2016 Indiana gubernatorial election
{{Short description|none}}
{{for|related races|2016 United States gubernatorial elections}}
{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=July 2016}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2016 Indiana gubernatorial election
| country = Indiana
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2012 Indiana gubernatorial election
| previous_year = 2012
| next_election = 2020 Indiana gubernatorial election
| next_year = 2020
| election_date = November 8, 2016
| image1 = File:Holcomb Official Headshot (cropped).jpg
| image_size = 150x150px
| nominee1 = Eric Holcomb
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| running_mate1 = Suzanne Crouch
| popular_vote1 = 1,397,396
| percentage1 = 51.38%
| image2 = File:John Gregg 2015 (cropped).jpg
| nominee2 = John R. Gregg
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| running_mate2 = Christina Hale
| popular_vote2 = 1,235,503
| percentage2 = 45.42%
| map_image = {{switcher |250px |County results |250px |Congressional district results |250px |Precinct results |default=1}}
| map_size = 250px
| map_caption = Holcomb: {{legend0|#FFC8CD|30–40%}} {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Gregg: {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}} {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}}
| title = Governor
| before_election = Mike Pence
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Eric Holcomb
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{ElectionsIN}}
{{Mike Pence series}}
The 2016 Indiana gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of Indiana, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on May 3, 2016. Republican lieutenant governor Eric Holcomb won the race with 51.4% of the vote.
Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Pence was running for reelection to a second term in office until July 15, 2016, when then-Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump selected Pence as his vice presidential running mate.{{cite news|title=Donald Trump selects Mike Pence as VP|url=http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/14/politics/donald-trump-vice-presidential-choice/|access-date=July 15, 2016}} As Pence was barred by Indiana law from simultaneously running for both offices, he subsequently withdrew from the gubernatorial election.{{cite web |url=http://www.wdrb.com/story/32454202/mike-pence-officially-withdraws-from-indiana-governors-race |title=Mike Pence officially withdraws from Indiana governor's race |publisher=WDRB.com |date=July 15, 2016 |access-date=July 15, 2016 |archive-date=November 10, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181110075857/http://www.wdrb.com/story/32454202/mike-pence-officially-withdraws-from-indiana-governors-race |url-status=dead }} Pence went on to be elected Vice President of the United States. He was replaced on the ballot for governor by his former running mate, incumbent lieutenant governor Eric Holcomb, who was selected by the Indiana Republican State Committee as the nominee on July 26, 2016.{{cite news|url=http://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2016/07/26/live-updates-indiana-republicans-meet-today-pick-pences-replacement/87540124/|title=Indiana GOP panel nominates Eric Holcomb for governor|newspaper=The Indianapolis Star|last1=Eason|first1=Brian|last2=Tony|first2=Cook|last3=Briggs|first3=James|date=July 26, 2016|access-date=July 26, 2016}} Holcomb later selected State Auditor Suzanne Crouch on August 1, 2016, to be his running mate as the nomination for lieutenant governor was made vacant by the decision of Holcomb to seek the gubernatorial nomination; she was confirmed at a subsequent meeting of the Indiana Republican State Committee later that day.
John Gregg, the former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives, was the Democratic nominee. Gregg previously ran for Governor in 2012, but was defeated by Pence.
