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2014 MV67

{{short description|Mars-crossing asteroid}}

{{DISPLAYTITLE:{{mp|2014 MV|67}}}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=September 2021}}

{{Infobox planet

| minorplanet = yes

| name = {{mp|2014 MV|67}}

| background = #FA8072

| image =

| image_size =

| caption =

| discovery_ref =

| discoverer = Pan-STARRS

| discovery_site = Haleakalā Obs.

| discovered = 24 June 2014

| mpc_name = {{mp|2014 MV|67}}

| alt_names = P10ciev

| pronounced =

| named_after =

| mp_category = {{plainlist|

}}

| orbit_ref =

| epoch = 2021-Jul-01 (JD 2459396.5)

| uncertainty = 5{{·}}3{{efn|name=assumed}}

| observation_arc = 7.24 years

| aphelion = {{val|2.84|ul=AU}}

| perihelion = {{val|1.58|u=AU}}

| semimajor = {{val|2.21|u=AU}}

| eccentricity = {{val|0.2839}}{{efn|name=assumed}}

| period = {{val|3.28|u=yr}} (1201 d)

| mean_anomaly = {{val|351|ul=°}}

| mean_motion = {{Deg2DMS|0.3816|sup=ms}}

| inclination = {{val|3.845|u=°}}

| asc_node = {{val|146|u=°}}

| arg_peri = {{val|207|u=°}}

| moid = {{Convert|0.58|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}

| jupiter_moid = {{val|2.6|ul=AU}}

| tisserand = 3.60

| mean_diameter = {{val|540|ul=m|p=~}}

| mass = {{val|2.2|e=11|ul=kg}}

| rotation =

| albedo =

| spectral_type =

| abs_magnitude = 19.58

}}{{mp|2014 MV|67}} (also written 2014 MV67) is a Mars-crosser and former lost asteroid with an observation arc of less than 1 day. Before its recovery, it had an assumed orbital eccentricity{{efn|name=assumed}} and a very poorly constrained orbit. Depending on the orbit, it could have been a potentially hazardous asteroid, roughly {{convert|540|m|ft|sigfig=3|abbr=off|sp=us}} in diameter, or it could turn out to be a Mars-crosser or even a main-belt asteroid as were the cases with {{mpl|2004 BX|159}} and {{mpl|2010 GZ|60}}.{{efn|name=mba}} It was recovered by Pan-STARRS in September 2021 and is now known to be a Mars-crossing asteroid.

Description

Main belt asteroids can have perihelia (closest approach to the Sun) as low as 1.7 AU. The 22 March 2022 impact scenario was 87,000 times lower than the background threat generated by unknown asteroids.{{efn|name=background2022}} It was removed from the Sentry Risk Table on 15 April 2021 when JPL transitioned to planetary ephemeris DE441.

It was discovered on 24 June 2014, when the asteroid was estimated to be {{convert|1.1|+/-|0.84|AU|e6km|abbr=unit|lk=in}} from Earth and had a solar elongation of 161 degrees.

The 22 March 2018 and 3 April 2019 virtual impactors did not occur. The uncertainty region of {{Nowrap|±10 billion km}} wraps around the entire orbit so the asteroid could be anywhere on any of the numerous orbit fits. It could be near aphelion (in the asteroid belt) ~3 AU from the Sun.{{efn|name=aphelion}} The asteroid was not expected to be near Earth anytime during 2019.

With an almost meaningless 1-day observation arc, the Sentry Risk Table showed an estimated 1 in 3 billion chance of the asteroid impacting Earth on 22 March 2022, which was 87,000 times lower than the background threat.{{efn|name=background2022}} The nominal JPL Horizons 22 March 2022 Earth distance is {{convert|2.2|AU|km mi|abbr=on}} with a 3-sigma uncertainty of {{Nowrap|±3 billion km}}. NEODyS also lists the nominal 22 March 2022 Earth distance as {{convert|2.2|AU|km mi|abbr=on}}. And again it is not expected to be near Earth anytime during 2022.

