2019 Madeiran regional election

{{Short description|Portuguese regional election}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2019 Madeiran regional election

| country = Madeira

| type = parliamentary

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2015 Madeiran regional election

| previous_year = 2015

| election_date = 22 September 2019

| next_election = 2023 Madeiran regional election

| next_year = 2023

| seats_for_election = 47 seats to the Legislative Assembly of Madeira

| majority_seats = 24

| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls

| turnout = 55.5% {{increase}} 5.8 pp

| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Miguel Albuquerque, Conferências do Mar, Crescimento Azul, A Madeira, As Regiões Ultraperiféricas e o Atlântico, Funchal, 10 de julho de 2017 - Image 141026 (cropped).jpg|bSize = 110|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}

| leader1 = Miguel Albuquerque

| party1 = Social Democratic Party (Portugal)

| leader_since1 = 10 January 2015

| leaders_seat1 =

| last_election1 = 24 seats, 44.4%

| seats_before1 =

| seats1 = 21

| seat_change1 = {{decrease}} 3

| popular_vote1 = 56,449

| percentage1 = 39.4%

| swing1 = {{decrease}} 4.9 pp

| image3 =

90px

| leader3 = Rui Barreto

| party3 = CDS – People's Party

| leader_since3 = 22 July 2018

| leaders_seat3 =

| last_election3 = 7 seats, 13.1%

| seats_before3 =

| seats3 = 3

| seat_change3 = {{decrease}} 4

| popular_vote3 = 8,246

| percentage3 = 5.8%

| swing3 = {{decrease}} 7.9 pp

| image2 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Paulo Cafôfo, Secretário de Estado das Comunidades Portuguesas 2022.png|bSize = 140|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 10}}

| leader2 = Paulo Cafôfo{{efn|name=Paulo Cafôfo}}

| party2 = Socialist Party (Portugal)

| leader_since2 = 19 January 2018
(PRGM candidate)

| leaders_seat2 =

| last_election2 = 5 seats (CM){{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}

| seats_before2 =

| seats2 = 19

| seat_change2 = {{increase}} 14

| popular_vote2 = 51,207

| percentage2 = 35.8%

| swing2 = {{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}

| image4 = {{CSS image crop||Image=Élvio Sousa interviewed by Agencia Lusa, May 2025 (cropped).png|bSize = 115|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}

| leader4 = Élvio Sousa

| party4 = JPP

| leader_since4 = 27 January 2015

| leaders_seat4 =

| last_election4 = 5 seats, 10.3%

| seats_before4 =

| seats4 = 3

| seat_change4 = {{decrease}} 2

| popular_vote4 = 7,830

| percentage4 = 5.5%

| swing4 = {{decrease}} 4.8 pp

| image5 = {{CSS image crop|Image =Edgar-silva-2016-01-11.jpg|bSize = 115|cWidth = 110|cHeight = 150|oTop = 0|oLeft = 0}}

| colour5 = FF0000

| leader5 = Edgar Silva

| party5 = CDU

| leader_since5 = 1996

| leaders_seat5 =

| last_election5 = 2 seats, 5.5%

| seats_before5 =

| seats5 = 1

| seat_change5 = {{decrease}} 1

| popular_vote5 = 2,577

| percentage5 = 1.8%

| swing5 = {{decrease}} 3.7 pp

| image6 =

75px

| leader6 = Paulino Ascensão

| party6 = BE

| leader_since6 = 4 March 2018

| leaders_seat6 =

| last_election6 = 2 seats, 3.8%

| seats_before6 =

| seats6 = 0

| seat_change6 = {{decrease}} 2

| popular_vote6 = 2,489

| percentage6 = 1.7%

| swing6 = {{decrease}} 2.1 pp

|map_image = Eleições Legislativas Regionais na Madeira de 2019.svg

|map_size = 350px

|map_caption = The most voted party by municipality.

| title = President

| before_election = Miguel Albuquerque

| before_party = Social Democratic Party (Portugal)

| after_election = Miguel Albuquerque

| after_party = Social Democratic Party (Portugal)

}}

Regional elections were held on 22 September 2019[https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/marcelo-anuncia-legislativas-em-6-de-outubro "Marcelo anuncia eleições legislativas em 6 de outubro"], Sapo 24, 7 December 2018. Retrieved 7 December 2018. to determine the composition of the Legislative Assembly of the Autonomous Region of Madeira in Portugal. All 47 members of the Assembly were up for election.

The Social Democratic Party continued their 43-year streak of being the largest party in the Madeiran legislature, but failed to hold on to their absolute majority, and would require a coalition for the first time to remain in power. The party won 39 percent of the votes, a decrease of 5 percentage points, and lost 3 members of the regional party. In the electoral map, the PSD lost the two biggest cities in Madeira, Funchal and Santa Cruz to the PS, although by less than 2 percent of the vote. Overall, the PSD still won the majority of municipalities, obtaining victory in 7 of the 11 in Madeira.

