Tropical Storm Hubert

{{infobox weather event

| name = Severe Tropical Storm Hubert

| image = Tropical Cyclone Hubert 2010-03-10 lrg.jpg

| caption = Tropical Storm Hubert at peak intensity just off the coast of Madagascar on March 10

| formed = March 9, 2010

| dissipated = March 15, 2010

}}{{infobox weather event/MFR

| winds = 55

| pressure = 985

}}{{infobox weather event/JTWC

| winds = 50

| pressure = 985

}}{{infobox weather event/Effects

| year = 2010

| fatalities = 85

| missing = 35

| damage =

| areas = Madagascar

| refs =

}}{{infobox weather event/Footer

| season = 2009–10 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season

}}

Severe Tropical Storm Hubert was a destructive tropical cyclone that killed 85 people throughout Madagascar early March 2010. Forming out of a slow-moving area of low pressure on March 9, Hubert quickly developed within a region favoring tropical development. As the storm was situated off the coast of Madagascar on March 10, it would attain peak winds of 100 km/h (65 mph) hours before making landfall near Mananjary in Fianarantsoa Province. Rapid weakening took place once inland, with the storm losing gale-force winds late on March 11. The remnants of Hubert would persist for several days, eventually dissipating off the southern coast of Madagascar on March 15.

Throughout much of central Madagascar, Hubert produced heavy rains, peaking at {{convert|137.5|mm|in|abbr=on}} in Mananjary, that caused widespread flooding. Thousands of structures were destroyed by the ensuing floods and more than 66,000 people were left homeless.

Meteorological history

{{storm path|Hubert 2010 track.png}}

Severe Tropical Storm Hubert was first identified as an area of low pressure off the northeastern coast of Madagascar on March 5, 2010. Slowly tracking south-southwestward, the system paralleled the eastern shore of Madagascar for several days. On March 9, the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center for the South-West Indian Ocean basin, Météo-France, classified the low as a tropical depression, the 13th of the season. Situated in a region of weak steering currents, the depression was quasi-stationary and environmental conditions, low wind shear and good divergence, favored gradual development.{{cite web|publisher=Météo-France|date=March 9, 2010|accessdate=February 13, 2011|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin One|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/archives/bulletins/cmrs/20092010/CMRS_A_ok_00113001201003090600.html}} Within hours of this, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert for the depression.{{cite web|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |publisher=United States Navy |date=March 9, 2010 |accessdate=February 13, 2011 |title=Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert |url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTXS21_201003091400.htm |url-status=unfit |archiveurl=https://archive.today/20240522230458/https://www.webcitation.org/5o6PzsMgC?url=http://gwydir.demon.co.uk/advisories/WTXS21_201003091400.htm |archivedate=May 22, 2024 }} The formation of convective banding features took place throughout the day and intensification into a moderate tropical storm was anticipated.{{cite web|publisher=Météo-France|date=March 9, 2010|accessdate=February 13, 2011|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin Two|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/archives/bulletins/cmrs/20092010/CMRS_A_ok_00213002201003091200.html}} Though convection tended to fluctuate, a general organizing trend was apparent.{{cite web|publisher=Météo-France|date=March 10, 2010|accessdate=February 13, 2011|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin Four|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/archives/bulletins/cmrs/20092010/CMRS_A_ok_00413004201003100000.html}} Early on March 10, the JTWC classified the system as Tropical Cyclone 18S as deep convection consolidated around the storm's center.{{cite web|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center |publisher=United States Navy |date=March 10, 2010 |accessdate=February 13, 2011 |title=Tropical Cyclone 18S Advisory Number 001 |url=http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt |url-status=unfit |archiveurl=https://web.archive.org/web/20100808044018/http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/raw/wt/wtxs31.pgtw..txt |archivedate=August 8, 2010 }}

