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2019 Navarrese regional election

{{Short description|Election in the Spanish region of Navarre}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2019 Navarrese regional election

| country = Navarre

| type = parliamentary

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2015 Navarrese regional election

| previous_year = 2015

| next_election = 2023 Navarrese regional election

| next_year = 2023

| outgoing_members = 9th Parliament of Navarre

| elected_members = 10th Parliament of Navarre

| seats_for_election = All 50 seats in the Parliament of Navarre

| majority_seats = 26

| opinion_polls = #Opinion polls

| registered = 511,225 File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2.0%

| turnout = 350,362 (68.5%)
File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg0.2 pp

| election_date = 26 May 2019

| image1 = 170x170px

| leader1 = Javier Esparza

| party1 = Navarra Suma

| leader_since1 = 30 November 2014

| last_election1 = 17 seats, 34.3%{{efn|name="UPN+PP+Cs"|Results for UPN (27.4%, 15 seats), PP (3.9%, 2 seats) and C's (3.0%, 0 seats) in the 2015 election.}}

| seats1 = 20

| seat_change1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg3

| popular_vote1 = 127,346

| percentage1 = 36.6%

| swing1 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg2.3 pp

| image2 = 170x170px

| leader2 = María Chivite

| party2 = PSN–PSOE

| leader_since2 = 19 October 2014

| last_election2 = 7 seats, 13.4%

| seats2 = 11

| seat_change2 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg4

| popular_vote2 = 71,838

| percentage2 = 20.6%

| swing2 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg7.2 pp

| image3 = 170x170px

| leader3 = Uxue Barkos

| party3 = Geroa Bai

| leader_since3 = 3 October 2014

| last_election3 = 9 seats, 15.8%

| seats3 = 9

| seat_change3 = File:Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0

| popular_vote3 = 60,323

| percentage3 = 17.3%

| swing3 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.5 pp

| image4 = 170x170px

| leader4 = Bakartxo Ruiz

| party4 = EH Bildu

| leader_since4 = 30 May 2018

| last_election4 = 8 seats, 14.2%

| seats4 = 7

| seat_change4 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1

| popular_vote4 = 50,631

| percentage4 = 14.5%

| swing4 = File:Green Arrow Up Darker.svg0.3 pp

| image5 = 170x170px

| leader5 = Mikel Buil

| party5 = Podemos (Spanish political party)

| leader_since5 = 27 November 2018

| last_election5 = 7 seats, 13.7%

| seats5 = 2

| seat_change5 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg5

| popular_vote5 = 16,518

| percentage5 = 4.7%

| swing5 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg9.0 pp

| image6 = 170x170px

| leader6 = Marisa de Simón

| party6 = Izquierda-Ezkerra

| leader_since6 = 9 March 2019

| last_election6 = 2 seats, 3.7%

| seats6 = 1

| seat_change6 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg1

| popular_vote6 = 10,472

| percentage6 = 3.0%

| swing6 = File:Red Arrow Down.svg0.7 pp

| map_image =

| map_size =

| map_caption =

| title = President

| before_election = Uxue Barkos

| before_party = Geroa Bai

| after_election = María Chivite

| after_party = PSN–PSOE

}}

The 2019 Navarrese regional election was held on Sunday, 26 May 2019, to elect the 10th Parliament of the Chartered Community of Navarre. All 50 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.

Ahead of the election, the three main right-from-centre parties—namely, Navarrese People's Union (UPN), the People's Party (PP) and Citizens (Cs)—signed an electoral alliance under the Navarra Suma (NA+) brand,{{cite news |date=11 March 2019 |url=https://www.elmundo.es/espana/2019/03/11/5c857f1b21efa0fb3e8b4652.html |title=Ciudadanos renuncia a sus siglas en Navarra y se presenta con UPN y el PP |language=es |newspaper=El Mundo |access-date=11 March 2019}}{{cite news |date=11 March 2019 |url=https://navarra.elespanol.com/articulo/politica/upn-ciudadanos-navarra-suma-elecciones/20190311185533251345.html |title=La plataforma de UPN con Ciudadanos para todas las próximas elecciones se llamará 'Navarra Suma' |language=es |publisher=Navarra.com |access-date=11 March 2019}} in order to maximize their options against the incumbent government, formed by Geroa Bai (GBai), EH Bildu and Izquierda-Ezkerra (I–E) with external support from Podemos, which in the previous election had ousted UPN from power after 19 years of uninterrupted rule. Concurrently, the Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE) under María Chivite was on the rise, benefitting from a national bandwagon effect for the party following the general election held only one month earlier, on 28 April.

The election saw a victory for the NA+ alliance, which was able to secure more seats than the incumbent government (20 to 19). In particular, the collapse in the Podemos's vote share benefitted the PSN–PSOE, which scored its best result since 2007. There was speculation that UPN would be able to access the regional government through an agreement or consent from the PSN, but Chivite opted instead to secure the support of GBai, Podemos and I–E, as well as EH Bildu's tactical abstention, to become the first Socialist president of Navarre since Javier Otano stepped down from the office in 1996.

Overview

=Electoral system=

The Parliament of Navarre was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the Chartered Community of Navarre, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Reintegration and Enhancement of the Foral Regime of Navarre Law, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 13/1982, de 10 de agosto, de reintegración y amejoramiento del Régimen Foral de Navarra |type=Organic Law |number=13 |language=es |date=10 August 1982 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1982-20824&tn=1&p=20101028 |access-date=18 June 2017}} Voting was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Navarre and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Navarrese people abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote ({{langx|es|Voto rogado}}).{{cite web |last1=Reig Pellicer |first1=Naiara |date=16 December 2015 |url=http://www.cafebabel.co.uk/politics/article/spanish-elections-begging-for-the-right-to-vote.html |title=Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote |website=cafebabel.co.uk |access-date=17 July 2017}}

The 50 members of the Parliament of Navarre were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally.{{cite act |title=Ley Foral 16/1986, de 17 de noviembre, reguladora de las elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra |type=Law |number=16 |language=es |date=17 December 1986 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1987-1255&tn=1&p=20040611 |access-date=18 June 2017}}

=Election date=

The term of the Parliament of Navarre expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Navarre (BON), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 24 May 2015, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 24 May 2019. The election decree was required to be published in the BON no later than 30 April 2019, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 23 June 2019.{{cite act |title=Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General |type=Organic Law |number=5 |language=es |date=19 June 1985 |url=https://www.boe.es/buscar/act.php?id=BOE-A-1985-11672&tn=1&p=20190130 |access-date=30 January 2020}}

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Navarre and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process, no nationwide election was due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution did not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year had elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from the election date, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.

