2016 United States Senate election in Kansas
{{Short description|none}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2016 United States Senate election in Kansas
| country = Kansas
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| previous_election = 2010 United States Senate election in Kansas
| previous_year = 2010
| next_election = 2022 United States Senate election in Kansas
| next_year = 2022
| election_date = November 8, 2016
| image1 = File:Jerry Moran, official portrait, 112th Congress headshot.jpg
| image_size = 150x150px
| nominee1 = Jerry Moran
| party1 = Republican Party (United States)
| popular_vote1 = 732,376
| percentage1 = 62.18%
| image2 = 3x4.svg
| nominee2 = Patrick Wiesner
| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)
| popular_vote2 = 379,740
| percentage2 = 32.24%
| image3 = 3x4.svg
| nominee3 = Robert Garrard
| party3 = Libertarian Party (United States)
| popular_vote3 = 65,760
| percentage3 = 5.58%
| map_image = {{switcher |271px |County results |271px |Congressional districts results |271px |Precinct results |default=1}}
| map_size = 251px
| map_caption = Moran: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Wiesner: {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}} {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}}
| title = U.S. Senator
| before_election = Jerry Moran
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Jerry Moran
| after_party = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{Elections in Kansas}}
The 2016 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 2.
Incumbent Republican Senator Jerry Moran won re-election to a second term in office.
Republican primary
=Candidates=
==Declared==
- Jerry Moran, incumbent senator{{cite web|url=http://atr.rollcall.com/elections-2016-tim-huelskamp-jerry-moran-kansas-senate-primary/|title=Huelskamp Open to Moran Primary Challenge|date=November 19, 2014|access-date=November 19, 2014|work=Roll Call|author=Alexis Levinson|archive-date=November 21, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141121180659/http://atr.rollcall.com/elections-2016-tim-huelskamp-jerry-moran-kansas-senate-primary/|url-status=dead}}
- D.J. Smith, former Osawatomie city councilwoman and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014{{cite web|url=http://cjonline.com/news/2016-06-02/rep-lynn-jenkins-drops-challenger-sen-jerry-moran-gains-one-filing-deadline#|work=Topeka Capital-Journal|title=Rep. Lynn Jenkins drops a challenger, Sen. Jerry Moran gains one at the filing deadline|date=June 2, 2016|access-date=June 2, 2016|first=Justin|last=Wingerter}}
==Declined==
- Tim Huelskamp, U.S. Representative{{cite web|url=http://atr.rollcall.com/house-races-2016-tim-huelskamp-wont-challenge-jerry-moran/|title=Congressman Says Wife Nixed Senate Run|date=January 8, 2015|access-date=January 8, 2015|work=Roll Call|author=Alexis Levinson|archive-date=January 8, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20150108232536/http://atr.rollcall.com/house-races-2016-tim-huelskamp-wont-challenge-jerry-moran/|url-status=dead}}
- Mike Pompeo, U.S. Representative{{cite web|url=http://www.hdnews.net/news/local/pompeo-doesn-t-rule-out-a-senate-race-while-criticizing/article_f92e5554-e60f-51a9-a73e-b62908222b36.html|title=Pompeo doesn't rule out a Senate race while criticizing Moran|work=Hays Daily News|last=Clarkin|first=Mary|date=April 5, 2016|access-date=April 5, 2016}}
- Todd Tiahrt, former U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010{{cite web|url=http://www.politico.com/story/2014/12/2016-senate-races-113837_Page2.html|title=16 in '16: The new battle for the Senate|date=December 29, 2014|access-date=December 29, 2014|work=Politico|last=Cheney|first=Kyle}}{{cite web|url=http://www.hutchnews.com/news/local_state_news/ex-congressman-tiahrt-bound-for-d-c-lobbying-firm/article_2a58cfa4-a989-5ca9-8c77-9ca6ab847640.html|title=Ex-Congressman Tiahrt bound for D.C. lobbying firm|date=April 27, 2015|access-date=May 30, 2015|work=The Hutchinson News|last=Clarkin|first=Mary}}
- Milton Wolf, radiologist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014{{cite web|url=http://atr.rollcall.com/2014-elections-kansas-primary-pat-roberts-milton-wolf/|title=In Kansas, Conservatives Suffer From Mississippi Hangover|date=July 29, 2014|access-date=September 11, 2014|work=Roll Call|author=Alexis Levinson|archive-date=October 4, 2014|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20141004030459/http://atr.rollcall.com/2014-elections-kansas-primary-pat-roberts-milton-wolf/|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=http://cjonline.com/news/2015-11-03/prospective-2016-us-senate-contender-milton-wolf-tries-terminate-his-campaign|title=Prospective 2016 U.S. Senate contender Milton Wolf tries to terminate his campaign committee|work=The Topeka Capital-Journal|last=Wingerter|first=Justin|date=November 3, 2015|access-date=November 11, 2015}}{{cite web|url=http://www.kansascity.com/news/local/news-columns-blogs/the-buzz/article61352987.html|title=Milton Wolf hints, but won't commit, to another race this year for the U.S. Senate from Kansas|work=The Kansas City Star|last=Kraske|first=Steve|date=February 19, 2016|access-date=March 22, 2016}}
