2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election
{{Short description|none}}
{{see also|2018 United States gubernatorial elections}}
{{Use American English|date=January 2025}}
{{Use mdy dates|date=September 2023}}
{{Infobox election
| election_name = 2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election
| country = New Mexico
| type = presidential
| ongoing = no
| turnout =
| previous_election = 2014 New Mexico gubernatorial election
| previous_year = 2014
| next_election = 2022 New Mexico gubernatorial election
| next_year = 2022
| election_date = November 6, 2018
| image1 = File:Michelle Lujan Grisham official photo (cropped 2).jpg
| image_size = x150px
| nominee1 = Michelle Lujan Grisham
| party1 = Democratic Party (United States)
| running_mate1 = Howie Morales
| popular_vote1 = 398,368
| percentage1 = 57.20%
| image2 = File:Steve Pearce official photo (cropped 2).jpg
| nominee2 = Steve Pearce
| party2 = Republican Party (United States)
| running_mate2 = Michelle Garcia Holmes
| popular_vote2 = 298,091
| percentage2 = 42.80%
| map_image = {{switcher |230px |County results |230px |Congressional district results |230px |Precinct results |default=1}}
| map_size = 200px
| map_caption = Lujan Grisham: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Pearce: {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#ae8bb1|50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No data}}
| title = Governor
| before_election = Susana Martinez
| before_party = Republican Party (United States)
| after_election = Michelle Lujan Grisham
| after_party = Democratic Party (United States)|
}}
{{ElectionsNM}}
The 2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the next governor of New Mexico, concurrently with the election of New Mexico's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various local elections. This was one of eight Republican-held governorships up for election in a state carried by Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election.
Incumbent Republican governor Susana Martinez was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term. Following party primaries on June 5, 2018, U.S. Representative Steve Pearce was the Republican nominee and U.S. Representative Michelle Lujan Grisham was the Democratic nominee. Lujan Grisham won the election by a substantial margin, which in fact was a complete and exact reversal of the 2014 gubernatorial results. Her win also signaled a continuation of the pattern of the partisanship of the office changing every two terms, beginning with Gary Johnson's first election in 1994. Furthermore, the pattern of the partisanship changing with each officeholder was continued, a pattern first started after Toney Anaya left office in 1987. Furthermore, the margin between the candidates (57.2% to 42.8%) was the same as the previous election, albeit with the parties switched.
Background
At the presidential level, New Mexico has begun to trend into a Democratic-leaning swing state. It has gone Democratic in all but one presidential election since 1992. The only break in this trend came in 2004, when George W. Bush won it by less than a point. However, in 2008, Barack Obama won the state over John McCain by 15 points and in 2012 by 10 points over Mitt Romney. In 2016, Democrat Hillary Clinton defeated Republican Donald Trump by eight points.
However, in 2010, then-District Attorney of New Mexico's Third Judicial District Susana Martinez won the election, becoming the first US Latina Governor, over Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish, former running mate of two-term Democrat Bill Richardson, by approximately seven points. In 2014, Martinez was re-elected over state Attorney General Gary King by nearly 15 points. It has been described as one of the Democrats' best chances at a pickup, due to Gov. Martinez's unpopularity and because "she's leaving behind a high unemployment rate and struggling education system."Phillips, Amber, [https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2018/01/06/the-top-10-gubernatorial-races-of-2018/ "The top 10 gubernatorial races of 2018], "The Washington Post", January 6, 2018
The 2018 primary election results show 116,311 votes for Democratic candidate Michelle Lujan Grisham and a total of 175,182 for all three Democratic candidates while Republican candidate/nominee Steve Pearce received 74,705; note that 23% of New Mexico's registered voters are third party or independents (280,000), who do not vote in the primary election.
Republican primary
=Governor=
==Candidates==
===Nominated===
- Steve Pearce, U.S. Representative, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2000 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2008{{cite news|last1=Coleman|first1=Michael|title=Pearce to run for governor of New Mexico|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1030705/pearce-to-run-for-governor-of-new-mexico.html|access-date=July 10, 2017|work=Albuquerque Journal|date=July 10, 2017}}
===Declined===
- Aubrey Dunn Jr., New Mexico Commissioner of Public Lands and candidate for NM-02 in 2008{{cite news|url=http://nmpolitics.net/index/2016/08/qa-land-commissioner-dunn-has-his-own-proposal-to-fund-early-childhood-programs/|title=Q&A: Land Commissioner Dunn has his own proposal to fund early childhood programs|work=NMPolitics.net|last=Haussamen|first=Heath|date=August 10, 2016|access-date=December 8, 2016}}{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/pearce-confirms-he-s-weighing-run-for-governor/article_1663fcf6-56ec-5e83-a030-b8dab99d2c21.html?mode=jqm|title=Pearce confirms he's weighing run for governor|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=May 13, 2017|access-date=May 15, 2017}}{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/blogs/roundhouse_roundup/land-commissioner-dunn-will-announce-his-political-plans-early-next/article_f8d8a232-65ce-11e7-ae26-2f6682e93304.html|title=Land Commissioner Dunn will announce his political plans early next week|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=July 10, 2017|access-date=July 12, 2017}}
- John Sanchez, lieutenant governor and nominee for governor of New Mexico in 2002{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/blogs/roundhouse_roundup/john-sanchez-not-running-for-governor/article_7cfed762-668c-11e7-9590-f777d7614fa3.html|title=John Sanchez NOT running for governor|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=July 11, 2017|access-date=July 12, 2017}}
== Results ==
{{Election box begin no change|title=Republican primary results{{cite web |title=Canvass of Returns of Primary Election Held June 5, 2018 - State of New Mexico |url=https://klvg4oyd4j.execute-api.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/prod/PublicFiles/ee3072ab0d43456cb15a51f7d82c77a2/e0e560b9-8efb-4bda-b60d-616566e3a5b4/2018PrimaryStateCanvass.pdf |publisher=New Mexico Secretary of State |language=en |access-date=July 30, 2024}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|candidate=Steve Pearce
|party=Republican Party (United States)
|votes=75,162
|percentage=100.00%
}}
{{Election box total no change
|votes=75,162
|percentage=100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Lieutenant governor=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Michelle Garcia Holmes, former chief of staff to Attorney General Gary King, former police detective and candidate for mayor of Albuquerque in 2017{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/newly-registered-republican-makes-bid-to-become-gop-lieutenant-governor/article_4651eaf1-1a18-595b-a43f-b584f9c19b6f.html|title=Newly registered Republican makes bid to become GOP lieutenant governor nominee|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=November 30, 2017|access-date=December 6, 2017}}
===Withdrew===
- Kelly Zunie, former secretary of the New Mexico Indian Affairs Department{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/native-american-running-for-gop-lieutenant-governor-spot/article_d92c9186-d0fe-5ace-9c23-2cfb2cc1653d.html|title=Native American running for GOP lieutenant governor spot|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Chacón|first=Daniel J.|date=August 15, 2017|access-date=September 1, 2017}}{{cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1094599/kelly-zunie-drops-out-of-lt-gov-race-cites-residency-rules.html|title=Republican drops out of race for lieutenant governor, cites residency rules|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Boyd|first=Dan|date=November 17, 2017|access-date=November 20, 2017}}
===Declined===
- Ted Barela, former state senator{{cite news|url=https://joemonahansnewmexico.blogspot.com/2017/08/campaign-trail-dust-not-so-fast-on-gop.html|title=Campaign Trail Dust: Not So Fast On GOP Lt. Gov. Nod; Race Developing, Latest Perceptions On Dem Guv Chase And Our Continuing Crime Wave Coverage|work=New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan|last=Monahan|first=Joe|date=August 16, 2017|access-date=September 1, 2017}}
