2024 California Republican presidential primary
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{row hover highlight}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2024 California Republican presidential primary
| country = California
| type = primary
| ongoing = Yes
| previous_election = 2020 California Republican presidential primary
| previous_year = 2020
| next_election = 2028 California Republican presidential primary
| next_year = 2028
| election_date = March 5, 2024
| outgoing_members = AR
| elected_members = CO
| votes_for_election = 169 Republican National Convention delegates
| map_image = {{Switcher
| 300px
| County results
| 300px
| Congressional district results
| default = 1}}
| map_caption = {{col-begin}}
{{col-2}}
Trump
{{legend|#8d9ae2|50 – 60%}}
{{legend|#6778d7|60 – 70%}}
{{legend|#4156cd|70 – 80%}}
{{legend|#1e39d0|80 – 90%}}
{{col-end}}
| image1 = TrumpPortrait.jpg
| candidate1 = Donald Trump
| color1 = 283681
| home_state1 = Florida
| popular_vote1 = 1,962,905
| delegate_count1 = 169
| image2 = Nikki Haley (53299447738) (cropped).jpg
| candidate2 = Nikki Haley
| color2 = fe6100
| home_state2 = South Carolina
| popular_vote2 = 431,876
| delegate_count2 = 0
}}
{{Elections in California sidebar}}
The 2024 California Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 169 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a winner-take-most basis.{{Cite web |date=March 5, 2023 |title= California Republican Presidential Nominating Process|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/CA-R#0319|access-date=February 6, 2023 |website=The Green Papers}} The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
Background
=Procedure=
If a candidate gets over 50% of the total statewide vote, they are awarded all of the state's delegates. Otherwise, the delegates are allocated proportionally.
Candidates
The following candidates were certified:{{Cite web |date=December 28, 2023 |title=Certified List of Presidential Candidates for voter-nominated offices for the March 5, 2024, presidential primary election|url=https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2024-primary/cert-list-candidates.pdf |access-date=December 29, 2023 |website=Secretary of State of California}}
- Nikki Haley
- David Stuckenberg
- Rachel Swift
- Donald Trump
- Ryan Binkley (withdrawn)
- Chris Christie (withdrawn){{cite web|url=https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/10/politics/chris-christie-ends-presidential-campaign-2024/index.html|title=Chris Christie ends 2024 presidential campaign|work=CNN|date=January 10, 2024|accessdate=January 10, 2024|last=Krieg|first=Gregory}}
- Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
- Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn)
- Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn)
Campaign
=Events=
On June 19, 2023, Ron DeSantis held a private breakfast event at the Del Paso Country Club in Sacramento, California, hosting business leaders in the region to raise funds for his campaign. It was his first campaign stop in California since his administration in Florida transported migrants from the border with Mexico to Sacramento. The event was attended by state legislators Joe Patterson and Tom Lackey, who endorsed DeSantis after the event.{{Cite web |last=Zavala |first=Ashley |date=June 20, 2023 |title=Here's What We Know About GOP Presidential Candidate Ron DeSantis' Sacramento Fundraiser |url=https://www.kcra.com/article/sacramento-gop-presidential-candidate-ron-desantis-fundraiser/44256722 |access-date=June 20, 2023 |publisher=KCRA-TV |language=en}}
The California Republican Party held its annual fall convention from September 29 to October 1, 2023, in Anaheim. Featured speakers included DeSantis, Donald Trump, Tim Scott, and Vivek Ramaswamy.{{cite web |title=Fall 2023 Convention Schedule |publisher=California Republican Party |date=August 22, 2023 |url=https://www.cagop.org/s/convention/schedule}} Trump's speech included calling on police to enact violent retribution on criminals, stating he will "immediately stop all of the pillaging and theft."{{cite news |title=Trump animates California Republicans with calls to shoot people who rob stores |work=Associated Press |first1=Michael R. |last1=Blood |first2=Jonathan J. |last2=Cooper |date=September 29, 2023 |url=https://apnews.com/article/donald-trump-california-republicans-desantis-e2f59e579f106c03aaf6189ea1079f11}}
