2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
| country = New Hampshire
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| election_date = {{Start date|2016|02|09}}
| previous_election = 2012 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
| previous_year = 2012
| next_election = 2020 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
| next_year = 2020
| image_size = x160px
| image1 = Donald Trump by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg
| candidate1 = Donald Trump
| color1 = 283681
| home_state1 = New York
| delegate_count1 = 11
| popular_vote1 = 100,735
| percentage1 = 35.23%
| image2 = John Kasich (24618295175) (cropped).jpg
| candidate2 = John Kasich
| color2 = 00B487
| home_state2 = Ohio
| delegate_count2 = 4
| popular_vote2 = 44,932
| percentage2 = 15.72%
| image3 = Ted Cruz by Gage Skidmore 10 (cropped).jpg
| candidate3 = Ted Cruz
| color3 = DAA520
| home_state3 = Texas
| delegate_count3 = 3
| popular_vote3 = 33,244
| percentage3 = 11.63%
| image4 = Jeb_Bush_by_Gage_Skidmore_2_(cropped).jpg
| candidate4 = Jeb Bush
| color4 = 993399
| home_state4 = Florida
| delegate_count4 = 3
| popular_vote4 = 31,341
| percentage4 = 10.96%
| image5 = Marco Rubio by Gage Skidmore 8 (cropped).jpg
| candidate5 = Marco Rubio
| color5 = C60E3B
| home_state5 = Florida
| delegate_count5 = 2
| popular_vote5 = 30,071
| percentage5 = 10.52%
| image6 = File:Governor of New Jersey Chris Christie at -FITN in Nashua, New Hampshire (17201866442) (crop).jpg
| candidate6 = Chris Christie
| color6 = 117733
| home_state6 = New Jersey
| delegate_count6 = 0
| popular_vote6 = 21,089
| percentage6 = 7.38%
| map = {{switcher
|Election results by county
|Election results by municipality
|default=1
}}
| map_caption = {{col-begin}}
{{col-4}}
{{legend|#283681|Donald Trump}}
{{legend|#c5cbed|20–30%}}{{legend|#9ea8e1|30–40%}}{{legend|#7786d5|40–50%}}{{legend|#5063c9|50–60%}}
{{col-4}}
{{legend|#00B487|John Kasich}}
{{legend|#c1f0e3|20–30%}}{{legend|#98e6d1|30–40%}}{{legend|#6fdcbe|40–50%}}{{legend|#2cb992|60–70%}}
{{col-4}}
{{legend|#d4aa00|Ted Cruz}}
{{legend|#ffd21a|50–60%}}
{{col-4}}
{{legend|#808080|Tie}}
{{legend|#d3d3d3|No votes}}
{{col-end}}
| votes_for_election = 23 pledged delegates to the 2016 Republican National Convention
| outgoing_members = IA
| elected_members = SC
}}
{{Elections in New Hampshire sidebar}}
The 2016 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, which took place on February 9, was the second major vote of the cycle. Donald Trump was declared the winner with 35.2% of the popular vote and picked up 11 delegates, while John Kasich emerged from a pack of candidates between 10 and 20% to capture second place with 15.8% of the vote and picked up four delegates.
It occurred on the same day as the Democratic primary.
Chris Christie,{{Cite news |last=Burns |first=Alexander |last2=Haberman |first2=Maggie |date=2016-02-10 |title=Chris Christie Drops Out of Presidential Race After New Hampshire Flop |language=en-US |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/11/us/politics/chris-christie.html |access-date=2022-06-18 |issn=0362-4331}} Carly Fiorina,{{Cite news |last=Parker |first=Ashley |date=2016-02-10 |title=Carly Fiorina Drops Out of Republican Presidential Race |language=en-US |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/11/us/politics/carly-fiorina-quits.html |access-date=2022-06-18 |issn=0362-4331}} and Jim Gilmore dropped out of the race after poor showings in the primary.
Campaign
Politico described the 2016 Republican primary in New Hampshire as a
"topsy-turvy" campaign that saw "an all-out assault" on "establishment" politics.{{cite news|last1= Gass|first1= Nick|title= Kasich wins the New Hampshire newspaper primary|url= http://www.politico.com/story/2016/01/concord-monitor-endorses-john-kasich-218221|access-date= 26 January 2016|publisher= Politico|date= 26 January 2016}}
Donald Trump dominated the polling results,{{cite news|last1= Rappeport|first1= Alan|title= Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump Far Ahead in New Hampshire, Poll Finds|url= https://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2016/01/25/bernie-sanders-and-donald-trump-far-ahead-in-new-hampshire-poll-finds/|access-date= 26 January 2016|newspaper=The New York Times|date= 26 January 2016}} with Chris Christie, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Jeb Bush vying to place second and emerge as the leading mainstream alternative to Trump and to Ted Cruz.{{cite news|last1= Stokols|first1= Eli|title= The GOP's New Hampshire nightmare|url= http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/new-hampshire-2016-primary-217145|access-date= 26 January 2016|publisher= Politico|date= 27 December 2015}} In November Chris Christie gained the endorsement of the New Hampshire Union Leader.{{cite news|url= http://www.unionleader.com/For-our-safety,-our-future:-Chris-Christie-for-President|title= For our safety, our future: Chris Christie for President|work= New Hampshire Union Leader|date= November 28, 2015|access-date= January 26, 2016|archive-date= January 26, 2016|archive-url= https://web.archive.org/web/20160126234214/http://www.unionleader.com/For-our-safety,-our-future:-Chris-Christie-for-President|url-status= dead}} Candidates receiving the endorsement later received a boost of on average 8 points in the polls, but the endorsed candidate only won a Republican primary in half of the elections from 1980 to 2012.
{{cite news
|last1= Enten|first1= Harry|title= Will The New Hampshire Union Leader's Endorsement Help Chris Christie?|url= https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/will-the-new-hampshire-union-leaders-endorsement-help-chris-christie/
|access-date= 11 February 2016|publisher= Fivethirtyeight|date= 30 November 2015
}}
But in late January The Boston Globe and the Concord Monitor endorsed Kasich, leading Politico to dub him the winner of the "newspaper primary."
Major debates and forums
Two major televised gatherings of major candidates took place during the 2015-16 campaign, both took place at the New Hampshire Institute of Politics of Saint Anselm College in Goffstown, New Hampshire.
