2015 Canadian federal election
{{Short description|none}}
{{pp-move|small=yes}}
{{Use Canadian English|date=January 2023}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=June 2019}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2015 Canadian federal election
| country = Canada
| type = parliamentary
| ongoing = no
| party_colour = no
| party_name = no
| previous_election = 2011 Canadian federal election
| previous_year = 2011
| election_date = {{Start date|2015|10|19}}
| next_election = 2019 Canadian federal election
| next_year = 2019
| seats_for_election = 338 seats in the House of Commons
| majority_seats = 170
| previous_mps = List of House members of the 41st Parliament of Canada
| elected_mps = List of House members of the 42nd Parliament of Canada
| opinion_polls = Opinion polling in the Canadian federal election, 2015
| turnout = {{nowrap|68.3%{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/multimedia/federal-election-voter-turnout-68-3-per-cent-highest-in-22-years-official-vote-count-1.3302064|title=Federal election voter turnout 68.3 per cent, highest in 22 years: official vote count|work=CBC News|access-date=June 3, 2016|date=November 5, 2015|last1=Schwartz|first1=Daniel|archive-date=June 25, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160625114405/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/multimedia/federal-election-voter-turnout-68-3-per-cent-highest-in-22-years-official-vote-count-1.3302064|url-status=live}} ({{increase}} 7.2 pp)}}
| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Justin Trudeau APEC 2015 (cropped).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| image1_size =
| caption1 =
| colour1 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|nohash}}
| leader1 = Justin Trudeau
| party1 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|name}}
| leader_since1 = April 14, 2013
| leaders_seat1 = Papineau
| last_election1 = 34 seats, 18.91%
| seats_before1 = 36
| seats1 = 184
| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 148
| popular_vote1 = 6,942,937
| percentage1 = 39.47%
| swing1 = {{increase}} 20.56 pp
| image2 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Stephen Harper 2014 (cropped).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| image2_size =
| caption2 =
| colour2 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|nohash}}
| leader2 = Stephen Harper
| leader_since2 = March 20, 2004
| leaders_seat2 = Calgary Heritage
| party2 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|name}}
| last_election2 = 166 seats, 39.62%
| seats_before2 = 159
| seats2 = 99
| seat_change2 = {{decrease}} 60
| popular_vote2 = 5,613,633
| percentage2 = 31.91%
| swing2 = {{decrease}} 7.71 pp
| image3 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Thomas Mulcair 2015 (cropped).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| image3_size =
| caption3 =
| colour3 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|nohash}}
| leader3 = Tom Mulcair
| leaders_seat3 = Outremont
| leader_since3 = March 24, 2012
| party3 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|name}}
| last_election3 = 103 seats, 30.63%
| seats_before3 = 95
| seats3 = 44
| seat_change3 = {{decrease}} 51
| popular_vote3 = 3,469,368
| percentage3 = 19.72%
| swing3 = {{decrease}} 10.91 pp
| image4 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Gilles Duceppe 2011 (cropped).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| image4_size =
| caption4 =
| colour4 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|nohash}}
| leader4 = Gilles Duceppe
| leaders_seat4 = Ran in Laurier—Sainte-Marie (lost)
| leader_since4 = June 10, 2015
| party4 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|name}}
| last_election4 = 4 seats, 6.04%
| seats_before4 = 2
| seats4 = 10
| seat_change4 = {{increase}} 8
| popular_vote4 = 821,144
| percentage4 = 4.67%
| swing4 = {{decrease}} 1.38 pp
| image5 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Elizabeth May 2014 (cropped).jpg|bSize = 120|cWidth = 120|cHeight = 160|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}
| image5_size =
| caption5 =
| colour5 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|nohash}}
| leader5 = Elizabeth May
| leader_since5 = August 27, 2006
| leaders_seat5 = Saanich—Gulf Islands
| party5 = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|name}}
| last_election5 = 1 seat, 3.91%
| seats_before5 = 2
| seats5 = 1
| seat_change5 = {{decrease}} 1
| popular_vote5 = 602,933
| percentage5 = 3.43%
| swing5 = {{decrease}} 0.49 pp
| map = {{Switcher
| 400px
| Results by electoral district
| 400px
| Results by province and territory
}}
| title = Prime Minister
| before_election = Stephen Harper
| before_party = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|name}}
| posttitle = Prime Minister after election
| after_election = Justin Trudeau
| after_party = {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|name}}
}}
The 2015 Canadian federal election was held on October 19, 2015, to elect the 338 members of the House of Commons of the 42nd Parliament of Canada. In accordance with the maximum four-year term under a 2007 amendment to the Canada Elections Act, the writs of election for the 2015 election were issued by Governor General David Johnston on August 4. At 11 weeks, the ensuing campaign was one of the longest in Canadian history:Only the first two election campaigns after Confederation were longer: 81 days in 1867 and 96 days in 1872. In those early days voting was staggered across the country over a period of several months, necessarily extending the length of the campaigns. Prior to 2015, the longest federal election campaign lasted 74 days, in 1926. (Canadian Press, [http://www.torontosun.com/2015/07/29/imminent-federal-election-to-be-costliest-longest-in-recent-canadian-history "Imminent federal election to be costliest, longest in recent Canadian history"] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150918194443/http://www.torontosun.com/2015/07/29/imminent-federal-election-to-be-costliest-longest-in-recent-canadian-history |date=September 18, 2015 }}. Toronto Sun, July 29, 2015) It was also the first time since 1979 that a prime minister attempted to remain in office into a fourth consecutive Parliament and the first time since 1980 that someone attempted to win a fourth term of any kind as prime minister(In both cases, it was Liberal Justin Trudeau's father, Pierre, who attempted in 1979 and succeeded in 1980)
The Liberal Party won 184 seats, forming a majority government with its leader Justin Trudeau becoming prime minister.{{cite news | url = https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-34566369 | title = Trudeau brings Liberals back on top | first = Anthony | last = Zurcher | work = BBC News | date = October 20, 2015 | access-date = October 22, 2015 | archive-date = October 21, 2015 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20151021230302/http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-34566369 | url-status = live }} Trudeau and the rest of his cabinet were sworn in on November 4, 2015.{{cite web|url=http://www.macleans.ca/politics/ottawa/when-does-justin-trudeau-become-prime-minister/|title=When does Justin Trudeau become prime minister?|first1=Patricia|last1=Treble|work=Maclean's|access-date=October 28, 2015|date=October 20, 2015|archive-date=October 23, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201023053058/https://www.macleans.ca/politics/ottawa/when-does-justin-trudeau-become-prime-minister/|url-status=live}} The Conservative Party, led by incumbent Prime Minister Stephen Harper, won 99 seats, becoming the Official Opposition after nearly a decade on the government benches. The New Democratic Party, led by Tom Mulcair, won 44 seats, becoming the third-largest party in the House of Commons, after having formed the Official Opposition following the 2011 election.{{cite news|url=https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/oct/20/justin-trudeau-set-to-become-pm-as-liberals-sweep-board-in-canada-election|work=The Guardian|title=Justin Trudeau set to become Canadian PM as Liberals sweep board in election|first=Nicky|last=Woolf|date=October 19, 2015|access-date=October 19, 2015|archive-date=July 13, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180713212132/https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/oct/20/justin-trudeau-set-to-become-pm-as-liberals-sweep-board-in-canada-election|url-status=live}} The Bloc Québécois won 10 seats, the Green Party won 1 seat, and Strength in Democracy lost all its seats.
The Liberal Party's increase of 148 seats from the previous election was the largest-ever numerical increase by a party in a Canadian election. Prior to the campaign, the Liberals had held only 36 seats—the fewest seats ever held at dissolution by any federal party that won the following election. The Liberals also became the first federal party in Canadian history to win a majority of seats without having been either the governing party or the Official Opposition in the previous parliament, and this was only the second time a party went from having the third-most seats to the most seats (the first being in 1925). It was the second largest number of seats won in a federal election for the Liberals, the best being 191 in 1949. The election also had the highest voter turnout since 1993. Every party represented in the House of Commons except the Liberal Party recorded a decrease in its popular vote share. There was an increase in voter turnout among all age groups. The largest was among eligible voters aged 18 to 24, which increased 18.3 points, to 57.1%. Elections Canada reported that this was the biggest increase in turnout among this age group since it began making demographic turnout estimates.{{Cite news |last=Grenier |first=Eric |date=June 15, 2016 |title=2015 federal election saw youth vote in unprecedented numbers |url=https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/grenier-youth-turnout-2015-1.3636290 |work=CBC News}}
Following the election, Harper conceded defeat to Trudeau and resigned as leader of the Conservative Party.{{cite web|url=http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/stephen-harper-resigns-as-conservative-leader-1.2617950|title=Stephen Harper resigns as Conservative leader|work=CTV News|access-date=October 28, 2015|last1=Dehaas|first1=Josh|date=October 19, 2015|archive-date=October 20, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151020035634/http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/stephen-harper-resigns-as-conservative-leader-1.2617950|url-status=live}} Gilles Duceppe resigned as leader of the Bloc Québécois shortly after the election on October 22, 2015. Tom Mulcair announced his intention to remain leader of the NDP, but was forced to step down in October 2017, after losing a party vote on his leadership in the spring of 2016.