- Mark Moores, state senator
- Cliff Pirtle, state senator
== Results ==
{{Election box begin no change|title=Republican primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|candidate=Michelle Garcia Holmes
|party=Republican Party (United States)
|votes=67,681
|percentage=100.00%
}}
{{Election box total no change
|votes=67,681
|percentage=100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Democratic primary
=Governor=
==Candidates==
===Nominated===
- Michelle Lujan Grisham, U.S. Representative{{cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/908217/u-s-rep-michelle-lujan-grisham-announces-2018-gubernatorial-bid.html|title=U.S. Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham announces 2018 gubernatorial bid|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Boyd|first=Dan|date=December 13, 2016|access-date=December 13, 2016}}
==Eliminated in primary==
- Jeff Apodaca, businessman and son of former governor Jerry Apodaca{{cite news|url=http://nmpoliticalreport.com/134054/udall-said-no-but-some-dems-still-looking-at-2018-run-for-governor/|title=Udall said no, but some Dems still looking at 2018 run for governor|work=New Mexico Political Report|last=Reichbach|first=Matthew|date=December 8, 2016|access-date=December 7, 2016}}{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/jeff-apodaca-to-run-for-governor/article_a73bde46-2f49-11e7-91bc-e7cbccaca41d.html|title=Jeff Apodaca to run for governor|work=Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=May 3, 2017|access-date=May 3, 2017}}
- Joe Cervantes, state senator{{cite news|url=http://nmpoliticalreport.com/347802/las-cruces-legislator-cites-budget-jobs-crisis-for-why-hes-running-for-governor/|title=Las Cruces legislator cites budget, jobs crisis for why he's running for governor|work=NMPolitics.net|last=Peters|first=Joey|date=July 7, 2017|access-date=July 10, 2017}}
===Declined===
- Hector Balderas, Attorney General (running for re-election){{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/balderas-to-seek-re-election-as-ag-won-t-run/article_d371a4a2-3a6e-11e7-9bb8-4fe06b381482.html|title=Balderas to seek re-election as AG, won't run for governor|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=May 16, 2017|access-date=May 17, 2017}}
- Javier Gonzales, former mayor of Santa Fe (running for lieutenant governor){{cite web|url=http://nmpolitics.net/index/2016/12/santa-fe-mayor-also-considering-running-for-governor/|title=Santa Fe mayor also considering running for governor|author=Haussamen, Heath|publisher=New Mexico Politics|date=December 9, 2016|access-date=December 9, 2016}}{{cite news|url=http://www.abqjournal.com/502617/next-stop-the-governors-office.html|title=Is the Governor's Office the next stop for Mayor Gonzales?|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Last|first=T.S.|date=November 28, 2014|access-date=July 6, 2016}}{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/citing-strength-as-senator-udall-says-he-won-t-run/article_c2a2ef8d-c109-5e5e-8fc0-fc395ed0de1a.html|title=Citing strength as senator, Udall says he won't run for governor in 2018|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=December 7, 2016|access-date=December 8, 2016}}{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/gonzales-announces-bid-for-lt-gov-in-crowded-dem-field/article_da353739-342f-5bba-b01e-acee096eb130.html|title=Gonzales announces bid for lt. gov. in crowded Dem field|last=Nott|first=Robert|date=December 9, 2017|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|access-date=December 11, 2017}}
- Martin Heinrich, U.S. Senator (running for reelection){{cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/886157/udall-lujan-grisham-weigh-run-for-governor.html|title=Who wants to be New Mexico's next governor?|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Coleman|first=Michael|date=November 10, 2016|access-date=November 10, 2016}}
- Tim Keller, mayor of Albuquerque and former State Auditor{{cite news|url=http://joemonahansnewmexico.blogspot.com/2015/03/18-guv-positioning-takes-shape-bitter.html|title='18 Guv Positioning Takes Shape|work=New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan|last=Monahan|first=Joe|date=March 10, 2015|access-date=March 18, 2015}}{{cite news|url=http://nmpolitics.net/index/2016/05/qa-auditor-keller-says-better-funding-his-office-would-protect-tax-dollars/|title=Q&A: Auditor Keller says better funding his office would protect tax dollars|work=NMPolitics.net|last=Haussamen|first=Heath|date=May 12, 2016|access-date=July 14, 2016}}{{cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/906519/governors-race-could-get-crowded.html|title=Governor's race could get crowded|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Boyd|first=Dan|date=December 10, 2016|access-date=December 11, 2016}}
- Ben Ray Luján, U.S. Representative
- Tom Udall, U.S. Senator{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/udall-weighs-run-for-governor-in/article_7f326eea-2f2a-5e1f-acb4-3d4b608ae4dc.html|title=Udall weighs run for governor in 2018|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=November 9, 2016|access-date=November 10, 2016}}{{cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/904199|title=Udall won't run for governor in 2018|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Coleman|first=Michael|date=December 7, 2016|access-date=December 7, 2016}}
- Alan Webber, mayor of Santa Fe and candidate for governor in 2014{{cite news|url=http://nmpolitics.net/index/2016/12/udall-decides-against-running-for-governor-says-hes-needed-in-d-c/|title=Udall decides against running for governor, says he's needed in D.C.|work=NMPolitics.net|last=Haussamen|first=Heath|date=December 7, 2016|access-date=December 7, 2016}}{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/one-time-gubernatorial-candidate-webber-backs-lujan-grisham/article_c6ee5f73-bb61-5c48-b89f-573539b63250.html|title=One-time gubernatorial candidate Webber backs Lujan Grisham|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=July 13, 2017|access-date=July 14, 2017}}
==Endorsements==
{{Endorsements box
| title = Jeff Apodaca
| list =
;Local and state politicians
- Guadalupe Cano, Silver City Town Councilor{{cite web|url=https://www.facebook.com/Apo4nm/photos/a.434772933575017.1073741829.432126073839703/491195737932736/?type=3|title=Guadalupe Cano endorsement|work=Facebook|date=August 29, 2017|access-date=October 3, 2017}}
- Marco Lucero, Los Alamos County Sheriff{{cite web|url=http://www.ladailypost.com/content/los-alamos-county-sheriff-marco-lucero-endorses-jeff-apodaca-governor-new-mexico|title=Los Alamos County Sheriff Marco Lucero Endorses Jeff Apodaca For Governor Of New Mexico|work=Los Alamos Daily Post|last=Lucero|first=Marco V.|date=September 14, 2017|access-date=October 3, 2017|archive-date=September 29, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170929044206/http://www.ladailypost.com/content/los-alamos-county-sheriff-marco-lucero-endorses-jeff-apodaca-governor-new-mexico|url-status=dead}}
;Individuals
- Sam Donaldson, retired news anchor, serving with ABC News 1967–2013{{cite web|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/blogs/roundhouse_roundup/sam-donaldson-endorses-jeff-apodaca/article_bfae504e-7e13-11e7-9f5e-0f7dd603399e.html|title=Sam Donaldson endorses Jeff Apodaca|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=August 10, 2017|access-date=September 1, 2017}}
- Lilly Ledbetter, namesake of the Lilly Ledbetter Fair Pay Act of 2009{{cite web|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1070077/more-gubernatorial-endorsements-roll-in.html|title=More gubernatorial endorsements roll in|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=August 10, 2017|access-date=September 1, 2017}}
- Mary Molina Mescall, former executive director of the New Mexico Commission on the Status of Women{{cite web|url=https://www.facebook.com/Apo4nm/photos/a.434772933575017.1073741829.432126073839703/499243883794588/?type=3|title=Mary Molina Mescall endorsement|work=Facebook|date=September 19, 2017|access-date=October 3, 2017}}
- Frances Ray, former president of the Democratic Women of Bernalillo County{{cite web|url=https://www.facebook.com/Apo4nm/photos/a.434772933575017.1073741829.432126073839703/499301630455480/?type=3|title=Frances Ray endorsement|work=Facebook|date=September 22, 2017|access-date=October 3, 2017}}
}}
==Polling==
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:75px;"| Jeff ! style="width:75px;"| Joe ! style="width:75px;"| Michelle ! Other ! Undecided |
| style="text-align:left;"|Research & Polling, Inc.[https://www.abqjournal.com/1177219/journal-poll-big-lead-for-lujan-grisham-us-representative-has-almost-4to1-margin-over-closest-challenger.html Research & Polling, Inc.]