Republican primary
=Candidates=
==Declared==
- Mike Pence, incumbent governor (withdrew after primary to run for Vice President of the United States as the running mate of Donald Trump)
==Declined==
- Greg Ballard, former mayor of Indianapolis
- Susan Brooks, U.S. Representative and former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana (ran for re-election){{cite web|url=http://thestatehousefile.com/brooks-opts-to-run-for-house-reelection-not-senate/21162/|title=Brooks to run for House reelection, not Senate|work=The Statehouse File|last=Weidenbener|first=Lesley|date=April 22, 2015|access-date=April 22, 2015}}
- Luke Messer, U.S. Representative (ran for re-election)
- Todd Young, U.S. Representative (ran for the U.S. Senate){{cite web|url=https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/236747-sen-coats-wont-run-for-reelection/|title=Coats retirement in Indiana shakes up 2016 battle for Senate|work=The Hill|last=Joseph|first=Cameron|date=March 24, 2015|access-date=March 24, 2015}}{{cite web|url=http://kokomoperspective.com/kp/if-sen-coates-doesn-t-run-who-does/article_dde6a7d6-a72f-11e4-87ed-17f1560f9be0.html|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150201193011/http://kokomoperspective.com/kp/if-sen-coates-doesn-t-run-who-does/article_dde6a7d6-a72f-11e4-87ed-17f1560f9be0.html|url-status=dead|archive-date=February 1, 2015|title=If Sen. Coates doesn't run, who does?|publisher=kokomoperspective.com|author=Brian Howey|date=January 30, 2015|access-date=February 3, 2015}}{{cite web|url=http://www.newsandtribune.com/opinion/howey-a-fascinating-u-s-senate-race-is-setting-up/article_d11d5740-0330-11e5-924a-7bf0ebf61388.html|title=A fascinating U.S. Senate race is setting up|work=News and Tribune|last=Howey|first=Brian|date=May 26, 2015|access-date=June 4, 2015}}
=Results=
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results{{cite web|url=http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/primary/sos_primary16?page=office&countyID=-1&partyID=-1&officeID=37&districtID=-1&districtshortviewID=-1&candidate= |title= Indiana Primary Election, May 3, 2016 |publisher=Pennsylvania Secretary of State |access-date=July 20, 2016}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Mike Pence (incumbent)
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 815,699
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 815,699
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Republican State Committee selection
On July 15, 2016, Donald Trump announced that Pence would be his running mate as vice president in the 2016 presidential election. Under Indiana law, Pence was unable to run for both governor and vice president simultaneously; he therefore withdrew from the gubernatorial election, creating a vacancy on the Republican ticket. On July 26, the chairman of the Indiana Republican Party, Jeff Cardwell, announced that Eric Holcomb had been nominated by the Indiana Republican State Committee to replace Pence on the ballot for governor. The vote totals were not released. Holcomb later selected Suzanne Crouch on August 1, 2016, to be his running mate as the nomination for lieutenant governor was made vacant by the decision of Holcomb to seek the gubernatorial nomination; she was then confirmed by the Committee at a meeting later that day.{{cite web|url=http://fox59.com/2016/08/01/holcomb-to-introduce-crouch-as-his-running-mate-in-governors-race/|title=Holcomb introduces Crouch as his running mate in governor's race|publisher=Fox 59|date=August 1, 2016|access-date=August 2, 2016}}
=Candidates=
==Declared==
- Susan Brooks, U.S. Representative and former United States Attorney for the Southern District of Indiana{{cite web|url=http://www.ibj.com/articles/59509-holcomb-brooks-are-in-bosma-is-out-of-race-to-be-gop-gubernatorial-nominee|title=Holcomb, Rokita, Brooks in; Bosma out of race to be GOP gubernatorial nominee|work=Indiana Business Journal|date=July 15, 2016|access-date=July 15, 2016|archive-date=July 16, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160716134631/http://www.ibj.com/articles/59509-holcomb-brooks-are-in-bosma-is-out-of-race-to-be-gop-gubernatorial-nominee|url-status=dead}}
- Eric Holcomb, Lieutenant Governor of Indiana
- Running mate: Suzanne Crouch, Indiana State Auditor
- Todd Rokita, U.S. Representative and former Indiana Secretary of State
