-2020-election-turnout-biden-trump-20201115.html|access-date=2020-12-07|newspaper=Philadelphia Inquirer|archive-date=December 5, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201205050657/https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/philadelphia-2020-election-turnout-biden-trump-20201115.html|url-status=live}} Donald Trump improved his vote share in Philadelphia by 2.5%,{{cite web|last=Brennan|first=Chris|date=2020-11-08|title=Philly put Biden over the top, but Trump did better in the city than four years ago|url=https://www.inquirer.com/news/president-donald-trump-joe-biden-philadelphia-election-day-20201107.html|access-date=2020-11-13|newspaper=Philadelphia Inquirer|archive-date=November 14, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201114044447/https://www.inquirer.com/news/president-donald-trump-joe-biden-philadelphia-election-day-20201107.html|url-status=live}} and, as of the counting on November 8, held a majority of the vote in the 26th, 58th, and 66th wards. However, Biden improved on Hillary Clinton dramatically in the Main Line counties of Montgomery and Chester, as well as, to a lesser extent, Delaware, increasing the Democratic vote share in these counties by 4.2%, 5.9%, and 3.5%, respectively, and winning them all by double digits. Before 1992, all three had been Republican strongholds in the state, and Chester had been considered a swing county as recently as 2012, when Romney narrowly carried it, but all three have drifted towards the Democratic column, as they tend to be socially liberal.{{cite web|last=Garrison|first=Joey|date=2020-11-13|title=Donald Trump keeps baselessly claiming voter fraud in cities. But suburbs actually lost him the election|url=https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/politics/elections/2020/11/13/donald-trump-lost-election-suburbs-not-cities-despite-claims/6263149002/|access-date=2020-11-13|newspaper=USA Today|archive-date=November 13, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201113200347/https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/politics/elections/2020/11/13/donald-trump-lost-election-suburbs-not-cities-despite-claims/6263149002/|url-status=live}}

Biden also performed strongly in Pennsylvania's other urban, suburban, and exurban areas. Crucially, he carried Allegheny County (Pittsburgh) by 20.4%, the widest margin any nominee had won the county by since 1992.{{cite web|last1=Morrison|first1=Oliver|title=How Allegheny County delivered Pennsylvania to Biden|url=https://www.publicsource.org/biden-trump-allegheny-county-pittsburgh-vote-breakdown/|access-date=December 19, 2020|website=Public Source|date=November 12, 2020|archive-date=November 27, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201127193706/https://www.publicsource.org/biden-trump-allegheny-county-pittsburgh-vote-breakdown/|url-status=live}} Centre and Dauphin both remained in the Democratic column; in the past, these counties voted Republican, though Centre County is home to Pennsylvania State University, while Dauphin County, home of Harrisburg, has followed the trend of urban areas becoming more Democratic. Biden also narrowly reclaimed two counties anchored by industrial cities which had long voted Democratic before Trump flipped them in 2016, Northampton (Bethlehem and Easton) and Erie (Erie), and improved on Hillary Clinton's margin in his birth county of Lackawanna County (Scranton), a county Hillary Clinton had barely kept in the Democratic column in 2016. In suburban Cumberland County, adjacent to Harrisburg, Biden shaved Trump's margin from 17.8% to 10.5%.{{Cite web|last=Sentinel|first=Zack Hoopes The|title=Analysis: Mapping out the 2020 vote in Cumberland County|url=https://cumberlink.com/news/local/analysis-mapping-out-the-2020-vote-in-cumberland-county/article_5744c0e2-56a5-5a5c-a1d8-efb1c653400b.html|access-date=2021-01-15|website=The Sentinel|date=November 24, 2020 |language=en|archive-date=December 2, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201202035558/https://cumberlink.com/news/local/analysis-mapping-out-the-2020-vote-in-cumberland-county/article_5744c0e2-56a5-5a5c-a1d8-efb1c653400b.html|url-status=live}} Northampton and Erie were the only counties to flip from one party to the other; Northampton has voted for the winner of the state in every election from 1952 on.

