Talk:Opinion polling for the next Ukrainian parliamentary election
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Smart Politics of Dmytro Razumkov
Ex-chairman of Verhovna Rada created new party "Smart Politics" and between fractional political group in parliament. From next poll with succesful participation of this political group, I will make a new table that will started from beginning of October 2021 with this new force. Also I am planning to delete the column "Sample Size". For sure that the parties will placing according with average popularity. I would like to know your opinion to this plans. --Nathan Gimein (talk) 15:05, 8 November 2021 (UTC)
P.S. Don't worry, I will do all this work, I hospitalized and have a lot of free time. --Nathan Gimein (talk) 15:06, 8 November 2021 (UTC)
P.P.S. Maybe in next table I can delete also "For the Future" party? This party is rarely have +2% at the polls and there a lot of another parties that do it well.
class="wikitable sortable mw-datatable mw-collapsible" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:14px;" |
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! style="width:144px;" rowspan=2 | Polling Firm/ ! style="width:144px;" rowspan=2 | Fieldwork ! style="width:48px;" rowspan=2 | Sample ! style="width:48px;" | File:Sluga_narodu_official_logo.png ! style="width:48px;" | File:Small logo European Solidarity.png ! style="width:48px;" | File:Small_logo_of_"Opposition_Platform_-_For_life".png ! style="width:48px;"| File:Batkivshchyna Heart.svg ! style="width:48px;" |File:Strength and Honor small emblem.png ! style="width:48px;" | File:Політична_партія_«НАШI»_(лого).svg ! style="width:48px;" | File:Small_logo_of_Ukrainian_Strategy_of_Groysman.png ! style="width:48px;" |File:Radical Party Ukraine.png ! style="width:48px;" |File:Логотип_Партия_Шария.svg ! style="width:48px;" |File:Svoboda logo-2.svg ! style="width:48px;" | File:UDAR logo alt.svg ! style="font-size:80%" |Smart Politics ! style="width:48px;" |File:Holos_pictogram_2020.svg ! rowspan="2" data-sort-type="number" style="width:48px;" | Others ! rowspan="2" data-sort-type="number" style="width:48px;" | Lead |
data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Servant of the People (political party)}}" |
! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|European Solidarity}}" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Opposition Platform — For Life}}" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|All-Ukrainian Union "Fatherland"}}" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:#172A47" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Nashi (political party)}}" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Ukrainian Strategy}} " | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko}}" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Party of Shariy}}" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|All-Ukrainian Union "Svoboda"}}" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Ukrainian Democratic Alliance for Reform}};" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Servant of the People (political party)}}" | ! data-sort-type="number" style="background:{{party color|Voice (Ukrainian political party)}} " | |
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|08.11.21
|colspan=16 |Ex-chairman of the Verkhovna Rada Dmytro Razumkov announces the creation of the political group and party Smart Politics{{cite web|title=Razumkov registered an association of people's deputies in line with the party's name - "Smart Politics"|url=https://www.chesno.org/post/4999/|access-date=2021-11-08|website=Chesno|language=uk}} |
[https://uifuture.org/publications/soczialno-politychni-nastroyi-ukrayincziv-zhovten-2021/?fbclid=IwAR2YLW5qT8WvhSu91H2tJe8D_bvJ9aL20k8PFv7WZcaiQeW3saJeshyNzf0 UIF]
|23.10.21 – 02.11.21 |2,400 | style="background:#98FB98" |18 | |15 | |16 | |16 | |7 | |6 | |'4 | |2 | |3 | |3 | |2 | | - | |1 |7 | style="background:{{party color|Servant of the People (political party)}}; color:white;" | 2 |
[https://razumkov.org.ua/napriamky/sotsiologichni-doslidzhennia/elektoralni-oriientatsii-gromadian-na-vyborakh-do-verkhovnoi-rady-ukrainy-otsinka-nymy-materialnogo-stanovyshcha-ta-pytan-poviazanykh-z-opaliuvalnym-sezonom-zhovten-2021r Razumkov Centre]
|23.10.21 – 27.10.21 |1,200 | style="background:#98FB98" |22.5 | |18.6 | |11.3 | |10.8 | |5.4 | |4.7 | |6.9 | |3.2 | |1.8 | |2.4 | | - | |8.2 | |1.5 |2.7 | style="background:{{party color|Servant of the People (political party)}}; color:white;" | 3.9 |
[https://www.kiis.com.ua/?lang=ukr&cat=reports&id=1069&page=1&t=2 KIIS]
|20.10.21 – 25.10.21 | 2,028 | style="background:#98FB98" |18.3 | |15.1 | |17.0 | |15.4 | |5.6 | |2.3 | |3.7 | |4.5 | |2.2 | |2.7 | |2.6 | |4.5 | |1.7 |4.4 | style="background:{{party color|Servant of the People (political party)}}; color:white;"| 1.3 |
[https://ratinggroup.ua/research/ukraine/obschestvenno-politicheskie_nastroeniya_naseleniya_21-23_oktyabrya_2021.html Rating]
|21.10.21 – 23.10.21 |2,500 | style="background:#98FB98" |20.4 | |15.8 | |12 | |10.9 | |6.4 | | 6.3 | |5.3 | |4.8 | |3.8 | |2.9 | |4.2 | | - | |2.2 |5 | style="background:{{party color|Servant of the People (political party)}}; color:white;"| 4.6 |