The Socialist Party surged in these elections, polling just two seats and 3.6 points behind the PSD. It was the best showing of the PS in a regional election in Madeira going back to the first regional elections in 1976, two years after the fall of the dictatorship. The party won 4 of the 11 municipalities in Madeira. The People's Party lost a lot of votes and seats in these elections, winning just 3 seats and 5.8 percent of the vote. Together for the People (JPP) also suffered a big setback by losing 2 members and almost 5 percent of the votes. It even failed to obtain second place in their traditional bastion of Santa Cruz, falling behind the PS and PSD. The Unitary Democratic Coalition lost 1 of their 2 seats, and lost 3.7 percent of votes compared to 2015. The Left Bloc was wiped from the regional Assembly completely and only won 1.7 percent of the votes. These elections were fought mainly between the PSD and PS, and many left-wing voters opted to vote tactically for the PS to prevent another PSD victory, but by doing so, they hurt the chances of smaller left-wing parties and alliances such as the Left Bloc and CDU.[https://www.jornaldenegocios.pt/economia/politica/detalhe/psd-ganha-eleicoes-na-madeira-mas-perde-maioria-absoluta?ref=HP_DestaquesPrincipais PSD ganha eleições na Madeira mas perde maioria absoluta. PS dispara], Jornal de Negócios, 22 September 2019. Retrieved 23 September 2019.

The turnout in these elections increased compared to the previous one for the first time in over a decade, with 55.5 percent of voters casting a ballot, compared with the record-low 49.6 percent in the 2015 elections.

Following the elections, PSD and CDS-PP formed a coalition government with a parliamentary majority, headed by Miguel Albuquerque.{{cite news |last1=Berenguer |first1=Márcio |title=Albuquerque e Barreto assinam acordo de coligação de governo |url=https://www.publico.pt/2019/10/08/politica/noticia/albuquerque-barreto-assinam-acordo-coligacao-governo-1889278 |access-date=14 December 2023 |work=Público |date=8 October 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231214003548/https://www.publico.pt/2019/10/08/politica/noticia/albuquerque-barreto-assinam-acordo-coligacao-governo-1889278 |archive-date=14 December 2023 |language=Portuguese}}

Background

=Leadership changes and challenges=

==Socialist Party==

After the party's dismal result in the 2015 reginal election, just 11 percent of the votes, the then PS leader, Victor Freitas resigned and a leadership ballot was called.{{cite web|url=https://sol.sapo.pt/2015/05/25/carlos-pereira-sera-o-novo-lider-do-ps-madeira/ |date=2015-05-25 |title=Carlos Pereira será o novo líder do PS-Madeira

|publisher=Sol|access-date=24 February 2024}} Carlos João Pereira was the sole candidate for the leadership and was elected with 70% of the votes.{{cite web|url=https://www.publico.pt/2015/05/30/politica/noticia/carlos-pereira-quer-um-novo-caminho-para-o-psmadeira-1697379 |date=2015-05-30 |title=Carlos Pereira quer um novo caminho para o PS-Madeira |publisher=Público|access-date=24 February 2024}} However, Pereira's leadership divided the party, as he spent much more time in the Assembly of the Republic, in Lisbon, rather than in Madeira. A leadership ballot was called for 19 January 2018 and two candidates were on the ballot: Incumbent leader Carlos Pereira and Porto Moniz mayor, Emanuel Câmara. Câmara defeated Pereira by a 57 to 43 percent margin.{{cite web|url=https://www.publico.pt/2018/01/20/politica/noticia/emanuel-camara-e-novo-lider-do-psmadeira-mas-e-cafofo-quem-mais-ordena-1800156 |date=2018-01-20 |title=Emanuel Câmara é novo líder do PS-Madeira, mas é Cafôfo quem mais ordena |publisher=Público|access-date=24 February 2024}} The results were the following:

{{election table|title=Ballot: 19 January 2018}}

|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"

! align="center" colspan=2 style="width: 60px"|Candidate

! align="center" style="width: 50px"|Votes

! align="center" style="width: 50px"|%

|-

|bgcolor={{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}}|

| align=left | Emanuel Câmara

| align=right | 877

| align=right | 56.8

|-

|bgcolor={{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}}|

| align=left | Carlos João Pereira

| align=right | 668

| align=right | 43.2

|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"

| colspan=2 style="text-align:left;" | Turnout

| align=right | 1,545

| align=right | 79.15

|-

| colspan="4" align=left|Source: {{cite web|url=https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/emanuel-camara-foi-hoje-eleito-novo-presidente-do-psmadeira |date=2018-01-20 |title=Emanuel Câmara foi hoje eleito novo presidente do PS/Madeira |publisher=Público|access-date=24 February 2024}}

|}

Despite being elected leader, Emanuel Câmara announced that he would not be the party's candidate for the Presidency of the Regional Government and that he would pick Funchal mayor Paulo Cafôfo as the party's lead candidate.{{cite web|url=https://visao.pt/atualidade/politica/2018-05-26-oficial-cafofo-e-o-candidato-do-ps-contra-miguel-albuquerque/|date=2018-05-26 |title=Oficial: Cafôfo é o candidato do PS contra Miguel Albuquerque |publisher=Visão|access-date=24 February 2024}}

Electoral system

The current 47 members of the Madeiran regional parliament are elected in a single constituency by proportional representation under the D'Hondt method, coinciding with the territory of the Region.[http://www.cne.pt/content/eleicao-para-assembleia-legislativa-da-regiao-autonoma-da-madeira-2007 Comissão Nacional de Eleições - Eleição para a Assembleia Legislativa da Região Autónoma da Madeira 2007]

Parties

=Current composition=

The table below lists parties represented in the Legislative Assembly of Madeira before the election.

class="wikitable"

