2024 Tennessee Republican presidential primary
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use American English|date=June 2025}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{Main|2024 Republican Party presidential primaries}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2024 Tennessee Republican presidential primary
| country = Tennessee
| type = primary
| ongoing = Yes
| previous_election = 2020 Tennessee Republican presidential primary
| previous_year = 2020
| next_election = 2028 Tennessee Republican presidential primary
| next_year = 2028
| election_date = March 5, 2024
| outgoing_members = OK
| elected_members = TX
| votes_for_election = 58 Republican National Convention delegates
| map_image = {{switcher |350px|County results |350px|Congressional district results}}
| map_size = 350px
| map_caption = {{col-begin}}
{{col-2}}
Trump
{{legend|#6778D7|60 – 70%}}
{{legend|#4156CD|70 – 80%}}
{{legend|#3343A2|80 – 90%}}
{{legend|#243179|>90%}}
{{col-end}}
| image1 = TrumpPortrait.jpg
| candidate1 = Donald Trump
| color1 = 283681
| home_state1 = Florida
| popular_vote1 = 446,850
| percentage1 = 77.33%
| delegate_count1 = 58
| image2 = Nikki Haley (53299447738) (cropped).jpg
| candidate2 = Nikki Haley
| color2 = fe6100
| home_state2 = South Carolina
| popular_vote2 = 112,958
| percentage2 = 19.55%
| delegate_count2 = 0
}}
{{Elections in Tennessee sidebar}}
The 2024 Tennessee Republican presidential primary was held on March 5, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 58 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-most basis.{{Cite web |date=March 5, 2023 |title= Tennessee Republican Presidential Nominating Process|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/TN-R#0319|access-date=February 9, 2023 |website=thegreenpapers.com}} The contest was held on Super Tuesday alongside primaries in 14 other states.
Candidates
The filing deadline for candidates was on December 5, 2023, at noon. Tennessee Secretary of State Tre Hargett certified nine candidates for the Republican ballot:{{cite news |last1=Morgan-Rumsey |first1=Camruinn |title=Here's who is on Tennessee's presidential primary ballot |url=https://www.wsmv.com/2023/12/05/heres-who-is-tennessees-presidential-primary-ballot/ |access-date=8 December 2023 |work=WSMV 4 |agency=WVLT |date=5 December 2023}}
- Ryan Binkley (suspended campaign)
- Doug Burgum (suspended campaign)
- Chris Christie (suspended campaign)
- Ron DeSantis (suspended campaign)
- Nikki Haley
- Asa Hutchinson (suspended campaign)
- Vivek Ramaswamy (suspended campaign)
- David Stuckenberg
- Donald Trump
- Uncommitted
Endorsements
{{main|Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries}}{{Endorsements box|title=Donald Trump|list=
U.S. Senators
- Marsha Blackburn, (2019–present){{Cite news |last=Mojica |first=Adrian |date=April 17, 2023 |title=Tennessee senators issue endorsements for Donald Trump following Nashville donor retreat |work=WZTV Nashville |url=https://fox17.com/news/local/tennessee-senators-issue-endorsements-for-donald-trump-following-nashville-donor-retreat-politics-gop-ron-desantis-2024-race-president |access-date=April 17, 2023}}
- Bill Hagerty, (2021–present){{cite news|last2=Saddiq|first2=Omar|last1=Metzger|first1=Bryan|date=February 13, 2023|title=Most Republicans are on the fence about Trump's 2024 re-election bid. Here are the few elected officials backing him so far.|url=https://www.businessinsider.com/who-has-endorsed-donald-trump-president-2024-republicans-gop-2023-2|access-date=February 13, 2023|website=Business Insider}}
U.S. Representatives
- Jimmy Duncan, TN-02 (1988–2019){{Cite news |last=Schelzig |first=Erik |date=April 17, 2023 |title=Trump lands endorsements among Tenn. congressional delegation |work=Tennessee Journal |url=https://onthehill.tnjournal.net/trump-lands-endorsements-among-tenn-congressional-delegation/ |access-date=April 17, 2023}}
