Stochastic terrorism

{{Short description|Terrorism promoted by indirect rhetoric}}

{{use mdy dates |date=September 2023}}

Stochastic terrorism is a form of political violence instigated by hostile public rhetoric directed at a group or an individual. Unlike incitement to terrorism, stochastic terrorism is accomplished with indirect, vague or coded language, which grants the instigator plausible deniability for any associated violence.{{Cite journal |last1=Amman |first1=Molly |last2=Meloy |first2=J. Reid |date=2021 |title=Stochastic Terrorism: A Linguistic and Psychological Analysis |url=https://pt.icct.nl/sites/default/files/2023-04/Article%201_12.pdf |journal=Perspectives on Terrorism |volume=15 |issue=5 |pages=2–13 |issn=2334-3745 |jstor=27073433 |access-date=5 October 2023}} A key element of stochastic terrorism is the use of media for propagation, where the person carrying out the violence may not have direct connection to any other users of violent rhetoric.{{Cite book |last=McQuade |first=Barbara |title=Attack From Within: How Disinformation is Sabotaging America |date=2024 |publisher=Seven Stories Press |isbn=978-1-64421-363-6 |location=New York |chapter-url=https://books.google.com/books?id=Fl7QEAAAQBAJ&pg=PA189 |chapter=Chapter 7: 'Somebody is Going to Get Killed': Disinformation Is Endangering Public Safety and National Security |page=192-193 |quote=Al-Qaeda and ISIS were engaging in a tactic known as 'stochastic terrorism,' the incitement of violence through public demonization of a group or individual. |access-date=27 March 2025 }}{{Cite journal |last=Angrove |first=James |title=Stochastic terrorism: critical reflections on an emerging concept |date=2024 |journal=Critical Studies on Terrorism |volume=17 |issue=1|pages=21–43 |doi=10.1080/17539153.2024.2305742 |doi-access=free }}{{cite web|website=George A. Smathers Libraries of the University of Florida|url=https://guides.uflib.ufl.edu/stochastic_terrorism |access-date=27 March 2025 |title=What is Stochastic Terrorism?}}

Defining features

Although stochastic terrorism is considered an academic term without a formal legal definition, it is differentiated from other forms of terrorism due to its public, indirect, and seemingly random nature.