=August 3, 2015 – Voters First Presidential Forum=
The 2016 Voters First Presidential Forum was moderated by Jack Heath of WGIR radio, who asked questions of each of the participating candidates based on a random draw. Candidates each had three opportunities to speak: two rounds of questions, and a closing statement.{{cite web|url=https://money.cnn.com/2015/08/03/media/new-hampshire-republican-debate/index.html|title=Republican forum begins Monday without Donald Trump|author=Brian Stelter|date=August 3, 2015|work=CNNMoney}} Topics of discussion during the forum were partially selected based on the results of an online voter survey.{{cite web |url=http://UnionLeader.com/votersfirst |title=Voters First Forum Topics |quote=On Monday, August 3, candidates ... will be broadcast live on C-SPAN at 7 p.m. Topics for the forum will be determined by you, the voters. Please choose the top five topics you would like to see discussed. ...from these [five] identical drop-down lists: Iran nuclear deal, Homeland Security (Terrorism), Defense, International Trade, Immigration, Russia, Climate change, Crime, Drugs/heroin, Death penalty, Euthanasia, U.S. debt/deficit, Taxes, Economy and jobs, Campaign spending Reform, Social Security, Medicare, Healthcare/Obamacare, Gay marriage, Religious freedom, Privacy/surveillance, Education/Common Core, Abortion, 1st Amendment, 2nd Amendment, Race.}} The facilities were provided by the New Hampshire Institute of Politics and Political Library of St. Anselm College. The forum was organized in response{{cite news |url=http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20150729/NEWS060501/150729077 |date=July 29, 2015 |newspaper=New Hampshire Union Leader |title=Trump tells Union Leader: No endorsement, no show |access-date=December 21, 2015 |archive-date=October 20, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181020034100/http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20150729%2FNEWS060501%2F150729077 |url-status=dead }} to the top-ten invitation limitations placed by Fox News and CNN on their first televised debates (see descriptions below).
Eleven of the candidates participated: Senators Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marco Rubio participated in the forum via satellite to avoid missing a vote.{{cite news|url=https://news.yahoo.com/senate-roll-vote-planned-parenthood-231725304.html|title=Senate roll vote on Planned Parenthood|date=August 3, 2015|agency=Associated Press|access-date=September 24, 2015}} Three major Republican candidates who did not participate were Donald Trump (who chose not to attend), Jim Gilmore (who missed the cutoff deadline){{cite web|url=http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20150802/NEWS060501/150809949/1037/70|title=Voters First Forum levels the playing field|date=August 1, 2015|access-date=August 3, 2015|work=New Hampshire Union-Leader|author=Paul Feely|archive-date=September 25, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150925121234/http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20150802%2FNEWS060501%2F150809949%2F1037%2F70|url-status=dead}} and Mike Huckabee (who was invited, but did not respond). Mark Everson did not receive an invitation, albeit after a "serious look."{{cite web |url=https://www.yahoo.com/politics/new-hampshire-thumbs-its-nose-at-fox-news-over-125381639521.html |title=New Hampshire thumbs its nose at Fox News over presidential debates |first=Jon |last=Ward|date=July 29, 2015 |quote=The Union Leader considered allowing Mark Everson, the commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service from 2003 to 2007, to take part. Everson announced his candidacy in March. "We had discussions with Mark Everson about whether or not he would qualify. We didn't want to do what Fox did, which was cut the field arbitrarily," Spiner said. "We took a serious look to see if we were missing something here, and we decided we weren't." }}{{cite web|url=https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/aug/05/mark-everson-republican-presidential-candidate-polling-debates|title=Who is Mark Everson? Why, he's the 18th Republican candidate, of course|author=Ben Jacobs|work=the Guardian}}
The Voters First forum was broadcast nationally{{cite web|url=http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20150715/NEWS060501/150719512|title=Outfoxed: Voters Forum to be first for GOP|work=New Hampshire Union Leader|date=July 14, 2015|access-date=August 3, 2015|archive-date=March 4, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160304095338/http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20150715%2FNEWS060501%2F150719512|url-status=dead}} by C-SPAN{{cite web|url=http://www.c-span.org/video/?111549-1/radio-2016-republican-candidates-voters-first-forum|title=Radio 2016 Republican Candidates Voters First|work=C-SPAN}} as the originating source media entity, beginning at 6:30 p.m. EDT and lasting{{citation needed|date=August 2015}} from 7 to 9 p.m. The event was also simulcast and/or co-sponsored by television stations KCRG-TV in Iowa, New England Cable News in the northeast, WBIN-TV in New Hampshire,{{cite web|url=http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20150723/NEWS060501/150729542|title=UPDATED: Bush, Walker, Paul in, Trump out of Voters First forum|work=New Hampshire Union Leader|date=July 24, 2015|access-date=January 5, 2022|archive-date=October 20, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181020034111/http://www.unionleader.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=%2F20150723%2FNEWS060501%2F150729542|url-status=dead}} WLTX-TV in South Carolina, radio stations New Hampshire Public Radio, WGIR in New Hampshire, iHeartRadio on the internet (C-SPAN is also offering an online version of the broadcast), and newspapers the Cedar Rapids Gazette in Iowa, the Union Leader in New Hampshire, and the Post and Courier in Charleston South Carolina. There was a live audience, with tickets to the event awarded via a lottery.
=Lesser known candidates forum at Goffstown=
One of the highlights of the campaign is when the nonrecognized candidates gather together to introduce themselves to the public at this event, which first was held in 1972.{{cite web|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/01/25/the-existential-pleasures-of-the-lesser-known-candidates-presidential-debate/ |title=The existential pleasures of the Lesser Known Candidates presidential debate|work=The Washington Post|access-date=25 October 2016}} Five candidates participated. They were Stephen Comley, Tim Cook, Walter Iwachiw, Andy Martin, and Joe Robinson.
