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2023 Ceuta Assembly election

{{Short description|none}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2023 Ceuta Assembly election

| country = Ceuta

| type = parliamentary

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2019 Ceuta Assembly election

| previous_year = 2019

| next_election = 2027 Ceuta Assembly election

| next_year = 2027

| outgoing_members =

| elected_members =

| seats_for_election = All 25 seats in the Assembly of Ceuta

| majority_seats = 13

| opinion_polls =

| registered = 63,301 File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.2%

| turnout = 34,685 (54.8%)
File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg0.3 pp

| election_date = 28 May 2023

| image1 = 170x170px

| leader1 = Juan Jesús Vivas

| party1 = People's Party (Spain)

| leader_since1 = October 1999

| last_election1 = 9 seats, 31.1%

| seats1 = 9

| seat_change1 = File:Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0

| popular_vote1 = 11,774

| percentage1 = 34.3%

| swing1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3.2 pp

| image2 = 170x170px

| leader2 = Manuel Hernández Peinado

| party2 = Spanish Socialist Workers' Party

| leader_since2 = 25 July 2015

| last_election2 = 7 seats, 25.6%

| seats2 = 6

| seat_change2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1

| popular_vote2 = 7,198

| percentage2 = 21.0%

| swing2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg4.6 pp

| image3 = 170x170px

| leader3 = Juan Sergio Redondo

| party3 = Vox (political party)

| leader_since3 = 22 April 2019

| last_election3 = 6 seats, 22.4%

| seats3 = 5

| seat_change3 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1

| popular_vote3 = 7,073

| percentage3 = 20.6%

| swing3 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1.8 pp

| image4 = 170x170px

| leader4 = Fatima Hamed

| party4 = Movement for Dignity and Citizenship

| leader_since4 = 27 October 2014

| last_election4 = 2 seats, 7.0%

| seats4 = 3

| seat_change4 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1

| popular_vote4 = 3,848

| percentage4 = 11.2%

| swing4 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg4.2 pp

| image5 = 170x170px

| leader5 = Mohamed Mustafa

| party5 = Ceuta Ya!

| leader_since5 = 15 October 2021

| last_election5 = 1 seat, 6.2%{{efn|Results for Caballas in the 2019 election.}}

| seats5 = 2

| seat_change5 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1

| popular_vote5 = 3,442

| percentage5 = 10.0%

| swing5 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3.8 pp

| title = Mayor-President

| before_election = Juan Jesús Vivas

| before_party = People's Party (Spain)

| after_election = Juan Jesús Vivas

| after_party = People's Party (Spain)

}}

The 2023 Ceuta Assembly election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Ceuta. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Electoral system

The Assembly of Ceuta was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Ceuta.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 1/1995, de 13 de marzo, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Ceuta |type=Law |number=1 |language=es |date=13 March 1995 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1995-6358&tn=1&p=19950314 |access-date=21 February 2020}} Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General |type=Organic Law |number=5 |language=es |date=19 June 1985 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20221003 |access-date=8 April 2023}}

The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied.

The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee would be determined by lot.

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

=Graphical summary=

{{wide image|OpinionPollingCeutaAssemblyElection2023.svg|750px|Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.}}

=Voting intention estimates=

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Ceuta.

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:45px;" rowspan="2"| Turnout

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo del PP (2022).svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logotipo del PSOE.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:VOX logo.svg

! style="width:35px; font-size:90%;"| MDyC

! style="width:35px;"| File:Coalición Caballas.png

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de Ciudadanos reducido (2023).svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de Podemos (2022).svg

! style="width:35px;"| CY!

! style="width:35px;"| {{tooltip|2=Ceuta Advance|CA}}

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Caballas Coalition}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party, 2022)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:#3E8C8D;"|

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2023 Assembly election

| 28 May 2023

| {{N/A}}

| 54.8

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 34.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 21.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 20.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 11.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| {{efn|name="CY"|Within CY!.}}

| 0.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 0.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 10.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 13.3

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=El sondeo de Ceuta y Melilla al margen de las sospechas de la compra de voto |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/sondeo-ceuta-melilla-margen-sospechas-compra-voto_311059102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=20 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=EP Autonómico (20My – Final): nos espera un 28M de infarto |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-20my-final-nos-espera-un-28m-de-infarto/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=20 May 2023}}

| 11–17 May 2023

| 250

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 34.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 25.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 21.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 10.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| 7.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 9.1