  1. Speech: A public figure or group disseminates violent, inflammatory rhetoric via mass-media, directed at people or groups of people, sometimes suggesting or legitimizing the use of violence. This speech tends to be protected due to the use of ambiguous coded language, dog whistles, jokes, hints, and other subtext in statements that fall short of a criminal threshold for causation.{{Cite journal |last1=Amman |first1=Molly |last2=Meloy |first2=Reid |date=October 2021 |title=Incitement to Violence and Stochastic Terrorism: Legal, Academic, and Practical Parameters for Researchers and Investigators |url=https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09546553.2022.2143352 |journal=Terrorism and Political Violence |publisher=Terrorism Research Initiative |volume=15 |issue=5 |pages=2–13 |doi=10.1080/09546553.2022.2143352 |s2cid=254907232 |issn=0954-6553 |jstor=}}{{Cite web |last=Follman |first=Mark |date=December 17, 2020 |title=National security experts warn Trump 'is promoting terrorism' against Americans |url=https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2020/12/trump-stochastic-terrorism-violence-rhetoric/ |access-date=August 11, 2023 |website=Mother Jones |language=en-US}}{{Cite news |last=Yousef |first=Odette |date=September 17, 2024 |title=The U.S. has had a long history of political violence, but experts see a new trend |url=https://www.npr.org/2024/09/17/nx-s1-5113997/political-violence-trump |work=NPR |access-date=27 March 2025 }} The 'it was just a joke' defense has been linked to early days of Nazism.{{Cite book |last=Newitz |first=Annalee |author-link=Annalee Newitz |title=Stories Are Weapons: Psychological Warfare and the American Mind |date=June 4, 2024 |publisher=W. W. Norton & Company |chapter=Chapter 3: Advertisements for Disenfranchisement |page=69-92 |chapter-url=https://books.google.com/books?id=tyrXEAAAQBAJ&pg=PT69 |isbn= 978-0-393-88152-3}} Other themes identified include black and white good vs. evil narratives{{Cite web |last=Snodgrass |first=Erin |date=8 November 2022 |title=Stochastic terrorism appears to be on the rise globally. Extremism experts explain how this form of violence has gone mainstream. |url=https://www.businessinsider.com/stochastic-terrorism-meaning-definition-form-of-extremist-political-violence-2022-11 |access-date=2023-09-26 |website=Business Insider |language=en-US}} as well as painting an enemy as a mortal threat, which have been compared to the radicalization techniques used by terrorist groups.{{Cite web |last=Ioanes |first=Ellen |date=2022-11-05 |title=An atmosphere of violence: Stochastic terror in American politics |url=https://www.vox.com/2022/11/5/23441858/violence-stochastic-terror-american-politics-trump-pelosi |access-date=2023-09-28 |website=Vox |language=en}}{{cite news |last=Nelson |first=Bryn |date=November 5, 2022 |title=Opinion: How Stochastic Terrorism Uses Disgust to Incite Violence |work=Scientific American |url=https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-stochastic-terrorism-uses-disgust-to-incite-violence/ |access-date=3 October 2023}} These attacks are often repeated and amplified inside a media echo chamber.{{cite web |url=https://www.salon.com/2021/06/30/tucker-carlson-prepares-white-nationalists-for-war-dont-ignore-the-power-of-his-rhetoric/ |work=Salon.com |title=Tucker Carlson prepares white nationalists for war: Don't ignore the power of his rhetoric |first=Chauncey |last=DeVega |date=June 30, 2021 |access-date=3 October 2023 }}
  2. Speaker(s): Typically the speaker is an influential political or media figure, who is referred to as the "stochastic terrorist" for his or her alleged indirect culpability for the attack.{{Cite magazine |last=Keats |first=Jonathon |date=21 January 2019 |title=How Stochastic Terrorism Lets Bullies Operate in Plain Sight |url=https://www.wired.com/story/jargon-watch-rising-danger-stochastic-terrorism/ |access-date=2023-08-11 |magazine=Wired |language=en-US |issn=1059-1028}}{{Cite news |last1=Bensinger |first1=Ken |last2=Frenkel |first2=Sheera |date=2022-10-05 |title=After Mar-a-Lago Search, Talk of 'Civil War' Is Flaring Online |language=en-US |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/05/us/politics/civil-war-social-media-trump.html |access-date=2023-09-28 |issn=0362-4331}} The instigator(s) or "stochastic terrorist(s)" may or may not knowingly use this technique to attack and intimidate enemies, nonetheless, the effect remains the same. The public figure can plausibly disclaim any subsequent attack, as their words were not an explicit call for violence, and because of the lack of a direct organizational link between the instigator and perpetrator of the attack.{{cite web |url=https://umbc.edu/stories/political-violence-in-america-isnt-going-away-anytime-soon/ |first=Richard |last=Forno |title=Political violence in America isn't going away anytime soon |date=November 7, 2022 |work=University of Maryland, Baltimore County |access-date=3 October 2023 }} The public figure cannot be prosecuted for his or her statements so long as they do not meet the legal definition of incitement. This is the key distinction between stochastic terrorism and other forms of terrorism. In the U.S., the 1969 Supreme Court case Brandenburg v. Ohio held that violent, inflammatory speech cannot be criminalized unless it is intended to, and likely to, result in imminent lawless action. However, Kurt Braddock warns that speech can be quite dangerous even if legal.
  3. Inspiration: An individual or group, without any ties to known terrorist groups, hears the speech and becomes motivated to commit violence against the target of the speech, believing it will further a political or ideological goal.{{cite web |url=https://www.mpg.de/20384248/F001_Focus_021-025.pdf |date=2 June 2023 |first=Michaela |last=Hutterer |title=From Sparks To Fire |work=Max Planck Institute for the Study of Crime, Security and Law |access-date=3 October 2023 }} Annalee Newitz points to social media and other types propaganda that demonizes groups as a common modern source of inspiration.
  4. Attack: An attacker commits an act of terrorism that could include physical violence, threats, or other acts meant to harm, instill fear, intimidate. The victims may receive or fear physical attacks, (online) harassment, and death threats.{{cite interview |first=Ben |last=Mathis-Lilley |interviewer=Mary Harris |url=https://slate.com/transcripts/c09relNTZ3Fkem1rUGVVK1AyL0hnOTNTZGduaXh2MStneVMzVU9XK1JFUT0= |work=Slate |title=The Poll Workers Targeted by Trump |date=June 23, 2022 |access-date=3 October 2023 }} This can have a chilling effect, as many victims do not have the resources for adequate security.{{cite journal |journal=Journal of Democracy |volume=32 |issue=4 |pages=160–76 |url=https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/the-rise-of-political-violence-in-the-united-states/ |title=The Rise of Political Violence in the United States |date=October 2021 |access-date=3 October 2023 |first=Rachel |last=Kleinfeld |doi=10.1353/jod.2021.0059 |s2cid=239879073 |doi-access=free }}
  5. Probability: While difficult to predict each individual act of violence due to the disconnected chain of causality, the speech makes threats and terror attacks more likely. These attacks observed as a collection have a statistically valid relationship, even if individual attacks are too random (stochastic) to predict precisely.{{Cite web |date=2019-08-08 |title=What Is 'Stochastic Terrorism,' And Why Is It Trending? |url=https://www.dictionary.com/e/what-is-stochastic-terrorism/ |access-date=2023-08-19 |website=Dictionary.com |language=en-US}}