| May 20–24, 2018 | 444 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 15% | 9% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 57% | – | 19% |
| style="text-align:left;"|GQR Research (D)[https://www.scribd.com/document/372634523/NM-Gov-GQR-D-for-Michelle-Lujan-Grisham-D-Feb-2018 GQR Research (D)]{{efn-ua|name="LG"}}
| February 14–19, 2018 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 13% | 6% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 72% | 2%{{efn|name="DB"|Peter DeBenedittis with 2%}} | 6% |
| style="text-align:left;"|GQR Research (D){{usurped|1=[https://web.archive.org/web/20171107025811/https://projectnewamerica.com/latest/new-mexico-poll-likely-democratic-primary-voters-shows-lujan-grisham-handily-beating GQR Research (D)]}}{{efn-ua|Poll conducted for The Majority Institute, a research and strategy hub affiliated with the Democratic Party.}}
| October 12–18, 2017 |446 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 10% |3% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 75% | 2%{{efn|name="DB"}} | 10% |
== Results ==
[[File:New Mexico gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg|thumb|200px|Results by county:
{{legend|#1666cb|Lujan Grisham—70–80%}}
{{legend|#4389e3|Lujan Grisham—60–70%}}
{{legend|#86b6f2|Lujan Grisham—50–60%}}
{{legend|#b9d7ff|Lujan Grisham—40–50%}}
{{legend|#afe9af|Apodaca—40–50%}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change|title=Democratic primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party=Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate=Michelle Lujan Grisham
|votes=116,754
|percentage=66.38%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party=Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate=Jeff Apodaca
|votes=38,975
|percentage=22.16%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party=Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate=Joe Cervantes
|votes=20,169
|percentage=11.47%
}}
{{Election box total no change
|votes=175,898
|percentage=100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Lieutenant governor=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Billy Garrett, Doña Ana County Commissioner{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/do-a-ana-county-commissioner-announces-bid-for-lieutenant-governor/article_980deab6-45ba-57d8-b1c2-b69b5fea0468.html|title=Doña Ana County commissioner announces bid for lieutenant governor|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=October 20, 2017|access-date=October 21, 2017}}
- Rick Miera, former Majority Leader of the New Mexico House of Representatives{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/miera-and-mcteigue-announce-runs-for-lt-gov/article_3d54ff8c-6c8d-5078-9333-1afe645c26b2.html|title=Miera and McTeigue announce runs for Lt. Gov.|last=Horwath|first=Justin|date=June 12, 2017|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|access-date=September 1, 2017}}
- Howie Morales, state senator and candidate for governor in 2014{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/sen-morales-launches-bid-for-lieutenant-governor/article_95c3cec8-6fcd-5800-9740-81600f0db229.html|title=Sen. Morales launches bid for lieutenant governor|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=December 5, 2017|access-date=December 6, 2017}}
===Withdrew===
- Jeff Carr, retired teacher and former New Mexico Public Education Commissioner{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/longtime-educator-jumps-into-race-for-lieutenant-governor/article_d1f2a9f5-7076-5222-b61c-6d62f799ce9c.html|title=Longtime educator jumps into race for lieutenant governor|last=Oxford|first=Andrew|date=January 5, 2017|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|access-date=September 1, 2017}}
- Javier Gonzales, former mayor of Santa Fe{{Cite web|url=https://www.javiergonzales4nm.com/|title=Home|website=Javier Gonzales|language=en-US|access-date=2018-02-20|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180220212534/https://www.javiergonzales4nm.com/|archive-date=2018-02-20|url-status=usurped}}
- David McTeigue, juvenile probation officer
- Michael Padilla, state senator{{cite news|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/state-sen-padilla-will-run-for-lieutenant-governor/article_c6dbf115-3813-590f-a017-33babd7349a1.html|title=State Sen. Padilla will run for lieutenant governor|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=July 19, 2017|access-date=September 1, 2017}}{{cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1101878/michael-padilla-drops-bid-for-lieutenant-governor.html|title=Padilla drops bid for lieutenant governor|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=McKay|first=Dan|date=December 4, 2017|access-date=December 6, 2017}}
===Declined===
- Brian Colón, former chairman of the Democratic Party of New Mexico, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010 and candidate for mayor of Albuquerque in 2017 (running for State Auditor)
- Bill O'Neill, state senator{{cite news|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1036123/state-sen-michael-padilla-joins-lt-governor-race.html|title=State Sen. Padilla will run for lieutenant governor|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Boyd|first=Dan|date=July 21, 2017|access-date=September 1, 2017}}
== Results ==
[[File:New Mexico lieutenant gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2018.svg|thumb|200px|Results by county:
{{legend|#0645b4|Morales—80–90%}}
{{legend|#1666cb|Morales—70–80%}}
{{legend|#4389e3|Morales—60–70%}}
{{legend|#86b6f2|Morales—50–60%}}
{{legend|#b9d7ff|Morales—40–50%}}
{{legend|#d3e7ff|Morales—<40%}}
{{legend|#656565|Tie– Miera/Morales}}
{{legend|#afe9af|Miera—40–50%}}
{{legend|#ffb380|Garrett—40–50%}}
]]
{{Election box begin no change|title=Democratic primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|party=Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate=Howie Morales
|votes=75,828
|percentage=47.10%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party=Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate=Rick Miera
|votes=51,202
|percentage=31.81%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link no change
|party=Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate=Billy Garrett
|votes=33,949
|percentage=21.09%
}}
{{Election box total no change
|votes=160,979
|percentage=100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
Libertarian primary
Based on the party's voter registration numbers and presidential nominee Gary Johnson's result in 2016, the Libertarian Party holds major-party status in New Mexico.[http://35.161.75.124/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/LPNM-Major-Party-Release-WEB-6-2-17.pdf Press release] {{Dead link|date=June 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }} Under New Mexico law, both gubernatorial and lieutenant governor candidates must receive each at least 230 signatures from registered Libertarian voters to formally receive the nomination and be placed on the ballot as the Libertarian nominees. Both Walsh and Dunn failed to meet that requirement and were not on the ballot.{{cite news |last1=Oxford |first1=Andrew |title=Libertarian candidate for governor fails to make ballot |url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/libertarian-candidate-for-governor-fails-to-make-ballot/article_c2378ba0-82d8-596f-83ff-5115758e6ac4.html |work=Santa Fe New Mexican |date=June 26, 2018 |language=en}}
