2004 Montana gubernatorial election
{{Short description|none}}
{{for|related races|2004 United States gubernatorial elections}}
{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=October 2016}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2004 Montana gubernatorial election
| country = Montana
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2000 Montana gubernatorial election
| previous_year = 2000
| next_election = 2008 Montana gubernatorial election
| next_year = 2008
| election_date = November 2, 2004
| image1 = File:Brian Schweitzer official photo.jpg
| image_size = 150x150px
| nominee1 = Brian Schweitzer
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| running_mate1 = John Bohlinger
| popular_vote1 = 225,016
| percentage1 = 50.44%
| image2 = 3x4.svg
| nominee2 = Bob Brown
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| running_mate2 = Dave Lewis
| popular_vote2 = 205,313
| percentage2 = 46.02%
| map_image = 2004 Montana gubernatorial election results map by county.svg
| map_size = 300px
| map_caption = County results
Schweitzer: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}}
Brown: {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}}
| title = Governor
| before_election = Judy Martz
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Brian Schweitzer
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)
| turnout = 71.4%{{increase}}11.5{{cite web |url=https://sosmt.gov/elections/voter-turnout/|title=Montana Voter Turnout|website=Montana Secretary of State|date=February 22, 2018 |access-date=2022-05-26}}
}}
{{ElectionsMT}}
The 2004 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2004, for the post of Governor of Montana.{{Cite web |title=Wayback Machine |url=https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/attachments/2004-GenState.pdf |archive-url=http://web.archive.org/web/20241211135037/https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/attachments/2004-GenState.pdf |archive-date=2024-12-11 |access-date=2024-12-13 |website=sosmt.gov}} The incumbent governor, Judy Martz, a Republican, did not seek reelection. Democrat Brian Schweitzer defeated Montana Secretary of State and Republican nominee Bob Brown with 50.4% of the vote against 46%. Schweitzer formed a ticket with a Republican running mate, choosing state legislator John Bohlinger for the lieutenant governorship.
Democratic primary
=Candidates=
- Brian Schweitzer, rancher, former United States Department of Agriculture employee, nominee for the United States Senate in 2000
- Running mate: John Bohlinger, former State Representative (1993–1999) and State Senator (1999–2005)
- John Vincent, former State Representative (1975–1990), former Speaker of the Montana House of Representatives (1985–1986; 1989–1990) and former Mayor of Bozeman (1994–1995)
- Running mate: Mary Sexton, Teton County Commissioner
Brian Schweitzer, a rancher from Whitefish, began campaigning for the Democratic nomination over a year before the primary.{{cite web| url = http://www.greatfallstribune.com/news/stories/20040503/localnews/345838.html | title = Vincent adds zing to gubernatorial primary | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = May 3, 2004| work=Great Falls Tribune}} He had narrowly lost the Senate race to Conrad Burns in 2000. In February 2004 he announced that liberal Republican State Senator John Bohlinger would be his running mate for the post of lieutenant governor. This would be the first bipartisan gubernatorial team since the Montana Constitution was amended in 1972 to require governors and lieutenant governors to run as a team.{{cite web| url = http://www.greatfallstribune.com/news/stories/20040212/localnews/399194.html | title = Schweitzer to share ticket with Republican | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = February 12, 2004| work=Great Falls Tribune}}
In March 2004, John Vincent, a former Speaker of the Montana House of Representatives, entered the race and criticized Schweitzer for taking both sides on some issues. In the end Schweitzer easily won the Democratic primary. Three days after the primary Schweitzer addressed the Montana Democratic Convention; he gave a bear hug to his defeated rival and said he would bring a new kind of leadership to Montana.{{cite web| url = http://www.greatfallstribune.com/news/stories/20040613/localnews/634724.html | title = Schweitzer electrifies Democrats | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = June 13, 2004| work=Great Falls Tribune}}
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results{{cite web |url=http://sos.mt.gov/Elections/archives/2000s/2004/2004-PrimState.pdf |title=Archived copy |access-date=2011-04-09 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110112000533/http://sos.mt.gov/Elections/archives/2000s/2004/2004-PrimState.pdf |archive-date=January 12, 2011 |df=mdy-all }}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Brian Schweitzer
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 68,738
| percentage = 72.51
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = John Vincent
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 26,057
| percentage = 27.49
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 94,795
| percentage= 100.00
}}
{{Election box end}}
Republican primary
=Candidates=
- Bob Brown, Secretary of State of Montana (2001–2005), former State Representative (1970–1974) and former State Senator (1974–1996)
- Running mate: Dave Lewis, State Representative (2001–2005)
- Pat Davison, conservative businessman
- Running mate: David Mihalic, former Superintendent of Glacier National Park (1994–1999) and Yosemite National Park (1999–2002) for the National Park Service and former adviser to Marc Racicot
- Ken Miller, former State Senator (1995–2003) and former Montana Republican Party Chairman (2001–2003)
- Running mate: Wayne Buchanan, former executive secretary for the Montana Board of Public Education
- Tom Keating, former State Senator (1981–2001)
- Running mate: Matt Brainard, Montana Public Service Commissioner and former State Representative (1995–2001)
Incumbent Governor Judy Martz had a difficult term of office with her approval ratings as governor going as low as 20%. In August 2003 she announced she would not run for re-election as she wanted to spend more time with her family.{{cite news| url = https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/elections/2004/mt/ | title = Montana election results 2004 | access-date = 2008-02-28 | newspaper=The Washington Post}}{{cite news| url = https://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/2003-08-13-governors_x.htm | title = More governors join exodus from statehouses | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = August 13, 2003| work=USA Today}} Lieutenant Governor Karl Ohs was expected to enter the Republican primary race but decided not to.