Origin and popularization of the term

In 2002, the term was first used by Gordon Woo to describe a process to quantify risk of a terrorist attack.{{cite journal |last1=Munn |first1=Luke |date=June 2019 |title=Alt-Right pipeline: Individual Journeys to extremism online |journal=First Monday |volume=26 |issue=6 |doi=10.5210/fm.v24i6.10108 |doi-access=free}}{{Cite journal |last=Woo |first=Gordon |date=2002-04-01 |title=Quantitative Terrorism Risk Assessment |url=https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/eb022949/full/html |journal=The Journal of Risk Finance |volume=4 |issue=1 |pages=7–14 |doi=10.1108/eb022949 |issn=1526-5943 |access-date=5 October 2023 }}{{cite journal |last1=Woo |first1=Gordon |date=December 2003 |title=Insuring Against Al-Quaeda |url=https://conference.nber.org/confer/2003/insurance03/woo.pdf |journal=Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research |access-date=26 March 2024 |ref=Woo2003}}

Credit for defining the term has also been given to the blogger, G2geek, on the Daily Kos platform in 2011, when defining it as "the use of mass communications to stir up random lone wolves to carry out violent or terrorist acts that are statistically predictable but individually unpredictable", with plausible deniability for those creating media messaging.{{Cite web |author=G2geek |date=11 January 2011 |title=Stochastic Terrorism: Triggering the shooters. |url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2011/1/10/934890/- |access-date=2023-09-02 |website=Daily Kos |language=en}} The article covered the 2011 Tucson shooting.

As of 2016, "stochastic terrorism" was an "obscure" academic term according to professor David S. Cohen.{{Cite magazine |last=Cohen |first=David S. |date=August 9, 2016 |title=Trump's Assassination Dog Whistle Was Even Scarier Than You Think |url=https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/trumps-assassination-dog-whistle-was-even-scarier-than-you-think-112138/ |access-date=August 11, 2023 |magazine=Rolling Stone |language=en-US}} During an August 9, 2016 campaign rally, then-candidate Donald Trump remarked "If [Hillary Clinton] gets to pick her judges, nothing you can do, folks. Although the Second Amendment people, maybe there is. I don't know." These comments were widely condemned as instigating violence, and described by Cohen as "stochastic terrorism", further popularizing the term.{{cite web |url=https://www.vox.com/2016/8/10/12422476/trump-second-amendment-hillary-stochastic-terrorism-anti-abortion-violence |title=Trump's 2nd Amendment comment wasn't a joke. It was 'stochastic terrorism.' |work=Vox.com |first=Emily |last=Crockett |access-date=4 October 2023 |date=10 August 2016 }} Trump has continued to be criticized as inspiring violence.{{Cite web |last=Hasan |first=Mehdi |date=2019-08-04 |title=After El Paso, We Can No Longer Ignore Trump's Role in Inspiring Mass Shootings |url=https://theintercept.com/2019/08/04/el-paso-dayton-mass-shootings-donald-trump/ |access-date=2024-06-19 |website=The Intercept |language=en-US}}{{Cite web |last=Murai |first=Ruth |date=March 30, 2024 |title=Donald Trump just stooped to his lowest low yet |url=https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/03/donald-trump-stoops-to-lowest-low-yet-with-violent-post-of-biden/ |access-date=2024-06-19 |website=Mother Jones |language=en-US}}{{Cite web |last=Timmons |first=Heather |date=2018-10-26 |title=Stochastic terror and the cycle of hate that pushes unstable Americans to violence |url=https://qz.com/1436267/trump-stochastic-terror-and-the-hate-that-ends-in-violence |access-date=2024-06-19 |website=Quartz |language=en}}{{Cite news |last=Kayyem |first=Juliette |date=2023-12-06 |title=The Proud Boys Love a Winner |url=https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2024/01/trump-2024-reelection-proud-boys-oath-keepers-extremism/676131/ |access-date=2024-06-19 |work=The Atlantic |language=en |issn=2151-9463}}