=Governor=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
===Declined===
- Aubrey Dunn, Jr., Commissioner of Public Lands{{cite web|url=http://www.lamonitor.com/content/nm-land-commissioner-may-run-governor-libertarian|title=N.M land commissioner may run for governor as Libertarian - LAMonitor.com|website=lamonitor.com|access-date=22 May 2018|archive-date=29 May 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180529225619/http://www.lamonitor.com/content/nm-land-commissioner-may-run-governor-libertarian|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=http://www.lcsun-news.com/story/news/local/new-mexico/2017/11/13/son-state-land-commissioner-aubrey-dunn-mulling-run-governor-libertarian/860618001/|title=Son: State Land Commissioner Aubrey Dunn mulling run for governor, as Libertarian|access-date=22 May 2018}} (ran for the U.S. Senate, but dropped out)
- Gary Johnson, former Republican governor and nominee for president in 2012 and 2016{{cite web|url=https://www.thejacknews.com/politics/political-highlights/why-gary-johnson-wont-run-governor-new-mexico-2018/|title=Here's Why Gary Johnson Won't Be Running For Governor of New Mexico In 2018|date=16 September 2017|website=thejacknews.com|access-date=14 June 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180615111745/http://thejacknews.com/politics/political-highlights/why-gary-johnson-wont-run-governor-new-mexico-2018/|archive-date=15 June 2018|url-status=dead}}{{cite web|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/with-easy-ballot-access-libertarian-party-seeks-n-m-candidates/article_d07c2d59-8e80-52dc-9036-2ef6adb66c88.html|title=With easy ballot access, Libertarian Party seeks N.M. candidates; Dunn eyes bid for governor |author= Morgan Lee - The Associated Press |date=13 November 2017 |access-date= 22 May 2018}} (running for the U.S. Senate){{cite web|last=Boyd|first=Dan|title=Gary Johnson makes it official: He's running for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1208890/gary-johnson-makes-it-official-hes-running-for-u-s-senate.html|work=Albuquerque Journal|date=August 14, 2018}}
== Results ==
{{Election box begin no change|title=Libertarian primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|candidate=Bob Walsh (write-in)
|party=Libertarian Party (United States)
|votes=175
|percentage=100.00%
}}
{{Election box total no change
|votes=175
|percentage=100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
=Lieutenant governor=
==Candidates==
===Declared===
- Robin Dunn, wife of Aubrey Dunn, Jr.
== Results ==
{{Election box begin no change|title=Libertarian primary results
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change
|candidate=Robin Dunn (write-in)
|party=Libertarian Party (United States)
|votes=177
|percentage=100.00%
}}
{{Election box total no change
|votes=177
|percentage=100.00%
}}
{{Election box end}}
General election
=Endorsements=
{{Endorsements box
| title = Steve Pearce (R)
| list =
;Federal officials
- Mike Pence, vice president of the United States{{cite web|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/vp-pence-headed-to-new-mexico-will-stump-for-pearce/article_b8c57b6f-de70-5d80-b52d-94a9c115b2be.html|title=VP Pence headed to New Mexico, will stump for Pearce, Herrell|work=Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Stelnicki|first=Tripp|date=October 22, 2018|access-date=October 24, 2018}}
- Louis Burkhard, Valencia County
- Mark Cage, Eddy County
- Ken Christesen, San Juan County
- Ian Fletcher, Catron County
- Gary Gold, San Miguel County (Democratic)
- Glenn Hamilton, Sierra County
- Elva Harvey, De Baca County (Democratic)
- Corey Helton, Lea County
- Benny House, Otero County
- Marco Lucero, Los Alamos County (Democratic)
- Mike Lucero, Guadalupe County (Democratic)
- Tony Mace, Cibola County (Democratic)
- Malin Parker, Roosevelt County
- Russell Shafer, Quay County
- Robert Shepperd, Lincoln County
- Rick Sinclair, Colfax County
- Britt Snyder, Chaves County
- Warren Walter, Hidalgo County
- Wesley Waller, Curry County
- Heath White, Torrance County
- Doug Wood, Sandoval County
;County commissioners
- Glen Duggins, Socorro County{{cite web|url=https://pearcefornm.com/michelle-lujan-grisham-caught-lying-about-republican-endorsement/|title=MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM CAUGHT LYING ABOUT REPUBLICAN ENDORSEMENT|author=Steve Pearce for Governor|date=September 24, 2018|access-date=September 25, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180926051950/https://pearcefornm.com/michelle-lujan-grisham-caught-lying-about-republican-endorsement/|archive-date=September 26, 2018|url-status=dead}}
;Individuals
- Jerry Apodaca, former Democratic governor of New Mexico, 1975–1979{{cite web|title=Pearce is willing to reach across the aisle|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1207906/pearce-is-willing-to-reach-across-the-aisle.html|work=Albuquerque Journal|author=Jerry Apodaca|date=August 12, 2018}}
- Martin Hicks, mayor of Grants (Democratic){{cite web|title=Democratic Mayor Martin Hicks Endorses Steve Pearce for Governor|url=http://www.krwg.org/post/democratic-mayor-martin-hicks-endorses-steve-pearce-governor|work=KRWG|author=Pearce for Governor|date=August 28, 2018}}
- Ronna Romney McDaniel, chair of the RNC{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/Pearce4NM/status/1009642264501551104|title=Packed house of fired up Republicans at tonight's @NewMexicoGOP dinner in ABQ! Thanks to @GOPChairwoman for visiting our great state - we are ready to win in November! #nmpol|author=Steve Pearce|work=Twitter}}
;Organizations
- Albuquerque Police Officers Association{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/Pearce4NM/status/1054826087862087682|title=Honored to have the support of the Albuquerque Police Officers' Association! As Governor, I'll always stand with the men and women who put their lives on the line to defend and protect our communities. #nmpol|work=Twitter|author=Steve Pearce|date=October 23, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230405184808/https://twitter.com/Pearce4NM/status/1054826087862087682|archive-date=April 5, 2023|url-status=live}}
- National Rifle Association of America{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/Pearce4NM/status/1042914660285014016|title=I'm honored to be endorsed for Governor by the @NRA! In Congress, I've worked hard to uphold your right to bear arms, and as Governor I'll continue to protect the Second Amendment! #nmpol|work=Twitter|author=Steve Pearce|date=September 21, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200623115606/https://twitter.com/Pearce4NM/status/1042914660285014016|archive-date=June 23, 2020|url-status=live}}
- Right To Life Committee of New Mexico{{cite web|title=ANNOUNCEMENT|url=http://www.rtlnm.org/|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180813203134/http://www.rtlnm.org/|url-status=dead|archive-date=2018-08-13|work=RTLNM}}