=Debate=
{{further|2024 Republican Party presidential debates and forums#September 27, 2023 – Simi Valley, California}}
The second Republican primary debate was held at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, on September 27, 2023. It was hosted by Fox Business, Rumble, and Univision, and moderated by Stuart Varney, Dana Perino, and Ilia Calderón. Seven of the eight candidates who attended the first debate were present: Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott.{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/09/28/second-republican-debate-who-won-takeaways-00118687|title=Scott finally showed a pulse. Ramaswamy did a 180. Here's who won and lost the second GOP debate.|work=Politico|date=September 28, 2023|accessdate=September 29, 2023}}
Endorsements
{{main|Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries}}
{{Endorsements box|title=Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)|list=
U.S. Representatives
- Frank Riggs, CA-01 (1991–1993, 1995–1999){{Cite web |last=Stone |first=Kevin |date=2023-05-12 |title=Prominent Arizona Republicans Urge DeSantis to Run for President |url=https://ktar.com/story/5495050/prominent-arizona-republicans-urge-ron-desantis-to-run-for-president/ |access-date=2023-06-09 |publisher=KTAR News |language=en}}
- Tom McClintock, CA-04 (2009–2023), CA-05 (2023–present){{cite web |last1=Gligich |first1=Daniel |title=McClintock looks for a drama-free break from Trump in 2024 |url=https://sjvsun.com/news/politics/mcclintock-looks-for-a-drama-free-break-from-trump-in-2024/ |publisher=The San Joaquin Valley Sun |access-date=11 July 2023 |date=13 March 2023}}{{cite web |last1=McCarthy |first1=Guy |title=Mother Lode congressman prefers DeSantis for GOP presidential nominee in 2024 |url=https://www.uniondemocrat.com/news/article_ff8a8c6c-6f69-11ed-a27c-d7335d52f3ba.html |publisher=The Union Democrat |access-date=11 July 2023 |date=28 November 2022}}
State assemblymen
- Joe Patterson, District 5 (2022–present)
- Tom Lackey, District 34 (2014–present){{Cite web |last=Haubner |first=Andrew |date=June 19, 2023 |title=Florida Governor Holds Sacramento Fundraiser for 2024 Presidential Run |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/sacramento/news/florida-gov-desantis-visits-sacramento/ |access-date=June 21, 2023 |publisher=CBS News |language=en-US}}
}}
{{Endorsements box|title=Donald Trump|list=
U.S. Representatives
- Connie Conway, CA-22 (2022–2023){{cite news|last=Montvalo|first=Melissa|date=February 10, 2022|title=Replacing Devin Nunes? Republican candidates take stands on Trump, schools, abortion|url=https://calmatters.org/california-divide/2022/02/devin-nunes-congress-seat/|access-date=March 16, 2023|website=Cal Matters}}{{cite news|last=Blood|first=Michael R.|date=April 6, 2022|title=Stark contrast emerges in fight for California US House seat|url=https://www.sandiegouniontribune.com/news/california/story/2022-04-04/election-will-fill-us-house-seat-left-by-trump-ally-nunes|access-date=March 16, 2023|website=San Diego Tribune}}
- Darrell Issa, CA-48 (2023–present, 2001–2003), CA-50 (2021–2023) and CA-49 (2003–2019){{cite news |last=Bycoffe |first=Aaron |last2=Mejía |first2=Elena |last3=Radcliffe |first3=Mary |last4=Burton |first4=Cooper |last5=Groskopf |first5=Christopher |last6=Newman |first6=Alex |last7=Mangan |first7=Andrew |last8=Sweedler |first8=Maya |date=April 24, 2023 |title=Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements? |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-endorsements/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230419062253/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-endorsements/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=April 19, 2023 |access-date=25 April 2023 |work=FiveThirtyEight}}
- Doug LaMalfa, CA-01 (2013–present)
- Kevin McCarthy, CA-22 (2007–2013), CA-23 (2013–2023), CA-20 (2023), and Speaker of the United States House of Representatives (2023){{cite news | url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4350747-mccarthy-declares-support-trump-2024/ | title=McCarthy declares support for Trump in 2024 | newspaper=The Hill | date=December 8, 2023 | last1=Gans | first1=Jared }}