Counter measures

{{See also|Violent extremism#Prevention of radicalization and deradicalization}}

Counterterrorism techniques such as attitudinal inoculation can help explain to a broad audience how radicalization and manipulation works, helping to blunt the impact of messages that increase violent tendencies. Seth Jones argues that labeling domestic terrorist groups, similar to labeling of international groups, would be helpful, although he acknowledges that most right-wing violence is perpetrated by lone wolves.{{Cite report |url=https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep22336 |title=The Rise of Far-Right Extremism in the United States |last=Jones |first=Seth G. |date=2018 |publisher=Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) |access-date=3 October 2023 }} Rachel Kleinfeld advocates for increasing the penalties of violent actions or threats against elected officials, election workers, and other essential personnel for the functioning of a democracy to a specially-protected class similar to how hate crimes are classified.{{Cite web |last=Kleinfeld |first=Rachel |date=March 31, 2022 |title=The Rise in Political Violence in the United States and Damage to Our Democracy |url=https://carnegieendowment.org/posts/2022/03/the-rise-in-political-violence-in-the-united-states-and-damage-to-our-democracy?lang=en |website=Carnegie Endowment for International Peace |access-date=3 October 2023 }}

While U.S. jurisprudence narrowly defines the crime of incitement, conduct that incites ethnic or racial hatred is illegal in many other jurisdictions. In Germany, for instance, {{lang|de|Volksverhetzung}} is speech that "denigrates an individual or a group based on their ethnicity or religion," or "tries to rouse hatred or promotes violence against such a group or an individual" and is punishable by up to five years in prison.{{cite news |first=Anna |last=Sauerbrey |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/23/opinion/germany-neo-nazis-charlottesville.html |title=How Germany Deals With Neo-Nazis |work=The New York Times |date=23 August 2017 |access-date=16 September 2024 }}

Alleged incidents

{{See also|Will no one rid me of this turbulent priest?}}

The 2009 murder of George Tiller has been described as an example of stochastic terrorism, as many conservative news opinion shows and talk radio shows repeatedly demonized him for his administration of post-viability abortions.{{Cite web |last=Rawwas |first=Mohammed |date=1 April 2019 |title=Opinion: On Christchurch & stochastic terrorism |url=https://www.northerniowan.com/10386/opinion/on-christchurch-stochastic-terrorism/ |access-date=11 August 2023 |website=The Northern Iowan}}

The 2011 Tucson shooting where US Rep Gabby Giffords was shot has also been cited as a prominent example.{{Cite web |last=Forno |first=Richard |date=16 July 2024 |title=Social media and political violence – how to break the cycle |url=https://theconversation.com/social-media-and-political-violence-how-to-break-the-cycle-234631 |access-date=12 August 2024 |website=The Conversation |language=en-US}}{{Cite news |last1=Barbaro |first1=Michael |last2=Chaturvedi |first2=Asthaa |last3=Reid |first3=Will |last4=Wood |first4=Chris |last5=Lin |first5=M. J. Davis |last6=Lozano |first6=Marion |date=2 November 2022 |title=The Man Who Tried to Kidnap Nancy Pelosi |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/02/podcasts/the-daily/pelosi-attack-congress-violence.html |access-date=12 August 2024 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331}}

Al Qaeda and ISIS used this tactic, which has been cited as the mechanism that inspired attacks including Boston Marathon bombing and Fort Hood.