Background
{{See also|Timeline of the 2015 Canadian federal election|41st Canadian Parliament|List of MPs who stood down at the 2015 Canadian federal election}}
The 2011 federal election resulted in the continuation of the incumbent Conservative government headed by Stephen Harper, while the New Democratic Party (NDP) became Official Opposition and the Liberal Party became the third party. The Bloc Québécois won four seats and the Green Party won one seat. Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff and Bloc leader Gilles Duceppe resigned shortly after failing to win their own ridings. The Bloc Québécois lost official party status by failing to attain the minimum seats needed (12).
Bob Rae was chosen as interim leader of the Liberal Party. In July 2011 Jack Layton, suffering from cancer, temporarily stepped down as leader of the NDP because of illness, indicating his intention to return for the reconvening of Parliament in September. Weeks later Layton died of cancer and was given a state funeral. In March 2012 Tom Mulcair was elected leader of the New Democratic Party. In April 2013 Justin Trudeau was elected leader of the Liberal Party. Bloc Québécois leader Daniel Paillé stepped down in December 2013 and was eventually replaced in June 2014 by Mario Beaulieu, who in turn was replaced by Duceppe in June 2015.{{cite web |url=http://www.parl.gc.ca/ParlInfo/Files/Parliamentarian.aspx?Item=ed3d4160-8a5a-4efc-a0a6-d65deeb994d9&Language=E |title=DUCEPPE, Gilles |publisher=House of Commons of Canada |access-date=August 8, 2015 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150810102600/http://www.parl.gc.ca/parlinfo/Files/Parliamentarian.aspx?Item=ed3d4160-8a5a-4efc-a0a6-d65deeb994d9&Language=E |archive-date=August 10, 2015 }} In late 2014, MPs Jean-François Larose of the NDP and Jean-François Fortin of the Bloc formed the new political party Strength in Democracy. As set forth in the Fair Representation Act,{{cite web|title=Fair Representation Act, S.C. 2011, c. 26|url=http://laws.justice.gc.ca/eng/AnnualStatutes/2011_26/page-1.html|website=laws.justice.gc.ca|publisher=Queen's Printer for Canada|access-date=January 17, 2015|date=December 16, 2011|archive-date=September 16, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150916205941/http://laws.justice.gc.ca/eng/AnnualStatutes/2011_26/page-1.html|url-status=live}} the number of seats in the House of Commons to be contested in the 42nd Canadian federal election was 338, an increase of 30 seats from the 308 seats comprising the House of Commons of Canada of the 41st Parliament of Canada, at its dissolution.{{cite news|title=30 more MPs for rebalanced House of Commons|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/30-more-mps-for-rebalanced-house-of-commons-1.994608|website=CBC News|access-date=June 8, 2014|date=October 26, 2011|archive-date=June 20, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150620213946/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/30-more-mps-for-rebalanced-house-of-commons-1.994608|url-status=live}}
Prime Minister Stephen Harper requested writs of election for a federal general election from Governor General David Johnston on August 2. The official proclamations were issued on August 4.{{cite journal|url=http://www.gazette.gc.ca/rp-pr/p2/2015/2015-08-04-x4/pdf/g2-149x4.pdf#page=3|title=Proclamation Issuing Election Writs|journal=Canada Gazette Part II|volume=149|date=August 4, 2015|access-date=October 22, 2015}} The date of the vote is determined by the fixed-date Canada Elections Act.{{cite web |url=http://www.parl.gc.ca/HousePublications/Publication.aspx?Docid=2475836&file=4 |title=Amendment to Canada Elections Act |publisher=Queen's Printer for Canada |date=November 6, 2006 |access-date=July 29, 2011 |archive-date=August 5, 2011 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20110805041409/http://www.parl.gc.ca/HousePublications/Publication.aspx?Docid=2475836&file=4 |url-status=live}} At 11 weeks, the campaign was the longest in modern Canadian history.{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-stephen-harper-confirms-start-of-11-week-federal-campaign-1.3175136|title=Canada election 2015: Stephen Harper confirms start of 11-week federal campaign|work=CBC News|date=August 2, 2015|access-date=August 2, 2015|archive-date=August 6, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150806021936/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-stephen-harper-confirms-start-of-11-week-federal-campaign-1.3175136|url-status=live}} As a result of the 2012 federal electoral redistribution, the number of electoral districts was increased to 338, with additional seats based on population assigned to Alberta (6), British Columbia (6), Ontario (15), and Quebec (3).{{cite news|last1=Aulakh|first1=Raveena|last2=Kane|first2=Laura|title=Growing population means 11 new ridings in the GTA|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2012/08/27/growing_population_means_11_new_ridings_in_the_gta.html|access-date=May 3, 2018|work=Toronto Star|date=August 27, 2012|archive-date=May 4, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180504090700/https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2012/08/27/growing_population_means_11_new_ridings_in_the_gta.html|url-status=live}}
class="wikitable" style="text-align:right"
|+ Effect of 2012 redistribution on notional number of seats held | ||||||
colspan="2"|Party
!2011 (election) !New seats !Merged seat !Adjt + !Adjt - !2011 (redistributed) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}
|34 | 2 | 2 | (2) | 36 | ||
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}
|166 | 23 | (1) | 4 | (4) | 188 | |
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row-name}}
|103 | 6 | 4 | (4) | 109 | ||
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}
|4 | 1 | (1) | 4 | |||
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}
|1 | 1 | |||||
colspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Total | 308 | 31 | (1) | 11 | (11) | 338 |
{{election table|title=Notional seats by party by province{{cite web|url= http://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=cir/trans2013&document=p41&lang=e#a41|title= Transposition of Votes – 2013 Representation Order|publisher= Elections Canada|access-date= 2015-09-28|archive-date= 2015-09-24|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20150924191920/http://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=cir/trans2013&document=p41&lang=e#a41|url-status= live}}}}
|-
! colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Party !! BC !! AB !! SK !! MB !!ON !! QC !! NB !! PE !! NS !! NL !! Territories!! Total
|-
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}
| 28 ||33 ||11 ||11 ||83 ||5 ||8 ||1 ||4 ||2 ||2 ||188
|-
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row-name}}
|11 ||1 || 2||3 ||24 ||61 ||1 || ||3 ||2 ||1 ||109
|-
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}
| 2 || ||1 || ||14 ||8 ||1 ||3 ||4 ||3 || ||36
|-
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}
| || || || || ||4 || || || || || ||4
|-
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}
| 1 || || || || || || || || || || ||1
|-
! colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Total
! style="text-align:right;" |42
! style="text-align:right;" |34
! style="text-align:right;" |14
! style="text-align:right;" |14
! style="text-align:right;" |121
! style="text-align:right;" |78
! style="text-align:right;" |10
! style="text-align:right;" |4
! style="text-align:right;" |11
! style="text-align:right;" |7
! style="text-align:right;" |3
! style="text-align:right;" |338
|}61 MPs chose to not seek reelection at the 2015 federal election, meaning they were Members of Parliament (MPs) in the 41st Parliament of Canada, but chose not to stand for election to the 42nd Parliament of Canada (in some cases after being deselected by their parties).
