2020 Queensland state election

{{Short description|none}}

{{Use Australian English|date=June 2020}}

{{Use dmy dates|date=August 2019}}

{{for|the local government elections held in March|2020 Queensland local elections}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 Queensland state election

| country = Queensland

| type = parliamentary

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2017 Queensland state election

| previous_year = 2017

| election_date = 31 October 2020

| next_election = 2024 Queensland state election

| next_year = 2024

| seats_for_election = All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Queensland

| majority_seats = 47

| opinion_polls = 2020_Queensland_state_election#Opinion_polling

| registered = 3,377,476 ({{increase}}4.6%)

| turnout = 2,969,347 (87.92%)
({{increase}}0.4 pp)

| image1 = x156px

| leader1 = Annastacia Palaszczuk

| leader_since1 = {{Start date|df=y|2012|03|28}}

| party1 = Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)

| leaders_seat1 = Inala

| last_election1 = 48 seats, 35.4%

| seats_needed1 = {{steady}}

| seats_before1 = 48

| seats1 = 52

| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 4

| popular_vote1 = 1,134,969

| percentage1 = 39.6%

| swing1 = {{increase}} 4.1

| image2 = x156px

| leader2 = Deb Frecklington

| leader_since2 = {{Start date|df=y|2017|12|12}}

| party2 = Liberal National Party of Queensland

| leaders_seat2 = Nanango

| last_election2 = 39 seats, 33.7%

| seats_needed2 = {{increase}} 9

| seats_before2 = 38{{efn|name="nqf"}}

| seats2 = 34

| seat_change2 = {{decrease}} 4

| popular_vote2 = 1,029,442

| percentage2 = 35.9%

| swing2 = {{increase}} 2.2

| image3 = x156px

| leader3 = Robbie Katter

| leader_since3 = {{Start date|df=y|2015|02|02}}

| party3 = Katter's Australian Party

| leaders_seat3 = Traeger

| last_election3 = 3 seats, 2.32%

| seats_needed3 = {{increase}} 44

| seats_before3 = 3

| seats3 = 3

| seat_change3 = {{steady}}

| popular_vote3 = 72,168

| percentage3 = 2.5%

| swing3 = {{increase}} 0.2

| image4 = 140x140px

| leader4 = No leader

| leader_since4 = N/A

| party4 = Queensland Greens

| leaders_seat4 = N/A

| last_election4 = 1 seat, 10.0%

| seats_needed4 = {{increase}} 46

| seats_before4 = 1

| seats4 = 2

| seat_change4 = {{increase}} 1

| popular_vote4 = 271,514

| percentage4 = 9.5%

| swing4 = {{decrease}} 0.5

| image5 = {{Election image filler|Pauline Hanson's One Nation|ON|150x150px}}

| leader5 = No leader

| leader_since5 = N/A

| party5 = Pauline Hanson's One Nation – Queensland

| leaders_seat5 = N/A

| last_election5 = 1 seat, 13.7%

| seats_needed5 = {{increase}} 46

| seats_before5 = 1

| seats5 = 1

| seat_change5 = {{steady}}

| popular_vote5 = 204,316

| percentage5 = 7.1%

| swing5 = {{decrease}} 6.6

| image6 = {{Election image filler|North Queensland First|NQF|150x150px}}

| leader6 = Jason Costigan

| leader_since6 = 18 November 2019

| party6 = North Queensland First

| leaders_seat6 = Whitsunday
(lost seat)

| last_election6 = New party

| seats_before6 = 1{{efn|name="nqf"|At the previous election, Jason Costigan won the Electoral district of Whitsunday under the Liberal National Party, however was expelled from the party in February 2019.{{cite web|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-02-01/lnp-meeting-expels-member-for-whitsundays-jason-costigan/10770126|title=LNP expels north Queensland MP Jason Costigan|date=1 February 2019|work=ABC News|access-date=18 July 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190206165432/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-02-01/lnp-meeting-expels-member-for-whitsundays-jason-costigan/10770126|archive-date=6 February 2019|url-status=live}} After sitting as an Independent MP for over eight-months, Costigan established, and lead, his own party to the election.}}

| seats_needed6 = {{increase}} 46

| seats6 = 0

| seat_change6 = {{decrease}} 1

| popular_vote6 = 5,616

| percentage6 = 0.2%

| swing6 = {{increase}} 0.2

| 1blank = TPP

| 1data1 = 53.2%

| 1data2 = 46.8%

| 2blank = TPP swing

| 2data1 = {{Increase}} 1.9

| 2data2 = {{Decrease}} 1.9

| map = {{Switcher

| 400px

| Winning margin by electorate.

| 400px

| Simple results by electorate.

}}

| title = Premier

| before_election = Annastacia Palaszczuk

| before_party = Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)

| after_election = Annastacia Palaszczuk

| after_party = Australian Labor Party (Queensland Branch)

}}

The 2020 Queensland state election was held on 31 October to elect all 93 members to the 57th Legislative Assembly of Queensland. The Labor Party was returned to government for a third-term, led by incumbent premier Annastacia Palaszczuk.{{Cite news|last=Maasdorp|first=James|date=31 October 2020|title=Labor to clinch government in Queensland election, expected to win required 47 seats as Annastacia Palaszczuk claims third term as Premier|work=ABC News|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-31/queensland-election-live-blog-polling-day/12811140|access-date=1 November 2020|archive-date=1 November 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201101005355/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-31/queensland-election-live-blog-polling-day/12811140|url-status=live}} With 47 seats needed to form a majority government, Labor won 52 seats, including all but five in Brisbane, while the Liberal National Party won 34 seats and formed opposition. On the crossbench, Katter's Australian Party retained its 3 seats, the Queensland Greens picked up South Brisbane for a total of 2, Pauline Hanson's One Nation retained Mirani and independent Sandy Bolton retained her seat of Noosa.

Both major parties managed a small swing to them on primary votes, as a result of One Nation's vote sharply declining. On the two-party-preferred vote, Labor had a small swing to it statewide, though the party did notably lose some ground to the LNP in some key seats, including the ultra-marginal seats of Burdekin and Whitsunday, and the LNP also won both Toowoomba-based seats with increased majorities. Labor picked up five seats from the LNP, but notably former Deputy Premier Jackie Trad lost her seat of South Brisbane to the Greens.

At 11pm on 31 October, Liberal National Party leader Deb Frecklington conceded defeat, congratulating Palaszczuk on her victory. Frecklington initially indicated that she would stay on as party leader, but on 2 November announced that she would convene a party meeting and resign as leader.{{cite news|last=Swanson|first=Tim|date=2 November 2020|title=Queensland LNP leader Deb Frecklington stands down|work=ABC News|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-02/qld-election-opposition-leader-deb-frecklington-steps-aside-lnp/12834976|access-date=3 November 2020|archive-date=3 November 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201103152418/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-02/qld-election-opposition-leader-deb-frecklington-steps-aside-lnp/12834976|url-status=live}} David Crisafulli won the ensuing leadership spill and was elected LNP leader on 12 November 2020.{{cite news |last1=Lynch |first1=Lydia |title=LNP elects new leader and deputy while recount starts in two seats |url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/lnp-elects-new-leader-and-deputy-while-recount-starts-in-two-seats-20201112-p56dyw.html |access-date=12 November 2020 |work=Brisbane Times |date=12 November 2020 |language=en |archive-date=12 November 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201112012343/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/lnp-elects-new-leader-and-deputy-while-recount-starts-in-two-seats-20201112-p56dyw.html |url-status=live }}

Palaszczuk became the first female party leader to win three state elections in Australia,{{Cite news|last1=McKenna|first1=Kate|last2=Nothling|first2=Lily|date=2 November 2020|title=Annastacia Palaszczuk wins government in Queensland, making history|work=ABC News|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-01/qld-state-election-labor-wins-annastacia-palaszczuk-elected/12834982|access-date=3 November 2020|archive-date=2 November 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201102093854/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-01/qld-state-election-labor-wins-annastacia-palaszczuk-elected/12834982|url-status=live}} as well as the first Queensland Premier to increase their party's seat total across three successive elections.{{Cite news|last=Lynch|first=Lydia|date=12 November 2020|title='We have to find a way to win': LNP to review election loss, policies|work=Brisbane Times|url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/we-have-to-find-a-way-to-win-lnp-to-review-election-loss-policies-20201112-p56e1m.html|access-date=13 November 2020|archive-date=13 November 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201113001614/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/we-have-to-find-a-way-to-win-lnp-to-review-election-loss-policies-20201112-p56e1m.html|url-status=live}}

