2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 2

{{Short description|none}}

{{Distinguish|2020 Iowa House of Representatives election}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=July 2020}}

{{use American English|date=November 2020}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

| country = Iowa

| type = legislative

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

| previous_year = 2018

| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

| next_year = 2022

| seats_for_election = All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives

| election_date = November 3, 2020

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| last_election1 = 1

| seats1 = 3

| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 2

| popular_vote1 = 859,418

| percentage1 = 52.42%

| swing1 = {{increase}} 5.88%

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| last_election2 = 3

| seats2 = 1

| seat_change2 = {{decrease}} 2

| popular_vote2 = 762,271

| percentage2 = 46.5%

| swing2 = {{decrease}} 4.02%

| map_image = {{switcher

|270px

| Results by party gains

|270px

|Election results by district

|270px

|Election results by county

|default=1

}}

| map_caption = {{legend0|#92C5DE|Democratic hold}}
{{legend0|#F48882|Republican hold}} {{legend0|#CA0120|Republican gain}}{{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Republican

{{legend|#f2b3be|40–50%}}

{{legend|#e27f90|50–60%}}

{{legend|#cc2f4a|60–70%}}

{{legend|#d40000|70–80%}}

{{legend|#aa0000|80–90%}}

{{col-2}}

Democratic

{{legend|#b9d7ff|40–50%}}

{{legend|#86b6f2|50–60%}}

{{legend|#4389E3|60–70%}}

{{col-end}}

}}

{{ElectionsIA}}

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

{{toclimit|2}}

Overview

class="wikitable" style="font-size:100%; text-align:right;"
colspan=2 rowspan=2|Partyrowspan=2|Candi-
dates
colspan=2|Votescolspan=3|Seats
No.%No. || +/–%
style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}};"|align=left|Republican Party4859,41852.42%3{{increase}} 275.00%
style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}};"|align=left|Democratic Party4762,27146.5%1{{decrease}} 225.00%
style="background:{{party color|Libertarian Party (United States)}};"|align=left|Libertarian Party115,3610.94%0{{steady}}0.00%
style="background:{{party color|Write-in}};"|align=left|Write-in2,4130.15%0{{steady}}0.00%
style="font-weight:bold"

| colspan=2 align=left|Total

91,639,463100.0%4{{Steady}}100.00%

{{bar box

| title=Popular vote

| titlebar=#ddd

| width=600px

| barwidth=410px

| bars=

{{bar percent|Republican|{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}|52.42}}

{{bar percent|Democratic|{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}|46.5}}

{{bar percent|Other|#777777|1.09}}

}}

{{bar box

| title=House seats

| titlebar=#ddd

| width=600px

| barwidth=410px

| bars=

{{bar percent|Republican|{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}|75.00}}

{{bar percent|Democratic|{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}|25.00}}

}}

=By district=

class="wikitable plainrowheaders sortable" style="font-size:100%; text-align:right;"

! scope=col rowspan=3|District

! scope=col colspan=2|Republican

! scope=col colspan=2|Democratic

! scope=col colspan=2|Others

! scope=col colspan=2|Total

! scope=col rowspan=3|Result

scope=col colspan=2 style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (United States)}}"|scope=col colspan=2 style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (United States)}}"|scope=col colspan=2|scope=col colspan=2|
scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%scope=col data-sort-type="number"|Votesscope=col data-sort-type="number"|%
{{Party shading/Republican}}

| align=left|District 1

212,08851.25%201,34748.65%4340.10%413,869100%Republican gain
{{Party shading/Republican}}

| align=left|District 2

196,96449.912% 196,95849.910%7030.178%394,625100%Republican gain
{{Party shading/Democratic}}

| align=left|District 3

212,99747.55%219,20548.94%15,7453.51%447,947100%Democratic hold
{{Party shading/Republican}}

| align=left|District 4

237,36961.97%144,76137.80%8920.23%383,022100%Republican hold
class="sortbottom" style="font-weight:bold"

| align=left|Total

859,41852.42%762,27146.50%17,774 1.08%1,639,463100%

District 1

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district election

| country = Iowa

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 1

| previous_year = 2018

| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 2

| next_year = 2022

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Ashley Hinson.jpg

| nominee1 = Ashley Hinson

| party1 = Republican Party (US)

| popular_vote1 = 212,088

| percentage1 = 51.2%

| image2 = File:Abby Finkenauer, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee2 = Abby Finkenauer

| party2 = Democratic Party (US)

| popular_vote2 = 201,347

| percentage2 = 48.7%

| map_image = File:2020IA01.svg

| map_size = 200px

| map_caption = County results
Hinson: {{legend0|#ed8783|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}}
Finkenauer: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}}

| title = U.S. Representatives

| before_election = Abby Finkenauer

| before_party = Democratic Party (US)

| after_election = Ashley Hinson

| after_party = Republican Party (US)

}}

{{see also|Iowa's 1st congressional district}}

The 1st district is based in northeastern Iowa, and includes the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. The incumbent was Democrat Abby Finkenauer, who flipped the district and was elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.{{cite web|last1=Wasserman|first1=David|last2=Flinn|first2=Ally|title=2018 House Popular Vote Tracker|url=https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1WxDaxD5az6kdOjJncmGph37z0BPNhV1fNAH_g7IkpC0/htmlview|publisher=Cook Political Report|date=November 7, 2018|access-date=February 15, 2019}}

=Democratic primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Abby Finkenauer, incumbent U.S. representative{{Cite news | last1=Bowman | first1=Bridget | title=House freshmen try to keep it local as presidential race steals the spotlight | url=https://www.rollcall.com/news/house-freshmen-try-keep-local-presidential-race-steals-spotlight | website=Roll Call | date=August 21, 2019 | access-date=August 22, 2019}}

