Wikipedia:2024 UK local elections night editathon

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{{In a nutshell|title=Local elections, May 2024|

Where?: Newspeak House 133 Bethnal Green Rd, London E2 7DG
Nearest tube - Bethnal Green
When?: 2-3 May 2024, 18:30-midnight or so
Point of contact:
Eventbrite:
Twitter:
Cost: Free

}}

About

This page contains resources and links to help participants in the workshop to create and edit pages related to the 2024 United Kingdom local elections.

Directly elected mayors in England#List of directly elected mayors 22/24 of the 24 directly elected mayors in England are being voted for, not just London! Anyone holding such a role is automatically deemed notable (on Wikipedia), and we already have articles for all the existing mayors. The 2024 England and Wales police and crime commissioner elections covers all of England and Wales, and any such commissioner is automatically deemed notable.

On the night, we will also be discussing and preparing for an editathon for the Next United Kingdom general election, which must be held no later than 28 January 2025. November is the bookies' favourite.

Predicting results

Looking back at the 2021 United Kingdom local elections on Thursday 6 May 2021, the Tories received 36% of the votes cast, Labour 29%, and LibDems 17%. In May 2021, [https://www.politico.eu/europe-poll-of-polls/united-kingdom/|Politico's Poll of Polls for national parliament voting intention] gave the parties 42/35/7%. Currently this is 23/44/9% (with Reform on 12% and the Greens on 6%). Obviously, people can vote quite differently at a local level, but we should expect many Labour gains from the Tories, some with large swings.

List of participants

Edwardx (talk) 10:25, 28 April 2024 (UTC)
EvaPascoe (talk) 10:25, 28 April 2024 (UTC)
Thissmileyface (talk) 07:56, 30 April 2024 (UTC)
--Juliana Krz (talk) 18:11, 2 May 2024 (UTC)
--Hanbananx (talk) 21:05, 2 May 2024 (UTC)

Resources and links

[https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/labour-hartlepool-england-somerset-wales-b2534381.html The Independent May 2 elections: At-a-glance guide to key results and times]

Categories and lists

Articles to improve

2024 United Kingdom local elections
2024 London Assembly election, 25 seats, 14 from geographical constituencies, 11 more distributed to ensure that total seats for each are proportionate to their vote share. All Assembly members get an article.

Articles to be created

=By-elections=

2024 Blackpool South by-election. The Labour candidate, Chris Webb (politician) is the very likely winner.

=Mayoralty elections=

2024 West Midlands mayoral election. The Labour candidate, Richard Parker (mayor), has a good chance of unseating the Conservative incumbent Andy Street, so that is one we might want to start a draft for.
2024 East Midlands mayoral election. New post, but we already have articles for the Labour and Tory candidates, Claire Ward and Ben Bradley (politician)
2024 London mayoral election. We already have articles for the Labour and Tory candidates, Sadiq Khan and Susan Hall. No articles for the Green or LibDem candidates, but neither will win.
2024 Greater Manchester mayoral election. Andy Burnham (Labour) won 67% of the vote last time, so even though we don't have an article for the Tory Laura Evans (politician), it is not worth starting a draft.
2024 Liverpool City Region mayoral election. Steve Rotheram (Labour) had 59 % of the vote last time, so no point drafting Jade Marsden (Tory)
2024 North East mayoral election. New seat. Kim McGuinness (Labour) has an article. Guy Renner-Thompson (Tory) does not, but looks a very likely Labour win.
2024 South Yorkshire mayoral election. Oliver Coppard (Labour), the incumbent, is very likely to win again.
2024 Tees Valley mayoral election. Looks to be close between the Tory incumbent Ben Houchen and the Labour candidate Chris McEwan, which is just a redirect, and would need a proper article.
2024 West Yorkshire mayoral election. Tracy Brabin (Labour), the incumbent, is very likely to win again. No need to draft Arnold Craven, the Tory.
2024 York and North Yorkshire mayoral election. New post. We have an artcile for the Tory, Keane Duncan, but not the Labour candidate David Skaith. Likely tighter than the other Northern races, but a Labour win seems at least 50/50, so worth starting a draft. The Guardian reckons "This is the Conservatives' best chance to elect a new mayor".
Mayor of Salford The Labour incumbent Paul Dennett won 59% last time, and will almost certainly win again.