- Chuck Fleischmann, TN-03 (2011–present)
- Mark Green, TN-07 (2019–present)
- Diana Harshbarger, TN-01 (2021–present){{Cite news |last=Richard |first=Lawrence |date=April 17, 2023 |title=Rep. Harshbarger endorses Donald Trump to be president: 'Biden administration has failed us' |work=Fox News |url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/rep-harshbarger-endorses-donald-trump-president-biden-administration-has-failed-us |access-date=April 17, 2023}}
- David Kustoff, TN-08 (2017–present){{cite news |title=Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements? |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-endorsements/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230419062253/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-endorsements/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=April 19, 2023 |access-date=25 April 2023 |work=FiveThirtyEight |date=April 24, 2023}}
- Andy Ogles, TN-05 (2023–present){{Cite news |last1=Metzger |first1=Bryan |last2=Seddiq |first2=Omar |date=February 13, 2023 |title=Here are all of the Republican elected officials backing Trump's 2024 campaign |work=Business Insider |url=https://www.businessinsider.com/who-has-endorsed-donald-trump-president-2024-republicans-gop-2023-2 |access-date=May 5, 2023}}
- John Rose, TN-06 (2019–present)
State representatives
- Michele Carringer, Member of the Tennessee House of Representatives from the 16th district (2021–present)
- Kelly Keisling, Member of the Tennessee House of Representatives from the 38th district (2011–present)
- Clay Doggett, Member of the Tennessee House of Representatives from the 70th district (2019–present)
- Kip Capley, Member of the Tennessee House of Representatives from the 71st district (2023–present){{Cite news |last=Sher |first=Andy |date=January 3, 2023 |title=Delegate candidates hope to punch ticket to presidential conventions |work=The Tennessee Journal |url=https://pro.stateaffairs.com/tn/politics/tennessee-delegates |access-date=January 3, 2023}}
- Mary Littleton, Member of the Tennessee House of Representatives from the 78th district (2013–present)
- Ron Gant, Member of the Tennessee House of Representatives from the 94th district (2017–present)
Local and county official
- Glenn Jacobs, Mayor of Knox County (2021–present){{cite web | url=https://humanevents.com/2023/11/17/glenn-jacobs-and-kenny-cody-donald-trump-is-the-only-candidate-who-can-rescue-america-from-decline | title=EXCLUSIVE: Glenn Jacobs Endorses Donald Trump for President }}
}}
{{Endorsements box|title=Nikki Haley|list=
State representative
- Sabi "Doc" Kumar, District 66 (2015–present){{Cite web |title=Sabi 'Doc' Kumar Committed to Nikki Haley |url=https://sos-prod.tnsosgovfiles.com/s3fs-public/document/2024%20PPP%20Delegates.pdf}}
}}
= Withdrawn candidates =
{{Endorsements box|title=Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)|list=
State senator
- Richard Briggs, Tennessee State Senator from District 7 (2015–present){{Cite web |last=Jones |first=Vivian |last2=Brown |first2=Melissa |date=July 21, 2023 |title=The Week in Politics: Expulsion Votes Give Jones, Pearson Massive Fundraising Haul |url=https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2023/07/21/the-week-in-politics-justin-jones-justin-pearson-fundraising-totals/70420662007/ |access-date=July 25, 2023 |website=The Tennessean}}
State representatives
- Dale Carr, District 12 (2012–present)
- Jason Zachary, District 14 (2015–present){{Cite web |last=Gainey |first=Blaise |date=November 21, 2022 |title=Tennessee Republicans Are Mostly Quiet About Trump's Latest Bid for President, But One Is Already Backing a Rival |url=https://wpln.org/post/tennessee-republicans-are-mostly-quiet-about-trumps-latest-bid-for-president-but-one-is-already-backing-a-rival/ |access-date=July 2, 2023 |website=WPLN News |language=en-US}}