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

| title = Abby Finkenauer

| list =

Former US Executive Branch officials

  • Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017), former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008){{Cite web|url=https://medium.com/@BarackObama/first-wave-of-2020-endorsements-43b2b0c667f6|title=First Wave of 2020 Endorsements|date=August 3, 2020}}

Federal officials

  • Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts (2013-present), 2020 candidate for President{{Cite web|url=https://elizabethwarren.com/endorsements/2020?page=0&q=abby%20finkenauer#abby-finkenauer|title=2020 Endorsements | Warren Democrats|access-date=August 3, 2021|archive-date=August 3, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210803201203/https://elizabethwarren.com/endorsements/2020?page=0&q=abby%20finkenauer#abby-finkenauer|url-status=dead}}

Organizations

  • EMILY's List{{Cite web|url=https://www.emilyslist.org/candidates/gallery/house|title=U.S. House Candidates|website=EMILY's List}}
  • End Citizens United{{cite web|title=Endorsed Candidates|url=https://endcitizensunited.org/endorsed-candidates/|website=End Citizens United|access-date=January 25, 2020|archive-date=December 8, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191208110122/https://endcitizensunited.org/endorsed-candidates/|url-status=dead}}
  • J Street PAC{{cite web |title=JStreetPAC Candidates |url=https://donate.jstreetpac.org/candidate-directory/ |website=JStreetPAC |access-date=January 25, 2020 |archive-date=May 2, 2018 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20180502152638/https://donate.jstreetpac.org/candidate-directory/ |url-status=dead }}
  • League of Conservation Voters Action Fund{{cite web |last1=Sittenfeld |first1=Tiernan |title=LCV Action Fund Announces Second Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-announces-second-round-2020-environmental-majority-makers/ |website=League of Conservation Voters |publisher=LCV Action Fund |date=August 15, 2019}}
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America{{cite web |last=Hogue |first=Ilyse |title=NARAL Announces First Slate of Frontline Pro-Choice Endorsements for 2020 |url=https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2019/03/08/naral-first-2020-endorsements/ |website=NARAL Pro-Choice America |date=March 8, 2019 |access-date=January 25, 2020 |archive-date=August 5, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200805103419/https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2019/03/08/naral-first-2020-endorsements/ |url-status=dead }}
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund{{cite web |title=2020 Endorsements |url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/elections/2020-endorsements#full |website=plannedparenthoodaction.org |publisher=Planned Parenthood Action Fund |access-date=January 25, 2020 |archive-date=November 15, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191115032119/https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/elections/2020-endorsements#full |url-status=dead }}
  • Sierra Club{{Cite web|url=https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements|title=VOTE FOR SIERRA CLUB'S CLIMATE CHAMPIONS 2020 ENDORSEMENTS|access-date=April 13, 2020|website=Sierra Club Independent Action}}

}}

==Results==

[[File:2020IA01Dprimary.svg|thumb|180px|2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district Democratic primary results by county:

{{collapsible list

|title=Map legend

|{{legend|#0b1728|Finkenauer—100%}}

|{{legend|#162d50|Finkenauer—≥90%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results{{cite web |title=Primary Election - 2020 CANVASS SUMMARY |url=https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2020/primary/canvsummary.pdf |website=Iowa Secretary of State |access-date=August 27, 2020}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Abby Finkenauer (incumbent)

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 72,474

| percentage = 99.3

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 482

| percentage = 0.7

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 72,956

| percentage= 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Republican primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Ashley Hinson, state representative{{cite news|last1=Beckman|first1=Sarah|title=Ashley Hinson announces run for 1st Congressional District|url=https://www.weareiowa.com/news/local-news/ashley-hinson-announces-run-for-1st-congressional-district/1998911201|publisher=WOI-DT|date=May 13, 2019|access-date=May 13, 2019|archive-date=May 13, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190513161753/https://www.weareiowa.com/news/local-news/ashley-hinson-announces-run-for-1st-congressional-district/1998911201|url-status=dead}}

===Defeated in primary===

  • Thomas Hansen, farmer and businessman{{cite news |last1=Lynch |first1=James Q. |title=Thomas Hansen running for Congress to protect American principles |url=https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/republican-thomas-hansen-running-for-congress-in-1st-distric-20190620 |access-date=June 21, 2019 |work=The Gazette |date=June 20, 2019}}

===Declined===

  • Rod Blum, former U.S. representative{{cite news|last1=Rynard|first1=Pat|title=Rod Blum Is Still Running Ads In His Old District|url=https://iowastartingline.com/2019/02/21/rod-blum-is-still-running-ads-in-his-old-district/|publisher=Iowa Starting Line|date=February 21, 2019|access-date=February 21, 2019}}

== Endorsements ==

{{Endorsements box

|title=Ashley Hinson

|list=

State and local politicians

Organizations

  • Maggie's List{{cite web |title=2020 Candidates |url=http://maggieslist.org/candidates/2020-candidates |website=Maggie's List |access-date=February 27, 2020}}
  • Susan B. Anthony List{{cite web |title=Ashley Hinson |url=https://www.sba-list.org/candidate/ashley-hinson |website=Susan B. Anthony List |access-date=February 27, 2020 |archive-date=December 6, 2019 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20191206204640/https://www.sba-list.org/candidate/ashley-hinson |url-status=dead }}

}}

==Results==

[[File:2020IA01GOPprimary.svg|thumb|180px|2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district Republican primary results by county:

{{collapsible list

|title=Map legend

|{{legend|#782121|Hinson—80–90%}}

|{{legend|#a02c2c|Hinson—70–80%}}

|{{legend|#c83737|Hinson—60–70%}}

|{{legend|#d35f5f|Hinson—50–60%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Ashley Hinson

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 38,552

| percentage = 77.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Thomas Hansen

