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2019 Asturian regional election

{{Short description|Election in the Spanish region of Asturias}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2019 Asturian regional election

| country = Asturias

| type = parliamentary

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2015 Asturian regional election

| previous_year = 2015

| next_election = 2023 Asturian regional election

| next_year = 2023

| outgoing_members = 10th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias

| elected_members = 11th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias

| seats_for_election = All 45 seats in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias

| majority_seats = 23

| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls

| registered = 973,737 File:Red Arrow Down.svg1.4%

| turnout = 536,734 (55.1%)
File:Red Arrow Down.svg0.7 pp

| election_date = 26 May 2019

| image1 = 170x170px

| leader1 = Adrián Barbón

| party1 = Asturian Socialist Federation

| leader_since1 = 17 September 2017

| leaders_seat1 = Central

| last_election1 = 14 seats, 26.5%

| seats1 = 20

| seat_change1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg6

| popular_vote1 = 187,462

| percentage1 = 35.3%

| swing1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg8.8 pp

| image2 = 170x170px

| leader2 = Teresa Mallada

| party2 = People's Party of Asturias

| leader_since2 = 11 January 2019

| leaders_seat2 = Central

| last_election2 = 11 seats, 21.6%

| seats2 = 10

| seat_change2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1

| popular_vote2 = 93,147

| percentage2 = 17.5%

| swing2 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg4.1 pp

| image3 = 170x170px

| leader3 = Juan Vázquez

| party3 = Citizens (Spanish political party)

| leader_since3 = 2 March 2019

| leaders_seat3 = Central

| last_election3 = 3 seats, 7.1%

| seats3 = 5

| seat_change3 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2

| popular_vote3 = 74,271

| percentage3 = 14.0%

| swing3 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg6.9 pp

| image4 = 170x170px

| leader4 = Lorena Gil

| party4 = Podemos Asturies

| leader_since4 = 27 November 2018

| leaders_seat4 = Central

| last_election4 = 9 seats, 19.1%

| seats4 = 4

| seat_change4 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg5

| popular_vote4 = 58,674

| percentage4 = 11.0%

| swing4 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg8.1 pp

| image5 = 170x170px

| leader5 = Ángela Vallina

| party5 = IU–IAS

| leader_since5 = 10 March 2019

| leaders_seat5 = Central

| last_election5 = 5 seats, 11.9%

| seats5 = 2

| seat_change5 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg3

| popular_vote5 = 35,174

| percentage5 = 6.6%

| swing5 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg5.3 pp

| image6 = 170x170px

| leader6 = Carmen Moriyón

| party6 = FAC

| leader_since6 = 29 September 2018

| leaders_seat6 = Central

| last_election6 = 3 seats, 8.2%

| seats6 = 2

| seat_change6 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1

| popular_vote6 = 34,687

| percentage6 = 6.5%

| swing6 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1.7 pp

| image7 = 170x170px

| leader7 = Ignacio Blanco

| party7 = Vox (political party)

| leader_since7 = 13 April 2015

| leaders_seat7 = Central

| last_election7 = 0 seats, 0.6%

| seats7 = 2

| seat_change7 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2

| popular_vote7 = 34,210

| percentage7 = 6.4%

| swing7 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg5.8 pp

| map_image = AsturiasDistrictMapJunta2019.png

| map_size = 350px

| map_caption = Constituency results map for the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias

| title = President

| before_election = Javier Fernández

| before_party = Asturian Socialist Federation

| after_election = Adrián Barbón

| after_party = Asturian Socialist Federation

}}

The 2019 Asturian regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 11th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

Overview

=Electoral system=

The General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Asturias, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Asturian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 7/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía del Principado de Asturias |type=Organic Law |number=7 |language=es |date=30 December 1981 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-634&tn=1&p=20100717 |access-date=14 March 2017}} Voting for the General Junta was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Asturias and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Asturians abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote ({{langx|es|Voto rogado}}).{{cite web |last=Reig Pellicer |first=Naiara |date=16 December 2015 |url=http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html |title=Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote |website=cafebabel.co.uk |access-date=17 July 2017}}

The 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established as follows:

Each constituency was allocated an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations.{{cite act |title=Ley 14/1986, de 26 de diciembre, sobre régimen de elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias |type=Law |number=14 |language=es |date=26 December 1986 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-3910&tn=1&p=19910327 |access-date=14 March 2017}}