! rowspan="2" colspan="3"| Name

! rowspan="2"| Ideology

! rowspan="2"| Leader

! colspan="2"| 2015 result

%

! Seats

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}};"|

| style="text-align:center;"| PPD/PSD

| Social Democratic Party
{{small|Partido Social Democrata}}

| Liberal conservatism

| Miguel Albuquerque

| style="text-align:center;"| 44.4%

| {{Composition bar|24|47|{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}}}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|CDS – People's Party}};"|

| style="text-align:center;"| CDS–PP

| CDS – People's Party
{{small|Centro Democrático Social – Partido Popular}}

| Conservatism

| Rui Barreto

| style="text-align:center;"| 13.1%

| {{Composition bar|7|47|{{party color|CDS – People's Party}}}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}};"|

| style="text-align:center;"| PS

| Socialist Party
{{small|Partido Socialista}}

| Social democracy

| Emanuel Câmara{{efn|name=Paulo Cafôfo}}
Paulo Cafôfo

| rowspan="2" style="text-align:center;"| 11.4%
{{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}

| {{Composition bar|5|47|{{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}}}}

style="background:#CC0033;"|

| style="text-align:center;"| PTP

| Portuguese Labour Party
{{small|Partido Trabalhista Português}}

| Social democracy

| Quintino Costa

| {{Composition bar|1|47|#CC0033}}

style="background:#008000;"|

| style="text-align:center;"| JPP

| Together for the People
{{small|Juntos pelo Povo}}

| Social liberalism

| Élvio Sousa

| style="text-align:center;"| 10.3%

| {{Composition bar|5|47|{{party color|Together for the People}}}}

style="background:#FF0000;"|

| style="text-align:center;"| PCP

| Portuguese Communist Party
{{small|Partido Comunista Português}}

| Communism

| Edgar Silva

| style="text-align:center;"| 5.5%
{{efn|name=Unitary Democratic Coalition}}

| {{Composition bar|2|47|hex=#FF0000}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Left Bloc (Portugal)}};"|

| style="text-align:center;"| B.E.

| Left Bloc
{{small|Bloco de Esquerda}}

| Democratic socialism

| Paulino Ascenção

| style="text-align:center;"| 3.8%

| {{Composition bar|2|47|{{party color|Left Bloc (Portugal)}}}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Independent}};"|

| style="text-align:center;"| Ind.

| Independent
{{small|Independente}}

| colspan="3" |Gil Canha (elected for the now extinct PND)

| {{Composition bar|1|47|{{party color|Independent}}}}

=Parties running in the election=

17 parties were on the ballot for the 2019 Madeira regional election. The parties that contested the election and their lead candidates were: (parties/coalitions are ordered by the way they appeared on the ballot)[http://www.cne.pt/news/alram-2019-sorteio-das-candidaturas_6560 Sorteio das Candidaturas - ALRAM 2019], Comissão Nacional de Eleições, 14 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.

  • Democratic Republican Party (PDR), Filipe Rebelo[https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/legislativas-2019-filipe-rebelo-e-candidato-do-pdr-as-regionais-na-madeira-e-as-legislativas Legislativas 2019: Filipe Rebelo é candidato do PDR às regionais na Madeira e às legislativas], Sapo24, 23 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  • Enough (CH), Miguel Teixeira[https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/eleicoes-na-madeira-chega-diz-que-vai-ser-governo-na-regiao-custe-o-que-custar Eleições na Madeira: Chega diz que vai ser governo na região “custe o que custar”], Sapo24, 19 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  • National Renovator Party (PNR), Álvaro Araújo[https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/eleicoes-na-madeira-pnr-defende-reducao-de-deputados-de-47-para-30 Eleições na Madeira: PNR defende redução de deputados de 47 para 30], Sapo24, 19 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  • Left Bloc (BE), Paulino Ascenção
  • Socialist Party (PS), Paulo Cafôfo
  • People-Animals-Nature (PAN), João Henrique de Freitas[https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/eleicoes-na-madeira-pan-ressurge-na-regiao-e-quer-eleger-dois-deputados Eleições na Madeira: PAN ressurge na região e quer eleger dois deputados], Sapo24, 20 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  • Alliance (A), Joaquim Sousa[https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/eleicoes-na-madeira-alianca-considera-estruturante-a-eleicao-de-um-grupo-parlamentar Eleições na Madeira: Aliança considera “estruturante” a eleição de um grupo parlamentar], Sapo24, 20 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  • Earth Party (MPT), Valter Rodrigues[https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/eleicoes-na-madeira-mpt-quer-ressurgir-e-eleger-representacao-parlamentar Eleições na Madeira: MPT quer ressurgir e eleger representação parlamentar], Sapo24, 20 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  • Portuguese Workers' Communist Party (PCTP/MRPP), Fernanda Calaça[https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/eleicoes-na-madeira-pctpmrpp-assume-se-como-o-partido-dos-pobres-e-contra-os-usurpadores-da-autonomia Eleições na Madeira: PCTP/MRPP assume-se como o “partido dos pobres” e contra os “usurpadores” da autonomia], Sapo24, 21 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  • Social Democratic Party (PSD), Miguel Albuquerque
  • Liberal Initiative (IL), Nuno Morna[https://www.jm-madeira.pt/regiao/ver/69851/Iniciativa_Liberal_quer_eliminar_cargo_de_Representante_da_Republica Iniciativa Liberal quer eliminar cargo de Representante da República], Sapo24, 23 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  • Portuguese Labour Party (PTP), Raquel Coelho
  • United Party of Retirees and Pensioners (PURP), Rafael Macedo[https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/eleicoes-na-madeira-purp-promete-envolver-as-pessoas-e-lutar-ferozmente-contra-os-lobis Eleições na Madeira: PURP promete “envolver as pessoas” e “lutar ferozmente” contra os lóbis], Sapo24, 22 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.
  • CDS – People's Party (CDS-PP), Rui Barreto
  • Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU), Edgar Silva
  • Together for the People (JPP), Élvio Sousa
  • React, Include, Recycle (RIR), Roberto Vieira{{efn|name=RIR}}[https://24.sapo.pt/atualidade/artigos/eleicoes-na-madeira-rir-estreia-se-com-receio-de-ser-prejudicado-por-candidato-ter-sido-do-mpt Eleições na Madeira: RIR estreia-se com receio de ser prejudicado por candidato ter sido do MPT], Sapo24, 22 August 2019. Retrieved 25 August 2019.

