2022 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2022 Social Democratic Party leadership election

| colour1 = f68a21

| before_election = Rui Rio

| title = Leader

| percentage2 = 27.5%

| popular_vote2 = 7,306

| colour2 = f68a21

| candidate2 = Jorge Moreira da Silva

| image2 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Krzysztof Szczerski, Jorge Moreira da Silva, Zbigniew Rau (cropped).jpg|bSize = 150|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 7|oLeft = 16}}

| percentage1 = 72.5%

| popular_vote1 = 19,241

| candidate1 = Luís Montenegro

| flag_image = File:Partido Social Democrata Logo.svg

| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Luis Montenegro at EPP Summit, 21 March, Brussels.jpg|bSize = 145 |cWidth = 110 |cHeight = 150|oTop = 5|oLeft = 14}}

| election_date = 28 May 2022

| turnout = 60.5% {{decrease}}17.7 pp

| 2blank =

| 1blank =

| next_year = 2024

| next_election = 2024 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

| previous_year = 2021

| previous_election = 2021 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

| ongoing = no

| type = presidential

| after_election = Luís Montenegro

}}

The 2022 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election was held on 28 May 2022.{{Cite web|date=2022-03-15|title=Sucessor de Rio escolhido a 28 de maio. Ribau Esteves e Pedro Rodrigues marcam posição |url=https://expresso.pt/politica/2022-03-14-Sucessor-de-Rio-escolhido-a-28-de-maio.-Ribau-Esteves-e-Pedro-Rodrigues-marcam-posicao-36d3a4cc|access-date=2022-03-14|website=Expresso|language=pt-PT}} If no candidate achieved more than 50% of the votes in the first round, a second round would be held between the two most voted candidates in the first round on 4 June 2022, however, as only two candidates were on the ballot, Luís Montenegro and Jorge Moreira da Silva, a second round was not necessary.{{cite web|url=https://visao.sapo.pt/atualidade/politica/2022-05-16-psd-montenegro-e-moreira-da-silva-confirmados-como-dois-candidatos-a-lideranca/|title=PSD: Montenegro e Moreira da Silva confirmados como dois candidatos à liderança|work=Visão|date=16 May 2022|publisher=|accessdate=16 May 2022}} Nearly 45,000 party members, out of more than 85,000 active members, were registered to vote.{{cite web|url=https://www.dn.pt/politica/menos-militantes-pagam-quotas-para-escolha-entre-montenegro-ou-moreira-da-silva-14859082.html|title=Menos militantes pagam quotas para escolha entre Montenegro ou Moreira da Silva|work=Diário de Notícias|date=16 May 2022|access-date=16 May 2022|archive-date=16 May 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220516185053/https://www.dn.pt/politica/menos-militantes-pagam-quotas-para-escolha-entre-montenegro-ou-moreira-da-silva-14859082.html|url-status=live}}

The elections came after the defeat of the Social Democratic Party (PSD) in the 2022 Portuguese legislative election, where António Costa of the Socialist Party (PS) achieved an absolute majority. During election night, Rui Rio, the incumbent leader of the PSD, declared that he does not see how he could be useful in a PS majority.{{Cite web|title=Rui Rio: 'Eu não consigo argumentar como é que posso ser útil'|url=https://www.jn.pt/nacional/rui-rio-eu-nao-consigo-argumentar-como-e-que-posso-ser-util-14543739.html|access-date=2022-02-03|website=www.jn.pt|language=pt-PT}} On 3 February 2022, Rio announced his intention of leaving the PSD leadership and proposed the calling of a snap leadership election.{{Cite web|title=Rui Rio de saída do PSD anuncia que não se recandidata à liderança.|url=https://www.cmjornal.pt/politica/detalhe/rui-rio-de-saida-do-psd-anuncia-que-nao-se-recandidata-a-lideranca-partido-tera-eleicoes-internas-antecipadas|access-date=2022-02-03|website=www.cmjornal.pt|language=pt-PT}}