As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each General Junta constituency was entitled the following seats:{{cite journal|journal=Boletín Oficial del Principado de Asturias|issue=64|date=2 April 2019|language=es|title=Decreto 7/2019, de 1 de abril, del Presidente del Principado, por el que se convocan elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias|url=https://sede.asturias.es/bopa/2019/04/02/2019-03313.pdf|issn=1579-7252|page=7}}

class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;"
width="50"| Seats

! width="200"| Constituencies

align="center"| 34

| Central District

align="center"| 6

| Western District

align="center"| 5

| Eastern District

In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method resulted in an effective threshold based on the district magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.{{cite web |last=Gallagher |first=Michael |date=30 July 2012 |url=http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170730092518/http://www.tcd.ie/Political_Science/staff/michael_gallagher/ElSystems/Docts/effthresh.php |url-status=dead |archive-date=30 July 2017 |title=Effective threshold in electoral systems |publisher=Trinity College, Dublin |access-date=22 July 2017}}

=Election date=

The term of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the General Junta were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, setting the election date for the General Junta on Sunday, 26 May 2019.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General |type=Organic Law |number=5 |language=es |date=19 June 1985 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20190130 |access-date=30 January 2020}}

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the General Junta and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the General Junta was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances would not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.

The election to the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias was officially triggered on 2 April 2019 after the publication of the election decree in the Official Gazette of the Principality of Asturias (BOPA).

Parliamentary composition

{{Further|10th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias}}

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the General Junta at the time of the election call.{{cite web |url=https://www.historiaelectoral.com/aasturias.html |title=Elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias (desde 1983) |language=es |website=Historia Electoral.com |access-date=25 December 2023}}

class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;"

|+ Parliamentary composition in April 2019{{cite news |url=https://www.jgpa.es/documents/11156/104641/Relaci%C3%B3n+general+de+Parlamentarios.pdf/eaa674bd-e5a7-437e-8cb9-e459925305c1 |title=Junta General del Principado de Asturias. Los diputados del Parlamento Asturiano desde 1982 |language=es |website=General Junta of the Principality of Asturias |access-date=25 December 2023}}

rowspan="2" colspan="2"| Groups

! rowspan="2" colspan="2"| Parties

! colspan="2"| Legislators

Seats

! Total

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

| Socialist Parliamentary Group

| width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

| align="left"| PSOE

| 14

| 14

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

| People's Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| PP

| 11

| 11

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias}}"|

| We Can Asturias Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| Podemos

| 9

| 9

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Asturias}}"|

| United Left Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| IU/IX

| 5

| 5

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum}}"|

| Asturias Forum Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum}}"|

| align="left"| FAC

| 3

| 3

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

| Citizens Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

| align="left"| Cs

| 3

| 3

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

class="wikitable" style="line-height:1.35em; text-align:left;"
colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Candidacy

! rowspan="2"| Parties and
alliances

! colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Leading candidate

! rowspan="2"| Ideology

! colspan="2"| Previous result

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Gov.|Government}}

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Ref.|References}}

Vote %

! Seats

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

| align="center"| PSOE

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)

}}

| 50px

| Adrián Barbón

| Social democracy

| align="center"| 26.5%

| {{big|14}}

| {{ya}}

| {{cite news |date=30 May 2018 |title=Adrián Barbón, proclamado candidato de la FSA-PSOE a la presidencia del Principado |url=https://www.europapress.es/asturias/noticia-adrian-barbon-proclamado-candidato-fsa-psoe-presidencia-principado-20180530130536.html |language=es |work=Europa Press |access-date=18 January 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

| align="center"| PP

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| People's Party (PP)

}}

| 50px

| Teresa Mallada

| Conservatism
Christian democracy

| align="center"| 21.6%

| {{big|11}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=8 January 2019 |title=Teresa Mallada será la candidata del PP por Asturias en las próximas elecciones autonómicas |url=https://www.europapress.es/nacional/noticia-teresa-mallada-sera-candidata-pp-asturias-proximas-elecciones-autonomicas-20190108084107.html |language=es |work=Europa Press |access-date=18 January 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias}}"|

| align="center"| Podemos
Asturies

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| We Can Asturias (Podemos Asturies)

}}

| 50px

| Lorena Gil

| Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism

| align="center"| 19.1%

| {{big|9}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=27 November 2018 |title=La diputada Lorena Gil, candidata de Podemos a la presidencia del Principado |url=https://cadenaser.com/emisora/2018/11/27/radio_asturias/1543340548_996018.html |language=es |work=Cadena SER |access-date=18 January 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Asturias}}"|

| align="center"| IU–IAS

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| United Left of Asturias (IU/IX)
{{smaller|– Communist Party of Asturias (PCAsturias)
– The Dawn. Marxist Organization OM (La Aurora (om))
– Republican Left (IR)
– Feminist Party of Spain (PFE)}}

| Asturian Left (IAS)