Trump maintained much of his momentum throughout rural and industrial Pennsylvania from four years earlier, with convincing victories in counties that were once competitive or even Democratic-leaning. He kept Luzerne County (Wilkes-Barre), which had voted Democratic six elections in a row before 2016 (and which had voted with the winner of the state from 1936 through 2016), in his column, although his margin in it was cut from 19.3% to 14.3%. Trump also won the former Democratic stronghold of Westmoreland County, although his margin in this county, crucial to his win in 2016,{{Cite web|date=2018-08-01|title=Trump, the Republican Party, and Westmoreland County|url=http://feature.politicalresearch.org/trump-and-westmoreland-county|access-date=2021-01-15|website=Atavist|language=en|archive-date=January 21, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210121205705/http://feature.politicalresearch.org/trump-and-westmoreland-county|url-status=live}} declined.{{Cite web|title=Westmoreland County still went heavily for Trump — just not as much as 2016 {{!}} TribLIVE.com|url=https://triblive.com/local/westmoreland/westmoreland-county-still-went-heavily-for-trump-just-not-as-much-as-2016/|access-date=2021-01-15|website=triblive.com|date=November 7, 2020|archive-date=November 7, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201107204148/https://triblive.com/local/westmoreland/westmoreland-county-still-went-heavily-for-trump-just-not-as-much-as-2016/|url-status=live}} Other previously competitive counties that Trump performed well in included Berks and Cambria, both of which voted for Obama in 2008. Trump further ran up the score in other conservative exurban{{Cite web|last=admin|date=2012-04-03|title=Coming to an exurb near you|url=https://www.cpbj.com/coming-to-an-exurb-near-you/|access-date=2021-01-16|website=Central Penn Business Journal|language=en-US|archive-date=March 10, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210310214124/https://www.cpbj.com/coming-to-an-exurb-near-you/|url-status=live}} counties, most notably in Lancaster and Lebanon counties, though his margin shrank somewhat in both.

Trump won whites in the state by 15 points, although like in the rest of the country, there was a clear disparity between college-educated and non-college-educated whites. Biden won whites with a college degree by 9 points, while Trump excelled with whites without a college degree, winning this group by 32 points. Additionally, there was a gender disparity with the white vote; Trump won white men by 15 points, but only carried white women by 3 points. Finally, there was an age gap; Biden won young voters by double-digit margins, whereas Trump performed strongly with middle-aged voters; senior citizens were more even, breaking slightly for Trump.{{cite news |title=Pennsylvania Exit Polls: How Different Groups Voted |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/exit-polls-pennsylvania.html |work=The New York Times |date=November 3, 2020 |access-date=December 19, 2020 |archive-date=December 18, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201218185739/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/exit-polls-pennsylvania.html |url-status=live }} Within minority blocs, Biden fared well, as he won black voters by 87 points, and won Latinos by 42 points. Three other critical voting blocs broke for Biden this cycle; he won independent voters by 8 points, moderates by 17 points, and first-time voters by 23 points.

=Voter demographics=

class="wikitable"

|+Edison Research exit poll

! Demographic subgroup

! {{party shading/Democratic}} | Biden

! {{party shading/Republican}} | Trump

! No
Answer

! % of
Voters

colspan="5" | Party
Democrat

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 92

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 7

| style="text-align:right;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | 40

Republican

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 8

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 91

| style="text-align:right;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | 41

Independent

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 52

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 44

| style="text-align:right;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | 19

colspan="5" | Gender
Men

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 44

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 55

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 47

Women

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 55

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 44

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 53

colspan="5" | Race
White

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 42

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 57

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 81

Black

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 92

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" |7

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 11

Latino

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 69

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 27

| style="text-align:right;" | 4

| style="text-align:right;" | 5

Asian

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

Other

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

colspan=5| Gender by race/ethnicity
White men

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;"| 37

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"| 62

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 38

White women

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;"| 47

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"| 52

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 43

Black men

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"| 89

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| 10

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 5

Black women

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"| 94

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| 4

| style="text-align:right;" | 2

| style="text-align:right;" | 6

Latino men (of any race)

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;"| N/A

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 3

Latino women (of any race)