=February 6, 2016 – Goffstown, New Hampshire=
| class="wikitable sortable floatright"
! Candidate !! Airtime{{Cite web|title=On The Clock: Rubio Gets The Most Talking Time In Tonight's Debate|url=https://www.npr.org/2016/02/06/465858684/on-the-clock-whos-getting-the-most-talking-time-in-tonights-debate |website=NPR.org|access-date=2016-02-07|first=Barbara|last=Sprunt}}!! Polls{{cite web|url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html |title=2016 Republican Presidential Nomination|work=realclearpolitics.com|access-date=25 October 2016}} | ||
| Trump | 15:32 | 33.2% |
| Cruz | 17:34 | 20.7% |
| Rubio | 18:14 | 13.3% |
| Carson | 8:46 | 7.8% |
| Bush | 12:30 | 4.5% |
| Christie | 12:53 | 3.0% |
| Kasich | 10:33 | 2.8% |
The eighth debate was held in New Hampshire, the first state to hold primaries, was organized by ABC News and the Independent Journal Review. It was scheduled to be held in the St Anselm's College Institute of Politics.{{cite web|title = Scheduled Presidential Candidate Visits & Other Forums - LWV of New Hampshire|url = http://lwvnh.org/Forums-debates.html|website = lwvnh.org|access-date = 2015-12-16|archive-date = 2015-12-31|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20151231161423/http://lwvnh.org/Forums-debates.html|url-status = dead}} The eighth debate did not feature an undercard event.{{cite news|last1=Kamisar|first1=Ben|title=Rand Paul makes main debate stage|url=https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/267106-rand-paul-makes-main-debate-stage/|access-date=2 February 2016|date=26 January 2016|work=The Hill}} David Muir and Martha Raddatz were moderaters, along with WMUR political director Josh McElveen and Mary Katherine Ham.{{cite web|last1=Anthony|first1=Bennett|title=When Is the Next GOP Debate?|url=http://heavy.com/news/2016/02/gop-debate-time-channel-live-stream-trump-cruz-rubio-bush-carson/|website=Heavy.com|access-date=February 4, 2016|date=February 3, 2016}}
To participate in the debate, a candidate must either have placed among the top 3 candidates in the popular vote of the Iowa caucus, or placed among the top 6 candidates in an average of New Hampshire or national polls recognized by ABC News. Only polls conducted no earlier than January 1 and released by February 4 were included in the averages.{{cite web |author1=ABC News |title=ABC News Announces Criteria For New Hampshire Republican Debate |url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/abc-news-announces-criteria-hampshire-republican-debate/story?id=36550263 |website=ABC News |access-date=2016-02-02 |date=2016-01-27}}
On February 4, 2016, Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Marco Rubio, and Donald Trump were invited to the debate.{{cite web|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/abc-news-announces-hampshire-republican-debate-candidate-lineup/story?id=36721505|title=ABC News Announces New Hampshire Republican Debate Candidate Lineup|work=ABC News|date=February 4, 2016|access-date=February 4, 2016}} Carly Fiorina and Jim Gilmore were not invited as they did not meet the criteria.{{cite web|last=Kamisar|first=Ben|url=https://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/268317-carly-fiorina-abc-republican-debate/|title=Carly Fiorina misses debate stage|work=The Hill|date=February 4, 2016|access-date=February 4, 2016}}
The debate was notable for Rubio's poor performance, where he repeated the same phrase four times, including once while Christie was criticizing him for making "canned" remarks.{{cite web|url=http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/07/politics/chris-christie-republican-debate-race-changed-jake-tapper/index.html |title=Chris Christie: 'Whole race changed' after GOP debate|author=Tom LoBianco|work=CNN|access-date=25 October 2016}}{{cite web|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/02/07/how-chris-christie-just-owned-marco-rubio-in-saturdays-gop-debate/ |title=How Chris Christie owned Marco Rubio in Saturday's GOP debate|work=The Washington Post|access-date=25 October 2016}}
{{anchor|Debate 9}}{{clear}}
Candidates
Twenty-six total candidates were on the ballot in the New Hampshire primary.{{cite web|url=http://sos.nh.gov/ |title=NHSOS|website=nh.gov|access-date=25 October 2016}} The following notable candidates were listed in five major polls and participated in authorized debates. U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina and former Governors Bobby Jindal of Louisiana and George Pataki of New York withdrew from the race, but remained on the ballot.
The following were listed in national polls and participated in at least one nationally televised debate.
The following were listed in national polls and participated in at least one nationally televised debate, but withdrew their candidacies before the New Hampshire primary.
The following candidates have not been listed in major independent polls nor participated in Republican party sanctioned debates:
- Stephen B. Comley Sr., Massachusetts (31 votes)
- Tim Cook, North Carolina (77 votes)
- Brooks A. Cullison, Illinois (54 votes)
- Matt Drozd, Pennsylvania (5 votes)
- J. Daniel Dyas Sr., Alabama (14 votes)
- Kevin Glenn Huey, Colorado (7 votes)
- Walter N. Iwachiw, New York (9 votes)
- Frank Lynch, Florida (47 votes)
- Robert L. Mann, Indiana (5 votes)
- Andy Martin, New Hampshire (169 votes)
- Peter Messina (5 votes)
- Stephen John McCarthy, Ohio (12 votes)
- Chomi Prag, Wisconsin (14 votes)
- Joe Robinson, Massachusetts (44 votes)
- Richard P.H. Witz, Massachusetts (105 votes)
Endorsements
{{Endorsements box
| title = Jeb Bush
| list =
U.S. Senators
- Judd Gregg, Senator of New Hampshire (1993–2011){{Cite web|url=https://www.wmur.com/article/updated-former-sen-judd-gregg-endorses-jeb-bush-for-president/5205330|title=Updated: Former Sen. Judd Gregg endorses Jeb Bush for president
|website=WMUR9abc|date=October 29, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-10-29}}
State Senators
- John Barnes Jr., State Senator of NH-17 (1992-1998) (2000-2012){{Cite web|url=https://www.p2016.org/bush/bushorg.html#nh|title=Updated: Jeb 2016, Inc.
|website=P2016|date=June 15, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-06-15}}
- Chuck Morse, State Senator of NH-22 (2002-2006) (2010-Present){{Cite web|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/bush-receives-major-endorsement-new-hampshire-n444341|title=Updated: Bush Receives Major Endorsement In New Hampshire|website=NBC|date=October 14, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-10-14}}
- Russell Prescott, State Senator of NH-23 (2000-2004) (2010-Present){{Cite web|url=https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2015/oct/29/jeb-bush-backers-still-supporting-ex-governor/|title=Jeb Bush backers still supporting ex-governor|website=Washington Times|date=October 29, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-10-29}}
Newspapers
- The Conway Daily Sun{{cite news |title=Bush: Extremely electable |url=http://www.conwaydailysun.com/opinion/editorials/124475-bush-extremely-electable |work=Conway Daily Sun |access-date=2016-02-03 |date=2016-02-03}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Chris Christie