class="wikitable sortable" style="font-size: 0.9em;"

|+Virtual impactors (past and future)

! Date

! Impact
probability
(1 in)

! JPL Horizons
nominal geocentric
distance (AU)

! NEODyS
nominal geocentric
distance (AU)

! MPC
nominal geocentric
distance (AU)

! Find_Orb
nominal geocentric
distance (AU)

! uncertainty
region
(3-sigma)

bgcolor=#c2c2c2

|2018-03-22

1.9 billion{{Convert|2.4|AU|e6km|abbr=unit|lk=on}}{{Convert|2.5|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{Convert|3.8|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{Convert|2.3|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}±600 million km
bgcolor=#c2c2c2

|2019-04-03

2.1 billion{{Convert|1.2|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{Convert|1.2|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{Convert|3.5|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{Convert|2.6|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}±600 million km
2022-03-22removed{{Convert|2.2|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{Convert|2.2|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{Convert|3.5|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{efn|name=Jupiter}}{{Convert|2.5|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}±3 billion km
2025-03-26removed{{Convert|2.8|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{Convert|2.8|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{Convert|3.4|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}{{Convert|2.4|AU|e6km|abbr=unit}}±2 billion km

See also

  • {{mpl|2005 ED|224}}
  • {{mpl|2007 FT|3}}

Notes

{{notelist|refs=

{{efn|name=mba|With such short arcs uncertainties can not really be described with formal error bars. In this case non-NEO orbits are definitely possible, perhaps even more likely than NEO ones.}}

{{efn|name=assumed|The Minor Planet Center's uncertainty code (orbit note) "E" stands for "Eccentricity assumed", as per [https://www.minorplanetcenter.net/iau/info/OrbNote.html Publishable Notes for Orbits of Minor Planets]}}

{{efn|name=aphelion|Jupiter is {{Convert|5|AU|e6km|sigfig=2|abbr=unit|lk=on}} from the Sun. The asteroid's aphelion range (furthest distance from the Sun) is estimated to be {{Val|2.1|0.5|u=AU}}.}}

{{efn|name=background2022|Palermo Scale for 2022 is −4.94 and 10^4.94 {{=}} 87096.}}

{{efn|name=Jupiter|Jupiter is 4 AU from Earth every 13 months when Jupiter comes to opposition (opposite the Sun in the sky with Earth between the two).}}

}}

References

{{Reflist|refs=

{{cite web

|title=Earth Impact Risk Summary: 2014 MV67

|publisher=NASA/JPL Near-Earth Object Program Office

|url=https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/details.html#?des=2014%20MV67

|archive-url=https://archive.today/20180128092112/https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/details.html%23?des=2014%20MV67

|archive-date=2018-01-28

|url-status=live

|accessdate=2019-03-28

}} [https://web.archive.org/web/20140816214254/http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/2014mv67.html (Wayback Machine 2014)]

{{cite web

|type=last observation: 2014-06-25; arc: 1 day

|title=JPL Small-Body Database Browser: (2014 MV67)

|url=http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=2014MV67

|publisher=Jet Propulsion Laboratory

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200907172210/https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=2014MV67

|archive-date=2020-09-07

|url-status=live

|accessdate=2021-04-19

}}

{{cite web

|title=2014MV67 Ephemerides for 2019

|publisher=NEODyS (Near Earth Objects{{Snd}} Dynamic Site)

|url=https://newton.spacedys.com/neodys/index.php?pc=1.1.3.1&n=2014MV67&oc=500&y0=2019&m0=1&d0=2&h0=0&mi0=0&y1=2020&m1=1&d1=1&h1=0&mi1=0&ti=7.0&tiu=days

