2023 Melilla Assembly election#Results
{{Short description|Election in the Spanish autonomous city of Melilla}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2023 Melilla Assembly election
| country = Melilla
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2019 Melilla Assembly election
| previous_year = 2019
| next_election = 2027 Melilla Assembly election
| next_year = 2027
| outgoing_members =
| elected_members =
| seats_for_election = All 25 seats in the Assembly of Melilla
| majority_seats = 13
| opinion_polls =
| registered = 61,138 File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3.0%
| turnout = 30,239 (49.5%)
File:Red Arrow Down.svg8.4 pp
| election_date = 28 May 2023
| image1 = 170x170px
| leader1 = Juan José Imbroda
| party1 = People's Party (Spain)
| leader_since1 = 20 July 2000
| last_election1 = 10 seats, 37.8%
| seats1 = 14
| seat_change1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg4
| popular_vote1 = 15,640
| percentage1 = 52.6%
| swing1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg14.8 pp
| image2 = 170x170px
| leader2 = Dunia Almansouri
| party2 = Coalition for Melilla
| leader_since2 = 20 April 2023
| last_election2 = 8 seats, 30.6%
| seats2 = 5
| seat_change2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg3
| popular_vote2 = 5,590
| percentage2 = 18.8%
| swing2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg11.8 pp
| image3 = 170x170px
| leader3 = Gloria Rojas
| party3 = Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
| leader_since3 = 24 November 2014
| last_election3 = 4 seats, 14.4%
| seats3 = 3
| seat_change3 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1
| popular_vote3 = 3,206
| percentage3 = 10.8%
| swing3 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg3.6 pp
| image4 = 170x170px
| leader4 = José Miguel Tasende
| party4 = Vox (political party)
| leader_since4 = 28 December 2022
| last_election4 = 2 seats, 7.8%
| seats4 = 2
| seat_change4 = File:Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0
| popular_vote4 = 2,957
| percentage4 = 9.9%
| swing4 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2.1 pp
| image5 = 170x170px
| leader5 = Amin Azmani
| party5 = Somos Melilla
| leader_since5 = 5 April 2023
| last_election5 = 0 seats, 2.0%{{efn|name="SML"|Results for Adelante Melilla in the 2019 election.}}
| seats5 = 1
| seat_change5 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1
| popular_vote5 = 1,524
| percentage5 = 5.1%
| swing5 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3.1 pp
| title = Mayor-President
| before_election = Eduardo de Castro
| before_party = Independent (politician)
| after_election = Juan José Imbroda
| after_party = People's Party (Spain)
}}
The 2023 Melilla Assembly election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Melilla. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The election campaign was shook by a vote-buying scandal, after an unusual increase of the postal voting was detected.{{cite news |date=12 May 2023 |title=El voto por correo, escoltado y otra vez bajo sospecha en Melilla |url=https://www.publico.es/politica/voto-correo-escoltado-y-vez-sospecha-melilla.html |language=es |newspaper=Público |agency=EFE |location=Melilla |access-date=26 May 2023}} As a result, some parties, such as Coalition for Melilla (CpM), The Greens–Green Group (LV–GV) and Vox asked the Central Electoral Commission (JEC) to suspend the election and to cancel postal votes.{{cite news |date=15 May 2023 |title=CPM pide la suspensión de las elecciones en Melilla y Vox, anular el voto por correo por presunto fraude |url=https://www.elconfidencial.com/espana/2023-05-15/vox-solicita-suspension-voto-correo-melilla-presunto-fraude_3629935/ |language=es |newspaper=El Confidencial |agency=EFE |access-date=26 May 2023}}{{cite news |date=13 May 2023 |title=Los Verdes impugnará las elecciones del 28M en Melilla por presunta "compra de votos" tras ataques a carteros |url=https://www.europapress.es/ceuta-y-melilla/noticia-verdes-impugnara-elecciones-28m-melilla-presunta-compra-votos-ataques-carteros-20230513165743.html |language=es |agency=Europa Press |location=Melilla |access-date=26 May 2023}} On 23 May, five days before the election, ten individuals were arrested for their involvement in an attempted large-scale vote-buying fraud, including the son-in-law of Mustafa Aberchán, the leader of CpM; and Mohamed Ahmed Al-lal, third in the CpM's list and at the time regional minister in the government of Melilla.{{cite news |date=23 May 2023 |last=Águeda |first=Pedro |title=Detenido un consejero de Coalición por Melilla y el yerno de su líder por el intento de fraude con el voto por correo |url=https://www.eldiario.es/politica/detenidos-fraude-masivo-voto-correo-melilla_1_10228745.html |language=es |newspaper=elDiario.es |access-date=26 May 2023}} The latter was dismissed by the Mayor-President of Melilla Eduardo de Castro the following day.{{cite news |date=24 May 2023 |last=Madueño |first=J. J. |title=Cesan al consejero de Coalición por Melilla imputado en la compra de votos por correo |url=https://www.abc.es/espana/cesan-consejero-coalicion-melilla-imputado-compra-votos-20230524151555-nt.html |language=es |newspaper=ABC |location=Málaga |access-date=26 May 2023}} Moreover, two individuals linked to the People's Party (PP) were also among the arrested.{{cite news |date=24 May 2023 |last=Cembrero |first=Ignacio |title=La compra de votos en Melilla también salpica al PP con dos detenidos que le son afines |url=https://www.elconfidencial.com/espana/2023-05-24/compra-votos-melilla-pp-detenidos-afines_3635958/ |language=es |newspaper=El Confidencial |access-date=26 May 2023}}