}}

| 50px

| Ángela Vallina

| Socialism
Communism

| align="center"| 11.9%

| {{big|5}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=16 January 2019 |title=Llamazares da "un paso atrás" en IU de Asturias para no provocar "una ruptura" |url=https://www.lne.es/asturias/2019/01/16/llamazares-da-paso-iu-asturias/2411259.html |language=es |work=La Nueva España |access-date=18 January 2019}}
{{cite news |date=10 March 2019 |title=Ángela Vallina gana las primarias de IU |url=https://www.lavozdeasturias.es/noticia/asturias/2019/03/09/angela-vallinagana-primarias-iu/00031552168052823210893.htm |language=es |work=La Voz de Asturias |access-date=10 March 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum}}"|

| align="center"| FAC

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Forum of Citizens (FAC)

}}

| 50px

| Carmen Moriyón

| Regionalism
Conservatism

| align="center"| 8.2%

| {{big|3}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=29 September 2018 |title=La alcaldesa de Gijón, Carmen Moriyón, nueva presidenta de Foro |url=https://www.eldiario.es/politica/Gijon-Carmen-Moriyon-presidenta-Foro_0_819618322.html |language=es |work=eldiario.es |access-date=18 January 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

| align="center"| Cs

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs)

}}

| 50px

| Juan Vázquez

| Liberalism

| align="center"| 7.1%

| {{big|3}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=2 March 2019 |title=Las primarias ratifican a Juan Vázquez como candidato de Ciudadanos |url=https://www.lavozdeasturias.es/noticia/asturias/2019/03/02/primarias-ratifican-juan-vazquez-candidato-ciudadanos/00031551530554219760969.htm |language=es |work=La Voz de Asturias |access-date=9 March 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

| align="center"| Vox

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Vox (Vox)

}}

| 50px

| Ignacio Blanco

| Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism

| align="center"| 0.6%

| {{big|0}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=13 April 2015 |title=Ignacio Blanco, candidato de VOX en Asturias |url=https://www.europapress.es/asturias/noticia-ignacio-blanco-candidato-vox-asturias-20150413115551.html |language=es |work=Europa Press |access-date=25 May 2019}}
{{cite news |date=15 December 2018 |title=Ignacio Blanco será el candidato de Vox en Asturias en las elecciones autonómicas |url=https://www.elcomercio.es/politica/ignacio-blanco-candidato-vox-asturias-20181215131951-nt.html |language=es |work=El Comercio |access-date=25 May 2019}}

Campaign

=Party slogans=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;"
style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| {{nowrap|Party or alliance}}

! Slogan (Spanish)

! Slogan (Asturian)

! English translation

! {{abbr|Ref.|References}}

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

| PSOE

| « La mejor Asturias »

| « La meyor Asturies »

| "The best Asturias"

| {{cite news |last1=Cembranos |first1=T. |title="La mejor Asturias", el lema del PSOE para las autonómicas |url=https://www.lne.es/elecciones/generales/2019/05/05/mejor-asturias-lema-psoe-autonomicas-18378384.html |access-date=2 February 2021 |work=La Nueva España |date=5 May 2019 |language=es}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

| PP

| « Ilusión por Asturias »
« Centrados en tu futuro »

| « Ilusión por Asturies »
« Centraos nel to futuru »

| "Illusion for Asturias"
"Focused on your future"

| {{cite news |title='Ilusión por Asturias' lema de campaña de Mallada (PP) |url=https://www.20minutos.es/noticia/3609404/0/ilusion-por-asturias-lema-campana-mallada-pp/?autoref=true |access-date=2 February 2021 |work=20 Minutos |agency=Europa Press |date=8 April 2019 |language=es}}{{cite news |last1=Cuesta |first1=Carlos |title="Centrados en tu futuro": el lema del PP para las elecciones municipales y autonómicas |url=https://okdiario.com/noticias/centrados-tu-futuro-lema-del-pp-elecciones-municipales-autonomicas-4055237 |access-date=2 February 2021 |work=Ok Diario |date=30 April 2019 |language=es}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias}}"|

| Podemos

| « Asturias en tus manos »

| « Asturies nes tos manes »

| "Asturias in your hands"

| {{cite news |title="Asturias necesita una sacudida que la saque de esta inercia", asegura Lorena Gil (Podemos) |url=https://www.20minutos.es/noticia/3635107/0/asturias-necesita-sacudida-que-saque-esta-inercia-asegura-lorena-gil-podemos/?autoref=true |access-date=2 February 2021 |work=20 Minutos |agency=Europa Press |date=8 May 2019 |language=es}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Asturias}}"|

| IU–IAS

| « Asturias por la izquierda »

| « Asturies pela izquierda »

| "Asturias by the left"

| {{cite news |title=IU pide a Llamazares que renuncie a Actúa si quiere formar parte de las listas para las autonómicas |url=https://www.elcomercio.es/politica/izquierda-unida-asturias-gaspar-llamazares-candidatura-elecciones-autonomicas-20190119001058-ntvo.html |work=El Comercio |date=19 January 2019 |language=es}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

| Cs

| « La Asturias de las oportunidades »
« Sí, tú eres la oportunidad de Asturias »

