2016 North Carolina gubernatorial election

{{Short description|none}}

{{for|related races|2016 United States gubernatorial elections}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2013}}

{{Use American English|date=March 2018}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2016 North Carolina gubernatorial election

| country = North Carolina

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election

| previous_year = 2012

| next_election = 2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election

| next_year = 2020

| election_date = November 8, 2016

| turnout = 68.98% {{increase}}1.68%

| image_size = x160px

| image1 = File:Governor Roy Cooper with NC Transportation (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Roy Cooper

| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 2,309,157

| percentage1 = {{percent|2,309,157|4,711,014|2|pad=yes}}

| image2 = File:Pat-McCrory June-2015(crop).jpg

| nominee2 = Pat McCrory

| party2 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 2,298,880

| percentage2 = {{percent|2,298,880|4,711,014|2|pad=yes}}

| map_image = {{switcher

|325px |County results

|325px |Congressional district results

|325px |Precinct results |default=1}}

| map_size = 325px

| map_caption = Cooper: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
McCrory: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}}

| title = Governor

| before_election = Pat McCrory

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Roy Cooper

| after_party = Democratic

}}

{{ElectionsNC}}

The 2016 North Carolina gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Democratic state attorney general Roy Cooper won his first term in office, defeating Republican incumbent Pat McCrory.

Primary elections were held March 15.{{Cite web |url=http://www.wral.com/north-carolina-primaries-now-on-march-15-with-bill-signing/14938667/ |title=WRAL: North Carolina primaries officially on March 15 with signing |access-date=October 1, 2015 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151002070437/http://www.wral.com/north-carolina-primaries-now-on-march-15-with-bill-signing/14938667/ |archive-date=October 2, 2015 |url-status=dead }} Both McCrory and Cooper won their primaries by overwhelming margins.{{cite news|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/12/02/4370719_gov-pat-mccrory-launches-2016.html|title=Gov. Pat McCrory launches 2016 campaign|newspaper=The News & Observer|date=December 2, 2014|access-date=December 5, 2014|archive-date=December 26, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141226023618/http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/12/02/4370719_gov-pat-mccrory-launches-2016.html|url-status=dead}} Lon Cecil, a consultant and electrical engineer, was the Libertarian nominee. This race was expected to be among the most competitive in the country in the 2016 gubernatorial election cycle.{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/story/2015/12/competitive-governor-races-2016-217111|title=Top 10 governors races of 2016| website=Politico |date=December 29, 2015 |access-date=November 22, 2016}}

On election night, the race was too close to call, with Cooper leading by fewer than 5,000 votes out of more than 4.6 million cast.{{cite web|url=https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/09/us/politics/governors-races-statehouses-eric-holcomb.html|title=In North Carolina, a Governor's Race Is Too Close to Call|date=November 9, 2016|work=The New York Times|access-date=November 22, 2016}} That lead eventually widened to 10,281 votes. Cooper claimed victory that night, with thousands of provisional ballots still yet to be counted, saying, "We have won this race." However, McCrory refused to concede, claiming that the race was still too close to call and the winner had not yet been determined. He cast doubt on the authenticity of 90,000 late-arriving votes from Durham County, which put Cooper in the lead. McCrory's campaign filed complaints alleging voter fraud in over 50 counties. Both campaigns anticipated a protracted legal battle over the results.{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/10/this-2016-race-still-isnt-over-and-its-about-to-get-ugly/|title=The North Carolina governor's race still isn't over. And it's about to get even uglier.| newspaper=The Washington Post |access-date=November 22, 2016}}

On November 22, 2016, McCrory formally requested a statewide recount;[http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/nov/23/nc-gov-pat-mccrory-wont-concede-seeks-recount/ N.C. governor seeks recount amid voter-fraud complaints, won't concede] once all ballots are counted, North Carolina election law allows either candidate to request a recount if the margin is fewer than 10,000 votes. On November 30, 2016, the North Carolina State Board of Elections ordered a recount of certain votes in Durham County.{{Cite web |url=http://abc11.com/politics/state-board-orders-recount-of-94000-durham-county-votes/1631935/ |title=State Board Orders Recount of 94,000 Durham County Votes |access-date=December 1, 2016 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161201201500/http://abc11.com/politics/state-board-orders-recount-of-94000-durham-county-votes/1631935/ |archive-date=December 1, 2016 |url-status=dead }} The recount was slated to be completed on December 5, 2016. However, when early results made it apparent that the margin would not change, McCrory conceded the race to Cooper on the afternoon of December 5.

This was the first time since North Carolina governors became eligible for immediate reelection in 1976 that a sitting officeholder was defeated in a bid for a second term and the only North Carolina gubernatorial election since 1896 in which neither major party nominee received over 50% of the vote.{{cite news|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/election/article118942758.html|title=Gov. Pat McCrory concedes defeat to Roy Cooper as Durham recount wraps up|last=Campbell|first=Colin|newspaper=The News & Observer|date=2016-12-06}}

Republican primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Robert Brawley, former state representative{{cite news|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/state-politics/article48785570.html|title=Gov. Pat McCroy gets a challenger in Republican primary|work=The News & Observer|last=Campbell|first=Colin|date=December 9, 2015|access-date=December 10, 2015}}
  • Pat McCrory, incumbent governor{{cite web|url=http://www.wral.com/mccrory-election-wins-no-mandate-for-gop/14152761/|title=McCrory: Election wins no mandate for GOP|publisher=WRAL.com|date=November 5, 2014|access-date=November 7, 2014}}
  • Charles Moss, preacher, former Randolph County Soil & Water Conservation Board member, Democratic state senate candidate in 2004, and candidate for governor in 2012{{cite news|url=ftp://alt.ncsbe.gov/Candidate_Filing/Candidate_Listing_20160315.pdf|title=Candidate Listing|work=North Carolina State Board of Elections|access-date=December 21, 2015}}{{Dead link|date=April 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