The election to the Parliament of Navarre was officially triggered on 2 April 2019 after the publication of the election decree in the BON, setting the election date for 26 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 19 June.{{cite journal|journal=Boletín Oficial de Navarra|issue=64|date=2 April 2019|language=es|title=Decreto Foral de la Presidenta de la Comunidad Foral de Navarra 7/2019, de 1 de abril, de convocatoria de elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra|url=https://bon.navarra.es/es/anuncio/-/texto/2019/64/0|issn=1130-5894|page=4200}}

Parliamentary composition

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the time of dissolution.{{cite web |url=https://www.parlamentodenavarra.es/sites/default/files/memorias-actividad/MEMO1819.pdf |title=Memoir 2018–2019 |language=es |website=www.parlamentodenavarra.es |publisher=Parliament of Navarre |access-date=23 July 2020}}

class="wikitable" style="text-align:left;"

|+ Parliamentary composition in April 2019

rowspan="2" colspan="2"| Groups

! rowspan="2" colspan="2"| Parties

! colspan="2"| Legislators

Seats

! Total

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}"|

| Navarrese People's Union Parliamentary Group

| width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}"|

| UPN

| 15

| 15

rowspan="2" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Geroa Bai}}"|

| rowspan="2"| Yes to the Future Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Zabaltzen}}"|

| Zabaltzen

| 8

| rowspan="2"| 9

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Basque Nationalist Party}}"|

| EAJ/PNV

| 1

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|EH Bildu}}"|

| EH Bildu Navarre Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|EH Bildu}}"|

| EH Bildu

| 8

| 8

rowspan="2" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party)}}"|

| rowspan="2"| We Can–Now Yes Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:#83388D"|

| Orain Bai

| 4{{efn|Laura Pérez, Carlos Couso, Rubén Velasco and Fanny Carrillo.{{cite news |date=31 May 2018 |title='Orain bai-Ahora sí', nuevo nombre registrado por los críticos para el grupo parlamentario de Podemos |url=https://www.eldiario.es/navarra/ultima_hora/Orain-bai-Ahora-registrado-parlamentario-Podemos_0_777273237.html |language=es |work=eldiario.es |access-date=29 January 2020}}}}

| rowspan="2"| 7

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party)}}"|

| Podemos

| 3

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Navarre}}"|

| Socialist Party of Navarre Parliamentary Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Navarre}}"|

| PSN–PSOE

| 7

| 7

rowspan="2" bgcolor="gray"|

| rowspan="2"| Mixed Group

| style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Navarre}}"|

| PP

| 2

| rowspan="2"| 4

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Izquierda-Ezkerra}}"|

| I–E (n)

| 2

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in Navarre, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

class="wikitable" style="line-height:1.35em; text-align:left;"
colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Candidacy

! rowspan="2"| Parties and
alliances

! colspan="2" rowspan="2"| Leading candidate

! rowspan="2"| Ideology

! colspan="2"| Previous result

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Gov.|Government}}

! rowspan="2"| {{abbr|Ref.|References}}

Vote %

! Seats

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}"|

| align="center"| NA+

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Navarrese People's Union (UPN)

| Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs)

| People's Party (PP)

}}

| 50px

| Javier Esparza

| Regionalism
Christian democracy
Conservatism
Liberalism

| align="center"|
34.3%
{{efn|name="UPN+PP+Cs"}}

| {{big|17}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=17 January 2018 |title=Javier Esparza, candidato provisional de UPN a la presidencia del Gobierno foral en las próximas elecciones |url=https://www.europapress.es/navarra/noticia-javier-esparza-candidato-provisional-upn-presidencia-gobierno-foral-proximas-elecciones-20180117161509.html |language=es |work=Europa Press |access-date=30 January 2019}}
{{cite news |date=2 March 2019 |url=https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/2019/03/02/upn-ira-coalicion-con-las-elecciones-generales-parlamento-navarra-los-ayuntamientos-637673-300.html |title=UPN y PP irán juntos a las elecciones generales, al Parlamento de Navarra y a los ayuntamientos |language=es |work=Diario de Navarra |access-date=2 March 2019}}
{{cite news |date=10 March 2019 |url=https://www.elespanol.com/espana/politica/20190310/gran-coalicion-navarra-upn-ciudadanos-concurriran-elecciones/381962426_0.html |title=Gran coalición en Navarra: UPN y Ciudadanos concurrirán juntos a todas las elecciones |language=es |work=El Español |access-date=10 March 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Geroa Bai}}"|

| align="center"| GBai

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Expanding (ZBN)

| Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV)

| Villava Group (AT)

}}

| 50px

| Uxue Barkos

| Basque nationalism
Social democracy

| align="center"| 15.8%

| {{big|9}}

| {{ya}}

| {{cite news |date=16 September 2018 |title=Uxue Barkos repetirá como candidata al no presentarse más candidaturas a las primarias de Geroa Bai |url=https://navarra.elespanol.com/articulo/politica/uxue-barkos-repetira-candidata-geroa-bai-navarra-elecciones/20180916131120220412.html |language=es |work=Navarra.com |access-date=30 January 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|EH Bildu}}"|

| align="center"| EH Bildu

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Basque Country Gather (EH Bildu)
{{smaller|– Create (Sortu)
– Basque Solidarity (EA)
– Alternative (Alternatiba)}}

}}

| 50px

| Bakartxo Ruiz

| Basque independence
Abertzale left
Socialism

| align="center"| 14.2%

| {{big|8}}

| {{ya}}

| {{cite news |date=30 May 2018 |title=Bakartxo Ruiz será la candidata de EH Bildu en las elecciones forales de 2019 |url=https://www.europapress.es/navarra/noticia-bakartxo-ruiz-sera-candidata-eh-bildu-elecciones-forales-2019-20180530121131.html |language=es |work=Europa Press |access-date=30 January 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party)}}"|

| align="center"| Podemos

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| We Can (Podemos)