Retiring members

=Labor=

  • Kate Jones MP (Cooper) – Announced 10 September 2020{{cite news |last=Lynch |first=Lydia |date=10 September 2020 |title=Kate Jones becomes third Queensland Labor minister to call time |url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/kate-jones-becomes-third-queensland-labor-minister-to-call-time-20200910-p55u9b.html |newspaper=Brisbane Times}}
  • Anthony Lynham MP (Stafford) – Announced 10 September 2020{{cite news |last=Lynch |first=Lydia |date=10 September 2020 |title=Mines Minister Anthony Lynham will not contest his seat at election |url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/mines-minister-anthony-lynham-will-not-contest-his-seat-at-election-20200910-p55u6e.html |newspaper=Brisbane Times}}
  • Coralee O'Rourke MP (Mundingburra) – Announced 5 September 2020{{cite news |last=Stone |first=Lucy |date=5 September 2020 |title=Minister Coralie O'Rourke announces she will not contest election |url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/minister-coralie-o-rourke-announces-she-will-not-contest-election-20200905-p55sn5.html |newspaper=Brisbane Times}}

=Liberal National=

  • Mark McArdle (Caloundra) – Announced retirement 27 June 2019{{cite news |last=Lynch |first=Lydia |date=28 June 2019 |title=Sunshine Coast MP to stand down at next election for younger blood |url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/sunshine-coast-mp-to-stand-down-at-next-election-for-younger-blood-20190628-p5223a.html |newspaper=Brisbane Times}}
  • Ted Sorensen (Hervey Bay) – Announced retirement 25 May 2020{{cite news |last=Lynch |first=Lydia |date=25 May 2020 |title=LNP's Ted Sorensen to retire after 26 years in local and state politics |url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/lnp-s-ted-sorensen-to-retire-after-26-years-in-local-and-state-politics-20200525-p54w2k.html |newspaper=Brisbane Times}}
  • Simone Wilson (Pumicestone) – Announced retirement 27 September 2019{{cite news |title=Member for Pumicestone Simone Wilson not to recontest in the next state election to be held October 2020 |url=http://1015fm.com.au/2019/09/member-for-pumicestone-simone-wilson-not-to-recontest-in-the-next-state-election-to-be-held-october-2020/}}

Results

{{main|Results of the 2020 Queensland state election|Post-election pendulum for the 2020 Queensland state election|Members of the Queensland Legislative Assembly, 2020–2024}}

style="width:50%; text-align:center;"

|+ style="width:47%; text-align:right" | ↓{{fsp}}

style="color:white;"

| style="color:white; background:{{party color|Australian Labor Party}}; width:57%;" | 52

| style="background:{{party color|Australian Greens}}; width:2%;" | 2

| style="background:{{party color|Independent politician}}; width:1%;" | 1

| style="background:{{party color|One Nation}}; width:1%;" | 1

| style="background:{{party color|Katter's Australian Party}}; width:3%;" | 3

| style="background:{{party color|Liberal National Party of Queensland}}; width:36%;" | 34

style="color:{{party color|Australian Labor Party}};"|ALP

| GRN

|style="color: black;"|IND

| ONP

|style="color:{{party color|Katter's Australian Party}};"|KAP

| LNP

class="wikitable" style="text-align:right; margin-bottom:0"

|+Legislative Assembly (IRV) – Turnout 87.9% (CV){{cite web |title=2020 State General Election Results |date=July 2019 |url=https://results.elections.qld.gov.au/state2020 |publisher=Electoral Commission of Queensland |access-date=10 November 2020 |archive-date=10 November 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201110101034/https://results.elections.qld.gov.au/state2020 |url-status=live }}{{Cite news|last=Green|first=Antony|author-link=Antony Green|date=13 November 2020|title=QLD Election 2020 Results|work=ABC News|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/qld/2020/results?filter=indoubt&sort=az|access-date=13 November 2020|archive-date=1 November 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201101020505/https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/qld/2020/results?filter=indoubt&sort=az|url-status=live}}

| colspan=11 align=center| File:2020 Queensland Legislative Assembly.svg

style="width:10px" colspan=3 | Party

! style="width:70px;"|Votes

! style="width:40px;"|%

! style="width:45px;"|Swing

! style="width:40px;"|Seats

! +/–

{{Australian party style|Labor|width:1px}} |  

| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Labor

| 1,134,969

| 39.57

| {{Increase}}+4.14

| 52

|{{Increase}} 4

{{Australian party style|Liberal National|width:1px}} |  

|style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Liberal National

| 1,029,442

| 35.89

| {{Increase}}+2.20

| 34

|{{Decrease}} 5

{{Australian party style|Greens}} |  

| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Greens

| 271,514

| 9.47

| {{Decrease}}−0.53

| 2

|{{Increase}} 1

{{Australian party style|One Nation}} |  

| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| One Nation

| 204,316

| 7.12

| {{Decrease}}−6.60

| 1

| {{Steady}}

{{Australian party style|Katter's Australian Party}} |  

| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Katter's Australian

| 72,168

| 2.52

| {{Increase}}+0.20

| 3

| {{Steady}}

{{Australian party style|Legalise Cannabis Qld}} |  

| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Legalise Cannabis

| 26,146

| 0.91

| {{Increase}}+0.91

| 0

|{{Steady}}

{{Australian party style|United Australia Party (current)}} |  

| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| United Australia

| 17,904

| 0.62

| {{Increase}}+0.62

| 0

|{{Steady}}

{{Australian party style|Involuntary Medication Objectors}} |  

| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Informed Medical Options

| 17,546

| 0.61

| {{Increase}}+0.61

| 0

|{{Steady}}

{{Australian party style|Animal Justice}} |  

| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Animal Justice

| 9,703

| 0.34

| {{Increase}}+0.34

| 0

|{{Steady}}

bgcolor="{{party color|North Queensland First}}" |  

| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | North Queensland First

| 5,616

| 0.20

| {{Increase}}+0.20

| 0

| {{Steady}}

{{Australian party style|Consumer Rights}} |  

| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Civil Liberties and Motorists

| 5,207

| 0.18

| {{Decrease}}−0.08{{Efn|Compared to 2017 election total of Consumer Rights, which was renamed to Civil Liberties and Motorists at the 2020 election.}}

| 0

|{{Steady}}

{{Australian party style|Shooters, Fishers, Farmers}} |  

| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Shooters, Fishers, Farmers

| 2,801

| 0.10

| {{Increase}}+0.10

| 0

|{{Steady}}

{{Australian party style|Independent}} |  

| colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Independents

| 70,992

| 2.48

| {{Decrease}}−2.10

| 1

|{{Steady}}

colspan="3" rowspan="1" |  Formal votes

| 2,868,324

| 96.60

| {{Increase}}+0.94

|

|

colspan="3" rowspan="1" |  Informal votes

| 101,023

| 3.40

| {{Decrease}}−0.94

|

|

colspan="3" rowspan="1" |  Total

| 2,969,347

| 100

|

| 93

|

colspan="3" rowspan="1" |  Registered voters / turnout

| 3,377,476

| 87.92

| {{Increase}}+0.39

|

|

colspan="8" | Two-party-preferred voteEstimate by Antony Green: {{cite web |title=Analysis of the 2020 Queensland Election Result |url=https://antonygreen.com.au/analysis-of-the-2020-queensland-election-result/ |website=Antony Green's Election Blog |date=18 November 2020 |access-date=18 November 2020 |archive-date=18 November 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201118010637/https://antonygreen.com.au/analysis-of-the-2020-queensland-election-result/ |url-status=live }}
{{Australian party style|Labor}} |

| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Labor

| 1,524,766

| 53.2

| {{Increase}} 1.9

|

|

{{Australian party style|Liberal National}} |

| style="text-align:left;" colspan="2"| Liberal National

| 1,343,558

| 46.8

| {{Decrease}} 1.9

|

|

=Vote summary=

{{bar box|title=Popular vote|titlebar=#ddd|width=600px|barwidth=410px|bars=

{{bar percent|Labor|{{party color|Australian Labor Party}}|39.57}}

{{bar percent|LNP|{{party color|Liberal National Party of Queensland}}|35.89}}

{{bar percent|Greens|{{party color|Australian Greens}}|9.47}}

{{bar percent|One Nation|{{party color|Pauline Hanson's One Nation}}|7.12}}

{{bar percent|Katter's|{{party color|Katter's Australian Party}}|2.52}}

{{bar percent|Independents|{{party color|Independent (politician)}}|2.48}}

{{bar percent|Other|#777777|2.95}}}}

{{bar box|title=Two-party preferred vote|titlebar=#ddd|width=600px|barwidth=410px|bars=