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 10,845

| percentage = 21.9

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 152

| percentage = 0.3

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 49,549

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=General election=

==Debate==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2020 Iowa's 1st congressional district debate

scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}}

! scope="col" | Date

! scope="col" | Host

! scope="col" | Moderator

! scope="col" | Link

! scope="col"| Democratic

! scope="col"| Republican

colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key:
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant  {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent  {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited  {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"|

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"|

scope="col" | Abby Finkenauer

! scope="col" | Ashley Hinson

1

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Sep. 7, 2020

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Iowa PBS

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.c-span.org/video/?476575-1/iowa-1st-congressional-district-debate C-SPAN]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{cite web|title=2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019|url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings|website=The Cook Political Report|access-date=September 20, 2019}}

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|November 2, 2020

align=left | Inside Elections{{cite web|title=2020 Senate Ratings|url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate/2020-senate-ratings-may-6-2019|work=Senate Ratings|publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report|access-date=October 3, 2019}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|October 28, 2020

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web | title=2020 Senate race ratings | url=http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | access-date=August 28, 2019 | archive-date=August 22, 2019 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190822073139/http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2020-senate/ | url-status=dead }}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|November 2, 2020

align="left" |Politico{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/senate/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=November 19, 2019 |work=Politico}}

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|September 8, 2020

align="left" |Daily Kos{{Cite web |url=https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2020/2/27/1922458/-Daily-Kos-Elections-releases-initial-Senate-race-ratings-for-2020 | website=Daily Kos Elections|title=Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020 | access-date=February 28, 2020}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

| October 15, 2020

align="left" |RCP{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/2020_elections_electoral_college_map.html|title=Battle for White House|date=April 19, 2019 |publisher=RCP}}

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

| October 13, 2020

align="left" |Niskanen{{Cite web|url=https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/|title=2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections|date=April 28, 2020|publisher=Niskanen Center|access-date=May 1, 2020|archive-date=June 21, 2020|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200621124503/https://www.niskanencenter.org/negative-partisanship-and-the-2020-congressional-elections/|url-status=dead}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|July 26, 2020

align="left" |The Economist{{Cite web |date=Oct 2, 2020 |title = Forecasting the US elections |url=https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/house |access-date=Oct 2, 2020 |publisher=The Economist}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|October 2, 2020

==Polling==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px"| Abby
Finkenauer (D)

! style="width:100px"| Ashley
Hinson (R)

! Other/
Undecided

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University[https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_ia_102220.pdf/ Monmouth University]

|rowspan=3 |October 15–20, 2020

|352 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 5.2%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

|44%

|4%{{efn|"No one" with 1%; Undecided with 3%}}

352 (LV){{efn|name="High"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|54%

|44%

| –

352 (LV){{efn|name="Low"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|56%

|42%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Basswood Research (R)[https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/poll-for-republican-pac-shows-iowa-1st-district-race-tied-45-45-20201002 Basswood Research (R)]{{efn-ua|This poll's sponsor, the Congressional Leadership Fund, had endorsed Hinson prior to the poll's sampling period.}}

|September 26–28, 2020

|400 (LV)

|± 4.9%

|45%

|45%

|10%{{efn|Undecided with 10%}}

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University[https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_IA_080520/ Monmouth University]

|rowspan=3 |July 25 – August 3, 2020

|391 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 5%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

|41%

|9%{{efn|name="on1u8"|"Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 8%}}

391 (LV){{efn|name="High"|With a likely voter turnout model featuring higher turnout than in the 2016 presidential election}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

|41%

|8%{{efn|name="on1u7"|"Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 7%}}

391 (LV){{efn|name="Low"|With a likely voter turnout model featuring lower turnout than in the 2016 presidential election}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

|40%

|8%{{efn|name="on1u7"}}

style="text-align:left;"|Public Opinion Strategies (R)[http://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/IA-01-Memo-for-Release-002.pdf Public Opinion Strategies (R)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200320191414/http://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/IA-01-Memo-for-Release-002.pdf |date=March 20, 2020 }}{{efn-ua|name="NRCC"|This poll was sponsored by the NRCC}}

| March 3–5, 2020

| 400 (LV)

| ± 4.0%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|45%

| 44%

| –

rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|Harper Polling (R)[https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000170-179b-d830-a7ff-f79f5e080000 Harper Polling (R)]{{efn-ua|name="FLF"|The Future Leaders Fund is a pro-Republican PAC}}

| rowspan=2 |January 11–12, 2020

| rowspan=2 |400 (LV)

| rowspan=2 |± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|44%{{efn|name="s4"|Standard VI response}}

|40%

|15%

40%{{efn|Response after pollster addresses respondents with message testing}}

| {{party shading/Republican}}|48%

| –

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

Generic Democrat vs Generic Republican

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Democrat

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Republican

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register[https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/election-2020-iowa-poll-president-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden/6061937002/ Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register]

|October 26–29, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|name=not|Not yet released}}

|± 7.1%

|36%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|51%

|9%{{efn|"Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%}}

|5%{{efn|name="nomemory"|Includes "Do not remember"}}

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/09/20/iowa-poll-all-four-iowas-congressional-races-up-grabs/5829937002/ Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register]

| September 14–17, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 658}}

| ± 7.8%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

| 41%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/06/14/iowa-poll-likely-voters-prefer-democrats-3-4-u-s-house-districts/3175725001/ Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register]

| June 7–10, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 674}}

| <= ± 7.7%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| 42%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Public Opinion Strategies (R)[http://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/IA-01-Memo-for-Release-002.pdf Public Opinion Strategies (R)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200320191414/http://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/IA-01-Memo-for-Release-002.pdf |date=March 20, 2020 }}{{efn-ua|name="NRCC"}}

| March 3–5, 2020

| 400 (LV)

| ± 4%

| 37%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|44%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register[https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/03/11/iowans-lean-toward-republicans-congress-election-2020-iowa-poll/4978477002/ Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register]

| March 2–5, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-01 subsample of statewide sample of 667}}

| –

| 46%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|49%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Harper Polling (R){{efn-ua|name="FLF"}}

| January 11–12, 2020

| 400 (LV)

| ± 4%

|43%{{efn|name="s4"}}

|{{party shading/Republican}}|44%

| –

| –

{{hidden end}}

==Results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Iowa's 1st congressional district, 2020{{cite web |title=General Election - 2020 Canvass Summary |url=https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2020/general/canvsummary.pdf |website=Iowa Secretary of State}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Ashley Hinson