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Esto es lo que pasará el 28-M en Ceuta y Melilla, según el último pronóstico electoral |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/espana/esto-pasara-28-m-ceuta-melilla-segun-ultimo-pronostico-electoral_310730102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=13 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-13m-exclusivo-patrones/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=13 May 2023}}

| 4–10 May 2023

| 250

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 33.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 25.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 21.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 10.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| 7.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 8.1

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=La estimación de escaños de Ceuta y Melilla deja todo abierto de cara a las elecciones autonómicas |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/estimacion-escanos-ceuta-melilla-deja-todo-abierto-cara-elecciones-autonomicas_310354102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=6 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-6m-23/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=6 May 2023}}

| 26 Apr–3 May 2023

| 250

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 33.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 25.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 21.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 10.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| 7.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 8.0

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Ceuta y Melilla / El PP ganaría en las ciudades autónomas, pero necesitaría el apoyo de la extrema derecha |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/ceuta-melilla-pp-ganaria-ciudades-autonomas-necesitaria-apoyo-extrema-derecha_310064102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=29 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-29a-exclusivo-patronest/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=29 April 2023}}

| 19–25 Apr 2023

| 250

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 33.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 25.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 20.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 10.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| 7.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 7.7

GAD3/RTVCE{{cite web |title=Encuesta elecciones Ceuta |url=https://www.gad3.com/encuesta-elecciones-ceuta-2/ |language=es |work=GAD3 |date=28 April 2023}}

| 20–24 Apr 2023

| 803

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 39.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 19.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 21.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5/6}}

| 10.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 1.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 6.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 18.0

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Ceuta y Melilla / El PP necesitaría de la extrema derecha para gobernar en las ciudades autónomas |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/ceuta-melilla-pp-necesitaria-extrema-derecha-gobernar-ciudades-autonomas_309645102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=23 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A) |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-22a-exclusivo-patrones/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=22 April 2023}}

| 12–18 Apr 2023

| 250

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 29.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 25.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 20.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 9.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| 8.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 4.1

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Abril 2023. Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1651885373017010177 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=28 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=[AUT] CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 28/04/2023: CEUTA YA! 7,3% (2), MDyC 10,7% (2/3), PSOE 21,9% (6), PP 24,9% (6/7), VOX 31,8% (8) |url=https://www.electografica.com/2023/04/ceuta-encuesta-sym-consulting-230428.html |language=es |work=Electográfica |date=28 April 2023}}

| 7–11 Apr 2023

| 818

| 49.6

| 24.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6/7}}

| 21.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| {{Party shading/Vox}}| 31.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 10.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| –

| –

| 7.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}; color:white;"| 6.9

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Ceuta y Melilla / El PP necesitaría pactar con Vox o PSOE para repetir gobierno |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/electopanel-ceuta-melilla_309222102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=15 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (15A) – varias CCAA en un puño |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-15a-varias-ccaa-en-un-puno/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=15 April 2023}}

| 5–11 Apr 2023

| 250

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 25.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 19.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 9.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| 8.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 5.3

Dialoga Consultores/CeutaTV{{cite web |title=Encuesta electoral. Hay partido. El PP va ganando (10), pero el PSOE podría ganar (9) |url=https://www.ceutatv.com/articulo/ute/encuesta-electoral-partido-pp-va-ganando-10-psoe-podria-ganar-9/20230409211307146668.html |language=es |work=CeutaTV |date=9 April 2023}}

| 9 Apr 2023

| 600

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9/11}}

| 31.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/10}}

| 18.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/6}}

| 5.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 0.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 3.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 4.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 3.8

ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Ceuta y Melilla / El PP ganaría las elecciones en ambas ciudades autónomas, pero necesitaría apoyos para gobernar |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/electopanel-ceuta-melilla-pp-ganaria-elecciones-necesitaria-apoyos_308916102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=8 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-8a23-comienza-el-juego/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=8 April 2023}}

| 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023

| 250

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 31.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 24.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 19.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 9.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| 8.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 6.3

GAD3/El Pueblo de Ceuta{{cite web |title=Vivas ganaría las elecciones, a solo dos escaños de la mayoría absoluta según GAD3 |url=https://elpueblodeceuta.es/art/78760/vivas-ganaria-las-elecciones-a-solo-dos-escanos-de-la-mayoria-absoluta-segun-gad3/ |language=es |work=El Pueblo de Ceuta |date=21 February 2023}}

| 23 Jan–10 Feb 2023

| 1,004

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 38.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 21.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 19.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 9.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| 5.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 3.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 16.5

