2014 Toronto mayoral election
{{Short description|none}}
{{For|information about the election of city councillors|2014 Toronto municipal election}}
{{pp-pc|small=yes}}
{{use mdy dates |date=February 2014}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2014 Toronto mayoral election
| country = Toronto
| type = Mayoral
| ongoing = no
| party_name = no
| previous_election = 2010 Toronto mayoral election
| previous_year = 2010
| next_election = 2018 Toronto mayoral election
| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls
| next_year = 2018
| election_date = October 27, 2014
| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image = Mayor John Tory in Toronto at the Good Friday Procession - 2018 (27264606888) (cropped).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| color1 = 33CC66
| candidate1 = John Tory
| popular_vote1 = 394,775
| percentage1 = 40.3%
| image2 = {{CSS image crop|Image = Doug Ford portrait (cropped).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| color2 = 0066CC
| candidate2 = Doug Ford
| popular_vote2 = 330,610
| percentage2 = 33.7%
| image3 = {{CSS image crop|Image = Olivia Chow at Mayoral Candidates Roundtable 2014 (cropped).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| color3 = 4700B8
| candidate3 = Olivia Chow
| popular_vote3 = 226,879
| percentage3 = 23.2%
| map_image = Toronto Election 2014 Map.svg
| map_size = 410px
| map_caption =
| title = Mayor of Toronto
| before_election = Rob Ford
| after_election = John Tory
| turnout = 54.7% ({{increase}} 4.1 pp)
}}
The 2014 Toronto mayoral election took place on October 27, 2014. Incumbent Mayor Rob Ford initially ran for re-election, but dropped out after being diagnosed with a tumour - instead running for city council in Ward 2. Registration of candidates began on January 2, 2014, and ended September 12, 2014, at 2 pm.{{cite web|title=City of Toronto, Elections, Candidates, 2014 Key Dates|url=http://www1.toronto.ca/wps/portal/contentonly?vgnextoid=a506fc9b6462c310VgnVCM10000068d60f89RCRD|access-date=September 29, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140911113732/http://www1.toronto.ca/wps/portal/contentonly?vgnextoid=a506fc9b6462c310VgnVCM10000068d60f89RCRD|archive-date=September 11, 2014|url-status=dead}}
The election was won by former Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leader and 2003 mayoral runner-up John Tory, who defeated Ford's brother, city councillor Doug Ford, and former Trinity—Spadina MP Olivia Chow.{{cite web|first=Robert|last=Fisher|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/john-tory-ends-rob-ford-s-reign-over-toronto-1.2815166|title=John Tory ends Rob Ford's reign over Toronto|publisher=CBC News|date=October 27, 2014|access-date=October 28, 2014}} More than 980,000 Torontonians cast ballots in this election – a record turnout of around 55 percent.{{cite web|first=Jesse|last=McLean|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/city_hall/toronto2014election/2014/10/27/voter_turnout_rocketed_in_toronto_tepid_around_gta.html|title=Voter turnout rocketed in Toronto, tepid around GTA|publisher=Toronto Star|date=October 28, 2014|access-date=October 28, 2014}}{{Cite web |title=Municipal Election - voter turnout statistics |url=https://www.toronto.ca/311/knowledgebase/kb/docs/articles/city-clerks-office/election-services/municipal-election-voter-turnout-statistics.html |access-date=2022-03-25 |website=www.toronto.ca |language=en-CA}}
Results
Official results from the City of Toronto as of October 28, 2014.{{cite web |url=https://www.toronto.ca/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/9059-election-2014-clerksofficialdeclarationofresults.pdf |title=Declaration of Results s. 55(4) of the Municipal Elections Act, 1996 2014 Municipal General Election |publisher=City of Toronto |date=2014-10-27 |accessdate=2024-03-07 }}