Campaign slogans
Election campaign
= Leaders' debates =
{{See also|Canadian leaders' debates#2015 debates}}
Traditionally, party leaders participated in at least two nationally televised debates during the federal election – at least one each in English and French. These debates were produced by a consortium of Canada's major television networks.{{cite news|url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/broadcasters-fight-back-against-federal-leaders-debate-changes/article24442646/|title=Broadcasters fight back against federal leaders' debate changes|work=The Globe and Mail|access-date=May 28, 2015|last1=Chase|first1=Steven|location=Ottawa|archive-date=May 21, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150521060329/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/broadcasters-fight-back-against-federal-leaders-debate-changes/article24442646/|url-status=live}} In May 2015, the Conservatives said they would not participate in the consortium debates and instead would take part in as many as five independently staged debates in the run-up to the fall federal election. Ultimately, the Conservatives agreed to participate in a French-language debate organized by the consortium of broadcasters as one of their five debates.{{cite news|last1=Payton|first1=Laura|title=Harper, Mulcair and Trudeau confirm participation in Munk Debates, 2nd French debate|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-ndp-debates-aug11-1.3186042|access-date=August 12, 2015|work=CBC News|date=August 12, 2015|archive-date=August 12, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150812000500/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-ndp-debates-aug11-1.3186042|url-status=live}} The New Democratic Party confirmed that Tom Mulcair would accept every debate where the prime minister was present. The NDP had previously confirmed its intention to participate in both of the consortium debates before Stephen Harper withdrew{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-ndp-threatens-to-pull-out-of-broadcasters-debates-1.3175720|title=Canada election 2015: NDP threatens to pull out of broadcasters' debates|date=July 31, 2015|work=CBC News|last1=Barton|first1=Rosemary|access-date=July 31, 2015|archive-date=August 1, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150801222749/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-ndp-threatens-to-pull-out-of-broadcasters-debates-1.3175720|url-status=live}}{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/election-debate-dates-set-by-broadcasters-without-conservatives-1.3145190|title=Election debate dates set by broadcasters without Conservatives|last=Payton|first=Laura|work=CBC News|date=July 9, 2015|access-date=August 6, 2015|archive-date=August 18, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150818124920/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/election-debate-dates-set-by-broadcasters-without-conservatives-1.3145190|url-status=live}} but ultimately only participated in the French language consortium debate which included the Conservatives. Liberal leader Justin Trudeau attended the Maclean's, Globe and Mail, and French consortium debates; and the Liberals confirmed he would attend the other debates.{{cite news |url=https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/conservatives-ndp-agree-to-globe-election-debate-on-economy/article24510188/ |title=Conservatives, NDP agree to Globe election debate on economy |work=The Globe and Mail |last1=Chase |first1=Steven |date=May 20, 2015 |access-date=May 20, 2015 |location=Ottawa |archive-date=May 24, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150524174109/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/conservatives-ndp-agree-to-globe-election-debate-on-economy/article24510188/ |url-status=live }}{{cite web|url=http://www.newswire.ca/en/story/1540825/federal-election-debate-announcement-first-ever-federal-election-debate-on-foreign-policy-proposed|title=Munk Debates – Federal Election Debate Announcement – First Ever Federal Election Debate on Foreign Policy Proposed|work=newswire.ca|access-date=August 1, 2015|archive-date=October 25, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171025131810/http://www.newswire.ca/news-releases/federal-election-debate-announcement---first-ever-federal-election-debate-on-foreign-policy-proposed-517736231.html|url-status=dead}}{{cite web |url=http://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelles/politique/2015/05/22/004-debats-electoraux-groupe-tva-accord-quatre-partis-federaux.shtml |title=Harper, Mulcair, Trudeau et Beaulieu croiseront le fer à TVA |work=Radio-Canada |date=May 22, 2015 |access-date=May 22, 2015 |archive-date=September 23, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150923090311/http://ici.radio-canada.ca/nouvelles/politique/2015/05/22/004-debats-electoraux-groupe-tva-accord-quatre-partis-federaux.shtml |url-status=live }} The Bloc Québécois attended the French language consortium debate and confirmed its attendance at the French-language TVA debate. The Green Party attended the Maclean's and French language consortium debates, and confirmed its intention to participate in the English language consortium debate.{{cite web|url=http://www.macleans.ca/politics/the-macleans-national-leaders-debate|title=A viewer's guide to the Maclean's National Leaders Debate|work=Maclean's|date=July 22, 2015|access-date=July 22, 2015|archive-date=July 26, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150726040013/http://www.macleans.ca/politics/the-macleans-national-leaders-debate/|url-status=live}}{{cite news|title=Agreement reached for televised French-language 2015 leaders debate|url=http://globalnews.ca/news/2160291/agreement-reached-for-televised-french-language-2015-leaders-debate/|access-date=September 19, 2015|work=Global News|date=August 12, 2015|archive-date=September 14, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150914162935/http://globalnews.ca/news/2160291/agreement-reached-for-televised-french-language-2015-leaders-debate/|url-status=live}} Strength in Democracy, which had the same number of seats in the House of Commons at dissolution as the Greens and Bloc Québécois, were not invited to participate in any of the televised debates. The leaders of the party objected to their exclusion and launched a petition demanding that all parties represented in Parliament be invited to the debates.{{cite web|title=Strength in Democracy demands to be present in debates|url=http://www.forcesetdemocratie.org/en/293/strength-in-democracy-demands-to-be-present-in-debates/nouvelle.html|publisher=Strength in Democracy|access-date=August 31, 2015|date=August 17, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150911223248/http://www.forcesetdemocratie.org/en/293/strength-in-democracy-demands-to-be-present-in-debates/nouvelle.html|archive-date=September 11, 2015|url-status=dead}} Other minor parties without representation in the House of Commons were not invited to participate in any of the televised debates.
= Controversies =
The second Canadian federal election to significantly incorporate social media, the 2015 campaign was notable for the rise of new avenues of scrutiny for potential candidates.{{cite news|last1=Harris|first1=Kathleen|title=How political operatives dig up dirt to take down candidates|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-vetting-candidates-media-1.3229594|access-date=December 28, 2017|work=CBC News|date=September 17, 2015|archive-date=April 4, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180404123135/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-vetting-candidates-media-1.3229594|url-status=live}} A number of damaging revelations for each of the major political parties late in the campaign led to calls for increased vetting amongst political strategists, academics and outside observers.{{cite news|last1=Young|first1=Leslie|title=How parties vet candidates, and why they sometimes miss important things|url=https://globalnews.ca/news/2209287/how-parties-vet-candidates-and-why-they-sometimes-miss-important-things/|access-date=December 28, 2017|work=Global News|date=September 8, 2015|archive-date=December 29, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171229053134/https://globalnews.ca/news/2209287/how-parties-vet-candidates-and-why-they-sometimes-miss-important-things/|url-status=live}}{{cite news|author=The Canadian Press|title=Candidates' gaffes show more social media vetting needed, experts say|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/09/11/experts-advice-on-social-media-gaffes-vette-more-but-also-chill-out.html|access-date=December 28, 2017|work=Toronto Star|date=September 11, 2015|archive-date=December 29, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171229112411/https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/09/11/experts-advice-on-social-media-gaffes-vette-more-but-also-chill-out.html|url-status=live}}{{cite news|last1=Cullen|first1=Catherine|title=Political parties look closer at candidates' social media histories after recent gaffes|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-parties-candidates-social-media-gaffes-1.3225871|access-date=December 28, 2017|work=CBC News|date=September 13, 2015|archive-date=February 2, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170202010803/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-parties-candidates-social-media-gaffes-1.3225871|url-status=live}}
Opinion polls
{{Main|Opinion polling for the 2015 Canadian federal election|Opinion polling for the 2015 Canadian federal election by constituency}}
{{Canadian federal election opinion polling|2008|2011|2015|2019|2021|byCon2=yes|byCon3=yes|byCon4=yes|byCon5=yes}}
Evolution of voting intentions during the campaign leading up to the 2015 Canadian federal election to be held on October 19, 2015. Points represent results of individual polls.
Endorsements
{{Main|Newspaper endorsements in the 2015 Canadian federal election|Endorsements from individuals and organizations in the 2015 Canadian federal election}}
Election spending
Before the campaign, there were no limits to what a political party, candidate, or third party (corporations, unions, special interest groups, etc.) can spend: spending rules are only in force after the writs have been dropped and the campaign has begun. Because the election period is set longer than the standard 37-day election period, spending limits are increased in proportion to the length of the period.{{cite web|url=http://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=pol&document=index&dir=thi/limits&lang=e|title=Elections Canada Online – Third Party Election Advertising Expenses Limits|work=elections.ca|access-date=August 3, 2015|archive-date=July 18, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150718060744/http://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=pol&document=index&dir=thi%2Flimits&lang=e|url-status=live}}
class="wikitable" style="text-align:right"
|+ Party spending limits and actual spending, 2015 vs 2011 | ||||||||||||||