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 212,088

| percentage = 51.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Abby Finkenauer (incumbent)

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 201,347

| percentage = 48.7

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 434

| percentage = 0.1

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 413,869

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box gain with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

| loser = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

District 2

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election

| country = Iowa

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 2

| previous_year = 2018

| election_date = {{Start date|2020}}

| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 1

| next_year = 2022

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Iowa State Senator, Mariannette Miller-Meeks (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Mariannette Miller-Meeks

| party1 = Republican Party (US)

| popular_vote1 = 196,964

| percentage1 = 49.91%

| image2 = File:Rita Hart (cropped).jpeg

| nominee2 = Rita Hart

| party2 = Democratic Party (US)

| popular_vote2 = 196,958

| percentage2 = 49.91%

| map_image = File:2020IA02.svg

| map_size = 200px

| map_caption = County results
Miller-Meeks: {{legend0|#ed8783|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02923|70–80%}}
Hart: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#678cd7|60–70%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Dave Loebsack

| before_party = Democratic Party (US)

| after_election = Mariannette Miller-Meeks

| after_party = Republican Party (US)

}}

{{see also|Iowa's 2nd congressional district}}

The 2nd district encompasses southeastern Iowa, and is home to the cities of Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Ottumwa, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The incumbent was Democrat Dave Loebsack, who was re-elected with 54.8% of the vote in 2018. On April 12, 2019, he announced that he would not seek re-election.{{cite news|last1=Murphy|first1=Dave|title=Iowa Congressman Dave Loebsack to retire in 2020|url=https://qctimes.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/iowa-congressman-dave-loebsack-to-retire-from-congress-in/article_e17ff9ef-980c-59be-b8f6-a57a73d517ad.html|newspaper=Quad-City Times|date=April 12, 2019|access-date=April 12, 2019}}

=Democratic primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Rita Hart, former state senator and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2018{{cite news|last1=Oren Smith|first1=Zachary|title=Rita Hart throws hat in race for U.S. Rep. Loebsack's seat|url=https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/05/14/rita-hart-throws-hat-race-us-rep-loebsack-iowa-2nd-congressional-district-seat/3664340002/|publisher=Iowa City Press-Citizen|date=May 14, 2019|access-date=July 26, 2019}}

===Withdrawn===

  • Newman Abuissa, engineer{{cite web |last1=Smith |first1=Zachary Oren |title=After quiet campaign, Abuissa suspends campaign for Loebsack's seat |url=https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2020/03/02/after-quiet-campaign-abuissa-suspends-campaign-loebsacks-seat/4932680002/ |website=Iowa City Press-Citizen |date=March 2, 2020}}

===Declined===

  • Ken Croken, member of the Scott County Board of Supervisors{{cite news|title=Scott County Supervisor Ken Croken bows out of congressional race, endorses Rita Hart|url=https://qctimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/scott-county-supervisor-ken-croken-bows-out-of-congressional-race/article_6b884b2b-4a97-51b6-86d0-6bab1da083f8.html|newspaper=Quad-City Times|date=June 7, 2019|access-date=June 7, 2019}}
  • Cathy Glasson, union leader, nurse, and candidate for Governor of Iowa in 2018{{cite news |last1=DiGiacomo |first1=Julia |title=Who's considering a 2020 run for Dave Loebsack's seat in Congress |url=https://dailyiowan.com/2019/04/22/whos-considering-a-2020-run-for-dave-loebsacks-seat-in-congress/ |access-date=April 22, 2019 |work=The Daily Iowan |date=April 22, 2019}}
  • Kevin Kinney, state senator{{cite news |last1=Lynch |first1=James Q. |title=Kinney decides against open seat race for Iowa's 2nd District U.S. House seat |url=https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/kevin-kinney-decides-against-open-seat-race-for-iowas-2nd-district-us-house-seat-20190501 |access-date=May 5, 2019 |work=The Gazette |date=May 1, 2019}}
  • Dave Loebsack, incumbent U.S. representative
  • Ian Russell, attorney{{cite web|last1=Belin|first1=Laura|title=IA-02 primary: Hart gaining strength, Croken considering, Russell's out|url=https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/05/23/ia-02-primary-hart-gaining-strength-croken-considering-russells-out/|publisher=Bleeding Heartland|date=May 23, 2019|access-date=May 23, 2019}}
  • Veronica Tessler, businesswoman{{cite news |last1=Watson |first1=Sarah |title=Iowa City business owner Veronica Tessler won't run for Congress |url=https://dailyiowan.com/2019/05/03/iowa-city-business-owner-veronica-tessler-wont-run-for-congress/ |access-date=May 3, 2019 |work=The Daily Iowan |date=May 3, 2019}} (endorsed Hart){{cite web |last1=Smith |first1=Zachary Oren |title=Former challenger Tessler endorses Rita Hart in 2nd Congressional race |url=https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/07/10/former-challenger-tessler-endorses-rita-hart-2nd-congressional-race/1698299001/ |website=Iowa City Press-Citizen |date=July 10, 2019}}
  • Zach Wahls, state senator{{Cite tweet|number=1131218979635257344|user=IAStartingLine|title=. @RitaHartIA rolls out endorsements for her #IA02 campaign from nearly every notable Democratic leader in the 2nd District|date=2019-05-22|access-date=2021-01-22}}{{Primary source inline|date=July 2020}}{{cite web |last1=Belin |first1=Laura |title=Why Rita Hart is favored to win the IA-02 Democratic primary |url=https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/05/14/why-rita-hart-is-favored-to-win-the-ia-02-democratic-primary/ |website=Bleeding Heartland |date=May 14, 2019 |quote=State Senator Zach Wahls has said he would not run for Congress if Hart does.}}