class="wikitable sortable" | ||
style="background-color:#E9E9E9"
!width=50%|Candidate !width=25%|Number of votes !width=25%| % of popular vote | ||
John Tory | 394,775 | 40.28 |
Doug Ford | 330,610 | 33.73 |
Olivia Chow | 226,879 | 23.15 |
Ari Goldkind | 3,912 | 0.40 |
Selina Chan | 2,336 | 0.24 |
Rocco Di Paola | 1,557 | 0.16 |
Don Andrews | 1,012 | 0.10 |
Morgan Baskin | 1,009 | 0.10 |
Ramnarine Tiwari | 1,007 | 0.10 |
George Dedopoulos | 941 | 0.10 |
Said Aly | 800 | 0.08 |
Robb Johannes | 756 | 0.08 |
Jonathan Glaister | 747 | 0.08 |
Monowar Hossain | 614 | 0.06 |
Mike Gallay | 570 | 0.06 |
Sam Surendran | 569 | 0.06 |
Michael Tramov | 560 | 0.06 |
Kevin Clarke | 547 | 0.06 |
Matthew Wong | 491 | 0.05 |
Dewitt Lee | 489 | 0.05 |
Hïmy Syed | 465 | 0.05 |
Mark Cidade | 453 | 0.05 |
Troy Young | 411 | 0.04 |
Dave McKay | 407 | 0.04 |
Michael Gordon | 388 | 0.04 |
Christopher Ball | 377 | 0.04 |
Ashok Sajnani | 368 | 0.04 |
Matthew Crack | 365 | 0.04 |
Frank Burgess | 335 | 0.03 |
D!ONNE Renée | 323 | 0.03 |
Michael Tasevski | 319 | 0.03 |
Mohammad Okhovat | 318 | 0.03 |
Chinh Huynh | 312 | 0.03 |
Veerayya Kembhavimath | 294 | 0.03 |
Jeff {{proper name|Billard}} | 288 | 0.03 |
Pat Roberge | 273 | 0.03 |
Lee Romanov | 271 | 0.03 |
Radu Popescu | 233 | 0.02 |
Jon Karsemeyer | 232 | 0.02 |
Steven Lam | 226 | 0.02 |
Jonathan Bliguin | 207 | 0.02 |
Christina Van Eyck | 203 | 0.02 |
Josh Rachlis | 201 | 0.02 |
Carlie Ritch | 194 | 0.02 |
Tibor Steinberger | 188 | 0.02 |
Klim Khomenko | 186 | 0.02 |
Leo Gambin | 165 | 0.02 |
Daniel Walker | 162 | 0.02 |
Ram Narula | 156 | 0.02 |
Jamie Shannon | 156 | 0.02 |
Michael Nicula | 145 | 0.02 |
Gary McBean | 135 | 0.01 |
Charles Huang | 134 | 0.01 |
Russell Saunders | 134 | 0.01 |
Diana Maxted | 117 | 0.01 |
Jim Ruel | 110 | 0.01 |
Erwin Sniedzins | 104 | 0.01 |
Chai Kalevar | 102 | 0.01 |
Matt Mernagh | 102 | 0.01 |
Wally Schwauss | 97 | 0.01 |
Donovan Searchwell | 90 | 0.01 |
Ratan Wadhwa | 73 | 0.01 |
René Viau | 69 | 0.01 |
Oweka-Arac Ongwen | 56 | 0.01 |
Jack Weenen | 52 | 0.01 |
Total | 980,177 | 100.00 |
Candidates
At the close of nominations on September 12, 2014, 67 candidates were registered as per the City of Toronto website.[http://app.toronto.ca/vote/searchCandidateByOfficeType.do?criteria.officeType=1 MyVote] Eighteen candidates had withdrawn including incumbent mayor Rob Ford. Two of the candidates who withdrew ended up re-registering and subsequently withdrawing again.
=Registered candidates=
=Withdrawn=
- Glenn Boque – withdrew on September 12
- James Dalzell – withdrew on August 7
- Ryan Doherty – withdrew on August 27
- Ryan Emond – withdrew on August 22
- Rob Ford – the incumbent mayor withdrew on September 12 after being hospitalized with an abdominal tumour and registered to run for city councillor in Ward 2. He endorsed his brother Doug Ford for mayor.{{cite web |url=https://calgary.citynews.ca/2014/09/12/rob-ford-withdraws-from-mayoral-race/ |title=Rob Ford withdraws from mayoral race | CityNews |website=CityNews |access-date=22 May 2022 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20140912170641/http://www.citynews.ca/2014/09/12/rob-ford-withdraws-from-mayoral-race/ |archive-date=12 September 2014 |url-status=live}}
- James French – withdrew on September 11
- Norm Gardner – former city councillor and Toronto Police Services chair, withdrew on September 4
- Happy Happy – withdrew on April 16; re-registered on June 12 and then withdrew again on September 12
- Greg Isaacs – withdrew on February 13
- Robin Lawrance – withdrew on June 30
- Jim McMillan – withdrew on June 30
- Waldemar (Wally) Schwauss – withdrew on May 22; re-registered on July 4; withdrew again on August 19, and re-registered again on September 8.
