Draft:Financial sentiment analysis

{{Short description|Application of sentiment analysis to finance}}

{{Draft topics|stem}}

{{AfC topic|stem}}

{{AfC submission|||ts=20250430022852|u=61.6.141.111|ns=118}}

{{AFC submission|d|essay|u=137.132.201.112|ns=118|decliner=Devonian Wombat|declinets=20250226101011|ts=20250222072329}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=April 2025}}

{{Infobox

| above = Financial sentiment analysis

| label1 = Subfields

| data1 = Natural language processing, Machine learning, Finance

| label2 = Applications

| data2 = Stock market, Cryptocurrency trading, Financial forecasting, Risk assessment

}}

Financial sentiment analysis (FSA) is the application of sentiment analysis techniques to finance-related text, including corporate filings, financial news, and social-media messages.{{cite journal |last1=Du |first1=Kelvin |last2=Xing |first2=Frank |last3=Mao |first3=Rui |last4=Cambria |first4=Erik |title=Financial Sentiment Analysis: Techniques and Applications |journal=ACM Computing Surveys |date=April 2024 |volume=56 |issue=9 |pages=220 |doi=10.1145/3649451}} By extracting positive, negative, or neutral opinions, FSA seeks to quantify investor sentiment and relate it to market sentiment, supporting tasks such as trading, forecasting, and risk management.

Overview

Financial sentiment analysis combines natural language processing with concepts from financial economics to measure attitudes expressed in market-relevant documents.{{cite conference |last1=Xing |first1=Frank Z. |last2=Malandri |first2=Lorenzo |last3=Zhang |first3=Yue |last4=Cambria |first4=Erik |title=Financial Sentiment Analysis: An Investigation into Common Mistakes and Silver Bullets |conference=Proceedings of the 28th International Conference on Computational Linguistics |date=December 2020 |location=Barcelona |pages=978–987}} Typical sources include annual reports, earnings-call transcripts, newswire stories, and social-media posts. Because financial language differs from everyday usage, for example, liability is neutral in accounting contexts, FSA systems use domain-specific lexicons and models.{{cite journal |last1=Loughran |first1=Tim |last2=McDonald |first2=Bill |title=When Is a Liability Not a Liability? Textual Analysis, Dictionaries, and 10-Ks |journal=The Journal of Finance |year=2011 |volume=66 |issue=1 |pages=35–65 |doi=10.1111/j.1540-6261.2010.01625.x}}

History

Early 2000s studies mined internet message boards for investor mood and documented links with equity returns.{{cite journal |last1=Antweiler |first1=Wolfgang |last2=Frank |first2=Murray Z. |title=Is All That Talk Just Noise? The Information Content of Internet Stock Message Boards |journal=The Journal of Finance |year=2004 |volume=59 |issue=3 |pages=1259–1294 |doi=10.1111/j.1540-6261.2004.00662.x}} The first financial lexicons—Henry’s Financial Dictionary followed by the Loughran–McDonald list—were created to capture finance-specific language. The availability of labeled datasets in the 2010s enabled supervised classifiers such as support-vector machines and random forests.{{cite journal |last1=Sohangir |first1=Sahar |last2=Wang |first2=Dingding |last3=Pomeranets |first3=Anna |last4=Khoshgoftaar |first4=Taghi M. |title=Big Data: Deep Learning for Financial Sentiment Analysis |journal=Journal of Big Data |year=2018 |volume=5 |issue=3 |pages=1–25 |doi=10.1186/s40537-017-0111-6|doi-access=free }} Advances in deep learning and transformer models, including BERT and its domain-adapted variant FinBERT, now set state-of-the-art benchmarks.{{cite arXiv | eprint=1908.10063 | last1=Araci | first1=Dogu | title=FinBERT: Financial Sentiment Analysis with Pre-trained Language Models | date=2019 | class=cs.CL }}

Techniques

  • Lexicon-based methods  – Score text using finance-specific word lists such as Loughran–McDonald.
  • Traditional supervised learning  – Employ algorithms including naïve Bayes, random forests, and support-vector machines trained on labeled financial corpora.
  • Deep learning  – Use convolutional neural networks, recurrent neural networks, or transformers to model contextual cues.
  • Hybrid and ensemble models  – Combine lexicon features with machine-learning or neural outputs for improved robustness.

Applications

  • Market prediction – Sentiment metrics derived from news and social media help forecast short-term price movements and volatility.{{cite journal |last=Chen |first=Tianyu |title=EFSA: Towards Event-Level Financial Sentiment Analysis |journal=Proceedings of ACL 2024 |year=2024 |pages=7455–7467}}
  • Algorithmic trading – Funds incorporate real-time sentiment signals into automated trading strategies.{{cite conference |last1=Iacovides |first1=Giorgos |last2=Konstantinidis |first2=Thanos |last3=Xu |first3=Mingxue |last4=Mandic |first4=Danilo |title=FinLlama: LLM-Based Financial Sentiment Analysis for Algorithmic Trading |conference=5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance |year=2024 |pages=134–142 |doi=10.1145/3677052.3698696}}
  • Risk assessment and portfolio management – Analysts gauge managerial tone in filings and calls to inform credit and valuation models.

Trends

Large language models—including FinGPT{{cite arXiv | eprint=2306.05429 | last1=Li | first1=Yan | last2=Sun | first2=Jingbo | last3=Wen | first3=Yongzheng | last4=Xiong | first4=Xiaoyu | last5=Zhou | first5=Ji | title=Spin photonics on chip based on a twinning crystal metamaterial | date=2023 | class=physics.optics }}, BloombergGPT{{cite arXiv | eprint=2303.17564 | last1=Wu | first1=Shijie | last2=Irsoy | first2=Ozan | last3=Lu | first3=Steven | last4=Dabravolski | first4=Vadim | last5=Dredze | first5=Mark | last6=Gehrmann | first6=Sebastian | last7=Kambadur | first7=Prabhanjan | last8=Rosenberg | first8=David | last9=Mann | first9=Gideon | title=BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Finance | date=2023 | class=cs.LG }}, and FinLlama{{cite conference |last1=Iacovides |first1=Giorgos |last2=Konstantinidis |first2=Thanos |last3=Xu |first3=Mingxue |last4=Mandic |first4=Danilo |title=FinLlama: LLM-Based Financial Sentiment Analysis for Algorithmic Trading |conference=5th ACM International Conference on AI in Finance |year=2024 |pages=134–142 |doi=10.1145/3677052.3698696}}—are being explored for few-shot or zero-shot financial sentiment tasks. Multimodal approaches combine textual sentiment with market microstructure data, and explainable-AI techniques aim to increase interpretability in regulated environments.

References

{{Reflist}}