| « L'Asturies de les oportunidaes »
« Sí, tu yes la oportunidá d'Asturies »

| "The Asturias of opportunities"
"Yes, you are the opportunity of Asturias"

| {{cite news |last1=D. Machargo |first1=Susana |title=Juan Vázquez aspira a mejorar los resultados de Rivera |url=https://www.lavozdeasturias.es/noticia/asturias/2019/05/06/juan-vazquez-aspira-mejorar-resultados-rivera/00031557157348001657502.htm |access-date=2 February 2021 |work=La Voz de Asturias |date=6 May 2019 |language=es}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum}}"|

| FAC

| « Con Carmen Moriyón, Asturias cambia y avanza »

| « Con Carmen Moriyón, Asturies camuda y avanza »

| "With Carmen Moriyón, Asturias changes and advances"

| {{cite news |title=Moriyón (Foro) ofrece "diálogo, gestión, innovación y esfuerzo" para lograr los cambios que se necesitan |url=https://www.europapress.es/asturias/noticia-moriyon-foro-ofrece-dialogo-gestion-innovacion-esfuerzo-lograr-cambios-necesitan-20190507132510.html |access-date=2 February 2021 |work=Europa Press |date=7 May 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

| Vox

| « Tu voz en Asturias »

| « La to voz n'Asturies »

| "Your voice in Asturias"

| {{cite news |date=9 May 2019 |url=https://www.elmundo.es/espana/2019/05/09/5cd332b3fc6c83036e8b45a5.html |title=Vox rectifica y da un volantazo a su política de comunicación |language=es |work=El Mundo |access-date=6 December 2019}}

=Election debates=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2019 Asturian regional election debates

rowspan="3"| Date

! rowspan="3"| Organisers

! rowspan="3"| Moderator(s)

! colspan="11"| {{smaller|  }} {{Colors|black|#90FF90| P }} {{smaller|Present{{efn|Denotes a main invitee attending the event.}}  }}

scope="col" style="width:5em;"| PSOE

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| PP

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Podemos

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| IU–IAS

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| FAC

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Cs

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Vox

! rowspan="2" scope="col" style="width:5em;"| Audience

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Ref.|References}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"|

style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| 20 May

| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| TPA

| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Nacho Monserrat

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Barbón}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Mallada}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Gil}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Vallina}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Moriyón}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Vázquez}}}}

| {{Yes|P
{{smaller|Blanco}}}}

| 6.9%
{{smaller|(24,000)}}

| {{cite news |date=14 May 2019 |title=TPA emitirá el lunes 20 su primer debate televisado entre candidatos autonómicos |language=es |publisher=Europa Press |url=https://www.europapress.es/asturias/noticia-tpa-emitira-lunes-20-primer-debate-televisado-candidatos-autonomicos-20190514153755.html |access-date=30 January 2021}}
{{cite news |last=Puelles |first=Miriam |date=23 May 2019 |title=Así se han seguido los debates electorales para el 26M en televisión |language=es |newspaper=La Vanguardia |url=https://www.lavanguardia.com/television/20190523/462420354666/debates-electorales-26m-audiencias-autonomicas.html |access-date=30 January 2021}}

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias.

;{{smaller|Color key:}}

{{smaller|{{legend2|#FFEAEA|Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls|border=1px solid #AAAAAA}}}}

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:45px;" rowspan="2"| Turnout

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo FSA-PSOE.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:PP icono 2019.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Podemos logo círculos.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Asturies pela izquierda logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Foro Asturias logo.png

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo oficial Ciudadanos.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PACMA.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:VOX logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:UPsimbol.svg

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Asturias}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}};"|

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2019 regional election

| 26 May 2019

| {{N/A}}

| 55.1

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 35.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20}}

| 17.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 11.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 6.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 14.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 0.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 17.8

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#FFEAEA;"

| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#emojiPanel Asturias (24M) |url=https://electomania.es/emojipanel-asturias-24m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=24 May 2019}}

| 22–23 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 31.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 15.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 14.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 7.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 5.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 16.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| –

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 14.7

style="background:#FFEAEA;"

| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#emojiPanel Asturias (23M) |url=https://electomania.es/emojipanel-asturias-23m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=23 May 2019}}

| 21–22 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 31.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 15.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 14.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 7.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 5.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 16.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| –

| 7.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 14.8

style="background:#FFEAEA;"

| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#emojiPanel Asturias (22M) |url=https://electomania.es/emojipanel-asturias-22m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=22 May 2019}}

| 20–21 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 31.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 15.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 14.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 7.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 16.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| –

| 7.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 15.3

style="background:#FFEAEA;"

| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#emojiPanel Asturias (21M) |url=https://electomania.es/emojipanel-asturias-21m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=21 May 2019}}

| 19–20 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 31.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 15.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 14.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 6.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 16.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| –