{{bar percent|Labor|{{party color|Australian Labor Party}}|53.2}}

{{bar percent|LNP|{{party color|Liberal National Party of Queensland}}|46.8}}}}

{{bar box|title=Seats summary|titlebar=#ddd|width=600px|barwidth=410px|bars=

{{bar percent|Labor|{{party color|Australian Labor Party}}|55.91}}

{{bar percent|LNP|{{party color|Liberal National Party of Queensland}}|36.56}}

{{bar percent|Katter's|{{party color|Katter's Australian Party}}|3.23}}

{{bar percent|Greens|{{party color|Australian Greens}}|2.15}}

{{bar percent|One Nation|{{party color|Pauline Hanson's One Nation}}|1.08}}

{{bar percent|Independents|{{party color|Independent (politician)}}|1.08}}}}

Seats changing hands

class="wikitable"
style="text-align: center"

! rowspan="2" style="width: 7em" | Seat

! colspan="4" style="width: 15em" | 2017 Election

! rowspan="2" style="width: 4em" | Swing

! colspan="4" style="width: 15em" | 2020 Election

style="text-align:center"

! colspan="2" style="width: 9em" | Party

! style="width: 8em" | Member

! style="width: 3em" | Margin

! style="width: 3em" | Margin

! style="width: 8em" | Member

! colspan="2" style="width: 9em" | Party

Bundaberg

| {{Australian party style|liberal national|width:0.2em}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|liberal national}}

| David Batt

| style="text-align: right;" | 4.20

| style="text-align: right;" | –4.21

| style="text-align: right;" | 0.01

| Tom Smith

| {{Australian politics/name|labor qld}}

| {{Australian party style|labor qld|width:0.2em}} |

Caloundra

| {{Australian party style|liberal national|width:0.2em}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|liberal national}}

| Mark McArdle

| style="text-align: right;" | 3.41

| style="text-align: right;" | –5.92

| style="text-align: right;" | 2.51

| Jason Hunt

| {{Australian politics/name|labor qld}}

| {{Australian party style|labor qld|width:0.2em}} |

Hervey Bay

| {{Australian party style|liberal national|width:0.2em}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|liberal national}}

| Ted Sorensen

| style="text-align: right;" | 9.10

| style="text-align: right;" | –11.12

| style="text-align: right;" | 2.02

| Adrian Tantari

| {{Australian politics/name|labor qld}}

| {{Australian party style|labor qld|width:0.2em}} |

Nicklin

| {{Australian party style|liberal national|width:0.2em}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|liberal national}}

| Marty Hunt

| style="text-align: right;" | 5.28

| style="text-align: right;" | –5.42

| style="text-align: right;" | 0.14

| Robert Skelton

| {{Australian politics/name|labor qld}}

| {{Australian party style|labor qld|width:0.2em}} |

Pumicestone

| {{Australian party style|liberal national|width:0.2em}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|liberal national}}

| Simone Wilson

| style="text-align: right;" | 0.84

| style="text-align: right;" | –6.11

| style="text-align: right;" | 5.27

| Ali King

| {{Australian politics/name|labor qld}}

| {{Australian party style|labor qld|width:0.2em}} |

South Brisbane

| {{Australian party style|labor qld|width:0.2em}} |

| {{Australian politics/name|labor qld}}

| Jackie Trad

| style="text-align: right;" | 3.55

| style="text-align: right;" | –8.90

| style="text-align: right;" | 5.35

| Amy MacMahon

| {{Australian politics/name|greens qld}}

| {{Australian party style|greens qld|width:0.2em}} |

  • Members listed in italics did not contest their seat at this election.
  • The Liberal National Party also retained the seat of Whitsunday, where the sitting Liberal National member had resigned and contested the election as a member of their own party.

The swing between the major parties in each seat varied across the state. However, Labor managed a small statewide swing to it.

Queenslanders have been known to, at some points in time, vote for Labor on the state level and the LNP on the federal level; in 2019, when the federal Coalition government led by Scott Morrison was unexpectedly re-elected for a third consecutive term, the LNP won 23 of the 30 House of Representatives seats in Queensland and 58.44% of the two-party-preferred vote in the state, with Morrison's victory being credited to a stronger-than-expected performance in Queensland and Tasmania, despite Queensland having a state Labor government.

Ultimately, Labor managed to gain five seats from the LNP, including two Sunshine Coast seats (Caloundra and Nicklin), two seats in smaller regional cities (Bundaberg and Hervey Bay) and one seat in Brisbane (Pumicestone). However, Labor lost the seat of South Brisbane to the Greens, therefore giving Labor a net seat change of +4.

The seat of Bundaberg was won by Labor with a margin of just nine votes, currently the smallest margin of any federal or state electorate in Australia.

Labor's defeat in South Brisbane was significant in two ways. The Greens won their second state seat in Queensland, after winning Maiwar from the LNP in 2017. However, it also led to the defeat of sitting Deputy Premier Jackie Trad.{{Cite web |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-31/qld-state-election-2020-jackie-trad-defeated-south-brisbane-seat/12832690 |title=Jackie Trad unseated in South Brisbane — a bruising election loss for a party high-flyer - ABC News |access-date=28 November 2023 |archive-date=13 December 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231213041026/https://amp.abc.net.au/article/12832690 |url-status=live }} Trad became the first sitting Deputy Premier of Queensland to be unseated since 1947 (when Labor's Ted Walsh was unseated).

One Nation contested 90 seats at this election, but the party's vote dropped dramatically, having almost halved. One Nation finished second in many seats in 2017, but in 2020 the party only finished second in one seat: the Labor-held seat of Bundamba. Nevertheless, One Nation managed to get an increased majority in the only lower house seat in Australia that it currently holds: Mirani (represented by Stephen Andrew since 2017).

While Labor received a small swing to it in most seats, the party did lose some ground to the LNP in a few key seats, including Buderim, Cook, Mackay, Toowoomba North and Whitsunday.

The LNP managed to regain the seat of Whitsunday, where the sitting member (Jason Costigan) was expelled from the LNP and formed his own party, North Queensland First. The LNP candidate, Amanda Camm, managed to win the seat with an increased majority over the Labor Party.

Post-election pendulum

class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90 ppt;"
colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;color:white;"| Government seats
colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;color:white;"|Marginal
style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Bundaberg

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Tom Smith

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|0.01%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Nicklin

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Robert Skelton

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|0.14%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Hervey Bay

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Adrian Tantari

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|2.02%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Caloundra

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Jason Hunt

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|2.51%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Barron River

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Craig Crawford

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|3.06%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Townsville

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Scott Stewart

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|3.12%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Thuringowa

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Aaron Harper

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|3.25%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Redlands

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Kim Richards

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|3.90%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Mundingburra

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Les Walker

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|3.93%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Aspley

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Bart Mellish

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|5.16%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Pumicestone

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Ali King

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|5.27%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Cairns

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Michael Healy

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|5.59%

style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Keppel

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|Brittany Lauga

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffcaca;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffcaca;"|5.63%

colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;color:white;"|Fairly safe
style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Redcliffe

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Yvette D'Ath

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|6.11%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Cook

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Cynthia Lui

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|6.26%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;" |Pine Rivers

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;" |Nikki Boyd

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;" |ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;" |6.70%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;" |Mackay

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;" |Julieanne Gilbert

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;" |ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;" |6.72%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Mansfield

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Corrine McMillan

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|6.80%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Gaven

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Meaghan Scanlon

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|7.75%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Springwood

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Mick de Brenni

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|8.39%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Rockhampton

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Barry O'Rourke

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|8.62%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Macalister

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Melissa McMahon

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|9.54%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Capalaba

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|Don Brown

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff8d8d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff8d8d;"|9.81%

colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;color:white;"|Safe
style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Cooper

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Jonty Bush

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|10.49%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Ferny Grove

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Mark Furner

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|10.97%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|McConnel

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Grace Grace

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|11.06%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Murrumba

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Steven Miles

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|11.33%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Bulimba

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Di Farmer

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|11.39%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |Stafford

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |Jimmy Sullivan

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;" |11.88%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |Maryborough

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |Bruce Saunders

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;" |11.89%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Mulgrave

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Curtis Pitt

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|12.24%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Mount Ommaney

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Jess Pugh

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|12.61%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Bancroft

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Chris Whiting

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|12.80%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Kurwongbah

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Shane King

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|13.15%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Greenslopes

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Joe Kelly

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|13.20%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |Lytton