- Jim Tomes, state senator{{cite news|url=http://www.courierpress.com/news/politics/elections/local/tomes-says-despite-odds-its-in-my-heart-to-run-for-governor-37fe7527-d3d4-7105-e053-0100007f4bbc-387501171.html|title=Tomes says despite odds, "It's in my heart to run" for governor|newspaper=Evansville Courier & Press|last=Osowski|first=Zach|date=July 19, 2016|access-date=July 19, 2016}}
==Declined==
- Brian Bosma, Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives
- Mitch Daniels, former governor of Indiana
- Lloyd Winnecke, Mayor of Evansville
Democratic primary
=Candidates=
==Declared==
- John R. Gregg, former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives and nominee for Governor in 2012{{cite web | url=http://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2015/04/30/gregg-set-to-announce-governor-bid-pence-rematch-likely/26626999/|title=Source: Democrat John Gregg set to announce governor bid|work=The Indianapolis Star|last=LoBianco|first=Tom|date=April 30, 2015|access-date=April 30, 2015}}
- Running mate: Christina Hale, state representative{{Cite web |url=http://indianapublicmedia.org/news/john-gregg-announce-running-mate-today-99364/ |title=John Gregg Announces Rep. Christina Hale as Running Mate | News - Indiana Public Media |access-date=May 25, 2016 |archive-date=May 26, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160526112241/http://indianapublicmedia.org/news/john-gregg-announce-running-mate-today-99364/ |url-status=dead }}
==Withdrawn==
- Glenda Ritz, Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction (subsequently ran for re-election){{cite web|url=http://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2015/08/07/glenda-ritz-drops-out--governors-race/31307459/|title=Glenda Ritz drops out of governor's race|work=The Indianapolis Star|last1=Cook|first1=Tony|last2=Schneider|first2=Chelsea|date=August 7, 2015|access-date=August 7, 2015}}
- Karen Tallian, state senator{{cite web|url=http://www.nwitimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/tallian-drops-out-of-governor-s-race/article_73b5ffef-4ce1-536c-9825-568ca5d660a4.html|title=Tallian drops out of governor's race|work=The Times of Northwest Indiana|last=Carden|first=Dan|date=August 17, 2015|access-date=August 17, 2015}}
==Declined==
- Evan Bayh, former U.S. Senator and former governor of Indiana (ran for the U.S. Senate)
- Pete Buttigieg, Mayor of South Bend{{cite web|url=http://www.southbendtribune.com/news/buttigieg-zero-interest-in-governor-s-seat/article_31276970-9d91-11e3-a5bb-0017a43b2370.html|title=Buttigieg: 'Zero interest' in governor's seat|work=South Bend Tribune|date=February 25, 2014|access-date=February 23, 2015|last=Blasko|first=Erin}}
- Greg Goodnight, Mayor of Kokomo
- Baron Hill, former U.S. Representative and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1990{{cite news|url=http://www.nwitimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/bayh-not-running-for-governor-in/article_f1c06cff-259c-5fa6-a3cb-1fe418e3fe62.html |title=Bayh not running for governor in 2016|publisher=nwi.com|date=September 13, 2014|access-date=October 26, 2014}}{{cite web|url=http://fox59.com/2015/02/13/potential-candidate-for-governor-talks-education-healthcare/|title=Potential candidate for governor talks education, healthcare|work=WXIN|date=February 13, 2015|access-date=February 20, 2015|last=Spehler|first=Dan}}{{cite web | url=http://www.newsandtribune.com/news/former-congressman-hill-mulls-run-for-governor/article_8f0822e0-7a8c-11e4-9aa3-cbabc2992093.html| title=Former Congressman Hill mulls run for governor| work=News and Tribune| date=December 3, 2014|access-date=December 3, 2014|last=Hayden|first=Maureen}}{{cite web|url=http://atr.rollcall.com/baron-hill-2016-indiana-senate-bid-democrat|title=Ousted Democrat Announces Indiana Senate Bid|work=Roll Call|date=May 15, 2015|access-date=May 15, 2015|last=Cahn|first=Emily|archive-date=May 17, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150517061515/http://atr.rollcall.com/baron-hill-2016-indiana-senate-bid-democrat/|url-status=dead}}
- Scott Pelath, Minority Leader of the Indiana House of Representatives{{cite web|url=http://www.nwitimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/pelath-rules-out-run-for-governor/article_69df1f11-59b2-51a3-9fdf-90d29c1048a9.html|title=Pelath rules out run for governor|work=The Times of Northwest Indiana|last=Carden|first=Dan|date=May 27, 2015|access-date=May 28, 2015}}
- Tony Roswarski, Mayor of Lafayette