| list =
U.S. Representatives
- Bill Zeliff, Representative of NH-01 (1991-1997){{Cite web|url=https://www.wmur.com/article/former-us-rep-bill-zeliff-latest-to-endorse-christie/5206394|title=Former US Rep. Bill Zeliff latest to endorse Christie|website=WMUR9|date=December 2, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-12-02}}
- Jeb Bradley, Representative of NH-01 (2003-2007){{Cite web|url=https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/chris-christie-lands-jeb-bradley-endorsement-msna741931|title=Chris Christie lands Jeb Bradley endorsement|website=MSNBC|date=December 7, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-12-07}}
State Senators
- Robert Letourneau, State Senator of NH-19 (2004-2010){{Cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/ted-cruz-new-hampshire-primary-218921|title=Will Ted Cruz surprise in New Hampshire?|website=Politico|date=February 8, 2016|language=en|access-date=2016-02-08}}
Individuals
- Walt Havenstein, Republican Nominee for Governor of New Hampshire in 2014{{Cite web|url=https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/christie-campaign-press-release-former-republican-nominee-for-governor-walt-havenstein|title=Christie Campaign Press Release - Former Republican Nominee For Governor Walt Havenstein Endorses Chris Christie For President|website=The American Presidency Project|date=November 5, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-11-05}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Ted Cruz
| list =
U.S. Senators
- Bob Smith, Senator of New Hampshire (1990–2003){{Cite web|url=https://blog.4president.us/2016/2015/11/former-new-hampshire-state-senator-bob-letourneau-of-derry-rndorses-chris-christie-for-president-.html|title=Former New Hampshire State Senator Bob Letourneau of Derry Endorses Chris Christie for President|website=Blog4President|date=November 21, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-11-21}}
Executive Council
- Dave Wheeler, Executive Council (2001-2005) (2011-2013) (2015-Present){{Cite web|url=https://www.p2016.org/cruz/cruz051315pr.html|title=Will Ted Cruz surprise in New Hampshire?|website=P2016|date=May 13, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-05-13}}
State Senators
- Kevin Avard, State Senator of NH-12 (2014-Present)
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Carly Fiorina
| list =
State Senators
- Jeanie Forrester, State Senator of NH-02 (2010-Present){{Cite web|url=https://www.p2016.org/chrnnewh/nhendorse16r.html|title=New Hampshire Endorsements—Republicans
|website=P2016|date=January 8, 2016|language=en}}
- Sharon Carson, State Senator of NH-14 (2008-Present)
- John Reagan, State Senator of NH-17 (2012-Present){{Cite web|url=https://www.p2016.org/chrnnewh/nhendorse16r.html|title=New Hampshire Endorsements—Republicans
|website=P2016|date=January 8, 2016|language=en|access-date=2016-01-05}}
Individuals
- Ovide Lamontagne, Republican Nominee for Governor of New Hampshire in 1996 and 2012{{Cite web|url=https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/carly-fiorina-wins-key-endorsement-new-hampshire-n489236|title=Carly Fiorina Wins Key Endorsement in New Hampshire|website=NBC|date=January 2, 2016|language=en|access-date=2016-01-02}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = John Kasich
| list =
U.S. Senators
- Gordon J. Humphrey, Senator of New Hampshire (1979–1990){{Cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/john-kasich-endorsed-by-gordon-humphrey-214372|title=Kasich picks up endorsement of former N.H. senator Humphrey|website=Politico|date=October 2, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-10-02}}
- John E. Sununu, Senator of New Hampshire (2003–2009){{Cite web|url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2015/07/21/fmr_nh_sen_sununu_why_im_thrilled_john_kasich_decided_to_run_for_president.html|title=Fmr. NH Sen. Sununu: Why I'm Thrilled John Kasich Decided To Run For President|website=Real Clear Politics|date=July 21, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-06-21}}
U.S. Representatives
- Charles Bass, Representative of NH-02 (1995–2007) (2011-2013){{Cite web|url=https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/kasich-campaign-press-release-endorsement-former-congressman-charlie-bass-supports-john|title=Kasich Campaign Press Release - Endorsement: Former Congressman Charlie Bass Supports John Kasich for President|website=The American Presidency Project|date=February 2, 2016|language=en|access-date=2016-02-02}}
- Chuck Douglas, Representative of NH-02 (1989–1991){{Cite web|url=https://patch.com/new-hampshire/concord-nh/former-judge-rep-douglas-backs-kasich|title=Former Judge, Rep. Douglas Backs Kasich|website=Patch|date=January 20, 2016|language=en|access-date=2016-01-20}}
State Senators
- David Boutin, State Senator of NH-16 (2010-Present){{Cite web|url=https://www.unionleader.com/news/politics/voters/john-kasich-names-boutin-a-nh-co-chairman/article_2bcef8f7-aad3-5ebc-b32d-f467b07dd2ff.html|title=John Kasich names David Boutin a NH co-chair|website=New Hampshire Union Leader|date=September 3, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-09-03}}
Newspapers
- The Portsmouth Herald{{cite news|title=Portsmouth Herald, Foster's endorse Kasich in NH GOP primary|url=http://www.seacoastonline.com/article/20160115/NEWS/160119396/101050/OPINION|work=seacoastonline.com|date=January 15, 2016|access-date=June 19, 2022|archive-date=September 20, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210920202908/https://www.seacoastonline.com/article/20160115/NEWS/160119396/101050/OPINION|url-status=dead}}
- Nashua Telegraph{{cite news|url=http://www.nashuatelegraph.com/opinion/editorials/1075968-465/our-choice-for-the-gop-nomination.html|title=Our choice for the GOP nomination|work=Nashua Telegraph|date=January 17, 2016}}
- Valley News{{cite news |title=Editorial: John Kasich |url=http://www.vnews.com/opinion/editorials/20637011-95/editorial-john-kasich |access-date=2016-01-24 |work=Valley News |date=2016-01-24 |location=West Lebanon, N.H.}}
- Concord Monitor{{cite web|url=http://www.concordmonitor.com/opinion/editorials/20721839-95/editorial-john-kasich-for-the-republican-nomination|title=Editorial: John Kasich for the Republican nomination|date=January 26, 2016|work=Concord Monitor}}
- The Keene Sentinel{{cite web|url=http://www.sentinelsource.com/opinion/editorial/we-endorse-john-kasich-for-the-republican-presidential-nomination/article_3cc968e9-6ebe-5b35-85a5-8525ff4c85da.html|title=We endorse John Kasich for the Republican presidential nomination|date=January 27, 2016|work=The Keene Sentinel}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Marco Rubio
| list =
Governor
- Craig Benson, Governor of New Hampshire (2003–2005){{Cite web|url=https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2016/02/06/three-endorsements-that-would-matter/MzEuoUJEsba9mF00ujtskI/story.html|title=Three endorsements that would matter in N.H.