The election resulted in a dramatic rise for the PP vote, which under Juan José Imbroda secured an absolute majority of seats that allowed them to recover the regional government, and in the collapse of the CpM support, which fell from 30.6% to 18.8%. The Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) also lost ground, whereas Vox and local party Somos Melilla (SML) saw increases in support, with the latter entering the Assembly for the first time.
Electoral system
The Assembly of Melilla was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Melilla.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 2/1995, de 13 de marzo, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Melilla |type=Law |number=2 |language=es |date=13 March 1995 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1995-6359&tn=1&p=19950314 |access-date=21 February 2020}} Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Melilla and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General |type=Organic Law |number=5 |language=es |date=19 June 1985 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20221003 |access-date=8 April 2023}}
The 25 members of the Assembly of Melilla were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied.
The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee would be determined by lot.
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:
| class="wikitable" style="line-height:1.35em; text-align:left;" |
| colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Candidacy
! rowspan="2"| Parties and ! colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Leading candidate ! rowspan="2"| Ideology ! colspan="2"| Previous result ! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Gov.|Government}} ! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Ref.|References}} |
|---|
| Votes (%)
! Seats |
| width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}"|
| align="center"| PP | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | People's Party (PP) }} | 50px | Conservatism | align="center"| 37.84% | {{big|10}} | {{xmark|15}} |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}"|
| align="center"| CpM | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Coalition for Melilla (CpM) }} | 50px | Dunia Almansouri | Social democracy | align="center"| 30.62% | {{big|8}} | {{tick|15}} |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}"|
| align="center"| PSOE | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) }} | 50px | align="center"| 14.41% | {{big|4}} | {{tick|15}} |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|
| align="center"| Vox | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | Vox (Vox) }} | 50px | José Miguel Tasende | Right-wing populism | align="center"| 7.76% | {{big|2}} | {{xmark|15}} |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Somos Melilla}}"|
| align="center"| SML | {{Collapsible list | title = List | bullets = on | We Are Melilla (SML) }} | 50px | Amin Azmani | align="center"| 1.95{{efn|name="SML"}} | {{big|0}} | {{xmark|15}} |
Campaign
=Party slogans=
| class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;" |
| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Party or alliance
! Original slogan ! English translation ! {{abbr|Ref.|References}} |
|---|
| width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}"|
| PP | « A ganar Melilla » | "Let's win Melilla" |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}"|
| CpM | « Contigo, mayoría absoluta » | "With you, absolute majority" |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}"|
| PSOE | « Gloria Rojas, política en serio » | "Gloria Rojas, politics seriously" |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|
| Vox | « Vota seguro » | "Vote safely" / "Go vote for sure" |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Somos Melilla}}"|
| SML | « Toca cambio » | "Time for change" |
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
=Graphical summary=
{{wide image|OpinionPollingMelillaAssemblyElection2023.svg|750px|Local regression trend line of poll results from 26 May 2019 to 28 May 2023, with each line corresponding to a political party.}}
=Voting intention estimates=
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Melilla.