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190328165610/https://newton.spacedys.com/neodys/index.php?pc=1.1.3.1&n=2014MV67&oc=500&y0=2019&m0=1&d0=2&h0=0&mi0=0&y1=2020&m1=1&d1=1&h1=0&mi1=0&ti=7.0&tiu=days

|archive-date=2019-03-28

|url-status=live

|accessdate=2019-03-28

}}

{{cite web

|title=2014MV67 Ephemerides for 2022

|publisher=NEODyS (Near Earth Objects{{Snd}} Dynamic Site)

|url=https://newton.spacedys.com/neodys/index.php?pc=1.1.3.1&n=2014MV67&oc=500&y0=2022&m0=1&d0=4&h0=0&mi0=0&y1=2023&m1=1&d1=1&h1=0&mi1=0&ti=7.0&tiu=days

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210402182757/https://newton.spacedys.com/neodys/index.php?pc=1.1.3.1&n=2014MV67&oc=500&y0=2022&m0=1&d0=4&h0=0&mi0=0&y1=2023&m1=1&d1=1&h1=0&mi1=0&ti=7.0&tiu=days

|archive-date=2021-04-02

|url-status=live

|accessdate=2021-03-02

}}

{{cite web

|title=Find_Orb for 2022-03-22

|publisher=Project Pluto

|url=https://www.projectpluto.com/cgi-bin/fo/fo_serve.cgi?obj_name=2014+MV67&year=2022-03-22&n_steps=1&stepsize=1

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210408235836/https://www.projectpluto.com/cgi-bin/fo/fo_serve.cgi?obj_name=2014+MV67&year=2022-03-22&n_steps=1&stepsize=1

|archive-date=2021-04-08

|url-status=live

|accessdate=2021-04-08

}}

{{cite web

|title=Horizons Batch for 2022-03-22 Virtual Impactor

|publisher=JPL Horizons

|url=https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons_batch.cgi?batch=1&COMMAND=%272014+MV67%27&START_TIME=%272022-3-22%27&STOP_TIME=%272022-3-23%27&STEP_SIZE=%272%20days%27&QUANTITIES=%2720,39%27

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210410004617/https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons_batch.cgi?batch=1&COMMAND=%272014+MV67%27&START_TIME=%272022-3-22%27&STOP_TIME=%272022-3-23%27&STEP_SIZE=%272%20days%27&QUANTITIES=%2720,39%27

|archive-date=2021-04-10

|url-status=live

|accessdate=2021-04-09}} RNG_3sigma = uncertainty range in km. (JPL#8/Soln.date: 2019-Dec-18 generates RNG_3sigma = 5.39E9 for 2022-Mar-22.)

{{cite web

|title=MPC Ephemeris Service

|publisher=IAU Minor Planet Center

|url=https://minorplanetcenter.net//iau/MPEph/MPEph.html

|accessdate=2021-04-08

}}

{{cite web

|title=2014 MV67 Orbit

|publisher=IAU Minor Planet Center

|url=http://www.minorplanetcenter.net/db_search/show_object?object_id=2014+MV67

|archive-url=https://archive.today/20190328164303/http://www.minorplanetcenter.net/db_search/show_object?object_id=2014+MV67

|archive-date=2019-03-28

|url-status=live

|accessdate=2019-03-28

}}

{{cite web

|title=Orbit Classification: Main-belt Asteroid

|publisher=JPL NASA

|url=https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb_help.cgi?class=MBA

|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20080916012354/https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb_help.cgi?class=MBA

|accessdate=2021-04-02

|archive-date=16 September 2008

}}

Go to [https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/horizons.cgi?find_body=1&body_group=sb&sstr=2014MV67 JPL Horizons.] Table Settings: only need "20. Observer range & range-rate" AND "39. Range & range-rate 3-sigmas".
RNG_3sigma = uncertainty range in km. (Soln.date: 2019-Dec-18 generates RNG_3sigma = 5.39E9 for 2022-Mar-22.)

}}

External links

  • {{NeoDys|2014MV67}}
  • {{ESA-SSA|2014MV67}}
  • {{JPL small body|id=3675173}}

{{Small Solar System bodies}}

{{DEFAULTSORT:2014 MV67}}

Category:Mars-crossing asteroids

Category:Minor planet object articles (unnumbered)

#

Category:Near-Earth objects removed from the Sentry Risk Table

20140624