rowspan="3"| Type | colspan="2" | Spending limits | colspan="6" |2015 | colspan="6" |2011{{cite web|url=http://www.punditsguide.ca/parties.php?elec=26|title=Browse Parties – 2011 General Election|author=Alice Funke|work=punditsguide.ca|access-date=August 3, 2015|archive-date=August 25, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150825203414/http://www.punditsguide.ca/parties.php?elec=26|url-status=live}} | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="text-align:center;" | rowspan="2"|2011 | {{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|background}} colspan="2" |Conservative | {{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|background}} colspan="2" |NDP | {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|background}} colspan="2" |Liberal | {{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|background}} colspan="2" |Conservative | {{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|background}} colspan="2" |NDP | {{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|background}} colspan="2" |Liberal | |||||||
style="text-align:center;"
|Amount | % | Amount | % | Amount | % | Amount | % | Amount | % | Amount | % | |||
valign="top"
|style="text-align:left;"|Political party | $54,475,840{{cite web |url=http://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=can&dir=part/pollim&document=index&lang=e |title=Elections Canada Online – Registered Political Party Preliminary Election Expenses Limit |work=elections.ca |access-date=August 10, 2015 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150815055751/http://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=can&dir=part%2Fpollim&document=index&lang=e |archive-date=August 15, 2015 }} | $21,025,793 | $29,000,000
| | $28,000,000
| | $26,000,000
| | $19,519,995 | 93% | $20,372,231 | 97% | $19,507,746 | 93% | |||
valign="top"
|style="text-align:left;"|Party candidates | $73,611,590{{cite web |url=http://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=can&dir=cand/canlim&document=index&lang=e |title=Elections Canada Online – Preliminary Candidates Election Expenses Limits |work=elections.ca |access-date=August 10, 2015 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150815061116/http://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=can&dir=cand%2Fcanlim&document=index&lang=e |archive-date=August 15, 2015 }} | $28,244,499 | $21,000,000
| | $11,000,000
| | $15,000,000
| | $19,655,136 | 70% | $7,117,962 | 25% | $14,517,363 | 41% | |||
valign="top"
|style="text-align:left;"|Total | $128,087,430 | $49,270,292 | $39,175,131 | 80% | $27,490,193 | 56% | $34,025,109 | 69% | ||||||
style="text-align:center;"
|style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Candidates spending > 75% of limit |colspan="2"| |colspan="2"| |colspan="2"| |colspan="2"|173 |colspan="2"|44 |colspan="2"|91 | ||||||||||||||
style="text-align:center;"
|style="text-align:left;" colspan="3"|Candidates spending > 50% of limit |colspan="2"| |colspan="2"| |colspan="2"| |colspan="2"|228 |colspan="2"|70 |colspan="2"|169 |
= Reimbursements for political parties and candidates =
Political parties receive a reimbursement for 50 per cent of their election expenses during the writ period. Similarly, candidates (through their official agents) receive a reimbursement of 60 per cent of their election expenses during the writ period. Both reimbursements are publicly funded.{{cite web|url=http://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=ces&document=part6&lang=e|title=Elections Canada Online – The Electoral System of Canada|work=elections.ca|access-date=August 3, 2015|archive-date=August 20, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150820005709/http://elections.ca/content.aspx?section=res&dir=ces&document=part6&lang=e|url-status=live}}
= Fundraising =
Elections Canada reports that during the financial quarter preceding the writ period, the Conservatives received $7.4 million in contributions, the NDP received $4.5 million, and the Liberals received $4.0 million.{{cite web|url=http://www.elections.ca/WPAPPS/WPF/EN/PP/SelectParties?act=C23&period=1&returntype=1|title=Financial Reports: Registered Party Financial Transactions Return|work=elections.ca|access-date=July 30, 2015|archive-date=August 20, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150820123251/http://elections.ca/WPAPPS/WPF/EN/PP/SelectParties?act=C23&period=1&returntype=1|url-status=live}} The NDP had the most individual donors at 48,314, followed by the Conservatives at 45,532 and then the Liberals at 32,789.{{cite web|url=https://ipolitics.ca/2015/07/30/ndp-fundraising-up-conservatives-still-ahead/|title=NDP fundraising up, Conservatives still ahead|work=iPolitics|date=July 30, 2015|last1=Duggan|first1=Kyle|access-date=July 30, 2015|archive-date=October 20, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151020111417/http://ipolitics.ca/2015/07/30/ndp-fundraising-up-conservatives-still-ahead/|url-status=live}}
The New Democratic Party stated that it collected greater than $9 million in the third quarter of 2015, the most it ever received from donors, and greater than the quarterly record established by the Conservative Party in 2011.{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-ndp-fundraising-record-1.3252990|title=NDP says $9M raised in 3rd quarter a Canadian record — for now|date=October 1, 2015|work=CBC News|access-date=October 1, 2015|last1=Dyer|first1=Evan|archive-date=October 2, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151002132858/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-ndp-fundraising-record-1.3252990|url-status=live}}
At the riding level, financial reports in each of the 338 constituencies showed that in Conservative electoral district associations ended 2014 with net assets totalling more than $19 million, Liberal riding associations reported a total of about $8 million in net assets, and NDP associations more than $4.4 million.{{cite news|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/riding-analysis-shows-spending-for-longer-campaign-favours-tory-candidates-1.3168680|title=Riding analysis shows spending for longer campaign favours Tory candidates|date=July 27, 2015|work=CBC News|access-date=August 3, 2015|last1=Bryden|first1=Joan|last2=Press|first2=Jordan|agency=The Canadian Press|archive-date=July 29, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150729233255/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/riding-analysis-shows-spending-for-longer-campaign-favours-tory-candidates-1.3168680|url-status=live}}
Individuals are able to give up to $1,500 to each political party and an additional $1,500 to all the registered associations, nomination contestants and candidates of each registered party combined.{{cite web|url=http://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=pol&dir=lim/post2015&document=index&lang=e|title=Elections Canada Online – Contribution limits as of January 1, 2015|work=elections.ca|access-date=August 3, 2015|archive-date=August 20, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150820000406/http://elections.ca/content.aspx?section=pol&dir=lim%2Fpost2015&document=index&lang=e|url-status=live}}
= Registered third parties =
A person or group must register as a third party immediately after incurring election advertising expenses totalling $500 or more.{{cite web |url=http://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=thi&dir=42ge&document=index&lang=e |title=Elections Canada Online – Election advertising handbook for Third Parties, Financial Agents and Auditors (EC 20227) – July 2015 |work=elections.ca |access-date=August 10, 2015 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150815055756/http://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=thi&dir=42ge&document=index&lang=e |archive-date=August 15, 2015 }} There are strict limits on advertising expenses, and specific limits that can be incurred to promote or oppose the election of one or more candidates in a particular electoral district. There were 112 registered third parties in the 2015 election.{{cite web |url=http://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=thi&dir=thilim&document=index&lang=e |title=Elections Canada Online – Limits on Election Advertising Expenses Incurred by Third Parties |work=elections.ca |access-date=August 10, 2015 |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150815060115/http://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=thi&dir=thilim&document=index&lang=e |archive-date=August 15, 2015 }} There was a $150,000 election advertising expenses limit. Of that amount, no more than $8,788 could be incurred to promote or oppose the election of one or more candidates in a particular electoral district.
Results
{{main|Results of the 2015 Canadian federal election|Results of the 2015 Canadian federal election by riding}}
File:2015 Canadian parliament.svg
File:Canadian Federal Election Cartogram 2015.svg
File:CanadianFederalElection2015PollingStation.jpg
{{election table||Summary of the 2015 Canadian federal election}}
|- style="text-align:center;background-color:#e9e9e9"
! rowspan="2" colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Party
! rowspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Party leader
! rowspan="2" | Candidates
! colspan="6" | Seats
! colspan="5" | Popular vote
|- style="text-align:center;background-color:#e9e9e9"
| 2011
| style="font-size:80%" | Dissol.
| style="font-size:80%" |Redist.{{efn|The party totals are theoretical. They are the transposition of the 2011 district results redistributed to the new districts formed in 2015.}}
| 2015
| style="font-size:80%" | % change
from 2011
| style="font-size:80%" | % seats
| style="font-size:80%" | Votes
| style="font-size:80%" | Vote
change
| style="font-size:80%" |%
| style="font-size:80%" | pp change
| style="font-size:80%" | % where
running
|-
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Justin Trudeau
| style="text-align:right;" |338{{efn|Includes Liberal candidate Cheryl Thomas from Victoria, who publicly withdrew from the election after the final list of candidates was released and thus remained on the ballot as the Liberal candidate.}}
| style="text-align:right;" |34
| style="text-align:right;" |36
| style="text-align:right;" |36
| style="text-align:right;" |184
| style="text-align:right;" |+{{#expr:(184/34-1)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |{{#expr:(184/338)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |6,942,937
| style="text-align:right;" |+4,159,861
| style="text-align:right;" |39.47%
| style="text-align:right;" |+20.57pp
| style="text-align:right;" |39.47%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Stephen Harper
| style="text-align:right;" |338{{efn|Includes Conservative candidate Jagdish Grewal from Mississauga—Malton, who was expelled by the Conservative Party after the final list of candidates was released and thus remained on the ballot as the Conservative candidate.}}
| style="text-align:right;" |166
| style="text-align:right;" |159
| style="text-align:right;" |188
| style="text-align:right;" |99
| style="text-align:right;" |{{#expr:(99/166-1)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |{{#expr:(99/338)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |5,613,633
| style="text-align:right;" |−221,637
| style="text-align:right;" |31.91%
| style="text-align:right;" |−7.72pp
| style="text-align:right;" |31.91%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Tom Mulcair