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 15.3

NC Report/La Razón{{cite web |title=El PSOE gana en Madrid, pero la suma de PP, Cs y Vox lo aleja de Sol |url=https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-psoe-gana-en-madrid-pero-la-suma-de-pp-cs-y-vox-lo-aleja-de-sol-CE23411047 |language=es |work=La Razón |date=20 May 2019}}{{cite web |title=Resultados por comunidades. Encuesta mayo 2019 |url=https://estaticos2.larazon.es/binrepository/012nac20logo1_9848445_20190520025135.pdf |language=es |work=La Razón |date=20 May 2019 |access-date=20 May 2019 |archive-date=20 May 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190520053457/https://estaticos2.larazon.es/binrepository/012nac20logo1_9848445_20190520025135.pdf |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=Encuesta electoral: Ajustada batalla entre bloques el 26-M |url=https://www.larazon.es/espana/encuesta-electoral-ajustada-batalla-entre-bloques-el-26-m-NE23411279 |language=es |work=La Razón |date=20 May 2019}}

| 19 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 32.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| 18.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| –

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 13.6

DYM/La Nueva España{{cite web |title=El PSOE gana en Asturias con 18 diputados, empate técnico de PP y Cs, y Vox supera a IU |url=https://afondo.lne.es/asturias/el-psoe-gana-en-asturias-con-18-diputados-empate-tecnico-de-pp-y-cs-y-vox-supera-a-iu.html |language=es |work=La Nueva España |date=19 May 2019}}{{cite web |title=Encuesta mayo 2019 |url=https://fotos01.lne.es/2019/05/19/1024x341/rrrrr.jpg |language=es |work=La Nueva España |date=19 May 2019}}

| 19 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 35.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 16.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

| 13.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 7.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 15.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6/7}}

| –

| 9.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 19.0

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#emojiPanel Asturias (20M) |url=https://electomania.es/emojipanel-asturias-20m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=20 May 2019}}

| 16–19 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 31.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 16.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 13.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 16.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| –

| 7.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 15.8

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#electoPanel Asturias (17M): el PP de Mallada deja el pozu y sorpassa a Ciudadanos. El PSOE catapultado roza el 32% |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-asturias-17m-el-pp-de-mallada-deja-el-pozu-y-sorpassa-a-ciudadanos-el-psoe-catapultado-roza-el-32/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=17 May 2019}}

| 13–16 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 31.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 16.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 12.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 15.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| –

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 15.8

InvesMark/El Comercio{{cite web |title=La amplia victoria del PSOE le permitiría pactar con la izquierda o con Ciudadanos |url=https://www.elcomercio.es/elecciones/autonomicas-asturias/psoe-ganaria-autonomicas-asturias-encuesta-el-comercio-20190519011452-ntvo.html |language=es |work=El Comercio |date=19 May 2019}}

| 8–15 May 2019

| 1,100

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 31.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16/17}}

| 13.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6/7}}

| 15.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 7.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 5.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| 17.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| –

| 7.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 13.6

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#electoPanel Asturias (14M): Podemos escancia un escaño que salpica al PSOE |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-asturias-14m-podemos-escancia-un-escano-al-psoe/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=14 May 2019}}

| 10–13 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 30.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 15.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 12.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 7.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 6.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 16.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| –

| 8.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 14.5

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#electoPanel Asturias (11M): el PSOE de Barbón supera el 30% |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-asturias-11m-el-psoe-de-barbon-supera-el-30/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=11 May 2019}}

| 7–10 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 30.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 14.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 12.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 7.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 6.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 16.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| –

| 9.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 14.4

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#electoPanel Asturias (8M): Vox empata a Podemos, la izquierda conserva el Gobierno |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-asturias-8m-vox-empata-a-podemos-la-izquierda-conserva-el-gobierno/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=8 May 2019}}

| 4–7 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 29.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 14.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 12.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 16.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| –

| 9.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 13.3

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Asturias (5M): Vázquez (Cs) da el sorpasso a Mallada (PP) mientras Barbón (PSOE) sigue subiendo |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-asturias-5m-vazquez-cs-da-el-sorpasso-a-mallada-pp-mientras-barbon-psoe-sigue-subiendo/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=5 May 2019}}

| 29 Apr–4 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 29.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 14.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 12.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 8.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 7.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 16.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| –

| 8.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 13.2

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| April 2019 general election{{cite web |title=La simulación de las autonómicas: ganaría el PSOE con opción de elegir entre Cs y la izquierda|url=https://www.lne.es/noticias-suscriptor/elecciones/2019/04/30/simulacion-autonomicas-ganaria-psoe-opcion/2464484.html|language=es |work=La Nueva España |date=30 April 2019}}

| 28 Apr 2019

| {{N/A}}

| 65.0

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 33.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 17.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| {{efn|name="UP"|Within Unidas Podemos.}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="PP"|Within PP.}}

| 16.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 1.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 11.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 17.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 15.2