- Susan B. Anthony List{{cite web|work=Susan B. Anthony List|title=SBA List Endorses Steve Pearce for Governor of New Mexico|url=https://www.sba-list.org/newsroom/press-releases/sba-list-endorses-steve-pearce-for-governor-of-new-mexico|date=June 26, 2018}}
;Newspapers
- Albuquerque Journal{{cite web|title=Editorial: Needed: A fiscally responsible leader|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/1238499/needed-a-fiscally-responsible-leader.html|work=Albuquerque Journal|date=October 28, 2018|access-date=October 28, 2018}}
}}
{{Endorsements box
| title = Michelle Lujan Grisham (D)
| list =
;Federal officials
- Joe Biden, former vice president of the United States{{cite tweet|user=Michelle4NM |number=1009459810922721287 |title=VP @JoeBiden has been a strong advocate for hard-working Americans. I am so honored to have his support & am proud to work every day to protect the legacy that he & @POTUS44 left caring for those who need our help the most. More here: http://bit.ly/2tnJChG #nmpol #TeamMichelle|author=Michelle Lujan Grisham|work=Twitter |date=20 June 2018}}
- Barack Obama, former president of the United States{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/BarackObama/status/1046803503988006912|title=Today, I'm proud to endorse even more Democratic candidates who aren't just running against something, but for something—to expand opportunity for all of us and to restore dignity, honor, and compassion to public service. They deserve your vote|work=Twitter|author=Barack Obama}}
;U.S senators
- Jeff Bingaman, former U.S. Senator (D-NM){{cite web|url=http://nmpoliticalreport.com/240411/bingaman-endorses-lujan-grisham-for-governor/|title=Bingaman endorses Lujan Grisham for governor|work=New Mexico Political Report|last=Reichbach|first=Matthew|date=March 31, 2017|access-date=September 1, 2017}}
- Martin Heinrich, U.S. Senator (D-NM){{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/TeamHeinrich/status/1014980990857433088|title=This is where eight years of Republican leadership has gotten us. We need a governor who will work with Martin to bring more opportunities to New Mexico — @Michelle4NM is that person.|author=Martin Heinrich|work=Twitter}}
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator (D-MA){{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/elizabethforma/status/1053273594216804352|title=Michelle Lujan Grisham's opponent for New Mexico governor spread Obama birther conspiracy theories & wrote that a wife should "voluntarily submit" to her husband. Time to draw a line in the sand. Pitch in & let's help @Michelle4NM win this seat|work=Twitter|author=Elizabeth Warren}}
;U.S. representatives
- Gwen Graham, former U.S. Representative{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/GwenGraham/status/1004184424806789120|title=Congratulations to my friend @Michelle4NM! Serving together, I saw how hard Michelle fought for New Mexico and know she will make a great governor. #TheFutureIsFemale #2018IsFemale|author=Gwen Graham|work=Twitter}}
;Local and state politicians
- Eliseo Lee Alcon, state representative
- Deborah Armstrong, state representative
- Hector Balderas, Attorney General of New Mexico{{cite web|url=http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/blogs/roundhouse_roundup/hector-endorses-michelle/article_ad6b8280-5b4f-11e7-af45-835f35771cfc.html|title=Hector endorses Michelle|work=The Santa Fe New Mexican|last=Terrell|first=Steve|date=June 27, 2017|access-date=September 1, 2017}}
- Patricia Roybal Caballero, state representative
- Jacob Candelaria, state senator
- Gail Chasey, state representative
- Carlos Cisneros, state senator
- George Dodge Jr., state representative
- Daymon Ely, state representative
- Harry Garcia, state representative
- Miguel Garcia, state representative
- Deb Haaland, former chair of the New Mexico Democratic Party{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/Deb4CongressNM/status/1006234184182988840|title=I'll always stand with @Michelle4NM ! Democratic women are taking the US house, and the Roundhouse in November! #AreYouReady #nmpol @NMDEMS @emilyslistDeb|author=Deb Haaland|work=Twitter}}
- Jay Inslee, governor of Washington{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/JayInslee/status/1004190054300860417|title=New Mexico is a top pickup opportunity and I am confident that @Michelle4NM is the right candidate to win and bring change to New Mexico. |work=Twitter|author=Jay Inslee}}
- Timothy Jennings, former State Senate President Pro-Tempore
- D. Wonda Johnson, state representative
- Tim Keller, mayor of Albuquerque{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/Michelle4NM/status/1004199077137928192|title=.@TeamHeinrich and @MayorKeller firing up the crowd! #nmpol #TeamMichelle|author=MichelleLujanGrisham|work=Twitter}}
- Derrick Lente, state representative
- Georgene Louis, state representative
- Anthony "Moe" Maestas, state representative
- Javier Martínez, state representative
- Cisco McSorley, state senator
- John Pinto, state senator
- Stephanie Garcia Richard, state representative
- Nancy Rodriguez, state senator
- Angelica Rubio, state representative
- Nick Salazar, state representative
- Michael S. Sanchez, former State Senate Majority Leader{{cite web|title=New Mexicans for Michelle - Endorsements|url=http://www.newmexicansformichelle.com/endorsements|website=newmexicansformichelle.com|language=en|access-date=2018-04-26|archive-date=2018-04-27|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180427044447/http://www.newmexicansformichelle.com/endorsements|url-status=dead}}
- Debra Sariñana, state representative
- William Soules, state senator
- Liz Stefanics, state senator
- Bill Tallman, state senator
- Christine Trujillo, state representative
- Jim Trujillo, state representative
- Linda Trujillo, state representative'
- Alan Webber, mayor of Santa Fe and candidate for governor in 2014
;Individuals
- Chelsea Handler, actress{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/chelseahandler/status/1004534563131949056|title=Governor: We're thrilled Michelle Lujan Grisham won her primary in New Mexico — she's now one step closer to being the nation's first-ever Democratic Latina governor! We've had so many firsts w/ women of cooor and the lgbtq community. Let's keep it going. @emilyslist|author=Chelsea Handler|work=Twitter}}
- Alyssa Milano, actress and activist{{cite web|url=https://twitter.com/Alyssa_Milano/status/1055851022134824960|title=I'm proud to support @Michelle4NM because not only has she fought for seniors, children, and working families in Congress, she's lead the fight to protect #DREAMers and ensure that veterans are receiving the care they deserve.|work=Twitter|author=Alyssa Milano}}
- Edward L. Romero, former United States Ambassador to Spain and Andorra (1998-2001)
- Kipp Watson, owner of Rio Rancho Road Runners, LLC, which promotes wheelchair basketball"Statement of candidate Kipp Watson for position of Delegate to the upcoming NM Democratic Statewide Primary" on file with campaign office of Michelle Lujan Grisham for Governor, February 2, 2018.