- Tom Sugar, vice president of Complete College America and former aide to Evan Bayh{{cite web|url=http://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2015/08/06/long-time-bayh-aide-mulling-run-governor/31239389/|title=Long-time Bayh aide mulling run for governor|work=The Indianapolis Star|last=Schneider|first=Chelsea|date=August 7, 2015|access-date=August 7, 2015}}{{cite web|url=http://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2015/09/21/tom-sugar-will-run-governor/72575060/|title=Tom Sugar will not run for governor|work=The Indianapolis Star|last=Schneider|first=Chelsea|date=September 21, 2015|access-date=September 21, 2015}}
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
| title = John Gregg
| list =
Politicians
- Dennis Buckley, Mayor of Beech Grove{{cite web|url=http://greggforgovernor.com/2015/08/release-36-indiana-mayors-endorse-john-gregg-for-governor/|title=36 Indiana Mayors Endorse John Gregg for Governor|work=Gregg for Governor|date=August 13, 2015|access-date=August 14, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150816012328/http://greggforgovernor.com/2015/08/release-36-indiana-mayors-endorse-john-gregg-for-governor/|archive-date=August 16, 2015|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}
- Doug Campbell, Mayor of Austin
- Harold "Soup" Campbell, Mayor of North Vernon
- Dennis Carr, Mayor of Lawrenceburg
- Anthony Copeland, Mayor of East Chicago
- Collin Czilli, City Councilman, Portage
- Tom DeBaun, Mayor of Shelbyville
- Ted Ellis, Mayor of Bluffton
- Jon Flickinger, Mayor of Bicknell
- Randy Geesaman, Mayor of Portland
- Jack Gilfoy, Mayor of Clinton
- Greg Goodnight, Mayor of Kokomo
- Noel Harty, Mayor of Loogootee
- Pam Hendrickson, Mayor of Boonville
- Tom Henry, Mayor of Fort Wayne
- Dick Hickman, Mayor of Angola
- Robert Hurst, Mayor of Princeton
- Sally Hutton, Mayor of Richmond
- Dean Jessup, Mayor of Lawrence
- Mark Kruzan, Mayor of Bloomington
- Clint Lamb, Mayor of Sullivan
- Sue Murray, Mayor of Greencastle
- Gary Pruett, Mayor of Mitchell
- Glenda Ritz, Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction{{cite news |title=Former governor candidate Ritz lends support to Gregg |work=Associated Press Newswires |date=10 August 2015 |agency=AP |id={{Factiva|APRS000020150810eb8a008hr}}. }}{{cite periodical |title=2015 YEAR IN REVIEW: Ritz quits governor's race, will run for superintendent |last=Colombo |first=Hayleigh |periodical=Indianapolis Business Journal |publication-place=Indianapolis |publisher=IBJ Corporation |volume=36 |issue=45 |date=Dec 28, 2015 |page=24 |issn=0274-4929 |id={{ProQuest|1754293324}}. }}{{cite news |title=Democrats present own pre-k proposal |last1=Wang |first1=Stephanie |last2=Schneider |first2=Chelsea |newspaper=Indianapolis Star |publication-place=Indianapolis, Ind. |date=17 June 2016 |page=A.9 |issn=19302533 |id={{ProQuest|1797539523}}. }}
- Tony Roswarski, Mayor of Lafayette
- John Schultz, Mayor of Decatur
- Brian Snedecor, Mayor of Hobart
- Joe Stahura, Mayor of Whiting
- Randy Strasser, Mayor of Delphi
- Roy Terrell Jr., Mayor of Jasonville
- John Tucker, Mayor of Mount Vernon
- Dennis Tyler, Mayor of Muncie
- David Uran, Mayor of Crown Point
- John Wilkes, Mayor of Linton
- Hugh Wirth, Mayor of Oakland City
- Brian Wyndham, Mayor of Brazil
- Joe Yochum, Mayor of Vincennes
- Greg York, Mayor of New Castle
Organizations
- Indiana State AFL–CIO{{cite web|url=http://in.aflcio.org/statefed/index.cfm?action=article&articleID=0506A1C5-4F8F-43B7-858F-B5EFAB88E5C1|title=Indiana State AFL-CIO Endorses John Gregg for Governor|work=Indiana State AFL-CIO|date=August 17, 2015|access-date=August 17, 2015|archive-date=August 22, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150822033341/http://in.aflcio.org/statefed/index.cfm?action=article&articleID=0506A1C5-4F8F-43B7-858F-B5EFAB88E5C1|url-status=dead}}
}}
=Results=
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = John R. Gregg
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 547,375
| percentage = 100.00
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 547,375
| percentage=100.00
}}
{{Election box end}}
Libertarian Party convention
=Candidates=
==Declared==
- Rex Bell, businessman{{cite web|url=http://www.greensburgdailynews.com/news/libertarian-party-of-indiana-nominates-rex-bell-for-governor/article_cd83b532-e5de-54b4-9c7b-b6842555856e.html|work=Greensburg Daily News|title=Libertarian Party of Indiana nominates Rex Bell for Governor|date=April 28, 2016|access-date=May 13, 2016|author=Staff}}