| style="text-align:right;" |338
| style="text-align:right;" |103
| style="text-align:right;" |95{{efn|name=jnm|Does not include José Núñez-Melo, an incumbent MP who was denied the NDP nomination in Vimy after the writ was dropped, and subsequently announced he was running as a Green candidate.}}
| style="text-align:right;" |109
| style="text-align:right;" |44
| style="text-align:right;" |{{#expr:(44/103-1)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |{{#expr:(44/338)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |3,469,368
| style="text-align:right;" |−1,043,043
| style="text-align:right;" |19.72%
| style="text-align:right;" |−10.92pp
| style="text-align:right;" |19.73%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Gilles Duceppe
| style="text-align:right;" |78
| style="text-align:right;" |4
| style="text-align:right;" |2
| style="text-align:right;" |4
| style="text-align:right;" |10
| style="text-align:right;" |+{{#expr:(10/4-1)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |{{#expr:(10/338)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |821,144
| style="text-align:right;" |−70,281
| style="text-align:right;" |4.67%
| style="text-align:right;" |−1.39pp
| style="text-align:right;" |19.36%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Elizabeth May
| style="text-align:right;" |336
| style="text-align:right;" |1
| style="text-align:right;" |2{{efn|name=jnm}}
| style="text-align:right;" |1
| style="text-align:right;" |1
| style="text-align:right;" |{{#expr:(1/1-1)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |{{#expr:(1/338)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |602,933
| style="text-align:right;" |+30,838
| style="text-align:right;" |3.43%
| style="text-align:right;" |−0.46pp
| style="text-align:right;" |3.44%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|row}}
| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2" |Independent and No Affiliation
| style="text-align:right;" |80
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |8
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |49,616
| style="text-align:right;" |−23,245
| style="text-align:right;" |0.28%
| style="text-align:right;" |−0.21pp
| style="text-align:right;" |1.18%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Libertarian|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Tim Moen
| style="text-align:right;" |72
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |36,775
| style="text-align:right;" |+30,773
| style="text-align:right;" |0.21%
| style="text-align:right;" |+0.17pp
| style="text-align:right;" |0.93%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Christian Heritage|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Rod Taylor
| style="text-align:right;" |30
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |15,232
| style="text-align:right;" |−3,678
| style="text-align:right;" |0.09%
| style="text-align:right;" |−0.04pp
| style="text-align:right;" |0.97%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Marxist-Leninist|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Anna Di Carlo
| style="text-align:right;" |70
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |8,838
| style="text-align:right;" |−1,087
| style="text-align:right;" |0.05%
| style="text-align:right;" |−0.02pp
| style="text-align:right;" |0.23%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|FD|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |{{nowrap|Jean-François Fortin}}
| style="text-align:right;" |17
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |2{{efn|Does not include Montcalm MP Manon Perreault, who sat as an independent before the writ was dropped, after which she announced her candidacy for Strength in Democracy.}}
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |8,274
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.05%
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.90%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Rhinoceros|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Sébastien Corriveau
| style="text-align:right;" |27
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |7,263
| style="text-align:right;" |+3,463
| style="text-align:right;" |0.04%
| style="text-align:right;" |+0.02pp
| style="text-align:right;" |0.52%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Progressive Canadian|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Sinclair Stevens
| style="text-align:right;" |8
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |4,476
| style="text-align:right;" |−1,314
| style="text-align:right;" |0.03%
| style="text-align:right;" |−0.01pp
| style="text-align:right;" |1.03%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Communist|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Miguel Figueroa
| style="text-align:right;" |26
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |4,393
| style="text-align:right;" |+1,499
| style="text-align:right;" |0.02%
| style="text-align:right;" |+0.01pp
| style="text-align:right;" |0.32%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|AAEVPC|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Liz White
| style="text-align:right;" |8
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |1,699
| style="text-align:right;" |+355
| style="text-align:right;" |0.01%
| style="text-align:right;" |–
| style="text-align:right;" |0.36%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Marijuana|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Blair Longley
| style="text-align:right;" |8
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |1,557
| style="text-align:right;" |−199
| style="text-align:right;" |0.01%
| style="text-align:right;" |–
| style="text-align:right;" |0.34%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Democratic Advancement|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Stephen Garvey
| style="text-align:right;" |4
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |1,187
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.01%
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.62%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Pirate|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Roderick Lim
| style="text-align:right;" |5
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |908
| style="text-align:right;" |−2,289
| style="text-align:right;" |0.01%
| style="text-align:right;" |−0.02pp
| style="text-align:right;" |0.32%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Canadian Action|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Jeremy Arney
| style="text-align:right;" |3
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |401
| style="text-align:right;" |−1,550
| style="text-align:right;" |0.00%
| style="text-align:right;" |−0.01pp
| style="text-align:right;" |0.24%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Canada Party|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Jim Pankiw
| style="text-align:right;" |1
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |271
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.00%
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.72%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Seniors|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Daniel J. Patton
| style="text-align:right;" |1
| {{N/A}}
| {{N/A}}
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |157
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.00%
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.29%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|ADN|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |François Bélanger
| style="text-align:right;" |1
| {{N/A}}
| {{N/A}}
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |136
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.00%
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.22%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Bridge|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |David Berlin
| style="text-align:right;" |1
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |122
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.00%
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.29%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|PACT|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Michael Nicula
| style="text-align:right;" |1
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| {{N/A}}
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |91
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.00%
| style="text-align:right;" |*
| style="text-align:right;" |0.17%
{{Canadian party colour|CA|United|row-name}}
| style="text-align:left;" |Bob Kesic
| style="text-align:right;" |1
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |57
| style="text-align:right;" |−237
| style="text-align:right;" |0.00%
| style="text-align:right;" |−0.00pp
| style="text-align:right;" |0.10%
|-{{Canadian party colour|CA|Vacant|row}}
| colspan="3" style="text-align:left;" |Vacant
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |4
| style="text-align:right;" |0
| style="text-align:right;" |0
|colspan="7" {{N/A}}
|-
| colspan="3" style="text-align:left;" |Total
| style="text-align:right;" |1,792
| style="text-align:right;" |308
| style="text-align:right;" |308
| style="text-align:right;" |338
| style="text-align:right;" |338
| style="text-align:right;" |+{{#expr:(338/308-1)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:right;" |{{#expr:(338/338)*100 round 2}}%
| style="text-align:center;" |17,591,468
| style="text-align:center;" |+2,870,888
| style="text-align:center;" |100%
| style="text-align:center;" |
| style="text-align:center;" |100%
|-
| style="text-align:left;" colspan="15" | Source: [http://www.elections.ca/res/rep/off/ovr2015app/home.html Elections Canada] (Final results)
{{end}}
{{Bar box
|title=Popular vote
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=600px
|barwidth=410px
|bars=
{{Bar percent|Liberal|{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal}}|39.47}}
{{Bar percent|Conservative|{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative}}|31.91}}
{{Bar percent|New Democratic|{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP}}|19.73}}
{{Bar percent|Bloc Québécois|{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ}}|4.67}}
{{Bar percent|Green|{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green}}|3.43}}
{{Bar percent|Others|{{Canadian party colour|CA|Inde}}|0.79}}
}}
{{Bar box
|title=Seat totals
|titlebar=#ddd
|width=600px
|barwidth=410px
|bars=
{{Bar percent|Liberal|{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal}}|54.44}}
{{Bar percent|Conservative|{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative}}|29.29}}
{{Bar percent|New Democratic|{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP}}|13.02}}
{{Bar percent|Bloc Québécois|{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ}}|2.96}}
{{Bar percent|Green|{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green}}|0.3}}
}}
class="wikitable" style="text-align:right"
|+ Elections to the 42nd Parliament of Canada – seats won/lost by party, 2011–2015 | |||||||
rowspan="2" colspan="2"|Party
!rowspan="2"|2011 !colspan="5"|Gain from (loss to) !rowspan="2"|2015 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|background}} |Lib