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Diciembre 2022. Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1610536202326736896 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=4 January 2023}}{{cite web |title=CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 04/01/2023: CEUTA YA! 9,3% (3), MDyC 7,4% (1/2), PSOE 20,2% (5), CEUTA AVANZA 1,9%, PP 25,4% (6/7), VOX 32,8% (9) |url=https://www.electografica.com/2023/01/ceuta-encuesta-sym-consulting-230104.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=4 January 2023}}

| 5–9 Dec 2022

| 1,279

| 52.8

| 25.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6/7}}

| 20.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| {{Party shading/Vox}}| 32.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 7.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| –

| –

| 9.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 1.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}; color:white;"| 7.4

GAD3/El Pueblo de Ceuta{{cite web |title=El PP sumaría un escaño más y ganaría de nuevo las elecciones en Ceuta, según GAD3 |url=https://elpueblodeceuta.es/art/74143/el-pp-sumaria-un-escano-mas-y-ganaria-de-nuevo-las-elecciones-en-ceuta-segun-gad3 |language=es |work=El Pueblo de Ceuta |date=20 September 2022}}

| 2–14 Sep 2022

| 684

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 36.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 20.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 18.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 0.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| 6.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 9.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 16.1

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Julio 2022. Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1547833727056633856 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=15 July 2022}}{{cite web |title=CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 15/07/2022: CEUTA YA! 7,2% (2), MDyC 9,2% (2), PSOE 20,8% (5/6), CEUTA AVANZA 2,2%, PP 25,4% (7), VOX 31,9% (8/9) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2022/07/ceuta-encuesta-sym-consulting-220715.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=15 July 2022}}

| 6–10 Jul 2022

| 1,116

| 53.8

| 25.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 20.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5/6}}

| {{Party shading/Vox}}| 31.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}

| 9.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| –

| –

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 2.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}; color:white;"| 6.5

NC Report/El Faro de Ceuta{{cite web |title=Una encuesta de NC Report da al PP la victoria electoral en 2023 |url=https://elfarodeceuta.es/encuesta-nc-report-pp-victoria-electoral-2023/ |language=es |work=El Faro de Ceuta |date=3 February 2022}}

| 3 Feb 2022

|?

| 57.9

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 33.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 27.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 23.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 5.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| 1.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 1.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 5.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 6.4

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Diciembre 2021. Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1475397688770367489 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=27 December 2021}}{{cite web |title=CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 27/12/2021: CEUTA YA! 5,8% (1/2), MDyC 11,6% (3), PSOE 22,1% (6), PP 23,8% (6), VOX 32,9% (8/9) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2021/12/ceuta-encuesta-sym-consulting-211227.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=27 December 2021}}

| 16–19 Dec 2021

| 740

| 56.0

| 23.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 22.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| {{Party shading/Vox}}| 32.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}

| 11.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| {{efn|name="CY"}}

| –

| –

| 5.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}; color:white;"| 9.1

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=EP Ceuta (30S): PP y Vox entran en empate técnico |url=https://electomania.es/epceuta30s21/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=30 September 2021}}

| 30 Sep 2021

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 28.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 23.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 25.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 10.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 9.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 1.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 2.9

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Mayo 2021. Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1397439860600868864 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=26 May 2021}}{{cite web |title=CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 26/05/2021: CABALLAS 7,8% (2), MDyC 10,1% (2/3), PSOE 23,3% (6), PP 26,6% (7), VOX 28,2% (7/8) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2021/05/ceuta-encuesta-sym-consulting-210526.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=26 May 2021}}

| 20–23 May 2021

| 732

| 53.2

| 26.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 23.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| {{Party shading/Vox}}| 28.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

| 10.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 7.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}; color:white;"| 1.6

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=EP (15F): doble sorpasso en Ceuta (Vox al PSOE y Caballas a MDyC). En Melilla, bajada del PP y subida de CpM, que le acecha |url=https://electomania.es/ep-15f-doble-sorpasso-en-ceuta-vox-al-psoe-y-caballas-a-mdyc-en-melilla-bajada-del-pp-y-subida-de-cpm-que-le-acecha/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=15 February 2021}}

| 15 Feb 2021

| 400

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 31.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 21.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 22.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 10.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 10.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 1.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 9.3

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Diciembre 2020 Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1340944242013839360 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=21 December 2020}}{{cite web |title=CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/12/2020: CABALLAS 12,7% (3), MDyC 8,9% (2), PSOE 20,1% (5/6), PP 25,0% (7), VOX 28,3% (7/8) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/12/ceuta-encuesta-sym-consulting-201221.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=21 December 2020}}

| 9–12 Dec 2020

| 652

| 49.8

| 25.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 20.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5/6}}

| {{Party shading/Vox}}| 28.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

| 8.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 12.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}; color:white;"| 3.3