CIS{{cite web |title=Estimaciones de voto en Comunidades Autónomas y grandes ciudades (Estudio nº 3245. Marzo-abril 2019) |url=http://www.cis.es/cis/export/sites/default/-Archivos/Marginales/3240_3259/3245/3245_EstimacionEAM.pdf |language=es |work=CIS |date=9 May 2019}}

| 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019

| 584

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 30.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15/18}}

| 20.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10/11}}

| 17.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/9}}

| 11.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| 3.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 10.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| –

| 4.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 10.4

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel autonómico (12A): las mayorías siguen en el aire |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-12a-las-mayorias-siguen-en-el-aire/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=12 April 2019}}

| 31 Mar–7 Apr 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 27.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| 18.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 11.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 7.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 14.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| –

| 10.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 9.0

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel autonómicas (3A): Ciudadanos decidirá el bloque ganador en la mayoría de CCAA |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomicas-3a-ciudadanos-decidira-el-bloque-ganador-en-la-mayoria-de-ccaa/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=3 April 2019}}

| 24–31 Mar 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 27.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 17.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 11.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 8.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 4.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 14.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| –

| 10.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 9.6

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel autonómico (27M). Semana de retrocesos para Vox |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-27m-semana-de-retrocesos-para-vox/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=27 March 2019}}

| 17–24 Mar 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 28.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 17.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 11.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 7.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 4.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 14.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| –

| 10.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 10.3

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (20M): 'Navarra Suma' (PP-Cs-UPN) no suma para recuperar el Gobierno Foral |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-20m-navarra-suma-pp-cs-upn-no-suma-para-recuperar-el-gobierno-foral/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=20 March 2019}}

| 10–17 Mar 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 26.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| 17.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 11.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 7.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 4.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 13.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| –

| 12.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 9.0

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel autonómico 13M: el PSOE es el más votado, pero la derecha suma en la mayoría de CCAA |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-13m-el-psoe-es-el-mas-votado-pero-la-derecha-suma-en-la-mayoria-de-ccaa/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=13 March 2019}}

| 3–10 Mar 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 26.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| 17.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 11.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 8.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 4.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 14.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| –

| 12.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 9.0

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel autonómico: la irrupción de Vox en casi todas las CCAA posibilitaría a la derecha gobernar la mayoría de ellas |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-la-irrupcion-de-vox-en-casi-todas-las-ccaa-posibilitaria-a-la-derecha-gobernar-la-mayoria-de-ellas/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=6 March 2019}}

| 22 Feb–3 Mar 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 26.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| 17.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 11.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 7.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 4.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 14.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| –

| 12.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 8.7

Asturbarómetro/La Nueva España
{{cite web |title=Derecha e izquierda, muy ajustadas |url=https://www.lne.es/asturias/2019/01/03/derecha-e-izquierda-ajustadas/2405138.html |language=es |work=La Nueva España |date=3 January 2019}}{{cite web |title=Derecha e izquierda, muy ajustadas |url=https://asturias24horas.com/derecha-e-izquierda-muy-ajustadas/ |language=es |work=asturias24horas |date=3 January 2019}}

| 3 Jan 2019

| 401

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 24.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=14}}

| 18.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 12.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 13.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 3.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 13.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| –

| 12.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 5.9

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Asturias (II): complicada aritmética electoral con opciones para la derecha |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-asturias-ii-complicada-aritmetica-electoral-con-opciones-para-la-derecha/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=22 December 2018}}

| 16–21 Dec 2018

| 450

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 23.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13}}

| 18.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 13.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 7.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 3.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 17.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 0.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 9.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 5.0

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Marzo 2018. Principado de Asturias. Autonómicas 2019 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/976076316347858944 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=20 March 2018}}{{cite web |title=ASTURIAS. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Marzo 2018 |url=https://www.electograph.com/2018/03/asturias-elecciones-autonomicas-sondeo.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=20 March 2018}}

| 10–12 Mar 2018

| 1,078

| 63.2

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 27.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13/14}}

| 20.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 16.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

| 14.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 5.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 10.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 6.8

Asturbarómetro/El Comercio{{cite web |title=Primer sondeo electoral |url=https://twitter.com/RufoCivis/status/960059629731540993 |language=es |work=Asturbarómetro |date=4 February 2018}}{{cite web |title=Pronóstico intención de voto elecciones autonómicas de Asturias 2019 |url=https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DVLRI2IX4AEW2Ih.jpg:large |language=es |work=Asturbarómetro |date=4 February 2018}}

| 4 Feb 2018

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 26.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| 22.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=12}}

| 14.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 12.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 4.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 15.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 4.2