Luís Montenegro, the centrist wing candidate, defeated Jorge Moreira da Silva, the centre-left wing candidate by a landslide, 72% to 28%, and was elected as the new PSD leader; however, turnout dropped to just above 60%.{{Cite web |last=RTP |first= |title=Luís Montenegro é o novo presidente do PSD |url=https://www.rtp.pt/noticias/politica/luis-montenegro-e-o-novo-presidente-do-psd_n1408579|access-date=2022-05-29 |website=RTP |language=pt-PT}} Montenegro won all the districts in the country and didn't prevail in just 38 municipalities, out of 308.{{Cite web |last=Rodrigues |first=Sofia |title=Montenegro na hora da vitória: “Maioria expressiva vai facilitar unidade”|url=https://www.publico.pt/2022/05/29/politica/noticia/montenegro-hora-vitoria-maioria-expressiva-vai-facilitar-unidade-2008095|access-date=2022-05-29 |website=Público |language=pt-PT}}

Candidates

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Name

!Born

!Experience

!Announcement date

!class="unsortable" |Ref.

160x160px
Luís Montenegro

| {{dts|16-2-1973|df=y}}
(age 49)
Porto

| Leader of the Social Democratic Parliamentary Caucus (2011–2017)
Member of Parliament for Aveiro (2002–2017)

|29 March 2022

|{{cite web|url=https://www.publico.pt/2022/03/29/politica/noticia/luis-montenegro-vai-candidato-lideranca-psd-2000522|title=Luís Montenegro vai ser candidato à liderança do PSD |author=Público|date=29 March 2022|publisher=|accessdate=29 March 2022}}

120x120px
Jorge Moreira da Silva

| {{dts|24-4-1971|df=y}}
(age 51)
Vila Nova de Famalicão

| Leader of the Social Democratic Youth (1995–1998)
Member of the European Parliament (1999–2003)
Minister of the Environment, Territorial Planning and Energy (2013–2015)
Member of Parliament for Lisbon (2005–2006)
Member of Parliament for Braga (1995–1999), (2015–2016)

|1 April 2022

|{{cite web|url=https://eco.sapo.pt/2022/04/01/jorge-moreira-da-silva-candidata-se-a-lideranca-do-psd/|title=Jorge Moreira da Silva candidata-se à liderança do PSD |author=Eco|date=1 April 2022|publisher=|accessdate=1 April 2022}}