| class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;" |
| style="height:42px;"
! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner ! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date ! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size ! style="width:45px;" rowspan="2"| Turnout ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo del PP (2022).svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Coalición por Melilla logo.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logotipo del PSOE.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:VOX logo.svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo de Ciudadanos reducido (2023).svg ! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo Somos Melilla.png ! style="width:35px;"| File:UPsimbol.svg ! style="width:35px;"| {{tooltip|2=Creando Melilla|CR}} ! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}};"|
! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Somos Melilla}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}};"| ! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Creando Melilla}};"| |
|---|
| colspan="13" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
| style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| 28 May 2023 | {{N/A}} | 49.2 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 52.6 | 18.8 | 10.8 | 9.9 | – | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 33.8 |
| colspan="13" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=El sondeo de Ceuta y Melilla al margen de las sospechas de la compra de voto |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/sondeo-ceuta-melilla-margen-sospechas-compra-voto_311059102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=20 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=EP Autonómico (20My – Final): nos espera un 28M de infarto |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-20my-final-nos-espera-un-28m-de-infarto/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=20 May 2023}}
| 11–17 May 2023 | 250 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 36.3 | 33.4 | 11.7 | 15.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 2.9 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Esto es lo que pasará el 28-M en Ceuta y Melilla, según el último pronóstico electoral |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/espana/esto-pasara-28-m-ceuta-melilla-segun-ultimo-pronostico-electoral_310730102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=13 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (13M) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-13m-exclusivo-patrones/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=13 May 2023}}
| 4–10 May 2023 | 250 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 36.1 | 33.5 | 11.7 | 15.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 2.6 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Mayo 2023. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1657669927572996096 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=8 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=[AUT] MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 14/05/2023: CPM 39,0% (11/12), PSOE 8,1% (2), ADELANTE MELILLA 3,1%, SOMOS MELILLA 3,3%, CS 0,4%, PP 28,6% (8/9), CRÉAME 3,0%, VOX 10,0% (3) |url=https://www.electografica.com/2023/05/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-230514.html |language=es |work=Electográfica |date=14 May 2023}}
| 30 Apr–4 May 2023 | 753 | 65.6 | 28.6 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 39.0 | 8.1 | 10.0 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.0 | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 10.4 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=La estimación de escaños de Ceuta y Melilla deja todo abierto de cara a las elecciones autonómicas |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/estimacion-escanos-ceuta-melilla-deja-todo-abierto-cara-elecciones-autonomicas_310354102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=6 May 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (6M) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-6m-23/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=6 May 2023}}
| 26 Apr–3 May 2023 | 250 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 36.0 | 33.5 | 11.7 | 15.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 2.5 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Ceuta y Melilla / El PP ganaría en las ciudades autónomas, pero necesitaría el apoyo de la extrema derecha |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/ceuta-melilla-pp-ganaria-ciudades-autonomas-necesitaria-apoyo-extrema-derecha_310064102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=29 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (29A) |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-29a-exclusivo-patronest/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=29 April 2023}}