The 2016 murder of Jo Cox MP by white supremacist Thomas Mair ahead of the Brexit referendum has been described as stochastic terrorism.{{cite journal |last1=Angove |first1=James |date=2 January 2024 |title=Stochastic terrorism: critical reflections on an emerging concept |journal=Critical Studies on Terrorism |language=en |volume=17 |issue=1 |pages=21–43 |doi=10.1080/17539153.2024.2305742 |issn=1753-9153 |doi-access=free }} It has been noted that the views held by Mair{{snd}}including anti-immigrant and anti-refugee sentiment{{snd}}are part of mainstream British political discourse. By describing the murder in the context of Nazism, the presiding judge separated the sentiments from modern political discourse rather than drawing attention to contemporary extremist groups and figures whose rhetoric were likely to have influenced Mair.{{cite journal |last1=Ali |first1=Nadya |date=December 2020 |title=Seeing and unseeing Prevent's racialized borders |journal=Security Dialogue |language=en |volume=51 |issue=6 |pages=579–596 |doi=10.1177/0967010620903238 |issn=0967-0106 |access-date=}}

In their 2017 book Age of Lone Wolf Terrorism, criminologist Mark S. Hamm and sociologist Ramón Spaaij describe ISIS, Anwar al-Awlaki, and Alex Jones as guilty of stochastic terrorism.{{Cite book |last1=Hamm |first1=Mark S. |title=The Age of Lone Wolf Terrorism |last2=Spaaij |first2=Ramón |last3=Cottee |first3=Simon |date=2017 |publisher=Columbia University Press |isbn=978-0-231-54377-4 |series=Studies in transgression |location=New York City |url=https://books.google.com/books?id=RYWhDgAAQBAJ&q=stochastic }}{{rp|157}} In the 2010 Oakland freeway shootout, Byron Williams was said to be en route to offices of the American Civil Liberties Union and the Tides Foundation, planning to commit mass murder, "indirectly enabled by the conspiracy theories" of Glenn Beck and Alex Jones. They also cite the 2012 shooting at the Family Research Council.

The 2017 congressional baseball shooting has been described as an act of stochastic terrorism.{{Cite web |last=Chait |first=Jonathan |date=28 October 2022 |title=This Is Not the Political Violence That Should Scare Us |url=https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/10/the-paul-pelosi-attack-is-a-harbinger-of-much-worse.html |access-date=12 August 2024 |website=Intelligencer |language=en}}

The 2018 mail bombings were also attributed by Barbara MacQuade, Medhi Hasan{{Cite web |last=Hasan |first=Mehdi |date=4 August 2019 |title=After El Paso, We Can No Longer Ignore Trump's Role in Inspiring Mass Shootings |url=https://theintercept.com/2019/08/04/el-paso-dayton-mass-shootings-donald-trump/ |access-date=12 August 2024 |website=The Intercept |language=en-US}} and Jonathon Keats{{Cite magazine |last=Keats |first=Jonathon |title=How Stochastic Terrorism Lets Bullies Operate in Plain Sight |url=https://www.wired.com/story/jargon-watch-rising-danger-stochastic-terrorism/ |date=21 January 2019 |access-date=12 August 2024 |magazine=Wired |language=en-US |issn=1059-1028}} as stochastic terrorism indirectly inspired by the rhetoric of Donald Trump.

The Gretchen Whitmer kidnapping plot in 2020 has been described by Molly Amman and Reid Meloy as an example of stochastic terrorism.{{Cite magazine |last=Tannehill |first=Brynn |date=12 December 2022 |title=Preparing for the Worst |url=https://newrepublic.com/article/168784/democrats-preparing-worst-republican-minoritarian-rule |access-date=7 August 2024 |magazine=The New Republic |issn=0028-6583}}

In the wake of escalating attacks on the LGBT community in the early 2020s, including bomb threats on children's hospitals and the Colorado Springs nightclub shooting, right-wing activists such as Matt Walsh and Chaya Raichik of Libs of TikTok have been accused of stochastic terrorism by commentators Kristofer Goldsmith,{{Cite web |last=Halon |first=Yael |date=12 December 2022 |title=MSNBC guest accuses Musk and Libs of TikTok of promoting 'stochastic terrorism' on Twitter |url=https://www.foxnews.com/media/msnbc-guest-musk-libs-tiktok-promoting-stochastic-terrorism-twitter |access-date=11 August 2023 |website=Fox News |language=en-US}} Helen Santoro{{Cite web |last=Santoro |first=Helen |date=12 December 2022 |title=How Anti-LGBTQ+ Rhetoric Fuels Violence |url=https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-anti-lgbtq-rhetoric-fuels-violence/ |access-date=11 August 2023 |website=Scientific American |language=en}} and Juliette Kayyem.{{Cite web |last=Wilson |first=Jason |date=22 November 2022 |title=Colorado Springs: Far-Right Influencers Made LGBTQ People Into Targets |url=https://www.splcenter.org/hatewatch/2022/11/22/colorado-springs-far-right-influencers-made-lgbtq-people-targets |access-date=11 August 2023 |publisher=Southern Poverty Law Center |language=en}}{{Cite web |title=Club Q Shooting Comes Amid Increased Attacks on LGBTQ+ Venues |first=Christopher |last=Wiggins |url=https://www.advocate.com/crime/2022/11/20/club-q-shooting-colorado-comes-amid-increased-attacks-lgbtq-venues |date=20 November 2022 |access-date=7 August 2024 |website=The Advocate |language=en}}