==Declined==

  • Greg Brannon, physician, Tea Party activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for U.S. Senate){{cite news|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/under-the-dome/article38147982.html|title=Former GOP Senate candidate Greg Brannon to make 'big announcement' Thursday|work=The News & Observer|last=Campbell|first=Colin|date=October 7, 2015|access-date=October 8, 2015}}{{cite news|url=https://www.facebook.com/DrGregBrannon/videos/vb.552463691431298/1134648023212859/?type=2&theater|title=WATCH as I officially file as a Republican candidate for the United States Senate!|work=Facebook|last=Brannon|first=Greg|date=December 21, 2015|access-date=December 21, 2015}}
  • Dan Forest, Lieutenant Governor of North Carolina (running for re-election){{cite web|url=http://www.wral.com/coleman-forest-to-run-again-for-lieutenant-governor/14455232/|title=Coleman, Forest to run again for lieutenant governor|work=WRAL-TV|last=Leslie|first=Laura|date=February 18, 2015|access-date=February 18, 2015}}

=Polling=

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:170px;"| Poll source

! style="width:190px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | {{nowrap|Margin of}}
error

! style="width:100px;"| Pat
McCrory

! style="width:100px;"| Charles
Moss

! style="width:100px;"| Robert
Brawley

! Undecided

|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_31316.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| March 11–13, 2016

| align=center| 749

| align=center| ± 3.6%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 70%

| align=center| 7%

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| 17%

|High Point University[http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2016/03/hpu-poll-trump-and-clinton-lead-nc-primaries/ High Point University]

| align=center| March 9–10, 2016

| align=center| 734

| align=center| ± 2.5%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 73%

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| 8%

| align=center| 13%

|SurveyUSA[http://www.wral.com/asset/news/state/nccapitol/2016/03/08/15499785/WRAL_News_poll.pdf SurveyUSA]

| align=center| March 4–7, 2016

| align=center| 688

| align=center| ± 3.6%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 66%

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| 9%

| align=center| 19%

|SurveyUSA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0fe01f3c-3326-4d1e-b679-5a788b3114f3 SurveyUSA]

| align=center| February 14–16, 2016

| align=center| 437

| align=center| ± 4.5%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 67%

| align=center| –

| align=center| 17%

| align=center| 16%

|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_21816.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| February 14–16, 2016

| align=center| 597

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 69%

| align=center| 4%

| align=center| 5%

| align=center| 22%

|High Point University[http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2016/02/hpu-poll-clinton-leads-democratic-primary-trump-cruz-and-rubio-have-most-gop-support/ High Point University]

| align=center| January 30–February 4, 2016

| align=center| 477

| align=center| ± 4.5%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 75%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 2%

| align=center| 20%

|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_12116.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| January 18–19, 2016

| align=center| 433

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 68%

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| 4%

| align=center| 22%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:170px;"| Poll source

! style="width:170px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | {{nowrap|Margin of}}
error

! style="width:100px;"| Pat
McCrory

! style="width:100px;"| Dan
Forest

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_82015.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| August 12–16, 2015

| align=center| 406

| align=center| ± 4.9%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 60%

| align=center| 20%

| align=center| 20%

{{hidden end}}

=Results=

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results{{cite web|url=http://er.ncsbe.gov/contest_details.html?election_dt=03/15/2016&county_id=0&contest_id=1047|title=NC SBE Election Contest Details|access-date=November 22, 2016}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Pat McCrory (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 869,114

| percentage = 82.0%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Robert Brawley

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 112,624

| percentage = 11.0%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Charles Moss

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 81,315

| percentage = 7.0%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 1,063,053

| percentage= 100.00%

}}

{{Election box end}}

Democratic primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Roy Cooper, North Carolina Attorney General{{cite news|title=Attorney General Announces Candidacy For Governor|url=http://www.wfmynews2.com/story/news/local/2014/11/06/roy-cooper-for-governor/18594755/|access-date=November 7, 2014|newspaper=Charlotte Observer|date=November 6, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141108001306/http://www.wfmynews2.com/story/news/local/2014/11/06/roy-cooper-for-governor/18594755/|archive-date=November 8, 2014|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}
  • Kenneth Spaulding, former state representative and candidate for North Carolina's 2nd congressional district in 1984{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/govbeat/wp/2013/09/06/three-years-out-democrats-eye-mccrorys-seat/|title=Three years out, Democrats eye McCrory's seat|author=Reid Wilson|newspaper=The Washington Post|date=September 6, 2013|access-date=September 9, 2013}}

==Withdrawn==

  • James Protzman, businessman and former Chapel Hill town council member{{cite news|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/2013/10/17/3289581/protzman-drops-out-of-governors.html|title=Protzman drops out of governor's race after 7 months|newspaper=The News & Observer|date=October 17, 2013|access-date=November 28, 2013|archive-date=October 24, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20131024134517/http://www.newsobserver.com/2013/10/17/3289581/protzman-drops-out-of-governors.html|url-status=dead}}