| 19–25 Apr 2023 | 250 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.5 | 33.5 | 11.7 | 15.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 2.0 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=Ceuta y Melilla / El PP necesitaría de la extrema derecha para gobernar en las ciudades autónomas |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/ceuta-melilla-pp-necesitaria-extrema-derecha-gobernar-ciudades-autonomas_309645102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=23 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (22A) |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-22a-exclusivo-patrones/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=22 April 2023}}
| 12–18 Apr 2023 | 250 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.2 | 34.7 | 11.5 | 16.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.7 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 0.5 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Ceuta y Melilla / El PP necesitaría pactar con Vox o PSOE para repetir gobierno |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/electopanel-ceuta-melilla_309222102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=15 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (15A) – varias CCAA en un puño |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-15a-varias-ccaa-en-un-puno/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=15 April 2023}}
| 5–11 Apr 2023 | 250 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.2 | 34.7 | 11.8 | 16.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 0.5 |
| ElectoPanel/El Plural{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Ceuta y Melilla / El PP ganaría las elecciones en ambas ciudades autónomas, pero necesitaría apoyos para gobernar |url=https://www.elplural.com/politica/electopanel-ceuta-melilla-pp-ganaria-elecciones-necesitaria-apoyos_308916102 |language=es |work=El Plural |date=8 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=EP Autonómico 8A – comienza el juego |url=https://electomania.es/ep-autonomico-8a23-comienza-el-juego/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=8 April 2023}}
| 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 | 250 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.3 | 33.9 | 12.4 | 16.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 1.4 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Marzo 2023. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1644726363167903749 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=8 April 2023}}{{cite web |title=[AUT] MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 08/04/2023: CPM 36,8% (11), PSOE 7,1% (2), CS 0,5%, PP 31,0% (9/10), CRÉAME 4,9%, VOX 10,0% (2/3) |url=https://www.electografica.com/2023/04/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-230408.html |language=es |work=Electográfica |date=8 April 2023}}
| 27 Mar–3 Apr 2023 | 853 | 70.4 | 31.0 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 36.8 | 7.1 | 10.0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | – | 4.9 | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 5.8 |
| GAD3/PP{{cite web |title=Una encuesta de GAD3 pronostica que el PP en Melilla volvería a ganar con mayoría absoluta |url=https://melillahoy.es/una-encuesta-de-gad3-pronostica-que-el-pp-en-melilla-volveria-a-ganar-con-mayoria-absoluta/ |language=es |work=Melilla Hoy |date=27 February 2023}}{{cite web |title=Encuesta elecciones Melilla |url=https://www.gad3.com/encuesta-elecciones-melilla/ |language=es |work=GAD3 |date=28 February 2023}}
| 2–3 Feb 2023 | 606 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.5 | 21.8 | 17.1 | 8.4 | 1.7 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 24.7 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2022. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1624324958762549249 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=11 February 2023}}{{cite web |title=[AUT] MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 11/02/2023: CPM 43,9% (12), PSOE 7,0% (1/2), CS 0,2%, PP 32,6% (8/9), VOX 11,8% (3) |url=https://www.electografica.com/2023/02/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-230211.html |language=es |work=Electográfica |date=11 February 2023}}
| 8–14 Dec 2022 | 788 | 57.6 | 32.6 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 43.9 | 7.0 | 11.8 | 0.2 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 11.3 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Noviembre 2022. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1590383433444110336 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=9 November 2022}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 09/11/2022: CPM 41,0% (11/12), PSOE 6,7% (1/2), Cs 0,1%, PP 36,7% (10), VOX 9,9% (2) |url=https://www.electografica.com/2022/11/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-221109.html |language=es |work=Electográfica |date=9 November 2022}}
| 2–5 Nov 2022 | 1,186 | 57.8 | 36.7 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 41.0 | 6.7 | 9.9 | 0.1 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 4.3 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2022. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1571755992659898368 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=19 September 2022}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 19/09/2022: CPM 37,0% (10), PSOE 7,8% (2), Cs 0,1%, PP 36,7% (9/10), VOX 13,6% (3/4) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2022/09/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-220919.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=19 September 2022}}