- Cheryl L. Willman, M.D., University of New Mexico School of Medicine Distinguished Professor
;Labor unions
- American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees Council 18{{cite web|title=AFSCME Council 18 Statewide PEOPLE Committee - Candidate Endorsements|url=https://www.afscme18.org/afscme-new-mexico-new/news/afscme-council-18-statewide-people-committee-candidate-endorsements|website=AFSCME New Mexico|language=en|date=April 25, 2018}}
- American Federation of Teachers - New Mexico{{cite web|title=AFT New Mexico on Instagram: "IICYMI! We are proud to announce our union, the American Federation of Teachers New Mexico, have voted to endorse Michelle Lujan Grisham for Governor of New Mexico and Howie Morales for Lieutenant Governor of New Mexico.|url=https://www.instagram.com/p/BfeG25CnR34/ |archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/iarchive/s/instagram/BfeG25CnR34 |archive-date=2021-12-26 |url-access=registration|website=Instagram|publisher=AFT New Mexico|language=en|date=February 21, 2018}}{{cbignore}}
- Bakery, Confectionery, Tobacco Workers and Grain Millers' International Union Local 351{{cite web|last1=Reed|first1=Eric|title=New Mexico's Bakery, Confectionery, Tobacco Workers & Grain Millers Union Endorses Michelle Lujan Grisham for Governor|url=https://www.facebook.com/BCTGMLocal351/photos/a.1081463541885769.1073741829.1012309822134475/1570732669625518/?type=3&theater|website=facebook.com|publisher=BCTGM Local 351|date=June 19, 2017}}
- International Association of Fire Fighters Local 224{{cite web|title=Election Endorsements|url=http://www.iaff244.org/mobile/index.cfm?zone=/unionactive/election_list.cfm|website=iaff244.org|publisher=IAFF Local 244}}
- New Mexico Professional Fire Fighters Association{{cite web|last1=Arencón|first1=Diego|title=New Mexico Professional Fire Fighters Endorse Congresswoman Michelle Lugan Grisham for Governor of New Mexico|url=http://www.nmpffa.org/pics/NMPFFA%20Endorses%20Lujan%20Grisham%20for%20Governor%20of%20NM.jpg|website=NMPFFA|date=April 4, 2017|access-date=April 26, 2018|archive-date=September 29, 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170929040639/http://nmpffa.org/pics/NMPFFA%20Endorses%20Lujan%20Grisham%20for%20Governor%20of%20NM.jpg|url-status=dead}}
- United Mine Workers of America{{cite web|title=New Mexico - COMPAC Endorsements - UMWA|url=http://umwa.org/nm-compac/|website=UMWA|publisher=United Mine Workers of America|access-date=2018-05-15|archive-date=2018-05-15|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180515184039/http://umwa.org/nm-compac/|url-status=dead}}
- United Steelworkers District 12{{cite web |url=https://www.usw.org/news/media-center/releases/2017/usw-endorses-lujan-grisham-for-governor |title=USW Endorses Lujan Grisham for Governor | publisher=United Steelworkers District 12 |date=June 26, 2017}}
;Organizations
- Conservation Voters New Mexico Action Fund{{cite web|last1=Foster|first1=Demis|title=Conservation Voters New Mexico Action Fund Endorses Representative Michelle Lujan Grisham To Be New Mexico's Next Governor|url=https://cvnmactionfund.org/press-releases/michellelujangrisham/|website=cvnmactionfund.org|publisher=Conservation Voters New Mexico Action Fund|date=September 13, 2017|access-date=April 26, 2018|archive-date=April 27, 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180427044826/https://cvnmactionfund.org/press-releases/michellelujangrisham/|url-status=dead}}
- EMILY's List{{cite web|url=https://www.abqjournal.com/958565/lujan-grisham-lands-national-groups-endorsement-for-2018-govs-race.html|title=Emily's List to back Lujan Grisham for governor's race|work=Albuquerque Journal|last=Boyd|first=Dan|date=February 28, 2017|access-date=September 1, 2017}}
- Everytown for Gun Safety{{cite web|title=2018 Endorsed Candidates - GunSenseVoter.org|url=https://gunsensevoter.org/endorsed-2018/|access-date=2018-10-10|archive-date=2018-10-10|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181010213555/https://gunsensevoter.org/endorsed-2018/|url-status=dead}}
- Latino Victory Fund{{cite web|title=Current Candidates - LatinoVictory.us|url=http://latinovictory.us/current-candidates/|website=LatinoVictory.us|access-date=2018-04-26|archive-date=2018-04-22|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180422134412/http://latinovictory.us/current-candidates/|url-status=dead}}
- NARAL Pro-Choice America{{cite web|last1=Hogue|first1=Ilyse|title=NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Michelle Lujan Grisham for Governor - NARAL Pro-Choice America|url=https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2018/04/23/naral-pro-choice-america-endorses-michelle-lujan-grisham-for-govenor/|website=NARAL Pro-Choice America|language=en|date=April 23, 2018}}
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund{{cite web|last1=Martinez|first1=Marshall|title=PLANNED PARENTHOOD ENDORSES MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM AND MAGGIE TOULOUSE OLIVER|url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/planned-parenthood-votes-new-mexico/blog/planned-parenthood-endorses-michelle-lujan-grisham-and-maggie-toulouse-oliver|website=plannedparenthoodaction.org|language=en|date=March 6, 2018}}
}}
=Debates=
- [https://www.c-span.org/video/?451705-2/mexico-governors-debate Complete video of debate], September 19, 2018
=Predictions=
=Polling=
{{Graph:Chart
| width=700
| height=400
| xAxisTitle=
| yAxisTitle=%support
| xAxisAngle = -40
| legend=Candidate
| interpolate = bundle
| size = 77
| xType = date
| y1Title=Steve Pearce
| y2Title=Michelle Lujan Grisham
| y3Title=Other
| type=line
|xGrid=
| x= 2018/04/12, 2018/08/18, 2018/08/22, 2018/08/30, 2018/09/13, 2018/09/24, 2018/10/24, 2018/10/26, 2018/10/29, 2018/11/03
| y1= 43, 45, 40, 44, 42, 43, 40, 45, 44, 44, 46, 41
| y2= 47, 47, 42, 52, 52, 50, 44, 55, 53, 53, 51, 53
| y3= 10, 8, 18, , 5, , 16, , 4, 4, 4, 6
| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, #DCDCDC
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| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Steve ! style="width:100px;"| Michelle Lujan ! Undecided |
| style="text-align:left;"|Research Co.[https://researchco.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Tables_Midterms_05Nov2018.pdf Research Co.]
| November 1–3, 2018 | 450 (V) | ± 4.6% | 41% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 53% | 6% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Research & Polling, Inc.[https://www.abqjournal.com/1241676/poll-lujan-grisham-has-sizable-lead-over-pearce.html Research & Polling, Inc.]