The 6 January attack on the Capitol has also been described as stochastic terrorism.{{Cite web |last=Follman |first=Mark |title=How Trump unleashed a domestic terrorism movement—and how to defeat it |url=https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2021/02/trump-stochastic-terrorism-us-capitol-mob-incitement/ |year=2021 |access-date=12 August 2024 |website=Mother Jones |language=en-US}}

The May 2022 Buffalo shooting{{cite magazine |last=Lavin |first=Talia |date=15 May 2022 |title=The Buffalo Shooter Isn't a 'Lone Wolf.' He's a Mainstream Republican |url=https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/political-commentary/buffalo-shooter-white-supremacist-great-replacement-donald-trump-1353509/ |magazine=Rolling Stone |access-date=5 October 2023 }}{{cite news |url=https://www.wbfo.org/local/2022-06-24/extremism-in-wny-how-to-combat-extremism-here-and-elsewhere |title= Extremism in WNY: How to combat extremism here and elsewhere |work=WBFO |first=Tom |last=Dinki |date=24 June 2022 |access-date=3 October 2023 }} and the August 2022 Cincinnati FBI field office attack have been cited as examples of stochastic terrorism.{{cite web |first=Mark |last=Follman |url=https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2022/09/trump-republicans-incitement-violence-threats-stochastic-terrorism/ |title=How Trump spread incitement of violence throughout the GOP |work=Mother Jones |date=September 2022 |access-date=26 September 2023 }}{{cite news |first=Bevan |last=Hurley |access-date=26 September 2023 |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/ricky-shiffer-ashli-babbitt-trump-b2146095.html |title=How Trump-loving Ohio FBI shooter became the right's new Ashli Babbitt |website=Independent.co.uk |date=17 August 2022 }}{{cite news |first=Isabella |last=Zavarise |access-date=26 September 2023 |url=https://www.businessinsider.com/extremism-researcher-online-networks-push-conspiracies-and-get-people-killed-2022-8 |date=14 August 2022 |title=Extremism researcher says death of gunman who tried to breach Ohio FBI office is 'a really good example' of how far-right conspiracies can get followers killed |website=Business Insider }}{{cite news |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/hate-speech-online-extremism-fed-pelosi-attack-terror-experts-believe-2022-10-29/ |title=Hate speech, online extremism fed Pelosi attack, terror experts believe |newspaper=Reuters |date=29 October 2022 |last1=Timmons |first1=Heather |access-date=26 September 2023 }}{{cite web |last=Froomkin |first=Dan |author-link=Dan Froomkin |date=12 August 2022 |title=The phrase you're looking for is 'stochastic terrorism' |url=https://presswatchers.org/2022/08/the-phrase-youre-looking-for-is-stochastic-terrorism/ |access-date=26 September 2023 |work=Press Watch}}

The perpetrator of the October 2022 attack on Paul Pelosi stated he was looking for Nancy Pelosi and hoping to intimidate other Democratic lawmakers, actions that have been described by some commentators and academics as stochastic terrorism.{{Cite news |last=Fisher |first=Max |date=3 November 2022 |title=Troubled Loner? Political Terrorist? Both? It's Often Hard to Say |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/03/world/americas/pelosi-attack-interpreter.html |access-date=7 August 2024 |work=The New York Times |language=en-US |issn=0362-4331}}{{Cite web |last=Forno |first=Richard |date=3 November 2022 |title=Political violence in America isn't going away anytime soon |url=https://theconversation.com/political-violence-in-america-isnt-going-away-anytime-soon-193597 |access-date=7 August 2024 |website=The Conversation |language=en-US}}{{Cite news |date=30 October 2022 |title='Where's Nancy?': Suspect in hammer attack on Pelosi's husband facing attempted murder charge |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-10-30/david-depape-arrested-hammer-attack-on-nancy-pelosi-husband/101594940 |access-date=12 August 2024 |work=ABC News |agency=Reuters |language=en-AU}}

