isochron

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In the mathematical theory of dynamical systems, an isochron is a set of initial conditions for the system that all lead to the same long-term behaviour.J. Guckenheimer, Isochrons and phaseless sets, J. Math. Biol., 1:259–273 (1975)S.M. Cox and A.J. Roberts, Initial conditions for models of dynamical systems, Physica D, 85:126–141 (1995)

Mathematical isochron

=An introductory example=

Consider the ordinary differential equation for a solution y(t) evolving in time:

: \frac{d^2y}{dt^2} + \frac{dy}{dt} = 1

This ordinary differential equation (ODE) needs two initial conditions at, say, time t=0. Denote the initial conditions by y(0)=y_0 and dy/dt(0)=y'_0 where y_0 and y'_0 are some parameters. The following argument shows that the isochrons for this system are here the straight lines y_0+y'_0=\mbox{constant}.

The general solution of the above ODE is

:y=t+A+B\exp(-t)

Now, as time increases, t\to\infty, the exponential terms decays very quickly to zero (exponential decay). Thus all solutions of the ODE quickly approach y\to t+A. That is, all solutions with the same A have the same long term evolution. The exponential decay of the B\exp(-t) term brings together a host of solutions to share the same long term evolution. Find the isochrons by answering which initial conditions have the same A.

At the initial time t=0 we have y_0=A+B and y'_0=1-B. Algebraically eliminate the immaterial constant B from these two equations to deduce that all initial conditions y_0+y'_0=1+A have the same A, hence the same long term evolution, and hence form an isochron.

=Accurate forecasting requires isochrons=

Let's turn to a more interesting application of the notion of isochrons. Isochrons arise when trying to forecast predictions from models of dynamical systems. Consider the toy system of two coupled ordinary differential equations

: \frac{dx}{dt} = -xy \text{ and } \frac{dy}{dt} = -y+x^2 - 2y^2

A marvellous mathematical trick is the normal form (mathematics) transformation.A.J. Roberts, Normal form transforms separate slow and fast modes in stochastic dynamical systems, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 387:12–38 (2008) Here the coordinate transformation near the origin

: x=X+XY+\cdots \text{ and } y=Y+2Y^2+X^2+\cdots

to new variables (X,Y) transforms the dynamics to the separated form

: \frac{dX}{dt} = -X^3+ \cdots \text{ and } \frac{dY}{dt} = (-1-2X^2+\cdots)Y

Hence, near the origin, Y decays to zero exponentially quickly as its equation is dY/dt= (\text{negative})Y. So the long term evolution is determined solely by X: the X equation is the model.

Let us use the X equation to predict the future. Given some initial values (x_0,y_0) of the original variables: what initial value should we use for X(0)? Answer: the X_0 that has the same long term evolution. In the normal form above, X evolves independently of Y. So all initial conditions with the same X, but different Y, have the same long term evolution. Fix X and vary Y gives the curving isochrons in the (x,y) plane. For example, very near the origin the isochrons of the above system are approximately the lines x-Xy=X-X^3. Find which isochron the initial values (x_0,y_0) lie on: that isochron is characterised by some X_0; the initial condition that gives the correct forecast from the model for all time is then X(0)=X_0.

You may find such normal form transformations for relatively simple systems of ordinary differential equations, both deterministic and stochastic, via an interactive web site.[http://www.maths.adelaide.edu.au/anthony.roberts/sdenf.html]

References