- Ryan Williams, Tennessee State Representative from District 42 (2011–present); Majority Caucus Chairman of the Tennessee House of Representatives (2016–2019){{Cite web |last=Quarshie |first=Mabinty |date=2023-11-10 |title=DeSantis nets endorsement of a dozen state lawmakers after third GOP debate - Washington Examiner |url=https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/2439170/desantis-nets-endorsement-of-a-dozen-state-lawmakers-after-third-gop-debate/ |access-date=2024-05-16 |language=en-US}}
- Gino Bulso, District 61 (2023–present){{cite web |last1=Scheckner |first1=Jesse |title=Ron DeSantis adds endorsements from 21 state, local officials after GOP debate |url=https://floridapolitics.com/archives/630759-ron-desantis-adds-endorsements-from-21-state-local-officials-after-gop-debate/ |publisher=Florida Politics |access-date=2 September 2023 |date=24 August 2023}}
}}
{{Endorsements box|title=Tim Scott (withdrawn)|list=
Former governor
- Bill Haslam, (2011–2019){{Cite web |last=Allison |first=Natalie |date=2023-05-15 |title=Tim Scott builds out 2024 team, taps Bill Haslam as national co-chair |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/05/15/tim-scott-builds-2024-team-00096901 |access-date=2023-05-18 |website=POLITICO |language=en}}
}}
= Declined =
{{Endorsements box|title=Declined to endorse|list=
U.S. Representatives
- Tim Burchett, TN-02 (2019–present){{Cite news |last=Schelzig |first=Erik |date=April 17, 2023 |title=Trump lands endorsements among Tenn. congressional delegation |work=Tennessee Journal |url=https://onthehill.tnjournal.net/trump-lands-endorsements-among-tenn-congressional-delegation/ |access-date=April 17, 2023}}
- Scott DesJarlais, TN-04 (2011–present){{Cite news |last=Schelzig |first=Erik |date=April 17, 2023 |title=Trump lands endorsements among Tenn. congressional delegation |work=Tennessee Journal |url=https://onthehill.tnjournal.net/trump-lands-endorsements-among-tenn-congressional-delegation/ |access-date=April 17, 2023}}
}}
Maps
File:2024 United States presidential election Republican primary Tennessee House endorsements.svg.
{{Legend|#283681|Endorsed Donald Trump (6)}}
{{Legend|#a8002a|Endorsed Ron DeSantis (4) (withdrawn)}}{{Legend|#fe6100|Endorsed Nikki Haley (1)}}{{Legend|#f48882|No endorsement (64)}} {{Legend|#cccccc|Non-Republicans (24)}}]]
File:2024 United States presidential election Republican primary Tennessee Senate endorsements.svg.
{{Legend|#a8002a|Endorsed Ron DeSantis (1) (withdrawn)}}{{Legend|#f48882|No endorsement (26)}} {{Legend|#cccccc|Non-Republicans (6)}}]]
{{clear}}
Polling
class="wikitable mw-datatable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! Doug ! Chris ! Ron ! Nikki ! Asa ! Mike !Vivek ! Tim ! Donald ! Other ! Undecided |
Targoz Market Research[https://www.beacontn.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Marginals-Top-Lines-Likely-Voters-Final.pdf Targoz Market Research]{{Efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the Beacon Center of Tennessee}}
|Dec 14–28, 2023 |522 (LV) |± 2.66% |– |1% |12% |7% |0% |– |2% |– | {{party shading/Republican}} |72% |1% |6% |
Morning Consult[https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/2024-state-level-republican-primary-polling Morning Consult]
|Nov 1–30, 2023 |1,078 (LV) |– |0% |2% |17% |8% |1% |– |4% |1% | {{party shading/Republican}} |66% |– |1% |
Morning Consult
|Oct 1–31, 2023 |1,061 (LV) |– |0% |1% |14% |6% |0% |6% |5% |2% | {{party shading/Republican}} |63% |– |3% |
Morning Consult
|Sep 1–30, 2023 |1,032 (LV) |– |0% |2% |15% |5% |0% |5% |6% |2% | {{party shading/Republican}} |63% |0%{{efn|name=|Will Hurd with 0%}} |2% |
Morning Consult
|Aug 1–31, 2023 |1,109 (LV) |– |1% |2% |13% |2% |1% |8% |10% |3% | {{party shading/Republican}} |59% |0%{{efn|name=fswh}} |1% |
Morning Consult