Around 1200 UTC on March 10, Météo-France upgraded the system to a moderate tropical storm and assigned it with the name Hubert.{{cite web|publisher=Météo-France|year=2011|accessdate=February 13, 2011|title=2009–10 seasonal tracks|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/flashmap2_en/index_20092010.html#}} This corresponded with the early stages of eye formation, as the storm's outer bands wrapped tightly around the center of circulation.{{cite web|publisher=Météo-France|date=March 10, 2010|accessdate=February 13, 2011|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin Six|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/archives/bulletins/cmrs/20092010/CMRS_A_ok_00613006201003101200.html}} Previously quasi-stationary, Hubert gained a southwesterly track in response to a ridge to its south. Rapid intensification ensued in the hours before the cyclone made landfall in Madagascar.{{cite web|publisher=Météo-France|date=March 10, 2010|accessdate=February 13, 2011|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin Seven|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/archives/bulletins/cmrs/20092010/CMRS_A_ok_00713007201003101800.html}} Just six hours after being named, Hubert attained its peak intensity as a severe tropical storm with winds of 100 km/h (65 mph) along with a barometric pressure of 985 mbar (hPa; 29.09 inHg). At this time, the storm's radius of maximum winds was {{convert|17|km|mi|abbr=on}}. The JTWC assessed the system to have been slightly weaker, reporting peak winds of 85 km/h (50 mph).{{cite web|author=Joint Typhoon Warning Center|publisher=United States Navy|year=2010|access-date=February 13, 2011|title=Tropical Cyclone 18S (Hubert) Operational Best Track|url=https://science.nrlmry.navy.mil/geoips/tcdat/tc10/SHEM/18S.HUBERT/trackfile.txt|format=TXT}} Around 2100 UTC, the center of Hubert moved onshore near the city of Mananjary in Fianarantsoa Province.{{cite web|publisher=Météo-France|date=March 11, 2010|accessdate=February 13, 2011|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin Eight|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/archives/bulletins/cmrs/20092010/CMRS_A_ok_00813008201003110000.html}} Once overland, the storm abruptly turned northwestward and rapidly weakened as sustained winds dropped below gale-force.

During the latter part of March 11, Hubert resumed a southwesterly track along the northwestern edge of the ridge to its south. Operational advisories on the storm indicated that Hubert would continue to deteriorate over Madagascar before moving over the Mozambique Channel where it could regenerate.{{cite web|author=Météo-France|date=March 11, 2010|accessdate=February 13, 2011|title=Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin Ten|url=http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/La_Reunion/webcmrs9.0/anglais/archives/bulletins/cmrs/20092010/CMRS_A_ok_01013010201003111200.html}} This forecast never verified as the remnants of the storm failed to redevelop. The circulation remained over Madagascar through March 13 before it moved offshore near the southern tip of the island. Once over water, the system temporarily had a more westerly tracking component before it turned southeastward. The remnants of Hubert were last noted on March 15 to the south of Madagascar.

Impact

Upon making landfall in Madagascar, Tropical Storm Hubert unleashed heavy rains and hurricane-force winds. A peak gust of {{convert|145|km/h|mph|abbr=on}} was recorded in Manajary. The highest 24‑hour rainfall of {{convert|137.5|mm|in|abbr=on}} was recorded in the same city.{{cite web|publisher=World Meteorological Organization|date=September 2010|accessdate=February 13, 2010|title=Reports of Members on significant or notable cyclones of the seasons: Madagascar|url=http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/tcp/documents/d04-2-4_en.doc|format=DOC}} Seven districts in the country were significantly affected by the storm, with thousands of residents cut off from outside areas as roads were washed away. Numerous bridges were destroyed and land access to many towns was impossible months after the storm passed. Wells were contaminated by the floods, prompting fears that an ongoing outbreak of Chikungunya would spread more rampantly. At least 85 people are known to have been killed by the storm and another 35 listed as missing. Additionally, 132 people sustained storm-related injuries.{{cite web|publisher=International Federation of the Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies|date=August 16, 2010|accessdate=February 13, 2011|title=Madagascar: Cyclone Hubert (August 2010 update)|url=http://www.ifrc.org/docs/appeals/10/MDRMG00601.pdf}} According to reports in early April, an estimated 66,000 people were left homeless by the storm.{{cite web|publisher=World Food Programme|date=April 1, 2010|accessdate=February 13, 2011|title=Southern Africa Regional Food Security Update|url=http://home.wfp.org/stellent/groups/public/documents/ena/wfp218648.pdf}}

See also

References

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