! {{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|background}} |Con ! {{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|background}} |NDP ! {{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|background}} |BQ ! {{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|background}} |Grn | |||||||
{{Canadian party colour/Temporary|CA|Liberal|row-name}}
|36 | 96 | 51 | 1 | 184 | |||
{{Canadian party colour/Temporary|CA|Conservative|row-name}}
|188 | (96) | (3) | 99 | ||||
{{Canadian party colour/Temporary|CA|NDP|row-name}}
|109 | (51) | 3 | (7) | 44 | |||
{{Canadian party colour/Temporary|CA|BQ|row-name}}
|4 | (1) | 7 | 10 | ||||
{{Canadian party colour/Temporary|CA|Green|row-name}}
|1 | 1 | ||||||
colspan="2" style="text-align:left;"|Total | 338 | (148) | 99 | 55 | (6) | 338 |
class="wikitable" |
rowspan="2"|Swing analysis
!Conservative to Liberal !!NDP to Liberal !!NDP to Conservative |
+14.15pp
!+15.74pp !+1.60pp |
---|
=Results by province=
class="wikitable" |
style="text-align:center;" colspan="3"|Party name
! style="text-align:center;"|BC ! style="text-align:center;"|AB ! style="text-align:center;"|SK ! style="text-align:center;"|MB ! style="text-align:center;"|ON ! style="text-align:center;"|QC ! style="text-align:center;"|NB ! style="text-align:center;"|NS ! style="text-align:center;"|PE ! style="text-align:center;"|NL ! style="text-align:center;"|YT ! style="text-align:center;"|NT ! style="text-align:center;"|NU ! style="text-align:center;"|Total |
---|
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|background}} rowspan="2" |
| rowspan="2"|Liberal | Seats: | style="text-align:right;"|17 | style="text-align:right;"|4 | style="text-align:right;"|1 | style="text-align:right;"|7 | style="text-align:right;"|80 | style="text-align:right;"|40 | style="text-align:right;"|10 | style="text-align:right;"|11 | style="text-align:right;"|4 | style="text-align:right;"|7 | style="text-align:right;"|1 | style="text-align:right;"|1 | style="text-align:right;"|1 | style="text-align:right;"|184 |
Vote:
| style="text-align:right;"|35.2 | style="text-align:right;"|24.6 | style="text-align:right;"|23.9 | style="text-align:right;"|44.6 | style="text-align:right;"|44.8 | style="text-align:right;"|35.7 | style="text-align:right;"|51.6 | style="text-align:right;"|61.9 | style="text-align:right;"|58.3 | style="text-align:right;"|64.5 | style="text-align:right;"|53.6 | style="text-align:right;"|48.3 | style="text-align:right;"|47.2 | style="text-align:right;"|39.5 |
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|background}} rowspan="2" |
| rowspan="2"|Conservative | Seats: | style="text-align:right;"|10 | style="text-align:right;"|29 | style="text-align:right;"|10 | style="text-align:right;"|5 | style="text-align:right;"|33 | style="text-align:right;"|12 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|99 |
Vote:
| style="text-align:right;"|30.0 | style="text-align:right;"|59.5 | style="text-align:right;"|48.5 | style="text-align:right;"|37.3 | style="text-align:right;"|35.0 | style="text-align:right;"|16.7 | style="text-align:right;"|25.3 | style="text-align:right;"|17.9 | style="text-align:right;"|19.3 | style="text-align:right;"|10.3 | style="text-align:right;"|24.0 | style="text-align:right;"|18.0 | style="text-align:right;"|24.8 | style="text-align:right;"|31.9 |
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|background}} rowspan="2" |
| rowspan="2"|New Democratic | Seats: | style="text-align:right;"|14 | style="text-align:right;"|1 | style="text-align:right;"|3 | style="text-align:right;"|2 | style="text-align:right;"|8 | style="text-align:right;"|16 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|44 |
Vote:
| style="text-align:right;"|25.9 | style="text-align:right;"|11.6 | style="text-align:right;"|25.1 | style="text-align:right;"|13.8 | style="text-align:right;"|16.6 | style="text-align:right;"|25.4 | style="text-align:right;"|18.3 | style="text-align:right;"|16.4 | style="text-align:right;"|16.0 | style="text-align:right;"|21.0 | style="text-align:right;"|19.5 | style="text-align:right;"|30.8 | style="text-align:right;"|26.5 | style="text-align:right;"|19.7 |
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|background}} rowspan="2" |
| rowspan="2"|Bloc Québécois | Seats: | colspan="5" rowspan="2" {{n/a}} | style="text-align:right;"|10 | colspan="7" rowspan="2" {{n/a}} | style="text-align:right;"|10 |
Vote:
| style="text-align:right;"|19.3 | style="text-align:right;"|4.7 |
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|background}} rowspan="2" |
| rowspan="2"|Green | Seats: | style="text-align:right;"|1 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|0 | style="text-align:right;"|1 |
Vote:
| style="text-align:right;"|8.2 | style="text-align:right;"|2.5 | style="text-align:right;"|2.1 | style="text-align:right;"|3.2 | style="text-align:right;"|2.9 | style="text-align:right;"|2.3 | style="text-align:right;"|4.6 | style="text-align:right;"|3.4 | style="text-align:right;"|6.0 | style="text-align:right;"|1.1 | style="text-align:right;"|2.9 | style="text-align:right;"|2.8 | style="text-align:right;"|1.5 | style="text-align:right;"|3.4 |
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Independent|background}}|
| Independent and No Affiliation | Vote: | style="text-align:right;"|0.1 | style="text-align:right;"|0.8 | style="text-align:right;"|0.2 | style="text-align:right;"|0.6 | style="text-align:right;"|0.2 | style="text-align:right;"|0.1 | style="text-align:right;"|0.1 | style="text-align:right;"|0.3 | style="text-align:right;"| | style="text-align:right;"|2.9 | style="text-align:right;"| | style="text-align:right;"| | style="text-align:right;"| | style="text-align:right;"|0.2 |
colspan="3" |Total seats
! style="text-align:right;"|42 ! style="text-align:right;"|34 ! style="text-align:right;"|14 ! style="text-align:right;"|14 ! style="text-align:right;"|121 ! style="text-align:right;"|78 ! style="text-align:right;"|10 ! style="text-align:right;"|11 ! style="text-align:right;"|4 ! style="text-align:right;"|7 ! style="text-align:right;"|1 ! style="text-align:right;"|1 ! style="text-align:right;"|1 ! style="text-align:right;"|338 |
= Canadian Election Study =
The 2015 CES included two survey components. Both included two waves of questions, one in the campaign period (CPS) and a recontact wave after the election (PES).{{Cite web |title=Surveys {{!}} Canadian Election Study {{!}} Étude électorale canadienne |url=https://ces-eec.arts.ubc.ca/english-section/surveys/ |access-date=2025-01-10 |website=ces-eec.arts.ubc.ca}}
The non-probability online survey included a sample of Canadians from across the country (CPS n=11,614; PES n=6,554).
The following table is the indicated vote choice in the 2015 election, cross-tabbed with demographic questions. The weights have been adjusted to match the actual results of the election.
== Demographics ==
class="wikitable mw-collapsible"
!Demographic Subgroup ! style="background:#ea6d6a;" |LPC ! style="background:#6495ed;" |CPC ! style="background:#f4a460;" |NDP ! style="background:#87cefa;" |BQC ! style="background:#99c955;" |GPC !Other !Sample |
Total Vote
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |39.5 |31.9 |19.7 |4.7 |3.4 |0.8 |6,554 |
colspan="8" |Gender |
---|
Men
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |36.6 |35.7 |18.8 |4.8 |2.9 |1.2 |3,083 |
Women
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |42.5 |28.0 |20.7 |4.6 |3.9 |0.4 |2,996 |
colspan="8" |Age |
18-29
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |45.7 |22.1 |23.7 |2.6 |4.2 |1.7 |762 |
30-39
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |43.9 |26.9 |22.1 |4.1 |2.9 |0.0 |963 |
40-49
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |39.1 |33.4 |18.1 |4.9 |4.3 |0.3 |929 |
50-59
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |37.2 |32.7 |20.1 |5.7 |3.1 |1.2 |1,225 |
60-69
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |36.4 |34.2 |18.8 |6.3 |3.1 |1.2 |1,300 |
70-79
|37.0 | style="background:#6495ed;" |40.0 |16.2 |3.6 |2.7 |0.5 |665 |
80+
|30.8 | style="background:#6495ed;" |46.9 |14.7 |0.9 |6.7 |0.0 |143 |
colspan="8" |Language |
English
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |41.5 |35.5 |18.1 |0.2 |3.9 |0.7 |4,868 |
French
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |31.4 |17.4 |26.1 |22.6 |1.5 |1.0 |1,216 |
colspan="8" |Highest Education Attainment |
High School or Less
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |38.0 |32.4 |19.7 |5.5 |3.4 |1.0 |2,495 |
College
|35.9 | style="background:#6495ed;" |36.0 |19.8 |4.2 |2.9 |1.2 |1,299 |
University
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |43.1 |29.1 |19.7 |4.0 |3.7 |0.4 |2,221 |
colspan="8" |Religion |
Atheist
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |41.6 |23.0 |24.7 |4.7 |5.1 |0.9 |1,603 |
Agnostic
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |38.7 |21.0 |26.3 |5.9 |8.1 |0.0 |75 |
Buddhist
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |38.2 |26.1 |21.2 |2.3 |7.6 |4.5 |61 |
Hindu
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |63.8 |27.5 |8.7 |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |39 |
Jewish
|39.5 | style="background:#6495ed;" |49.8 |10.7 |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |60 |
Muslim/Islam
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |76.5 |9.4 |13.4 |0.0 |0.7 |0.0 |84 |
Sikh
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |67.5 |22.0 |10.5 |0.0 |0.0 |0.0 |19 |
Christian
|37.0 | style="background:#6495ed;" |37.7 |17.0 |4.9 |2.5 |0.9 |3,416 |
Catholic
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |40.4 |27.9 |19.6 |9.6 |1.8 |0.7 |1,606 |
Protestant & Other Christian
|33.9 | style="background:#6495ed;" |46.4 |14.7 |0.7 |3.2 |1.0 |1,810 |
Other Religion
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |43.8 |27.2 |20.2 |1.4 |7.4 |0.0 |147 |
colspan="8" |Ethnicity |
White
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |38.4 |32.4 |19.8 |5.1 |3.5 |0.8 |5,462 |
East Asian
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |44.9 |39.6 |13.1 |0.0 |2.3 |0.0 |159 |
Hispanic
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |47.5 |31.9 |16.7 |0.0 |3.9 |0.0 |27 |
South Asian
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |53.1 |30.5 |15.3 |1.0 |0.0 |0.0 |67 |
Indigenous
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |49.0 |22.2 |23.2 |0.5 |5.0 |0.0 |129 |
Other
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |49.7 |24.2 |20.5 |1.5 |3.5 |0.6 |432 |
colspan="8" |Income |
0-30,000
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |37.1 |25.2 |24.9 |7.1 |4.6 |1.1 |889 |
30,001-60,000
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |38.8 |29.7 |21.7 |5.5 |3.7 |0.4 |1,514 |
60,001-90,000
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |38.8 |32.9 |19.9 |4.5 |2.8 |1.1 |1,277 |
90,001-110,000
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |43.0 |32.1 |18.0 |4.0 |2.5 |0.3 |614 |
>110,000
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |41.8 |36.5 |14.8 |3.1 |2.8 |1.0 |1,281 |
colspan="8" |Home Ownership |
Own
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |39.1 |34.4 |18.0 |4.0 |3.6 |0.9 |4,699 |
Rent
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |40.3 |23.3 |26.0 |7.0 |3.0 |0.3 |1,311 |