}}

| 50px

| Mikel Buil

| Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism

| align="center"| 13.7%

| {{big|7}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=27 November 2018 |title=Mikel Buil será el candidato de Podemos Navarra en las elecciones autonómicas |url=https://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/6022732/mikel-buil-candidato-podemos-navarra-elecciones-autonomicas-2019/ |language=es |work=EITB |access-date=30 January 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Navarre}}"|

| align="center"| PSN–PSOE

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE)

}}

| 50px

| María Chivite

| Social democracy

| align="center"| 13.4%

| {{big|7}}

| {{na}}

| {{cite news |date=5 May 2018 |title=María Chivite es proclamada oficialmente candidata del PSN a la presidencia del Gobierno |url=https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/2018/05/05/maria-chivite-proclamada-oficialmente-candidata-del-psn-presidencia-del-gobierno-590109-300.html |language=es |work=Diario de Navarra |access-date=30 January 2019}}

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Izquierda-Ezkerra}}"|

| align="center"| I–E (n)

| {{Collapsible list

| title = List

| bullets = on

| United Left of Navarre (IUN/NEB)
{{smaller|– Communist Party of the Basque Country (PCE/EPK)
– The Dawn. Marxist Organization OM (La Aurora (om))
– Republican Left (IR)
– Feminist Party of Spain (PFE)}}

| Assembly (Batzarre)

}}

| 50px

| Marisa de Simón

| Socialism
Communism

| align="center"| 3.7%

| {{big|2}}

| {{ya}}

| {{cite news |date=9 March 2019 |title=IUN ratifica la candidatura de Marisa de Simón a la Presidencia del Gobierno de Navarra |url=https://www.lavanguardia.com/local/navarra/20190309/46932071580/iun-ratifica-la-candidatura-de-marisa-de-simon-a-la-presidencia-del-gobierno-de-navarra.html |language=es |work=La Vanguardia |access-date=9 March 2019}}

Opinion polls

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

=Voting intention estimates=

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 26 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Navarre.

;{{smaller|Color key:}}

{{smaller|{{legend2|#FFEAEA|Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls|border=1px solid #AAAAAA}}}}

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:95%; line-height:16px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:45px;" rowspan="2"| Turnout

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo vertical UPN 2017.png

! style="width:35px;"| File:Geroa Bai (current isotype).svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:EHBildu.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Podemos logo círculos.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PSN-PSOE.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:PP icono 2019.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:N circulada (I-E).png

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo oficial Ciudadanos.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:UPsimbol.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:VOX logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo Navarra Suma.png

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Geroa Bai}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|EH Bildu}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Navarre}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Navarre}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Izquierda-Ezkerra}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}};"|

colspan="16" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2019 regional election

| 26 May 2019

| {{N/A}}

| 68.5

| {{efn|name="NS"|Within NA+.}}

| 17.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 14.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 4.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 20.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 1.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 36.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=20}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 16.0

colspan="16" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#FFEAEA;"

| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#emojiPanel Navarra (24M) |url=https://electomania.es/emojipanel-navarra-24m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=24 May 2019}}

| 22–23 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 15.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 9.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 18.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 3.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 31.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 12.8

style="background:#FFEAEA;"

| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#emojiPanel Navarra (23M) |url=https://electomania.es/emojipanel-navarra-23m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=23 May 2019}}

| 21–22 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 15.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 8.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 18.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 2.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 31.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 12.6

style="background:#FFEAEA;"

| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#emojiPanel Navarra (22M) |url=https://electomania.es/emojipanel-navarra-22m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=22 May 2019}}

| 20–21 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 15.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 9.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 18.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 31.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 12.5

style="background:#FFEAEA;"

| ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#emojiPanel Navarra (21M) |url=https://electomania.es/emojipanel-navarra-21m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=21 May 2019}}

| 19–20 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 15.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 9.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 18.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 3.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 2.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 30.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 12.0

NC Report/La Razón{{cite web |title=El PSOE gana en Madrid, pero la suma de PP, Cs y Vox lo aleja de Sol |url=https://www.larazon.es/espana/el-psoe-gana-en-madrid-pero-la-suma-de-pp-cs-y-vox-lo-aleja-de-sol-CE23411047 |language=es |work=La Razón |date=20 May 2019}}{{cite web |title=Resultados por comunidades. Encuesta mayo 2019 |url=https://estaticos2.larazon.es/binrepository/012nac20logo1_9848445_20190520025135.pdf |language=es |work=La Razón |date=20 May 2019 |access-date=20 May 2019 |archive-date=20 May 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190520053457/https://estaticos2.larazon.es/binrepository/012nac20logo1_9848445_20190520025135.pdf |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=Encuesta electoral: Ajustada batalla entre bloques el 26-M |url=https://www.larazon.es/espana/encuesta-electoral-ajustada-batalla-entre-bloques-el-26-m-NE23411279 |language=es |work=La Razón |date=20 May 2019}}

| 19 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 20.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 33.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 13.6

inPactos{{cite web |title=Sumas complicadas para gobernar después del 26M |url=https://cadenaser.com/emisora/2019/05/20/radio_pamplona/1558332320_289513.html |language=es |work=Cadena SER |date=20 May 2019}}{{cite web |title=Sumas complicadas para gobernar después del 26M |url=https://www.inpactos.com/sumas-complicadas-para-gobernar-despues-del-26m/ |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20240424065804/https://www.inpactos.com/sumas-complicadas-para-gobernar-despues-del-26m/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=April 24, 2024 |language=es |work=inPactos |date=20 May 2019 }}

| 17–19 May 2019

| 1,200

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 17.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 13.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| 17.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9/10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 3.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 34.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/19}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 16.5

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#electoPanel Navarra (20M) |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-navarra-20m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=20 May 2019}}

| 16–19 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 15.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 8.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 18.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 3.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 29.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 10.8

Sigma Dos/El Mundo{{cite web |title=El PSOE deberá optar entre dar Navarra a los 'abertzales' o a la coalición PP-UPN-Cs |url=https://www.elmundo.es/espana/2019/05/17/5cddc3cefc6c83eb4b8b467b.html |language=es |work=El Mundo |date=17 May 2019}}

| 17 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 17.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9/10}}

| 13.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 6.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 18.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9/10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 5.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 1.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 35.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=19}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 16.9