= Polling =
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
valign=bottom style="font-size:90%;"
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! Jerry ! Dennis ! Milton ! Undecided |
rowspan=2|Public Opinion Strategies (R-Moran)[http://images.politico.com/global/2015/03/30/kansas_memo.pdf Public Opinion Strategies (R-Moran)]
| rowspan=2| February 28 – March 3, 2015 | rowspan=2| 500 | rowspan=2| ± 4.38% | {{party shading/Republican}} | 73% ! 9% ! — ! 18% |
{{party shading/Republican}} | 70%
! — ! 18% ! 12% |
=Results=
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Republican primary results {{cite news|url=http://www.kssos.org/elections/elections_statistics.html |title=2016 Official Primary Results |date=August 2, 2016 |access-date=November 18, 2016 |publisher=Kansas Secretary of State }}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Jerry Moran (Incumbent)
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 230,907
| percentage = 79.09%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = D. J. Smith
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| votes = 61,056
| percentage = 20.91%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 291,963
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Democratic primary
=Candidates=
==Declared==
- Monique Singh-Bey, member of Universal African Peoples Organization{{cite news|last=Mason|first=Tori|date=December 1, 2015|work=WIBW|url=http://www.wibw.com/home/headlines/Topeka-native-announces-candidacy-for-US-Senate--359660981.html|title=Topeka native announces candidacy for U.S. Senate|access-date=March 10, 2016|archive-date=March 11, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160311024744/http://www.wibw.com/home/headlines/Topeka-native-announces-candidacy-for-US-Senate--359660981.html|url-status=dead}}
- Patrick Wiesner, attorney and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2014{{cite web|url=http://www.hutchnews.com/news/local_state_news/democrat-patrick-wiesner-files-for-jerry-moran-s-senate-seat/article_32f36fd7-310f-55fb-8c00-6873daf219f1.html|title=Democrat Patrick Wiesner files for Jerry Moran's Senate seat|work=The Hutchinson News|last=Clarkin|first=Mary|date=February 4, 2016|access-date=February 5, 2016|archive-date=October 3, 2016|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20161003015029/http://www.hutchnews.com/news/local_state_news/democrat-patrick-wiesner-files-for-jerry-moran-s-senate-seat/article_32f36fd7-310f-55fb-8c00-6873daf219f1.html|url-status=dead}}
==Declined==
- Carl Brewer, former mayor of Wichita
- Paul Davis, former minority leader of the Kansas House of Representatives and nominee for Governor of Kansas in 2014
- Jill Docking, businesswoman, former member of the Kansas Board of Regents, nominee for the U.S. Senate in 1996 and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014
- Dan Glickman, former U.S. Representative and former United States Secretary of Agriculture{{cite web|url=http://www.kansascity.com/news/politics-government/article44539935.html|title=Kansas Democrats see an opening but fear they can't take advantage|work=The Kansas City Star|last=Helling|first=Dave|date=November 12, 2015|access-date=March 22, 2016}}
- Greg Orman, businessman and independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014
- Joe Reardon, former mayor of Kansas City and Wyandotte County
- Kathleen Sebelius, former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services and former governor of Kansas{{cite news|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/04/11/why-kathleen-sebeliuss-political-career-is-probably-over/|title=Why Kathleen Sebelius's political career is (probably) over|date=April 11, 2014|access-date=November 17, 2014|newspaper=The Washington Post|first=Sean|last=Sullivan}}{{cite web|url=http://www.kansascity.com/news/government-politics/article7822977.html|title=Kathleen Sebelius criticizes Gov. Sam Brownback's vision for Kansas|date=January 20, 2015|access-date=May 30, 2015|work=The Kansas City Star|first=Steve|last=Kraske}}
- Jim Slattery, former U.S. Representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2008
- Margie Wakefield, attorney and nominee for Kansas's 2nd congressional district in 2014
=Results=
[[File:Kansas Democratic Senate primary, 2016.svg|250px|thumb|Results by county:
{{collapsible list
| title = {{legend|#7996e2ff|Wiesner}}