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |Joan Pease

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;" |13.35%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |Logan

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |Linus Power

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;" |ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;" |13.39%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Miller

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Mark Bailey

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|13.82%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Ipswich West

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Jim Madden

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|14.35%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Toohey

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Peter Russo

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|14.52%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Stretton

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Duncan Pegg

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|14.82%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Nudgee

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Leanne Linard

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|15.09%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Waterford

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Shannon Fentiman

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|16.02%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Ipswich

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Jennifer Howard

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|16.52%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Morayfield

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Mark Ryan

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|16.73%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Jordan

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Charis Mullen

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|17.10%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Sandgate

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Stirling Hinchliffe

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|17.30%

style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Algester

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|Leeanne Enoch

| style="text-align:left; background:#ff6b6b;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ff6b6b;"|17.77%

colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:red;color:white;"|Very safe
style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Bundamba

| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Lance McCallum

| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#df716d;"|20.68% v ONP

style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Gladstone

| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Glenn Butcher

| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#df716d;"|23.49%

style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Woodridge

| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Cameron Dick

| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#df716d;"|26.25%

style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Inala

| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|Annastacia Palaszczuk

| style="text-align:left; background:#df716d;"|ALP

| style="text-align:center; background:#df716d;"|28.17%

class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="float:left; margin-right:.5em; margin-top:.4em; font-size:90 ppt;"
colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;color:white;"|Non-government seats
colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;color:white;"| Marginal
style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Currumbin

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Laura Gerber

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|0.52%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Coomera

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Michael Crandon

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.08%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Burleigh

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Michael Hart

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.21%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Chatsworth

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Steve Minnikin

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|1.29%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |Clayfield

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |Tim Nicholls

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;" |1.55%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |Glass House

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |Andrew Powell

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;" |LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;" |1.59%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Everton

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Tim Mander

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|2.24%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Whitsunday

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Amanda Camm

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|3.26%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Theodore

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Mark Boothman

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|3.33%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Moggill

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Christian Rowan

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|3.59%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Ninderry

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Dan Purdie

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|4.11%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Mermaid Beach

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Ray Stevens

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|4.39%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Oodgeroo

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Mark Robinson

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|4.48%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Buderim

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Brent Mickelberg

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|5.29%

style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Southport

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|Rob Molhoek

| style="text-align:left; background:#a6e7ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#a6e7ff;"|5.41%

colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;color:white;"|Fairly safe
style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Burdekin

| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Dale Last

| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|7.05%

style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Toowoomba North

| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Trevor Watts

| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|7.32%

style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Gympie

| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Tony Perrett

| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|8.49%

style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Maroochydore

| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Fiona Simpson

| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|9.12%

style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Kawana

| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|Jarrod Bleijie

| style="text-align:left; background:#80d8f9;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#80d8f9;"|9.31%

colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;color:white;"|Safe
style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Bonney

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Sam O'Connor

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.07%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Mudgeeraba

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Ros Bates

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.09%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Toowoomba South

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|David Janetzki

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.22%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Burnett

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Stephen Bennett

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|10.79%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Scenic Rim

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Jon Krause

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|11.45%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Lockyer

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Jim McDonald

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|11.52%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Nanango

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Deb Frecklington

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|12.21%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Southern Downs

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|James Lister

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|14.09%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Callide

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Colin Boyce

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|15.83%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Surfers Paradise

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|John-Paul Langbroek

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|16.22%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Broadwater

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|David Crisafulli

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|16.57%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Gregory

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Lachlan Millar

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|17.25%

style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Condamine

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|Pat Weir

| style="text-align:left; background:#61c3ff;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#61c3ff;"|19.20%

colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:blue;color:white;"|Very safe
style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Warrego

| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|Ann Leahy

| style="text-align:left; background:#6495ed;"|LNP

| style="text-align:center; background:#6495ed;"|23.15%

colspan="4" style="text-align:center; background:gray;color:white;"|Crossbench seats
style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;" |South Brisbane

| style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;" |Amy MacMahon

| style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;" |GRN

| style="text-align:center; background:#94FA75;" |5.35% v ALP

style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;" |Maiwar

| style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;" |Michael Berkman

| style="text-align:left; background:#94FA75;" |GRN

| style="text-align:center; background:#94FA75" |6.32% v LNP

style="text-align:left; background:#ffd700;" |Mirani

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffd700;" |Stephen Andrew

| style="text-align:left; background:#ffd700;" |ONP

| style="text-align:center; background:#ffd700;" |8.98% v ALP

style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;" |Hinchinbrook

| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;" |Nick Dametto

| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;" |KAP

| style="text-align:center; background:#fe6f5e;" |14.76% v LNP

style="text-align:left; background:#CCCECB;" |Noosa

| style="text-align:left; background:#CCCECB;" |Sandy Bolton

| style="text-align:left; background:#CCCECB;" |IND

| style="text-align:center; background:#CCCECB;" |15.85% v LNP

style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;" |Hill

| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;" |Shane Knuth

| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;" |KAP

| style="text-align:center; background:#fe6f5e;" |22.55% v ALP

style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;" |Traeger

| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;" |Robbie Katter

| style="text-align:left; background:#fe6f5e;" |KAP

| style="text-align:center; background:#fe6f5e;" |24.72% v ALP

{{Clear}}

Subsequent changes

Background

{{Main|2017 Queensland state election|Post-election pendulum for the 2017 Queensland state election}}

At the 2017 election, Labor won majority with 48 of 93 seats and formed government in the 56th Queensland Parliament. The LNP won 39 seats and formed opposition. Being allocated to crossbench, the Katter's Australian Party won three seats, One Nation won one seat, the Greens won one seat and Independent Sandy Bolton won the seat of Noosa.

Despite two by-elections, the composition of the 56th Parliament was unchanged, with the exception of the member for Whitsunday Jason Costigan. He was expelled from the LNP over allegations of behavioural impropriety, resulting in him joining the crossbench and eventually forming the North Queensland First party.

Labor has won all but one state election since 1989, and has only been out of government for five years since then. It lost its majority in 1996, giving way to a Coalition minority government that was defeated in 1998. In 2012, it suffered the worst defeat of a sitting government in the state's history, but regained power in 2015.

This election also marks the first time that both leaders of the current government and opposition have been female in a Queensland state election.{{Cite news|date=2020-10-06|title=What you need to know about Queensland's election campaign and how to cast your vote|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-06/queenslands-state-election-campaign-2020-what-you-need-to-know/12716276|url-status=live|access-date=2022-02-10|website=ABC News|language=en-AU|archive-date=10 February 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220210004543/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-06/queenslands-state-election-campaign-2020-what-you-need-to-know/12716276}} It is only the second time it has occurred in an Australian state, territory or federal election, the first time being the 1995 ACT election.

A record number of minor parties and candidates ran in the election, 342 minor party candidates, 69 as independents or not officially endorsed by any party. Labor, the LNP and the Greens ran candidates in every electorate, Pauline Hanson's One Nation ran in 90 electorates.{{Cite web|url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/record-number-of-parties-square-up-amid-a-fracturing-political-landscape-20201012-p564an.html|title=Record number of parties square up amid a 'fracturing' political landscape|date=12 October 2020|access-date=17 October 2020|archive-date=17 October 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201017094653/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/record-number-of-parties-square-up-amid-a-fracturing-political-landscape-20201012-p564an.html|url-status=live}}

Electoral system

Queensland has compulsory voting and uses full-preference instant-runoff voting for single-member electorates. The election was conducted by the Electoral Commission of Queensland (ECQ).

Of the political parties contesting the election, the party, or coalition, that win the majority of seats (at least 47) forms the government.

The party, or coalition that gains the next highest number of seats forms the opposition, with the remaining parties and independents candidates being allocated to the cross bench.

Queensland Parliament is the only unicameral state parliament in Australia. It has just one House—the Legislative Assembly.

Key dates

The election was for all 93 members of the Legislative Assembly. Pursuant to [https://www.legislation.qld.gov.au/view/pdf/asmade/act-2016-015 Constitution (Fixed Term Parliament) Amendment Act 2015] Queensland has fixed terms, with all elections following the 2020 vote scheduled every four years on the last Saturday of October. The Governor may call an election earlier than scheduled if the Government does not maintain confidence, or the annual appropriation bill fails to pass.