Campaign period

=Party slogans=

class="wikitable" style="font-size:97%; text-align:left;"
style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Party or alliance

! Original slogan

! English translation

! Refs

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}}"|

| PSD

| « Cumprir no rumo certo »

| "Delivering on the right track"

| {{cite news |url=https://ephemerajpp.com/2019/09/06/eleicoes-regionais-da-madeira-de-2019-psd/|title=ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – PSD|language=pt|work=EPHEMERA |access-date=24 October 2020}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|CDS – People's Party}}"|

| CDS–PP

| « Este é o momento »

| "This is the moment"

| {{cite news |url=https://ephemerajpp.com/2019/09/06/eleicoes-regionais-da-madeira-de-2019-cds/|title=ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – CDS|language=pt|work=EPHEMERA |access-date=24 October 2020}}

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}}"|

| PS

| « Coragem para mudar »

| "Courage to change"

| {{cite news |url=https://ephemerajpp.com/2019/09/06/eleicoes-regionais-da-madeira-de-2015-ps/|title=ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – PS|language=pt|work=EPHEMERA |access-date=24 October 2020}}

style="background:green;"|

| JPP

| « Dar voz aos Madeirenses »

| "Giving voice to Madeirans"

| {{cite news |url=https://ephemerajpp.com/2019/09/08/eleicoes-regionais-da-madeira-de-2019-jpp/|title=ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – JPP|language=pt|work=EPHEMERA |access-date=24 October 2020}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Left Bloc (Portugal)}}"|

| BE

| « A Madeira para todos »

| "Madeira for all"

| {{cite news |url=https://ephemerajpp.com/2019/09/07/eleicoes-regionais-da-madeira-de-2019-be/|title=ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – BE|language=pt|work=EPHEMERA |access-date=24 October 2020}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unitary Democratic Coalition}}"|

| CDU

| « CDU, o voto que conta »

| "CDU, the vote that counts"

| {{cite news |url=https://ephemerajpp.com/2019/09/06/eleicoes-regionais-da-madeira-de-2019-cdu/|title=ELEIÇÕES REGIONAIS DA MADEIRA DE 2019 – CDU|language=pt|work=EPHEMERA |access-date=24 October 2020}}

=Candidates' debates=

class="wikitable" style="font-size:98%; text-align:center;"
colspan="22"| 2019 Madeiran regional election debates
rowspan="3"| Date

! rowspan="3"| Organisers

! rowspan="3"| Moderator(s)

! colspan="19"| {{small|  }} {{Colors|black|#90FF90| I }} {{small|Invitee  }} {{Colors|black|#D0FFD0| P }} {{small|Present  }} {{Colors|black|#ffffdd| A }} {{small|Absent invitee}} {{Colors|black|#FFD0D0| N }} {{small|Non-invitee }}

scope="col" style="width:5em;"| PSD
{{small|Albuquerque}}

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| PS
{{small|Cafôfo}}

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| CDS–PP
{{small|Barreto}}

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| BE
{{small|Ascenção}}

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| CDU
{{small|Silva}}

! scope="col" style="width:5em;"| JPP
{{small|Sousa}}

! rowspan="2"| Refs

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|CDS – People's Party}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Left Bloc (Portugal)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unitary Democratic Coalition}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:green;"|

style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| 19 Sep

| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| RTP Madeira, RTP3

| style="white-space:nowrap; text-align:left;"| Gil Rosa

| style="background:#D0FFD0;"|P

| style="background:#D0FFD0;"|P

| style="background:#D0FFD0;"|P

| style="background:#D0FFD0;"|P

| style="background:#D0FFD0;"|P

| style="background:#D0FFD0;"|P

| {{cite news |date=19 September 2019 |url=https://www.rtp.pt/play/p6201/e428653/eleicoesmadeira2019debates|title=Eleições da Madeira - Debates |language=pt |work=RTP Madeira |access-date=24 October 2020}}

Opinion polls

=Graphical summary=

{{Graph:Chart

| xType=date

| height=400

| width=650

| xAxisAngle = -45

| yAxisFormat = %

| yAxisMin = 0

| yAxisMax = 0.50

| legend=

| type=line

| colors=#FF9900,#0093DD,#FF66FF,#008000,#FF0000,#8B0000,#CC0033,#008080,#013220,#6AD1E3 |x=2015/03/29,2015/10/04,2017/03/16,2017/06/09,2017/10/01,2017/10/24,2018/02/07,2018/07/24,2018/11/28,2019/01/17,2019/02/08,2019/05/26,2019/07/24,2019/09/15,2019/09/16,2019/09/17,2019/09/22

| y1Title=PSD

| y1=0.444,0.378,0.380,0.404,0.336,0.363,0.385,0.363,0.342,0.347,0.360,0.372,0.333,0.38,0.390,0.360,0.394