= Declined =

  • Rui Rio – incumbent President of PSD and Leader of the Opposition (2018–2022); former Mayor of Porto (2001–2013);
  • Luís Marques Mendes – political commentator; former leader of the PSD (2005–2007);{{Cite web|title=Marques Mendes descarta hipótese de candidatura à liderança do PSD|url=https://www.jn.pt/nacional/marques-mendes-descarta-hipotese-de-candidatura-a-lideranca-do-psd-14608103.html|access-date=2022-02-21|website=www.jn.pt|language=pt-PT}}
  • Carlos MoedasMayor of Lisbon (since 2021); former European Commissioner for Research, Science and Innovation (2014–2019);{{Cite web|last=Anjinho Chagas|first=Tomás|title=Carlos Moedas não é candidato à liderança do PSD. “Certamente estarei fora"|url=https://rr.sapo.pt/noticia/politica/2022/02/10/carlos-moedas-nao-e-candidato-a-lideranca-do-psd-certamente-estarei-fora/271952/|access-date=2022-02-22|website=rr.sapo.pt|language=pt-PT}}
  • Pedro Passos Coelho – former Prime Minister (2011–2015); former leader of the PSD (2010–2018);{{Cite web|date=2022-02-06|title=″O segundo mandato do Presidente da República não será muito gratificante para o próprio″|url=https://www.tsf.pt/portugal/politica/o-segundo-mandato-do-presidente-da-republica-nao-sera-muito-gratificante-para-o-proprio-14563305.html|access-date=2022-02-06|website=TSF Rádio Notícias|language=pt-PT}}
  • Paulo RangelMember of the European Parliament (2009–2024); candidate for the party leadership in the 2021 elections;{{Cite web|title=PSD. Paulo Rangel está a ponderar recandidatura à liderança|url=https://www.dn.pt/politica/psd-paulo-rangel-esta-a-ponderar-recandidatura-a-lideranca-14553370.html|access-date=2022-02-03|website=www.dn.pt|language=pt-PT}}{{Cite web|last=Renascença|date=2022-02-01|title=Malheiro lança Montenegro, Moreira da Silva e Rangel à liderança do PSD - Renascença|url=https://rr.sapo.pt/noticia/politica/2022/02/01/malheiro-lanca-montenegro-moreira-da-silva-e-rangel-a-lideranca-do-psd/270784/|access-date=2022-02-03|website=Rádio Renascença|language=pt-pt}}{{Cite web|title=Paulo Rangel considera que não é “a pessoa indicada” para a liderança do PSD |url=https://expresso.pt/politica/2022-03-17-Paulo-Rangel-considera-que-nao-e-a-pessoa-indicada-para-a-lideranca-do-PSD-48eff20d|access-date=2022-03-17|website=www.expresso.pt|language=pt-PT}}
  • Miguel Poiares Maduro – former Minister for Regional Development (2013–2015);{{Cite web |last=Lusa |first=Agência |title=Conselho Nacional do PSD vota esta segunda-feira proposta de diretas para 28 de maio e Congresso em julho |url=https://observador.pt/2022/03/14/conselho-nacional-do-psd-vota-esta-segunda-feira-proposta-de-diretas-para-28-de-maio-e-congresso-em-julho/ |access-date=2022-03-14 |website=Observador |language=pt-PT}}{{Cite web |last=Observador |first= |title="Não vou alimentar telenovelas: não faz sentido ser candidato a líder do PSD" |url=https://observador.pt/especiais/nao-vou-alimentar-telenovelas-nao-faz-sentido-ser-candidato-a-lider-do-psd/|access-date=2022-03-25 |website=Observador |language=pt-PT}}
  • José Ribau Esteves – Mayor of Aveiro (since 2013); former Mayor of Ílhavo (1998–2013);{{Cite web|date=2022-02-11|title=Notícia SIC: Ribau Esteves pondera entrar na corrida à liderança do PSD|url=https://sicnoticias.pt/pais/noticia-sic-ribau-esteves-pondera-entrar-na-corrida-a-lideranca-do-psd/|access-date=2022-02-12|website=SIC Notícias|language=pt-PT}}{{Cite web|date=2022-04-04|title=Ribau Esteves anuncia que não é candidato à liderança do PSD|url=https://portocanal.sapo.pt/noticia/295902|access-date=2022-04-04|website=Porto Canal|language=pt-PT}}
  • Miguel Pinto Luz – deputy mayor of Cascais (2017–2024); candidate for the party leadership in the 2020 elections;{{Cite web|last=Rodrigues|first=Sofia|title=PSD: os sucessores de quem se fala|url=https://www.publico.pt/2022/02/03/politica/noticia/psd-sucessores-fala-1994172|access-date=2022-02-04|website=PÚBLICO|language=pt}}{{Cite web|title=Pinto Luz só falará sobre candidatura à liderança do PSD depois da Comissão Política Nacional|url=https://www.dn.pt/politica/pinto-luz-so-falara-sobre-candidatura-a-lideranca-do-psd-depois-da-comissao-politica-nacional--14550475.html|access-date=2022-02-03|website=www.dn.pt|language=pt-PT}}{{Cite web|title=Pinto Luz: “Não serei candidato a líder do PSD”|url=https://observador.pt/programas/sob-escuta/pinto-luz-nao-serei-candidato-a-lider-do-psd/|access-date=2022-04-05|website=www.observador.pt|language=pt-PT}}
  • Pedro Rodrigues – former Social Democratic Youth leader (2007—2010); former member of the Assembly of the Republic (2019–2022; 2009–2011);{{Cite web |last=Carrapatoso |first=Miguel Santos |title=Pedro Rodrigues pondera avançar com candidatura à liderança do PSD |url=https://observador.pt/2022/03/14/pedro-rodrigues-pondera-avancar-com-candidatura-a-lideranca-do-psd/ |access-date=2022-03-17 |website=Observador |language=pt-PT}}{{Cite web |last= |first= |title=Pedro Rodrigues fora da corrida ao PSD|url=https://www.jn.pt/nacional/pedro-rodrigues-fora-da-corrida-ao-psd-14764106.html|access-date=2022-04-12 |website=Jornal de Notícias |language=pt-PT}}
  • André Coelho Lima – Member of the Assembly of the Republic from Braga (2019–2024).{{Cite web |title=Montenegro é favorito à liderança do PSD contra delfim de Rui Rio |url=https://www.cmjornal.pt/politica/detalhe/montenegro-e-favorito-a-lideranca-do-psd-contra-delfim-de-rui-rio |access-date=2022-02-03 |website=www.cmjornal.pt |language=pt-PT}}{{Cite web |last=Antunes |first=Miguel Santos Carrapatoso, Rui Pedro |title=André Coelho Lima recusa comentar Montenegro. "Terei opinião, mas devo estar no recato" |url=https://observador.pt/2022/03/29/andre-coelho-lima-recusa-comentar-montenegro-terei-opiniao-mas-devo-estar-no-recato/ |access-date=2022-04-14 |website=Observador |language=pt-PT}}