colspan="8" |Marital Status |
Married
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |39.4 |38.4 |15.2 |2.9 |3.2 |0.9 |3,042 |
Not Married
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |39.5 |25.4 |24.3 |6.4 |3.7 |0.7 |2,983 |
colspan="8" |Employment |
Working for pay
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |41.9 |31.0 |19.0 |4.1 |3.4 |0.5 |2,678 |
Self employed
|33.2 | style="background:#6495ed;" |38.5 |18.3 |3.5 |4.1 |2.4 |478 |
Retired
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |36.3 |35.0 |18.8 |5.9 |3.4 |0.5 |1,604 |
Unemployed
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |40.9 |24.4 |24.2 |6.3 |2.5 |1.7 |244 |
Student
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |42.9 |18.8 |26.6 |5.0 |4.5 |2.3 |188 |
Caregiver/Homemaker
|36.8 | style="background:#6495ed;" |37.9 |17.7 |3.4 |4.3 |0.0 |177 |
Disabled
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |42.5 |26.6 |24.4 |3.4 |3.0 |0.0 |219 |
colspan="8" |Do you belong to a union? |
Yes
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |42.3 |24.5 |24.4 |5.2 |2.9 |0.7 |1,087 |
No
| style="background:#ea6d6a;" |38.6 |34.3 |18.5 |4.4 |3.6 |0.5 |3,992 |
Student Vote Canada results
Student votes are mock elections, running parallel to actual elections, in which students not of voting age participate. Student vote elections are administered by Student Vote Canada, and are for educational purposes and do not count towards the results. Note that the total seats adds up to 340 instead of 338, due to ties.{{Cite web |title=2015 Federal Election |url=https://studentvote.ca/results/provincial_results/7 |access-date=2025-03-01 |language=en}}
style="width:88%; text-align:center; font-weight: bold;"
|+ |
style="color:black;"
| style="background:#EA6D6A; width:66.6%;" | 225 | style="background:#6495ED; width:21.5%;" | 71 | style="background:#F4A460; width:11.8;" | 40 | style="background:#99C955; width:00.90%;" | 4 |
Liberal
| Conservative | New Democratic | Green |
{{election table|title=Summary of the 2015 Canadian Student Vote}}
! colspan="2" rowspan="2" | Party
! rowspan="2" | Leader
! colspan="2" | Seats
! colspan="2" | Popular vote
|-
! Elected
! %
! Votes
! %
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Liberal|row-name}}
| style="text-align: left;"| Justin Trudeau
| 225 || 66.18 || 335,887|| 37.61
|-
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Conservative|row-name}}
| style="text-align: left;"| Stephen Harper
| 71 || 20.88 || 232,033 || 25.98
|-
{{Canadian party colour|CA|NDP|row-name}}
| style="text-align: left;"| Tom Mulcair
| 40 || 11.76 || 175,360 || 19.64
|-
|-
{{Canadian party colour|CA|Green|row-name}}
| style="text-align: left;"| Elizabeth May
| 4 || 1.18 || 107,431 || 12.03
|-
|-
| style="background-color:gainsboro"|
| colspan="2" style="text-align: left;" | Other
| 0 ||0 || 36,383 || 4.1
|-
{{Canadian party colour|CA|BQ|row-name}}
| style="text-align: left;"| Gilles Duceppe
| 0 || 0 || 5,924 || 0.66
|-
| colspan="3" style="text-align: left;" | Total
| 340* || 100.00 || 893,018 || 100.00 ;
|}
Election aftermath
File:2015 Canadian election pie chart.svg
Hours after conceding defeat on election night, incumbent Prime Minister Stephen Harper resigned as leader of the Conservative Party, though he announced his intention to remain in the new parliament as a backbencher after being elected in the riding of Calgary Heritage.{{cite web|url=http://www.macleans.ca/politics/ottawa/moving-trucks-at-24-sussex-as-stephen-harpers-family-heads-for-calgary/|title=Moving trucks at 24 Sussex as Stephen Harper's family heads for Calgary|author=The Canadian Press|work=Macleans.ca|date=October 27, 2015|access-date=November 4, 2015|archive-date=October 29, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151029160155/http://www.macleans.ca/politics/ottawa/moving-trucks-at-24-sussex-as-stephen-harpers-family-heads-for-calgary/|url-status=live}} The Conservative caucus met on November 5, 2015, and elected former health minister and Alberta MP Rona Ambrose as interim leader of the party, and hence, interim Leader of the Official Opposition.{{cite web|author=The Canadian Press|url=https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/rona-ambrose-named-interim-leader-of-the-conservative-party-of-canada |title=Rona Ambrose named interim leader of the Conservative Party of Canada|newspaper=National Post|date=November 5, 2015|access-date=July 6, 2021}} The next Conservative Party of Canada leadership election was held on May 27, 2017.{{cite web|url=http://news.nationalpost.com/news/canada/kady-mark-your-calendars-federal-conservatives-youll-be-electing-a-new-leader-on-may-27-2017|title=Mark your calendars, federal Conservatives: You'll be electing a new leader on May 27, 2017|work=National Post|access-date=January 19, 2016|date=January 19, 2016|archive-date=May 28, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210528122644/https://nationalpost.com/category/news/|url-status=live}} Following his swearing in on November 4, 2015, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced that parliament would reconvene on December 3, 2015, with the Speech from the Throne to follow on December 4.{{cite web|url=http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/cabinet-sworn-in-parliament-will-resume-on-dec-3-1.2641761|title=Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, new cabinet sworn in at Rideau Hall; Parliament will resume on Dec. 3|work=CTV News|access-date=November 5, 2015|date=November 4, 2015|last1=Puzic|first1=Sonja|archive-date=November 4, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151104223240/http://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/cabinet-sworn-in-parliament-will-resume-on-dec-3-1.2641761|url-status=live}}
= Commentary =
In the aftermath of the 2011 election, many pundits had characterized it as a realigning election. Lawrence Martin, commentator for The Globe and Mail said, "Harper has completed a remarkable reconstruction of a Canadian political landscape that endured for more than a century. The realignment saw both old parties of the moderate middle, the Progressive Conservatives and the Liberals, either eliminated or marginalized."Lawrence Martin, "Harper’s triumph: a realignment of historic proportions, [https://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/opinion/harpers-triumph-a-realignment-of-historic-proportions/article2008719/ Globe and Mail May 4, 2011] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20111216043610/http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/opinion/harpers-triumph-a-realignment-of-historic-proportions/article2008719/|date=December 16, 2011}} Andrew Coyne, writing in Maclean's, said the election marked "an unprecedented realignment of Canadian politics" as "the Conservatives are now in a position to replace the Liberals as the natural governing party in Canada."Andrew Coyne, "The West is in and Ontario has joined it: How the election led to an unprecedented realignment of Canadian politics," [http://www.macleans.ca/2011/05/06/a-new-power-couple/ Maclean's May 6, 2011]
Despite the grim outlook and poor early poll numbers, when the 2015 election was held, the Liberals under Trudeau made an unprecedented comeback. Gaining 148 seats, they won a majority government for the first time since 2000.Andrew Coyne, "Liberal comeback unprecedented in Canadian history" [http://news.nationalpost.com/full-comment/andrew-coyne-liberal-comeback-unprecedented-in-canadian-history National Post Oct 25 2015] {{Webarchive|url=https://wayback.archive-it.org/all/20151021005809/http://news.nationalpost.com/full-comment/andrew-coyne-liberal-comeback-unprecedented-in-canadian-history|date=2015-10-21}} Chantal Hébert, writing in the Toronto Star, claimed the comeback was "headed straight for the history books" and that Harper's name would "forever be joined with that of his Liberal nemesis in Canada's electoral annals".Chantal Hébert, "Liberal comeback headed for history books" [https://www.thestar.com/news/federal-election/2015/10/20/liberal-comeback-headed-for-history-books-hbert.html Toronto Star Oct 20 2015] {{webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151024000551/http://www.thestar.com/news/federal-election/2015/10/20/liberal-comeback-headed-for-history-books-hbert.html|date=2015-10-24}} Spencer McKay, writing for the National Post, suggested that "maybe we've witnessed a revival of Canada's 'natural governing party'".Spencer McKay, "The Great Liberal Comeback" [http://news.nationalpost.com/full-comment/spencer-mckay-the-great-liberal-comeback National Post Oct 29 2015] {{Webarchive|url=https://wayback.archive-it.org/all/20151119074616/http://news.nationalpost.com/full-comment/spencer-mckay-the-great-liberal-comeback|date=2015-11-19}}
=International reactions=
- {{flag|China}}: Foreign Ministry Deputy Director and Spokeswoman Hua Chunying expressed hope on building on existing relations between Canada and China, stating "a sustainable and steady development of China–Canada relations" will benefit both countries.{{cite news|last1=Panetta|first1=Alexander|title=World leaders congratulate Justin Trudeau on his win|url=https://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/10/20/world-leaders-congratulate-justin-trudeau-on-his-win.html|access-date=October 23, 2015|work=Toronto Star|date=October 20, 2015|archive-date=October 22, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151022223933/http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/2015/10/20/world-leaders-congratulate-justin-trudeau-on-his-win.html|url-status=live}}
- {{flag|Germany}}: German Ambassador to Canada Werner Wnendt said that his government welcomed Trudeau's commitment to restoring a multilateral foreign policy and "the traditional voice that Canada has had at the UN has been missed".{{cite news|author1=The Canadian Press|title=Germany Welcomes Trudeau Participation On Climate Change, Diplomacy|url=http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/10/23/germany-welcomes-trudeau-participation-on-climate-change-diplomacy_n_8373144.html|access-date=October 24, 2015|work=Huffington Post Canada|date=October 23, 2015|archive-date=October 24, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151024133112/http://www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/10/23/germany-welcomes-trudeau-participation-on-climate-change-diplomacy_n_8373144.html|url-status=live}}
- {{flag|India}}: Prime Minister Narendra Modi congratulated Trudeau by telephone where he reminisced about meeting Trudeau's family, expressed hope for further improvement of Canada–India relations, and invited Trudeau to visit India.{{cite web|title=PM Modi speaks to Mr. Trudeau – invites him to visit India|url=http://www.hciottawa.ca/press_detail.php?nid=61|website=News and Events|publisher=High Commission of India, Ottawa|access-date=October 23, 2015|date=October 21, 2015|archive-date=November 20, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151120041733/http://www.hciottawa.ca/press_detail.php?nid=61|url-status=live}}
- {{flag|Italy}}: Prime Minister Matteo Renzi sent Trudeau a Twitter message wishing him luck and saying that he looked forward to them meeting at the 2015 G-20 Antalya summit.