|website=The Boston Globe|date=February 6, 2016|language=en|access-date=2016-02-06}}
State Senators
- Regina Birdsell, State Senator of NH-19 (2014-Present){{Cite web|url=https://www.unionleader.com/news/politics/voters/marco-rubio-names-nh-co-chairs/article_f0d34e30-31b3-554e-85dc-f11b088e154e.html|title=Birdsell, MacDonald co-chairs for Rubio|website=New Hampshire Union leader|date=May 19, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-05-19}}
}}
= Withdrawn candidates =
{{Endorsements box
| title = Jim Gilmore (Withdrawn)
| list =
State Senators
- Sam Cataldo, State Senator of NH-06 (2012-Present){{Cite web|url=https://www.p2016.org/chrnnewh/nhendorse16r.html|title=New Hampshire Endorsements—Republicans|website=P2016|date=January 8, 2016|language=en|access-date=2016-01-08}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = George Pataki (Withdrawn)
| list =
State Senators
- Nancy Stiles, State Senator of NH-24 (2010-Present){{Cite web|url=https://www.seacoastonline.com/story/news/local/exeter-news-letter/2015/05/28/sen-stiles-endorses-pataki/34461603007/|title=Sen. Stiles endorses Pataki
|website=SeaCoasyOnline|date=May 28, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-05-28}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Rand Paul (Withdrawn)
| list =
State Senators
- Andy Sanborn, State Senator of NH-09 (2012-Present){{Cite web|url=https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/rand-paul-campaign-press-release-100-new-hampshire-leaders-stand-with-rand|title=Rand Paul Campaign Press Release - 100 New Hampshire Leaders Stand With Rand|website=The American Presidency Project|date=June 25, 2015|language=en|access-date=2015-06-25}}
}}
Polling
{{Main|Opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primary in New Hampshire}}
= Aggregate polls =
| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"
|+ !Source of poll aggregation !Dates administered !Dates updated ! class="unsortable" |Marco Rubio ! class="unsortable" |Donald Trump ! class="unsortable" |Ted Cruz ! class="unsortable" |John Kasich !Margin |
| RealClearPolitics[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_presidential_primary-3350.html RealClearPolitics]
|until February 9, 2016 |February 9, 2016 |14.0% | {{party shading/Republican}} |31.2% |11.8% |13.5% | {{party shading/Republican}} |{{hs|20.0}}Trump +17.2 |
| FiveThirtyEight[https://web.archive.org/web/20160115052034/http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/new-hampshire-republican/ FiveThirtyEight]
|until February 9, 2016 |February 9, 2016 |15.7% | {{party shading/Republican}} |26.8% |12.0% |15.2% | {{party shading/Republican}} |{{hs|23.0}}Trump +11.0 |
| class="wikitable"
! style="width:180px;" |Poll source ! style="width:135px;" |Date ! style="width:100px;" |1st ! style="width:100px;" |2nd ! style="width:100px;" |3rd !Other |
| style="background:Moccasin;"
|Primary results[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NH-R Primary results] |February 9, 2016 |Donald Trump35.23% |John Kasich15.72% |Ted Cruz11.63% |Jeb Bush 10.96%, Marco Rubio 10.52%, Chris Christie 7.38%, Carly Fiorina 4.12%, Ben Carson 2.28%, Rand Paul 0.68%, Mike Huckabee 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.06%, Jim Gilmore 0.05% |
| ARG{{cite web |title=ARG Poll |url=http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html |work=American Research Group |accessdate=9 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 418 |February 7–8, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich 17% |Marco Rubio 14% |Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 6% |
| CNN/UNH/WMUR{{cite web |title=Trump, Sanders lead ahead of New Hampshire's vote |url=http://edition.cnn.com/2016/02/08/politics/donald-trump-bernie-sanders-new-hampshire-poll/index.html |work=University of New Hampshire Survey Center |accessdate=9 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 362 |February 4–8, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 17% |Ted Cruz 14% |John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 7% |
| Gravis Marketing/
Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 705 |February 7, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich 17% |Marco Rubio 15% |Jeb Bush 14%, Ted Cruz 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 0.5% |
| ARG{{cite web |title=ARG Poll |url=http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html |work=American Research Group |accessdate=8 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 427 |February 6–7, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich 16% |Marco Rubio 16% |Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 9% |
| UMass Lowell/7 News{{cite web |title=Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters |url=http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-8%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230870.pdf |work=University of Massachusetts Lowell |accessdate=8 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.13% Sample size: 464 |February 5–7, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 13% |Ted Cruz 13% |Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 9% |
| Emerson College{{cite web |title=DONALD TRUMPS NEW HAMPSHIRE; BATTLE FOR SECOND BETWEEN BUSH AND KASICH AS DEBATE FALLOUT CONTINUES. SANDERS WELL AHEAD OF CLINTON |url=http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_40ad3c95ef7d40e5bc8470098cbc702f.pdf |work=Emerson College Polling Society |accessdate=9 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 686 |February 4–7, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Jeb Bush 16% |John Kasich 13% |Marco Rubio 12%, Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 3%, |
| ARG
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 422 |February 5–6, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich 17% |Marco Rubio 17% |Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 8% |
| Monmouth University{{cite web |title=TRUMP, SANDERS HOLD LEADS |url=http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/2114e68d-b5a1-46c5-a375-2d112a71d050.pdf |work=Monmouth University |accessdate=8 February 2016 |archive-date=14 March 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160314134148/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/2114e68d-b5a1-46c5-a375-2d112a71d050.pdf |url-status=dead }}
Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 508 |February 4–6, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich 14% |Marco Rubio 13% |Jeb Bush 13%, Ted Cruz 12%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 3% |
| UMass Lowell/7 News{{cite web |title=Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters |url=http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-7%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230859.pdf |work=University of Massachusetts Lowell |accessdate=8 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.82% Sample size: 516 |February 4–6, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 14% |Ted Cruz 13% |Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 7% |
| CNN/UNH/WMUR{{cite web |title=Full CNN/WMUR tracking poll results |url=http://edition.cnn.com/2016/02/07/politics/new-hampshire-poll-full-results/index.html |accessdate=8 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 362 |February 3–6, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 16% |Ted Cruz 14% |John Kasich 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Someone Else 1%, Not Sure 6% |
| Franklin Pierce University/
Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 433 |February 2–6, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Ted Cruz 16% |Marco Rubio 15% |John Kasich 11%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 2%, Unsure 3% |
| ARG{{cite web |title=ARG Poll |url=http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html |work=American Research Group |accessdate=7 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 415 |February 4–5, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich 17% |Marco Rubio 16% |Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 6% |
| UMass Lowell/7 News{{cite web |title=Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters |url=http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-6%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230852.pdf |work=University of Massachusetts Lowell |accessdate=7 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.86% Sample size: 501 |February 3–5, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 14% |Ted Cruz 13% |John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Undecided 9% |
| Suffolk University/
Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500 |February 3–4, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 19.4% |John Kasich 13% |Jeb Bush 9.8%, Ted Cruz 6.6%, Chris Christie 5.2%, Ben Carson 4.4%, Carly Fiorina 3.8%, Other 1%, Undecided 8% |
| ARG{{cite web |title=ARG Poll |url=http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html |work=American Research Group |accessdate=6 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 420 |February 3–4, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 15% |John Kasich 14% |Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 6% |
| MassINC/WBUR{{cite web |title=In N.H., Democratic Race Tightens Slightly, Trump Stays Ahead On GOP Side |url=http://www.wbur.org/2016/02/05/final-wbur-poll-new-hampshire |work=WBUR |accessdate=6 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 410 |February 2–4, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 12% |Ted Cruz 12% |Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 9%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Jim Gilmore <1% Other <1%, Won't Vote 1%, Don't Know 5% |
| UMass Lowell/7 News{{cite web |title=Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters |url=http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-5%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230845.pdf |work=University of Massachusetts Lowell |accessdate=5 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 500 |February 2–4, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 15% |Ted Cruz 14% |Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 2%, Undecided 6% |