Gizaker/Grupo Noticias{{cite web |title=Barkos lidera la mayoría de cambio, que afronta con ligera ventaja el tramo final en un escenario abierto |url=https://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2019/05/19/politica/navarra/barkos-lidera-la-mayoria-de-cambio-que-afronta-con-ligera-ventaja-el-tramo-final-en-un-escenario-abierto |language=es |work=Diario de Noticias |date=19 May 2019 |access-date=19 May 2019 |archive-date=29 May 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190529211550/https://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2019/05/19/politica/navarra/barkos-lidera-la-mayoria-de-cambio-que-afronta-con-ligera-ventaja-el-tramo-final-en-un-escenario-abierto |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=Barkos lidera la mayoría de cambio, que afronta con ligera ventaja el tramo final en un escenario abierto |url=https://es.calameo.com/read/0026989696943cb47aff1 |language=es |work=Diario de Noticias |date=19 May 2019}}

| 17 May 2019

| 900

| 70

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 20.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 16.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 8.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 14.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 5.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 4.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 28.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 8.2

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#electoPanel Navarra (17M): Vox e IU pasan justos como en estafeta |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-navarra-17m-vox-e-iu-pasan-justos-como-en-estafeta/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=17 May 2019}}

| 13–16 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 15.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 8.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 19.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 3.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 3.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 30.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 10.6

Gizaker/EITB{{cite web |title=El cuatripartito podría revalidar la mayoría en el Parlamento de Navarra |url=https://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/6413518/eitb-focus-18-mayo-2019-elecciones-navarras-municipales-navarra/ |language=es |work=EITB |date=18 May 2019}}

| 14–15 May 2019

| 650

| 70.0

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 16.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 10.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| 15.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 3.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 3.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 31.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16/17}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 12.5

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#electoPanel Navarra (14M): suben Nav+ y Geroa Bai, pero ninguno da 'el chupinazo' |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-navarra-14m/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=14 May 2019}}

| 10–13 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 15.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 8.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 19.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 3.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 29.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 10.1

CIES/Diario de Navarra{{cite web |title=Navarra Suma ganaría (18-19) y el PSN (9-10) superaría a Geroa Bai (8-9) |url=https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/2019/05/19/navarra-suma-ganaria-el-psn-superaria-geroa-bai-9-651575-300.html |language=es |work=Diario de Navarra |date=19 May 2019}}

| 6–13 May 2019

| 1,217

| 71

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 16.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}

| 14.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| 18.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9/10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 3.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 2.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 34.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/19}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 16.8

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#electoPanel Navarra (11M): Navarra Suma, suma un escaño |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-navarra-11m-navarra-suma-suma-un-escano/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=11 May 2019}}

| 7–10 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 16.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 7.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 19.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 29.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 9.4

Gizaker/Grupo Noticias{{cite web |title=El 68% avala la gestión del cambio, que se sitúa al borde de revalidar la mayoría absoluta |url=https://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2019/05/12/politica/navarra/el-68-avala-la-gestion-del-cambio-que-se-situa-al-borde-de-revalidar-la-mayoria-absoluta |language=es |work=Diario de Noticias |date=12 May 2019 |access-date=12 May 2019 |archive-date=12 May 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190512075241/https://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2019/05/12/politica/navarra/el-68-avala-la-gestion-del-cambio-que-se-situa-al-borde-de-revalidar-la-mayoria-absoluta |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=El 68% avala la gestión del cambio, que se sitúa al borde de revalidar la mayoría absoluta |url=https://es.calameo.com/read/0026989695111a4d908cd |language=es |work=Diario de Noticias |date=12 May 2019}}

| 7–9 May 2019

| 1,200

| 71.5

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 19.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10/11}}

| 15.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

| 9.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 16.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 4.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 30.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15/16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 10.2

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=#electoPanel Navarra (8M): subida de Geroa Bai, que iguala al PSN |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-navarra-8m-subida-de-geroa-bai-que-iguala-al-psn/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=8 May 2019}}

| 4–7 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 16.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 19.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 3.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 29.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 10.2

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Navarra (5M): Navarra Suma baja del 30%, sorpasos del PSN a Geroa Bai con Bildu acercándose |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-navarra-5m-navarra-suma-baja-del-30-sorpasos-del-psn-a-geroa-bai-con-bildu-acercandose/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=5 May 2019}}

| 29 Apr–4 May 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 16.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 19.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 2.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 29.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 10.4

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| April 2019 general election

| 28 Apr 2019

| {{N/A}}

| 72.5

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 6.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(3)}}

| 12.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(6)}}

| {{efn|name="UP"|Within Unidas Podemos.}}

| 25.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(14)}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 18.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(10)}}

| 4.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(2)}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 29.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(15)}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 4.5

CIS{{cite web |title=Macrobarómetro de abril 2019. Preelectoral elecciones al Parlamento Europeo, autonómicas y municipales 2019. Navarra, Comunidad Foral de (Estudio nº 3245. Marzo-abril 2019) |url=https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/es3245mar_Navarrapdf |language=es |work=CIS |date=9 May 2019}}{{cite web |title=Estimaciones de voto en Comunidades Autónomas y grandes ciudades (Estudio nº 3245. Marzo-abril 2019) |url=https://www.cis.es/documents/d/cis/3245_EstimacionEAMpdf |language=es |work=CIS |date=9 May 2019}}

| 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019

| 381

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 14.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/9}}

| 14.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

| 10.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 21.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11/12}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| –

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 30.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16/17}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 9.0

CIES/Diario de Navarra{{cite web |title=Navarra Suma ganaría y Geroa Bai y PSN se disputan ser segundos en Navarra |url=https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/2019/05/05/navarra-suma-ganaria-geroa-bai-psn-disputan-ser-segundos-navarra-649329-300.html |language=es |work=Diario de Navarra |date=5 May 2019}}

| 8–15 Apr 2019

| 800

| 71–74

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 17.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9/10}}

| 13.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 8.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 17.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1/2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 34.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=18/19}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 17.1

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel autonómico (12A): las mayorías siguen en el aire |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-12a-las-mayorias-siguen-en-el-aire/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=12 April 2019}}

| 31 Mar–7 Apr 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 20.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 15.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 6.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 17.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 2.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 31.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 11.1

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel autonómicas (3A): Ciudadanos decidirá el bloque ganador en la mayoría de CCAA |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomicas-3a-ciudadanos-decidira-el-bloque-ganador-en-la-mayoria-de-ccaa/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=3 April 2019}}

| 24–31 Mar 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 20.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 15.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 7.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 17.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 5.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 2.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 30.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=17}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 10.6

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel autonómico (27M). Semana de retrocesos para Vox |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-27m-semana-de-retrocesos-para-vox/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=27 March 2019}}

| 17–24 Mar 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 19.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 15.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 18.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 2.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 30.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 10.6

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel Autonómico (20M): 'Navarra Suma' (PP-Cs-UPN) no suma para recuperar el Gobierno Foral |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-20m-navarra-suma-pp-cs-upn-no-suma-para-recuperar-el-gobierno-foral/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=20 March 2019}}

| 10–17 Mar 2019

|?

|?