- {{flag|Mexico}}: President Enrique Peña Nieto congratulated Trudeau by telephone and tweeted that "Canada and Mexico have the opportunity to start a new chapter in their relationship".
- {{flag|United States}}: President Barack Obama congratulated Trudeau on the result in a telephone call where the two discussed Canada–United States relations, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and the 2015 climate change conference in Paris.{{cite web|title=Readout of the President's Call with Prime Minister-Designate Justin Trudeau of Canada|url=https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2015/10/20/readout-presidents-call-prime-minister-designate-justin-trudeau-canada|access-date=October 23, 2015|via=National Archives|work=whitehouse.gov|date=October 20, 2015|archive-date=February 16, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170216140405/https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2015/10/20/readout-presidents-call-prime-minister-designate-justin-trudeau-canada|url-status=live}}
Cabinet appointments
{{Main|29th Canadian Ministry}}
On November 4, 2015, the following individuals were sworn in as cabinet ministers of the 29th Canadian Ministry, in addition to Justin Trudeau as prime minister and minister of Intergovernmental Affairs and Youth:{{cite web|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-trudeau-liberal-cabinet-ministers-1.3302743|title=Justin Trudeau signals new style in 1st address as Canada's 23rd prime minister|date=November 4, 2015|work=CBC News|access-date=November 4, 2015|last1=Harris|first1=Kathleen|archive-date=November 4, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151104221759/http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-trudeau-liberal-cabinet-ministers-1.3302743|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=http://www.680news.com/2015/11/04/members-of-prime-minister-justin-trudeaus-new-cabinet-sworn-in/|title=Members of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's new cabinet sworn in|work=680 NEWS|access-date=November 4, 2015|date=November 4, 2015|archive-date=November 6, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151106233846/http://www.680news.com/2015/11/04/members-of-prime-minister-justin-trudeaus-new-cabinet-sworn-in/|url-status=live}}{{cite web|url=http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/full-list-of-justin-trudeau-s-cabinet-1.3300699|title=Full list of Justin Trudeau's cabinet|date=November 4, 2015|work=CBC News|access-date=November 4, 2015|archive-date=April 3, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190403163026/https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/full-list-of-justin-trudeau-s-cabinet-1.3300699|url-status=live}}
{{columns-list|colwidth=22em|
- Public Safety: Ralph Goodale
- Agriculture and Agri-Food: Lawrence MacAulay
- Foreign Affairs: Stéphane Dion
- Immigration: John McCallum
- Indigenous and Northern Affairs: Carolyn Bennett
- President of the Treasury Board: Scott Brison
- Leader of the Government in the House of Commons: Dominic LeBlanc
- Innovation, Science and Economic Development: Navdeep Singh Bains
- Finance: Bill Morneau
- Minister of Justice and Attorney General: Jody Wilson-Raybould
- Public Services and Procurement: Judy Foote
- International Trade: Chrystia Freeland
- Health: Jane Philpott
- Families, Children and Social Development: Jean-Yves Duclos
- Transport: Marc Garneau
- International Development: Marie-Claude Bibeau
- Natural Resources: Jim Carr
- Canadian Heritage: Mélanie Joly
- Revenue: Diane Lebouthillier
- Veterans Affairs: Kent Hehr
- Environment and Climate Change: Catherine McKenna
- National Defence: Harjit Sajjan
- Employment, Workforce and Labour: MaryAnn Mihychuk
- Infrastructure and Communities: Amarjeet Sohi
- Democratic Institutions: Maryam Monsef
- Sports and Persons with Disabilities: Carla Qualtrough
- Fisheries, Oceans and the Canadian Coast Guard: Hunter Tootoo
- Science: Kirsty Duncan
- Status of Women: Patty Hajdu
- Small Business and Tourism: Bardish Chagger
}}
See also
- Fixed election dates in Canada
- List of Canadian federal general elections
- List of political parties in Canada
- Results by riding of the Canadian federal election, 2015
- 2011 Bloc Québécois leadership election
- 2012 New Democratic Party leadership election
- 2013 Liberal Party of Canada leadership election
- 2014 Bloc Québécois leadership election
- 2015 Canadian federal election in Quebec
Notes
{{notelist}}
References
{{Reflist|30em}}
Further reading
{{refbegin}}
- {{cite book|editor1-last= Pammett|editor1-first= Jon H.|editor2-last= Dornan|editor2-first= Christopher|date= 2016|title= The Canadian Federal Election of 2015|url= https://books.google.com/books?id=ONEkCgAAQBAJ&pg=PP1|location= Toronto|publisher= Dundurn Press|isbn= 978-1-4597-3334-3|access-date= October 15, 2020|archive-date= April 14, 2021|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20210414045244/https://books.google.com/books?id=ONEkCgAAQBAJ&pg=PP1|url-status= live}}
- {{cite journal|last1= MacNeil|first1= Robert|last2= Paterson|first2= Matthew|date= 2016|title= This changes everything? Canadian climate policy and the 2015 election|url= https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/this-changes-everything-canadian-climate-policy-and-the-2015-election(f16abdc7-0d6f-4d7d-a416-9cc41a6c1d4d).html|journal= Environmental Politics|volume= 25|issue= 3|pages= 553–557|doi= 10.1080/09644016.2016.1140280|bibcode= 2016EnvPo..25..553M|s2cid= 155153475|access-date= October 26, 2019|archive-date= September 7, 2020|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20200907143236/https://www.research.manchester.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/this-changes-everything-canadian-climate-policy-and-the-2015-election(f16abdc7-0d6f-4d7d-a416-9cc41a6c1d4d).html|url-status= live}}
- {{cite book |editor1-last=Marland |editor1-first=Alex |editor2-last=Giasson |editor2-first=Thierry |title=Canadian Election Analysis: Communication, Strategy and Democracy |date=2015 |publisher=UBC Press |url=https://www.ubcpress.ca/asset/1712/election-analysis2015-final-v3-web-copy.pdf |access-date=May 3, 2021 |archive-date=May 3, 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210503140146/https://www.ubcpress.ca/asset/1712/election-analysis2015-final-v3-web-copy.pdf |url-status=live }}
- {{cite journal|last1= Marland|first1= Alex|date= 2016|title= The 2015 Newfoundland and Labrador Election: Liberals Have a Ball as PC Party Suffers from Post-Williams Hangover|url= https://ojs.unbc.ca/index.php/cpsr/article/download/1302/1148|journal= Canadian Political Science Review|volume= 9|issue= 3|pages= 72–98|doi= 10.24124/c677/20151302|access-date= September 30, 2017|archive-date= April 23, 2018|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20180423001440/https://ojs.unbc.ca/index.php/cpsr/article/download/1302/1148|url-status= live}}
- {{cite journal |last1= Palmer|first1= Bryan D.|date= 2016|title= Snatching Defeat from the Jaws of Victory: The New Democratic Party and the Canadian Elections|journal= New Labor Forum|volume= 25|issue= 1|pages= 87–94|doi= 10.1177/1095796015620147|s2cid= 157729157}}
{{refend}}
External links
- [http://www.elections.ca/ Elections Canada]
{{Canadian federal election, 2015A |state=collapsed}}
{{Canada elections}}
{{DEFAULTSORT:42nd Canadian Federal Election}}