- Brent Smyth – withdrew on September 9
- David Soknacki – withdrew September 10, saying that his support wasn't growing fast enough and it wouldn't be fair to continue asking volunteers to run an unsuccessful campaign{{cite web|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/david-soknacki-quits-toronto-mayoral-race-1.2761356|title=David Soknacki quits Toronto mayoral race|publisher=CBC News|date=September 9, 2014|access-date=September 10, 2014}}
- Karen Stintz – Ward 16 city councillor and former TTC chair withdrew on August 21 without endorsing another candidate.{{cite news |url=http://news.nationalpost.com/2014/08/20/is-karen-stintz-dropping-out-of-toronto-mayoral-race-campaign-team-has-no-comment-about-speculation/ |newspaper=National Post |title=Karen Stintz drops out of Toronto mayoral race, says she is 'disappointed' |first1=Natalie |last1=Alcoba |first2=Josh |last2=Visser |date=August 20, 2014 |access-date=August 21, 2014}}
- Sarah Thomson – withdrew on September 9 and registered to run for city councillor in Ward 20.{{cite news |title=Sarah Thomson drops out of mayoral race |url=https://www.thestar.com/news/city_hall/toronto2014election/2014/09/09/sarah_thomson_drops_out_of_mayoral_race.html |first=Jennifer |last=Pagliaro |newspaper=Toronto Star |date=September 9, 2014}}
- Richard Underhill – withdrew on September 12 and endorsed Olivia Chow
=Declined to run=
- Margaret Atwood, a Canadian author. Member of the Green Party. Got into an altercation with Rob Ford in 2011–2012 over closings of several libraries. Stated she's "not running for mayor yet" and later said she would not run.{{cite web|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/toronto/margaret-atwood-quips-back-at-ford-im-not-running-for-mayor-yet/article594991/|title=Margaret Atwood quips back at Ford: 'I'm not running for mayor yet'|publisher=Globe and Mail|date=August 2, 2011|access-date=February 7, 2014}}
- Nikki Benz, adult film performer raised in Etobicoke. Announced that she intended to register on National Masturbation Day, May 28, however her expired Ontario driver's licence was not accepted as proof of address and her registration could not be processed.{{cite news |url=http://www.torontosun.com/2014/05/28/nikki-benz-registers-to-run-for-mayor |title=Nikki Benz gets rough ride registering to run for mayor |first=Don |last=Peat |newspaper=Toronto Sun |date=May 28, 2014 |access-date=May 30, 2014}}
- Shelley Carroll – Councillor for Ward 33 Don Valley East (2003–present), former Chair of the Budget Committee (2006–2010) and former Toronto District School Board trustee (2000–2003).{{cite news |url=https://www.thestar.com/news/city_hall/2012/03/30/adam_vaughan_shelley_carroll_consider_mayoral_run_in_2014.html |title=Adam Vaughan, Shelley Carroll consider mayoral run in 2014 |date=May 30, 2012 |access-date=January 3, 2014 |first=David |last=Rider |newspaper=Toronto Star}} Carroll registered her candidacy for re-election as Councillor for Ward 33 on February 21, 2014.
- Angela Kennedy, Toronto Catholic School Board Trustee for Ward 11 (2000–present), and former chair of the Board (2009–2010). Stated that she will not run for mayor, as she instead will be seeking the provincial seat of Don Valley East.{{cite web|url=http://angelakennedy.ca/|title=Kennedy Message to Riding Association|publisher=Don Valley East Conservative Riding Association|date=September 11, 2013|access-date=October 26, 2013}}
- Sheldon Levy, President and Vice Chancellor of Ryerson University (now Toronto Metropolitan University) since 2005, who sparked interest from many when announcing that he was stepping down from that position, after 10 years, in 2015. He consistently denied the rumour that he was running for mayor.{{cite news |url=http://theeyeopener.com/2013/05/eye-exclusive-levy-not-running-for-mayor/ |title=Eye Exclusive: Levy not running for mayor |newspaper=The Eye Opener |first1=Lindsay |last1=Boeckl |first2=Sean |last2=Westelaar |date=May 30, 2013 |access-date=April 2, 2014}} Toronto Life magazine calls Levy "The Best Mayor Toronto Never Had".{{cite news |url=http://www.torontolife.com/informer/people/2013/12/09/sheldon-levy-ryerson-city-changing/ |title=Sheldon Levy's six most city-changing moments as Ryerson honcho |newspaper=Toronto Life |first=Steve |last=Kupferman |date=December 9, 2013 |access-date=April 2, 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140407094854/http://www.torontolife.com/informer/people/2013/12/09/sheldon-levy-ryerson-city-changing/ |archive-date=April 7, 2014 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}
