Expert Political Judgment

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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? is a 2005 book by Philip E. Tetlock. The book mentions how experts are often no better at making predictions than most other people, and how when they are wrong, they are rarely held accountable.{{cite web |author=Menand |first=Louis |date=28 November 2005 |title=Everybody's an Expert - The New Yorker |url=http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2005/12/05/everybodys-an-expert |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20250524150105/http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2005/12/05/everybodys-an-expert |archive-date=2025-05-24 |accessdate=January 18, 2016 |newspaper=Newyorker.com}}{{Cite web |last=Kokotajlo |first=Daniel |date=2019-02-07 |title=Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project: an accompanying blog post |url=https://aiimpacts.org/evidence-on-good-forecasting-practices-from-the-good-judgment-project-an-accompanying-blog-post/ |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20250524145332/https://aiimpacts.org/evidence-on-good-forecasting-practices-from-the-good-judgment-project-an-accompanying-blog-post/ |archive-date=2025-05-24 |access-date=2025-05-24 |website=AI Impacts |language=en-US}}