Decision cycle

{{Short description|Sequence of steps for decision-making}}

A decision cycle or decision loop{{cite journal |last1=Simohammed |first1=Antar |last2=Smail |first2=Rachid |title=A decision loop for situation risk assessment under uncertainty: A case study of a gas facility |journal=Petroleum |date=September 2021 |volume=7 |issue=3 |pages=343–348 |doi=10.1016/j.petlm.2021.01.004 |bibcode=2021Pet.....7..343S |doi-access=free }} is a sequence of steps used by an entity on a repeated basis to reach and implement decisions and to learn from the results. The "decision cycle" phrase has a history of use to broadly categorize various methods of making decisions, going upstream to the need, downstream to the outcomes, and cycling around to connect the outcomes to the needs.

A decision cycle is said to occur when an explicitly specified decision model is used to guide a decision and then the outcomes of that decision are assessed against the need for the decision. This cycle includes specification of desired results (the decision need), tracking of outcomes, and assessment of outcomes against the desired results.

Examples of decision cycles

  • In quality control, PDCA (Plan–Do–Check–Act) is used.{{cite book |last=Shores |first=A. Richard |date=1988 |title=Survival of the fittest: total quality control and management evolution |location=Milwaukee, WI |publisher=ASQC Quality Press |isbn=087389040X |oclc=18845934 |page=59}}
  • In science, the scientific method (Observation–Hypothesis–Experiment–Evaluation) can also be seen as a decision cycle.{{cite book |last=Darian |first=Steven G. |date=2003 |chapter=The language of experiments |title=Understanding the language of science |location=Austin |publisher=University of Texas Press |isbn=0292716176 |oclc=51210597 |page=[https://archive.org/details/understandinglan0000dari/page/n165 148]}}
  • In the United States Armed Forces, a theory of an OODA loop (Observe–Orient–Decide–Act) has been advocated by Colonel John Boyd.{{cite book |last=Osinga |first=Frans P. B. |date=2007 |orig-year=2005 |chapter=Completing the loop |title=Science, strategy and war: the strategic theory of John Boyd |series=Strategy and history |volume=18 |location=London; New York |publisher=Routledge |isbn=978-0415371032 |oclc=67773991 |page=[https://books.google.com/books?id=3DtoVuj_Sn4C&pg=PA234 234]}}
  • In the lean startup methodology, the Build-Measure-Learn loop is used to guide product development.{{cite book |last=Ries |first=Eric |author-link=Eric Ries |date=2011 |title=The lean startup: how today's entrepreneurs use continuous innovation to create radically successful businesses |location=New York |publisher=Crown Business |page=[https://books.google.com/books?id=tvfyz-4JILwC&pg=PA76 76] |isbn=9780307887894 |oclc=693809631}}
  • In management, Herbert A. Simon proposed a decision cycle of three steps (Intelligence–Design–Choice).{{cite book |last=Simon |first=Herbert A. |author-link=Herbert A. Simon |date=1977 |orig-year=1960 |title=The new science of management decision |edition=Revised |location=Englewood Cliffs, NJ |publisher=Prentice-Hall |isbn=0136161448 |oclc=2464596 |url=https://archive.org/details/newscienceofmana0000simo }} Much later, other scholars expanded his framework to five steps (Intelligence–Design–Choice–Implementation–Learning).{{cite journal |last1=Mora |first1=Manuel |last2=Forgionne |first2=Guisseppi |last3=Cervantes |first3=Francisco |last4=Garrido |first4=Leonardo |last5=Gupta |first5=Jatinder N. D. |last6=Gelman |first6=Ovsei |date=January 2005 |title=Toward a comprehensive framework for the design and evaluation of intelligent decision-making support systems (i-DMSS) |journal=Journal of Decision Systems |volume=14 |issue=3 |pages=321–344 |doi=10.3166/jds.14.321-344|s2cid=5171106 }}