Under the legislation, the caretaker period commenced on 5 October 2020, 26 days prior to the election date.{{Cite web|url=https://www.legislation.qld.gov.au/view/pdf/asmade/act-2016-015|title=Constitution (Fixed TermParliament) Amendment Act 2015|date=2015|website=Queensland Government|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200410105218/https://www.legislation.qld.gov.au/view/pdf/asmade/act-2016-015|archive-date=10 April 2020|access-date=10 April 2020}}

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, consideration was given to holding this election as a full postal ballot,[https://www.seniorsnews.com.au/news/qld-election-could-be-a-full-postal-vote/3992912/ Election could be a full postal vote] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200411000911/https://www.seniorsnews.com.au/news/qld-election-could-be-a-full-postal-vote/3992912/ |date=11 April 2020 }} Seniors News 10 April 2020 but this did not occur.{{cite news |last1=Hamilton-Smith |first1=Lexy |title=How a staggering number of postal votes could change the face of Queensland's election |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-19/qld-state-election-how-early-postal-votes-change-face-campaign/12770298 |access-date=21 November 2020 |work=ABC News |publisher=Australian Broadcasting Corporation |date=18 October 2020 |language=en-AU |archive-date=5 December 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201205234209/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-19/qld-state-election-how-early-postal-votes-change-face-campaign/12770298 |url-status=live }} Despite this, a record number of postal votes was cast at the election, with a majority of Queenslanders voting before polling day.

The election timetable is as follows:{{cite web|url=https://event.elections.qld.gov.au/Events/EventDetails?EventID=597&EventType=1|title=2020 State General Election|website=Electoral Commission of Queensland|access-date=26 October 2020|archive-date=1 November 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201101090207/https://event.elections.qld.gov.au/Events/EventDetails?EventID=597&EventType=1|url-status=live}}

class="wikitable"
Date

! Event

6 October 2020

| Queensland Parliament dissolved by Governor Paul de Jersey{{cite news |last=Silk |first=Marty |date=6 October 2020 |title=Qld parliament dissolved ahead of election |url=https://thewest.com.au/politics/qld-parliament-dissolved-ahead-of-election-ng-s-2032646 |work=The West Australian |location= |access-date= |archive-date=2 February 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210202014131/https://thewest.com.au/politics/qld-parliament-dissolved-ahead-of-election-ng-s-2032646 |url-status=live }}

10 October 2020

| Close of electoral rolls

11 October 2020

| Close of nominations

19 October 2020

| Early voting begins

30 October 2020

| Early voting ends at 6{{Nbsp}}pm

31 October 2020

| Polling day, between the hours of 8{{Nbsp}}am and 6{{Nbsp}}pm

10 November 2020

|Last day for receipt of postal votes by 6 pm

Registered parties

Since the previous election, 2017, six political parties were registered by Queensland's Electoral Commission: Shooters, Fishers and Farmers Party, North Queensland First, the Animal Justice Party, Clive Palmer's United Australia Party, Informed Medical Options Party, and Legalise Cannabis Queensland.

The following twelve registered parties contested the election, including a record number of minor parties:

{{col-begin}}

{{col-break}}

{{col-break}}

{{col-end}}

=Preferences=

The LNP confirmed it would preference Labor candidates last on all of its how-to-vote cards.{{cite news |last1=Zillman |first1=Stephanie |title=LNP to put Labor last in its Queensland election preferences, elevating the Greens |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-05/qld-state-election-lnp-preference-labor-last-greens-boost/12732654 |access-date=6 October 2020 |work=ABC News |date=6 October 2020 |archive-date=5 October 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201005185428/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-05/qld-state-election-lnp-preference-labor-last-greens-boost/12732654 |url-status=live }} An exception is for Maiwar, a seat held by the Greens, where the LNP put the sitting Greens member below the Labor candidate in the how-to-vote card.{{Cite news|date=20 October 2020|title=Labor's Queensland election candidates warned to toe party line on preferences after photos show signs saying 'put the LNP last'|work=ABC News|url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-20/qld-state-election-2020-labor-candidates-warned-over-preferences/12781334|access-date=3 November 2020|archive-date=1 November 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201101052946/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-10-20/qld-state-election-2020-labor-candidates-warned-over-preferences/12781334|url-status=live}}

In response to LNP's preferences, Katter's Australia Party announced it would preference Greens candidates last on its party's how-to-vote cards, with party leader Robbie Katter suggesting the LNP's decision would lead to Greens candidates winning a number of seats in Brisbane.{{cite news |last1=McKay |first1=Jack |title=Robbie Katter appeals to LNP to preference Greens last |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/state-election-2020/how-to-vote/robbie-katter-appeals-to-lnp-to-preference-greens-last/news-story/d224a4d28af4fd2c300caeaff9fa009c |access-date=6 October 2020 |date=25 September 2020}} Katter's Australia Party and Pauline Hanson's One Nation also announced a preference deal on 8 October, with the parties to preference each other in second place on their how-to-vote cards.{{cite news |last1=Barry |first1=Derek |title=KAP and One Nation strike preference deal in Queensland election |url=https://www.northweststar.com.au/story/6959805/kap-and-one-nation-strike-preference-deal-in-queensland-election/ |access-date=8 October 2020 |work=North West Star |date=8 October 2020 |archive-date=17 July 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220717091909/https://www.northweststar.com.au/story/6959805/kap-and-one-nation-strike-preference-deal-in-queensland-election/ |url-status=live }}

Labor confirmed it would preference One Nation last on how-to-vote cards.

Retiring MPs

=Labor=

  • Kate Jones MP (Cooper) – announced 10 September 2020{{cite news|url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/kate-jones-becomes-third-queensland-labor-minister-to-call-time-20200910-p55u9b.html|title=Kate Jones becomes third Queensland Labor minister to call time|newspaper=Brisbane Times|date=10 September 2020|last=Lynch|first=Lydia|access-date=10 September 2020|archive-date=10 September 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200910044416/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/kate-jones-becomes-third-queensland-labor-minister-to-call-time-20200910-p55u9b.html|url-status=live}}
  • Anthony Lynham MP (Stafford) – announced 10 September 2020{{cite news|url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/mines-minister-anthony-lynham-will-not-contest-his-seat-at-election-20200910-p55u6e.html|title=Mines Minister Anthony Lynham will not contest his seat at election|newspaper=Brisbane Times|date=10 September 2020|last=Lynch|first=Lydia|access-date=10 September 2020|archive-date=17 September 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200917152159/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/mines-minister-anthony-lynham-will-not-contest-his-seat-at-election-20200910-p55u6e.html|url-status=live}}
  • Coralee O'Rourke MP (Mundingburra) – announced 5 September 2020{{cite news|url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/minister-coralie-o-rourke-announces-she-will-not-contest-election-20200905-p55sn5.html|title=Minister Coralie O'Rourke announces she will not contest election|newspaper=Brisbane Times|date=5 September 2020|last=Stone|first=Lucy|access-date=5 September 2020|archive-date=5 September 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200905131434/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/minister-coralie-o-rourke-announces-she-will-not-contest-election-20200905-p55sn5.html|url-status=live}}

=Liberal National=

  • Mark McArdle MP (Caloundra) – announced retirement 27 June 2019{{cite news|url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/sunshine-coast-mp-to-stand-down-at-next-election-for-younger-blood-20190628-p5223a.html|title=Sunshine Coast MP to stand down at next election for younger blood|newspaper=Brisbane Times|date=28 June 2019|last=Lynch|first=Lydia|access-date=2 July 2020|archive-date=3 July 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200703174205/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/national/queensland/sunshine-coast-mp-to-stand-down-at-next-election-for-younger-blood-20190628-p5223a.html|url-status=live}}
  • Ted Sorensen MP (Hervey Bay) – announced retirement 25 May 2020{{cite news|url=https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/lnp-s-ted-sorensen-to-retire-after-26-years-in-local-and-state-politics-20200525-p54w2k.html|title=LNP's Ted Sorensen to retire after 26 years in local and state politics|newspaper=Brisbane Times|date=25 May 2020|last=Lynch|first=Lydia|access-date=2 July 2020|archive-date=3 July 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200703112326/https://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/politics/queensland/lnp-s-ted-sorensen-to-retire-after-26-years-in-local-and-state-politics-20200525-p54w2k.html|url-status=live}}
  • Simone Wilson MP (Pumicestone) – announced retirement 27 September 2019{{cite news|url=http://1015fm.com.au/2019/09/member-for-pumicestone-simone-wilson-not-to-recontest-in-the-next-state-election-to-be-held-october-2020/|title=Member for Pumicestone Simone Wilson not to recontest in the next state election to be held October 2020|access-date=2 July 2020|archive-date=2 July 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200702084927/http://1015fm.com.au/2019/09/member-for-pumicestone-simone-wilson-not-to-recontest-in-the-next-state-election-to-be-held-october-2020/|website=1015 FM|url-status=live}}