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 19.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 15.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 7.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 18.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 2.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 30.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 11.0

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel autonómico 13M: el PSOE es el más votado, pero la derecha suma en la mayoría de CCAA |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-13m-el-psoe-es-el-mas-votado-pero-la-derecha-suma-en-la-mayoria-de-ccaa/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=13 March 2019}}

| 3–10 Mar 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 25.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=14}}

| 19.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 15.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 7.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 18.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| {{efn|name="UPN"|Within UPN.}}

| 4.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| 2.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 6.5

ElectoPanel/Electomanía{{cite web |title=ElectoPanel autonómico: la irrupción de Vox en casi todas las CCAA posibilitaría a la derecha gobernar la mayoría de ellas |url=https://electomania.es/electopanel-autonomico-la-irrupcion-de-vox-en-casi-todas-las-ccaa-posibilitaria-a-la-derecha-gobernar-la-mayoria-de-ellas/ |language=es |work=Electomanía |date=6 March 2019}}

| 22 Feb–3 Mar 2019

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 26.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=14}}

| 18.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 15.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 19.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| {{efn|name="UPN"}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 5.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 7.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 2.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 6.7

Gizaker/EITB{{cite web |title=Geroa Bai obtendría un fuerte ascenso y el cuatripartito reforzaría su posición |url=https://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/6057828/eitb-focus-diciembre-2018-encuesta-intencion-voto-elecciones-navarra/ |language=es |work=EITB |date=13 December 2018}}

| 23 Nov–3 Dec 2018

| 650

|?

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 23.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13}}

| 23.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13}}

| 15.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 7.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 9.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 7.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 6.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| 1.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 0.5

GAD3/Navarra.com{{cite web |title=El cuatripartito perdería la mayoría en el Parlamento de Navarra, con Bildu y Podemos a la baja entre los votantes |url=https://navarra.elespanol.com/articulo/politica/elecciones-2019-cuatripartito-encuesta-navarra/20181108102355230147.html |language=es |work=Navarra.com |date=8 November 2018}}

| 16–18 Oct 2018

| 806

|?

| {{Party shading/UPN}}|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"|?

UPNA/Parliament of Navarre{{cite web |title=Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2018 |url=http://www.parlamentodenavarra.es/sites/default/files/noticias-archivos-adjuntos/Presentacio%CC%81n%20Baro%CC%81metro%202018.pdf |language=es |work=UPNA |date=14 December 2018}}{{cite web |title=Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2018 |url=http://www.unavarra.es/digitalAssets/237/237549_100000barometro-2018-informe.pdf |language=es |work=UPNA |date=14 December 2018}}

| 3–10 Oct 2018

| 955

|?

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 25.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| 18.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 14.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 16.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 2.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 4.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 7.5

Telwind/Grupo Noticias{{cite web |title=Los partidos del cambio mantienen ventaja sobre el bloque conservador |url=http://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2018/09/16/politica/navarra/el-cambio-progresista-y-de-izquierdas-mantiene-su-ventaja-sobre-el-bloque-conservador |language=es |work=Diario de Noticias |date=16 September 2018 |access-date=16 September 2018 |archive-date=16 September 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180916235334/http://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2018/09/16/politica/navarra/el-cambio-progresista-y-de-izquierdas-mantiene-su-ventaja-sobre-el-bloque-conservador |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=El cambio progresista y de izquierdas mantiene su ventaja sobre el bloque conservador |url=https://es.calameo.com/read/00269896937c4123c314a |language=es |work=Diario de Noticias |date=16 September 2018}}

| 3–4 Sep 2018

| 1,200

| 68.6

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 25.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13/14}}

| 19.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10/11}}

| 14.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 10.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 13.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| 4.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 5.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 5.5

GBai{{cite web |title=Una encuesta interna de Geroa Bai refleja la dura caída de Podemos en Navarra ante unas elecciones |url=https://navarra.elespanol.com/articulo/politica/encuesta-geroa-bai-elecciones-2019/20180606124841195828.html |language=es |work=Navarra.com |date=6 June 2018}}

| 6 Jun 2018

|?

|?

| {{Party shading/UPN}}|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=14}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9/11}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3/5}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7/8}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

|?
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"|?

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Junio 2018. Navarra. Autonómicas 2019 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/1012382526483128320 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=28 June 2018}}{{cite web |title=NAVARRA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Junio 2018 |url=https://www.electograph.com/2018/06/navarra-sym-junio18.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=28 June 2018}}

| 5–6 Jun 2018

| 700

| 66.1

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 24.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13/14}}

| 15.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 14.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 5.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2/3}}

| 20.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 2.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 5.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 7.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 4.3

Gizaker/EITB{{cite web |title=Navarra: UPN ganaría con menos escaños y la coalición gobernante ampliaría su mayoría |url=http://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/5645228/eitb-focus-junio-2018-intencion-voto-elecciones-2019-navarra/ |language=es |work=EITB |date=6 June 2018}}

| 14–21 May 2018

| 600

|?