  • In design thinking, the design process is often conceived as a decision cycle (or design cycle), such as Robert McKim's ETC (Express–Test–Cycle).{{cite book |last=McKim |first=Robert H. |date=1980 |orig-year=1972 |title=Experiences in visual thinking |edition=2nd |location=Monterey, CA |publisher=Brooks/Cole |isbn=0818504110 |oclc=5946609 |url=https://archive.org/details/experiencesinvis0000mcki }}{{cite web |last1=Dubberly |first1=Hugh |last2=Evenson |first2=Shelley |last3=Chung |first3=Jack |last4=Bahr |first4=Robin |last5=Pangaro |first5=Paul |date=20 March 2009 |title=A model of the creative process |url=http://www.dubberly.com/concept-maps/creative-process.html |access-date=14 March 2015}}
  • In the Getting Things Done time management method, workflow consists of a cycle of five stages (Collect–Process–Organize–Do–Review).{{cite book |last=Allen |first=David |author-link=David Allen (author) |date=2001 |chapter=Getting control of your life: the five stages of mastering workflow |title=Getting things done: the art of stress-free productivity |location=New York |publisher=Viking Press |isbn=0670889067 |oclc=44868871 |page=[https://books.google.com/books?id=iykLVJAK49kC&pg=PA24 24]}}
  • In the nursing process, the ADPIE (Assessment–Diagnosis–Planning–Implementation–Evaluation) process is used.{{cite book |last=Alfaro-LeFevre |first=Rosalinda |date=2014 |orig-year=1986 |title=Applying nursing process: the foundation for clinical reasoning |edition=8th |location=Philadelphia |publisher=Wolters Kluwer Health/Lippincott Williams & Wilkins |isbn=9781609136970 |oclc=793572204 |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=dlqbmpuhPEcC}} See also: {{cite book |last1=Ackley |first1=Betty J. |last2=Ladwig |first2=Gail B. |date=2014 |orig-year=1993 |title=Nursing diagnosis handbook: an evidence-based guide to planning care |edition=10th |location=Maryland Heights, Missouri |publisher=Mosby Elsevier |isbn=9780323085496 |oclc=779260503 |page=[https://books.google.com/books?id=tmaFxuFBsDoC&pg=PA10 10]}} Alternatively, the ASPIRE (Assessment–Systematic Nursing Diagnosis–Planning–Implementation–Recheck–Evaluation) model includes an additional stage—Recheck—in between Implementation and Evaluation.{{cite book |last1=Barrett |first1=David |last2=Wilson |first2=Benita |last3=Woollands |first3=Andrea |date=2012 |orig-year=2009 |title=Care planning: a guide for nurses |edition=2nd |location=Harlow, England |publisher=Pearson Education |isbn=9780273746119 |oclc=766301888 |page=[https://books.google.com/books?id=7Y99AwAAQBAJ&pg=PA21 21]}}
  • In psychotherapy, the transtheoretical model posits five stages of intentional change (Precontemplation–Contemplation–Preparation–Action–Maintenance). These stages were initially conceived as linear, but John C. Norcross said that for many people the stages are more appropriately viewed as a cycle (Psych–Prep–Perspire–Persist–Relapse).{{cite book |last1=Norcross |first1=John C. |author-link1=John C. Norcross |last2=Loberg |first2=Kristin |last3=Norcross |first3=Jonathon |date=2012 |title=Changeology: 5 steps to realizing your goals and resolutions |location=New York |publisher=Simon & Schuster |isbn=9781451657616 |page=[https://books.google.com/books?id=s1tGAgAAQBAJ&pg=PA196 196]}}
  • In USAID, the use of a program cycle, "codified in the Automated Directive Systems (ADS) 201, is USAID's operational model for planning, delivering, assessing, and adapting development programming in a given region or country to achieve more effective and sustainable results in order to advance U.S. foreign policy".{{cite web |url=https://usaidlearninglab.org/learning-at-usaid/program-cycle-overview-page |title=USAID: Program Cycle Overview |website=usaidlearninglab.org |access-date=2022-09-28}} Relatedly, within the agency there exists resources regarding adaptive management decision cycles.{{cite web |url=https://usaidlearninglab.org/resources/knowing-when-adapt-decision-tree |title=Knowing When to Adapt – A Decision Tree |website=usaidlearninglab.org |access-date=2022-09-28}}

See also

References

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Category:Decision-making