| 8–11 Sep 2022 | 1,207 | 59.0 | 36.7 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 37.0 | 7.8 | 13.6 | 0.1 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 0.3 |
| ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla{{cite web |title=La cuarta estimación mensual de voto de Melilla elaborada por Electomanía refleja que el Partido Popular de Juan José Imbroda supera ahora en intención de voto a CpM |url=http://copemelilla.com/actualidad/el-partido-popular-de-juan-jose-imbroda-supera-ahora-en-intencion-de-voto-a-cpm-segun-la-cuarta-estimacion-mensual-de-voto-de-melilla-elaborada-por-electomania/123171 |language=es |work=COPE Melilla |date=18 July 2022}}
| 14 Jun–12 Jul 2022 | 997 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 33.7 | 33.0 | 12.9 | 16.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 0.7 |
| ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla{{cite web |title=El Partido Popular de Juan José Imbroda recorta distancias con CpM según la tercera estimación mensual de voto de Melilla, aunque siguen lejos de alcanzar la mayoría absoluta |url=http://copemelilla.com/actualidad/el-partido-popular-de-juan-jose-imbroda-recorta-distancias-con-cpm-segun-la-tercera-estimacion-mensual-de-voto-de-melilla-aunque-siguen-lejos-de-alcanzar-la-mayoria-absoluta/120988 |language=es |work=COPE Melilla |date=15 June 2022}}
| 13 May–13 Jun 2022 | 859 |? | 33.2 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 33.3 | 13.0 | 16.4 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 0.1 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Junio 2022. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1538939844369457152 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=20 June 2022}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 20/06/2022: CPM 38,9% (10/11), PSOE 8,3% (2), Cs 0,1%, PP 34,1% (9), VOX 13,5% (3/4) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2022/06/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-220620.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=20 June 2022}}
| 8–12 Jun 2022 | 884 | 57.3 | 34.1 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 38.9 | 8.3 | 13.5 | 0.1 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 4.8 |
| ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla{{cite web |title=CpM y PP mantienen el pulso en la segunda estimación mensual de voto de Melilla y apenas medio punto separan a ambos partidos políticos que siguen lejos de alcanzar la mayoría absoluta |url=http://copemelilla.com/actualidad/cpm-y-pp-mantienen-el-pulso-en-la-segunda-estimacion-mensual-de-voto-de-melilla-y-apenas-medio-punto-separan-a-ambos-partidos-politicos-que-siguen-lejos-de-alcanzar-la-mayoria-absoluta/118513 |language=es |work=COPE Melilla |date=15 May 2022}}
| 15 Apr–12 May 2022 | 759 |? | 32.8 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 33.5 | 12.9 | 16.5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 0.7 |
| GAD3/PP{{cite web |title=Imbroda evita desvelar cuál sería el reparto de diputados aunque avanza que el PP sería el partido más votado con el 42,9% |url=https://melillahoy.es/imbroda-evita-desvelar-cual-seria-el-reparto-de-diputados-aunque-avanza-que-el-pp-seria-el-partido-mas-votado-con-el-429/ |language=es |work=Melilla Hoy |date=19 May 2022}}
| 6–9 May 2022 | 502 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 42.9 | 21.9 | 17.8 | 12.2 | 1.5 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 21.0 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Abril 2022. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/barometrocm/status/1512474512578781198 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=8 April 2022}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 08/04/2022: CPM 39,7% (10/11), PSOE 7,5% (2), Cs 0,3%, PP 31,8% (8/9), VOX 16,4% (4) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2022/04/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-220408.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=8 April 2022}}
| 1–3 Apr 2022 | 931 | 59.0 | 31.8 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 39.7 | 7.5 | 16.4 | 0.3 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 7.9 |
| ElectoPanel/COPE Melilla{{cite web |title=CpM sería la fuerza política más votada si hoy se celebrasen elecciones, aunque con apenas punto y medio de diferencia con respecto al apoyo que conseguiría el PP de Juan José Imbroda |url=http://copemelilla.com/actualidad/cpm-seria-la-fuerza-politica-mas-votada-si-hoy-se-celebrasen-elecciones-aunque-con-apenas-punto-y-medio-de-diferencia-con-respecto-al-apoyo-que-conseguiria-el-pp-de-juan-jose-imbroda/116623 |language=es |work=COPE Melilla |date=20 April 2022}}
| 15 Feb–30 Mar 2022 | 600 |? | 32.3 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 33.7 | 13.1 | 16.5 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 1.4 |