|{{legend|#7996e2ff|50–60%}}
|{{legend|#6674deff|60–70%}}
|{{legend|#584cdeff|70–80%}}
|{{legend|#1e1dbeff|80–90%}}
}}
{{collapsible list
| title = {{legend|#aade87|Singh-Bey}}
|{{legend|#8dd35f|60–70%}}
}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Democratic primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Patrick Wiesner
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 59,522
| percentage = 62.94%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Monique Singh-Bey
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| votes = 35,042
| percentage = 37.06%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes = 94,564
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Libertarian primary
=Candidates=
==Declared==
{{Election box begin no change
| title = Libertarian primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
| candidate = Robert Garrard
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| votes =
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box total no change
| votes =
| percentage = 100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Independent
=Candidates=
==Declined==
- Greg Orman, businessman and Independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014
General election
=Predictions=
= Polling =
{{Graph:Chart
| width=700
| height=400
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%support
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Candidate
| interpolate = bundle
| size = 77
| xType = date
| y1Title=Jerry Moran
| y2Title=Patrick Wiesner
| y3Title=Robert Garrard
| y4Title=Undecided
| type=line
|xGrid=
| x= 2016/07/11, 2016/08/07, 2016/09/11, 2016/10/15, 2016/10/30, 2016/10/31, 2016/11/01, 2016/11/02, 2016/11/03, 2016/11/03, 2016/11/06, 2016/11/07,
| y1= 52, 52, 50, 56, 55, 56, 57, 57, 58, 77, 58, 59
| y2= 33, 32, 34, 31, 31, 39, 38, 38, 38, 13, 38, 37
| y3= , 6, 6, 5, 6, , , , , 10, , ,
| y4= 15, 10, 11, 8, 8, 5, 5, 5, 4, 0, 4, 4
| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, yellow, #DCDCDC
| showSymbols = 1
| yGrid = true
| linewidth = 2.0
}}
class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;" |
valign= bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Jerry ! style="width:100px;"| Patrick ! style="width:100px;"| Robert ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArc1RLTFJqQ3JhTTA/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| November 1–7, 2016 | align=center| 1,311 | align=center| ± 4.6% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 59% | align=center| 37% | align=center| — | align=center| 4% |
SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcEwxQXh2M25qSFE/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| October 31–November 6, 2016 | align=center| 1,139 | align=center| ± 4.6% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 58% | align=center| 38% | align=center| — | align=center| 4% |
Fort Hays State University[http://www.kansas.com/news/local/article112533742.html Fort Hays State University]
| align=center| November 1–3, 2016 | align=center| 313 | align=center| ± 3.5% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 77% | align=center| 13% | align=center| 10% | align=center| 0% |
SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAreE9xVzhyUUNZNGc/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| October 28–November 3, 2016 | align=center| 1,162 | align=center| ± 4.6% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 58% | align=center| 38% | align=center| — | align=center| 4% |
SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArd1o5cmhoTmVQbDg/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| October 27–November 2, 2016 | align=center| 1,123 | align=center| ± 4.6% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 57% | align=center| 38% | align=center| — | align=center| 5% |
SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArcTNEc0hBTzFlSVE/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| October 26–November 1, 2016 | align=center| 1,164 | align=center| ± 4.6% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 57% | align=center| 38% | align=center| — | align=center| 5% |
SurveyMonkey[https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kAraEFpRXdFc21TVG8/view SurveyMonkey]
| align=center| October 25–31, 2016 | align=center| 1,273 | align=center| ± 4.6% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 56% | align=center| 39% | align=center| — | align=center| 5% |
KSN News/SurveyUSA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=0e1d48a5-2698-448f-8f7a-fa2c92996543 KSN News/SurveyUSA]
| align=center| October 26–30, 2016 | align=center| 596 | align=center| ± 4.1% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 55% | align=center| 31% | align=center| 6% | align=center| 8% |
