stochastic discount factor

{{Short description|Concept in financial economics}}

The concept of the stochastic discount factor (SDF) is used in financial economics and mathematical finance. The name derives from the price of an asset being computable by "discounting" the future cash flow \tilde{x}_i by the stochastic factor \tilde{m}, and then taking the expectation.{{cite book|title=Asset Pricing and Portfolio Choice Theory|author=Kerry E. Back|publisher=Oxford University Press|year=2010}} This definition is of fundamental importance in asset pricing.

If there are n assets with initial prices p_1, \ldots, p_n at the beginning of a period and payoffs \tilde{x}_1, \ldots, \tilde{x}_n at the end of the period (all xs are random (stochastic) variables), then SDF is any random variable \tilde{m} satisfying

:E(\tilde{m}\tilde{x}_i) = p_i, \text{for } i=1,\ldots,n.

The stochastic discount factor is sometimes referred to as the pricing kernel as, if the expectation E(\tilde{m}\,\tilde{x}_i) is written as an integral, then \tilde{m} can be interpreted as the kernel function in an integral transform.{{cite book|title=Asset Pricing|author=Cochrane, John H.|publisher=Princeton University Press|year=2001|page=9}} Other names sometimes used for the SDF are the "marginal rate of substitution" (the ratio of utility of states, when utility is separable and additive, though discounted by the risk-neutral rate), a "change of measure", "state-price deflator" or a "state-price density".

Properties

The existence of an SDF is equivalent to the law of one price; similarly, the existence of a strictly positive SDF is equivalent to the absence of arbitrage opportunities (see Fundamental theorem of asset pricing). This being the case, then if p_i is positive, by using \tilde{R}_i = \tilde{x}_i / p_i to denote the return, we can rewrite the definition as

:E(\tilde{m}\tilde{R}_i) = 1, \quad \forall i,

and this implies

:E \left[ \tilde{m} (\tilde{R}_i - \tilde{R}_j)\right] = 0, \quad \forall i,j.

Also, if there is a portfolio made up of the assets, then the SDF satisfies

:E(\tilde{m}\tilde{x}) = p, \quad E(\tilde{m}\tilde{R}) = 1.

By a simple standard identity on covariances, we have

:1 = \operatorname{cov} (\tilde{m}, \tilde{R}) + E(\tilde{m}) E(\tilde{R}).

Suppose there is a risk-free asset. Then \tilde{R} = R_f implies E(\tilde{m}) = 1/R_f. Substituting this into the last expression and rearranging gives the following formula for the risk premium of any asset or portfolio with return \tilde{R}:

:E(\tilde{R}) - R_f = -R_f \operatorname{cov} (\tilde{m}, \tilde{R}).

This shows that risk premiums are determined by covariances with any SDF.

See also

References