== Endorsements ==

{{Endorsements box

|title=Rita Hart

|list=

Former US Executive Branch officials

  • Barack Obama, former president of the United States (2009–2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)

Federal politicians

  • Cindy Axne, U.S. representative (IA-3)
  • Abby Finkenauer, U.S. representative (IA-1){{cite web |last1=Belin |first1=Laura |title=IA-02: Abby Finkenauer, Cindy Axne endorse Rita Hart |url=https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/06/11/ia-02-abby-finkenauer-cindy-axne-endorse-rita-hart/ |website=Bleeding Heartland |date=June 11, 2019}}
  • Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota{{Cite tweet|number=1263510204915867649|user=ec_schneider|title=Amy Klobuchar endorses her second round of House/Senate candidates through her Win Big Project:|author=Elena Schneider|date=2020-05-21|access-date=2021-01-22}}{{Primary source inline|date=July 2020}}
  • Dave Loebsack, U.S. representative (IA-2){{cite web |last1=Oren Smith |first1=Zachary |title=Rep. Dave Loebsack endorses Rita Hart to replace him 2nd District |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2019/05/29/house-election-2020-dave-loebsack-endorses-rita-hart-2nd-congressional-race/1282059001/ |website=The Des Moines Register |date=May 29, 2019}}

Statewide politicians

  • Patty Judge, former lieutenant governor of Iowa, former Iowa Secretary of Agriculture and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016
  • Rob Sand, Iowa State Auditor{{cite web |last1=Lynch |first1=James Q. |title=Iowa Auditor Rob Sand endorses Rita Hart for 2nd District race |url=https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/iowa-auditor-rob-sand-endorses-rita-hart-for-2nd-district-race-dave-loebsack-20190603 |website=The Gazette |date=June 3, 2019}}

State Senators

State representatives

Local politicians

  • Ken Croken, Scott County Supervisor{{cite web |title=Scott County Supervisor Ken Croken bows out of congressional race, endorses Rita Hart |url=https://wcfcourier.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/scott-county-supervisor-ken-croken-bows-out-of-congressional-race/article_7049232c-810a-5cac-9cbd-2f8584dbf9af.html |website=Waterloo Cedar Falls Courier |date=July 10, 2019}}
  • Cindy Drost, former Mahaska County Recorder
  • Bill Gluba, former mayor of Davenport
  • Thom Hart, former Mayor of Davenport
  • Nasseem Hesler, former mayor of Keosauqua
  • Rick Larkin, Lee County Supervisor
  • Rick Lincoln, Clinton County Sheriff
  • Janet Lyness, Johnson County Attorney
  • Megan Suhr, Knoxville City Councillor
  • Eric Van Lancker, Clinton County Auditor

Party officials

  • Sue Dvorsky, former chair of the Iowa Democratic Party{{cite web |title=Long List Of Prominent IA-02 Dems Endorse Rita Hart |url=https://iowastartingline.com/2019/05/22/long-list-of-prominent-ia-02-dems-endorse-rita-hart/ |website=Iowa Starting Line |date=May 22, 2019}}

Organizations

  • Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee{{cite web |last1=Mutnick |first1=Ally |title=DCCC adds 12 challengers to first round of 'Red to Blue' program |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/01/28/dccc-red-to-blue-program-107475 |website=Politico |date=January 28, 2020 |quote=Rita Hart (IA-02)}}
  • EMILY's List{{cite web |last1=Schriock |first1=Stephanie |title=EMILY's List Endorses Rita Hart in Iowa's 2nd District |url=https://emilyslist.org/news/entry/emilys-list-endorses-rita-hart-in-iowas-2nd-district |website=emilyslist.org |publisher=EMILY's List |date=June 24, 2019}}
  • End Citizens United{{cite web |last1=Muller |first1=Tiffany |title=End Citizens United Endorses Rita Hart For IA-02 |url=https://endcitizensunited.org/press-releases/end-citizens-united-endorses-rita-hart-ia-02/ |website=End Citizens United |date=September 19, 2019}}
  • Giffords PAC{{cite web |title=Giffords Endorses Slate of Women Running to Keep Gun Safety a Top Congressional Priority |url=https://giffords.org/press-release/2020/04/women-slate-endorsements/ |website=giffords.org |publisher=Giffords |access-date=30 May 2022 |date=30 April 2020}}
  • Human Rights Campaign{{cite web |last1=Riley |first1=John |title=Human Rights Campaign makes congressional endorsements ahead of November's election |url=https://www.metroweekly.com/2020/06/human-rights-campaign-makes-congressional-endorsements-ahead-of-novembers-election/ |website=www.metroweekly.com |publisher=Metro Weekly |access-date=30 May 2022 |date=9 June 2020}}
  • League of Conservation Voters Action Fund{{cite web |last1=Sittenfeld |first1=Tiernan |title=LCV Action Fund Endorses Rita Hart and J.D. Scholten for Congress|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-rita-hart-j-d-scholten-congress/ |website=League of Conservation Voters |publisher=LCV Action Fund |date=February 13, 2020}}
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America{{cite web |last1=Hogue |first1=Ilyse |title=NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Rita Hart for Congress |url=https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2019/11/14/naral-endorses-rita-hart-congress/ |website=NARAL Pro-Choice America |date=November 14, 2019}}

}}

==Results==

[[File:2020IA02Dprimary.svg|thumb|180px|2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:

{{collapsible list

|title=Map legend

|{{legend|#0b1728|Hart—100%}}

|{{legend|#162d50|Hart—≥90%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Rita Hart