==Declined==

  • Janet Cowell, North Carolina State Treasurer (not seeking re-election or running for any other office)
  • Anthony Foxx, United States Secretary of Transportation and former Mayor of Charlotte{{cite magazine|url=http://www.nationaljournal.com/whitehouse/what-you-need-to-know-about-obama-transportation-pick-anthony-foxx-20130429|title=What You Need to Know About Obama Transportation Pick Anthony Foxx|author=Matt Vasilogambros|magazine=National Journal|date=April 29, 2013|access-date=September 9, 2013|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20130926222704/http://www.nationaljournal.com/whitehouse/what-you-need-to-know-about-obama-transportation-pick-anthony-foxx-20130429|archive-date=September 26, 2013|url-status=dead|df=mdy-all}}
  • Kay Hagan, former U.S. Senator, and former State Senator{{cite web|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/under-the-dome/article35987301.html|title=State Sen. Josh Stein makes formal announcement for attorney general|work=The News & Observer|last=Knopf|first=Taylor|date=September 21, 2015|access-date=October 13, 2015}}
  • Charles Meeker, former mayor of Raleigh (running for Labor Commissioner){{cite web|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/under-the-dome/article26735941.html|title=Former Raleigh Mayor Charles Meeker to run for labor commissioner|work=The News & Observer|last=Campbell|first=Colin|date=July 8, 2015|access-date=August 11, 2015}}
  • Heath Shuler, former U.S. Representative{{cite web|url=http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/eye-on-football/25248907/ex-skins-qb-heath-shuler-says-he-wont-run-for-north-carolina-governor|title=Ex-Skins QB Heath Shuler says he won't run for NC Governor|work=CBS Sports|last=Brinson|first=Will|date=July 23, 2015|access-date=August 11, 2015}}
  • Josh Stein, state senator and former deputy attorney general of North Carolina (running for Attorney General)

=Polling=

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:170px;"| Poll source

! style="width:190px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | {{nowrap|Margin of}}
error

! style="width:100px;"| Roy
Cooper

! style="width:100px;"| Kenneth
Spaulding

! Other

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| March 11–13, 2016

| align=center| 746

| align=center| ± 3.6%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 53%

| align=center| 17%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 30%

High Point University

| align=center| March 9–10, 2016

| align=center| 669

| align=center| ± 2.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 64%

| align=center| 18%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 19%

SurveyUSA

| align=center| March 4–7, 2016

| align=center| 687

| align=center| ± 3.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| 19%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 30%

SurveyUSA

| align=center| February 14–16, 2016

| align=center| 449

| align=center| ± 4.7%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| 21%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 29%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| February 14–16, 2016

| align=center| 575

| align=center| ± 4.1%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 55%

| align=center| 12%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 33%

High Point University

| align=center| January 30–February 4, 2016

| align=center| 478

| align=center| ± 4.5%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| 11%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 40%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| January 18–19, 2016

| align=center| 461

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 55%

| align=center| 10%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 35%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_120915.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| December 5–7, 2015

| align=center| 555

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 54%

| align=center| 10%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 36%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_102915.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| October 23–25, 2015

| align=center| 421

| align=center| ± 4.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 58%

| align=center| 13%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 29%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:150px;"| Poll source

! style="width:160px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! {{nowrap|Margin of}}
error

! style="width:80px;"| Roy
Cooper

! style="width:80px;"| Anthony
Foxx

! style="width:80px;"| Kay
Hagan

! style="width:80px;"| Charles
Meeker

! style="width:90px;"| Kenneth
Spaulding

! Other/
Undecided

{{nowrap|Civitas Institute}}[http://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/dem-primary-xtabs-3.25.15.pdf {{nowrap|Civitas Institute}}]

| align=center| {{nowrap|March 20–23, 2015}}

| align=center| 400

| align=center| ± 5%

| align=center| 31%

| align=center| 7%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 4%

| align=center| 12%

{{hidden end}}

=Results=

[[File:North Carolina Democratic Gubernatorial Primary 2016.svg|thumb|300px|Results by county:

{{collapsible list

|title=Cooper

|{{legend|#214478|Cooper—80–90%}}

|{{legend|#2c5aa0|Cooper—70–80%}}

|{{legend|#3771c8|Cooper—60–70%}}

|{{legend|#5f8dd3|Cooper—50–60%}}

}}

{{collapsible list

|title=Spaulding

|{{legend|#5fd35f|Spaulding—50–60%}}

|{{legend|#37c837|Spaulding—60–70%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results{{cite web|url=http://er.ncsbe.gov/contest_details.html?election_dt=03/15/2016&county_id=0&contest_id=1046|title=NC SBE Election Contest Details|access-date=November 22, 2016}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Roy Cooper

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 710,658

| percentage = 69.0%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Kenneth Spaulding

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 323,774

| percentage = 31.0%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 1,034,432

| percentage= 100.0%

}}

{{Election box end}}

Libertarian primary

=Candidates=

==Declared==

  • Lon Cecil, retired engineer and nominee for NC-12 in 2010{{cite web|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/under-the-dome/article50058280.html|title=Libertarians look to keep NC ballot status with candidate slate|access-date=November 22, 2016}}

==Withdrawn==

  • Ken Fortenberry, newspaper publisher, author, journalist and Republican candidate for North Carolina's 10th congressional district in 2012{{cite web|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/12/31/4441291/libertarian-candidate-for-nc-governor.html|title=Libertarian candidate for NC governor announces|work=News & Observer|author=Lynn Bonner|date=December 31, 2014|access-date=January 5, 2015|archive-date=January 6, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150106202931/http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/12/31/4441291/libertarian-candidate-for-nc-governor.html|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=http://www.independentpoliticalreport.com/2015/08/fortenberry-withdraws-from-nc-governors-race/|title=Fortenberry withdraws from NC governor's race|work=Independent Political Report|last=Frankel|first=Paul|date=August 8, 2015|access-date=August 11, 2015}}