NC Report/AsturiasDiario{{cite web |title=Encuesta electoral, la intención de voto en Asturias (I) |url=http://www.asturiasdiario.es/web/?p=32342 |language=es |work=AsturiasDiario |date=28 May 2017}}

| 12–20 May 2017

| 1,200

| 49.1

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 24.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=12}}

| 22.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 19.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 11.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 9.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 2.1

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2016 general election

| 26 Jun 2016

| {{N/A}}

| 61.1

| 24.9

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 35.3

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="PP"}}

| 12.6

| 1.1

| 0.2

| 23.9

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}; color:white;"| 10.4

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2015 general election

| 20 Dec 2015

| {{N/A}}

| 63.8

| 23.3

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 30.1

| 21.3

| 8.4

| {{efn|name="PP"}}

| 13.6

| 0.7

| 0.3

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}; color:white;"| 6.8

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2015 regional election

| 24 May 2015

| {{N/A}}

| 55.8

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 26.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=14}}

| 21.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 19.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 11.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 8.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 0.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 0.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 4.9

colspan="14" style="background:#A0A0A0"|

Results

=Overall=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"

|+ ← Summary of the 26 May 2019 General Junta of the Principality of Asturias election results →

colspan="7"| File:AsturiasJuntaDiagram2019.svg
style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="525"| Parties and alliances

! colspan="3"| Popular vote

! colspan="2"| Seats

width="75"| Votes

! width="45"| %

! width="45"| ±pp

! width="35"| Total

! width="35"| +/−

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

| align="left"| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)

| 187,462

35.26style="color:green;"| +8.78

| 20

style="color:green;"| +6
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| People's Party (PP)

| 93,147

17.52style="color:red;"| –4.07

| 10

style="color:red;"| –1
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

| align="left"| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs)

| 74,271

13.97style="color:green;"| +6.85

| 5

style="color:green;"| +2
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| We Can Asturias (Podemos Asturies)

| 58,674

11.04style="color:red;"| –8.02

| 4

style="color:red;"| –5
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|United Left of Asturias}}"|

| align="left"| United Left–Asturian Left: Asturias by the Left (IU–IAS)

| 35,174

6.62style="color:red;"| –5.32

| 2

style="color:red;"| –3
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Asturias Forum}}"|

| align="left"| Forum of Citizens (FAC)

| 34,687

6.52style="color:red;"| –1.67

| 2

style="color:red;"| –1
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

| align="left"| Vox (Vox)

| 34,210

6.43style="color:green;"| +5.84

| 2

style="color:green;"| +2
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals}}"|

| align="left"| Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA)

| 3,426

0.64style="color:red;"| –0.09

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Equo}}"|

| align="left"| Greens–Equo (V–Q)

| 2,128

0.40style="color:green;"| +0.03

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Andecha Astur}}"|

| align="left"| Andecha Astur (Andecha)

| 1,584

0.30style="color:green;"| +0.12

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Communist Party of the Workers of Spain}}"|

| align="left"| Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE)

| 1,083

0.20New

| 0

±0
align="left" colspan="2"| Blank ballots

| 5,858

1.10style="color:red;"| –0.79

| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|

colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Total

| 531,704

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|

| 45

±0
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes

| 531,704

99.06style="color:green;"| +0.48

| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2" rowspan="5"|

align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid votes

| 5,030

0.94style="color:red;"| –0.48
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout

| 536,734

55.12style="color:red;"| –0.67
align="left" colspan="2"| Abstentions

| 437,003

44.88style="color:green;"| +0.67
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters

| 973,737

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="7"| Sources{{cite web |url=http://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/documentos/ASTURIAS_2019_Proclamacion%20candidatos%20electos.pdf |title=General Junta of the Principality of Asturias election results, 26 May 2019 |date=4 July 2019 |language=es |website=www.juntaelectoralcentral.es |publisher=Electoral Commission of Asturias |access-date=29 November 2019}}

{{bar box

|title=Popular vote

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|PSOE|{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}|35.26}}

{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}|17.52}}

{{bar percent|Cs|{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}|13.97}}

{{bar percent|Podemos Ast.|{{party color|Podemos Asturias}}|11.04}}

{{bar percent|IU–IAS|{{party color|United Left of Asturias}}|6.62}}

{{bar percent|FAC|{{party color|Asturias Forum}}|6.52}}

{{bar percent|Vox|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|6.43}}

{{bar percent|Others|#777777|1.55}}

{{bar percent|Blank ballots|#DDDDDD|1.10}}

}}

{{bar box

|title=Seats

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|PSOE|{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}|44.44}}