- Jim Wallace
==Nominated==
General election
=Candidates=
- Democratic: John R. Gregg, former Speaker of the Indiana House of Representatives and nominee for Governor in 2012
- Running mate: Christina Hale, state representative
- Libertarian: Rex Bell, businessman
- Running mate: Karl Tatgenhorst
- Republican: Eric Holcomb, Lieutenant Governor of Indiana
- Running mate: Suzanne Crouch, Indiana State Auditor
=Debates=
- Governor:
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?415047-1/john-gregg-eric-holcomb-face-indiana-governors-debate Complete video of debate], September 27, 2016 - C-SPAN
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?416107-1/candidates-face-indiana-governors-debate Complete video of debate], October 3, 2016 - C-SPAN
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?417402-1/indiana-governors-debate Complete video of debate], October 25, 2016 - C-SPAN
- Lt. Governor:
- [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U83xDXblvXc&t=1403s Complete video of debate], August 9, 2016 - Hoosier Ag Today
= Predictions =
= Polling =
Aggregate polls
| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"
!Source of poll !Dates !Dates ! style="width:100px;"| Eric ! style="width:100px;"| John ! style="width:100px;"| Other/Undecided !Margin |
| Real Clear Politics[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/governor/in/indiana_governor_holcomb_vs_gregg-6097.html Real Clear Politics]
|October 27 – November 3, 2016 |November 3, 2016 |40.7% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|44.0% |15.3% |{{party shading/Democratic}}|Gregg +3.3% |
Graphical summary
{{Graph:Chart
| width=700
| height=400
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%support
| xAxisAngle = -40
| yAxisMin = 0
| legend=Candidate
| interpolate = bundle
| size = 77
| xType = date
| y1Title=Holcomb
| y2Title=Gregg
| y3Title=Bell
| y4Title=Other/Undecided
| type=line
|xGrid=|yGrid=
| x=
2016/07/21,2016/08/03,2016/08/16,2016/09/06,2016/10/05,2016/10/13,2016/10/16,2016/10/24,2016/10/30,2016/10/31,2016/11/01,2016/11/02,2016/11/03,2016/11/06,2016/11/07
|y1=
34,39,42,35,39,38,43,38,42,47,38,48,42,46,47
|y2=
42,46,41,40,41,50,48,42,48,48,42,47,42,49,49
|y3=
,06,04,06,05,03, ,04,04, , ,04, , ,
|y4=
24,09,13,19,15,13, ,16,05,05,16,05,11,05,04
| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, gold, #DCDCDC
| showSymbols = 1.2,0.8,0.8,0.8
| symbolsShape = point
}}
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;" |
| valign= bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Eric ! style="width:100px;"| John ! style="width:100px;"| Rex ! Undecided |
| SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArTFlBMU1iNjU1dmM/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| November 1–7, 2016 | align=center| 1,700 | align=center| ± 4.6% | align=center| 47% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49% | align=center| – | align=center| 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArck4xWGRaUEVid1U/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| October 31 – November 6, 2016 | align=center| 1,383 | align=center| ± 4.6% | align=center| 46% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49% | align=center| – | align=center| 5% |
| WTHR/Howey[http://www.wibc.com/news/local-news/wthr-howey-politics-poll-gregg-and-holcomb-tied-young-seizes-lead-bayh WTHR/Howey]
| align=center| November 1–3, 2016 | align=center| 600 | align=center| ± 4.0% | align=center| 42% | align=center| 42% | align=center| 5% | align=center| 11% |
| SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArUGZzeTA3UTZOcWM/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| October 28 – November 3, 2016 | align=center| 923 | align=center| ± 4.6% | align=center| 47% | align=center| 47% | align=center| – | align=center| 6% |
| SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArX25Ba3RrWkZsQTg/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| October 27 – November 2, 2016 | align=center| 790 | align=center| ± 4.6% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48% | align=center| 47% | align=center| – | align=center| 5% |
| Gravis Marketing[https://www.scribd.com/document/330017282/Final-Indiana-Poll Gravis Marketing]
| align=center| October 30 – November 1, 2016 | align=center| 399 | align=center| ± 4.9% | align=center| 38% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 42% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 16% |
| SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreDluOWJFc0xsSzA/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| October 26 – November 1, 2016 | align=center| 638 | align=center| ± 4.6% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 49% | align=center| 47% | align=center| – | align=center| 4% |
| SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B99Qs2h04TA7UGZ3aDZjeFBBNW8/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| October 25–31, 2016 | align=center| 674 | align=center| ± 4.6% | align=center| 47% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48% | align=center| – | align=center| 5% |
| Monmouth University[https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IN_103116/ Monmouth University]
| align=center| October 27–30, 2016 | align=center| 402 | align=center| ± 4.9% | align=center| 42% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 5% |
| Gravis Marketing[http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-indiana-polling-2/ Gravis Marketing]
| align=center| October 22–24, 2016 | align=center| 596 | align=center| ± 2.3% | align=center| 38% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 42% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 16% |
| Ball State University (PSRAI)[http://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2016/10/19/new-poll-shows-gregg-leading-governors-race/92429790/ Ball State University (PSRAI)]
| align=center| October 10–16, 2016 | align=center| 544 | align=center| ± 4.8% | align=center| 43% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48% | align=center| – | align=center| – |
| Monmouth University[http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IN_101416/ Monmouth University]
| align=center| October 11–13, 2016 | align=center| 402 | align=center| ± 4.9% | align=center| 38% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 7% |
| BK Strategies (R-Holcomb)[https://www.scribd.com/document/327691793/IN-Gov-BK-Strategies-for-Eric-Holcomb-Oct-2016 BK Strategies (R-Holcomb)]
| align=center| October 11–13, 2016 | align=center| 800 | align=center| ± 3.5% | align=center| 42% | align=center| 42% | align=center| 3% | align=center| 13% |
| WTHR/Howey{{Cite news |date=October 6, 2016 |others=WTHR commissioned the poll with Howey Politics Indiana. |title=EXCLUSIVE WTHR/HPI Poll: Gregg clings to small lead over Holcomb in governor race |url=http://www.wthr.com/article/exclusive-wthrhpi-poll-gregg-clings-to-small-lead-over-holcomb-in-governor-race |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161009113836/http://www.wthr.com/article/exclusive-wthrhpi-poll-gregg-clings-to-small-lead-over-holcomb-in-governor-race |archive-date=2016-10-09 |work=13 WTHR Indianapolis [NBC affiliate]}}
| align=center| October 3–5, 2016 | align=center| 600 | align=center| ± 4.0% | align=center| 39% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41% | align=center| 5% | align=center| 15% |
| WTHR/Howey{{Cite news |date=September 9, 2016 |orig-date=updated September 12, 2016 |others=WTHR commissioned the poll with Howey Politics Indiana. |title=EXCLUSIVE WTHR/HPI Poll: Gregg holds small lead on Holcomb |url=http://www.wthr.com/article/exclusive-wthrhpi-poll-gregg-holds-small-lead-on-holcomb |url-status=dead |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161009131149/http://www.wthr.com/article/exclusive-wthrhpi-poll-gregg-holds-small-lead-on-holcomb |archive-date=2016-10-09 |work=13 WTHR Indianapolis [NBC affiliate]}}
| align=center| September 6–8, 2016 | align=center| 600 | align=center| ± 4.0% | align=center| 35% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 40% | align=center| 6% | align=center| 19% |
| Monmouth University[http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IN_081716/ Monmouth University]
| align=center| August 13–16, 2016 | align=center| 403 | align=center| ± 4.9% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42% | align=center| 41% | align=center| 4% | align=center| 13% |
| Expedition Strategies (D-Gregg)[http://www.newsandtribune.com/news/indiana-gubernatorial-candidates-make-stops-in-southern-indiana/article_39af3462-5e99-11e6-b2e8-7b90203c1df9.html Expedition Strategies (D-Gregg)]
| align=center| August 1–3, 2016 | align=center| 600 | align=center| ± 4.0% | align=center| 39% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46% | align=center| 6% | align=center| 9% |