| y2Title=CDS-PP

| y2=0.137,0.060,0.086,0.054,0.091,0.060,0.059,0.071,0.106,0.080,0.080,0.081,0.071,0.05,0.093,0.080,0.058

| y3Title=PS

| y3=0.114,0.209,0.272,0.300,0.291,0.336,0.332,0.357,0.339,0.369,0.330,0.258,0.319,0.29,0.331,0.336,0.358

| y4Title=JPP

| y4=0.103,0.069,0.041,0.047,0.102,0.065,0.068,0.060,0.065,0.048,0.040,0.000,0.042,0.04,0.034,0.025,0.055

| y5Title=CDU

| y5=0.055,0.036,0.050,0.049,0.024,0.045,0.031,0.048,0.034,0.036,0.030,0.030,0.040,0.03,0.039,0.045,0.018

| y6Title=BE

| y6=0.038,0.107,0.069,0.059,0.007,0.041,0.049,0.039,0.040,0.040,0.030,0.053,0.069,0.05,0.022,0.040,0.017

| y7Title=PTP

| y7=,0.014,0.013,0.019,0.017,0.021,0.014,0.012,0.016,0.009,0.020,0.013,0.005,0.00,0.000,0.007,0.010

| y8Title=PAN

| y8=,0.018,,,,,,,,,,0.037,,0.02,,,0.015

| y9Title=MPT

| y9=,0.014,,,,,,,,,,0.037,,0.015,,,0.004

| y10Title=A

| y10=,,,,,,,,,,0.016,,0.015,,,0.004

| interpolate=bundle

| showSymbols = 0.7

| yGrid = true

| linewidth = 1.8

}}

=Polling=

{{legend2|#EAFFEA|Exit poll|border=1px solid #AAAAAA}}

class="wikitable collapsible sortable" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:145px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Link

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! class="unsortable" style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! class="unsortable" style="width:45px;" rowspan="2"| Turnout

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;"| File:PSD (2018).png

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;"| File:Cds simbolo 2.png

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;"| File:PS Logo (Text version).png

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;"| {{CSS image crop|Image =Logo Juntos pelo Povo.png|bSize = 60|cWidth = 35|cHeight = 25|oTop =0|oLeft = 12|Link = Together for the People| Location = center}}

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;"| File:Símbolo CDU (PCP-PEV) (Letras).png

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;"| File:LeftBloc.svg

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;"| File:Logo - Partido Trabalhista Português.png

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;"| File:Logo Pessoas-Animais-Natureza (text only).png

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;"| File:MPT (Símbolo Eleitoral).png

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;"| File:Alianca (corto).png

! class="unsortable" style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{abbr|O|Other}}

! class="unsortable" style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|CDS – People's Party}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:green;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unitary Democratic Coalition}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Left Bloc (Portugal)}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:#CC0033;"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People-Animals-Nature}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Earth Party}};"|

! class="unsortable" style="color:inherit;background:#6AD1E3;"|

colspan="16" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2019 regional election

| 22 Sep 2019

| {{N/A}}

| align="center"| 55.5%

| style="background:#FFD18D"|39.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=21}}

| 5.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 35.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19}}

| 5.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 1.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 1.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 1.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 1.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 0.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 0.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 6.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 3.6

colspan="16" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EAFFEA"|

| [https://funchalnoticias.net/2019/09/22/sondagem-a-boca-das-urnas-da-catolica-rtp-diz-que-psd-vence-eleicoes-na-madeira/ UCP-CESOP]

| data-sort-value="2019-02-08"| 22 Sep 2019

| 6,000

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|37–41
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19/23}}

| 5–7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 34–38
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17/21}}

| 3–5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| 1–3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 1–3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| -

| 1–2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| -

| -

| -

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 3

[https://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzg0My4xLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6MjE6ImVzdG9wLWRubWFkZWlyYS1qdWwxOSI7fQ==/estop-dnmadeira-jul19 Eurosondagem]

| data-sort-value="2019-07-24"| 15–17 Sep 2019

| 1,525

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|36.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19}}

| 8.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 33.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17/18}}

| 2.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 4.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 0.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| -

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 10.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 2.4

[https://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzg0Mi4xLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6NDM6InJlc3VsdGFkb3Mtc29uZGFnZW0tbWFkZWlyYS1zZXRlbWJybzE5LXhsc3giO30=/resultados-sondagem-madeira-setembro19-xlsx Intercampus]

| data-sort-value="2019-02-08"| 2–16 Sep 2019

| 1,503

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|39.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=21}}

| 9.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 33.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 3.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 3.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 2.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| -

| -

| -

| -

| 9.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 5.9

[https://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzg0MS4xLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6NTA6InJlbGF0b3Jpby1zaW50ZXNlLXByZS1lbGVpdG9yYWwtbWFkZWlyYS0yMDE5LWNlc29wIjt9/relatorio-sintese-pre-eleitoral-madeira-2019-cesop UCP-CESOP]

| data-sort-value="2019-02-08"| 14–15 Sep 2019

| 1,375

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|38
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19/23}}

| 5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 29
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=14/18}}

| 4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| 5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| -

| 2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 1.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 1.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 11
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 9

[https://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzgzMC4xLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6MjE6ImVzdG9wLWRubWFkZWlyYS1qdWwxOSI7fQ==/estop-dnmadeira-jul19 Eurosondagem]

| data-sort-value="2019-07-24"| 21–24 Jul 2019

| 1,519

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|33.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/19}}

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}

| 31.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17/18}}

| 4.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 6.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}

| 0.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| -

| -

| -

| 12.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 1.4

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2019 EP elections

| data-sort-value="2019-05-26"| 26 May 2019

| {{N/A}}

| 38.5

| {{Party shading/PSD}}| 37.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(22)}}

| 8.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(4)}}

| 25.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(15)}}

| {{N/A}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(1)}}

| 5.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(3)}}

| 1.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| 3.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(2)}}

| {{N/A}}

| 1.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| 14.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| style="background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}}; color:white;"| 11.4

[http://fenixdoatlantico.blogspot.com/2019/02/avancodo-psd-sobre-o-ps-relativo-36-33.html CDS-PP internal]

| data-sort-value="2019-02-08"| 8 Feb 2019

| ?