In June 2024, two racially motivated stabbing incidents happened in Oulu, Finland.{{Cite news |date=19 June 2024 |title=Second stabbing at Oulu shopping centre in a week, police suspect racist motive |url=https://yle.fi/a/74-20095076 |access-date=18 April 2024 |work=YLE |language=en-US}} Green Sisu described the attacks as stochastic terrorism and being predated by years of hostile rhetoric from far-right politicians in Finland, most notably from the Finns Party.{{Cite news|date=20 June 2024 |first=Kaisu |last=Suopanki |title=Suomen hallitus mahdollistaa äärioikeistolaista väkivaltaa, sanoo professori |trans-title=Finnish government enables far-right violence, says professor |url=https://www.ksml.fi/uutissuomalainen/6863327 |access-date=20 April 2024 |work=Keskisuomalainen |language=fi-FI}}{{Cite news |first=Antti |last=Poikola |date=20 June 2024 |title=Green Sisu urges government to act against the far-right violence |url=https://greensisu.fi/2024/06/20/green-sisu-urges-government-to-act-against-the-far-right-violence/ |access-date=20 April 2024 |work=Keskisuomalainen |language=en-EN}}

Following the July 2024 Southport stabbing, inflammatory remarks and sharing of disinformation by public figures were linked to subsequent rioting. The Reform UK leader Nigel Farage was accused by former counter-terrorism Police chief Neil Basu of inciting violence and creating conspiracy theories.{{Cite news |last1=Dodd |first1=Vikram |last2=Quinn |first2=Ben |last3=Mason |first3=Rowena |date=31 July 2024 |title=Former counter-terror chief accuses Farage of inciting Southport violence |url=https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/jul/31/farage-accused-of-inciting-southport-violence-by-former-counter-terror-chief |access-date=31 July 2024 |newspaper=The Guardian |language=en-GB |issn=0261-3077}}{{cite news |author1=Albert Tait |title=Call the migrant hotel riots terrorism, former counter-terror chief says |url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/08/06/southport-riot-holiday-inn-rotherham-terror-neil-basu/ |access-date=6 August 2024 |work=The Telegraph |publisher=Telegraph Media Group |date=6 August 2024 |language=en}}{{cite news |author1=Kate Nicholson |title=Nigel Farage Doubles Down On His 'Perfectly Reasonable' Response To Southport Attack After Backlash |url=https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/farage-stands-by-his-response-to-southport-attack-after-backlash_uk_66ab44dbe4b050952a6f9bfb |access-date=5 August 2024 |work=HuffPost |date=1 August 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240801093711/https://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/farage-stands-by-his-response-to-southport-attack-after-backlash_uk_66ab44dbe4b050952a6f9bfb |archive-date=1 August 2024 |url-status=live |language=en}} Islamophobic and racially-motivated disorder, including a stabbing,{{cite news |author1=Nadine White |title=Street beatings, stabbing and mosques under siege: the horrifying racist attacks carried out by far-right mobs |url=https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/crime/riots-uk-muslim-asians-rotherham-manvers-hotel-b2591159.html |access-date=5 August 2024 |work=Independent |date=5 August 2024}} were linked to the English Defence League and British Movement, following social media posts by right-wing extremists.{{cite news |title='Southport was just the spark': UK hit by unrest as far-right exploits knife attack tragedy |url=https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20240801-southport-was-just-the-spark-uk-hit-by-unrest-as-far-right-exploits-knife-attack-tragedy |access-date=5 August 2024 |work=France 24 |date=1 August 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240801213744/https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20240801-southport-was-just-the-spark-uk-hit-by-unrest-as-far-right-exploits-knife-attack-tragedy |url-status=live |archive-date=1 August 2024 |language=en}}{{cite web |author1=Esther Bintliff |author2=Eve Sampson |title=Who Are the Far-Right Groups Behind the U.K. Riots? |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/03/world/europe/uk-stabbing-riots-far-right-protesters-explained.html |website=The New York Times |access-date=5 August 2024 |language=en |date=3 August 2024 }}{{Synthesis inline|date=August 2024|reason=Does not specifically mention the term stochastic terrorism in these articles}}

