Alex Nowrasteh

Alex Nowrasteh was born and raised in Southern California to Iranian-American filmmaker Cyrus Nowrasteh and his wife Betsy Giffen Nowrasteh (who has collaborated with Cyrus on some of his film projects). Alex completed a B.A. in economics from George Mason University and a M.Sc. in economic history from the London School of Economics where he authored a dissertation about the economics of counter-insurgency strategy.

In April 2013, Nowrasteh wrote a blog post critical of a 2007 study conducted by Robert Rector and published by The Heritage Foundation that attempted to estimate the long-term fiscal impact of various immigration policies. It delayed the release of Heritage's updated study and placed it under severe scrutiny by academics and other policy analysts – substantially diminishing its influence.{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2013/04/23/eight-reasons-for-optimism-on-immigration-reform/|title = Eight reasons for optimism on immigration reform|last = Rubin|first = Jennifer|access-date = 2013-05-07|date = 2013-04-23|newspaper =The Washington Post}} On the day of the publication of the Heritage report (May 6, 2013), Nowrasteh participated in a press call strongly critiquing the study, along with people from Americans for Tax Reform, the Kemp Foundation, and the American Action Network.{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2013/05/06/conservative-leaders-slam-heritage-for-shoddy-immmigration-study/|title = Conservative leaders slam Heritage for shoddy {{sic|immmi|gration|nolink=y}} study|last = Rubin|first = Jennifer|date = 2013-05-06|access-date = 2013-05-07|newspaper =The Washington Post}}

On September 13, 2016, the Cato Institute published a Policy Analysis by Nowrasteh on "Terrorism and Immigration: A Risk Analysis."{{cite report

| last = Nowrasteh | first = Alex | date = September 13, 2016

| title = Terrorism and Immigration: A Risk Analysis

| type = Policy Analysis | issue = 798 | publisher = Cato Institute

| url = https://www.cato.org/publications/policy-analysis/terrorism-immigration-risk-analysis

| access-date = 2017-04-12}} He notes that, "Terrorism is a hazard to human life and material prosperity that should be addressed in a sensible manner whereby the benefits of actions to contain it outweigh the costs. ... [T]he chance of an American perishing in a terrorist attack on U.S. soil that was committed by a foreigner over the 41-year period studied here is 1 in 3.6 million per year. The hazard posed by foreigners who entered on different visa categories varies considerably. For instance, the chance of an American being murdered in a terrorist attack caused by a refugee is 1 in 3.64 billion per year while the chance of being murdered in an attack committed by an illegal immigrant is an astronomical 1 in 10.9 billion per year. By contrast, the chance of being murdered by a tourist on a B visa, the most common tourist visa, is 1 in 3.9 million per year. Any government response to terrorism must take account of the wide range of hazards posed by foreign-born terrorists who entered under various visa categories."

Nowrasteh (along with Michelangelo Landgrave) used a residual statistical technique to estimate the number of illegal immigrants who are incarcerated in a Cato report entitled "Criminal Immigrants: Their Numbers, Demographics, and Countries of Origin."{{cite journal|title = Criminal Immigrants: Their Numbers, Demographics, and Countries of Origin|last1 = Landgrave|first1 = Michelangelo|last2 = Nowrasteh|first2 = Alex|type = Immigration Research and Policy Brief | issue = 1 | publisher = Cato Institute| url = https://www.cato.org/publications/immigration-reform-bulletin/criminal-immigrants-their-numbers-demographics-countries|date = 2017-03-15}} Their main finding was that "[t]he incarceration rate was 1.53 percent for natives, 0.85 percent for illegal immigrants, and 0.47 percent for legal immigrants."

Nowrasteh's academic research largely focuses on how immigrants could affect the economic institutions in destination countries. A paper by Nowrasteh on the subject in collaboration with George Mason University doctoral student Zachary Gochenour found that immigration to the United States appeared to have not had a significant impact on the welfare state viewed in either per capita or aggregate terms. The authors summarized their findings and the policy implications in an op-ed for Investors Business Daily.{{cite web|url=http://news.investors.com/ibd-editorials-perspective/021414-690132-fears-of-rampant-government-growth-with-amnesty-overblown.htm|title = No, Immigrants Won't Make Welfare State Bigger|last1 = Nowrasteh|first1 = Alex|last2 = Gochenour|first2 = Zachary|date = February 14, 2014|access-date = February 18, 2014|publisher = Investors Business Daily}} Ilya Somin discussed the policy implications of the research in an article for The Washington Post.{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/volokh-conspiracy/wp/2014/02/18/increased-immigration-is-unlikely-to-increase-the-size-of-the-welfare-state/|title = Increased immigration is unlikely to increase the size of the welfare state|last = Somin|first = Ilya|authorlink = Ilya Somin|date = February 18, 2014|access-date = February 18, 2014|newspaper =The Washington Post}} In May 2014, the Cato Institute published a working paper co-authored by Nowrasteh (along with J. R. Clark, Robert Lawson, Benjamin Powell, and Ryan Murphy) on the impact of immigration on institutions. The paper was later published by the journal Public Choice in April 2015.{{cite journal|title = Does immigration impact institutions?|last1 = Clark|first1 = J. R.|last2 = Lawson|first2 = Robert|last3 = Nowrasteh|first3 = Alex|last4 = Powell|first4 = Benjamin|last5 = Murphy|first5 = Ryan|journal = Public Choice|doi = 10.1007/s11127-015-0254-y|volume=163|issue = 3–4|pages=321–335|year = 2015|s2cid = 55968273| url=https://issuelab.org/resources/31059/31059.pdf }} Nowrasteh (along with J.R. Clark, and Benjamin Powell) also authored "Does mass immigration destroy institutions? 1990s Israel as a natural experiment" in the Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization.{{cite journal|title = Does mass immigration destroy institutions? 1990s Israel as a natural experiment|last1 = Powell|first1 = Benjamin|last2 = Clark|first2 = J.R.|last3 = Nowrasteh|first3 = Alex|journal = Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization |doi=10.1016/j.jebo.2017.06.008|volume=141|pages=83–95|year = 2017}} In 2019, Nowrasteh published another study in the Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization'' which concluded that there was "no relationship between immigration and terrorism, whether measured by the number of attacks or victims, in destination countries... These results hold for immigrants from both Muslim majority and conflict-torn countries of origin."{{Cite journal|last1=Forrester|first1=Andrew C.|last2=Powell|first2=Benjamin|last3=Nowrasteh|first3=Alex|last4=Landgrave|first4=Michelangelo|date=2019-08-08|title=Do immigrants import terrorism?|journal=Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization|volume=166|pages=529–543|doi=10.1016/j.jebo.2019.07.019|s2cid=202308892|issn=0167-2681}}