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 24.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13}}

| 19.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 14.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 8.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 13.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 1.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 7.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 6.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 5.2

SyM Consulting{{cite web |title=Estimación Marzo 2018. Navarra. Autonómicas 2019 |url=https://twitter.com/Barometrocm/status/975654060463476736 |language=es |work=SyM Consulting |date=19 March 2018}}{{cite web |title=NAVARRA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo SyM Consulting. Marzo 2018 |url=https://www.electograph.com/2018/03/navarra-elecciones-autonomicas-sondeo.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=19 March 2018}}

| 8–10 Mar 2018

| 1,100

| 69.6

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 23.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=13/14}}

| 17.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 16.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 6.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 16.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 2.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| 4.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 8.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4/5}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 6.8

inPactos{{cite web |title=UPN gana, suben Geroa Bai y PSN y C's entra en el Parlamento foral |url=http://cadenaser.com/emisora/2018/02/13/radio_pamplona/1518513386_392447.html |language=es |work=Cadena SER |date=13 February 2018}}{{cite web |title=UPN gana, suben Geroa Bai y PSN y C's entra en el Parlamento foral |url=https://www.inpactos.com/upn-gana-suben-geroa-bai-y-psn-podemos-baja-notablemente-y-cs-entra-en-el-parlamento-foral/ |language=es |work=inPactos |date=13 February 2018 }}{{Dead link|date=January 2022 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}{{cite web |title=NAVARRA. Elecciones autonómicas. Sondeo Inpactos, Enero 2018 |url=https://www.electograph.com/2018/02/navarra-elecciones-autonomicas-sondeo.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=13 February 2018}}

| 15–27 Jan 2018

| 515

| 70

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 28.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| 18.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 15.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 7.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=4}}

| 16.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 10.0

UPNA/Parliament of Navarre{{cite web |title=Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2017 |url=http://www.parlamentodenavarra.es/sites/default/files/noticias-archivos-adjuntos/Presentaci%C3%B3n%20Bar%C3%B3metro%202017.pdf |language=es |work=UPNA |date=20 December 2017}}{{cite web |title=II Barómetro de Opinión Pública del Parlamento de Navarra. Edición 2017 |url=http://www.parlamentodenavarra.es/sites/default/files/noticias-archivos-adjuntos/Bar%C3%B3metro%20del%20Parlamento%2C%202017%20%28II%29.pdf |language=es |work=UPNA |date=20 December 2017}}

| 25 Sep–8 Oct 2017

| 900

| 70

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 28.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=16}}

| 15.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 16.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 11.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 10.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=5}}

| 5.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 3.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 3.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=1}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 11.8

Gizaker/EITB{{cite web |title=El Gobierno del cambio se reforzaría en Navarra y en Pamplona |url=http://www.eitb.eus/es/noticias/politica/detalle/4879477/eitb-focus-mayo-2017-encuesta-electoral-navarra-ayuntamiento-pamplona/ |language=es |work=EITB |date=4 June 2017}}

| 16–20 May 2017

| 600

|?

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 25.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=14}}

| 20.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=11}}

| 15.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 12.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 11.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 4.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| –

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 4.7

Telwind/Grupo Noticias{{cite web |title=Los grupos del cambio ganan terreno |url=http://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2017/05/28/opinion/editorial/los-grupos-del-cambio-ganan-terreno |language=es |work=Diario de Noticias |date=28 May 2017 |access-date=31 May 2017 |archive-date=28 May 2017 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170528090519/http://www.noticiasdenavarra.com/2017/05/28/opinion/editorial/los-grupos-del-cambio-ganan-terreno |url-status=dead }}{{cite web |title=Los grupos del cambio lograrían un escaño más que en 2015 si hoy se celebraran las elecciones |url=https://es.calameo.com/read/0026989690ca43ee9f5bd |language=es |work=Diario de Noticias |date=28 May 2017}}

| 3–9 May 2017

| 1,200

|?

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 26.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=14/15}}

| 18.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=10}}

| 14.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 12.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 11.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 3.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 4.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 3.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0/1}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 8.7

UPNA/Parliament of Navarre{{cite web |title=Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2016 |url=http://www.parlamentodenavarra.es/sites/default/files/noticias-archivos-adjuntos/Bar%C3%B3metro%20de%20opini%C3%B3n%20p%C3%BAblica%20del%20Parlamento%20de%20Navarra%202016.pdf |language=es |work=UPNA |date=6 December 2016}}{{cite web |title=I Barómetro de Opinión Pública del Parlamento de Navarra. Edición 2016 |url=http://www.parlamentodenavarra.es/sites/default/files/noticias-archivos-adjuntos/2%C2%AA%20parte%20BAROMETRO%20OPINION%20PUBLICA%20PARLAMENTO%20NAVARRA%202016%20%28PARTE%202%29.pdf |language=es |work=UPNA |date=6 December 2016}}{{cite web |title=NAVARRA, Septiembre 2016. Sondeo UPNA (Navarrómetro) |url=https://www.electograph.com/2016/12/navarra-diciembre-2016-sondeo-upna.html |language=es |work=Electograph |date=6 December 2016}}

| 12–26 Sep 2016

| 800

| 67.4

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 27.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| 15.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}

| 15.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8/9}}

| 11.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=6}}

| 12.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 5.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=3}}

| 3.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 2.6
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 11.9

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2016 general election

| 26 Jun 2016

| {{N/A}}

| 67.4

| {{efn|name="PP"|Within PP.}}

| 4.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(2)}}

| 9.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(5)}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 17.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(9)}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 31.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(17)}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 6.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(3)}}

| 28.3
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(15)}}

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Navarre}}; color:white;"| 3.6

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2015 general election

| 20 Dec 2015

| {{N/A}}

| 70.9

| {{efn|name="PP"}}

| 8.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(4)}}

| 9.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(5)}}

| 23.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(12)}}

| 15.5
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(8)}}

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 28.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(16)}}

| 4.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(2)}}

| 7.1
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=(3)}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Navarre}}; color:white;"| 5.9

colspan="16" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2015 regional election

| 24 May 2015

| {{N/A}}

| 68.3

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 27.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=15}}

| 15.8
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=9}}

| 14.2
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=8}}

| 13.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 13.4
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=7}}

| 3.9
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 3.7
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=2}}

| 3.0
{{font|size=75%|font=Verdana|text=0}}

| –

| –

| –

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 11.6

colspan="16" style="background:#A0A0A0"|

=Voting preferences=

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:14px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo vertical UPN 2017.png

! style="width:35px;"| File:Geroa Bai (current isotype).svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:EHBildu.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Podemos logo círculos.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PSN-PSOE.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:PP icono 2019.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:N circulada (I-E).png

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo oficial Ciudadanos.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:UPsimbol.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:VOX logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo Navarra Suma.png