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|36.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19/20}}

| 8.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| 33.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/19}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 2.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| -

| -

| -

|11.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 3.0

[https://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzc5OC4yLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6Mjc6ImludGVuY2FvLWRlLXZvdG8tcmEtbWFkZWlyYSI7fQ==/intencao-de-voto-ra-madeira Eurosondagem]

| data-sort-value="2019-01-17"| 14–17 Jan 2019

| 1,510

| ?

| 34.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/19}}

| 8.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| {{Party shading/PS}}|36.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19/20}}

| 4.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 3.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 0.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| -

| -

| -

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}}; color:white" | 2.2

[https://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzc5My4yLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6Mjc6ImludGVuY2FvLWRlLXZvdG8tcmEtbWFkZWlyYSI7fQ==/intencao-de-voto-ra-madeira Eurosondagem]

| data-sort-value="2018-11-28"| 26–28 Nov 2018

| 748

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|34.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 10.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 33.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| 6.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 3.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 1.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| -

| -

| -

| 5.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 0.3

[https://24.sapo.pt/jornais/local/3978/2018-12-01#&gid=1&pid=30 Intercampus]

| data-sort-value="2018-11-26"| 21–26 Nov 2018

| 400

| ?

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19}}

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{Party shading/PS}}|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=23}}

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| ?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}}; color:white" | ?

[https://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzc4Ni4yLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6Mjc6ImludGVuY2FvLWRlLXZvdG8tcmEtbWFkZWlyYSI7fQ==/intencao-de-voto-ra-madeira Eurosondagem]

| data-sort-value="2018-07-24"| 19–24 Jul 2018

| 1,018

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|36.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/19}}

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/4}}

| 35.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/19}}

| 6.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 4.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 3.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 1.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| -

| -

| rowspan="10" style="background:#D0D0D0; width:1px;"|{{efn|name="fn1"}}

| 5.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 0.6

[https://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzc3Ni4yLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6MjE6ImVzdG9wLWRubWFkZWlyYV9mZXYxOCI7fQ==/estop-dnmadeira_fev18 Eurosondagem]

| data-sort-value="2018-02-05"| 5–7 Feb 2018

| 1,018

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|38.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20/21}}

| 5.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 33.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17/18}}

| 6.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 3.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| 4.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 1.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| -

| -

| 6.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 5.3

[https://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzc2Mi4yLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6MjQ6ImludGVuY2FvLWRlLXZvdG8tbWFkZWlyYSI7fQ==/intencao-de-voto-madeira Eurosondagem]

| data-sort-value="2017-10-24"| 22–24 Oct 2017

| 1,017

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|36.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19}}

| 6.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 33.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| 6.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 4.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 2.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| -

| -

| 6.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 2.7

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2017 local elections

| data-sort-value="2017-10-01"| 1 Oct 2017

| {{N/A}}

| 54.2

| {{Party shading/PSD}}| 33.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(19)}}

| 9.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(5)}}

| 29.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(16)}}

| 10.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(5)}}

| 2.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(1)}}

| 0.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| 1.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(1)}}

| {{N/A}}

| 0.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| 12.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| style="background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}}; color:white;"| 4.5

[https://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzY3NS4yLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6Mjg6ImVzdHVkby1kZS1vcGluaWFvLXJhLW1hZGVpcmEiO30=/estudo-de-opiniao-ra-madeira Eurosondagem]

| data-sort-value="2017-06-17"| 7–9 Jun 2017

| 1,010

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|40.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=21/22}}

| 5.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 30.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15/16}}

| 4.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 1.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| -

| -

| 6.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 10.4

[http://www.erc.pt/download/YToyOntzOjg6ImZpY2hlaXJvIjtzOjQxOiJtZWRpYS9zb25kYWdlbnMvb2JqZWN0b19vZmZsaW5lLzY2My4yLnBkZiI7czo2OiJ0aXR1bG8iO3M6MzA6ImVzdG9wLXBzLXJhLW1hZGVpcmEtbWFyY28tMjAxNyI7fQ==/estop-ps-ra-madeira-marco-2017 Eurosondagem]

| data-sort-value="2017-03-16"| 14–16 Mar 2017

| 1,017

| ?

| style="background:#FFD18D"|38.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20/21}}

| 8.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 27.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=14/15}}

| 4.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 6.9{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 1.3

| -

| -

| 8.9{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| style="background:#FF9900; color:white" | 10.8

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2015 legislative election

| data-sort-value="2015-10-04"| 4 Oct 2015

| {{N/A}}

| 48.9

| {{Party shading/PSD}}| 37.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(21)}}

| 6.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(3)}}

| 20.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(11)}}

| 6.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(3)}}

| 3.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(2)}}

| 10.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(6)}}

| 1.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| 1.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(1)}}

| 1.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| 13.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(0)}}

| style="background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}}; color:white;"| 16.9

colspan="16" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2015 regional election

| data-sort-value="2015-03-29"| 29 Mar 2015

| {{N/A}}

| 49.6

| {{Party shading/PSD}}| 44.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=24}}

| 13.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 11.4{{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 10.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 5.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 3.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 10.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| style="background:{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}}; color:white;"| 30.7

colspan="16" style="background:#A0A0A0"|

Voter turnout

The table below shows voter turnout throughout election day.