Opinion polls

=All voters=

class="wikitable collapsible" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! rowspan="3" style="width:260px;" | Polling firm/Commissioner

! rowspan="3" style="width:125px;" | Fieldwork date

! rowspan="3" style="width:40px;" | Sample size

! class="unsortable" style="width:60px;"|89x89px

! class="unsortable" style="width:60px;"|{{CSS image crop|Image =Krzysztof Szczerski, Jorge Moreira da Silva, Zbigniew Rau (cropped).jpg|bSize = 85|cWidth = 60|cHeight = 90|oTop = 0|oLeft = 11}}

! rowspan="3" style="width:60px;" | Others
/Undecided

! rowspan="3" style="width:30px;" | Lead

style="color:inherit;background:#FF9900;"|

! style="color:inherit;background:#FF9900;"|

{{small|Montenegro}}

!{{small|Moreira da Silva}}

[https://www.dn.pt/edicao-do-dia/27-mai-2022/candidatos-dividem-portugueses-mas-montenegro-vence-entre-eleitores-do-psd-14892501.html Aximage]

| data-sort-value="2019-10-03" | 19–24 May 2022

| 805

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |21

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |21

| 58

| Tie

[https://www.cm-tv.pt/atualidade/detalhe/20220518-2039-portugueses-preferem-luis-montenegro-na-lideranca-do-psd Intercampus]

| data-sort-value="2019-10-03" | 7–15 May 2022

| 611

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |54.7

| 32.1

| 13.2

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white;"| 22.6

=PSD voters=

class="wikitable collapsible" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! rowspan="3" style="width:260px;" | Polling firm/Commissioner

! rowspan="3" style="width:125px;" | Fieldwork date

! rowspan="3" style="width:40px;" | Sample size

! class="unsortable" style="width:60px;"|89x89px

! class="unsortable" style="width:60px;"|{{CSS image crop|Image =Krzysztof Szczerski, Jorge Moreira da Silva, Zbigniew Rau (cropped).jpg|bSize = 85|cWidth = 60|cHeight = 90|oTop = 0|oLeft = 11}}

! rowspan="3" style="width:60px;" | Others
/Undecided

! rowspan="3" style="width:30px;" | Lead

style="color:inherit;background:#FF9900;"|

! style="color:inherit;background:#FF9900;"|

{{small|Montenegro}}

!{{small|Moreira da Silva}}

[https://www.dn.pt/edicao-do-dia/27-mai-2022/candidatos-dividem-portugueses-mas-montenegro-vence-entre-eleitores-do-psd-14892501.html Aximage]

| data-sort-value="2019-10-03" | 19–24 May 2022

| 805

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |41

| 22

| 37

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white;"| 19

Results

class="wikitable" style="text-align:right; font-size:97%;"