| CNN/UNH/WMUR{{cite web |title=CNN/WMUR New Hampshire Republican poll: Full results |url=http://edition.cnn.com/2016/02/04/politics/gop-new-hampshire-cnn-wmur-poll-full-results/index.html |accessdate=5 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 6.8% Sample size: 209 |February 2–4, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 18% |Ted Cruz 13% |John Kasich 12%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone Else 2%, Not Sure 8% |
| NBC News/WSJ/Marist{{cite web |title=NBC News/WSJ/Marsit New Hampshire Poll |url=http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-trump-holds-lead-new-hampshire-rubio-gains-ground-n511646 |work=Marist |accessdate=5 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 653 |February 2–3, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 17% |Ted Cruz 15% |John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Other 1%, Undecided 7% |
| ARG{{cite web |title=ARG Poll |url=http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html |work=ARG |accessdate=5 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 600 |February 2–3, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 14% |John Kasich 13% |Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 8% |
| UMass Lowell/7 News{{cite web |title=Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters |url=http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-4%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230668.pdf |work=University of Massachusetts Lowell |accessdate=4 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.87% Sample size: 487 |February 1–3, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 15% |Ted Cruz 14% |Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 8% |
| Harper Polling{{cite web |title=New Hampshire Republican Primary Poll Results |url=http://harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/16-02-nh-gop-primary-toplines.pdf?sfvrsn=0 |work=Harper Polling |accessdate=4 February 2016 |archive-date=7 February 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160207102554/http://www.harperpolling.com/docs/default-source/default-document-library/16-02-nh-gop-primary-toplines.pdf?sfvrsn=0 |url-status=dead }}
Margin of error: ± 4.75% Sample size: 425 |February 1–2, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Jeb Bush 14% |John Kasich 12% |Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 8% |
| UMass Lowell/7 News{{cite web |title=Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters |url=http://www.uml.edu/docs/2-3%20TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY_tcm18-230574.pdf |work=University of Massachusetts Lowell |accessdate=3 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 502 |January 31– February 2, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Ted Cruz 14% |Marco Rubio 12% |Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 4% |
| UMass Amherst/
Margin of error: ± 7.1% Sample size: 390 |January 29– February 2, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 15% |John Kasich 11% |Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 8%, Unsure 3% |
| ARG{{cite web |title=ARG Poll |url=http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html |work=ARG |accessdate=2 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600 |January 29–31, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich 16% |Marco Rubio 11% |Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Undecided 6% |
| UMass Lowell/7 News{{cite web |title=Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters |url=http://www.uml.edu/docs/TOPLINE%20-%20UMassLowell-7NEWS%20NH%20PRIMARY%202-1-16_tcm18-230419.pdf |work=University of Massachusetts Lowell |accessdate=1 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 461 |January 29–31, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Ted Cruz 12% |John Kasich 9% |Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Rand Paul 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Other 2%, Not Sure 5% |
| CNN/UNH/WMUR{{cite web |title=CNN Poll |url=http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/01/31/topnh2.pdf |work=University of New Hampshire Survey Center |accessdate=1 February 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 409 |January 27–30, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Ted Cruz 12% |Marco Rubio 11% |John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 3%, Not Sure 10% |
| Franklin Pierce/RKM/
Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 439 |January 26–30, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Ted Cruz 13% |Jeb Bush 10% |Marco Rubio 10%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 2% |
| Suffolk University{{cite web |title=Trump Maintains Lead in Suffolk University Poll of N.H. GOP Primary Voters |url=http://www.suffolk.edu/news/63870.php#.VqqVAdDlYdI |work=Suffolk University |accessdate=29 January 2016 |archive-date=2 February 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160202192321/http://www.suffolk.edu/news/63870.php#.VqqVAdDlYdI |url-status=dead }}
Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500 |January 25–27, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich 12% |Ted Cruz 11.8% |Jeb Bush 11.2%, Marco Rubio 9.6%, Chris Christie 5.6%, Ben Carson 4.8%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 1.6%, Mike Huckabee 0.4%, Jim Gilmore 0.2%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 0.4%, Undecided 11.8% |
| Adrian Gray
Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 583 |January 25–27, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 15% |Ted Cruz 13% |John Kasich 12%, Jeb Bush 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Don't know 5% |
| Emerson College{{cite web |title=NEW HAMPSHIRE-TRUMP COMFORTABLY AHEAD; BUSH SURGES TO SECOND, KASICH IN THIRD; SANDERS CRUISING AHEAD OF CLINTON |url=http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_fdba60d808d0424aabe75c667d268972.pdf |work=Emerson College Polling Society |accessdate=28 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 373 |January 25–26, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Jeb Bush 18% |John Kasich 14% |Marco Rubio 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 1% |
| ARG{{cite web |title=ARG Poll |url=http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html |work=ARG |accessdate=20 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600 |January 23–25, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich 17% |Ted Cruz 12% |Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 6% |
| Franklin Pierce/RKM/Boston Herald{{cite web |title=Donald Trump builds on his lead in New Hampshire, as more than one-half of Republican voters in the state now believe he will be the eventual Republican nominee |url=http://www.bostonherald.com/sites/default/files/media/2016/01/25/FPU-BH-Jan20-24-Rep.pdf |work=RKM Research and Communications |accessdate=26 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 444 |January 20–24, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Ted Cruz 14% |John Kasich 12% |Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 1%, Unsure 3% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist{{cite web |title=Trump Leads in IA, NH, and SC… Clinton and Sanders Competitive in IA, Sanders up in NH, Clinton Leads in SC |url=http://maristpoll.marist.edu/128-trump-leads-in-ia-nh-and-sc-clinton-and-sanders-competitive-in-ia-sanders-up-in-nh-clinton-leads-in-sc/ |work=Marist Poll |accessdate=January 28, 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 612 |January 17–23, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Ted Cruz 12% |Marco Rubio/ John Kasich 11% |Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 5% |
| Fox News{{cite web |title=New Hampshire Presidential Primary |url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/01/22/fox-news-poll-new-hampshire-presidential-primary/ |work=Fox News |accessdate=25 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 401 |January 19–21, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Ted Cruz 14% |Marco Rubio 13% |John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, None of the above 1%, Don't know 5% |
| CBS/YouGov{{cite web |title=CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Hampshire |url=https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/g7qekbbvsx/NH_ForRelease_20160124.pdf |work=YouGov |accessdate=25 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: 476 |January 19–21, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Ted Cruz 16% |Marco Rubio 14% |John Kasich 10%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0% |
| ARG
Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600 |January 15–18, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich 20% |Marco Rubio 10% |Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 7% |
| CNN/UNH/WMUR{{cite web |title=Trump Still on Top in NH, Big Battle for Second, Most Voters Still Undecided |url=http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/primary2016_gopprimary012016.pdf |work=University of New Hampshire |accessdate=21 January 2016 |archive-date=23 January 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160123014356/http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/primary2016_gopprimary012016.pdf |url-status=dead }}
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 414 |January 13–18, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Ted Cruz 14% |Marco Rubio 10% |Jeb Bush 10%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 6%, John Kasich 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Don't know 6% |
| Mason-Dixon/AARP{{cite web |title=Likely New Hampshire Primary Voters’ Attitudes Toward Social Security |url=http://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/econ/2016/likely-nh-primary-voters-rc-econ.pdf |work=AARP |accessdate=28 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 503 |January 12–16, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 14% |John Kasich 13% |Chris Christie 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Ben Carson 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 4% |
