2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election

{{Short description|none}}

{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=August 2022}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election

| country = Kentucky

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2007 Kentucky gubernatorial election

| previous_year = 2007

| election_date = November 8, 2011

| next_election = 2015 Kentucky gubernatorial election

| next_year = 2015

| image1 = File:Steve Beshear by Gage Skidmore (1).jpg

| nominee1 = Steve Beshear

| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)

| running_mate1 = Jerry Abramson

| popular_vote1 = 464,245

| percentage1 = 55.72%

| map_image = {{switcher |300px |County results |300px |Congressional district results |default=1}}

| map_size = 301px

| map_caption = Beshear: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}}
Williams: {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}}

| title = Governor

| before_election = Steve Beshear

| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)

| after_election = Steve Beshear

| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)

| turnout = 28.3% {{decrease}} 8.9 pp

| image2 = File:David L. Williams (1).jpg

| nominee2 = David L. Williams

| party2 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 294,034

| percentage2 = 35.29%

| running_mate2 = Richie Farmer

| image3 = File:Gatewood Gailbraith 2011 (1).jpg

| image_size = x150px

| nominee3 = Gatewood Galbraith

| party3 = Independent

| popular_vote3 = 74,860

| percentage3 = 8.99%

| running_mate3 = Dea Riley

}}

{{ElectionsKY}}

The 2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2011, to elect the governor of Kentucky and the lieutenant governor of Kentucky. Incumbent Democrat Steve Beshear won re-election, defeating Republican challenger David L. Williams, then the president of the state senate, and Gatewood Galbraith, an independent candidate. Statewide turnout in this election was 28%.{{Cite web |url=https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/KY/33652/51635/en/summary.html |title=Election summary |access-date=May 1, 2021 |archive-date=February 11, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210211005146/https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/KY/33652/51635/en/summary.html |url-status=dead }}

This was one of the two Democratic-held governorships up for election in a state that John McCain won in the 2008 presidential election, the other being West Virginia.

Background

On July 19, 2009, Beshear announced his intention to run for re-election. However, in that announcement, he stated that then-Louisville mayor Jerry Abramson would be his running mate in 2011{{Cite news|url=http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20090719/NEWS01/907190334/-1/NLETTER05/Abramson+to+be+Beshear+s+running+mate+in+2011?source=nletter-breakingnews|archive-url=https://archive.today/20130102171000/http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20090719/NEWS01/907190334/-1/NLETTER05/Abramson+to+be+Beshear+s+running+mate+in+2011?source=nletter-breakingnews|url-status=dead|archive-date=2013-01-02|title=Abramson to be Beshear's running mate in 2011|last=Gerth|first=Joseph|date=2009-07-19|publisher=The Courier-Journal|access-date=2009-07-20}} instead of current Lt. Governor Daniel Mongiardo, who chose to run for the U.S. Senate in 2010.{{cite web |author=Ronnie Ellis |url=http://www.news-tribune.net/statenews/kentuckystatehouse_story_086172706.html |title=Beshear endorses Mongiardo for Senate |publisher=News-tribune.net |date=2009-03-27 |access-date=2012-08-18 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20130222105255/http://www.news-tribune.net/statenews/kentuckystatehouse_story_086172706.html |archive-date=2013-02-22 |url-status=dead }} Kentucky state law requires that gubernatorial candidates file to run with running mates, otherwise they cannot legally raise money. Beshear wanted to fundraise and this would have required Mongiardo also saying that he was running in 2011, which he couldn't do.{{cite web|url=http://www.kentucky.com/2012/11/30/2426987_mongiardo-considers-running-for.html|title=Mongiardo considers running for Senate}} Beshear and Abramson did not face any opposition for the Democratic nomination.