| October 26 – November 1, 2018 | 993 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 53% | 4% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Carroll Strategies[https://web.archive.org/web/20181102222941/https://www.kob.com/kobtvimages/repository/cs/files/Poll%20Results.pdf Carroll Strategies]
| October 29, 2018 | 1,200 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51% | align=center| 4% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://web.archive.org/web/20181031173151/https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/emerson-poll-democrats-favored-pick-governorships-mi-nm-hold-us-senate-seat-nj#.W9nnGuzP3z8 Emerson College]
| October 24–26, 2018 | 936 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 53% | 4% |
| style="text-align:left;"|GQR Research (D)[https://web.archive.org/web/20181028224656/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20181028_NM.pdf GQR Research (D)]{{efn-ua|name="LG"|Poll conducted for Lujan Grisham's campaign.}}
| October 22–26, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 53% | 4% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Pacific Market Research[https://www.krqe.com/news/politics-governement/elections/krqe-news-13-statewide-new-mexico-poll/1552195786 Pacific Market Research]
| October 19–24, 2018 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 39% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 48% | 13% |
| style="text-align:left;"|NSON Opinion Strategy (L)[https://web.archive.org/web/20180928003410/https://electliberty.com/frequencies-sept-26/ NSON Opinion Strategy (L)]{{efn-ua|name="ELP"|Poll conducted for the Elect Liberty PAC, an organization dedicated to promoting Libertarian candidates.}}
| September 20–24, 2018 | 932 (LV) | – | 40% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 44% | 16% |
| style="text-align:left;"|Research & Polling, Inc.[https://www.abqjournal.com/1221438/journal-poll-lujan-grisham-has-solid-lead-over-pearce.html Research & Polling, Inc.]
| September 7–13, 2018 | 966 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 50% | – |
| style="text-align:left;"|Global Strategy Group (D)[https://www.scribd.com/document/387926367/Global-Strategy-Group-NM-AG-Poll-Memo Global Strategy Group (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll conducted for Hector Balderas, the incumbent New Mexico Attorney General.}}
| August 27–30, 2018 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 52% | 5% |
| style="text-align:left;"|GQR Research (D)[http://nmpoliticalreport.com/874055/lujan-grisham-internal-poll-shows-8-point-lead-over-pearce/ GQR Research (D)]{{efn-ua|name="LG"}}
| August 18–22, 2018 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 52% | – |
| style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://web.archive.org/web/20181107074042/https://www.emerson.edu/sites/default/files/Files/Academics/ecp-pr-nm-8.19.18.pdf Emerson College]
| August 17–18, 2018 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 40% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 42% | 18% |
| style="text-align:left;"|The Tarrance Group (R)[https://www.scribd.com/document/376631538/Pearce-Internal-Poll-April-2018 The Tarrance Group (R)]{{efn-ua|name="Pearce"|Poll conducted for Pearce's campaign.}}
| April 9–12, 2018 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47% | 8% |
| style="text-align:left;"|The Tarrance Group (R)[https://www.scribd.com/document/350187692/May-2017-New-Mexico-Survey/ The Tarrance Group (R)]
| May 20–23, 2017 | 605 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 43% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 47% | align=center| 10% |
{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}
| class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;" |
| valign=bottom
! Poll source ! Date(s) ! Sample ! Margin ! style="width:100px;"| Steve ! style="width:100px;"| Michelle Lujan ! style="width:100px;"| Bob ! Undecided |
| style="text-align:left;"|NSON Opinion Strategy (L)[https://web.archive.org/web/20180927050326/https://electliberty.com/new-mexico-statewide-frequencies/ NSON Opinion Strategy (L)]
| July 2018 |500 (LV) | – | 37% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | 44% | 7% | 11% |
| SurveyUSA[http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=c167021b-46f6-4423-a92e-cafedfdf2276 SurveyUSA]
| June 19–23, 2018 | 535 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 38% | {{party shading/Democratic}} | 51% | 3% | 8% |
| Carroll Strategies[http://www.carrollstrategies.net/blog/2018/6/19/new-carroll-poll Carroll Strategies]
| June 15–16, 2018 | 1,199 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | {{party shading/Democratic}}| 51% | 3% | 4% |
{{hidden end}}
=Results=
{{Election box begin |title=2018 New Mexico gubernatorial election{{Cite web|url=https://klvg4oyd4j.execute-api.us-west-2.amazonaws.com/prod/PublicFiles/ee3072ab0d43456cb15a51f7d82c77a2/1cf3f371-f6aa-4a04-baa2-cf408244ff7d/2018-General-State-Canvass.PDF|title=Canvass of Returns of General Election Held on November 6, 2018 - State of New Mexico|publisher=New Mexico Secretary of State|access-date=July 30, 2024}}
}}
{{Election box winning candidate with party link
|party = Democratic Party (United States)
|candidate = Michelle Lujan Grisham
|votes = 398,368
|percentage = 57.20%
|change = +14.42%
}}
{{Election box candidate with party link
|party = Republican Party (United States)
|candidate = Steve Pearce
|votes = 298,091
|percentage = 42.80%
|change = -14.42%
}}
{{Election box majority|
|votes = 100,277
|percentage = 14.40%
|change =
}}
{{Election box total
|votes = 696,459
|percentage = 100.00%
|change =
}}
{{Election box gain with party link
|winner = Democratic Party (United States)
|loser = Republican Party (United States)
|swing = +28.84%
}}
{{Election box end}}
==By county==
| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center" |
| style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| County
! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Michelle Lujan Grisham ! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Steve Pearce ! style="text-align:center;" colspan="2"| Margin ! style="text-align:center;" rowspan="2"| Total votes cast |
|---|
| style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| #
! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| # ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| # ! style="text-align:center;" data-sort-type="number"| % |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Bernalillo | {{party shading/Democratic}}|149,480 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|62.10% | {{party shading/Republican}}|91,221 | {{party shading/Republican}}|37.90% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|58,259 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|24.20% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|240,701 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Catron | {{party shading/Democratic}}|511 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|27.73% | {{party shading/Republican}}|1,332 | {{party shading/Republican}}|72.27% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 821
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 44.55%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|1,843 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Chaves | {{party shading/Democratic}}|5,348 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|32.02% | {{party shading/Republican}}|11,352 | {{party shading/Republican}}|67.98% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 6,004
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 35.95%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|16,700 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Cibola | {{party shading/Democratic}}|3,988 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|55.94% | {{party shading/Republican}}|3,141 | {{party shading/Republican}}|44.06% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|847 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|11.88% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|7,129 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Colfax | {{party shading/Democratic}}|2,327 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|49.91% | {{party shading/Republican}}|2,335 | {{party shading/Republican}}|50.09% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 8
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 0.17%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|4,662 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Curry | {{party shading/Democratic}}|3,106 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|30.41% | {{party shading/Republican}}|7,107 | {{party shading/Republican}}|69.59% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 4,001
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 39.18%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|10,213 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|De Baca | {{party shading/Democratic}}|229 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|28.06% | {{party shading/Republican}}|587 | {{party shading/Republican}}|71.94% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 358
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 43.87%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|816 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Doña Ana | {{party shading/Democratic}}|36,954 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|60.64% | {{party shading/Republican}}|23,985 | {{party shading/Republican}}|39.36% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|12,969 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|21.28% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|60,939 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Eddy | {{party shading/Democratic}}|4,631 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|29.29% | {{party shading/Republican}}|11,178 | {{party shading/Republican}}|70.71% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 6,547
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 41.41%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|15,809 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Grant | {{party shading/Democratic}}|7,043 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|59.72% | {{party shading/Republican}}|4,750 | {{party shading/Republican}}|40.28% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|2,293 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|19.44% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|11,793 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Guadalupe | {{party shading/Democratic}}|1,021 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|60.27% | {{party shading/Republican}}|673 | {{party shading/Republican}}|39.73% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|348 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|20.54% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|1,694 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Harding | {{party shading/Democratic}}|178 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|37.24% | {{party shading/Republican}}|300 | {{party shading/Republican}}|62.76% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 122