- Denzil Minnan-Wong – Councillor for Ward 34 Don Valley East; first elected to Toronto City Council in 1997. Chair of the Public Works and Infrastructure Committee, a member of the Executive Committee and a supporter of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario. Was rumoured{{cite news|title=Toronto 2014: The municipal election has already begun|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2013/10/25/toronto_2014_the_municipal_election_has_already_begun.html|access-date=October 28, 2013|newspaper=Toronto Star|date=October 25, 2013}} to be considering running for mayor; registered to run for his council position on April 24, 2014.{{cite news |url=http://news.nationalpost.com/2014/04/24/denzil-minnan-wong-councillor-and-rob-ford-critic-confirms-he-wont-be-running-for-mayor/ |title=Denzil Minnan-Wong, councillor and Rob Ford critic, confirms he won't be running for mayor |newspaper=National Post |first=Natalie |last=Alcoba |date=April 24, 2014 |access-date=April 28, 2014}}
- Bob Rae, former MP for Toronto Centre (2008–2013), interim leader of the Liberal Party of Canada (2011–2013), and Premier of Ontario (1990–1995), ruled out running for mayor of Toronto when he announced his resignation as an MP on June 19, 2013.{{cite web|url=https://www.cbc.ca/amp/1.1304493|title=Bob Rae quits as MP in 'very emotional' decision|publisher=CBC News|date=June 19, 2013|access-date=July 16, 2013}}
- George Smitherman, former MPP for Toronto Centre (1999–2010), Deputy Premier of Ontario (2007–2010), and 2010 mayoral candidate. Endorsed Olivia Chow.{{cite web|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/city_hall/2013/12/08/george_smitherman_deepa_mehta_endorse_olivia_chow_for_mayor.html|title=Smitherman endorses Olivia Chow for Mayor|publisher=Toronto Star|date=December 8, 2013|access-date=December 20, 2013}}
- Adam Vaughan – Councillor for Ward 20 Trinity—Spadina (2006–present) and former Citytv/CP24 journalist. Instead, ran and was elected to the House of Commons of Canada in the Trinity—Spadina federal by-election.{{cite news|title=Adam Vaughan to run for Liberals in federal byelection: Tim Harper|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2014/04/17/adam_vaughan_to_run_for_liberals_in_federal_byelection.html|access-date=April 17, 2014|newspaper=Toronto Star|date=April 17, 2014}}
Issues
According to Nanos Research opinion poll conducted in July 2014 during the election campaign, the main issues concerning the voters were: public transit, high property taxes, jobs and the local economy and traffic.{{cite web |url=http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLTOR-S14-T610.pdf |publisher=Nanos Research |title=Snapshot: Toronto Mayoral Race |date=July 2014 |access-date=5 September 2014 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140714170609/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLTOR-S14-T610.pdf |archive-date=July 14, 2014 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}
=Public transit=
Chow's transit strategy focused on buses under the slogan of "Better bus service. Now." Some of the details included "more comfort and dignity" to bus commuters and adding 10% capacity during peak periods.{{cite news|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/city_hall/toronto2014election/2014/07/29/the_transit_wars_how_john_tory_olivia_chow_are_selling_their_plans.html |work=The Star |title=The transit wars: How John Tory, Olivia Chow are selling their plans |date=29 July 2014 |access-date=5 September 2014}} Rob Ford's plan revolved around subway expansion, building 32 km of subway at an estimated cost of $9 billion.{{cite news|url=http://www.torontosun.com/2014/09/03/rob-fords-9b-subway-heavy-transit-plan |publisher=Toronto Sun |title=Rob Ford reveals his $9B subway-heavy transit plan |date=3 September 2014 |access-date=5 September 2014}} Doug Ford's policy mirrors mayor's pro-subway agenda. Tory presented his SmartTrack plan for transit – a 53-kilometre, 22-stop network that would run on existing commuter rail tracks.{{cite news|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/toronto/rob-ford-says-his-conflict-of-interest-is-zero/article20353001/ |publisher=Globe and Mail |title=John Tory a hit with business-friendly audience |date=4 September 2014 |access-date=5 September 2014}}
=Property taxes=