| ARG{{cite web |title=ARG Poll |url=http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2016/primary/rep/nhrep.html |work=ARG |accessdate=12 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600 |January 7–10, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio/ John Kasich 14% |Chris Christie 10% |Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 8% |
| Monmouth University{{cite web |title=Trump Lead Grows |url=http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/290da493-3987-4ce9-8421-ab5b42f97a41.pdf |work=Monmouth University |accessdate=12 January 2016 |archive-date=18 January 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160118175642/http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/290da493-3987-4ce9-8421-ab5b42f97a41.pdf |url-status=dead }}
Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 414 |January 7–10, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |John Kasich/ Ted Cruz 14% |Marco Rubio 12% |Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 3% |
| NBC/WSJ/Marist{{cite web |title=Cruz and Trump Vie in IA, Trump NH Favorite… Clinton and Sanders Competitive |url=http://maristpoll.marist.edu/110-cruz-and-trump-vie-in-ia-trump-nh-favorite-clinton-and-sanders-competitive/ |work=Marist Poll |accessdate=11 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 569 |January 2–7, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 14% |Chris Christie 12% |Ted Cruz 10%, John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee <1%, Other <1%, Undecided 5% |
| NH1/Reach{{cite web |title=Republican Presidential Poll |url=http://www.nh1.com/files/2016_fitn_reach_poll_1.7.16_gopund.pdf |accessdate=9 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 3.1% Sample size: 1000 |January 7, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Jeb Bush 11.9% |John Kasich 11.8% |Chris Christie 11.0%, Ted Cruz 9.7%, Marco Rubio 8.9%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Ben Carson 3.8%, Rand Paul 3.0%, Rick Santorum 2.6%, Mike Huckabee 1.0% |
| Fox News{{cite web |title=New Hampshire Presidential Primary Race |url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/01/08/fox-news-poll-new-hampshire-gop-presidential-primary-race/ |work=Fox News |accessdate=9 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 414 |January 4–7, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 15% |Ted Cruz 12% |Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 4% |
| Public Policy Polling{{cite web |title=Establishment Split Leaves Trump Well Ahead in NH |url=http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_10616.pdf |work=PPP |accessdate=7 January 2016}}
Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 515 |January 4–6, 2016 | {{party shading/Republican}} |Donald Trump |Marco Rubio 15% |Chris Christie/ John Kasich 11% |Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 2% |
Results
| class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"
|+ New Hampshire Republican primary, February 9, 2016 |
| rowspan="2" | Candidate
! rowspan="2" | Votes ! rowspan="2" | Percentage ! colspan="3" | Actual delegate count |
|---|
| Bound
! Unbound ! Total |
| {{party shading/Republican}}
| style="text-align:left;" | Donald Trump |100,735 |35.23% |11 |0 |11 |
| style="text-align:left;" | John Kasich
|44,932 |15.72% |4 |0 |4 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Ted Cruz
|33,244 |11.63% |3 |0 |3 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Jeb Bush
|31,341 |10.96% |3 |0 |3 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Marco Rubio
|30,071 |10.52% |2 |0 |2 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Chris Christie
|21,089 |7.38% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Carly Fiorina
|11,774 |4.12% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Ben Carson
|6,527 |2.28% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Rand Paul (withdrawn)
|1,930 |0.68% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Write-ins
|2,912 |1.02% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)
|216 |0.08% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Andy Martin
|202 |0.07% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Rick Santorum (withdrawn)
|160 |0.06% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Jim Gilmore
|134 |0.05% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Richard Witz
|104 |0.04% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | George Pataki (withdrawn)
|79 |0.03% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Lindsey Graham (withdrawn)
|73 |0.03% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Brooks Andrews Cullison
|56 |0.02% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Timothy Cook
|55 |0.02% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Bobby Jindal (withdrawn)
|53 |0.02% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Frank Lynch
|47 |0.02% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Joe Robinson
|44 |0.02% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Stephen Bradley Comley
|32 |0.01% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Chomi Prag
|16 |0.01% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Jacob Daniel Dyas
|15 |0.01% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Stephen John McCarthy
|12 |0% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Walter Iwachiw
|9 |0% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Kevin Glenn Huey
|8 |0% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Matt Drozd
|6 |0% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Robert Lawrence Mann
|5 |0% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="text-align:left;" | Peter Messina
|5 |0% |0 |0 |0 |
| style="background:#eee;"
! colspan="3" | Unprojected delegates: ! 0 ! 0 ! 0 |
| style="background:#eee;"
!Total: !285,916 !100.00% !23 !0 !23 |
| colspan="6" style="text-align:left;" | Source: [http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/NH-R The Green Papers] |
Note: Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 10% or more of the vote proportionally. Of the 25 candidate/hopefuls, five candidates garnered delegates.
= Results by County =
| class="wikitable sortable mw-collapsible" width="60%" style="text-align:center"
|+2016 New Hampshire Republican Primaries (By County){{Cite web |title=Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections |url=https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html |access-date=2025-02-18 |website=uselectionatlas.org}} ! rowspan="2" style="text-align:center;" |County ! colspan="2" style="text-align:center;" |Donald Trump ! colspan="2" style="text-align:center;" |John Kasich ! colspan="2" style="text-align:center;" |Ted Cruz ! colspan="2" |Jeb Bush ! colspan="2" |Marco Rubio ! colspan="2" |Chris Christie ! colspan="2" |All Other Candidates{{Efn|Includes the vote totals of Carly Fiorina, Ben Carson, Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, and any other write-in candidates or votes.}} ! rowspan="2" style="text-align:center;" |Total |
| data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |#
! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" | % ! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |# ! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" | % ! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" |# ! data-sort-type="number" style="text-align:center;" | % !# ! % !# ! % !# ! % !# ! % |
|---|
| style="text-align:center;"
|style="color:black; background:#283681;"|Belknap |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|5,508 |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|35.16% |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|2,464 |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|15.73% |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|2,019 |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|12.89% |style="color:white; background:#939;"|1,741 |style="color:white; background:#939;"|11.11% |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|1,511 |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|9.64% |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|1,002 |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|6.40% |{{party shading/Other}}|1,422 |{{party shading/Other}}|9.07% |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|15,667 |
| style="text-align:center;"
|style="color:black; background:#283681;"|Carroll |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|4,170 |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|33.95% |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|2,279 |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|18.55% |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|1,357 |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|11.05% |style="color:white; background:#939;"|1,240 |style="color:white; background:#939;"|10.09% |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|1,430 |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|11.64% |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|883 |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|7.19% |{{party shading/Other}}|925 |{{party shading/Other}}|7.54% |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|12,284 |
| style="text-align:center;"
|style="color:black; background:#283681;"|Cheshire |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|4,533 |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|33.42% |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|2,177 |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|16.05% |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|1,888 |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|13.92% |style="color:white; background:#939;"|1,500 |style="color:white; background:#939;"|11.06% |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|1,237 |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|9.12% |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|754 |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|5.56% |{{party shading/Other}}|1,473 |{{party shading/Other}}|10.87% |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|13,562 |
| style="text-align:center;"