[https://razumkov.org.ua/napriamky/sotsiologichni-doslidzhennia/elektoralni-oriientatsii-gromadian-ukrainy-zhovten-2021r Razumkov Centre]
|14.10.21 – 20.10.21 |2,018 | style="background:#98FB98" |21.6 | |15.8 | |12.9 | |11.1 | |6.0 | | 6.4 | |3.8 | |2.5 | |1.7 | |2.0 | |1.1 | | - | |0.4 |14.7 | style="background:{{party color|Servant of the People (political party)}}; color:white;"| 5.8 |
[https://www.kiis.com.ua/?lang=ukr&cat=reports&id=1066&page=1&fbclid=IwAR1taPR_kD2ENRqQo64v9J4uSv75wxecJTPHUh8qwc_EXpRioRLge_-QF88 KIIS]
|15.10.21 – 18.10.21 | 1,200 | |15.5 | style="background:#cce6ff;" |15.7 | |13.0 | |13.6 | |8.6 | |5.7 | |5.6 | |5.6 | |3.6 | |4.4 | |2.4 | | - | | 1.6 |4.7 | style="background:{{party color|European Solidarity}}; color:white;"| 0.2 |
[http://rdi.org.ua/2021/10/obshhestvenno-politicheskie-nastroeniya-zhitelej-ukrainy-7-11-oktyabrya-2021.html RDI]
|07.10.21 – 11.10.21 |2,045 | style="background:#98FB98" |20.4 | |15.9 | |16.8 | |10.2 | |5.3 | |4.0 | |4.3 | |3.4 | |2.3 | |1.2 | |1.8 | | - | | 1.4 |12.9 | style="background:{{party color|Servant of the People (political party)}}; color:white;"| 3.6 |
So what do you think about it? For sure that parties is location according with a popularity --Nathan Gimein (talk) 09:22, 9 November 2021 (UTC)
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Polling firms
There are many unknown and unregistered firms in Ukraine that call themselves sociological firms. They invent from nothing opinion polls in the interests of their customers.{{cite news|title = На користь Медведчука та ОПЗЖ роблять багато псевдорейтингів — аналітикиня|url = https://hromadske.radio/podcasts/feykotron/na-koryst-medvedchuka-ta-opzzh-robliat-bahato-psevdoreytynhiv-analitykynia/amp|language=uk}}{{cite news|title = Соціологічні опитування – довіряй, але перевіряй|url = https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-society/3388904-sociologicni-opituvanna-doviraj-ale-pereviraj.html|language=uk}}{{cite news|title = Українці стали менше довіряти соціологам|url = https://www.pravda.com.ua/news/2022/01/18/7320828/|language=uk}} There is a whole project "Sellers of ratings" of the independent edition "Texty", which helps to expose pseudo-sociologists and hidden PR firms.{{cite news|title = ПРОДАВЦІ РЕЙТИНГІВ|url = https://texty.org.ua/d/socio/|language=uk}} The voter does not want to vote for someone who has little chance of passing, so you need to create an illusion. And here are pseudo-polling firms. Their lies are widely circulated in the media, partly through unprofessionalism and partly for money. Historically, in the Ukrainian-language version of this article are publishing polls of reputable companies accredited by the Sociological Association of Ukraine, as well as surveys of the Democratic Initiatives Foundation (DIF) (in the project "Sellers of ratings" they appear as trusted), and in the English-language version are publishing all polls, including fakes. I think this is wrong when viewers of the Ukrainian-language version learn verified information from authoritative sources, and viewers of the English-language version do not, especially since the English-language version has more visits. I have arguments against all non-authoritative organizations that appear here. Active Group and RTS are in the list of pseudo-polling firms from the project "Sellers of ratings". It is important to understand that the project is currently seeking funding, so its activities have been temporarily suspended, many pseudo-firms at the stage of addition. IAP suddenly appeared before the local elections and then suddenly disappeared. RDI has no contacts, it is not in the registers, which indicates that the company does not exist at all. USG suddenly appeared before the local elections. Also their director Oleksandr Levtsun is not independent, he actually repeats the messages of the OPZZh party.{{cite news|title = Александр Левцун: Ценность мира и цена мира|url = http://newukraineinstitute.org/new/1015|language=ru}}{{cite web|title = Иллюстрация к "роковинам" Евромайдана|url = https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=1597125623706367&set=ecnf.100002268357432|language=ru}} UIF is also not an independent firm, its founder is a politician Anton Herashchenko (this is stated on the firm's website). Given the above, it is advisable to publish only polls of trusted organizations, especially since there is a database (https://texty.org.ua/d/socio/#trusted). Block baby (talk) 18:51, 24 January 2022 (UTC)
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Graph by [[User:PLATEL|PLATEL]]
PLATEL, I saw you’ve changed your graph. It is better now, but you should change abbrev USG to USH and PPSh to PSh. Also, as I understood, you didn’t delete extra polls by pseudo-polling firms (RDI, USG, UIF, RTS, IAP, Active Group). In your graph should be only polls, which are listed in the updated table in the “polls results” section (see explanation in the “Trusted polling firms” section). If you fix the mistakes, I will add your graph. Block Baby (talk) 14:44, 10 February 2022 (UTC)