Chow proposed a 1% hike on the levy charged to properties sold for over $2 million.{{cite news|url=http://www.citynews.ca/2014/09/02/chow-proposes-increased-land-transfer-tax-on-properties-over-2m/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140906032451/http://www.citynews.ca/2014/09/02/chow-proposes-increased-land-transfer-tax-on-properties-over-2m/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=September 6, 2014 |publisher=City News |title=Chow proposes increased land transfer tax on properties over $2M |date=2 September 2014 |access-date=5 September 2014}} Rob Ford promised to keep property taxes "well below" the rate of inflation.{{cite news|url=http://globalnews.ca/news/1504898/ford-wants-low-taxes-more-subways-offers-no-plan-to-fund-them/ |publisher=Global News |title=Ford wants low taxes, more subways – offers no plan to fund them |date=12 August 2014 |access-date=5 September 2014}} Tory pledged to keep property-tax increases within the rate of inflation.{{cite news |url=http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2014/05/08/john-tory-my-plan-for-toronto/ |publisher=National Post |title=John Tory: My plan for Toronto |date=8 May 2014 |access-date=5 September 2014 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20140508143959/http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2014/05/08/john-tory-my-plan-for-toronto/ |archive-date=May 8, 2014 |url-status=dead |df=mdy-all }}
=Jobs and economy=
Debates
class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" |
style="background:#e9e9e9;"
! colspan="5"| List of Debates |
style="width:10%"|Date
!Hosted by !Participants !Moderator !Ref |
---|
February 5
|Campus student union of University of Toronto Scarborough campus |R. Ford, Gore, Johannes, Soknacki, and Underhill |Vice-president of the student union |
March 26
|Hosted and televised by CityNews |Chow, R. Ford, Soknacki, Stintz and Tory |
March 27
|Ted Rogers School of Management at Ryerson University |R. Ford, Soknacki, Stintz and Tory |Ralph Lean |
May 27
|National Ethnic Press and Media Council of Canada |Baskin, Chow, Lee, Nicula, Sniedzins, Soknacki, Stintz, Thompson and Tory |
June 3
|Chow, Soknacki, Stintz and Tory |Sean Mallen |
July 15
|Chow, R. Ford, Soknacki, Stintz and Tory |Chris Selley |{{cite news|url=http://www.insidetoronto.com/news-story/4620312-mayoral-debate-set-for-scarborough/ |title=Mayoral debate set for Scarborough |date=8 July 2014 |access-date=30 July 2014}}{{better source needed|date=July 2014}} |
July 28
|Parkview Hills Community Association of East York |Chow, R. Ford, Soknacki, Stintz and Tory | |
August 21
|Heritage Toronto at the Cathedral Centre |Chow, Soknacki and Tory | |
August 29
| The Diversity Advancement Network at the Novotel hotel in North York |Chow, R. Ford, Lee, Renée, Soknacki and Tory | |
September 4
| Toronto Region Board of Trade and The Globe and Mail |Chow, R. Ford, Soknacki and Tory | |
September 9
| National Congress of Italian-Canadians at a seniors' facility in North York |Chow, R. Ford and Tory | |
September 12
|Ontario Home Builders’ Association at the Westin Prince Hotel |Chow and Tory | |
September 17
|Chow and Tory | |
September 23
|York Memorial Collegiate Institute |Chow, D. Ford and Tory | |
September 26
|Chow and Tory | |
September 29
|ArtsVote at TIFF Bell Lightbox |Baskin, Chow, D. Ford, Goldkind and Tory | |
October 1
|Joseph J. Piccininni community centre in Corso Italia |Chow, D. Ford, Goldkind and Tory | |
October 5
|UJA Federation of Greater Toronto and the Centre for Israel and Jewish Affairs at Tanenbaum Community Hebrew Academy of Toronto |Chow, D. Ford, Goldkind and Tory | |
October 8
|Chow, Goldkind and Tory | |
October 8
|Chow, D. Ford and Tory | |
October 14
|Chow, D. Ford and Tory | |
October 16
|CBC |Chow, D. Ford and Tory |
Opinion polls
class="wikitable sortable" |
style="background:#e9e9e9;"
!width=15%|Polling firm !width=20%|Last date of polling ! style="width:5%;" class="unsortable"|Link ! style= "background-color: #4700B8;" align="center"| Chow ! style= "background-color: #0066CC;" align="center"| Doug Ford, Jr. ! style= "background-color: #33CC66;" align="center"| Tory ! style= "background-color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent}};" align="center"| Other !width=15%|Don't know/ |
rowspan=1 | Forum Research
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-10-25}} | rowspan=1 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014%2010%2026)%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |21 |32 |44 |3 |— |