Starting in September 2024, false claims and rumors spread that in Springfield, Ohio, Haitian immigrants were stealing pets and eating them. These claims were amplified by prominent figures in the American right, most notably Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump and his running mate JD Vance.{{Cite web |first=Brandy |last=Zadrozny |date=13 September 2024 |title=Before Trump, neo-Nazis pushed false claims about Haitians as part of hate campaign |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/internet/trump-neo-nazis-pushed-false-claims-haitians-part-hate-campaign-rcna170796 |access-date=13 September 2024 |website=NBC News |language=en |archive-date=13 September 2024 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240913152600/https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/internet/trump-neo-nazis-pushed-false-claims-haitians-part-hate-campaign-rcna170796 |url-status=live }}{{Cite web |first1=Henry J. |last1=Gomez |first2=Brandy |last2=Zadrozny |first3=Allan |last3=Smith |first4=Julie |last4=Tsirkin |date=13 September 2024 |title=How a fringe online claim about immigrants eating pets made its way to the debate stage |url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-fringe-online-claim-immigrants-eating-pets-debate-trump-rcna170759 |access-date=13 September 2024 |website=NBC News |language=en}} In the following days, the city of Springfield received dozens of bomb threats{{Cite web |last=Chavez |first=Julio-Cesar |date=12 September 2024 |title=Bomb threat in city at heart of Trump immigrant rumors sparks evacuation |url=https://www.reuters.com/world/us/bomb-threat-city-heart-trump-immigrant-rumors-sparks-evacuation-2024-09-12/ |access-date=12 September 2024 |website=Reuters}} leading multiple commentators and a sitting senator, Brian Schatz, as well as Elie Mystal and school administrators in Springfield to suggest Trump and JD Vance were engaging in stochastic terrorism.{{Cite news |date=16 September 2024 |title=CNN NewsNight with Abby Phillip |url=https://transcripts.cnn.com/show/cnap/date/2024-09-16/segment/01 |work=CNN}}{{cite news |url=https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2024/09/springfield-ohio-bomb-threat/ |date=12 September 2024 |title=Bomb Threat Prompts Evacuation of Springfield, Ohio, City Hall |work=Mother Jones |access-date=17 September 2024 |first=Arianna |last=Coghill }}{{Cite news |last=Senter |first=Irie |date=22 September 2024 |title='Why they gotta threaten the kids?': Under the national spotlight, Springfield schools cower |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2024/09/22/springfield-haitians-trump-vance-schools-cats-dogs-00180340 |work=Politico |access-date=14 November 2024 }}

See also

  • {{annotated link|Accusation in a mirror}}
  • {{annotated link|Association fallacy}}
  • {{annotated link|Conspiracy theory}}
  • {{annotated link|Dehumanization}}
  • {{annotated link|Demonization}}
  • {{annotated link|Diffusion of responsibility}}
  • {{annotated link|Doxing}}
  • {{annotated link|Ethnic violence}}
  • {{annotated link|Extremism}}
  • {{annotated link|False accusation}}
  • {{annotated link|Genocide justification}}
  • {{annotated link|Hate media}}
  • {{annotated link|Hate speech}}
  • {{annotated link|Incitement to ethnic or racial hatred}}
  • {{annotated link|Incitement to genocide}}
  • {{annotated link|Little Eichmanns}}
  • {{annotated link|Moral panic}}
  • {{annotated link|Online hate speech}}
  • {{annotated link|Political violence}}
  • {{annotated link|Radicalization}}
  • {{annotated link|Religious violence}}
  • {{annotated link|Scapegoating}}
  • {{annotated link|Sectarian violence}}
  • {{annotated link|Two Minutes Hate}}
  • Volksverhetzung - modern German legal principle against hate speech

References

{{reflist}}

Further reading

  • [https://www.britannica.com/topic/stochastic-terrorism Stochastic terrorism] by Encyclopedia Britannica
  • Taylor, Matthew D. (Sept 24, 2024) [https://www.broadleafbooks.com/store/product/9781506497785/The-Violent-Take-It-by-Force The Violent Take It by Force: The Christian Movement That Is Threatening Our Democracy] Broadleaf Books.

Category:Accountability

Category:Hate speech

Category:Political extremism

Category:Political terminology

Category:Political violence

Category:Radicalization

Category:Terrorism by method

Category:2002 neologisms

Category:Inchoate offenses