==Declined==

  • Sean Haugh, pizza delivery man and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2002 and 2014 (running for U.S. Senate){{cite web|url=http://www.newsobserver.com/2015/01/05/4451457/sean-haugh-considers-another-libertarian.html|title=Sean Haugh considers another Libertarian bid|work=News & Observer|author=Craig Jarvis|date=January 5, 2015|access-date=January 5, 2015|archive-date=January 6, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150106060136/http://www.newsobserver.com/2015/01/05/4451457/sean-haugh-considers-another-libertarian.html|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=http://www.independentpoliticalreport.com/2015/10/sean-haugh-i-intend-to-run-for-u-s-senate-as-a-libertarian-in-north-carolina-in-2016/|title=Sean Haugh: "I Intend to Run for U.S. Senate as a Libertarian in North Carolina in 2016"|work=Independent Political Report|last=Ziggler|first=Jed|date=October 7, 2015|access-date=October 13, 2015}}

Write-in candidates

=Declared=

  • Daniel Orr, navy veteran{{cite web|url=http://yourdailyjournal.com/news/local-news-5/17784/grassroots-n-c-governor-candidate-daniel-orr-seeks-mental-health-reform|title=Richmond County Daily Journal|date=October 28, 2015 }}

General election

=Debates=

  • [https://www.c-span.org/video/?415960-1/north-carolina-governors-debate Complete video of debate], October 11, 2016 - C-SPAN
  • [https://www.c-span.org/video/?417237-1/north-carolina-gubernatorial-debate Complete video of debate], October 18, 2016 - C-SPAN

= Predictions =

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"
Source

! Ranking

! As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{cite web | title=2016 Governor Race ratings | url=https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings/139364 | website=The Cook Political Report | access-date=October 15, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

| August 12, 2016

align=left | Daily Kos{{cite web | title=Elections 2015-16 | url=https://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/governor | website=Daily Kos | access-date=October 15, 2018 }}{{Dead link|date=September 2019 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

| November 8, 2016

align=left | Rothenberg Political Report{{cite web | title=Gubernatorial Ratings | url=http://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor/2016-gubernatorial-ratings-november-3-2016 | publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report | access-date=October 15, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|D|Flip}}

| November 3, 2016

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web | title=Our Final 2016 picks | url=http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | access-date=October 15, 2018 | archive-date=October 15, 2018 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181015114619/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/ | url-status=dead }}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D|Flip}}

| November 7, 2016

align=left | Real Clear Politics{{cite web | title=2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races | url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/governor/2016_elections_governor_map.html| publisher=Real Clear Politics | access-date=October 15, 2018}}

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

| November 1, 2016

align=left | Governing{{cite web|url=http://www.governing.com/governor-races-2016|title=2016 Governors Races Ratings & News|publisher=Governing Magazine|access-date=October 28, 2016|archive-date=October 27, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161027090343/http://www.governing.com/governor-races-2016|url-status=dead}}

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

| October 27, 2016

=Polling=

Aggregate polls

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

!Source of poll
aggregation

!Dates
administered

!Dates
updated

! style="width:100px;"| Pat
McCrory (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Roy
Cooper (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Other/Undecided
{{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=|group=}}

!Margin

Real Clear Politics[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/governor/nc/north_carolina_governor_mccrory_vs_cooper-4096.html Real Clear Politics]

|October 23 – November 6, 2016

|November 6, 2016

|46.2%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48.4%

|5.4%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|Cooper +2.2%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size

! Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Pat
McCrory (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Roy
Cooper (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Lon
Cecil (L)

! Other

! Undecided

SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArTFlBMU1iNjU1dmM/view SurveyMonkey]

| align=center| November 1–7, 2016

| align=center| 3,126

| align=center| ± 4.6%

| align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 54%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

New York Times Upshot/Siena College[https://web.archive.org/web/20180116004455/https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/NC_Poll_november_release_final.pdf New York Times Upshot/Siena College]

| align=center| November 4–6, 2016

| align=center| 800

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| align=center| 46%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 7%

Quinnipiac University[https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps11072016.pdf/ Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161107221810/https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps11072016.pdf/ |date=November 7, 2016 }}

| align=center| November 3–6, 2016

| align=center| 870

| align=center| ± 3.3%

| align=center| 47%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 3%

SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArck4xWGRaUEVid1U/view SurveyMonkey]

| align=center| October 31–November 6, 2016

| align=center| 2,865

| align=center| ± 4.6%

| align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 54%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArUGZzeTA3UTZOcWM/view SurveyMonkey]

| align=center| October 28–November 3, 2016

| align=center| 2,292

| align=center| ± 4.6%

| align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 53%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArX25Ba3RrWkZsQTg/view SurveyMonkey]

| align=center| October 27–November 2, 2016

| align=center| 1,886

| align=center| ± 4.6%

| align=center| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 53%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 2%

Quinnipiac University[https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps11032016_S426wuh.pdf/ Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161104075102/https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps11032016_S426wuh.pdf/ |date=November 4, 2016 }}

| align=center| October 27–November 1, 2016

| align=center| 602

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| align=center| 47%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 3%

SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreDluOWJFc0xsSzA/view SurveyMonkey]

| align=center| October 26–November 1, 2016

| align=center| 1,617

| align=center| ± 4.6%

| align=center| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 52%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