Candidates

{{Main|Candidates of the 2020 Queensland state election}}

At the close of nominations on 11 October 2020, 597 candidates had nominated for the state election—the highest number of candidates at a Queensland state election, surpassing the previous record of 453 candidates at the 2017 election.{{cite web |last1=Green |first1=Antony |title=Close of Nominations for 2020 Queensland Election |url=https://antonygreen.com.au/close-of-nominations-for-2020-queensland-election/ |website=Antony Green's Election Blog |date=11 October 2020 |access-date=11 October 2020 |archive-date=25 October 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201025190007/https://antonygreen.com.au/close-of-nominations-for-2020-queensland-election/ |url-status=live }}

Leaders' debates

The first leaders' debate of the campaign between Palaszczuk and Frecklington was a People's Forum hosted by Sky News and the Courier Mail and was held on 28 October.Archived at [https://ghostarchive.org/varchive/youtube/20211205/9YaUAi59E2c Ghostarchive]{{cbignore}} and the [https://web.archive.org/web/20201105132636/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9YaUAi59E2c Wayback Machine]{{cbignore}}: {{cite web| url = https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9YaUAi59E2c| title = FULL DEBATE: Frecklington and Palaszczuk go head-to-head at People's Forum | website=YouTube| date = 28 October 2020 }}{{cbignore}} The selected audience consisted of undecided voters who post-debate were asked which party they would vote for based on the debate performance of the respective leaders. A majority of 53% opted for Labor, 30% for the LNP, whilst the remaining 17% were undecided.{{Cite web|url = https://7news.com.au/politics/qld-leaders-to-face-off-in-election-debate-c-1470054|title = Palaszczuk clear winner in election debate|date = 27 October 2020|access-date = 29 October 2020|archive-date = 1 November 2020|archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20201101014817/https://7news.com.au/politics/qld-leaders-to-face-off-in-election-debate-c-1470054|url-status = live}}

Polling

Several research, media and polling firms conduct opinion polls during the parliamentary term and prior to the state election in relation to voting. Most firms use an estimate of the flow of preferences at the previous election to determine the two-party-preferred vote; others ask respondents to nominate preferences.

=Graphical summary=

{{multiple image|align=center

|image1=Primary vote polling for the 2020 Queensland state election.png

|width1=500

|height1=240

|caption1=Primary vote.

|image2=Two-party-preferred vote polling for the 2020 Queensland state election.png

|width2=500

|height2=240

|caption2=Two-party-preferred vote.

|footer=Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last state election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.

}}

=Opinion polling=

==Voting intention==

class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="text-align:center; float:left; margin-left:.5em; margin-top:.4em;"
+Legislative Assembly polling
Date

! Firm

! colspan="5" style="background:#ccc" | Primary vote

! style="background:#ebbce3" colspan="2"| 2pp vote

colspan=2 |

! style="background:#f66" | ALP

! style="background:#00bfff" | LNP

! style="background:orange" | ON

! style="background:#90ee90" | Green

! style="background:gray;"| Other

! style="background:#f66" | ALP

! style="background:#00bfff" | LNP

style="background:#b0e9db;" colspan=2|31 October 2020 election

|style="background:#b0e9db;"|39.6%

|style="background:#b0e9db;"|35.9%

| style="background:#b0e9db;" |7.1%

| style="background:#b0e9db;" |9.5%

|style="background:#b0e9db;"|7.9%

|style="background:#f66"|53.2%

|style="background:#b0e9db;"|46.8%

25–30 Oct 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|Newspoll{{Cite web|title=Queensland election: Labor set for third term, but it's tight, Newspoll shows|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/queensland-election-labor-set-for-third-term-but-its-tight-newspoll-shows/news-story/2e0248464c75ad4762eda9f1461abafc|access-date=2020-10-31|website=The Australian|date=30 October 2020 |url-access=subscription|archive-date=23 November 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211123091800/https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/queensland-election-labor-set-for-third-term-but-its-tight-newspoll-shows/news-story/2e0248464c75ad4762eda9f1461abafc|url-status=live}}

|37%

|36%

|10%

|11%

|6%

|style="background:#f66"| 51.5%

| 48.5%

!

12–15 Oct 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|Roy Morgan{{cite news |title=ALP Government leads with a slim majority in Queensland; small majority of Queenslanders don't want NSW border open now |url=https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8548-roy-morgan-queensland-election-voting-intention-nsw-border-october-2020-202010201001 |access-date=20 October 2020 |work=Roy Morgan |language=en |archive-date=22 October 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201022201013/http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/8548-roy-morgan-queensland-election-voting-intention-nsw-border-october-2020-202010201001 |url-status=live }}

|36%

|35%

|12%

|10%

|7%

|style="background:#f66"| 51%

| 49%

!

9–14 Oct 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|Newspoll{{Cite web|title=Queensland ALP regains poll lead|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fnation%2Fpolitics%2Fqueensland-election-alp-regains-poll-lead-says-newspoll%2Fnews-story%2F9f9cb2d0d0e215e1dac6f5a88bf9feb9&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&nk=d74d9682faeaab0a2c713a79f2ae2aa9-1602944527|access-date=2020-10-17|website=The Australian|url-access=subscription|archive-date=23 October 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201023080211/https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fnation%2Fpolitics%2Fqueensland-election-alp-regains-poll-lead-says-newspoll%2Fnews-story%2F9f9cb2d0d0e215e1dac6f5a88bf9feb9&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&nk=d74d9682faeaab0a2c713a79f2ae2aa9-1602944527|url-status=live}}

|37%

|37%

|9%

|11%

|6%

|style="background:#f66"| 52%

| 48%

!

24 Sep–1 Oct 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|YouGov{{cite news |title=Labor would win Queensland election if it was held today, YouGov poll shows |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/state-election-2020/electorates/labor-would-win-queensland-election-if-it-was-held-today-yougov-poll-shows/news-story/fb53628a076b178e24cf1db90c5db349 |website=Courier Mail |url-access=subscription}}

|37%

|37%

|9%

|12%

|5%

|style="background:#f66"| 52%

| 48%

!

30 July 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|Newspoll{{Cite web|title=Popular Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk but poll party postponed- The Australian|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/popular-queensland-premier-annastacia-palaszczuk-but-poll-party-postponed/news-story/b3cfaad162045d1bb9edec092f215e2e|website=The Australian|url-access=subscription}}

|34%

|38%

|11%

|12%

|5%

|49%

|style="background:#00bfff"| 51%

!

7 June 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|YouGov{{Cite web|website=Courier Mail|title=YouGov: Labor's vote shrivels, as LNP surges|url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/queensland-government/yougov-poll-queensland-labor-governments-vote-shrivels/news-story/04e693d3de28af07ec51dad6d4b58728|url-access=subscription|access-date=6 June 2020|archive-date=6 October 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201006235304/https://www.couriermail.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=CMWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.couriermail.com.au%2Fnews%2Fqueensland%2Fqueensland-government%2Fyougov-poll-queensland-labor-governments-vote-shrivels%2Fnews-story%2F04e693d3de28af07ec51dad6d4b58728&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&nk=2542708af8d5a34d9be2d983c937d1c3-1602028384|url-status=live}}

|32%

|38%

|12%

|12%

|6%

|48%

|style="background:#00bfff"| 52%

!

7 February 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|YouGov{{Cite web|website=Poll Bludger|url=https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/02/07/yougov-galaxy-50-50-queensland/|title=YouGov Galaxy: 50-50 in Queensland|date=7 February 2020|access-date=7 February 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200207131206/https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/02/07/yougov-galaxy-50-50-queensland/|archive-date=7 February 2020|url-status=live}}

|34%

|35%

|15%

|10%

|6%

|50%

|50%

!

30 August 2019

| style="text-align:left;"|YouGov{{Cite web|website=Poll Bludger|url=https://www.pollbludger.net/2019/08/31/yougov-galaxy-51-49-state-lnp-queensland/|title=YouGov Galaxy: 51-49 to state LNP in Queensland|date=30 August 2019|access-date=15 September 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191221113632/https://www.pollbludger.net/2019/08/31/yougov-galaxy-51-49-state-lnp-queensland/|archive-date=21 December 2019|url-status=live}}

|32%

|37%

|13%

|13%

|5%

|49%

| style="background:#00bfff"| 51%

!