Nowrasteh has co-authored two academic papers that appeared in the Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization. The first with Benjamin Powell and Ryan Ford was an analysis of how Somalia's economy functioned in a stateless society.{{cite journal|title = Somalia after State Collapse: Chaos or Improvement?| doi=10.1016/j.jebo.2008.04.008|volume=67|issue = 3–4|journal=Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization|pages=657–670 | last1 = Powell | first1 = Benjamin|date = September 2008|citeseerx = 10.1.1.365.6345}}{{cite journal|url=http://www.benjaminwpowell.com/scholarly-publications/journal-articles/in-reply-to-sweatshop-sophistries.pdf|title = In Reply To Sweatshop Sophistries|last = Powell|first = Benjamin|publisher = Human Rights Quarterly|date = November 2006|volume = 28|number = 4|access-date = February 5, 2014}} The second was co-authored with Professor Pete Leeson of George Mason University and is about the economics of ransom bonds, a peculiar financial instrument used in piracy during the Napoleonic Wars.{{cite web|url=https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jeborg/v79y2011i3p303-317.html|title = Was Privateering Plunder Efficient?|access-date = 2013-02-01}}

Nowrasteh has also co-authored an academic paper on privateers with Alex Tabarrok that appeared in the Fletcher Security Review and another academic paper about the impact of immigration on economic freedom that appeared in the journal Public Choice.{{cite journal|title = Does Immigration Impact Institutions?| doi=10.1007/s11127-015-0254-y|volume=163|issue = 3–4|journal=Public Choice|pages=321–335 | last1 = Clark | first1 = J. R.|year = 2015| s2cid=55968273| url=https://issuelab.org/resources/31059/31059.pdf}} The latter had numerous co-authors.

A 2019 study by Nowrasteh appeared in The World Bank Economic Review. The study found that the influx of Kuwaiti-Palestinian (Palestinians who had worked and lived in Kuwait for decades) refugees into Jordan from during the Gulf War had long-lasting positive effects on Jordanian economic institutions.{{Cite journal|last1=Blondin|first1=Cole|last2=Forrester|first2=Andrew C.|last3=Nowrasteh|first3=Alex|title=How Mass Immigration Affects Countries with Weak Economic Institutions: A Natural Experiment in Jordan|journal=The World Bank Economic Review|language=en|doi=10.1093/wber/lhy032|year=2019|volume=34|issue=2|pages=533–549|url=http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/944551555006432470/pdf/How-Mass-Immigration-Affects-Countries-with-Weak-Economic-Institutions-A-Natural-Experiment-in-Jordan.pdf|hdl=10986/31559|hdl-access=free}}

Nowrasteh has been a blogger/guest contributor for the Huffington Post,{{cite news|url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/alex-nowrasteh/|title = Alex Nowrasteh|work = The Huffington Post|access-date = 2013-02-01}} for Forbes magazine,{{cite magazine|url=https://blogs.forbes.com/alexnowrasteh/|title = Alex Nowrasteh|magazine = Forbes|access-date = 2013-02-01}} and for The Hill.{{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/immigration/208992-brats-immigration-stance-doesnt-square-with-his-free-market/|title = Brat's immigration stance doesn't square with his free-market flair|publisher =|date = 2014-06-11}} In addition, he has written pieces for National Journal,{{cite magazine|url=http://www.nationaljournal.com/thenextamerica/immigration/opinion-in-praise-of-birthright-citizenship-20120710|title = Opinion: In Praise of Birthright Citizenship|last = Nowrasteh|first = Alex|magazine = National Journal|date = 2012-07-10|access-date = 2013-02-01}} Reuters,{{cite news|url=http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2013/01/29/immigration-plan-does-only-half-the-job/|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130204000642/http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2013/01/29/immigration-plan-does-only-half-the-job|url-status=dead|archive-date=2013-02-04|title = Immigration Plan Does Only Half the Job|last = Nowrasteh|first = Alex|date = 2013-01-29|access-date = 2013-02-01|work=Reuters}} and many other major newspapers.{{cite news|url=https://www.cato.org/people/alex-nowrasteh|title = Alex Nowrasteh}} Nowrasteh has also been quoted as an expert in mainstream press pieces on immigration.{{cite news|url=http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-immigration-20130121,0,1627048.story|title = Republican allies advocate for immigration reform|last = Bennett|first = Bryan|date = 2013-01-21|access-date = 2013-02-01|newspaper = Los Angeles Times}}

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