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=EP Autonómico (30S): subida de MDyC y bajada del PP que dejan a la izquierda más cerca del Gobierno de Ceuta |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-30s-subida-de-mdyc-y-bajada-del-pp-que-dejan-a-la-izquierda-mas-cerca-del-gobierno-de-ceuta/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=30 September 2020}}

| 16 Aug–26 Sep 2020

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 38.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 22.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 15.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 10.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 8.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 2.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 16.8

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Septiembre 2020 Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1306519033215422465 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=17 September 2020}}{{cite web |title=CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 17/09/2020: CABALLAS 9,7% (2), MDyC 11,4% (3), PSOE 20,5% (5/6), PP 29,8% (8), VOX 23,4% (6/7) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/09/ceuta-encuesta-sym-consulting-200917.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=17 September 2020}}

| 12–13 Sep 2020

| 687

| 50.8

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 29.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 20.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5/6}}

| 23.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6/7}}

| 11.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 9.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 6.4

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Julio 2020 Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1276772711956713472 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=27 June 2020}}{{cite web |title=CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 27/06/2020: CABALLAS 9,2% (2/3), MDyC 8,3% (2), PSOE 26,1% (7), Cs 1,8%, PP 35,4% (9/10), VOX 14,5% (4) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/06/ceuta-encuesta-sym-consulting-200627.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=27 June 2020}}

| 22–23 Jun 2020

| 564

| 59.3

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9/10}}

| 26.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 14.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 8.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 9.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 1.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 9.3

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Mayo 2020 Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1267394447576371200 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=1 June 2020}}{{cite web |title=CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 01/06/2020: CABALLAS 12,0% (3), MDyC 16,8% (4/5), PSOE 18,2% (5), Cs 1,4%, PP 39,3% (10/11), VOX 8,4% (2) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/06/ceuta-encuesta-sym-consulting-200601.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=1 June 2020}}

| 25–26 May 2020

| 541

| 65.9

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 39.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10/11}}

| 18.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 8.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 16.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| 12.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 1.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 21.1

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=EP (17My): Ceuta – trasvase de Vox al PP |url=https://electomania.es/ep-17my-ceuta-trasvase-de-vox-al-pp/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=17 May 2020}}{{cite web |title=MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+ |url=https://electomania.es/macropanel-autonomico-17my-8-gobiernos-para-psoe-8-para-pp-y-3-para-otros/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=17 May 2020}}

| 1 Apr–15 May 2020

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 40.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 24.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 16.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 2.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 15.8

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación oleada Febrero 2020 Ceuta. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1225113530178973696 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=5 February 2020}}{{cite web |title=CEUTA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 05/02/2020: CABALLAS 10,1% (2/3), MDyC 12,5% (3), PSOE 24,9% (7), Cs 1,6%, PP 39,1% (10/11), VOX 7,9% (2) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/02/ceuta-encuesta-sym-consulting-200205.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=5 February 2020}}

| 1–2 Feb 2020

| 534

| 61.7

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 39.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10/11}}

| 24.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 7.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 12.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 10.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 1.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 14.2

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| November 2019 general election

| 10 Nov 2019

| {{N/A}}

| 54.0

| 22.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(6)}}

| 31.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(9)}}

| {{Party shading/Vox}}| 35.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(10)}}

| 2.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| –

| 3.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| 3.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}; color:white;"| 3.9

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2019 Assembly election

| 26 May 2019

| {{N/A}}

| 54.5

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 31.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 25.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 22.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 7.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 4.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 1.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 5.5

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|

Results

class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"

|+ ← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Assembly of Ceuta election results →

colspan="7"| File:CeutaAssemblyDiagram2023.svg
style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="525"| Parties and alliances

! colspan="3"| Popular vote

! colspan="2"| Seats

width="75"| Votes

! width="45"| %

! width="45"| ±pp

! width="35"| Total

! width="35"| +/−

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}"|

| align="left"| People's Party (PP)

| 11,774

34.34style="color:green;"| +3.22

| 9

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}"|

| align="left"| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)

| 7,198

21.00style="color:red;"| –4.60

| 6

style="color:red;"| –1
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

| align="left"| Vox (Vox)

| 7,073

20.63style="color:red;"| –1.74

| 5

style="color:red;"| –1
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}}"|

| align="left"| Movement for Dignity and Citizenship (MDyC)

| 3,848

11.22style="color:green;"| +4.26

| 3

style="color:green;"| +1
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}}"|

| align="left"| Ceuta Now! (Ceuta Ya!)1

| 3,442

10.04style="color:green;"| +3.82

| 2

style="color:green;"| +1
colspan="7" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"|
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

