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User:James J. Lambden/sandbox/research

=Research about Arbitration Enforcement: Trump topic area quantitative data analysis=

__TOC__

Introduction

In 2015 a case was heard at the Arbitration Committee regarding "behavioral issues occurring around articles relating to political and/or social issues in the United States." The Committee found that "area has been the subject of numerous arbitration cases."Wikipedia:Arbitration/Requests/Case/American_politics_2#Locus_of_the_dispute The case is known as WP:ARBAPDS. A prior case was heard in 2014. In an effort to control the disruption in the topic area the Committee implemented standard discretionary sanctions which gives administrators additional authority to sanction editors.

The political context is relevant. The presidential election took place in 2016. On May 26 Donald Trump clinched the Republican nomination for President. Eleven days later, Hilary Clinton won the Democrat nomination on June 6. The election was held on November 8 with Trump winning an unprecedented upset victory.

This study will investigate the application of sanctions as authorized under discretionary sanctions. We attempted to answer several question:

  • What is the distribution of Pro-Trump and Anti-Trump cases?
  • What is the relative frequency of case filings?
  • Who is participating?
  • What are the outcomes for subjects?
  • What are the outcomes for filers (boomerang)?

=Methodology=

  • Identify Arbitration Enforcement (WP:AE) cases between August 2016 and July 2017 where the cause of action is within the Donald Trump topic area. Articles in this scope are found here :Category:WikiProject Donald Trump articles.
  • Capture case details from the archives and record in the dataset
  • Analyze the dataset to identify trends
  • Based on diffs presented, classify the case evidence as either Pro-Trump or Anti-Trump. Actual political orientation of editors is not considered.

August 2016 – July 2017

=Total cases=

Total cases

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=120

|height=120

|type=pie

|legend=Case evidence

|x=Pro-Trump,Anti-Trump,Other

|colors=#FF0000,#0000FF,#808080

|y1=27,15,107

|showValues=}}

|}

Only included are Enforcement Requests; no appeals

=Participant data=

Most Frequent Filers (at least 3 cases)

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=500|=200

|xAxisTitle=

|yAxisTitle=

|type=rect

|x=Volunteer Marek,Sagecandor,JFG,MrX,Steve Quinn

|xtype=string

|colors=#808080

|y=7,5,3,3,3

|showValues=}}

|}

Most Frequent Subjects (at least 3 cases)

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=500|=200

|xAxisTitle=

|yAxisTitle=

|type=rect

|x=Volunteer Marek,SPECIFICO

|xtype=string

|colors=grey

|y=5,3

|showValues=}}

|}

=Statistics per case=

Cases per month

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=500|=200

|xAxisTitle=

|yAxisTitle=

|y1Title=Pro-Trump

|y2Title=Anti-Trump

|legend=Case evidence

|type=rect

|x=Aug,Sep,Oct,Nov,Dec,Jan,Feb,Mar,Apr,May,Jun,Jul

|xtype=string

|colors=#FF0000,#4263FF

|y1=2,1,3,4,4,1,3,1,2,1,3,1

|y2=1,1,2,1,1,0,2,1,1,3,1,1

|showValues=}}

|}

Sanctions imposed against Subjects

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=500|=200

|xAxisTitle=

|yAxisTitle=

|y1Title=Pro-Trump

|y2Title=Anti-Trump

|legend=Case evidence

|type=rect

|x=1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10

|colors=#FF0000,#4263FF

|y1=8,1,5,1,1,3,1,2,1,4

|y2=12,0,1,0,0,1,0,1,0,0

|showValues=}}


:1 – No action

:2 – Logged warning

:3 – Blocked 1 week or less

:4 – Blocked 6 month

:5 – Blocked Indef

:6 – Less than 3 month TBAN

:7 – 3 month TBAN

:8 – 6 month TBAN

:9 – 1 year TBAN

:10 – Indef TBAN

|}

Policy violations resulting in sanctions (violations cited minimum of 3 cases)

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=500|=200

|xAxisTitle=

|yAxisTitle=

|legend=Legend

|type=stackedrect

|x=WP:CIVIL,WP:1RR WP:EW,WP:BLP,Consensus

|xtype=string

|y2=8,3,2,1

|y1=5,14,6,8

|y2Title=Sanction > 1 month

|y1Title=No result / sanction <= 1 month

|colors=grey,red

}}

|}

Most Frequent Admins rendering results regarding Subjects and Filers (at least 6 cases)

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=500|=200

|xAxisTitle=

|yAxisTitle=

|type=rect

|x=Lord Roem,Bishonen,Dennis Brown,EdJohnson,Sandstein

|xtype=string

|colors=#808080

|y=11,9,8,7,7

|showValues=}}

|}

=Boomerang=

Sanctions imposed against Filers

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=500|=200

|xAxisTitle=

|yAxisTitle=

|y1Title=Pro-Trump

|y2Title=Anti-Trump

|legend=Case evidence

|type=rect

|x=1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10

|colors=#FF0000,#4263FF

|y1=26,0,0,0,0,0,1,0,0,0

|y2=15,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0

|showValues=}}


:1 – No action

:2 – Logged warning

:3 – Blocked 1 week or less

:4 – Blocked 6 month

:5 – Blocked Indef

:6 – Less than 3 month TBAN

:7 – 3 month TBAN

:8 – 6 month TBAN

:9 – 1 year TBAN

:10 – Indef TBAN

|}

August 2017 – July 2018

=Total cases=

Total cases

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=120

|height=120

|type=pie

|legend=Case evidence

|x=Pro-Trump,Anti-Trump,Other (TBD)

|colors=#FF0000,#0000FF,#808080

|y1=17,11,0

|showValues=}}

|}

Only included are Enforcement Requests; no appeals

=Participant data=

Most Frequent Filers (at least 3 cases)

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=500|=200

|xAxisTitle=

|yAxisTitle=

|type=rect

|x=Volunteer Marek,MrX

|xtype=string

|colors=#808080

|y=7,6

|showValues=}}

|}

Most Frequent Subjects (at least 3 cases)

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=500|=200

|xAxisTitle=

|yAxisTitle=

|type=rect

|x=

|xtype=string

|colors=#808080

|y=

|showValues=}}

|}

At this time no editors meet the minumum

=Statistics per case=

Most Frequent Admins rendering results regarding Subjects (at least 3 cases)

{|

|{{Graph:Chart

|width=500|=200

|xAxisTitle=

|yAxisTitle=

|type=rect

|x=NeilN,Sandstein,TonyBallioni,Golden Ring

|xtype=string

|colors=#808080

|y=8,5,4,3

|showValues=}}

|}

=Boomerang=

Key findings

Recommendations

References

{{reflist}}

Raw data and dataset

All AE cases between August-2016 and July-2017 where the issue was an article in the Donald Trump topic area were considered.

See also