Among Republicans, Kentucky State Senate President David Williams from Burkesville announced his official candidacy along with running mate Richie Farmer, the term-limited State Agriculture Commissioner and former Kentucky Wildcats basketball player.{{cite web|last=Alford |first=Roger |title=Farmer mulls run for governor |publisher=Lexington Herald-Leader |date=2009-10-28 |url=http://www.kentucky.com/latest_news/story/995157.html |access-date=2009-10-28}} Louisville businessman Phil Moffett also announced his ticket with State Representative Mike Harmon from Danville as his running mate.{{cite web |last=Arnold |first=Joe |url=http://www.whas11.com/video/featured-videos/Phil-Moffett-announces-his-candidacy-for-governor-99579484.html |title=Phil Moffett announces candidacy for governor | WHAS11.com Louisville |publisher=Whas11.com |date=2010-07-29 |access-date=2012-08-18 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20120305224240/http://www.whas11.com/video/featured-videos/Phil-Moffett-announces-his-candidacy-for-governor-99579484.html |archive-date=2012-03-05 |url-status=dead }} Moffett was seen as the Tea Party favorite.{{cite web|url=https://www.kentucky.com/news/local/counties/franklin-county/article44064357.html|title=David Williams and Phil Moffett in a battle for the Republican Party's soul|newspaper=Lexington Herald Leader|last1=Brammer|first1=Jack|date=November 15, 2010|access-date=February 5, 2020}} However, Williams also advocated for similar positions as Moffett, such as the repeal of the Seventeenth Amendment to the United States ConstitutionJack Brammer, Lexington Herald Leader, November 19, 2010 [http://bluegrasspolitics.bloginky.com/2010/11/10/calling-himself-a-tea-partier-david-williams-pushes-repeal-of-17th-amendment/ "Williams pushes repeal of 17th amendment"] and promoting tax reforms similar to what Moffett proposed.

Attorney Gatewood Galbraith of Lexington filed to run his fourth gubernatorial campaign as an independent on July 4, 2009, choosing marketing consultant Dea Riley as his running mate.

Democratic primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

=Results=

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Steve Beshear (incumbent)

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 446,048

| percentage = 100.00%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 446,048

| percentage = 100.00%

}}

{{Election box end}}

Republican primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Bobbie Holsclaw, Jefferson County Clerk, 1998–2010, 2014–present{{cite web|url=http://www.kftc.org/blog/stage-set-primary-election|title=Stage Set For the Primary Election|website=Kentuckians For The Commonwealth|last1=Newton|first1=Dave|date=January 25, 2011|access-date=February 2, 2020}}
  • Running mate: Bill Vermillion, retired U.S. Navy master chief
  • Phil Moffett, Louisville businessman{{cite web|url=http://bluegrasspolitics.bloginky.com/2010/07/29/louisville-businessman-phil-moffett-running-for-governor/ |title=Louisville businessman Phil Moffett running for governor : Bluegrass Politics |publisher=Bluegrasspolitics.bloginky.com |date=2010-07-29 |access-date=2012-08-18}}{{Cite news|url=http://archive.apexmediawire.net/gallery/20100729-KY-Republican-Phil-Moffett-announces-gubernatorial-campaign-hopes-for-Tea-Party-support/G0000rQukt4bc9ME|archive-url=https://archive.today/20120326163952/http://archive.apexmediawire.net/gallery/20100729-KY-Republican-Phil-Moffett-announces-gubernatorial-campaign-hopes-for-Tea-Party-support/G0000rQukt4bc9ME|url-status=dead|archive-date=2012-03-26|title=Republican Phil Moffett announces gubernatorial campaign, hopes for Tea Party support|date=2009-07-29|publisher=Apex MediaWire|access-date=2009-07-29}} and Tea Party activist
  • Running mate: Mike Harmon, state representative, 2003–2016
  • David L. Williams, state senate president, 2000–2012; state senator 1987–2012; and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1992{{Cite news|last=Brammer |first=Jack |title=David Williams and Richie Farmer form slate to seek state's top offices |publisher=Lexington Herald-Leader |date=2010-09-02 |url=http://www.kentucky.com/2010/09/02/1416058/david-williams-and-richie-farmer.html |access-date=2010-09-02 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20100903050001/http://www.kentucky.com/2010/09/02/1416058/david-williams-and-richie-farmer.html |archive-date=September 3, 2010 }}
  • Running mate: Richie Farmer, Kentucky Agriculture Commissioner, 2004–2012

=Polling=

class="wikitable"
valign=bottom

! Poll Source

! style="width:125px;"| Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:110px;"| Bobbie
Holsclaw

! style="width:110px;"| Phil
Moffett

! style="width:110px;"| David
Williams

! style="width:110px;"| Undecided

Survey USA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=cce11ec2-3752-4c6c-bccf-07738c1a9301/ Survey USA]

| align=center| May 4–10, 2011

| align=center| 500

| align=center| ± 4.5%

| align=center| 12%

| align=center| 21%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 21%

Survey USA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=04dd2822-cc19-4ded-a82c-7585e931de64/ Survey USA]

| align=center| April 8–13, 2011

| align=center| 507

| align=center| ± 4.4%

| align=center| 12%

| align=center| 14%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| 25%

=Results=

[[File:2011 Kentucky gubernatorial election Republican primary results map by county.svg|thumb|250px|Results by county:

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#e27f7f|Williams}}

| {{legend|#ffb2b2|40–50%}}

| {{legend|#e27f7f|50–60%}}

| {{legend|#d75d5d|60–70%}}

| {{legend|#d72f30|70–80%}}

| {{legend|#c21b18|80–90%}}

}}

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#ff9a50|Moffett}}

|{{legend|#ffb380|40–50%}}

|{{legend|#ff9a50|50–60%}}

|{{legend|#ee8e50|60–70%}}

|{{legend|#d69850|70–80%}}

}}

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#5fd35f|Holsclaw}}

|{{legend|#aae5aa|30–40%}}

}}

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#AE8BB1|Tie}}

| {{legend|#d2b1d9|40–50%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results{{cite web|url=http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/KY/29019/45205/en/summary.html |title=KY – Election Results |access-date=2012-08-18}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = David Williams

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 68,528

| percentage = 48.0%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Phil Moffett

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 53,966

| percentage = 38.0%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Bobbie Holsclaw

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 19,614

| percentage = 14.0%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 142,108

| percentage = 100.0%

}}

{{Election box end}}

Independents

=Declared=

  • Gatewood Galbraith, attorney, industrial hemp advocate and perennial candidate{{cite web|url=https://www.kentucky.com/news/politics-government/article44130615.html|title=Dea Riley brings energy, and baggage, to Gatewood Galbraith's campaign|newspaper=Lexington Herald Leader|last1=Blackford|first1=Linda B.|date=October 13, 2011|access-date=February 2, 2020}}
  • Running mate: Dea Riley, political consultant

General election

=Predictions=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | Rothenberg Political Report{{cite web |title=Gubernatorial Ratings {{!}} Inside Elections |url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2011-12-gubernatorial-ratings-november-4-2011 |website=www.insideelections.com}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|November 4, 2011

align=left| Governing{{cite web |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110801190131/http://www.governing.com/blogs/politics/update-2011-2012-gubernatorial-contests.html |url=http://www.governing.com/blogs/politics/update-2011-2012-gubernatorial-contests.html |archive-date=August 1, 2011 |date=July 25, 2011 |title=An Update on the 2011-2012 Gubernatorial Contests |work=Governing}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|November 4, 2011

align=left| Cook{{cite web |title=2011/2012 GOVERNORS RACE RATINGS |website=The Cook Political Report |date=September 15, 2011 |url=http://www.governing.com/blogs/politics/update-2011-2012-gubernatorial-contests.html |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111007113156/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2011-09-15_14-50-15.php |archive-date=October 7, 2011}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|November 4, 2011

align=left| Sabato{{cite web |title=2012 Governor |website=Sabato's Crystal Ball |url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-governor/}}

| {{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|November 4, 2011

=Polling=

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! style="width:200px;"| Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Steve
Beshear (D)

! style="width:100px;"| David
Williams (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Gatewood
Galbraith (I)

! Undecided

Survey USA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a6252cf4-7dc0-42af-b52f-61d935033d10 Survey USA]

| align=center| October 28 – November 1, 2011

| align=center| 576

| align=center| ± 4.2%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 54%

| align=center| 29%

| align=center| 9%

| align=center| 8%

Braun Research[http://mycn2.com/politics/beshear-and-other-democrats-still-lead-as-numbers-barely-move-from-aug-cn2-poll-shows Braun Research]

| align=center| October 17–19, 2011

| align=center| 802

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 54%

| align=center| 26%

| align=center| 8%

| align=center| 12%

Survey USA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9abf6d5a-9a7e-4f08-942d-9c6ad23f126c Survey USA]

| align=center| September 22–27, 2011

| align=center| 569

| align=center| ± 4.2%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 57%

| align=center| 26%

| align=center| 8%

| align=center| 9%

Braun Research[http://mycn2.com/politics/cn2-poll-beshear-s-lead-increases-but-other-races-largely-unchanged-since-june Braun Research]

| align=center| August 29–31, 2011

| align=center| 803

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 54%

| align=center| 25%

| align=center| 7%

| align=center| 14%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_KY_0830513.pdf Public Policy Polling] {{dead link|date=August 2012}}

| align=center| August 25–28, 2011

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 55%

| align=center| 28%

| align=center| 10%

| align=center| 8%

Survey USA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ea0ffebf-3883-4d8e-904c-4a6e511077ce Survey USA]

| align=center| July 22–27, 2011

| align=center| 512

| align=center| ± 4.4%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 52%

| align=center| 28%

| align=center| 9%

| align=center| 11%

Braun Research[http://mycn2.com/politics/beshear-leads-williams-by-21-points-after-ad-blitz-cn2-poll-shows Braun Research]

| align=center| June 6–8, 2011

| align=center| 802

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| 30%

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| 14%

Survey USA

| align=center| April 8–13, 2011

| align=center| 1,589

| align=center| ± 2.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| 39%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 10%