SurveyUSA[http://www.wral.com/asset/news/state/nccapitol/2016/11/01/16183925/261876-WRAL_News_poll_Nov._1_2016_.pdf SurveyUSA]

| align=center| October 28–31, 2016

| align=center| 659

| align=center| ± 3.9%

| align=center| 47%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 2%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 4%

SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B99Qs2h04TA7UGZ3aDZjeFBBNW8/view SurveyMonkey]

| align=center| October 25–31, 2016

| align=center| 1,574

| align=center| ± 4.6%

| align=center| 46%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 52%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 2%

CBS News/YouGov[https://www.scribd.com/document/329404956/CBS-News-Battleground-Tracker-North-Carolina-Oct-30-2016 CBS News/YouGov]

| align=center| October 26–28, 2016

| align=center| 992

| align=center| ± 4.1%

| align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 9%

Elon University Poll[https://www.elon.edu/e/CmsFile/GetFile?FileID=694 Elon University Poll]

| align=center| October 23–27, 2016

| align=center| 710

| align=center| ± 3.7%

| align=center| 44%

| align=center| 44%

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 8%

rowspan=2|NBC/WSJ/Marist[https://www.scribd.com/document/329401008/NBC-News-Wall-Street-Journal-Marist-North-Carolina-Battleground-Poll NBC/WSJ/Marist]

| align=center rowspan=2| October 25–26, 2016

| align=center| 780 LV

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| align=center| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 2%

| align=center| 2%

align=center| 1,018 RV

| align=center| ± 3.1%

| align=center| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 3%

Quinnipiac University[https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10282016_Sbw72uv.pdf/ Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190730194944/https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10282016_Sbw72uv.pdf/ |date=July 30, 2019 }}

| align=center| October 20–26, 2016

| align=center| 702

| align=center| ± 3.7%

| align=center| 47%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

New York Times Upshot/Siena College[http://files.constantcontact.com/9c83fb30501/8c3733be-8de8-4174-8092-4fcd1bc6be41.pdf New York Times Upshot/Siena College]

| align=center| October 20–23, 2016

| align=center| 792

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| align=center| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 4%

Monmouth University[https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NC_102416/ Monmouth University]

| align=center| October 20–23, 2016

| align=center| 402

| align=center| ± 4.9%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 47%

| align=center| 2%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_102416.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| October 21–22, 2016

| align=center| 875

| align=center| ± 3.3%

| align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 8%

The Times-Picayune/Lucid[https://web.archive.org/web/20161022030938/http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/North-Carolina-Battleground-Results.pdf The Times-Picayune/Lucid]

| align=center| October 17–18, 2016

| align=center| 924

| align=center| ± 3.0%

| align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 7%

SurveyUSA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=ce17282d-d070-493a-8bcd-ee02ca9016e6 SurveyUSA]

| align=center| October 14–18, 2016

| align=center| 651

| align=center| ± 3.9%

| align=center| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 5%

Civitas Institute (R)[https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/CivitasOctoberPoll_release.pdf Civitas Institute (R)]

| align=center| October 14–17, 2016

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 10%

Washington Post/SurveyMonkey[https://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/surveymonkey-15-state-poll/2103/ Washington Post/SurveyMonkey] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170914002554/http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/surveymonkey-15-state-poll/2103/ |date=September 14, 2017 }}

| align=center| October 8–16, 2016

| align=center| 1,191

| align=center| ± 0.5%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 55%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 2%

rowspan=2|CNN/ORC[http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/10/17/link.1..pdf CNN/ORC]

| align=center rowspan=2| October 10–15, 2016

| align=center| 788 LV

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| align=center| 48%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 2%

align=center| 929 RV

| align=center| ± 3.0%

| align=center| 47%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 2%

rowspan=2|NBC/WSJ/Marist[https://www.scribd.com/document/327499623/NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-North-Carolina-Annotated-Questionnaire-October-2016 NBC/WSJ/Marist]

| align=center rowspan=2| October 10–12, 2016

| align=center| 743 LV

| align=center| ± 3.6%

| align=center| 48%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 3%

align=center| 1,025 RV

| align=center| ± 3.1%

| align=center| 47%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 4%

High Point University[http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2016/10/48memoA.pdf High Point University]

| align=center| October 1–6, 2016

| align=center| 479

| align=center| ± 4.5%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 5%

SurveyUSA[http://www.wral.com/asset/news/state/nccapitol/2016/10/04/16082184/WRAL_News_poll.pdf SurveyUSA]

| align=center| September 29–October 3, 2016

| align=center| 656

| align=center| ± 3.9%

| align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 2%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 6%

Bloomberg/Selzer[https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-10-03/north-carolina-poll Bloomberg/Selzer]

| align=center| September 29–October 3, 2016

| align=center| 805

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 6%

Quinnipiac University[https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10052016_Sth68bh.pdf Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161006052329/https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps10052016_Sth68bh.pdf |date=October 6, 2016 }}

| align=center| September 27–October 2, 2016

| align=center| 507

| align=center| ± 4.4%

| align=center| 46%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 6%

Elon University Poll[https://www.elon.edu/e/CmsFile/GetFile?FileID=650 Elon University Poll]

| align=center| September 27–30, 2016

| align=center| 660

| align=center| ± 3.8%

| align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 5%

rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_BattlegroundStates_92916.pdf#page=49 Public Policy Polling]

| rowspan=2 align=center| September 27–28, 2016

| rowspan=2 align=center| 861

| rowspan=2 align=center| ± 3.3%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 4%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 9%

align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 7%

Meredith College[https://web.archive.org/web/20160930112557/http://www.meredith.edu/images/uploads/MC_Poll_September_2016_Political_Races_Full_Report.pdf Meredith College]