=Police and crime commissioner elections=

2024 England and Wales police and crime commissioner elections

==England==

Cumbria Police, Fire and Crime Commissioner, has been Tory since its 2012 creation, so expect Mike Johnson (British politican) or Mike Johnson (police commissioner) (take your pick) to succeed Peter McCall (police commissioner).
Derbyshire Police and Crime Commissioner, Labour 2012-2021, Tory from 2021. Nicolle Ndiweni (Lab) could well unseat Angelique Foster (Con)
Gloucestershire Police and Crime Commissioner, Tories won easily in 2021, and we don't even have a page for the incumbent Chris Nelson (British politican), who is standing again. Even if he were to be defeated, we would still need an article!
Hertfordshire Police and Crime Commissioner. Tory since 2012 inception. David Lloyd (police commissioner) is standing down, so Jonathan Ash-Edwards (con) seems likely to be needed.
Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner, Tories won in 2021, and we don't even have a page for the incumbent Giles Orpen-Smellie, who is standing again. Even if he were to be defeated, we would still need an article.
Northamptonshire Police, Fire and Crime Commissioner, Tory since 2012 inception. Expect Martyn Emberson (con) to win.
Northumbria Police and Crime Commissioner, Labour since 2012. The incumbent, Kim McGuinness is standing in the 2024 North East mayoral election, so the Labour candidate Susan Dungworth is likely to win.
Nottinghamshire Police and Crime Commissioner. Tory Caroline Henry won in 2021 (re-directs to her husband, Tory MP Darren Henry). It was Labour 2021-2021. Labour candidate Gary Godden may well win.
Staffordshire Police, Fire and Crime Commissioner. Tory since inception in 2012. Ben Adams (British politican) or Ben Adams (police commissioner) (your choice) won in 2021, 55.7/27.4%, and is likely to hold this.
West Midlands Police and Crime Commissioner. Lab since 2012 inception. Simon Foster won in 2021, and needs an article regardless.
Wiltshire Police and Crime Commissioner. Tory since 2012 inception. Philip Wilkinson (British politican) or Philip Wilkinson (police commissioner) (your choice) won in 2021, and needs an article regardless.

==Wales==

Gwent Police and Crime Commissioner. Labour since 2016. Jeffrey Cuthbert is standing down, and Jane Mudd (Lab) is likely to succeed him.
South Wales Police and Crime Commissioner. Labour since 2012 inception. Emma Wools (Lab) likely to succeed Alun Michael.

=London Assembly election=

2024 London Assembly election, 25 seats, 14 from geographical constituencies, 11 more distributed to ensure that total seats for each party is proportionate to their vote share. All Assembly members get an article.

==Geographical constituencies==

Bexley and Bromley (London Assembly constituency) Last time Tory/Labour %age was 52.6/25.5. We should draft Thomas Turrell, the new Tory candidate.
Croydon and Sutton (London Assembly constituency) Last time Tory/Labour %age was 39.3/29.6. We might draft Maddie Henson, the Labour challenger.
Ealing and Hillingdon (London Assembly constituency) Last time Tory/Labour %age was 36.9/40.8. We probably should draft Bassam Mahfouz, the Labour candidate.
Havering and Redbridge (London Assembly constituency) Last time Tory/Labour %age was 46.0/36.9. We might draft Guy Williams (British politician), the Labour challenger.
South West (London Assembly constituency) Last time Tory/LibDem/Labour %age was 31.9/28.2/26.3. We might consider creating drafts for any of Ron Mushiso, Gareth Roberts (politician) and Marcela Benedetti.
West Central (London Assembly constituency) Last time Tory/Labour %age was 38.9/37.3. We probably should draft James Small-Edwards, the Labour candidate.

==11 additional seats==

:*As for the 11 additional seats, last time the distribution was:

Conservative 4 - we have articles for the top 4 list candidates
Green 3 - we have articles for the top 3 list candidates
LibDem 2 - we have articles for the 1st and 3rd list candidates, but not the 2nd, Rob Blackie, so we should likely draft this.
Labour 2 - we have articles for the top 2 list candidates

List with "Draft" links

We should create these articles in DRAFT space, as they are only candidates, and not notable until elected. If we create them straight away in mainspace, they are liable to be deleted.