| The Tarrance Group[http://www.slideshare.net/AbdulHakimShabazz/brooks-v-gregg The Tarrance Group]
| align=center| July 20–21, 2016 | align=center| 503 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 34% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 42% | align=center| – | align=center| 24% |
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
with Mike Pence
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:175px;"| Poll source ! style="width:175px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mike ! style="width:100px;"| John ! Other ! Undecided |
| Bellwether Research[http://www.nwitimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/2016-election/poll-finds-pence-re-election-not-a-sure-bet/article_7841354c-023a-50e6-9e09-9a4bd9e567c8.html Bellwether Research]
| align=center| May 11–15, 2016 | align=center| 600 | align=center| ± 4.0% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 40% | align=center| 36% | align=center| — | align=center| 24% |
| WTHR/Howey[http://www.nwitimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/poll-finds-pence-re-elect-support-stuck-at/article_e8b0fed3-1675-5b60-a105-758ae5eb01b1.html WTHR/Howey]
| align=center| April 18–21, 2016 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.3% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 49% | align=center| 45% | align=center| 1% | align=center| 5% |
| Bellwether Research[https://web.archive.org/web/20150703110104/http://ftpcontent2.worldnow.com/wthr/documents/pollresults2015.doc Bellwether Research]
| align=center| May 29–June 3, 2015 | align=center| 800 | align=center| ± 3.5% | align=center| 40% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41% | align=center| — | align=center| 19% |
| Bellwether Research[http://howeypolitics.com/Files/Howey%20April%202015%20Poll.pdf Bellwether Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150416231410/http://howeypolitics.com/Files/Howey%20April%202015%20Poll.pdf |date=April 16, 2015 }}
| align=center| April 12–14, 2015 | align=center| 607 | align=center| ± 4.0% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 37% | align=center| — | align=center| 21% |
| GQR Research[http://hrc-assets.s3-website-us-east-1.amazonaws.com//files/assets/resources/HRC_(Indiana_public_memo)_415.pdf GQR Research]
| align=center| April 7–9, 2015 | align=center| 500 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 47% | align=center| 47% | align=center| — | align=center| 6% |
with Susan Brooks
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:200px;"| Poll source ! style="width:160px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Susan ! style="width:100px;"| John ! Other ! Undecided |
| The Tarrance Group
| align=center| July 20–21, 2016 | align=center| 503 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 36% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41% | align=center| — | align=center| 23% |
with Todd Rokita
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:200px;"| Poll source ! style="width:160px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Todd ! style="width:100px;"| John ! Other ! Undecided |
| The Tarrance Group
| align=center| July 20–21, 2016 | align=center| 503 | align=center| ± 4.4% | align=center| 36% | {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41% | align=center| — | align=center| 23% |
| Public Opinion Strategies[https://ru.scribd.com/document/318937166/Public-Opinion-Strategies-poll-for-Todd-Rokita-R-on-IN-GOV-07-20-16 Public Opinion Strategies]
| align=center| July 16–18, 2016 | align=center| 600 | align=center| ± 4.0% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45% | align=center| 43% | align=center| — | align=center| 12% |
with Baron Hill
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:175px;"| Poll source ! style="width:175px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mike ! style="width:100px;"| Baron ! Undecided |
| Bellwether Research[http://howeypolitics.com/Files/Howey%20April%202015%20Poll.pdf Bellwether Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150416231410/http://howeypolitics.com/Files/Howey%20April%202015%20Poll.pdf |date=April 16, 2015 }}
| align=center| April 12–14, 2015 | align=center| 607 | align=center| ± 4% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43% | align=center| 36% | align=center| 21% |
with Glenda Ritz
| class="wikitable" |
| valign= bottom