13–14 February 2019

| style="text-align:left;" |YouGov{{Cite web|website=Poll Bludger|url=https://www.pollbludger.net/2019/02/17/yougov-galaxy-labor-35-lnp-35-greens-11-one-nation-8-queensland/|title=YouGov Galaxy: Labor 35, LNP 35, Greens 11, One Nation 8 in Queensland|date=10 November 2018|access-date=30 August 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190830092101/https://www.pollbludger.net/2019/02/17/yougov-galaxy-labor-35-lnp-35-greens-11-one-nation-8-queensland/|archive-date=30 August 2019|url-status=live}}

|35%

|35%

|8%

|11%

|11%

| style="background:#f66" |52%

|48%

7–8 November 2018

| style="text-align:left;" |YouGov{{Cite web|website=Poll Bludger|url=https://www.pollbludger.net/2018/11/10/yougov-galaxy-53-47-labor-queensland/|title=YouGov Galaxy: 53-47 to Labor in Queensland|date=10 November 2018|access-date=10 November 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20181110160052/https://www.pollbludger.net/2018/11/10/yougov-galaxy-53-47-labor-queensland/|archive-date=10 November 2018|url-status=live}}

|36%

|34%

|10%

|11%

|9%

| style="background:#f66" |53%

|47%

8–9 August 2018

| style="text-align:left;" |YouGov{{Cite web|website=Poll Bludger|url=https://www.pollbludger.net/2018/08/11/yougov-galaxy-51-49-labor-queensland/|title=YouGov Galaxy: 51-49 to state Labor in Queensland|date=12 August 2018|access-date=12 August 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180812115358/https://www.pollbludger.net/2018/08/11/yougov-galaxy-51-49-labor-queensland/|archive-date=12 August 2018|url-status=live}}

|35%

|37%

|10%

|11%

|7%

| style="background:#f66" |51%

|49%

9–10 May 2018

| style="text-align:left;" |YouGov{{Cite web|website=Poll Bludger|url=https://www.pollbludger.net/2018/05/13/yougov-galaxy-53-47-state-labor-queensland/|title=YouGov Galaxy: 53-47 to state Labor in Queensland|date=13 May 2018|access-date=13 May 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190416174241/https://www.pollbludger.net/2018/05/13/yougov-galaxy-53-47-state-labor-queensland/|archive-date=16 April 2019|url-status=live}}

|38%

|35%

|12%

|10%

|5%

| style="background:#f66" |53%

|47%

7–8 Feb 2018

| style="text-align:left;" |YouGov{{Cite web|website=Poll Bludger|url=https://www.pollbludger.net/2018/02/12/yougov-galaxy-52-48-state-labor-queensland/|title=YouGov Galaxy: 52-48 to state Labor in Queensland|date=12 February 2018|access-date=12 February 2018|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180213135136/https://www.pollbludger.net/2018/02/12/yougov-galaxy-52-48-state-labor-queensland/|archive-date=13 February 2018|url-status=live}}

|37%

|36%

|10%

|10%

|7%

| style="background:#f66" |52%

|48%

colspan="9" style="font-size:90%;"| 12 December 2017 Deb Frecklington becomes leader of the Liberal National Party and Leader of the Opposition
style="background:#b0e9db;" colspan=2| 25 Nov 2017 election

|style="background:#b0e9db;"| 35.4%

|style="background:#b0e9db;"| 33.7%

| style="background:#b0e9db;" | 13.7%

| style="background:#b0e9db;" | 10.0%

|style="background:#b0e9db;"| 7.2%

|style="background:#f66;" | 51.2%

|style="background:#b0e9db;"| 48.8%

21–24 Nov 2017

| style="text-align:left;" |Newspoll{{Cite web|website=The Australian|url=http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/queensland-election/queensland-election-swing-to-alp-but-hanson-strings-attached/news-story/be2527b9d91daee49519ce560e9f9f72|title=Queensland election: swing to ALP but Hanson strings attached|access-date=25 November 2017|url-access=subscription|archive-date=6 October 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201006235304/https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fnational-affairs%2Fqueensland-election%2Fqueensland-election-swing-to-alp-but-hanson-strings-attached%2Fnews-story%2Fbe2527b9d91daee49519ce560e9f9f72&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&nk=f51b418817849ff323bb174b8a718d97-1602028384|url-status=live}}

|36%

|34%

|13%

|10%

|7%

| style="background:#f66" |52.5%

|47.5%

24 Nov 2017

| style="text-align:left;" |Galaxy{{Cite web|url=http://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/state-election-2017/queensland-election-2017-galaxy-poll-predicts-win-for-labor-and-premier-annastacia-palaszczuk/news-story/4c4804fed34f6c180ae3a64d9e506c7d|title=Queensland Election 2017 galaxy poll predicts win for Labor and Premier Annastacia Palaszcuk|website=The Courier Mail|access-date=23 November 2017|url-access=subscription|archive-date=6 October 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201006235316/https://www.couriermail.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=CMWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.couriermail.com.au%2Fnews%2Fqueensland%2Fstate-election-2017%2Fqueensland-election-2017-galaxy-poll-predicts-win-for-labor-and-premier-annastacia-palaszczuk%2Fnews-story%2F4c4804fed34f6c180ae3a64d9e506c7d&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&nk=819b26a1e63eb4fb25e493780e4dac1f-1602028396|url-status=live}}

|37%

|35%

|12%

|9%

|7%

| style="background:#f66" |52%

|48%

20 Nov 2017

| style="text-align:left;" |ReachTEL{{Cite news|url=http://www.skynews.com.au/news/top-stories/2017/11/20/labor-leads-lnp-by-51-per-cent-to-49-in-qld.html|title=Labor leads LNP by 2 points in Qld: Poll|work=Sky News|access-date=21 November 2017|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20171123170544/http://www.skynews.com.au/news/top-stories/2017/11/20/labor-leads-lnp-by-51-per-cent-to-49-in-qld.html|archive-date=23 November 2017|url-status=live}}

|34%

|30%

|17%

|10%

|9%

| style="background:#f66" |51%

|49%

{{Clear}}

==Better premier and leadership approval polling==

{{Image frame

| align=left

| caption=Opinion polls conducted for preferred premier

| content = {{Graph:Chart

| width=500

| height=325

| yAxisMax=65

| yAxisMin=0

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Leader

| interpolate = basis

| showSymbols = 1.5

| xType = date

| y1Title=Palaszczuk

| y2Title=Frecklington

| y3Title=Don’t Know

| type=line

| xGrid = | yGrid =

| x= 2018/02/08, 2018/05/10, 2018/11/08, 2019/02/14, 2019/08/30, 2020/02/07, 2020/06/07, 2020/06/12, 2020/07/30, 2020/10/01, 2020/10/30

| y1=42, 47, 43, 47, 34, 34, 44, 42, 57, 48, 56

| y2=31, 27, 26, 27, 29, 22, 23, 19, 26, 22, 32

| y3=27, 26, 31, 26, 37, 44, 33, 39, 17, 30, 12

| colors = #DE3533, #1456F1, #B3B3B3

}}

}}

{{clear}}

{{Image frame

| align=left

| caption=Approval ratings of Annastacia Palaszczuk

| content = {{Graph:Chart

| width=500

| height=325

| yAxisMax=70

| yAxisMin=0

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%approval

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Rating

| interpolate = basis

| showSymbols = 1.6

| xType = date

| y1Title=Approval

| y2Title=Disapproval

| y3Title=Don’t Know

| type=line

| xGrid = | yGrid =

| x= 2018/05/10, 2018/08/09, 2018/11/08, 2019/02/14, 2019/08/30, 2020/02/07, 2020/06/07, 2020/07/30, 2020/10/01, 2020/10/30

| y1=46, 41, 46, 48, 34, 29, 49, 64, 63, 57, 63

| y2=38, 38, 37, 38, 45, 44, 33, 29, 33, 27, 33

| y3=16, 21, 17, 14, 21, 27, 18, 7, 4, 16, 4

| colors = #19bd81, #dd3433, #b3b3b3

}}

}}

{{clear}}

{{Image frame

| align=left

| caption=Approval ratings of Deb Frecklington

| content = {{Graph:Chart

| width=500

| height=325

| yAxisMax=70

| yAxisMin=0

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%approval

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Rating

| interpolate = basis

| showSymbols = 1.6

| xType = date

| y1Title=Approval

| y2Title=Disapproval

| y3Title=Don’t Know

| type=line

| xGrid = | yGrid =

| x= 2018/05/10, 2018/08/09, 2018/11/08, 2019/02/14, 2019/08/30, 2020/02/07, 2020/06/07, 2020/07/30, 2020/10/01, 2020/10/30

| y1=31, 31, 35, 31, 30, 23, 26, 34, 29, 37

| y2=28, 26, 29, 35, 30, 33, 29, 42, 32, 44

| y3=41, 43, 36, 34, 40, 44, 45, 24, 39, 19

| colors = #19bd81, #dd3433, #b3b3b3

}}

}}

{{clear}}

class="toccolours" cellpadding="5" cellspacing="0" style="text-align:center; float:left; margin-left:.5em; margin-top:.4em;"
+Better premier/approval polling
Date

! Firm

! colspan="2" |Better premier

! colspan="2" |Palaszczuk

! colspan="2" |Frecklington

!

