Login
Login

2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

{{Short description|State election in the US}}

{{For|related races|2026 United States Senate elections}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=January 2025}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

| country = Massachusetts

| type = presidential

| ongoing = yes

| previous_election = 2020 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

| previous_year = 2020

| next_election = 2032 United States Senate election in Massachusetts

| next_year = 2032

| election_date = November 3, 2026

| image1 =

| nominee1 =

| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 =

| percentage1 =

| image2 =

| nominee2 =

| party2 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 =

| percentage2 =

| map_image =

| map_size =

| map_caption = County results

| title = U.S. senator

| before_election = Ed Markey

| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)

| after_election =

| after_party =

}}

{{Elections in Massachusetts sidebar}}

The 2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the Commonwealth of Massachusetts. Incumbent two-term Democratic Senator Ed Markey, was re-elected in 2020 with 66.2% of the vote and is running for re-election to a third full term.

Markey, who will be 80 years old at the time of the 2026 election, has faced calls to retire due to his age.{{Cite web |last=Keller |first=Jon |date=2024-10-20 |title=Is it time for Ed Markey to step aside? Chairman of Massachusetts Democrats weighs in. |url=https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/massachusetts-democrats-steve-kerrigan-ed-markey/ |access-date=2024-12-04 |website=CBS News |language=en-US}}

Democratic primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Ed Markey, incumbent U.S. Senator (2013–present){{cite web | url=https://www.bostonherald.com/2024/10/27/ed-markey-says-he-will-seek-a-third-term-in-2026-when-he-will-be-80-years-old/ | title=Ed Markey says he will seek a third term in 2026, when he will be 80 years old | author=Medsger, Matthew | date=27 October 2024 |website=Boston Herald}}

==Potential==

Most of the following people have been speculated as potential candidates in the event that Markey drops out of the race; only Auchincloss is seen as a potential primary challenger to Markey.

=Fundraising=

class="wikitable sortable"
colspan=4 |Campaign finance reports as of March 31, 2025
style="text-align:center;"

!Candidate

!Raised

!Spent

!Cash on hand

{{party shading/Democratic}}|Ed Markey (D)

|$3,385,571

|$2,745,871

|$2,291,677

colspan="4" |Source: Federal Election Commission{{cite web |title=2026 Election United States Senate - Massachusetts |url=https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/MA/2026/ |website=fec.gov |publisher=Federal Election Commission |access-date=April 23, 2025}}

Republican primary

=Candidates=

==Declined==

  • Charlie Baker, president of the National Collegiate Athletic Association (2023–present) and former Governor of Massachusetts (2015–2023){{cite news |last1=Altimari |first1=Daniela |last2=Ellen McIntire |first2=Mary |title=An early look at potentially vulnerable senators in 2026 |url=https://rollcall.com/2025/01/07/senate-vulnerable-2026-midterm-electio/ |access-date=January 7, 2025 |work=Roll Call |date=January 7, 2025 |quote=Baker is currently the head of the NCAA and a spokesman for the organization dismissed the rumors, saying Baker is 'not running for any political office.'}}
  • Michael Soter, state representative from the 8th Worcester district (2019–present){{cite news |last1=Van Buskirk |first1=Chris |title=Bellingham Republican setting sites on potentially running for Mass. constitutional office |url=https://www.bostonherald.com/2025/04/29/bellingham-republican-setting-sites-on-potentially-running-for-mass-constitutional-office/ |access-date=April 29, 2025 |work=Boston Herald |date=April 29, 2025}}

General election

= Predictions =

class="wikitable"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align="left" |Inside Elections{{Cite web |title=Senate Ratings |url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate |access-date=January 14, 2025 |website=Inside Elections |language=en}}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}}

|February 20, 2025

align="left" |The Cook Political Report{{Cite web |title=2026 CPR Senate Race Ratings|url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings |access-date=February 11, 2025 |website=Cook Political Report }}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|D}}

|February 13, 2025

align="left"|Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web |title=2026 Senate ratings |url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2026-senate/ |website=Sabato's Crystal Ball |access-date=February 13, 2025}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|March 12, 2025

align="left"|[https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/26 Race To The WH]{{Cite web |title=2026 Senate Forecast |url=https://www.racetothewh.com/senate/26 |access-date=2025-03-19 |website=Race to the WH |language=en-US}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|D}}

|April 27, 2025

= Polling =

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

;Ed Markey vs. Charlie Baker

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
style="vertical-align:bottom"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"|Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Ed
Markey (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Charlie
Baker (R)

!Other

!Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|UMass Amherst/YouGov{{Cite web|url=https://www.bostonherald.com/2025/02/25/charlie-baker-does-not-intend-to-run-for-senate-despite-poll-showing-him-right-on-ed-markeys-heels/|title=Charlie Baker 'does not intend to run' for Senate, despite poll showing him right on Ed Markey's heels|first=Matthew|last=Medsger|website=Boston Herald|date=February 26, 2025|access-date=April 29, 2025}}{{efn-ua|name=WCVB|Poll sponsored by WCVB}}

|February 14–20, 2025

|700 (A)

|± 4.8%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|35%

|33%

|–

|33%

style="text-align:left;"|MassINC Polling Group{{Cite web|url=https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5eb9fa2f8ac4df11937f6a49/t/67252736a27be76d295404cd/1730488118174/Topline+2024+10+Nov+MA+Election.pdf|title=The MassINC Polling Group - Survey of 582 likely voters in Massachusetts|website=Squarespace|date=November 1, 2024|access-date=April 29, 2025}}

|October 29 – November 1, 2024

|582 (LV)

|± 4.9%

|34%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|40%

|7%{{efn|"Would not vote for Senate" & "Another candidate" with 3%; "Prefer not to say" with 1%}}

|19%

;Ed Markey vs. John Deaton

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
style="vertical-align:bottom"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Ed
Markey (D)

! style="width:100px;"| John
Deaton (R)

!Other

!Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|SurveyUSA{{Cite web|url=https://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=adc70fa6-00da-4a97-9b1a-7eb4844e0302|title=Once Messaging is Shared, Republican John Deaton Leads Democrat Ed Markey in MA 2026 US Senate Race, Despite Deeply Unpopular Trump|website=SurveyUSA|date=March 6, 2025|access-date=April 29, 2025}}{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by the Massachusetts Responsible Alliance}}

|February 28 – March 4, 2025

|775 (RV)

|–

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|45%

|26%

|–

|30%

{{hidden end}}

Notes

{{notelist}}

;Partisan clients

{{notelist-ua}}

References

{{Reflist}}

External links

;Official campaign websites

  • [https://www.edmarkey.com/ Ed Markey (D) for Senate]

{{Massachusetts elections}}

{{2026 United States elections}}

2026

Massachusetts

United States Senate