! style="width:175px;"| Poll source ! style="width:175px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Mike ! style="width:100px;"| Glenda ! Other ! Undecided |
| Bellwether Research
| align=center| May 29–June 3, 2015 | align=center| 800 | align=center| ± 3.5% | align=center| 42% | align=center| 42% | align=center| — | align=center| 16% |
| Bellwether Research[http://howeypolitics.com/Files/Howey%20April%202015%20Poll.pdf Bellwether Research] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150416231410/http://howeypolitics.com/Files/Howey%20April%202015%20Poll.pdf |date=April 16, 2015 }}
| align=center| April 12–14, 2015 | align=center| 607 | align=center| ± 4% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42% | align=center| 39% | align=center| — | align=center| 18% |
{{hidden end}}
=Results=
Holcomb won with 51.4% of the votes, with Gregg taking 45.4%, and Libertarian Rex Bell finishing with 3.2%.[http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/election/general/general2016?page=office&countyID=-1&officeID=37&districtID=-1&candidate= Indiana Secretary of State Election Results]
{{Election box begin | title=2016 Indiana gubernatorial election{{cite web|url=http://www.in.gov/apps/sos/election/general/general2016?page=office&countyID=-1&officeID=37&districtID=-1&candidate= |title= Indiana Secretary of State Election Results |publisher=Indiana Secretary of State |access-date=January 4, 2017}}}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Eric Holcomb/Suzanne Crouch
|votes = 1,397,396
|percentage = 51.38%
|change = +1.89%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = John R. Gregg/Christina Hale
|votes = 1,235,503
|percentage = 45.42%
|change = -1.14%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
|party = Libertarian Party (United States)
|candidate = Rex Bell
|votes = 87,025
|percentage = 3.20%
|change = -0.75%
}}
{{Election box write-in with party link
|votes = 44
|percentage = 0.00%
|change = 0.00%
}}
{{Election box total
|votes = 2,719,968
|percentage = 100.00%
|change = N/A
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no swing
|winner = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
==Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican==
==By congressional district==
Holcomb won 7 of 9 congressional districts.{{Cite web |title=DRA 2020 |url=https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::930472f1-d096-42c0-9e38-10f463ecdb89 |access-date=2024-08-20 |website=Daves Redistricting}}
| class=wikitable
! District ! Holcomb ! Gregg ! Representative |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Indiana|1|1st}} | 36% | 62% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Pete Visclosky |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Indiana|2|2nd}} | 53% | 43% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Jackie Walorski |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Indiana|3|3rd}} | 60% | 37% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Marlin Stutzman |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Indiana|4|4th}} | 58% | 39% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Todd Rokita |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Indiana|5|5th}} | 52% | 45% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Susan Brooks |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Indiana|6|6th}} | 59% | 36% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Luke Messer |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|Indiana|7|7th}} | 34% | 63% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|André Carson |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Indiana|8|8th}} | 52% | 45% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Larry Bucshon |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Indiana|9|9th}} | 56% | 41% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Todd Young |
Notes
{{Notelist}}
References
{{reflist|30em}}
External links
Official campaign websites (archived)
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20161022111610/http://holcombforindiana.com/ Eric Holcomb (R) for Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20161108205030/http://www.greggforgovernor.com/ John Gregg (D) for Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20160827082213/http://www.electrexbell.com/ Rex Bell (L) for Governor]
{{2016 United States elections}}
Category:2016 elections in the United States