rowspan=1 | Ipsos-Reid
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-10-23}} | rowspan=1 | [https://web.archive.org/web/20141026150030/http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=13999 PDF] |25 |31 |42 |— |— |
rowspan=2 | Mainstreet Technologies
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-10-23}} | rowspan=2 | [https://www.scribd.com/doc/244228439/Mainstreet-Toronto-Mayoral-Poll-October-23 Scribd] |20 |32 |38 |3 |7 |
22
|34 |42 |3 |— |
rowspan=1 | Forum Research
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-10-20}} | rowspan=1 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014%2010%2020)%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |25 |29 |43 |3 |— |
rowspan=2 | Mainstreet Technologies
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-10-17}} | rowspan=2 | [https://web.archive.org/web/20141020225209/http://www.mainstreettechnologies.ca/latest-toronto-mayoral-poll-2/ Scribd] |22 |29 |38 |3 |8 |
24
|32 |43 |3 |— |
rowspan=1 | Forum Research
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-10-14}} | rowspan=1 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014%2010%2015)%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |23 |33 |39 |4 |— |
rowspan=1 | Forum Research
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-10-6}} | rowspan=1 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014%2010%2006)%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |22 |37 |39 |2 |— |
rowspan=2 | Mainstreet Technologies
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-10-5}} | rowspan=2 | [https://www.scribd.com/doc/242035582/Toronto-October-6-Mayoral-Poll Scribd] |19 |28 |42 |— |11 |
22
|31 |47 |— |— |
rowspan=1 | Forum Research
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-9-29}} | rowspan=1 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014%2009%2029)%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |20 |33 |43 |3 |— |
rowspan=2 | Mainstreet Technologies
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-9-28}} | rowspan=2 | [https://www.scribd.com/doc/241314474/Toronto-Mayoral-Poll-September-29 Scribd] |21 |30 |37 |— |12 |
24
|34 |42 |— |— |
rowspan=1 | Ipsos-Reid
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-9-26}} | rowspan=1 | [https://web.archive.org/web/20160303212417/http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=13916 PDF] |26 |26 |48 |— |— |
rowspan=2 | Forum Research
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-9-22}} | rowspan=2 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014%2009%2022)%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |25 |31 |38 |1 |4 |
24
|30 |38 |4 ({{nowrap|Goldkind 3}}) |4 |
rowspan=2 | Mainstreet Technologies
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-9-21}} | rowspan=2 | [https://www.scribd.com/doc/240548385/Mainstreet-Toronto-Mayoral-Poll-September-22 Scribd] |25 |23 |40 |— |11 |
28
|26 |46 |— |— |
rowspan=2 | Nanos Research
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-9-20}} | rowspan=2 | [https://web.archive.org/web/20150317171948/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLTOR-S14-T617.pdf PDF] |22 |25 |46 |— |8 |
24
|27 |49 |— |— |
rowspan=1 | Ipsos-Reid
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-9-16}} | rowspan=1 | [http://www.cp24.com/polopoly_fs/1.2010076!/httpFile/file.pdf PDF] |29 |28 |43 |— |— |
rowspan=2 | Mainstreet Technologies
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-9-12}} | rowspan=2 | [https://web.archive.org/web/20140913214848/http://mainstreetzone.mainstreettechno.netdna-cdn.com/mainstreet/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Mainstreet-Toronto-Mayoral-and-Ward-2-September-13.pdf PDF] |27 |16 |45 |— |13 |
30
|18 |51 |— |— |
rowspan=1 | Forum Research
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-9-12}} | rowspan=1 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20%282014%2009%2012%29%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |19 |34 |41 |3 |3 |
class="wikitable collapsible sortable collapsed" |
style="background:#e9e9e9;"
! width=750px, colspan="10"| Opinion polls prior to registration deadline |
style="background:#e9e9e9;"
!width=20%|Polling firm !width=20%|Last date of polling ! style="width:5%;" class="unsortable"|Link ! style="background-color: #4700B8;" align="center"| Chow ! style="background-color: #0066CC;" align="center"| Rob Ford ! style="background-color: #E6E64C;" align="center"| Soknacki ! style="background-color: #FFD320;" align="center"| Stintz ! style="background-color: #33CC66;" align="center"| Tory ! style="background-color:{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent}};" align="center"| Other !width=15%|Don't know/ |