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"| 83

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| 15

| style="text-align:right;" | 2

| style="text-align:right;" | 3

All other races

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"| 62

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| 33

| style="text-align:right;" | 5

| style="text-align:right;" | 2

colspan="5" | Age
18–24 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 59

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 37

| style="text-align:right;" | 3

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

25–29 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 67

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 31

| style="text-align:right;" | 2

| style="text-align:right;" | 6

30–39 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 61

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 37

| style="text-align:right;" | 2

| style="text-align:right;" | 16

40–49 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 52

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46

| style="text-align:right;" | 2

| style="text-align:right;" | 13

50–64 years old

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 41

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 59

| style="text-align:right;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | 31

65 and older

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 28

colspan=5|Sexual orientation
LGBT

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"| 64

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| 34

| style="text-align:right;" | 2

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

Heterosexual

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;"| 47

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"| 52

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 93

colspan=5|First time voter
First time voter

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"| 52

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| 45

| style="text-align:right;" | 3

| style="text-align:right;" | 13

Everyone else

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;"| 48

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"| 52

| style="text-align:right;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | 87

colspan="5" | Education
High school or less

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 35

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 64

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 16

Some college education

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 49

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 49

| style="text-align:right;" | 2

| style="text-align:right;" | 26

Associate degree

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 17

Bachelor's degree

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 54

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 26

Advanced degree

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 63

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 36

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 14

colspan=5|Education by race/ethnicity
White college graduates

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"| 54

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| 45

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 26

White no college degree

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;"| 20

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;"| 79

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 35

Non-white college graduates

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"| 83

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| 16

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 14

Non-white no college degree

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;"| 80

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;"| 19

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 25

colspan=5|Income
Under $30,000

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 60

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 37

| style="text-align:right;" | 3

| style="text-align:right;" | 15

$30,000–49,999

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 45

| style="text-align:right;" | 3

| style="text-align:right;" | 19

$50,000–99,999

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 53

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 46

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 23

$100,000–199,999

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 51

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 48

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 23

Over $200,000

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | N/A

| style="text-align:right;" | 7

colspan="5" | Abortion should be
Legal in all cases

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 84

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 15

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 25

Legal in most cases

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 67

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 32

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 30

Illegal in most cases

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 17

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 83

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 27

Illegal in all cases

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 12

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 85

| style="text-align:right;" | 3

| style="text-align:right;" | 13

colspan="5" | Region
Northeast

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 46

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 53

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 17

Philly Suburbs

| style="text-align:right; background:#b0ceff;" | 81

| style="text-align:right; background:#fff3f3;" | 18

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 11

Central

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 38

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 61

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 22

West

| style="text-align:right; background:#f0f0ff;" | 43

| style="text-align:right; background:#ffb6b6;" | 56

| style="text-align:right;" | 1

| style="text-align:right;" | 28

colspan="5" |Source: CNN{{Cite web|title=Pennsylvania 2020 President exit polls.|url=https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/pennsylvania|access-date=2020-12-14|website=www.cnn.com|language=en|archive-date=December 30, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221230201204/https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/pennsylvania|url-status=live}}

Aftermath

{{See also|Post-election lawsuits related to the 2020 U.S. presidential election from Pennsylvania}}

On November 24, 2020, the Secretary of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, Kathy Boockvar, certified the results, and Governor Tom Wolf, in accordance with the law, signed the certificate of ascertainment for the Biden/Harris slate of electors for Biden and Harris and sent it to the Archivist of the United States.Teresa Boeckel, [https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/24/pennsylvania-certifies-election-joe-biden-and-kamala-harris/6408670002/ Pennsylvania certifies election win for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201126052602/https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/24/pennsylvania-certifies-election-joe-biden-and-kamala-harris/6408670002/ |date=November 26, 2020 }}, York Daily Record (November 24, 2020).Lauren Egan, [https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/pennsylvania-certifies-election-results-biden-n1248804 Pennsylvania certifies Biden win, dimming Trump hopes of overturning election result] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210120023339/https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/pennsylvania-certifies-election-results-biden-n1248804 |date=January 20, 2021 }}, NBC News (November 24, 2020).

