antithetic variates
{{Short description|Monte Carlo method}}
In statistics, the antithetic variates method is a variance reduction technique used in Monte Carlo methods. Considering that the error in the simulated signal (using Monte Carlo methods) has a one-over square root convergence, a very large number of sample paths is required to obtain an accurate result. The antithetic variates method reduces the variance of the simulation results.{{cite journal|last1=Botev|first1=Z.|last2=Ridder|first2=A.|title=Variance Reduction|journal= Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online|date=2017|pages=1–6|doi=10.1002/9781118445112.stat07975|isbn=9781118445112|hdl=1959.4/unsworks_50616|hdl-access=free}}{{cite book|last1=Kroese|first1=D. P.|authorlink1=Dirk Kroese |last2=Taimre|first2=T.|last3=Botev|first3=Z. I.|title=Handbook of Monte Carlo methods|year=2011 |publisher=John Wiley & Sons}}(Chapter 9.3)
Underlying principle
The antithetic variates technique consists, for every sample path obtained, in taking its antithetic path — that is given a path to also take . The advantage of this technique is twofold: it reduces the number of normal samples to be taken to generate N paths, and it reduces the variance of the sample paths, improving the precision.
Suppose that we would like to estimate
:
For that we have generated two samples
:
An unbiased estimate of is given by
:
And
:
so variance is reduced if is negative.
Example 1
If the law of the variable X follows a uniform distribution along [0, 1], the first sample will be , where, for any given i, is obtained from U(0, 1). The second sample is built from , where, for any given i: . If the set is uniform along [0, 1], so are . Furthermore, covariance is negative, allowing for initial variance reduction.
Example 2: integral calculation
We would like to estimate
:
The exact result is . This integral can be seen as the expected value of , where
:
and U follows a uniform distribution [0, 1].
The following table compares the classical Monte Carlo estimate (sample size: 2n, where n = 1500) to the antithetic variates estimate (sample size: n, completed with the transformed sample 1 − ui):
:
cellspacing="1" border="1"
| | align="right" | Estimate | align="right" | standard error |
Classical Estimate
| align="right" | 0.69365 | align="right" | 0.00255 |
Antithetic Variates
| align="right" | 0.69399 | align="right" | 0.00063 |
The use of the antithetic variates method to estimate the result shows an important variance reduction.