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 67,039

| percentage = 99.6

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 271

| percentage = 0.4

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 67,310

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Republican primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Mariannette Miller-Meeks, state senator; nominee for this seat in 2008, 2010, and 2014{{cite web |last1=Smith |first1=Zachary Oren |title=Sen. Miller-Meeks enters race for Iowa's 2nd District |url=https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/politics/2019/10/01/miller-meeks-enters-race-loebsacks-seat-congress/3820495002/ |website=Iowa City Press-Citizen |date=October 1, 2019}}

===Defeated in primary===

  • Tim Borchardt, retail worker{{cite web |last1=Whitaker |first1=Winona |title=Borchardt runs for Congress as alternative to Miller-Meeks, Schilling |url=https://www.clintonherald.com/news/local_news/borchardt-runs-for-congress-as-alternative-to-miller-meeks-schilling/article_8375d548-78de-11ea-8b86-17d89b6e3f11.html |website=Clinton Herald |date=April 8, 2020}}
  • Steven Everly, electrician{{Cite web | url=https://www.journalexpress.net/news/local_news/knoxville-s-everly-announces-run-for-congress/article_7d0c356d-e5e8-56c5-8bf0-e47288970068.html | title=Knoxville's Everly announces run for Congress |publisher=Journal-Express | access-date=January 8, 2020 | archive-date=July 18, 2019 | archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190718021833/https://www.journalexpress.net/news/local_news/knoxville-s-everly-announces-run-for-congress/article_7d0c356d-e5e8-56c5-8bf0-e47288970068.html | url-status=dead }}
  • Rick Phillips, businessman{{cite web |title=Rick Phillips announces run for Iowa's 2nd U.S. House District |url=https://www.pellachronicle.com/news/local_news/rick-phillips-announces-run-for-iowa-s-nd-u-s/article_b6df360e-6d08-11ea-84f9-abaa666a9e92.html |website=The Chronicle |date=March 23, 2020 |access-date=March 24, 2020 |archive-date=March 24, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200324183431/https://www.pellachronicle.com/news/local_news/rick-phillips-announces-run-for-iowa-s-nd-u-s/article_b6df360e-6d08-11ea-84f9-abaa666a9e92.html |url-status=dead }}
  • Bobby Schilling, former U.S. representative from Illinois's 17th congressional district (2011–2013){{cite news |last1=Lukitsch |first1=Bill |title=Former U.S. Rep. Bobby Schilling announces run for Iowa's 2nd Congressional District |url=https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/former-illinois-rep-bobby-schilling-to-run-for-us-house-district-2-seat-in-iowa-20190708 |access-date=July 8, 2019 |work=The Gazette |date=July 8, 2019}}

===Withdrawn===

  • Thomas Kedley, mayor of Osceola{{cite web |last1=Smith |first1=Zachary |title=Republican Kedley pulls out of 2nd Congressional race |url=https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/06/22/republican-kedley-pulls-out-2nd-congressional-race/1537770001/ |publisher=Iowa City Press-Citizen |access-date=2 September 2024 |date=22 June 2019}}

===Declined===

  • Chris Cournoyer, state senator{{cite news|last1=Pathé|first1=Simone|last2=Bowman|first2=Bridget|title=Iowa's Dave Loebsack will not run for re-election in 2020|url=http://www.rollcall.com/news/campaigns/iowas-dave-loebsack-will-not-run-re-election-2020|publisher=Roll Call|date=April 12, 2019|access-date=April 12, 2019}}
  • Bob Gallagher, mayor of Bettendorf{{cite news |last1=Murphy |first1=Erin |last2=Lynch |first2=James |title=Loebsack's retirement leaves 2nd District race wide open |url=https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/representative-dave-loebsack-retirement-leaves-2nd-district-race-wide-open-20190412 |access-date=April 12, 2019 |work=The Gazette |date=April 12, 2019}}
  • Bobby Kaufmann, state representative{{cite news|last1=Lynch|first1=James Q.|title=Rep. Bobby Kaufmann won't seek U.S. House 2nd District seat|url=https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/rep-bobby-kaufmann-wont-seek-us-house-2nd-district-seat-dave-loebsack-20190520|newspaper=The Gazette|date=May 20, 2019|access-date=May 20, 2019}}
  • Barbara Kniff-McCulla, CEO of KLK Construction and member of the National Women's Business Council{{cite news|last1=Barrón-López|first1=Laura|title=House recruiting notebook: NC-09 Republicans pick their candidate|url=https://subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2019/05/house-recruiting-notebook-nc-09-republicans-pick-their-candidate-1487018|publisher=Politico Pro|date=May 31, 2019|access-date=May 31, 2019|quote=There's also talk of Barbara Kniff-McCulla, CEO of KLK construction, eyeing a run.}}
  • Mark Lofgren, state senator{{cite web|last1=Belin|first1=Laura|title=Why Dave Loebsack's retirement makes IA-02 a toss-up race|url=https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/04/13/why-dave-loebsacks-retirement-makes-ia-02-a-toss-up-race/|publisher=Bleeding Heartland|date=April 13, 2019|access-date=April 14, 2019}}
  • Chris Peters, surgeon and nominee for Iowa's 2nd congressional district in 2016 and 2018{{cite news |last1=Oren Smith |first1=Zachary |title=Republican Christopher Peters will not take third shot at Iowa's 2nd District seat |url=https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/05/16/christopher-peters-not-seek-fill-retiring-rep-dave-loebsacks-seat/3694503002/ |access-date=May 16, 2019 |publisher=Iowa City Press-Citizen |date=May 16, 2019}}
  • Brad Randolph, mayor of Fort Madison
  • Roby Smith, state senator

