2023 Serowe West by-election

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2023 Serowe West by-election

| type = parliamentary

| turnout = 44.9% ({{decrease}} 38.3 pp)

| seats_for_election = Serowe West constituency

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2019 Botswana general election

| previous_year = 2019

| next_election = 2024 Botswana general election

| next_year = 2024

| election_date = 8 July 2023

| map_image = Botswana National Assembly - Serowe West (2014-2024).svg

| map_size = 190px

| map_caption = Boundary of Serowe West constituency

| image1=

BPF

| candidate1 = Onalepelo Kedikilwe

| party1 = Botswana Patriotic Front

| popular_vote1 = 2,933

| percentage1 = 66.9%

| swing1 = {{increase}}11.5pp

| image2 =

BDP

| candidate2 = Moemedi Dijeng

| party2 = Botswana Democratic Party

| popular_vote2 = 1,266

| percentage2 = 28.9%

| swing2 = {{decrease}}1.4pp

| title = MP

| before_election = Tshekedi Khama II

| before_party = Botswana Patriotic Front

| after_election = Onalepelo Kedikilwe

| after_party = Botswana Patriotic Front

}}

A by-election for the Botswana parliamentary constituency of Serowe West was held on 8 July 2023. The vacancy was caused by the expulsion on 21 April 2023 of the incumbent Member of Parliament (MP), Tshekedi Khama of the BPF, following his absence from the minimum required two consecutive meetings of the same session to trigger a by-election per the Standing Orders of the National Assembly.{{Cite news |last=Bothoko |first=Pini |date=24 April 2023 |title=Tshekedi disqualified as MP |work=Mmegi |url=https://www.mmegi.bw/ampArticle/107923 |access-date=14 June 2023}}

The election was won by Onalepelo Kedikilwe of the Botswana Patriotic Front. The BPF's majority of 25.1 pp in the 2019 general election was increased to a majority of 37.7 pp in this by-election, further consolidating the BPF's hold on the constituency. This result makes it the highest result achieved by an opposition party in the constituency, breaking the previous 2019 record.

Background

=Constituency=

Serowe West lies in the Central District and is primarily rural, with the main settlement being the village of Serowe. The constituency is part of the three historically safe BDP seats that flipped to the BPF and had an average swing of 76.7 percentage points towards the BPF.{{Cite journal |last1=Seabo |first1=Batlang |last2=Nyenhuis |first2=Robert |date=2021-11-23 |title=Botswana's 2019 General Elections: A Referendum on General Ian Khama |url=https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/african-studies-review/article/abs/botswanas-2019-general-elections-a-referendum-on-general-ian-khama/025D7A45D5F26B1A8045E91529DCAAB5#access-block |journal=African Studies Review |language=en |volume=64 |issue=4 |pages=854–883 |doi=10.1017/asr.2021.69 |s2cid=244539238 |issn=0002-0206}} This shift can be attributed to the fact that the BaNgwato tribe, of which the Khama family is the royal family, resides in this constituency and the surrounding Serowe North and Serowe South constituencies. Prior to Ian and Tshekedi Khama's departure from the BDP, the constituency consistently voted for the party by significant margins. However, following the fallout between Ian Khama and President Mokgweetsi Masisi, Khama encouraged people in the Serowe region to vote for the newly formed BPF, and this message strongly resonated with the locals.{{Cite web |last=Basimanebotlhe |first=Tsaone |date=2022-10-10 |title=Serowe constituencies vulnerable as BPF rumpus continues |url=https://www.mmegi.bw/news/serowe-constituencies-vulnerable-as-bpf-rumpus-continues/news |access-date=2023-06-16 |website=Mmegi Online |language=en}}

Tshekedi first became an MP for Serowe West in 2008 during a by-election that took place when his brother, Ian Khama, became the President of Botswana. Gomolemo Motswaledi initially expressed interest in contesting the constituency but was persuaded by the party to step aside for Tshekedi. Since then, Tshekedi was re-elected in the general elections of 2009, 2014, and 2019. In 2019, he became the first opposition candidate to win the constituency, breaking the ruling party's stronghold on the seat since independence in 1966. The constituency was previously represented by Seretse Khama, the founding President of Botswana and the father of both Ian and Tshekedi, from 1965 to 1974.