- Jay Obernolte, CA-23 (2023–present) and CA-8 (2021–2023)
- Michelle Steel, CA-45 (2023–present) and CA-48 (2021–2023)
Notable individuals
- Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert{{cite news|last=DePaolo|first=Joe|date=January 23, 2023|title=Trump Goes On 1 AM Truth Social Spree Trashing Joe and Mika and Accepting a 2024 Endorsement from Dilbert Guy|url=https://www.mediaite.com/news/trump-goes-on-1-am-truth-social-spree-trashing-joe-and-mika-and-accepting-a-2024-endorsement-from-dilbert-guy/|access-date=March 16, 2023|website=Mediaite}}
- Robert Davi, actor{{cite news |last1=Ballasy |first1=Nicholas |title=Trump picks up early 2024 endorsements from GOP lawmakers, other political figures |url=https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/elections/trump-picks-early-2024-endorsements-gop-lawmakers-and-other-political |access-date=March 16, 2023 |work=Just The News |date=December 1, 2022}}
- John Dolmayan, System of a Down drummer{{cite news|last=Rhombus|first=Emperor|date=July 2022|title=System of a Down's John Dolmayan Wants Trump Back In Office: "I Will Vote for Him Again If He Runs"|url=https://www.metalsucks.net/2022/07/05/system-of-a-downs-john-dolmayan-wants-trump-back-in-office-i-will-vote-for-him-again-if-he-runs/|access-date=March 16, 2023|website=Metal Sucks}}
- Dinesh D'Souza, author and filmmaker{{cite news|last=Mordowanec|first=Nick|date=February 21, 2023|title=Trump Ally Admits His Attacks on DeSantis Are Backfiring|url=https://www.newsweek.com/trump-ally-admits-his-attacks-desantis-are-backfiring-1782835|access-date=March 16, 2023|website=Newsweek}}
- Larry Elder, political commentator, candidate for governor in 2021 and withdrawn candidate for president in 2024{{Cite web |date=2023-10-26 |title=Larry Elder drops out of 2024 presidential race and endorses Trump |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/larry-elder-drops-2024-presidential-race-endorses-trump-rcna122420 |access-date=2024-01-24 |website=NBC News |language=en|author=Frankel, Jillian}}
- Caitlyn Jenner, transgender Olympic gold medalist in the decathlon{{Cite news |last=Stone |first=Alexandra |date=April 28, 2023 |title=Caitlyn Jenner Insists the United States Needs an 'Alpha Male' Like Donald Trump After Alleged Biden Administration Failures: 'We Have Become a Joke' |work=OK! News |url=https://okmagazine.com/p/caitlyn-jenner-united-states-needs-alpha-male-donald-trump/ |access-date=April 28, 2023}}
- Antonio Sabàto Jr., actor
- Jon Voight, actor
}}
{{Endorsements box|title=Nikki Haley|list=
- John H. Cox, Businessman, candidate for governor in 2018https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/haley-campaign-press-release-nikki-haley-announces-california-state-leadership-team
}}
Polling
Aggregate polls
| class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
| style="vertical-align:bottom; font-size:90%;"
!Source of poll !Dates !Dates ! Nikki ! Donald ! Other/ ! Margin |
| FiveThirtyEight[https://web.archive.org/web/20230225034315/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/california/ FiveThirtyEight]
| through February 4, 2024 | February 10, 2024 | 19.0% | {{party shading/Republican}} |73.1% | 7.9% | {{party shading/Republican}} |Trump +54.1 |
| class="wikitable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
| style="vertical-align:bottom; font-size:90%;"
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! Chris ! Ron ! Larry ! Nikki ! Asa ! Mike ! Vivek ! Tim ! Donald ! Other ! Undecided |
| Morning Consult[https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/2024-state-level-republican-primary-polling Morning Consult]
|Nov 1–30, 2023 |2,347 (LV) |– |2% |10% |– |8% |0% |– |7% |– |{{party shading/Republican}} | 71% |1%{{Efn|Burgum at 1%}} |– |
| Public Policy Institute of California[https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-government-december-2023/ Public Policy Institute of California]
|Nov 9–16, 2023 |276 (LV) |– |5% |12% |– |13% |0% |– |2% |2% |{{party shading/Republican}} | 56% |1%{{Efn|Kristi Noem at 1%; Perry Johnson at 0% and Glenn Youngkin at 0%}} |9% |
| Emerson College[https://emersoncollegepolling.com/california-2024-tight-race-for-u-s-senate-nomination-between-schiff-porter-garvey-and-lee-plurality-remain-undecided/ Emerson College]