| align=center| September 18–22, 2016

| align=center| 487

| align=center| ± 4.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 41%

| align=center| 39%

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| 14%

High Point University[http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2016/09/47memoA.pdf High Point University]

| align=center| September 17–22, 2016

| align=center| 404

| align=center| ± 4.9%

| align=center| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 5%

rowspan=2|FOX News[https://web.archive.org/web/20160922003550/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/09/21/fox-news-poll-north-carolina/ FOX News]

| align=center rowspan=2| September 18–20, 2016

| align=center| 734 LV

| align=center rowspan=2| ± 3.5%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 43%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 7%

align=center| 800 RV

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 9%

rowspan=2|Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_92116.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| rowspan=2 align=center| September 18–20, 2016

| rowspan=2 align=center| 1,024

| rowspan=2 align=center| ± 3.1%

| align=center| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 2%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 11%

align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 8%

New York Times Upshot/Siena College[http://files.constantcontact.com/9c83fb30501/5f71c952-eb63-429a-8236-34989a8765ae.pdf New York Times Upshot/Siena College]

| align=center| September 16–19, 2016

| align=center| 782

| align=center| ± 3.6%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 7%

Elon University Poll[https://www.elon.edu/e/CmsFile/GetFile?FileID=636 Elon University Poll]

| align=center| September 12–16, 2016

| align=center| 644

| align=center| ± 3.9%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| 46%

| align=center| 2%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

Civitas Institute (R)[https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/September-2016-Release-Crosstabs-pres-guv.pdf Civitas Institute (R)]

| align=center| September 11–12, 2016

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 43%

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 9%

Quinnipiac University[https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps09092016_prbt47q.pdf Quinnipiac University] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160915054411/https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ps/ps09092016_prbt47q.pdf |date=September 15, 2016 }}

| align=center| August 29–September 7, 2016

| align=center| 751

| align=center| ± 3.6%

| align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 5%

Monmouth University[http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NC_082416/ Monmouth University]

| align=center| August 20–23, 2016

| align=center| 401

| align=center| ± 4.9%

| align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 52%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

rowspan=2|CNN/ORC[http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/08/24/topnc1.pdf CNN/ORC]

| align=center rowspan=2| August 18–23, 2016

| align=center| 803 LV

| align=center rowspan=2| ± 3.5%

| align=center rowspan=2| 46%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center rowspan=2| 52%

| align=center rowspan=2| —

| align=center rowspan=2| —

| align=center rowspan=2| 2%

align=center| 912 RV
NBC/WSJ/Marist[https://www.scribd.com/document/321009795/NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-North-Carolina-Annotated-Questionnaire-August-2016 NBC/WSJ/Marist]

| align=center| August 4–10, 2016

| align=center| 921

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 51%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 5%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_81016.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| August 5–7, 2016

| align=center| 830

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 4%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 11%

NBC/WSJ/Marist[https://www.scribd.com/document/318324089/NBC-News-WSJ-Marist-Poll-North-Carolina-Annotated-Questionnaire-July-2016 NBC/WSJ/Marist]

| align=center| July 5–11, 2016

| align=center| 907

| align=center| ± 3.3%

| align=center| 45%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 1%

| align=center| 5%

Civitas Institute (R)[https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/JunePollPR_Gov_Crosstabs.pdf Civitas Institute (R)]

| align=center| June 21–23, 2016

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 40%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 10%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_62416.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| June 20–21, 2016

| align=center| 947

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 13%

Civitas Institute (R)[https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/MayPollGovXtabs.pdf Civitas Institute (R)]

| align=center| May 21–23, 2016

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 40%

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 11%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_52416.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| May 20–22, 2016

| align=center| 928

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| 5%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 13%

RABA Research[http://www.charlotteobserver.com/news/politics-government/article75189842.html RABA Research]

| align=center| April 27–28, 2016

| align=center| 688

| align=center| ± 3.7%

| align=center| 36%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41%

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 17%

Civitas Institute (R)[https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/CivitasNCPollApril2016.pdf Civitas Institute (R)]

| align=center| April 23–25, 2016

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| align=center| 39%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 5%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 8%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_42516.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| April 22–24, 2016

| align=center| 960

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 4%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 11%

Elon University Poll[http://www.elon.edu/e-web/elonpoll/041916.xhtml Elon University Poll]

| align=center| April 10–15, 2016

| align=center| 621

| align=center| ± 3.9%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| 5%

SurveyUSA[http://www.wral.com/asset/news/state/nccapitol/2016/04/12/15637752/PollPrint.pdf SurveyUSA]

| align=center| April 8–11, 2016

| align=center| 701

| align=center| ± 3.8%

| align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 2%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 8%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_32216.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| March 18–20, 2016

| align=center| 843

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 42%

| align=center| 40%

| align=center| 6%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 12%

High Point University

| align=center| March 9–10, 2016

| align=center| 1,576

| align=center| ± 2.5%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 45%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 8%