{{bar percent|PP|{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}|22.22}}

{{bar percent|Cs|{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}|11.11}}

{{bar percent|Podemos Ast.|{{party color|Podemos Asturias}}|8.89}}

{{bar percent|IU–IAS|{{party color|United Left of Asturias}}|4.44}}

{{bar percent|FAC|{{party color|Asturias Forum}}|4.44}}

{{bar percent|Vox|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|4.44}}

}}

=Distribution by constituency=

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right; line-height:20px;"
rowspan="3"| Constituency

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| PSOE

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| PP

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| Cs

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| Podemos

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| IU–IAS

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| FAC

! colspan="2" width="30px" class="unsortable"| Vox

colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Asturias}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Podemos Asturias}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|United Left of Asturias}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Asturias Forum}}"|

! colspan="2" style="background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

! data-sort-type="number"| %

! data-sort-type="number"| S

align="left"| Central

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 33.9

| 13

| 16.1

| 6

| 14.9

| 5

| 11.8

| 4

| 7.2

| 2

| 6.5

| 2

| 6.8

| 2

align="left"| Eastern

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 40.5

| 3

| 22.2

| 2

| 10.5

| −

| 7.8

| −

| 3.3

| −

| 8.9

| −

| 5.1

| −

align="left"| Western

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 41.5

| 4

| 24.7

| 2

| 9.5

| −

| 7.6

| −

| 4.9

| −

| 5.2

| −

| 4.4

| −

style="background:#CDCDCD;"

| align="left"| Total

| style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}; color:white;"| 35.3

| 20

| 17.5

| 10

| 14.0

| 5

| 11.0

| 4

| 6.6

| 2

| 6.5

| 2

| 6.4

| 2

colspan="15"|
style="text-align:left; font-weight:normal; background:#F9F9F9" colspan="15"| Sources

Aftermath

{{Further|First government of Adrián Barbón}}

Just after the election, Asturias Forum candidate Carmen Moriyón renounced to take her seat in the General Junta, but continued as president of the party.{{cite web|url=https://www.elcomercio.es/elecciones/autonomicas-asturias/carmen-moriyon-renuncia-20190529141633-nt.html|publisher=El Comercio|date=29 May 2015|language=es|title=Carmen Moriyón renuncia a su escaño pero mantendrá la presidencia de Foro}}

On 24 June 2019, the day of the constitution of the 11th General Junta, Juan Vázquez resigned as regional Cs spokesman due to divergences with the national leadership of the party.{{cite web|url=https://www.lne.es/asturias/2019/06/24/inminente-renuncia-juan-vazquez-ciudadanos/2493034.html|publisher=La Nueva España|language=es|date=24 June 2019|title=Juan Vázquez (Cs) renuncia a ser diputado autonómico: "Han cambiado las orientaciones de la formación a la que me incorporé"}}

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
bgcolor="#E9E9E9"

| colspan="6" align="center" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| Investiture

colspan="2" width="275px"| Ballot →

! colspan="2"| 12 July 2019

! colspan="2"| 15 July 2019

colspan="2"| Required majority →

| colspan="2"| 23 out of 45

| colspan="2"| Simple

width="1px" style="background:{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}};"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Adrián Barbón (PSOE)

| • PSOE (20)

| • IU–IAS (2)

}}

| {{Composition bar|22|45|{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}|width=125px}}

| {{xmark|15}}

| {{Composition bar|22|45|{{party color|Asturian Socialist Federation}}|width=125px}}

| {{tick|15}}

style="color:inherit;background:gray;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list|title=Abstentions

| • PP (10)

| • Cs (5)

| • Podemos (4)

| • FAC (2)

| • Vox (2)

}}

| colspan="2"| {{Composition bar|23|45|gray|width=125px}}

| colspan="2"| {{Composition bar|23|45|gray|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:black;"|

| align="left"| Absentees

| colspan="2"| {{Composition bar|0|45|black|width=125px}}

| colspan="2"| {{Composition bar|0|45|black|width=125px}}

align="left" colspan="6"| Sources{{cite news |date=12 July 2019 |title=Barbón no logra la presidencia en la primera votación y deberá esperar al lunes |url=https://www.lavozdeasturias.es/noticia/asturias/2019/07/12/barbon-logra-presidencia-primera-votacion-debera-esperar-lunes/00031562931490356883963.htm |language=es |work=La Voz de Asturias |access-date=12 July 2019}}{{cite news |date=15 July 2019 |url=https://www.elcomercio.es/politica/adrian-barbon-presidente-asturias-20190715073933-nt.html |title=Adrián Barbón promete gobernar con "osadía" y "sin dejarse ahogar por la vieja Asturias" |language=es |work=El Comercio |access-date=15 July 2019}}

Notes

{{notelist}}

References

;Opinion poll sources

{{reflist|group="p"}}

;Other

{{reflist}}

{{Asturian elections}}

{{Regional elections in Spain in the 2010s}}

Category:2019 in Asturias

Asturias

Category:Regional elections in Asturias

Category:May 2019 in Spain