rowspan=3 | Forum Research
| rowspan=3 | {{dts|2014-9-8}} | rowspan=3 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Horserace%20News%20Release%20(2014%2009%2008)%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |— |30 |— |— |57 |9 |4 |
24
|30 |— |— |41 |2 |3 |
21
|28 |6 |— |40 |1 |4 |
rowspan=2 | Nanos Research
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-8-31}} | rowspan=2 | [https://web.archive.org/web/20140911001710/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLTOR-S14-T613.pdf PDF] |26 |28 |3 |— |42 |{{nowrap|Thomson 1}} |— |
21
|23 |3 |— |34 |{{nowrap|Thomson 1}} |17 |
rowspan=2 | Forum Research
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-8-26}} | rowspan=2 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Municipal%20Issues%20News%20Release%20(2014%2008%2026)%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |26 |31 |— |— |36 |— |7 |
23
|31 |4 |— |34 |— |7 |
rowspan=2 | Forum Research
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-8-06}} | rowspan=2 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Municipal%20Issues%20News%20Release%20(2014%2008%2006)%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |28 |30 |— |— |38 |— |4 |
25
|27 |5 |4 |35 |— |4 |
rowspan=2 | Maple Leaf Strategies
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-7-30}} | rowspan=2 | [http://mapleleafstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Tory-Leads-Ford-No-Growth-Room.pdf PDF] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140808050914/http://mapleleafstrategies.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Tory-Leads-Ford-No-Growth-Room.pdf |date=August 8, 2014 }} |31 |27 |4 |4 |35 |— |— |
26
|23 |3 |3 |30 |— |14 |
rowspan=2 | Forum Research
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-7-21}} | rowspan=2 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Municipal%20Issues%20News%20Release%20%282014%2007%2021%29%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |35 |27 |— |— |32 |— |3 |
29
|27 |5 |5 |28 |— |4 |
rowspan=1 | Nanos Research
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-7-05}} | rowspan=1 | [https://web.archive.org/web/20140714170609/http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLTOR-S14-T610.pdf PDF] |33 |22 |1 |4 |39 |{{nowrap|Thomson 2}} |— |
rowspan=4 | Forum Research
| rowspan=4 | {{dts|2014-7-02}} | rowspan=4 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Horse%20Race%20News%20Release%20(2014%2007%2002)%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |36 |26 |4 |3 |27 |— |4 |
36
|— |4 |4 |38 |— |18 |
38
|28 |— |— |30 |— |4 |
40
|— |— |— |42 |— |18 |
rowspan=4 | Forum Research
| rowspan=4 | {{dts|2014-6-23}} | rowspan=4 | [http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/TO%20Horse%20Race%20News%20Release%20%282014%2006%2024%29%20Forum%20Research.pdf PDF] |34 |27 |6 |3 |24 |— |6 |
36
|— |8 |5 |34 |— |17 |
37
|28 |— |— |29 |— |6 |
42
|— |— |— |40 |— |17 |
rowspan=6 | Forum Research
| rowspan=6 | {{dts|2014-5-21}} | rowspan=6 | [http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/94757_TO_Horserace_News_Release_%282014_05_21%29_Forum_Research.pdf PDF] |36 |24 |3 |3 |27 |— |6 |
37
|— |4 |4 |26 |D. Ford 20 |8 |
39
|— |6 |4 |36 |— |15 |
40
|— |5 |4 |33 |Kelly 4 |15 |
36
|27 |— |— |31 |— |6 |
40
|— |— |— |31 |D. Ford 21 |7 |
rowspan=3 | Forum Research
| rowspan=3 | {{dts|2014-5-1}} | rowspan=3 | [http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/66214_TO_Approval__Horserace_News_Release_%282014.05.02%29_Forum_Research.pdf PDF] |40 |25 |— |— |29 |— |7 |
34
|— |6 |6 |32 |— |22 |
33
|22 |5 |6 |27 |— |7 |
rowspan=3 | Forum Research
| rowspan=3 | {{dts|2014-4-14}} | rowspan=3 | [https://www.thestar.com/news/city_hall/toronto2014election/2014/04/15/olivia_chow_leads_again_in_toronto_mayoral_election_poll.html HTML] |34 |27 |4 |6 |24 |— |5 |
36
|30 |— |— |29 |— |5 |
38
|— |5 |5 |31 |— |21 |
rowspan=2 | Forum Research
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-3-27}} | rowspan=2 | [http://www.forumresearch.com/PollsDownload.asp?docid=1600 PDF] |33 |32 |4 |5 |21 |— |5 |
34
|— |5 |7 |32 |— |22 |
rowspan=2 | Forum Research