=Trigger=

On 21 March 2022, Khama, the younger brother of former president Ian Khama, along with his twin brother Anthony and wife Thea, were arrested by the Directorate of Intelligence and Security (DIS) for alleged corrupt deals involving their company, Seleka Springs.{{Cite web |last=Phakedi |first=Pearl |date=2023-04-21 |title=𝗧𝘀𝗵𝗲𝗸𝗲𝗱𝗶 𝗻𝗼 𝗹𝗼𝗻𝗴𝗲𝗿 𝗮𝗻 𝗠𝗣 – 𝗠𝗼𝗮𝘁𝗹𝗵𝗼𝗱𝗶 |url=https://www.weekendpost.co.bw/36976/news/%f0%9d%97%a7%f0%9d%98%80%f0%9d%97%b5%f0%9d%97%b2%f0%9d%97%b8%f0%9d%97%b2%f0%9d%97%b1%f0%9d%97%b6-%f0%9d%97%bb%f0%9d%97%bc-%f0%9d%97%b9%f0%9d%97%bc%f0%9d%97%bb%f0%9d%97%b4%f0%9d%97%b2%f0%9d%97%bf/ |access-date=2023-06-16 |website=Weekend Post |language=en-GB}} Following their arrest, they fled to South Africa to meet Ian, who was in self-imposed exile at the time of the by-election after evading the confiscation of illegally possessed firearms.{{Cite web |last=Reporter |first=Sunday Standard |date=2022-04-05 |title=Khama's absence, internal wrangling weakening BPF {{!}} Sunday Standard |url=https://www.sundaystandard.info/khamas-absence-internal-wrangling-weakening-bpf/ |access-date=2023-06-16 |language=en-GB}}

According to Standing Order 16.2 of the National Assembly of Botswana, a Member of Parliament's (MP) seat becomes vacant if they are absent from the Assembly for two consecutive meetings during the same session without prior written permission from the Speaker:

{{quote

|text=For the purposes of the Constitution it is hereby prescribed that the seat of any Member of Parliament (MP) shall become vacant if, without the leave of the Speaker obtained in writing before the end of the meetings referred to in this paragraph, that Member is absent from the Assembly for two consecutive meetings occurring during the same session.

|author=Standing Order 16.2

|source=National Assembly of Botswana}}

Having met the required criteria, Tshekedi Khama's seat in Serowe West was declared vacant on 21 April 2023 by the acting Speaker at the time, Pono Moatlhodi.{{Cite news |last=Bothoko |first=Pini |date=24 April 2023 |title=Tshekedi disqualified as MP |work=Mmegi |url=https://www.mmegi.bw/ampArticle/107923 |access-date=16 June 2023}} Prior to his expulsion, Tshekedi's last virtual attendance in parliament was during the winter (July-August){{Cite web |title=Meetings of Parliament |url=https://www.parliament.gov.bw/index.php/parliamentary-business/meetings-of-parli |access-date=2023-06-16 |website=www.parliament.gov.bw}} meeting of 2022. He failed to participate in the proceedings after the resumption of physical attendance in November 2022.

Candidates

= BPF primary =

== Candidates ==

== Nominee ==

Onalepelo Kedikilwe

==Eliminated in primary==

James Kgalajwe
Gaotilwe Omphile
Mokgobolelo Mokgobelelo
Mmaletlhare Kgosikhumo
Monamodi Bagwasi
Chimbidzani Chimidza

== Results ==

{{Election box begin no change|title=Botswana Patriotic Front primary results{{Cite web |date=12 June 2023 |title=Onalepelo Kedikilwe wins BPF Primary Elections|url=https://www.facebook.com/DumaFM/posts/pfbid0CSBes3B8ozH2EM5Uv66KYxM2LTm26xRMeNc8VbJbTpKHPv2siDVURafeB6mFQxBYl |access-date=17 June 2023 |website=Facebook}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change