On November 25, 2020, the Pennsylvania Senate Majority (Republican) Policy committee held a public hearing regarding the counting of ballots in this election.{{Cite web| url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohe2dQbNJwM| archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201125200501/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ohe2dQbNJwM| archive-date=November 25, 2020| title=The Pennsylvania Senate Majority Policy Committee is holding a public hearing to discuss 2020 election issues and irregularities, at the request of Republican Senator Doug Mastriano| website=YouTube| date=November 25, 2020 | access-date=November 25, 2020| url-status=bot: unknown}} Trump planned to attend the meeting but he canceled the trip.{{Cite web|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/527531-trump-cancels-plans-to-attend-pennsylvania-gop-event-on-election|title=Trump cancels plans to attend Pennsylvania GOP event on election|first=Ian|last=Swanson|date=November 25, 2020|website=TheHill|access-date=November 25, 2020|archive-date=November 25, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201125211359/https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/527531-trump-cancels-plans-to-attend-pennsylvania-gop-event-on-election|url-status=live}}

Also, on November 25, after a group of Republican congressmen had filed a lawsuit to stop certification on Sunday November 22, Judge Patricia McCullough (R) ruled to halt further state certifications pending a hearing.

The Pennsylvania Supreme Court then ruled Saturday night on November 28 to unanimously overturn Judge Patricia McCullough's ruling to halt certification because no fraud was alleged and both parties could have objected throughout the year, but did not.{{cite news |last1=Vella |first1=Lauren |title=Pennsylvania Supreme Court strikes down GOP bid to stop election certification |url=https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/527838-pennsylvania-supreme-court-strikes-down-gop-bid-to-stop-election |access-date=November 29, 2020 |work=The Hill |date=November 28, 2020 |archive-date=November 29, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201129002939/https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/527838-pennsylvania-supreme-court-strikes-down-gop-bid-to-stop-election |url-status=live }}

On December 31, 2020, Pennsylvania Congressman Dan Meuser (PA-9), Congressman Glenn 'GT' Thompson (PA-15), Congressman Mike Kelly (PA-16), Congressman Scott Perry (PA-10), Congressman Lloyd Smucker (PA-11), Congressman Guy Reschenthaler (PA-14), Congressman John Joyce (PA-13), and Congressman Fred Keller (PA-12) released a statement that summarized their belief that the Pennsylvania state legislature had taken unlawful actions regarding the 2020 election process which, in their opinion, resulted in a "highly questionable and inaccurate vote total".{{Cite web |date=2020-12-31 |title=PENNSYLVANIA MEMBERS OF CONGRESS RELEASE STATEMENT REGARDING CERTIFICATION OF ELECTORS |url=http://meuser.house.gov/media/press-releases/pennsylvania-members-congress-release-statement-regarding-certification |access-date=2022-06-20 |website=Representative Dan Meuser |language=en |archive-date=May 25, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220525233023/https://meuser.house.gov/media/press-releases/pennsylvania-members-congress-release-statement-regarding-certification |url-status=live }}

= Official audits and recounts =

As required by state law, all counties completed a post-election sample audit.{{cite news |last1=Woodall |first1=Candy |title=Wolf, Democrats say Pa. already had election audits — and Biden won |url=https://www.goerie.com/story/news/2021/06/09/election-audits-wolf-dems-say-pa-already-had-them-and-biden-won/7626019002/ |access-date=September 8, 2023 |work=GoErie |date=June 9, 2021}} With the exception of three counties, Pennsylvania's counties also participated in a voluntary risk-limiting audit pilot.{{cite news |last1=Albiges |first1=Marie |title=Pa. Audit Confirms Biden Got More Votes than Trump, but Can't Tell Us Much Else |url=https://www.inquirer.com/news/pennsylvania/spl/pa-election-results-risk-limiting-audit-results-limitations-20210310.html |access-date=September 8, 2023 |work=Philadelphia Inquirer |date=March 10, 2021}} Both types of audits confirmed the certified results.