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:right;"
rowspan="3"| Turnout

! colspan="9"| Time

colspan="3"| 12:00

! colspan="3"| 16:00

! colspan="3"| 19:00

2015

! 2019

! ±

! 2015

! 2019

! ±

! 2015

! 2019

! ±

align="left"| Total

| style="color:gray;"| 17.21%

| 20.97%

| {{increase}} 3.76 pp

| style="color:gray;"| 37.48%

| 40.79%

| {{increase}} 3.31 pp

| style="color:gray;"| 49.58%

| 55.50%

| {{increase}} 5.92 pp

colspan="10" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="10"| Sources{{cite web |url=https://www.eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/regionais2019/afluencia.html|title=Regionais 2019 - Afluência |language=pt |website=eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/regionais2019/index.html|publisher=Ministry of Internal Administration |access-date=12 June 2023}}{{cite web |url=https://www.eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/regionais2015/afluencia.html|title=Regionais 2015 - Afluência|language=pt |website=eleicoes.mai.gov.pt/regionais2015/index.html|publisher=Ministry of Internal Administration |access-date=12 June 2023}}

Results

On election night, the centre-right PSD and national-conservative CDS said they were willing to form a coalition government.[https://www.jornaldenegocios.pt/economia/politica/detalhe/miguel-albuquerque-admite-coligacao-de-governo-com-cds-pp?ref=HP_DestaquesPrincipais Miguel Albuquerque admite "coligação de governo" com CDS-PP ], Jornal de Negócios, 22 September 2019. Retrieved 23 September 2019.

{{election table|title=Summary of the 22 September 2019 Legislative Assembly of Madeira elections results}}

|-

| colspan=10| center

|-

! rowspan="2" colspan=2 style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=left|Parties

! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|Votes

! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|%

! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±pp swing

! colspan="5" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align="center"|MPs

|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"

! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:center;"|2015

! style="background-color:#E9E9E9;text-align:center;"| 2019

! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±

! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|%

! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±

|-

| {{Party name with colour|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)|shortname=Social Democratic}}

||56,449||39.42||{{decrease}}4.9||24||21||{{decrease}}3||44.68||{{decrease}}6.4

|-

| {{Party name with colour|Socialist Party (Portugal)|shortname=Socialist}}

||51,207||35.76||{{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}||5||19||{{increase}}14||40.43||{{increase}}29.8

|-

| {{Party name with colour|CDS – People's Party|shortname=People's}}

||8,246||5.76||{{decrease}}8.0||7||3||{{decrease}}4||6.38||{{decrease}}8.5

|-

| {{Party name with colour|Together for the People|colour=green|shortname=Together for the People}}

||7,830||5.47||{{decrease}}4.8||5||3||{{decrease}}2||6.38||{{decrease}}4.3

|-

| {{Party name with colour|Unitary Democratic Coalition|shortname=Unitary Democratic Coalition}}

||2,577||1.80||{{decrease}}3.7||2||1||{{decrease}}1||2.13||{{decrease}}2.1

|-

| {{Party name with colour|Left Bloc (Portugal)|shortname=Left Bloc}}

||2,489||1.74||{{decrease}}2.1||2||0||{{decrease}}2||0.00||{{decrease}}4.2

|-

|style="width: 10px" bgcolor=teal align="center" |

|align=left|People-Animals-Nature

||2,095||1.46||{{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}||0||0||{{steady}}0||0.00||{{steady}}0.0

|-

|style="width: 10px" bgcolor=yellow align="center" |

|align=left|United Party of Retirees and Pensioners

||1,766||1.23||{{N/A}}||{{N/A}}||0||{{N/A}}||0.00||{{N/A}}

|-

|style="width: 10px" bgcolor=LightSeaGreen align="center" |

|align=left|React, Include, Recycle

||1,749||1.22||{{N/A}}||{{N/A}}||0||{{N/A}}||0.00||{{N/A}}

|-

|style="width: 10px" bgcolor=#CC0033 align="center" |

|align=left|Labour

||1,426||1.00||{{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}||1||0||{{decrease}}1||0.00||{{decrease}}2.1

|-

|style="width: 10px" bgcolor=#6AD1E3 align="center" |

|align=left|Alliance

||766||0.53||{{N/A}}||{{N/A}}||0||{{N/A}}||0.00||{{N/A}}

|-

|style="width: 10px" bgcolor=#00ADEF align="center" |

|align=left|Liberal Initiative

||762||0.53||{{N/A}}||{{N/A}}||0||{{N/A}}||0.00||{{N/A}}

|-

|style="width: 10px" bgcolor=#202056 align="center" |

|align=left|CHEGA

||619||0.43||{{N/A}}||{{N/A}}||0||{{N/A}}||0.00||{{N/A}}

|-

|style="width: 10px" bgcolor=black align="center" |

|align=left|Democratic Republican

||603||0.42||{{N/A}}||{{N/A}}||0||{{N/A}}||0.00||{{N/A}}

|-

| {{Party name with colour|Communist Party of the Portuguese Workers / Reorganizative Movement of the Party of the Proletariat|shortname=Portuguese Workers' Communist}}