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{Qmark}}

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{cross}}

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Geroa Bai}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|EH Bildu}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Navarre}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|People's Party of Navarre}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Izquierda-Ezkerra}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Citizens (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Unidas Podemos}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}};"|

colspan="17" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2019 regional election

| 26 May 2019

| {{N/A}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 12.4

| 10.5

| 3.4

| 14.8

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 2.2

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| 0.9

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 26.2

| {{N/A}}

| 27.8

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 11.4

colspan="17" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| April 2019 general election

| 28 Apr 2019

| {{N/A}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 4.6

| 9.6

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 19.5

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 14.1

| 3.6

| {{Party shading/NA+}}| 22.1

| {{N/A}}

| 23.7

| style="background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}; color:white;"| 2.6

CIS

| 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019

| 381

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 10.3

| 9.2

| 6.7

| {{Party shading/PSOE}}| 13.9

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| 2.9

| {{efn|name="NS"}}

| –

| –

| 13.1

| 33.8

| 6.2

| style="background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Navarre}}; color:white;"| 0.8

UPNA/Parliament of Navarre{{cite web |title=Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2018 |url=http://www.parlamentodenavarra.es/sites/default/files/noticias-archivos-adjuntos/Presentacio%CC%81n%20Baro%CC%81metro%202018.pdf |language=es |work=UPNA |date=14 December 2018}}{{cite web |title=Barómetro de opinión pública del Parlamento de Navarra 2018 |url=http://www.unavarra.es/digitalAssets/237/237549_100000barometro-2018-informe.pdf |language=es |work=UPNA |date=14 December 2018}}

| 3–10 Oct 2018

| 955

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 18.2

| 16.0

| 8.5

| 5.8

| 15.5

| 2.0

| 5.0

| 4.9

| –

| –

| –

| 12.0

| 8.5

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 2.2

UPNA/Parliament of Navarre

| 25 Sep–8 Oct 2017

| 900

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 11.3

| 11.1

| 7.5

| 5.6

| 7.2

| 3.1

| 2.3

| 2.4

| –

| –

| –

| 40.7

| 5.2

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 0.2

UPNA/Parliament of Navarre{{cite web |title=Barómetro de opinión pública: Edición 2016 |url=http://www.unavarra.es/digitalAssets/237/237547_100000Barometro-2016-Anexos.pdf |language=es |work=UPNA |date=6 December 2016}}

| 12–26 Sep 2016

| 800

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 12.8

| 6.7

| 5.8

| 7.5

| 7.0

| 3.2

| 2.9

| 0.9

| –

| –

| –

| 40.4

| 9.7

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 6.1

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2016 general election

| 26 Jun 2016

| {{N/A}}

| {{efn|name="PP"}}

| 3.0

| 6.6

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 12.1

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 22.3

| {{efn|name="UP"}}

| 4.3

| 19.8

| –

| –

| {{N/A}}

| 29.4

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Navarre}}; color:white;"| 2.5

style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2015 general election

| 20 Dec 2015

| {{N/A}}

| {{efn|name="PP"}}

| 6.4

| 7.3

| 16.9

| 11.4

| {{Party shading/PP}}| 21.3

| 3.0

| 5.2

| –

| –

| –

| {{N/A}}

| 25.7

| style="background:{{party color|People's Party of Navarre}}; color:white;"| 4.4

colspan="17" style="background:#A0A0A0"|
style="background:#EFEFEF;"

| 2015 regional election

| 24 May 2015

| {{N/A}}

| {{Party shading/UPN}}| 19.2

| 11.2

| 10.1

| 9.7

| 9.5

| 2.8

| 2.6

| 2.1

| –

| –

| –

| {{N/A}}

| 28.6

| style="background:{{party color|Navarrese People's Union}}; color:white;"| 8.0

colspan="17" style="background:#A0A0A0"|

=Victory preferences=

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

class="wikitable collapsible collapsed" style="text-align:center; font-size:90%; line-height:14px;"
style="height:42px;"

! style="width:250px;" rowspan="2"| Polling firm/Commissioner

! style="width:125px;" rowspan="2"| Fieldwork date

! style="width:50px;" rowspan="2"| Sample size

! style="width:35px;"| File:Geroa Bai (current isotype).svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:EHBildu.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Podemos logo círculos.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo PSN-PSOE.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:N circulada (I-E).png

! style="width:35px;"| File:VOX logo.svg

! style="width:35px;"| File:Logo Navarra Suma.png

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| Other/
None

! style="width:35px;" rowspan="2"| {{Qmark}}

! style="width:30px;" rowspan="2"| Lead

style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Geroa Bai}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|EH Bildu}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Navarre}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Izquierda-Ezkerra}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}};"|

! style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}};"|

Gizaker/Grupo Noticias

| 7–9 May 2019

| 1,200

| {{Party shading/GBai}}| 19.9

| 14.0

| 4.8

| 13.4

| 2.6

| 0.9

| 19.5

| 5.1

| 19.8

| style="background:{{party color|Geroa Bai}}; color:white;"| 0.4

Results

class="wikitable" style="text-align:right;"

|+ ← Summary of the 26 May 2019 Parliament of Navarre election results →

colspan="7"| File:NavarreParliamentDiagram2019.svg
style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2" colspan="2" width="525"| Parties and alliances

! colspan="3"| Popular vote

! colspan="2"| Seats

width="75"| Votes

! width="45"| %

! width="45"| ±pp

! width="35"| Total

! width="35"| +/−

width="1" style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Navarra Suma}}"|

| align="left"| Sum Navarre (NA+)1

| 127,346

36.57style="color:green;"| +2.24

| 20

style="color:green;"| +3
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Socialist Party of Navarre}}"|

| align="left"| Socialist Party of Navarre (PSN–PSOE)

| 71,838

20.63style="color:green;"| +7.26

| 11

style="color:green;"| +4
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Geroa Bai}}"|

| align="left"| Yes to the Future (GBai)

| 60,323

17.32style="color:green;"| +1.49

| 9

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|EH Bildu}}"|

| align="left"| Basque Country Gather (EH Bildu)

| 50,631

14.54style="color:green;"| +0.29

| 7

style="color:red;"| –1
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party)}}"|

| align="left"| We Can (Podemos)

| 16,518

4.74style="color:red;"| –8.93

| 2

style="color:red;"| –5
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Izquierda-Ezkerra}}"|

| align="left"| Left (I–E (n))

| 10,472

3.01style="color:red;"| –0.68

| 1

style="color:red;"| –1
colspan="7" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"|
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Vox (political party)}}"|

| align="left"| Vox (Vox)

| 4,546

1.31New

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Equo}}"|

| align="left"| Equo–European Green Party (Equo)