==Endorsements==

{{endorsements box

|title = Mariannette Miller-Meeks

|list =

Federal officials

  • Joni Ernst, U.S. senator from Iowa{{cite web |last1=Ambrose |first1=Graham |title=Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst endorses Mariannette Miller-Meeks in 2nd District congressional race |url=https://qctimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/iowa-sen-joni-ernst-endorses-mariannette-miller-meeks-in-2nd-district-congressional-race/article_e60ca5c5-09aa-5878-8aa1-8446df3d0587.html |publisher=Quad-City Times |access-date=3 September 2024 |archive-url=https://archive.today/20240529192138/https://qctimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/iowa-sen-joni-ernst-endorses-mariannette-miller-meeks-in-2nd-district-congressional-race/article_e60ca5c5-09aa-5878-8aa1-8446df3d0587.html |archive-date=29 May 2024 |date=18 February 2020 |url-status=live |url-access=subscription}}

Statewide politicians

  • Terry Branstad, former governor of Iowa{{cite web |last1=Lynch |first1=James Q |title=Branstads back Miller-Meeks for Congress |url=https://qctimes.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/branstads-back-miller-meeks-for-congress/article_bff46542-1107-5426-a176-3f8667e14f7e.html |website=Quad-City Times |date=October 7, 2019}}
  • Mike Naig, Iowa Secretary of Agriculture{{cite web |last1=Oren Smith |first1=Zachary |title=Iowa Ag. Secretary endorses Miller-Meeks |url=https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/12/05/miller-meeks-announces-endorsement-sec-ag-naig-iowa-congressional-district/2619161001/ |website=Iowa City Press-Citizen |date=December 5, 2019}}
  • Kim Reynolds, Governor of Iowa{{cite web |last1=Oren Smith |first1=Zachary |title=Gov. Reynolds endorses Miller-Meeks in Iowa's 2nd District |url=https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2019/11/07/gov-reynolds-endorses-miller-meeks-2nd-district/2519736001/ |website=Iowa City Press-Citizen |date=November 8, 2019}}

Organizations

}}

{{endorsements box

|title = Bobby Schilling

|list =

Federal politicians

  • Jim Jordan, U.S. representative{{cite web |last1=Hart |first1=Shane |title=Jim Jordan Endorses Bobby Schilling in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District Race |url=https://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2020/04/jim-jordan-endorses-bobby-schilling-in-iowas-2nd-congressional-district-race/ |publisher=Caffeinated Thoughts |access-date=2 September 2024 |date=27 April 2020}}

}}

==Results==

[[File:2020IA02GOPprimary.svg|thumb|180px|2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district Republican primary results by county:

{{collapsible list

|title=Map legend

|{{legend|#a02c2c|Miller-Meeks—70–80%}}

|{{legend|#c83737|Miller-Meeks—60–70%}}

|{{legend|#d35f5f|Miller-Meeks—50–60%}}

|{{legend|#de8787|Miller-Meeks—40–50%}}

|{{legend|#e9afaf|Miller-Meeks—30–40%}}

|{{legend|#87de87|Schilling—40–50%}}

|{{legend|#8dd35f|Schilling—50–60%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Mariannette Miller-Meeks

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 23,052

| percentage = 47.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Bobby Schilling

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 17,582

| percentage = 36.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Steven Everly

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 2,806

| percentage = 5.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Rick Phillips

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 2,444

| percentage = 5.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Tim Borchardt

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 2,370

| percentage = 4.9

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 161

| percentage = 0.3

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 48,415

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=General election=

==Debate==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2020 Iowa's 2nd congressional district debate

scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}}

! scope="col" | Date

! scope="col" | Host

! scope="col" | Moderator

! scope="col" | Link

! scope="col"| Democratic

! scope="col"| Republican

colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key:
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant  {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent  {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited  {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"|

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"|

scope="col" | Rita Hart

! scope="col" | Mariannette Miller-Meeks

1

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Oct. 8, 2020

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | The Gazette
KCRG-TV
KYOU-TV

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Chris Earl
James Lynch

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.c-span.org/video/?476812-1/iowa-2nd-congressional-district-debate C-SPAN]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|November 2, 2020

align=left | Inside Elections

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|October 28, 2020

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|November 2, 2020

align="left" |Politico

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|September 8, 2020

align="left" |Daily Kos

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

| September 25, 2020

align="left" |RCP

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|October 13, 2020

align="left" |Niskanen

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|July 26, 2020

align="left" |The Economist

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|D}}

|October 2, 2020

==Polling==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px"| Rita
Hart (D)

! style="width:100px"| Mariannette
Miller-Meeks (R)

! Other/
Undecided

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University

|rowspan=3 |October 15–20, 2020

|355 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 5.2%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|43%

|8%{{efn|name="onu16"|"Other" and "No one" with 1%; Undecided with 6%}}

355 (LV){{efn|name="High"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|51%

|42%

| –

355 (LV){{efn|name="Low"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|54%

|41%

| –

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University

|rowspan=3 |July 25 – August 3, 2020

|374 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 5.1%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

|44%

|9%{{efn|name="on1u8"}}

374 (LV){{efn|name="High"}}

|44%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|8%{{efn|name="on1u7"}}

374 (LV){{efn|name="Low"}}

|45%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|7%{{efn|"Other/none" with 1%; Undecided with 6%}}

style="text-align:left;"|Harper Polling (R)[https://www.congressionalleadershipfund.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/Harper-Polling-IA-02-July-Survey.pdf Harper Polling (R)]{{efn-ua|name="CLF"|Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.}}

| July 26–28, 2020

| 406 (LV)

| ± 4.9%

| 41%

| 41%

| 16%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Democrat

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Republican

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register

|October 26–29, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|name=not}}

|± 6.9%

|40%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|41%

|11%{{efn|"Refused" with 5%; "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 2%}}

|8%{{efn|name="nomemory"}}

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register

| September 14–17, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 658}}

| ± 8.7%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

| 46%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register

| June 7–10, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 674}}

| <= ± 7.7%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

| 35%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register

| March 2–5, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-02 subsample of statewide sample of 667}}

| –

| 41%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|49%

| –

| –

{{hidden end}}

==Results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Iowa's 2nd congressional district, 2020