|July 1–31, 2023 |1,079 (LV) |– |0% |2% |17% |2% |0% |10% |9% |2% | {{party shading/Republican}} |57% |0%{{efn|name=fswh|Francis Suarez and Will Hurd with 0%}} |1% |
Morning Consult
|June 1–30, 2023 |1,072 (LV) |– |0% |1% |21% |3% |0% |9% |3% |3% | {{party shading/Republican}} |59% |1%{{efn|name=|Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%}} |– |
The Beacon Center[https://www.beacontn.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/Beacon-Poll-June-2023-Marginals.pdf The Beacon Center]
|Jun 14–22, 2023 |502 (LV) |– |– |– |12% |– |– |8% |1% |1% | {{party shading/Republican}} |61% |– |9% |
Morning Consult
|May 1–31, 2023 |1,147 (LV) |– |– |– |18% |3% |0% |7% |2% |1% | {{party shading/Republican}} |64% |3%{{efn|name=|Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott with 1%; Kristi Noem and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}} |2% |
Morning Consult
|Apr 1–30, 2023 |986 (LV) |– |– |– |22% |3% |0% |8% |1% |1% | {{party shading/Republican}} |61% |5%{{efn|name=|Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%}} |– |
rowspan="2" |Vanderbilt University[https://www.vanderbilt.edu/csdi/Spring_2023slides_final.pdf Vanderbilt University]
| rowspan="2" | Apr 19–23, 2023 | rowspan="2" | 1,003 (RV) | rowspan="2" | ± 3.6% |– |– | 25% | 4% |2% | 5% |– |3% | {{party shading/Republican}} |59% |– |– |
–
|– |38% |– |– |– |– |– | {{party shading/Republican}} |57% |– |– |
Morning Consult
|Mar 1–31, 2023 |1,027 (LV) |– |– |– |25% |3% |– |8% |– |1% | {{party shading/Republican}} |59% |5%{{efn|name=|Liz Cheney with 3%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}} |– |
Morning Consult
|Feb 1–28, 2023 |980 (LV) |– |– |– |29% |3% |– |8% |– |0% | {{party shading/Republican}} |55% |5%{{efn|name=|Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%}} |– |
Morning Consult
|Jan 1–31, 2023 |1,265 (LV) |– |– |– |35% |1% |– |10% |– |1% | {{party shading/Republican}} |47% |6%{{efn|name=|Ted Cruz with 2%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, Liz Cheney, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%}} |1% |
Morning Consult
|Dec 1–31, 2022 |698 (LV) |– |– |– |34% |0% |– |10% |– |1% | {{party shading/Republican}} |51% |3%{{efn|name=|Ted Cruz with 2%; Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Mike Pompeo, and Kristi Noem with 0%}} |1% |
Vanderbilt University[https://news.vanderbilt.edu/2022/12/14/vanderbilt-poll-2022-tennessee/ Vanderbilt University]
| Nov 8–28, 2022 | 474 (RV) | ± 3.4% |– |– | {{party shading/Republican}} |54% | – | – | – |– | – | 41% |– | 5% |
Results
{{2024TNRep}}
=Results by congressional district=
Trump won all 9 of Tennessee's congressional districts.
class=wikitable
! District ! Trump ! Haley |
align=center {{party shading/Democratic}}
! {{ushr|Tennessee|1|1st}} | 82.6% | 15.8% |
align=center {{party shading/Democratic}}
! {{ushr|Tennessee|2|2nd}} | 72.9% | 23.2% |
align=center {{party shading/Democratic}}
! {{ushr|Tennessee|3|3rd}} | 75.9% | 20.8% |
align=center {{party shading/Democratic}}
! {{ushr|Tennessee|4|4th}} | 82.1% | 15.1% |
align=center {{party shading/Democratic}}
! {{ushr|Tennessee|5|5th}} | 70.2% | 26.2% |
align=center {{party shading/Democratic}}
! {{ushr|Tennessee|6|6th}} | 79.0% | 17.8% |
align=center {{party shading/Democratic}}
! {{ushr|Tennessee|7|7th}} | 75.8% | 21.0% |
align=center {{party shading/Democratic}}
! {{ushr|Tennessee|8|8th}} | 84.1% | 13.7% |
align=center {{party shading/Democratic}}
! {{ushr|Tennessee|9|9th}} | 72.0% | 25.3% |
colspan="6" style="text-align:left;" | Source: {{Cite web |date=March 5, 2023 |title= Tennessee Republican Presidential Nominating Process|url=https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/TN-R#0319|access-date=February 9, 2023 |website=thegreenpapers.com}} |
= Results by county =
See also
Notes
{{notelist}}
Partisan clients
{{notelist-ua}}
References
{{Reflist}}
{{2024 Republican primaries}}
Category:March 2024 in the United States