|Nov 11–14, 2023 |331 (LV) |– |4% |11% | - |5% |2% |– |3% | - |{{party shading/Republican}} |63% |1%{{Efn|Doug Burgum with 1%}} |11% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[https://escholarship.org/content/qt0w56520d/qt0w56520d.pdf?t=s3r7wf UC Berkeley IGS]
|Oct 24–30, 2023 |1,234 (LV) |± 4.0% |2% |12% |1% |9% |– |– |3% |1% |{{party shading/Republican}} |57% |5% |11% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[https://www.ppic.org/wp-content/uploads/crosstabs-likely-voters-1123.pdf Public Policy Institute of California]
|Oct 3–19, 2023 |316 (LV) |– |4% |12% |0% |9% |0% |6% |5% |3% |{{party shading/Republican}} |53% |5%{{Efn|"Someone else" with 4%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Doug Burgum, Will Hurd, Perry Johnson, Kristi Noem & "Would not vote" with 0%}} |1% |
| Data Viewpoint[https://img1.wsimg.com/blobby/go/e9d74618-7b92-41a9-b0d1-6ddcfc12d063/Data%20Viewpoint%20poll%20Oct%201%202023.pdf Data Viewpoint]
|October 1, 2023 |533 (RV) |± 4.3% |5.5% |17.5% |– |15.2% |<1% |3.0% |3.6% |2.9% |{{party shading/Republican}} |49.8% |1.7%{{Efn|Doug Burgum with 1.7%; Glenn Youngkin with <1%}} |– |
| California's Choice[https://sites.google.com/view/californiaschoice/home California's Choice]
|Aug 27–29, 2023 |750 (LV) |– |4.8% |21.6% |– |15.6% |0.5% |4.4% |9.6% |0.8% |{{party shading/Republican}} |43.4% |2.6% |– |
| UC Berkeley IGS[https://escholarship.org/content/qt4fj3k66d/qt4fj3k66d.pdf?t=s0jenv&v=lg UC Berkeley IGS]
|Aug 24–29, 2023 |1,175 (LV) |± 4.0% |3% |16% |1% |7% |– |3% |4% |2% |{{party shading/Republican}} |55% |– |9% |
| Public Policy Institute of California[https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-the-environment-july-2023/ Public Policy Institute of California]
|Jun 7–29, 2023 |267 (LV) | – |3% |24% | – |3% | – |6% |1% |5% | {{party shading/Republican}} |50% |7%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 2%}} |1% |
| Emerson College[https://emersoncollegepolling.com/california-poll-majority-of-california-voters-think-feinstein-should-resign/ Emerson College]
|Jun 4–7, 2023 |329 (LV) |± 2.9% |2% |19% |– |6% |– |10% |2% |4% |{{party shading/Republican}} |53% |7%{{efn|Doug Burgum and Chris Sununu with 1%}} |– |
| Public Policy Institute of California[https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-government-june-2023/ Public Policy Institute of California]
|May 17–24, 2023 |295 (LV) |± 7% |1% |21% | – |3% | – |10% |1% |2% | {{party shading/Republican}} |50% |11%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 7%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Chris Sununu with 1%}} |2% |
| UC Berkeley IGS[https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8j93p7sj UC Berkeley IGS]
|May 17–22, 2023 |1,835 (RV) |± 3.5% |1% |26% |0% |3% |0% |4% |2% |1% | {{party shading/Republican}} |44% |6%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem, Chris Sununu with 1%; Perry Johnson and John Bolton with 0%}} |13% |
| rowspan=2 |UC Berkeley IGS[https://escholarship.org/uc/item/9rh552hz? UC Berkeley IGS]
| rowspan=2 | Feb 14–20, 2023 | rowspan=2 | 1,755 (RV) | rowspan=2 | ± 3.5% | – | {{party shading/Republican}} | 37% | – | 7% | – | 3% | – | 1% | 29% | 8%{{efn|Liz Cheney with 4%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Ted Cruz with 1%; Chris Sununu and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}} | 10% |
| –
| {{party shading/Republican}} | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 6%{{efn|Neither with 6%}} | 11% |
| rowspan=2 |UC Berkeley IGS[https://mailchi.mp/berkeley.edu/berkeley-igs-poll-2022-11-primary-election-preferences-1186216 UC Berkeley IGS]
| rowspan=2 | Aug 9–15, 2022 | rowspan=2 | 9,254 (RV) | rowspan=2 | ± 3.0% | 0% | 27% | – | 3% | – | 7% | – | 0% | {{party shading/Republican}} | 38% | 10%{{efn|name=|Ted Cruz and Mike Pompeo with 2%; Marco Rubio and Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}} | 14% |
| 0%
| {{party shading/Republican}} | 53% | – | 4% | – | 9% | – | 1% | – | 15%{{efn|name=|Mike Pompeo with 4%; Ted Cruz with 3%; Marco Rubio with 2%; Larry Hogan with 1%; Tom Cotton and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}} | 17% |
Results
{{2024CARep}}
See also
Notes
{{notelist|refs=Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear}}
References
{{Reflist}}
{{2024 Republican primaries}}
Category:California Republican primaries