|+ Summary of the May 2022 PSD leadership election results

rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="170"| Candidate

! colspan="2"| 28 May 2022

width="60"| Votes

! width="45"| %

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:#FF9900"|

| align="left"| Luís Montenegro

| 19,241

72.48
style="color:inherit;background:#FF9900"|

| align="left"| Jorge Moreira da Silva

| 7,306

27.52
colspan="4" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Total

| 26,547

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" |
colspan="4" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes

| 26,547

98.38
align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid and blank ballots

| 437

1.62
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout

| 26,984

60.46
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters

| 44,628

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" |
colspan="4" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="6"| Sources: [https://www.psd.pt/sites/default/files/2022-06/Diretas%202022%20-%20Homologac%CC%A7a%CC%83o%20de%20resultados%20.pdf Official results]

{{bar box

|title=Vote share

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=510px

|barwidth=310px

|bars=

{{bar percent|Luis Montenegro|#FF9900|72.48}}

{{bar percent|Jorge Moreira da Silva|#FF9900|27.52}}

}}

= Results by party federation =

The following table shows a breakdown of the results of the election by party federation, which are mostly equal to the electoral circles.{{Cite web |title=Resultados {{!}} PSD |url=https://resultados.psd.pt/eleicoes-2022 |access-date=2024-09-10 |website=resultados.psd.pt}}

class="wikitable" style="text-align:right; font-size:97%;"

|+Result breakdown of the 2022 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

! rowspan="3" |Federation

! colspan="2" |Luís Montenegro

! colspan="2" |Jorge Moreira da Silva

! rowspan="3" |Invalid

ballots

! rowspan="3" |Votes cast

! rowspan="3" |Registered

colspan="2" style="background:#FF9900;" |

! colspan="2" style="background:#FF9900;" |

Votes

!%

!Votes

!%

align="left" |Algarve

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |501

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |58.53

|355

|41.47

|10

|866

|1,314

align="left" |Aveiro

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |1,734

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |64.73

|945

|35.27

|56

|2,735

|4,581

align="left" |Baixo Alentejo

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |166

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |77.93

|47

|22.07

|3

|216

|322

align="left" |Braga

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |2,533

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |66.61

|1,270

|33.39

|68

|3,871

|6,533

align="left" |Bragança

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |760

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |85.88

|125

|14.12

|15

|900

|1,305

align="left" |Castelo Branco

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |285

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |68.67

|130

|31.33

|9

|424

|714

align="left" |Coimbra

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |780

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |75.36

|255

|24.64

|26

|1,061

|1,743

align="left" |Évora

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |205

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |75.93

|65

|24.07

|3

|273

|463

align="left" |Guarda

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |610

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |76.25

|190

|23.75

|11

|811

|1,210

align="left" |Leiria

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |818

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |77.32

|240

|22.68

|21

|1,079

|1,934

align="left" |Lisbon: Urban Area

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |2,069

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |69.57

|905

|30.43

|44

|3,018

|5,668

align="left" |Lisbon: Oeste

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |173

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |71.19

|70

|28.81

|6

|249

|400

align="left" |Portalegre

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |138

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |75.82

|44

|24.18

|1

|183

|286

align="left" |Porto

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |3,134

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |72.83

|1,169

|27.17

|75

|4,378

|7,671

align="left" |Santarém

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |604

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |77.84

|172

|22.16

|14

|790

|1,332

align="left" |Setúbal

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |484

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |66.12

|248

|33.88

|19

|751

|1,256

align="left" |Viana do Castelo

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |602

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |74.50

|206

|25.50

|23

|831

|1,162

align="left" |Vila Real

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |937

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |80.02

|234

|19.98

|7

|1,178

|1,658

align="left" |Viseu

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |1115

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |77.00

|333

|23.00

|10

|1,458

|1,989

align="left" |Azores

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |353

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |75.43

|115

|24.57

|2

|470

|691

align="left" |Madeira

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |1,152

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |87.71

|162

|12.29

|14

|1,332

|2,261

align="left" |Europe

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |75

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |81.52

|17

|18.48

|0

|92

|118

align="left" |Outside of Europe

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |9

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |50.00

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |9

| {{Party shading/PSD}} |50.00

|0

|18

|18

See also

References

{{Reflist}}