||601||0.42||{{decrease}}1.3||0||0||{{steady}}0||0.00||{{steady}}0.0

|-

| {{Party name with colour|Earth Party|shortname=Earth}}

||507||0.35||{{efn|name=PS-PTP-PAN-MPT}}||0||0||{{steady}}0||0.00||{{steady}}0.0

|-

| {{Party name with colour|National Renovator Party}}

||274||0.19||{{decrease}}0.6||0||0||{{steady}}0||0.00||{{steady}}0.0

|-

|colspan=2 align=left style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total valid

|width="50" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|139,966

|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|97.74

|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|{{increase}}2.1

|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|47

|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|47

|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|{{steady}}0

|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00

|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|{{steady}}0.0

|-

|colspan=2|Blank ballots

||700||0.49||{{decrease}}0.5||colspan=5 rowspan=4|

|-

|colspan=2|Invalid ballots

||2,534||1.77||{{decrease}}1.6

|-

|colspan=2 align=left style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total

|width="50" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|143,200

|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00

|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|

|-

|colspan=2|Registered voters/turnout

||258,005||55.50||{{increase}}5.8

|-

| colspan=10 align=left | Source: [http://www.cne.pt/sites/default/files/dl/2019-alram_dr-mapa-resultados-oficiais.pdf Comissão Nacional de Eleições]

|}

{{bar box

|title=Vote share

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|PSD|{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}}|39.42}}

{{bar percent|PS|{{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}}|35.76}}

{{bar percent|CDS-PP|{{party color|Democratic and Social Centre – People's Party}}|5.76}}

{{bar percent|JPP|green|5.47}}

{{bar percent|CDU|{{party color|Portuguese Communist Party}}|1.80}}

{{bar percent|BE|{{party color|Left Bloc (Portugal)}}|1.74}}

{{bar percent|PAN|teal|1.46}}

{{bar percent|PURP|yellow|1.23}}

{{bar percent|RIR|LightSeaGreen|1.22}}

{{bar percent|PTP|#CC0033|1.00}}

{{bar percent|Alliance|#6AD1E3|0.53}}

{{bar percent|IL|#00ADEF|0.53}}

{{bar percent|Others|#777777|1.81}}

{{bar percent|Blank/Invalid|#DDDDDD|2.26}}

}}

{{bar box

|title=Parliamentary seats

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|PSD|{{party color|Social Democratic Party (Portugal)}}|44.68}}

{{bar percent|PS|{{party color|Socialist Party (Portugal)}}|40.43}}

{{bar percent|CDS-PP|{{party color|Democratic and Social Centre – People's Party}}|6.38}}

{{bar percent|JPP|green|6.38}}

{{bar percent|CDU|{{party color|Portuguese Communist Party}}|2.13}}

}}

=Maps=

File:Partido mais votado por Freguesia nas regionais da Madeira de 2019.png|Most voted political force by parish.

{{clear}}

Aftermath

=Government approval=

For the first time in democracy, the PSD failed to win an outright majority of seats and was forced to negotiate with other parties. Shortly after, the party reached a deal with CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) to form a coalition government. On 13 November 2019, the regional parliament approved Albuquerque's second led government, the first coalition government in Madeira:

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
colspan="4" align="center" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| 2019 Motion of confidence
Miguel Albuquerque (PSD)
colspan="2" style="width:150px;"| Ballot →

! 13 November 2019

colspan="2"| Required majority →

| Simple

style="color:inherit;background:green;"|

| style="text-align:left;"| {{Collapsible list | title = Yes

| • PSD (21)

| • CDS–PP (3)

}}

| {{Composition bar|24|47|green|width=125px}}

style="width:1px; background:red;"|

| style="text-align:left;"| {{Collapsible list | title = No

| • PS (19)

| • JPP (3)

| • PCP (1)

}}

| {{Composition bar|23|47|red|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:gray;"|

| style="text-align:left;"| Abstentions

| {{Composition bar|0|47|gray|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:black;"|

| style="text-align:left;"| Absentees

| {{Composition bar|0|47|black|width=125px}}

colspan="2" |Result →

| Approved {{tick|15}}

style="text-align:left;" colspan="4"| Sources{{cite news |last1= |first1= |last2= |first2= |date=13 November 2019 |url=https://www.publico.pt/2019/11/13/politica/noticia/madeira-programa-governo-regional-aprovado-psd-cds-1893679|title=Madeira: Programa do Governo regional aprovado por PSD e CDS |language=pt |newspaper=Público|location=Lisbon |access-date=11 February 2024}}

See also

Notes

{{notes

| refs =

{{efn

| name = Paulo Cafôfo

| The leader of the PS-Madeira is Emanuel Câmara, but he has nominated the mayor of Funchal, Paulo Cafôfo, as the PS candidate for the Presidency of the Madeira Government.

}}

{{efn

| name = PS-PTP-PAN-MPT

| PS, PTP, PAN and MPT contested the 2015 election in an electoral coalition called Change which received 11.4% of the vote.

}}

{{efn

| name = Unitary Democratic Coalition

| The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2015 election jointly as the Unitary Democratic Coalition, and won a combined 5.5% of the vote and elected 2 MPs to parliament.

}}

{{efn

| name = RIR

| Roberto Vieira is a former Earth Party (MPT) member.

}}

{{efn

| name = fn1

| Did not exist.

}}

}}

References

{{reflist}}