Elon University Poll[http://www.elon.edu/images/e-web/elonpoll/022216_ElonPoll_ExecSummary.pdf Elon University Poll] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160327051751/http://elon.edu/images/e-web/elonpoll/022216_ElonPoll_ExecSummary.pdf |date=March 27, 2016 }}

| align=center| February 15–19, 2016

| align=center| 1,530

| align=center| ± 2.5%

| align=center| 40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 15%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| February 14–16, 2016

| align=center| 1,291

| align=center| ± 2.7%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 16%

SurveyUSA

| align=center| February 14–16, 2016

| align=center| 1,250

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 12%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| January 18–19, 2016

| align=center| 948

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| align=center| 40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 17%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| December 5–7, 2015

| align=center| 1,214

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 14%

Elon University Poll[http://www.elon.edu/e-web/elonpoll/110515.xhtml Elon University Poll]

| align=center| October 29–November 2, 2015

| align=center| 1,040

| align=center| ± 3.0%

| align=center| 40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 13%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| October 23–25, 2015

| align=center| 893

| align=center| ± 3.3%

| align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 13%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_93015.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| September 24–27, 2015

| align=center| 1,268

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 15%

Elon University Poll[http://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/elonpoll/092415_ElonPollExecSumm.pdf Elon University Poll] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150925200851/http://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/elonpoll/092415_ElonPollExecSumm.pdf |date=September 25, 2015 }}

| align=center| September 17–21, 2015

| align=center| 1,258

| align=center| ± 3.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 3%

| align=center| 11%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| August 12–16, 2015

| align=center| 957

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| align=center| 39%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 18%

Civitas Institute (R)[http://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/Pol-xtabs-8.27.15-resized2.pdf Civitas Institute (R)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151230120813/http://1ttd918ylvt17775r1u6ng1adc.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/Pol-xtabs-8.27.15-resized2.pdf |date=December 30, 2015 }}

| align=center| August 10–12, 2015

| align=center| 400

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| align=center| 32%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 34%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 33%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_70915.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| July 2–6, 2015

| align=center| 529

| align=center| ± 4.3%

| align=center| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 16%

Civitas Institute (R)[http://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/McCrory-xtabs-6.30.15-PDF.pdf Civitas Institute (R)]

| align=center| June 23–25, 2015

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 38%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 17%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_60315.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| May 28–31, 2015

| align=center| 561

| align=center| ± 4.1%

| align=center| 41%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 15%

Elon University Poll[http://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/elonpoll/042815_ElonPollSummary.pdf Elon University Poll] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150505181303/http://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/elonpoll/042815_ElonPollSummary.pdf |date=May 5, 2015 }}

| align=center| April 20–24, 2015

| align=center| 677

| align=center| ± 3.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 43%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 4%

| align=center| 8%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_40815.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| April 2–5, 2015

| align=center| 751

| align=center| ± 3.6%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 15%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_30315.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| February 24–26, 2015

| align=center| 849

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 16%

Diversified Research[http://www.cleanenergyconservatives.com/poll-confirms-support-for-clean-energy/ Diversified Research]

| align=center| February 2–3, 2015

| align=center| 800

| align=center| ± 3.5%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 14%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_20315.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| January 29–31, 2015

| align=center| 845

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 39%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 17%

{{nowrap|Meeting Street Research}}[https://web.archive.org/web/20150206224557/http://cprnc.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/NC-Memo-Part-1-v2.pdf {{nowrap|Meeting Street Research}}]

| align=center| January 21–22, 2015

| align=center| 500

| align=center| ± 4.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 44%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 9%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_12102014.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| December 4–7, 2014

| align=center| 823

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 39%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 15%

Gravis Marketing[http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-north-carolina-polling/ Gravis Marketing]

| align=center| October 29–30, 2014

| align=center| 1,006

| align=center| ± 3.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 45%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 8%

Gravis Marketing[http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/october-north-carolina-polling/ Gravis Marketing]

| align=center| October 16–18, 2014

| align=center| 1,022

| align=center| ± 3.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 49%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 9%

Gravis Marketing[http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/north-carolina-statewide-poll-results/ Gravis Marketing]

| align=center| September 22–23, 2014

| align=center| 860

| align=center| ± 3.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 12%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_9161118.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| September 11–14, 2014

| align=center| 1,266

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 15%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_8201205.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| August 14–17, 2014

| align=center| 856

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 43%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 14%

Gravis Marketing[http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-us-senate-north-carolina-polling/ Gravis Marketing]

| align=center| July 22–27, 2014

| align=center| 1,380

| align=center| ± 3.0%

| align=center| 44%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 10%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_619.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| June 12–15, 2014

| align=center| 1,076

| align=center| ± 3.0%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 14%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_514.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| May 9–11, 2014

| align=center| 877

| align=center| ± 3.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 15%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_410.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| April 3–6, 2014

| align=center| 740

| align=center| ± 3.6%

| align=center| 43%

| align=center| 43%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 15%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_212.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| February 6–9, 2014

| align=center| 708

| align=center| ± 3.7%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 41%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 15%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_NC_912.pdf Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| September 6–9, 2013

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4.0%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| —

| align=center| —

| align=center| 11%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

with Pat McCrory

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:175px;"| Poll source

! style="width:175px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Pat
McCrory (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Kenneth
Spaulding (D)

! Other

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| February 14–16, 2016

| align=center| 1,291

| align=center| ± 2.7%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 32%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 24%

SurveyUSA

| align=center| February 14–16, 2016

| align=center| 1,250

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 38%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 15%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| January 18–19, 2016

| align=center| 948

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 34%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 22%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| December 5–7, 2015

| align=center| 1,214

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 32%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 21%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| October 23–25, 2015

| align=center| 893

| align=center| ± 3.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 31%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 23%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| September 24–27, 2015

| align=center| 1,268

| align=center| ± 2.8%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 34%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 21%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| August 12–16, 2015

| align=center| 957

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 40%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 25%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| July 2–6, 2015

| align=center| 529

| align=center| ± 4.3%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 33%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 24%

Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/06/cooper-takes-small-lead-over-mccrory.html Public Policy Polling]

| align=center| May 28–31, 2015

| align=center| 561

| align=center| ± 4.1%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 43%

| align=center| 32%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 25%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| April 2–5, 2015

| align=center| 751

| align=center| ± 3.6%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 46%

| align=center| 33%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 21%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| February 24–26, 2015

| align=center| 849

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 35%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 21%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| January 29–31, 2015

| align=center| 845

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 36%

| align=center| —

| align=center| 17%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:175px;"| Poll source

! style="width:175px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Pat
McCrory (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Janet
Cowell (D)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| December 4–7, 2014

| align=center| 823

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 36%

| align=center| 16%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| September 6–9, 2013

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4%

| align=center| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 47%

| align=center| 10%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:175px;"| Poll source

! style="width:175px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Pat
McCrory (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Anthony
Foxx (D)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| December 4–7, 2014

| align=center| 823

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 48%

| align=center| 34%

| align=center| 18%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:175px;"| Poll source

! style="width:175px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Pat
McCrory (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Kay
Hagan (D)

! Undecided

Meeting Street Research[https://web.archive.org/web/20150206224557/http://cprnc.org/wp/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/NC-Memo-Part-1-v2.pdf Meeting Street Research]

| align=center| January 21–22, 2015

| align=center| 500

| align=center| ± 4.38%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 50%

| align=center| 42%

| align=center| 8%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:175px;"| Poll source

! style="width:175px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Pat
McCrory (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Charles
Meeker (D)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| April 3–6, 2014

| align=center| 740

| align=center| ± 3.6%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 38%

| align=center| 17%

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| September 6–9, 2013

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 45%

| align=center| 13%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:175px;"| Poll source

! style="width:175px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Pat
McCrory (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Josh
Stein (D)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| September 6–9, 2013

| align=center| 600

| align=center| ± 4%

| align=center| 42%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 44%

| align=center| 14%

with Phil Berger

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:175px;"| Poll source

! style="width:175px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Phil
Berger (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Roy
Cooper (D)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| December 4–7, 2014

| align=center| 823

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| align=center| 35%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 41%

| align=center| 24%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:175px;"| Poll source

! style="width:175px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Phil
Berger (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Janet
Cowell (D)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| December 4–7, 2014

| align=center| 823

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| align=center| 37%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 38%

| align=center| 25%

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:175px;"| Poll source

! style="width:175px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Phil
Berger (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Anthony
Foxx (D)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| December 4–7, 2014

| align=center| 823

| align=center| ± 3.4%

| {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 39%

| align=center| 36%

| align=center| 25%

with Dan Forest

class="wikitable"
valign= bottom

! style="width:175px;"| Poll source

! style="width:175px;"| Date(s)
administered

! class=small | Sample
size

! class=small | Margin of
error

! style="width:100px;"| Dan
Forest (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Roy
Cooper (D)

! Undecided

Public Policy Polling

| align=center| August 12–16, 2015

| align=center| 957

| align=center| ± 3.2%

| align=center| 33%

| {{party shading/Democratic}} align=center| 42%

| align=center| 25%

{{hidden end}}

=Official results=

{{Election box begin

| title = North Carolina's gubernatorial election, 2016{{cite web |url=http://er.ncsbe.gov/?election_dt=11/08/2016&county_id=0&office=COS&contest=0 |title=North Carolina Official General Election Results |publisher=North Carolina State Board of Elections |date=November 8, 2016 |access-date=January 5, 2017}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

| candidate = Roy Cooper

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 2,309,157

| percentage = 49.02%

| change = +5.79%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

| candidate = Pat McCrory (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 2,298,880

| percentage = 48.80%

| change = -5.82%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

| candidate = Lon Cecil

| party = Libertarian Party (United States)

| votes = 102,977

| percentage = 2.19%

| change = +0.06%

}}

{{Election box total

| votes = 4,711,014

| percentage = 100.00%

| change = N/A

}}

{{Election box gain with party link without swing

|winner = Democratic Party (United States)

|loser = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{align|right|{{Switcher

|300px|Shift by county

|300px|Trend by county

{{collapsible list | title = Legend

|{{legend|#d40000|Republican — >15%}}

|{{legend|#ff0000|Republican — +12.5−15%}}

|{{legend|#ff2a2a|Republican — +10−12.5%}}

|{{legend|#ff5555|Republican — +7.5−10%}}

|{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5−7.5%}}

|{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5−5%}}

|{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0−2.5%}}

|{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0−2.5%}}

|{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5−5%}}

|{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5−7.5%}}

|{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5-10%}}

|{{legend|#09ceff|Democratic — +10−12.5%}}

|{{legend|#00bdec|Democratic — +12.5−15%}}

|{{legend|#00a1c8|Democratic — >15%}}}}}}}}

== Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican ==

==Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic==

Aftermath

Following the election, the General Assembly, controlled by Republicans, passed legislation that would limit the incoming governor's powers.{{cite news | url = https://www.wsj.com/articles/north-carolina-lawmakers-head-for-showdown-1481908974 | newspaper = The Wall Street Journal | date = December 16, 2016 | title = North Carolina Governor Signs Bill Limiting His Successor's Power }} Democrats have referred to the move as a power grab, and Republicans have countered that Democrats have made similar moves when they controlled the legislature.{{cite news | url = https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/16/us/pat-mccrory-roy-cooper-north-carolina.html | newspaper =The New York Times | date = December 16, 2016 | title = North Carolina Governor Signs Law Limiting Successor's Power}}

Notes

{{Notelist}}

References

{{reflist|30em}}