Super Bowl indicator

{{Short description|Theory that stock market performance can predict super bowl winners}}

The Super Bowl Indicator is a spurious correlation that says that the stock market's performance in a given year can be predicted based on the outcome of the Super Bowl of that year. It was "discovered" by Leonard Koppett in 1978{{cite web | url=https://techstory.in/everything-you-want-to-know-about-the-super-bowl-indicator/ | title=Everything you want to know about the Super Bowl Indicator | date=13 February 2022 }} when he realized that it had never been wrong, until that point. This pseudo-macroeconomic concept states that if a team from the American Football Conference (AFC) wins, then it will be a bear market (or down market), but if a team from the National Football Conference (NFC) or a team that was in the NFL before the NFL/AFL merger wins, it will be a bull market (up market).

As of January 2022, the predictor had been right 41 out of 55 games, a 75% success rate.{{cite news|url=https://www.forbes.com/sites/lcarrel/2022/01/31/super-bowl-indicator-says-if-rams-win-the-market-should-rise-in-2020/?sh=3253e8856456|work=Forbes|title=Super Bowl Indicator Says Market Should Rise in 2022 If Rams Win|date=31 January 2022}} Without retrospective predictions, i.e. after its invention in 1978, it had been correct in 29 out of 43 games, a success rate of 67%.