| Adelante Melilla{{cite web |title=Adelante Melilla le quitaría la mayoría a CpM, según un sondeo |url=https://elfarodemelilla.es/adelante-melilla-quitaria-mayoria-cpm-sondeo/ |language=es |work=El Faro de Melilla |date=18 February 2022}}
| 25–29 Jan 2022 | 586 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}|? |? |? |? |? |? |? | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"|? |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2021. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1476455513944563713 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=30 December 2021}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/12/2021: CPM 38,1% (10/11), PSOE 9,5% (2), Cs 0,3%, PP 34,3% (9/10), VOX 12,6% (3) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2021/12/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-211230.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=30 December 2021}}
| 16–18 Dec 2021 | 828 | 56.8 | 34.3 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 38.1 | 9.5 | 12.6 | 0.3 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 3.8 |
| NC Report/El Faro de Melilla{{cite web |title='Sorpasso' de CpM a PP en Melilla |url=https://elfarodemelilla.es/sorpasso-de-cpm-a-pp-en-melilla/ |language=es |work=El Faro de Melilla |date=28 December 2021}}
| 3–13 Dec 2021 | 700 | 54.5 | 32.5 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 36.3 | 11.8 | 14.8 |? |? |? | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 3.8 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Melilla (15N): vuelco a la derecha |url=https://electomania.es/epmelilla15n21/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=15 November 2021}}
| 30 Sep–13 Nov 2021 |? |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 36.6 | 33.2 | 12.5 | 14.9 | 1.7 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 3.4 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2021. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1436271945708883970 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=10 September 2021}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/09/2021: CPM 34,3% (9/10), PSOE 12,7% (3/4), Cs 0,6%, PP 36,1% (9/10), VOX 10,3% (2/3) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2021/09/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-210910.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=10 September 2021}}
| 1–3 Sep 2021 | 1,008 | 59.6 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 36.1 | 34.3 | 12.7 | 10.3 | 0.6 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 1.8 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Junio 2021. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1402930203912032260 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=10 June 2021}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 10/06/2021: CPM 32,5% (8/9), PSOE 13,0% (3/4), Cs 1,2%, PP 34,2% (9), VOX 15,0% (4) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2021/06/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-210610.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=10 June 2021}}
| 2–5 Jun 2021 | 860 | 60.8 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 34.2 | 32.5 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 1.2 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 1.7 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Marzo 2021. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1368818370758512640 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=8 March 2021}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 08/03/2021: CPM 34,3% (9/10), PSOE 10,5% (2/3), Cs 0,7%, PP 33,1% (9), VOX 16,4% (4) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2021/03/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-210308.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=8 March 2021}}
| 1–3 Mar 2021 | 572 | 54.3 | 33.1 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 34.3 | 10.5 | 16.4 | 0.7 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 1.2 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=EP (15F): doble sorpasso en Ceuta (Vox al PSOE y Caballas a MDyC). En Melilla, bajada del PP y subida de CpM, que le acecha |url=https://electomania.es/ep-15f-doble-sorpasso-en-ceuta-vox-al-psoe-y-caballas-a-mdyc-en-melilla-bajada-del-pp-y-subida-de-cpm-que-le-acecha/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=15 February 2021}}
| 15 Feb 2021 | 400 |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 37.0 | 34.7 | 13.6 | 10.5 | 2.0 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 2.3 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2020. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1342774451386130432 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=26 December 2020}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 26/12/2020: CPM 38,9% (10/11), PSOE 9,7% (2/3), Cs 1,9%, PP 34,1% (9), VOX 11,7% (3) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/12/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-201226.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=26 December 2020}}