Lycoming County completed a hand recount and did not find any major discrepancy.{{cite news |last1=Walker |first1=Carter |title=No significant changes found in hand recount of 2020 presidential election in Pa.'s Lycoming County |url=https://www.spotlightpa.org/news/2023/01/pa-2020-presidential-election-recount-lycoming-county-results/ |access-date=1 April 2024 |work=Spotlight PA |publisher=Votebeat |date=13 January 2023}}

Butler County also completed a hand recount in two precincts and found no inaccuracies.{{cite news |last1=McGoldrick |first1=Gillian |title=Butler County Finishes 2020 Election Review After 170 Hours |url=https://www.governing.com/now/butler-county-finishes-2020-election-review-after-170-hours |access-date=1 April 2024 |work=Pittsburgh Post-Gazette |publisher=Governing |date=18 August 2022}}

= Objection =

On January 6, 2021, as Congress certified the Electoral College results confirming President-elect Joe Biden and Vice President-elect Kamala Harris as the winners, there was an objection to Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes, brought forward by U.S. Representative Scott Perry of Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district and officially signed onto by U.S. Senator Josh Hawley of Missouri.{{Cite web|last1=O'Key|first1=Sean|last2=Wolf|first2=Zachary B.|date=January 6, 2021|title=Tracking the electoral vote count in Congress|url=https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2021/01/politics/electoral-vote-count-congress-tracker/|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210106202436/https://www.cnn.com/interactive/2021/01/politics/electoral-vote-count-congress-tracker/ |archive-date=January 6, 2021 |access-date=January 20, 2021|website=CNN}} The objection failed 7–92 in the Senate, and 138–282 in the House.{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=January 7, 2021|title=Roll Call 1|url=https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/202111|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210107094822/https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/202111|archive-date=January 7, 2021|access-date=January 20, 2021|website=Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives|language=en}}

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

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Additional candidates

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References

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{{cite news |last=Hall |first=Richard |title=I saw Donald Trump's presidency come crashing down at Four Seasons Total Landscaping |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/i-saw-donald-trump-s-presidency-come-crashing-down-at-four-seasons-total-landscaping-b1699962.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201108185725/https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-election-2020/i-saw-donald-trump-s-presidency-come-crashing-down-at-four-seasons-total-landscaping-b1699962.html |archive-date=2020-11-08 |url-access=limited |url-status=live |quote="Who was it called by?", "All of them," came the response. |newspaper=The Independent |date=November 8, 2020 |access-date=2020-11-14}}

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Further reading

  • {{citation |work=Bloomberg.com |url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-09-02/u-s-election-how-will-ambridge-pennsylvania-vote-in-2020 |date=September 2, 2020 |title=A Rust Belt Town's Loyalties Divide as Pennsylvania Turns Purple |author=Shawn Donnan |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200910151756/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2020-09-02/u-s-election-how-will-ambridge-pennsylvania-vote-in-2020 |archive-date=September 10, 2020 |ref=none}}. (Focus on the town of Ambridge)
  • {{citation |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/politics/pennsylvania-political-geography/ |work=Washingtonpost.com |title=The seven political states of Pennsylvania |author1=David Weigel |author2=Lauren Tierney |date=September 6, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200907162243/https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/politics/pennsylvania-political-geography/ |archive-date=September 7, 2020 |ref=none |access-date=September 7, 2020 |url-status=dead}}. (Describes political geography of regions: Allegheny, Central, Dutch Country, Northeast, Philadelphia, Southeast, and West).
  • {{citation |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/10/opinion/2020-election-trump-pennsylvania.html |author=Michael Sokolove |date=September 10, 2020 |title=How Trump Could Win Pennsylvania Again |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200910101800/https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/10/opinion/2020-election-trump-pennsylvania.html |archive-date=September 10, 2020 |ref=none}}
  • {{citation |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/06/opinion/biden-trump-bellwether-counties-.html |work=The New York Times |title=The 10 Bellwether Counties That Show How Trump Is in Serious Trouble |author=David Wasserman |ref=none |date=October 6, 2020}}. (Describes bellwether Erie County, Pennsylvania)
  • {{citation |url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/pennsylvania-emerges-as-tipping-point-battleground-for-biden-and-trump/2020/10/10/e063f7dc-0afe-11eb-a166-dc429b380d10_story.html |work=Washingtonpost.com |title=Pennsylvania emerges as 'tipping-point' battleground for Biden and Trump — before and after Election Day |author=Michael Scherer |date=October 10, 2020 |display-authors=et al |ref=none}}