! Palaszczuk

! Frecklington

! Satisfied

! Dissatisfied

! Satisfied

! Dissatisfied

9–14 Oct 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|Newspoll{{Cite web|last=Bowe|first=William|date=October 16, 2020|title=Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland|url=https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/10/16/newspoll-52-48-to-labor-in-queensland-3/|access-date=October 18, 2020|website=The Poll Bludger|archive-date=18 October 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201018080706/https://www.pollbludger.net/2020/10/16/newspoll-52-48-to-labor-in-queensland-3/|url-status=live}}

|style="background:#f66;"|56%

|32%

|style="background:#f66;"|63%

|33%

|37%

|style="background:#00bfff;"|44%

24 Sep–1 Oct 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|YouGov

|style="background:#f66;"|48%

|22%

|style="background:#f66;"|57%

|27%

|29%

|style="background:#00bfff;"|32%

21 September 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|Newspoll{{Cite web|title=Majority support strict qld border lockdowns|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/newspoll-majority-support-strict-qld-border-lockdowns/news-story/7cf6f939ea0207f340941bd0ebbeb885|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201006235318/https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fnation%2Fnewspoll-majority-support-strict-qld-border-lockdowns%2Fnews-story%2F7cf6f939ea0207f340941bd0ebbeb885&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&nk=e4b8b294d14436585920fea3aeb4a331-1602028398|archive-date=6 October 2020|website=The Australian|url-access=subscription}}

| -

| -

|style="background:#f66;"|63%

|33%

| -

| -

30 July 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|Newspoll{{Cite web|title= Popular Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk but poll party postponed|url=https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/popular-queensland-premier-annastacia-palaszczuk-but-poll-party-postponed/news-story/b3cfaad162045d1bb9edec092f215e2e|website=The Australian|url-access=subscription}}

|style="background:#f66;"|57%

|26%

|style="background:#f66;"|64%

|29%

|34%

|style="background:#00bfff;"|42%

12 June 2020

| style="text-align:left;"|Liberal National Party{{cite news |last1=Wardill |first1=Steven |title=Deb Frecklington trails Annastacia Palaszczuk in popularity contest: LNP polling |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/queensland-government/deb-frecklington-trails-annastacia-palaszczuk-in-popularity-contest-lnp-polling/news-story/7266000e37e295214ecfb2489980269b |work=Courier Mail |date=2020 |url-access=subscription |access-date=14 June 2020 |archive-date=6 October 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20201006235323/https://www.couriermail.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=CMWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.couriermail.com.au%2Fnews%2Fqueensland%2Fqueensland-government%2Fdeb-frecklington-trails-annastacia-palaszczuk-in-popularity-contest-lnp-polling%2Fnews-story%2F7266000e37e295214ecfb2489980269b&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&nk=2542708af8d5a34d9be2d983c937d1c3-1602028403 |url-status=live }}

|style="background:#f66;"|42%

|19%

| -

| -

| -

| -

7 June 2020

|style="text-align:left;"|YouGov

|style="background:#f66;"|44%

|23%

|style="background:#f66;"|49%

|33%

|26%

|style="background:#00bfff;"|29%

7 February 2020

|style="text-align:left;"|YouGov

|style="background:#f66;"|34%

|22%

|29%

|style="background:#f66;"|44%

|23%

|style="background:#00bfff;"|33%

30 August 2019

|style="text-align:left;"|YouGov{{cite web |url=https://www.pollbludger.net/2019/08/31/yougov-galaxy-51-49-state-lnp-queensland |title=YouGov Galaxy: 51–49 to State LNP in Queensland |date=30 August 2019 |website=Poll Bludger |access-date=24 December 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191224073745/https://www.pollbludger.net/2019/08/31/yougov-galaxy-51-49-state-lnp-queensland/ |archive-date=24 December 2019 |url-status=live }}

|style="background:#f66;"|34%

|29%

|34%

|style="background:#f66;"|45%

|30%

|30%

13–14 February 2019

| style="text-align:left;" |YouGov

| style="background:#f66;"|47%

|27%

| style="background:#f66;"|48%

|38%

|31%

| style="background:#00bfff;"|35%

7–8 November 2018

| style="text-align:left;" |YouGov

| style="background:#f66;"|43%

|26%

| style="background:#f66;"|46%

|37%

| style="background:#00bfff;"|35%

|29%

8–9 August 2018

| style="text-align:left;" |YouGov

| -

| -

| style="background:#f66;"|41%

|38%

| style="background:#00bfff;"|31%

|26%

9–10 May 2018

| style="text-align:left;" |YouGov

| style="background:#f66;"|47%

|27%

| style="background:#f66;"|46%

|38%

| style="background:#00bfff;"|31%

|28%

7–8 Feb 2018

| style="text-align:left;" |YouGov

| style="background:#f66;"|42%

|31%

| -

| -

| -

| -

colspan="9" style="font-size:90%;"| 12 December 2017 Deb Frecklington becomes leader of the Liberal National Party and Leader of the Opposition

{{Clear}}

==Electoral district polling==

class="nowrap wikitable sortable tpl-blanktable" style=text-align:center;font-size:100%

! rowspan=2|Date

! rowspan=2|Firm

! rowspan=2 class=unsortable | Electorate

! colspan=8 class=unsortable style=background:#ebbce3 | Voting intention

! colspan=3 class=unsortable style=background:#ebbce3 | 2cp vote

class="unsortable" style="background:#f66" | ALP

! class="unsortable" style="background:#00bfff" | LNP

! class="unsortable" style="background:#f36c21" | ONP

! class="unsortable" style="background:#10C25B" | GRN

! class="unsortable" style="background:#8B0000" | KAP

! class="unsortable" style="background:#F8EF21" | UAP

! class="unsortable" style="background:#6fc442" | LCA

! class="unsortable" style="background:#b3b3b3" | OTH

! class="unsortable" style="background:#f66" | ALP

! class="unsortable" style="background:#00bfff" | LNP

! class="unsortable" style="background:#10C25B" | GRN

26 Oct 2020

| Newspoll{{Cite web |url=https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/qld/2020/guide/sbri |title=South Brisbane - QLD Electorate, Candidates, Results |website=Australian Broadcasting Corporation |access-date=6 February 2024 |archive-date=2 December 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20231202001603/https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/qld/2020/guide/sbri |url-status=live }}

| South Brisbane

| 32.0%

| 24.0%

| {{n/a}}

| 39.0%

| {{n/a}}

| {{n/a}}

| {{n/a}}

| {{n/a}}

| 45.5%

| {{n/a}}

! style="background:#10C25B" | 54.5%

rowspan="3" | 24 Oct 2020

| rowspan="3" | Newspoll{{cite news |last1=Wardill |first1=Steven |title=Newspoll results show Labor and LNP poised to claw marginal seats off each other |url=https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/state-election-2020/newspoll-results-show-labor-and-lnp-poised-to-claw-marginal-seats-off-each-other/news-story/cd2c48cab216a05bdf620fdf9a8bf330?amp&nk=d14d5e12797d28971e36ad78e5988e5f-1707199379 |access-date=11 February 2024 |work=The Courier-Mail |date=October 24, 2020}}

| Mansfield

| 41.0%

| 45.0%

| 2.0%

| 9.0%

| {{n/a}}

| 0.5%

| 1.5%

| 1.0%

! style="background:#f66" | 50.5%

| 49.5%

| {{n/a}}

Mundingburra

| 35.0%

| 32.0%

| 11.0%

| 4.0%

| 14.0%

| 2.0%

| 2.0%

| {{n/a}}

| 49.5%

! style="background:#00bfff" | 50.5%

| {{n/a}}

Pumicestone

| 45.0%

| 37.0%

| 9.0%

| 6.0%

| {{n/a}}

| 1.0%

| 2.0%

| {{n/a}}

! style="background:#f66" | 54.0%

| 46.0%

| {{n/a}}

Notes

{{Noteslist}}

References

{{Reflist}}