| 1,597

0.46style="color:red;"| –0.18

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Cannabis Party (Spain)}}"|

| align="left"| Navarrese Cannabis Representation (RCN/NOK)

| 1,251

0.36style="color:red;"| –0.15

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Navarrese Freedom}}"|

| align="left"| Navarrese Freedom (Ln)

| 502

0.14style="color:red;"| –0.14

| 0

±0
style="color:inherit;background:{{party color|Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management}}"|

| align="left"| Internationalist Solidarity and Self-Management (SAIn)

| 438

0.13style="color:red;"| –0.13

| 0

±0
align="left" colspan="2"| Blank ballots

| 2,731

0.78style="color:red;"| –1.18

| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|

colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Total

| 348,193

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|

| 50

±0
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="2"| Valid votes

| 348,193

99.38style="color:green;"| +0.63

| bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2" rowspan="5"|

align="left" colspan="2"| Invalid votes

| 2,169

0.62style="color:red;"| –0.63
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Votes cast / turnout

| 350,362

68.53style="color:green;"| +0.27
align="left" colspan="2"| Abstentions

| 160,863

31.47style="color:red;"| –0.27
style="font-weight:bold;"

| align="left" colspan="2"| Registered voters

| 511,225

bgcolor="#E9E9E9" colspan="2"|
colspan="7" bgcolor="#E9E9E9"|
align="left" colspan="7"| Sources{{cite web |url=http://www.historiaelectoral.com/anavarra.html |title=Elecciones al Parlamento de Navarra (Nafarroako Parlamentua) (1979 - 2019) |language=es |website=Historia Electoral.com |access-date=15 August 2019}}{{cite web |url=https://elecciones2019.navarra.es/Resultados/Comunidad-Foral-de-Navarra/0/es |title=2019 Parliament of Navarre election |publisher=Government of Navarre |website=elecciones2019.navarra.es |language=es |access-date=26 May 2019}}
colspan="7" style="text-align:left; max-width:790px;"| {{hidden|ta1=left|title=Footnotes:|content={{ubl

| 1 Sum Navarre results are compared to the combined totals of Navarrese People's Union, People's Party and Citizens–Party of the Citizenry in the 2015 election.}}}}

{{bar box

|title=Popular vote

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|NA+|{{party color|Navarra Suma}}|36.57}}

{{bar percent|PSN–PSOE|{{party color|Socialist Party of Navarre}}|20.63}}

{{bar percent|GBai|{{party color|Geroa Bai}}|17.32}}

{{bar percent|EH Bildu|{{party color|EH Bildu}}|14.54}}

{{bar percent|Podemos|{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party)}}|4.74}}

{{bar percent|I–E (n)|{{party color|Izquierda-Ezkerra}}|3.01}}

{{bar percent|Vox|{{party color|Vox (political party)}}|1.31}}

{{bar percent|Others|#777777|1.09}}

{{bar percent|Blank ballots|#DDDDDD|0.78}}

}}

{{bar box

|title=Seats

|titlebar=#ddd

|width=550px

|barwidth=500px

|bars=

{{bar percent|NA+|{{party color|Navarra Suma}}|40.00}}

{{bar percent|PSN–PSOE|{{party color|Socialist Party of Navarre}}|22.00}}

{{bar percent|GBai|{{party color|Geroa Bai}}|18.00}}

{{bar percent|EH Bildu|{{party color|EH Bildu}}|14.00}}

{{bar percent|Podemos|{{party color|Podemos (Spanish political party)}}|4.00}}

{{bar percent|I–E (n)|{{party color|Izquierda-Ezkerra}}|2.00}}

}}

Aftermath

{{Further|First government of María Chivite}}

Investiture processes to elect the president of the Government of Navarre required for an absolute majority—more than half the votes cast—to be obtained in the first ballot. If unsuccessful, a new ballot would be held 24 hours later requiring only of a simple majority—more affirmative than negative votes—to succeed. If such majorities were not achieved, successive candidate proposals would be processed under the same procedure. In the event of the investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a three-month period from the election date, the Parliament would be automatically dissolved and a snap election called.

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
colspan="4" align="center" bgcolor="#C0C0C0"| Investiture
María Chivite (PSN)
colspan="2" width="150px"| Ballot →

! 1 August 2019

! 2 August 2019

colspan="2"| Required majority →

| 26 out of 50 {{xmark|15}}

| Simple {{tick|15}}

width="1px" style="background:green;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Yes

| • PSN (11)

| • GBai (9)

| • Podemos (2)

| • I–E (n) (1)

}}

| {{Composition bar|23|50|green|width=125px}}

| {{Composition bar|23|50|green|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:red;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = No

| • NA+ (20)

| • EH Bildu (7) {{small|(2 on 2 Aug)}}

}}

| {{Composition bar|27|50|red|width=125px}}

| {{Composition bar|22|50|red|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:gray;"|

| align="left"| {{Collapsible list | title = Abstentions

| • EH Bildu (5) {{small|(on 2 Aug)}}

}}

| {{Composition bar|0|50|gray|width=125px}}

| {{Composition bar|5|50|gray|width=125px}}

style="color:inherit;background:black;"|

| align="left"| Absentees

| {{Composition bar|0|50|black|width=125px}}

| {{Composition bar|0|50|black|width=125px}}

align="left" colspan="4"| Sources{{cite news |date=1 August 2019 |url=https://www.diariodenavarra.es/noticias/navarra/2019/08/01/respuesta-los-partidos-discurso-investidura-maria-chivite-659846-300.html |title=Chivite no obtiene la mayoría absoluta necesaria para ser investida en primera votación |language=es |work=Diario de Navarra |access-date=1 August 2019}}{{cite news |date=2 August 2019 |url=https://www.eldiario.es/norte/navarra/Maria-Chivite-Navarra-Bildu-responsabilidades_0_927057963.html |title=La socialista María Chivite ya es presidenta de Navarra: EH Bildu se abstiene y deja sus responsabilidades de gobierno |language=es |work=eldiario.es |access-date=2 August 2019}}

Notes

{{notelist}}

References

;Opinion poll sources

{{reflist|group="p"}}

;Other

{{reflist}}

{{Navarrese elections}}

{{Regional elections in Spain in the 2010s}}

Category:2019 in Navarre

Navarre

Category:Regional elections in Navarre

Category:May 2019 in Spain