| 9–12 Dec 2020 | 628 | 55.4 | 34.1 | {{Party shading/CpM}}| 38.9 | 9.7 | 11.7 | 1.9 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}; color:white;"| 4.8 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2020. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1312295340830330882 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=3 October 2020}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 03/10/2020: CPM 35,7% (9/10), PSOE 12,8% (3), Cs 1,2%, PP 37,0% (10), VOX 9,9% (2/3) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/10/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-201003.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=3 October 2020}}
| 26–27 Sep 2020 | 695 | 56.4 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 37.0 | 35.7 | 12.8 | 9.9 | 1.2 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 1.3 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Julio 2020_2. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1285632015979745280 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=21 July 2020}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/07/2020: CPM 35,9% (9/10), PSOE 14,7% (4), Cs 0,9%, PP 39,0% (10), VOX 6,8% (1/2) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/07/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-200721.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=21 July 2020}}
| 18 Jul 2020 | 561 | 56.8 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 39.0 | 35.9 | 14.7 | 6.8 | 0.9 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 3.1 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Julio 2020. Melilla |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1277915884552667138 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=30 June 2020}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/06/2020: CPM 32,7% (8/9), PSOE 14,9% (4), Cs 1,8%, PP 39,1% (10/11), VOX 9,5% (2) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/06/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-200630.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=30 June 2020}}
| 21–23 Jun 2020 | 622 | 62.7 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 39.1 | 32.7 | 14.9 | 9.5 | 1.8 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 6.4 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=EP (17My): Melilla – Eduardo de Castro perdería la alcaldía… y el escaño |url=https://electomania.es/ep-17my-melilla-eduardo-de-castro-perderia-la-alcaldia-y-el-escano/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=17 May 2020}}{{cite web |title=MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+ |url=https://electomania.es/macropanel-autonomico-17my-8-gobiernos-para-psoe-8-para-pp-y-3-para-otros/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=17 May 2020}}
| 1 Apr–15 May 2020 |? |? | {{Party shading/PP}}| 43.9 | 28.9 | 14.4 | 6.9 | 3.2 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 15.0 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Mayo 2020. Melilla. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1260614999703261185 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=13 May 2020}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 13/05/2020: CPM 29,7% (8), PSOE 12,7% (3), Cs 2,4%, PP 46,5% (12/13), VOX 6,3% (1/2) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/05/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-200513.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=13 May 2020}}
| 5–7 May 2020 | 739 | 62.7 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 46.5 | 29.7 | 12.7 | 6.3 | 2.4 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 16.8 |
| SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Barómetro Febrero 2020. Melilla. Autonómicas 2023 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1230772377518084096 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=21 February 2020}}{{cite web |title=MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/02/2020: CPM 37,3% (10), PSOE 11,8% (3), Cs 2,8%, PP 40,1% (10/11), VOX 5,1% (1/2) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2020/02/melilla-encuesta-sym-consulting-200221.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=21 February 2020}}
| 17–18 Feb 2020 | 687 | 60.4 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 40.1 | 37.3 | 11.8 | 5.1 | 2.8 | – | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 2.8 |
| style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | {{N/A}} | 52.4 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 29.5 | 29.0 | 16.4 | 18.4 | 3.0 | 2.6 | – | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 0.5 |
| colspan="13" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
| style="background:#EFEFEF;"
| 26 May 2019 | {{N/A}} | 57.9 | {{Party shading/PP}}| 37.8 | 30.6 | 14.4 | 7.8 | 5.6 | 2.0{{efn|name="SML"}} | 1.2 | – | style="background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}; color:white;"| 7.2 |
| colspan="13" style="background:#A0A0A0"| |
Results
| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"
|+ ← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Assembly of Melilla election results → | |||
| colspan="7"| File:MelillaAssemblyDiagram2023.svg | |||
| style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="525"| Parties and alliances