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-3-13}} | rowspan=2 | [https://www.thestar.com/news/city_hall/toronto2014election/2014/03/15/toronto_mayoral_election_olivia_chow_leads_pack_in_poll_done_after_launch.html HTML] |36 |28 |2 |5 |22 |— |— |
38
|28 |— |— |25 |— |— |
rowspan=3 | Forum Research
| rowspan=3 | {{dts|2014-2-24}} | rowspan=3 | [https://www.thestar.com/news/city_hall/toronto2014election/2014/02/26/toronto_mayoral_election_poll_shows_tight_early_race_among_chow_ford_tory.html HTML] |31 |31 |2 |6 |27 |— |— |
—
|33 |5 |15 |39 |— |— |
32
|32 |— |— |33 |— |— |
rowspan=2 | Forum Research
| rowspan=2 | {{dts|2014-2-9}} | rowspan=2 | [http://www.torontosun.com/2014/02/08/mayor-rob-fords-approval-rating-drops-slightly HTML] |35 |30 |3 |6 |22 |— |— |
—
|35 |16 |35 |— |— |— |
rowspan=1 | Forum Research
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-1-22}} | rowspan=1 | [http://www.forumresearch.com/PollsDownload.asp?docid=1565 PDF] |31 |30 |4 |7 |24 |— |4 |
rowspan=1 | Forum Research
| rowspan=1 | {{dts|2014-1-06}} | rowspan=1 | [http://www.forumresearch.com/PollsDownload.asp?docid=1565 PDF] |30 |35 |3 |5 |22 |— |5 |
rowspan=3 | Forum Research
| rowspan=3 | {{dts|2013-11-24}} | rowspan=3 | [http://www.torontosun.com/2013/11/24/olivia-chow-would-win-toronto-mayoral-race-poll HTML] |34 |31 |3 |7 |20 |Minnan-Wong 4 |2 |
34
|31 |4 |7 |22 |— |3 |
—
|35 |13 |40 |— |— |12 |
rowspan=4 | Ipsos-Reid
| rowspan=4 | {{dts|2013-11-12}} | rowspan=4 | [http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=13183 PDF]{{Dead link|date=April 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }} |— |33 |14 |52 |— |— |— |
—
|22 |7 |30 |41 |— |— |
44
|28 |7 |22 |— |— |— |
36
|20 |3 |13 |28 |— |— |
rowspan=4 | Forum Research
| rowspan=4 | {{dts|2013-11-04}} | rowspan=4 | [http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/58180_TO_Trial_Heats_%282013.11.04%29_Forum_Research.pdf PDF] |— |33 |8 |38 |— |— |21 |
39
|29 |6 |16 |— |— |10 |
—
|29 |4 |22 |31 |— |14 |
32
|26 |2 |10 |25 |— |7 |
rowspan=5 | Forum Research
| rowspan=5 | {{dts|2013-08-29}} | rowspan=5 | [http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/News%20Releases/78102_TO_Trial_Heats_Release_%2829082013%29_Forum_Research.pdf PDF] |57 |33 |— |— |— |— |10 |
—
|33 |— |— |50 |— |17 |
—
|40 |— |44 |— |— |16 |
—
|39 |— |— |— |{{nowrap|Minnan-Wong 36}} |25 |
39
|27 |— |5 |24 |— |4 |
rowspan=4 | Forum Research
| rowspan=4 | {{dts|2013-05-13}} | rowspan=4 | [https://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/In%20The%20News/31240_Toronto_Star_-_Olivia_Chow_would_beat_Rob_Ford_in_mayors_race_%2805132013%29.pdf PDF] |57 |36 |— |— |— |— |— |
34
|35 |— |11 |— |{{nowrap|Vaughan 13}} |— |
—
|33 |— |— |50 |— |— |
44
|27 |— |— |25 |— |— |
rowspan=3 | Forum Research
| rowspan=3 | {{dts|2013-03-21}} | rowspan=3 | [http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/In%20The%20News/03415_Toronto_Star_-_NDP_MP_Olivia_Chow_widens_lead_over_Toronto_Mayor_Rob_Ford_mayoral_poll_%2803252013%29.pdf PDF] |60 |33 |— |— |— |— |— |
43
|32 |— |— |— |{{nowrap|Vaughan 13}} |— |
47
|32 |— |— |— |{{nowrap|Carrol 8}} |— |
rowspan=4 | Forum Research
| rowspan=4 | {{dts|2013-01-25}} | rowspan=4 | [http://www.forumresearch.com/forms/News%20Archives/In%20The%20News/47398_The_Globe_and_Mail_-_Toronto_Mayor_Rob_Ford_would_lose_re-election_bid_against_Tory_Chow_or_Stintz_-_poll.pdf PDF] |— |36 |— |— |48 |— |— |
52
|40 |— |— |— |— |— |
—
|40 |— |49 |— |— |— |
—
|45 |— |— |— |{{nowrap|Vaughan 43}} |— |
style="background:#ffd;"|2010 Election
| style="background:#ffd;"|{{dts|2010-10-25}} | style="background:#ffd;"|[https://web.archive.org/web/20130522130809/http://www1.toronto.ca/wps/portal/contentonly?vgnextoid=d712c36902f5d310VgnVCM1000006cd60f89RCRD HTML] | style="background:#ffd;"|— | style="background:#ffd;"|47.11 | style="background:#ffd;"|— | style="background:#ffd;"|— | style="background:#ffd;"|— | style="background:#ffd;"|52.89 | style="background:#ffd;"|— |
Endorsements
Some of the candidates have been endorsed by the following prominent persons and media outlets:
References
{{Reflist|30em}}
External links
- {{official website|1=https://web.toronto.ca/city-government/elections/|name=City of Toronto Elections website}}
- [https://web.toronto.ca/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/97e8-election-2014-mayor-poll-by-poll-results.pdf 2014 poll-by-poll results for Mayor]
- [https://archive-it.org/collections/4707/ 2014 Toronto Mayoral Collection] – Web archive created by University of Toronto Libraries
{{Toronto elections}}