Braun Research[http://mycn2.com/politics/cn2-poll-governors-race-march Braun Research]

| align=center| February 28 – March 1, 2011

| align=center| 804

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 38%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 14%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_KY_1109.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| October 28–30, 2010

| align=center| 1,021

| align=center| ± 3.1%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 21%

Mason-Dixon[http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/10/20/21/Governor.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf Mason-Dixon] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110518174851/http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/10/20/21/Governor.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf |date=May 18, 2011 }}

| align=center| October 18–19, 2010

| align=center| 625

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 30%

| align=center| 5%

| align=center| 20%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.dailykos.com/polling/2010/9/11/KY/2/UXa34 Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| September 11–12, 2010

| align=center| 959

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 39%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 17%

Braun Research[http://politics.mycn2.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/09/Sept-2-Governors-race-poll.pdf Braun Research] {{Dead link|date=November 2018 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

| align=center| August 30 – September 1, 2010

| align=center| 802

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 38%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 18%

Braun Research[http://mycn2.com/politics/david-williams-confirms-interest-in-running-for-governor-with-richie-farmer-as-running-mate Braun Research]

| align=center| July 19–21, 2010

| align=center| 803

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 30%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 20%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

With Moffett

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! style="width:160px;"| Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Steve
Beshear (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Phil
Moffett (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Gatewood
Galbraith (I)

! style="width:50px;"| Other/
Undecided

Survey USA

| align=center| April 8–13, 2011

| align=center| 1,589

| align=center| ± 2.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 54%

| align=center| 34%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 13%

Braun Research

| align=center| February 28-March 1, 2011

| align=center| 804

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 53%

| align=center| 28%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 19%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| October 28–30, 2010

| align=center| 1,021

| align=center| ± 3.1%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 26%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 29%

Mason-Dixon[http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/10/20/21/Governor.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf Mason-Dixon] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110518174851/http://media.kentucky.com/smedia/2010/10/20/21/Governor.source.prod_affiliate.79.pdf |date=May 18, 2011 }}

| align=center| October 18–19, 2010

| align=center| 625

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 24%

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| 26%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| September 11–12, 2010

| align=center| 959

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 28%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 26%

Braun Research

| align=center| September 1, 2010

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| 29%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 22%

With Holsclaw

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! style="width:160px;"| Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Steve
Beshear (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Bobbie
Holsclaw (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Gatewood
Galbraith (I)

! style="width:50px;"| Other/
Undecided

Survey USA

| align=center| April 8–13, 2011

| align=center| 1,589

| align=center| ± 2.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 53%

| align=center| 34%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 13%

Braun Research

| align=center| February 28 – March 1, 2011

| align=center| 804

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 53%

| align=center| 27%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 21%

{{hidden end}}

=Results=

{{Election box begin | title=Kentucky gubernatorial election, 2011}}{{cite web|url=http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/KY/33652/49859/en/summary.html |title=KY – Election Results |access-date=2012-08-18}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link|

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Steve Beshear (incumbent)

|votes = 464,245

|percentage = 55.72%

|change = -2.99%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = David L. Williams

|votes = 294,034

|percentage = 35.29%

|change = -6.00%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link|

|party = Independent

|candidate = Gatewood Galbraith

|votes = 74,860

|percentage = 8.99%

|change = +8.99%

}}

{{Election box total|

|votes = 833,139

|percentage = 100.00%

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no swing|

|winner = Democratic Party (United States)

|loser = Republican Party (United States)

|swing =

}}

{{Election box end}}

==Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic==

==Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican==

== By congressional district ==

Beshear won all six congressional districts, including four that were represented by Republicans.https://x.com/kentucky_kiwi/status/1690856927197024258

class=wikitable

! District

! Beshear

! Williams

! Galbraith

! Representative

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|1|1st}}

| 54%

| 41%

| 5%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Ed Whitfield

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|2|2nd}}

| 57%

| 38%

| 6%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Brett Guthrie

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|3|3rd}}

| 67%

| 27%

| 6%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|John Yarmuth

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|4|4th}}

| 53%

| 40%

| 6%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Geoff Davis

align=center

! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|5|5th}}

| 47%

| 44%

| 8%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Hal Rogers

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! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Kentucky|6|6th}}

| 56%

| 23%

| 21%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Ben Chandler

See also

References

{{reflist|30em}}