! colspan="3"| Popular vote ! colspan="2"| Seats | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| width="75"| Votes
! width="45"| % ! width="45"| ±pp ! width="35"| Total ! width="35"| +/− | |||
| width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}"|
| align="left"| People's Party (PP) | 15,640 | 52.57 | style="color:green;"| +14.73
| 14 | style="color:green;"| +4 |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}"|
| align="left"| Coalition for Melilla (CpM) | 5,590 | 18.79 | style="color:red;"| –11.83
| 5 | style="color:red;"| –3 |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}"|
| align="left"| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 3,206 | 10.78 | style="color:red;"| –3.63
| 3 | style="color:red;"| –1 |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|
| align="left"| Vox (Vox) | 2,957 | 9.94 | style="color:green;"| +2.18
| 2 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Somos Melilla}}"|
| align="left"| We Are Melilla (SML)1 | 1,524 | 5.12 | style="color:green;"| +3.17
| 1 | style="color:green;"| +1 |
| colspan="7" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| | |||
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party, 2022)}}"|
| align="left"| We Can (Podemos)2 | 290 | 0.97 | style="color:red;"| –0.22
| 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Adelante Melilla}}"|
| align="left"| Forward Melilla (ADEME) | 78 | 0.26 | New
| 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Creando Melilla}}"|
| align="left"| Creating Melilla (CREAME) | 74 | 0.25 | New
| 0 | ±0 |
| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|
| align="left"| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) | n/a | n/a | style="color:red;"| –5.55
| 0 | style="color:red;"| –1 |
| align="left" colspan="2"| Blank ballots
| 394 | 1.32 | style="color:green;"| +0.86
| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"| | |
| colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| | |||
| style="font-weight:bold;"
| align="left" colspan="2"| Total | 29,753 | bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|
| 25 | ±0 | |
| colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| | |||
| align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes
| 29,753 | 98.39 | style="color:red;"| –1.06
| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2" rowspan="5"| | |
| align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid votes
| 486 | 1.61 | style="color:green;"| +1.06 | |
| style="font-weight:bold;"
| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout | 30,239 | 49.46 | style="color:red;"| –8.48 | |
| align="left" colspan="2"| Abstentions
| 30,899 | 50.54 | style="color:green;"| +8.48 | |
| style="font-weight:bold;"
| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters | 61,138 | bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"| | ||
| colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"| | |||
| align="left" colspan="7"| Sources{{cite journal |journal=Boletín Oficial del Estado |issue=261 |date=1 November 2023 |language=es |title=Resolución de 5 de julio de 2023, de la Presidencia de la Junta Electoral Central, por la que se procede a la publicación del resumen de los resultados de las elecciones locales convocadas por Real Decreto 207/2023, de 3 de abril, y celebradas el 28 de mayo de 2023, según los datos que figuran en las actas de proclamación remitidas por cada una de las Juntas Electorales de Zona. Provincias: Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Segovia, Sevilla, Soria, Tarragona, Teruel, Toledo, Valencia, Valladolid, Zamora y Zaragoza. Ciudades Autónomas de Ceuta y Melilla |url=https://www.boe.es/boe/dias/2023/08/07/pdfs/BOE-A-2023-18101.pdf |issn=0212-033X |pages=145194–146077}} | |||
| colspan="7" style="text-align:left; max-width:790px;"| {{hidden|ta1=left|title=Footnotes:|content={{ubl
|1 We Are Melilla results are compared to the totals of Forward Melilla in the 2019 election. |2 We Can results are compared to the totals of United We Can–United Left–Equo in the 2019 election.}}}} |
{{bar box
|title=Popular vote
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=550px
|barwidth=500px
|bars=
{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}|52.57}}
{{bar percent|CpM|{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}|18.79}}
{{bar percent|PSOE|{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}|10.78}}
{{bar percent|Vox|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|9.94}}
{{bar percent|SML|{{party color|Somos Melilla}}|5.12}}
{{bar percent|Others|#777777|1.49}}
{{bar percent|Blank ballots|#DDDDDD|1.32}}
}}
{{bar box
|title=Seats
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=550px
|barwidth=500px
|bars=
{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party (Spain)}}|56.00}}
{{bar percent|CpM|{{party color|Coalition for Melilla}}|20.00}}
{{bar percent|PSOE|{{party color|Spanish Socialist Workers' Party}}|12.00}}
{{bar percent|Vox|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|8.00}}
{{bar percent|SML|{{party color|Somos Melilla}}|4.00}}
}}
Notes
{{notelist}}
References
;Opinion poll sources
{{reflist|group="p"}}
;Other
{{reflist}}
{{Melilla elections}}
{{Regional elections in Spain in the 2020s}}