Montana Secretary of State Bob Brown, conservative businessman Pat Davison and former State Senators Ken Miller and Tom Keating competed for the nomination. Brown was seen as the favorite in the primary but was attacked by Pat Davison for being "liberal on taxes". Brown was the only one of the candidates who refused to sign a pledge not to raise taxes as he said he wanted to keep all options open as governor.{{cite web| url = http://www.greatfallstribune.com/news/stories/20040518/localnews/445338.html | title = Race quickly is turning into two-candidate spat | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = May 18, 2004| work=Great Falls Tribune}}
[[File:2004 Montana gubernatorial Republican primary county map.svg|thumb|250px|Primary results by county:
{{collapsible list
| title = Brown
|{{legend|#d60f0f|Brown—51-60%}}
|{{legend|#ff0000|Brown—41-50%}}
|{{legend|#f29b8a|Brown—31-40%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = Davison
|{{legend|#ffff00|Davison—51-60%}}
|{{legend|#f8f8cc|Davison—21-30%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = Miller
|{{legend|#59d622|Miller—41-50%}}
|{{legend|#90ee90|Miller—31-40%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = Keating
|{{legend|#a1ffff|Keating—21-30%}}
}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Bob Brown
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 43,145
| percentage = 39.15
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Pat Davison
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 25,319
| percentage = 22.98
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Ken Miller
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 24,313
| percentage = 22.06
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Tom Keating
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 17,421
| percentage = 15.81
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 110,198
| percentage= 100.00
}}
{{Election box end}}
General election
=Campaign=
In mid summer polls showed Schweitzer had a 10-point lead over Brown,{{cite web| url = http://www.nationalreview.com/comment/hood200409140639.asp | title = Racing for the Governor's Mansions | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = September 14, 2004| work=National Review}} but by October the gap had closed to only 4 percent.{{cite web | url = http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=purple_people_watch_100804 | title = Purple People Watch | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = October 8, 2004 | work = The American Prospect | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20110810202016/http://prospect.org/cs/articles?article=purple_people_watch_100804 | archive-date = August 10, 2011 | url-status = dead }}
Schweitzer campaigned with plans to lift Montana from its position at the bottom of all 50 states in wages. He called for new uses to be found for crops like mint and for small businesses to pool in purchasing health care.{{cite news| url = https://www.nytimes.com/2004/11/14/politics/14montana.html?ei=5006&en=ee80a8d234dbf528&ex=1101099600&partner=ALTAVISTA1&pagewanted=all&position= | title = Montana Democrats Reflect on Success | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = November 14, 2004| work=The New York Times | first=Timothy | last=Egan}} He also supported opening the border with Canada to allow consumers to get cheaper prescription drugs from Canada.{{cite news | url = https://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A24050-2004Nov3?language=printer | title = The Rockies | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = November 4, 2004 | newspaper = The Washington Post }}{{Dead link|date=September 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}{{Dead link|date=August 2021 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
Brown said that the Democrats harmed business growth and job creation.{{cite news| url = http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/11/03/governor.montana/index.html | title = Schweitzer wins Montana governorship | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = November 3, 2004| publisher=CNN}} He touted his government experience including 26 years in the Montana legislature and accused Schweitzer of taking hypocritical stands.{{cite news| url = https://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/2004-11-03-mt-gov-schweitzer_x.htm | title = Schweitzer secures Montana governor's chair | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = November 3, 2004| work=USA Today}}
Schweitzer won the election to become the first Democrat in 20 years to win an election for governor. According to the exit polls Schweitzer obtained two-thirds of the vote from over 65s and from independent voters.{{cite news| url = https://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/mt.htm | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20050408062125/http://www.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/vote2004/mt.htm | archive-date = April 8, 2005 | title = Bush makes most of Montana; Schweitzer cruises | access-date = 2008-03-02 | date = November 1, 2004| work=USA Today | url-status=dead}} This was despite President George W. Bush winning Montana very easily over John Kerry.
= Predictions =
class="wikitable" style="text-align:center" |
Source
! Ranking ! As of |
---|
align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web | title=The Final Predictions | url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/ljs2004110101/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | access-date=May 2, 2021}}
| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}} | November 1, 2004 |
=Statewide results=
{{Election box begin | title=2004 Montana gubernatorial electionhttp://sos.mt.gov/Elections/archives/2000s/2004/2004-GenState.pdf {{Dead link|date=February 2022}}}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link|
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = Brian Schweitzer
|votes = 225,016
|percentage = 50.44%
|change = +3.35%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Bob Brown
|votes = 205,313
|percentage = 46.02%
|change = -4.97%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Green Party (United States)
|candidate = Bob Kelleher
|votes = 8,393
|percentage = 1.88%
|change = N/A
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link|
|party = Libertarian Party (United States)
|candidate = Stanley Jones
|votes = 7,424
|percentage = 1.66%
|change = -0.27%
}}
{{Election box total|
|votes = 446,146
|percentage = 100.00%
|change = +11.2%
}}
{{Election box gain with party link no swing|
|winner = Democratic Party (United States)
|loser = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
==Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic==
- Cascade (largest city: Great Falls)
- Park (largest city: Livingston)
- Sheridan (Largest city: Plentywood)
- Lake (largest city: Polson)
- Yellowstone (largest municipality: Billings)
- Valley (largest city: Glasgow)
References
{{reflist}}
See also
{{United States general elections, 2004}}