|style="color:black; background:#283681;"|Coos |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|2,184 |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|36.99% |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|943 |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|15.97% |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|601 |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|10.18% |style="color:white; background:#939;"|562 |style="color:white; background:#939;"|9.52% |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|614 |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|10.40% |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|355 |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|6.01% |{{party shading/Other}}|645 |{{party shading/Other}}|10.93% |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|5,904 |
| style="text-align:center;"
|style="color:black; background:#283681;"|Grafton |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|4,897 |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|29.36% |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|3,475 |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|20.83% |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|1,726 |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|10.35% |style="color:white; background:#939;"|1,864 |style="color:white; background:#939;"|11.17% |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|1,926 |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|11.55% |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|1,068 |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|6.40% |{{party shading/Other}}|1,725 |{{party shading/Other}}|10.35% |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|16,681 |
| style="text-align:center;"
|style="color:white; background:#283681;"|Hillsborough |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|29,328 |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|34.89% |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|12,517 |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|14.89% |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|9,606 |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|11.43% |style="color:white; background:#939;"|9,584 |style="color:white; background:#939;"|11.40% |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|8,824 |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|10.50% |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|7,155 |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|8.51% |{{party shading/Other}}|7,049 |{{party shading/Other}}|8.40% |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|84,063 |
| style="text-align:center;"
|style="color:white; background:#283681;"|Merrimack |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|10,959 |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|33.02% |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|6,178 |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|18.61% |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|3,781 |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|11.39% |style="color:white; background:#939;"|3,814 |style="color:white; background:#939;"|11.49% |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|3,062 |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|9.23% |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|2,376 |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|7.16% |{{party shading/Other}}|3,022 |{{party shading/Other}}|9.11% |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|33,192 |
| style="text-align:center;"
|style="color:white; background:#283681;"|Rockingham |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|28,718 |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|38.73% |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|10,370 |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|13.98% |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|7,991 |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|10.78% |style="color:white; background:#939;"|7,748 |style="color:white; background:#939;"|10.45% |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|8,074 |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|10.89% |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|5,783 |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|7.80% |{{party shading/Other}}|5,474 |{{party shading/Other}}|7.37% |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|74,158 |
| style="text-align:center;"
|style="color:white; background:#283681;"|Strafford |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|7,358 |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|33.40% |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|3,195 |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|14.50% |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|3,324 |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|15.09% |style="color:white; background:#939;"|2,444 |style="color:white; background:#939;"|11.10% |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|2,505 |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|11.37% |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|1,225 |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|5.56% |{{party shading/Other}}|1,976 |{{party shading/Other}}|8.97% |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|22,027 |
| style="text-align:center;"
|style="color:white; background:#283681;"|Sullivan |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|3,080 |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|36.73% |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|1,334 |style="color:white; background:#29AB87;"|15.91% |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|951 |style="color:white; background:#DAA520;"|11.34% |style="color:white; background:#939;"|844 |style="color:white; background:#939;"|10.07% |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|888 |style="color:white; background:#C60E3B;"|10.59% |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|488 |style="color:white; background:#117733;"|5.82% |{{party shading/Other}}|800 |{{party shading/Other}}|9.54% |style="color:white; background:#283681;"|8,385 |
| Totals
!100,735 !35.23% !44,932 !15.71% !33,244 !11.63% !31,341 !10.96% !30,071 !10.52% !21,089 !7.38% !24,511 !8.58% !285,923 |
Exit polls
| class="wikitable sortable"
! colspan="7" |2016 New Hampshire Republican Primary by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling){{Cite news |date=2016-02-09 |title=New Hampshire Exit Polls |language=en-US |work=The New York Times |url=https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/02/09/us/elections/new-hampshire-republican-poll.html |access-date=2022-06-18 |issn=0362-4331}} |
| Demographic subgroup
!Cruz !Trump !Rubio !Kasich !Bush !% of total vote |
|---|
| Total vote
|11.6 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" | 35.2 |10.5 |15.7 |11.0 |90% |
| colspan="7" |Gender |
| Men
| 12 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |38 |9 |16 |8 |52% |
| Women
| 11 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |33 |12 |16 |14 |48% |
| colspan="7" |Age |
| 17–29 years old
| 17 |style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |38 |12 |11 |10 |15% |
| 30–44 years old
| 12 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |36 |18 |12 |7 |17% |
| 45–64 years old
| 11 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |36 |8 |18 |11 |49% |
| 65+ years old
| 9 |style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |31 |11 |19 |15 |19% |
| colspan="7" |Income |
| Under $30,000
| 14 |style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |39 |9 |7 |16 |10% |
| $30,000 - $49,999
| 12 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |40 |9 |13 |9 |16% |
| $50,000 - $99,999
| 12 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |37 |10 |16 |11 |33% |
| $100,000 - $199,999
| 10 |style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |32 |13 |19 |11 |31% |
| Over $200,000
| 9 |style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |32 |12 |20 |13 |10% |
| colspan="7" |Education |
| College Graduate
|11 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |30 |12 |19 |12 |53% |
| Non-college
| 13 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |42 |10 |12 |9 |47% |
| colspan="7" |Issue regarded as most important |
| Immigration
|21 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |44 |8 |5 |6 |15% |
| Economy
|6 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |30 |12 |24 |12 |33% |
| Terrorism
|12 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |28 |13 |15 |14 |24% |
| Government spending
|13 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |28 |8 |15 |10 |26% |
| colspan="7" |Area type |
| Urban
|12 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |37 |9 |13 |12 |10% |
| Suburban
|11 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |37 |11 |14 |11 |54% |
| Rural
| 12 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |33 |11 |19 |11 |37% |
| colspan="7" |Religion |
| Evangelical
| 24 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |28 |13 |11 |11 |23% |
| Non-Evangelical
|8 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |38 |10 |18 |11 |77% |
| colspan="7" |Gun household |
| Yes
|12 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |40 |8 |13 |10 |57% |
| No
|9 | style="text-align:left; background:#ffb6b6;" |28 |15 |21 |13 |43% |
Analysis
According to exit polls by Edison Research, Trump's landslide in New Hampshire could be attributed to strong support from non-college whites and voters holding a moderate political ideology. Trump amassed the largest margin of victory in a New Hampshire Republican primary since 2000, when John McCain upset George W. Bush. In his victory speech, Trump promised, "I am going to be the greatest jobs president that God ever created," and that he will "knock the hell out of ISIS."{{Cite news|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/10/us/politics/new-hampshire-primary.html|title=Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders Win in New Hampshire Primary|last1=Healy|first1=Patrick|date=2016-02-09|last2=Martin|first2=Jonathan|newspaper=The New York Times|issn=0362-4331|access-date=2016-10-02}} Trump's tough-on-terror message resonated in the state, where 65% of Republican voters supported his proposed Muslim ban.
See also
Notes
References
{{Reflist}}
{{State results of the 2016 U.S. presidential election}}
{{2016 Republican Primaries}}