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 25.52%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|478 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Hidalgo | {{party shading/Democratic}}|785 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|48.25% | {{party shading/Republican}}|842 | {{party shading/Republican}}|51.75% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 57
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 3.50%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|1,627 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Lea | {{party shading/Democratic}}|3,086 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|22.15% | {{party shading/Republican}}|10,845 | {{party shading/Republican}}|77.85% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 7,759
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 55.70%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|13,931 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Lincoln | {{party shading/Democratic}}|2,625 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|33.48% | {{party shading/Republican}}|5,216 | {{party shading/Republican}}|66.52% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 2,591
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 33.04%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|7,841 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Los Alamos | {{party shading/Democratic}}|6,005 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|58.61% | {{party shading/Republican}}|4,240 | {{party shading/Republican}}|41.39% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|1,765 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|17.23% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|10,245 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Luna | {{party shading/Democratic}}|2,967 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|48.30% | {{party shading/Republican}}|3,176 | {{party shading/Republican}}|51.70% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 209
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 3.40%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|6,143 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|McKinley | {{party shading/Democratic}}|13,117 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|71.46% | {{party shading/Republican}}|5,238 | {{party shading/Republican}}|28.54% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|7,879 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|42.93% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|18,355 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Mora | {{party shading/Democratic}}|1,664 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|71.05% | {{party shading/Republican}}|678 | {{party shading/Republican}}|28.95% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|986 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|42.10% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|2,342 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Otero | {{party shading/Democratic}}|6,450 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|37.73% | {{party shading/Republican}}|10,644 | {{party shading/Republican}}|62.27% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 4,194
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 24.53%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|17,094 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Quay | {{party shading/Democratic}}|1,144 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|37.03% | {{party shading/Republican}}|1,945 | {{party shading/Republican}}|62.97% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 801
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 25.93%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|3,089 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Rio Arriba | {{party shading/Democratic}}|9,352 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|73.00% | {{party shading/Republican}}|3,459 | {{party shading/Republican}}|27.00% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|5,893 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|46.00% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|12,811 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Roosevelt | {{party shading/Democratic}}|1,430 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|30.74% | {{party shading/Republican}}|3,222 | {{party shading/Republican}}|69.26% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 1,792
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 38.52%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|4,652 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|San Juan | {{party shading/Democratic}}|13,347 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|35.78% | {{party shading/Republican}}|23,961 | {{party shading/Republican}}|64.22% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 10,614
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 28.45%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|37,308 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|San Miguel | {{party shading/Democratic}}|7,001 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|75.78% | {{party shading/Republican}}|2,238 | {{party shading/Republican}}|24.22% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|4,763 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|51.55% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|9,239 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Sandoval | {{party shading/Democratic}}|30,425 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|55.09% | {{party shading/Republican}}|24,803 | {{party shading/Republican}}|44.91% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|5,622 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|10.18% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|55,228 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Santa Fe | {{party shading/Democratic}}|52,692 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|78.54% | {{party shading/Republican}}|14,394 | {{party shading/Republican}}|21.46% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|38,298 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|57.09% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|67,086 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Sierra | {{party shading/Democratic}}|1,880 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|39.81% | {{party shading/Republican}}|2,843 | {{party shading/Republican}}|60.19% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 963
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 20.39%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|4,723 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Socorro | {{party shading/Democratic}}|3,596 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|57.44% | {{party shading/Republican}}|2,664 | {{party shading/Republican}}|42.56% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|932 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|14.89% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|6,260 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Taos | {{party shading/Democratic}}|11,806 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|81.46% | {{party shading/Republican}}|2,687 | {{party shading/Republican}}|18.54% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|9,119 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|62.92% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|14,493 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Torrance | {{party shading/Democratic}}|2,048 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|38.17% | {{party shading/Republican}}|3,317 | {{party shading/Republican}}|61.83% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 1,269
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 23.65%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|5,365 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Union | {{party shading/Democratic}}|415 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|28.15% | {{party shading/Republican}}|1,059 | {{party shading/Republican}}|71.85% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 644
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 43.69%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|1,474 |
| style="text-align:center;"
| {{party shading/Republican}}|Valencia | {{party shading/Democratic}}|11,717 | {{party shading/Democratic}}|48.07% | {{party shading/Republican}}|12,659 | {{party shading/Republican}}|51.93% | {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 942
| {{party shading/Republican}} |
| 3.86%
| {{party shading/Republican}}|24,376 |
| style="text-align:center;"
!Total!!398,368!!57.20%!!298,091!!42.80%!!100,277!!14.40%!!696,459 |
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Bernalillo (largest city: Albuquerque)
- Cibola (largest city: Grants)
- Doña Ana (largest city: Las Cruces)
- Grant (largest city: Silver City)
- Guadalupe (largest city: Santa Rosa)
- Los Alamos (largest city: Los Alamos)
- McKinley (largest city: Gallup)
- Sandoval (largest city: Rancho)
- Socorro (largest city: Socorro)
==By congressional district==
Grisham won two of three congressional districts, with Pearce winning the remaining one, which elected a Democrat.https://davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::33ecdb53-4a90-4191-88b2-b58148c20a45
| class=wikitable
! District ! Pearce ! Lujan Grisham ! Representative |
| align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Mexico|1|1st}} | rowspan=2|39% | rowspan=2|61% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Michelle Lujan Grisham |
| align=center
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Deb Haaland |
| align=center
! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Mexico|2|2nd}} | rowspan=2|53% | rowspan=2|47% | {{party shading/Republican}}|Steve Pearce |
| align=center
| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Xochitl Torres Small |
| align=center
! {{party shading/Democratic}}|{{ushr|New Mexico|3|3rd}} | 39% | 61% | {{party shading/Democratic}}|Ben Ray Luján |
See also
Notes
{{notelist}}
Partisan clients
{{notelist-ua}}
References
{{Reflist|30em}}
External links
- [https://votesmart.org/election/2018/G/NM/2018-gubernatorial Candidates] at Vote Smart
- [https://ballotpedia.org/New_Mexico_gubernatorial_election,_2018 Candidates] at Ballotpedia
Official Governor campaign websites
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20181101014711/http://www.newmexicansformichelle.com/ Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) for Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20181024194445/http://pearcefornm.com/ Steve Pearce (R) for Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20181001151336/https://walshfornm.com/ Bob Walsh (L) for Governor]
Official Lt. Governor campaign websites
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20180712061713/http://ltgov2018.com/ Michelle Garcia Holmes (R) for Lieutenant Governor]
- [https://web.archive.org/web/20180715093805/http://morales4nm2018.com/ Howie Morales (D) for Lieutenant Governor]
{{New Mexico gubernatorial elections}}
{{2018 United States elections}}
{{DEFAULTSORT:New Mexico gubernatorial election, 2018}}