KSN News/SurveyUSA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=191ff880-bbb1-48d3-81d2-7b225731d0fd KSN News/SurveyUSA]
| align=center| October 11–15, 2016 | align=center| 549 | align=center| ± 4.2% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 56% | align=center| 31% | align=center| 5% | align=center| 8% |
KSN News/SurveyUSA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=75f6eaff-73bc-4e49-a83f-588adb59bed7 KSN News/SurveyUSA]
| align=center| September 6–11, 2016 | align=center| 565 | align=center| ± 4.2% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 50% | align=center| 34% | align=center| 6% | align=center| 11% |
KSN News/SurveyUSA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=048dcf9b-7e4e-4ca3-8da6-f0f3b7662e73 KSN News/SurveyUSA]
| align=center| August 3–7, 2016 | align=center| 566 | align=center| ± 4.2% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 52% | align=center| 32% | align=center| 6% | align=center| 10% |
KSN News/SurveyUSA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=7a998d53-af1c-4a34-996c-6de020dea785 KSN News/SurveyUSA]
| align=center| July 8–11, 2016 | align=center| 537 | align=center| ± 4.3% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 52% | align=center| 33% | align=center| — | align=center| 15% |
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
with Monique Singh-Bey
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:170px;"| Poll source ! style="width:180px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Jerry ! style="width:100px;"| Monique ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
KSN News/SurveyUSA
| align=center| July 8–11, 2016 | align=center| 537 | align=center| ± 4.3% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 54% | align=center| 30% | align=center| 15% |
with Kathleen Sebelius
class="wikitable" |
valign= bottom
! style="width:170px;"| Poll source ! style="width:180px;"| Date(s) ! class=small | Sample ! class=small | Margin of ! style="width:100px;"| Jerry ! style="width:100px;"| Kathleen ! style="width:40px;"| Undecided |
Public Policy Polling[http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_KS_916513.pdf Public Policy Polling]
| align=center| September 11–14, 2014 | align=center| 1,328 | align=center| ± 2.7% | {{party shading/Republican}} align=center| 52% | align=center| 37% | align=center| 11% |
{{hidden end}}
=Results=
{{Election box begin | title=United States Senate election in Kansas, 2016 {{cite news|url=http://www.kssos.org/elections/16elec/2016_General_Election_Official_Results.pdf |title=2016 General Election Official Results |date=November 8, 2016 |access-date=January 3, 2017 |publisher=Kansas Secretary of State }}}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
| party = Republican Party (United States)
| candidate = Jerry Moran (incumbent)
| votes = 732,376
| percentage = 62.18%
| change = -7.91%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Democratic Party (United States)
| candidate = Patrick Wiesner
| votes = 379,740
| percentage = 32.24%
| change = +5.86%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Libertarian Party (United States)
| candidate = Robert D. Garrard
| votes = 65,760
| percentage = 5.58%
| change = +3.44%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
| party = Independent (United States)
| candidate = DJ Smith (write-in)
| votes = 46
| percentage = 0.00%
| change = N/A
}}
{{Election box total
| votes = 1,177,922
| percentage = 100.0%
| change = N/A
}}
{{Election box hold with party link no swing
| winner = Republican Party (United States)
}}
{{Election box end}}
==By congressional district==
Moran won all 4 congressional districts.{{Cite web |title=DRA 2020 |url=https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::d5273801-39a6-4ad6-89fe-c0d1d7460680 |access-date=2024-08-20 |website=Daves Redistricting}}
class="wikitable sortable"
! District ! Moran ! Wiesner | Garrard ! class="unsortable"| Representative |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Kansas|1|1st}} | 76% | 19% | 5% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Roger Marshall |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Kansas|2|2nd}} |59% | 36% | 5% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Lynn Jenkins |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Kansas|3|3rd}} | 53% | 42% | 6% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Kevin Yoder |
align=center
! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Kansas|4|4th}} | 64% | 30% | 6% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Mike Pompeo |
References
{{reflist}}
External links
Official campaign websites
- [http://www.moranforkansas.com/ Jerry Moran (R) for Senate]
- [http://www.wiesnerforsenate.com/ Patrick Wiesner (D) for Senate]
{{2016 United States elections}}
{{US Third Party Election}}