| align="left"| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS)

| 239

0.70style="color:red;"| –3.84

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party, 2022)}}"|

| align="left"| We Can (Podemos)2

| 192

0.56style="color:red;"| –0.93

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Free (Spain)}}"|

| align="left"| Free (LB)

| 122

0.36New

| 0

±0
align="left" colspan="2"| Blank ballots

| 394

1.15style="color:green;"| +0.55

| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|

colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Total

| 34,282

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|

| 25

±0
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes

| 34,282

98.84style="color:red;"| –0.30

| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2" rowspan="5"|

align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid votes

| 403

1.16style="color:green;"| +0.30
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout

| 34,685

54.79style="color:green;"| +0.25
align="left" colspan="2"| Abstentions

| 28,616

45.21style="color:red;"| –0.25
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters

| 63,301

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="7"| Sources{{cite journal |journal=Boletín Oficial del Estado |issue=261 |date=1 November 2023 |language=es |title=Resolución de 5 de julio de 2023, de la Presidencia de la Junta Electoral Central, por la que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones locales convocadas por Real Decreto 207/2023, de 3 de abril, y celebradas el 28 de mayo de 2023, según los datos que figuran en las actas de proclamación remitidas por cada una de las Juntas Electorales de Zona. Provincias: Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Segovia, Sevilla, Soria, Tarragona, Teruel, Toledo, Valencia, Valladolid, Zamora y Zaragoza. Ciudades Autónomas de Ceuta y Melilla |url=https://www.boe.es/boe/dias/2023/08/07/pdfs/BOE-A-2023-18101.pdf |issn=0212-033X |pages=145194–146077}}
colspan="7" style="text-align:left; max-width:790px;"| {{hidden|ta1=left|title=Footnotes:|content={{ubl

|1 Ceuta Now! results are compared to Caballas Coalition totals in the 2019 election.

|2 We Can results are compared to the totals of United We Can–United Left–Equo in the 2019 election.}}}}

{{bar box

|title=Popular vote

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}|34.34}}

{{bar percent|PSOE|{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}|21.00}}

{{bar percent|Vox|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|20.63}}

{{bar percent|MDyC|{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}}|11.22}}

{{bar percent|CY!|{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}}|10.04}}

{{bar percent|Others|#777777|1.61}}

{{bar percent|Blank ballots|#DDDDDD|1.15}}

}}

{{bar box

|title=Seats

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}|36.00}}

{{bar percent|PSOE|{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}|24.00}}

{{bar percent|Vox|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|20.00}}

{{bar percent|MDyC|{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}}|12.00}}

{{bar percent|CY!|{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}}|8.00}}

}}

Aftermath

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
bgcolor="#E9E9E9"

| colspan="4" align="center" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| Investiture

colspan="2" width="275px"| Ballot →

! colspan="2"| 17 June 2023

colspan="2"| Required majority →

| colspan="2"| 13 out of 25{{efn|If no candidate reaches an absolute majority, the candidate from the largest party is elected as Mayor}}

width="1px" style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}};"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Juan Jesús Vivas (PP)

|• PP (9)

}}

| {{Composition bar|9|25|{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}|width=125px}}

| {{tick|15}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}};"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Fatima Hamed (MDyC)

|• MDyC (3)

}}

| {{Composition bar|3|25|{{party color|Movement for Dignity and Citizenship}}|width=125px}}

| {{cross|15}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}};"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Mohamed Mustafa (Ceuta Ya!)

|• Ceuta Ya! (2)

}}

| {{Composition bar|2|25|{{party color|Ceuta Ya!}}|width=125px}}

| {{cross|15}}

style="color:inherit;background:gray;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Blank ballots

|• PSOE (6)

|• Vox (5)

}}

| colspan="2" | {{Composition bar|11|25|gray|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:black;"|

| align="left"| Absentees

| colspan="2"| {{Composition bar|0|25|black|width=125px}}

align="left" colspan="4"| Sources{{cite news |date=17 June 2023 |url=https://www.eldiario.es/politica/popular-juan-vivas-investido-septima-vez-presidente-ceuta-abstencion-psoe-vox_1_10303424.amp.html |title=El popular Juan Vivas, investido por séptima vez presidente de Ceuta con la abstención de PSOE y Vox |work=eldiario.es |access-date=20 June 2023}}

Notes

{{notelist}}

References

;Opinion poll sources

{{reflist|group="p"}}

;Other

{{reflist}}

{{Ceuta elections}}

{{Regional elections in Spain in the 2020s}}

2023

Ceuta

Category:May 2023 in Spain

Category:21st century in Ceuta