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Mariannette Miller-Meeks

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 196,964

| percentage = 49.912

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Rita Hart

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 196,958

| percentage = 49.910

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 703

| percentage = 0.178

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 394,625

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box gain with party link no swing

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

| loser = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks was state-certified as the winner over Democrat Rita Hart on November 30 by an extremely narrow margin of 6 votes.{{Cite web |last=Payne |first=Kate |date=2020-11-30|title=State Certifies Miller-Meeks As Winner In Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, But A Legal Challenge May Follow|url=https://www.iowapublicradio.org/ipr-news/2020-11-30/state-certifies-miller-meeks-as-winner-in-iowas-2nd-congressional-district-but-a-legal-challenge-may-follow|access-date=2020-12-15|website=Iowa Public Radio}} On December 2, Hart announced that she would contest the election with the House Administration Committee under the 1969 Federal Contested Elections Act.{{cite web|last=Ferris|first=Sarah|title=Iowa Democrat will challenge election results with House|date=December 2, 2020 |url=https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/02/rita-hart-iowa-challenge-election-results-442224|publisher=Politico|access-date=December 2, 2020}} On December 30, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced Miller-Meeks would be seated provisionally on January 3, 2021, with the rest of the incoming new Congress members.{{Cite web|date=2020-12-30|title=Pelosi says Iowa Republican in contested race will be seated|url=https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-iowa-mariannette-miller-meeks-elections-iowa-city-942cd6e80ec6f269193ff5d47f09bee1|access-date=2020-12-31|website=Associated Press}} Republicans sharply criticized Pelosi's decision to review the race in the House Administration Committee, calling it an attempt to steal the election. It was also criticized by moderate Democrats, who argued it was hypocritical to overturn a certified state election after criticizing attempts to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election.{{cite web |last1=Grayer |first1=Annie |title=House Democrats face backlash on both sides for investigating Iowa House race won by a Republican - CNN Politics |url=https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/22/politics/iowa-house-race-democrats-backlash/index.html |website=CNN |access-date=March 26, 2021 |language=en |date=22 March 2021}} Hart withdrew her challenge on March 31, 2021.{{cite web |last1=Axelrod |first1=Tal |title=Democrat Rita Hart withdraws challenge in Iowa House race |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/545829-rita-hart-withdraws-challenge-in-contested-iowa-house-race |website=The Hill |access-date=March 31, 2021 |language=en |date=31 March 2021}} This was the closest House race in 2020 and one of the closest House races in a century.

District 3

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election

| country = Iowa

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 3

| previous_year = 2018

| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 3

| next_year = 2022

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Cindy Axne, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Cindy Axne

| party1 = Democratic Party (US)

| popular_vote1 = 219,205

| percentage1 = 48.9%

| image2 = File:David Young official congressional photo (cropped).jpg

| nominee2 = David Young

| party2 = Republican Party (US)

| popular_vote2 = 212,997

| percentage2 = 47.6%

| map_image = File:2020IA03.svg

| map_size = 200px

| map_caption = County results
Axne: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}}
Young: {{legend0|#ed8783|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02923|70–80%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Cindy Axne

| before_party = Democratic Party (US)

| after_election = Cindy Axne

| after_party = Democratic Party (US)

}}

{{see also|Iowa's 3rd congressional district}}

The 3rd district encompasses southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The incumbent was Democrat Cindy Axne, who flipped the district and was elected with 49.3% of the vote in 2018.

=Democratic primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

==Results==

[[File:2020IA-03Dprimary.svg|thumb|180px|2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Democratic primary results by county:

{{collapsible list

|title=Map legend

|{{legend|#0b1728|Axne—100%}}

|{{legend|#162d50|Axne—≥90%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Cindy Axne (incumbent)

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 76,681

| percentage = 99.2

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 623

| percentage = 0.8

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 77,304

| percentage= 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Republican primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • David Young, former U.S. representative{{cite news|last1=Pfannenstiel|first1=Brianne|title=Former Congressman David Young will run to reclaim his seat in Iowa's 3rd District|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2019/05/06/david-young-run-2020-congress-3rd-district-iowa-cindy-axne-challenge/1123122001/|newspaper=The Des Moines Register|date=May 6, 2019|access-date=May 6, 2019}}

===Defeated in primary===

  • Bill Schafer, U.S. Army veteran{{cite news|last1=Rodriguez|first1=Barbara|title=Republican Bill Schafer will seek Iowa's 3rd Congressional District seat|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2019/05/13/iowa-third-congressional-district-republican-veteran-bill-schafer-democrat-cindy-axne-david-young/1189478001/|newspaper=The Des Moines Register|date=May 13, 2019|access-date=May 14, 2019}}

===Declined===

  • Jon Jacobsen, state representative{{cite news|last1=Belin|first1=Laura|title=Where things stand in Iowa's Senate, Congressional races|url=https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/09/01/where-things-stand-in-iowas-senate-congressional-races/|publisher=Bleeding Heartland|date=September 1, 2019|access-date=September 5, 2019}}
  • Zach Nunn, state senator{{cite news|title=State Sen. Zach Nunn won't run for Congress|url=https://www.weareiowa.com/news/local-news/state-sen-zach-nunn-wont-run-for-congress/|publisher=WeAreIowa|date=July 16, 2019|access-date=July 18, 2019|archive-date=July 18, 2019|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190718192855/https://www.weareiowa.com/news/local-news/state-sen-zach-nunn-wont-run-for-congress/|url-status=dead}}
  • Brad Zaun, state senator{{cite news|last1=Mutnick|first1=Ally|title=Brad Zaun Rules Out Axne Challenge|url=https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/676323/brad-zaun-rules-out-axne-challenge|work=National Journal|date=January 31, 2019|access-date=February 15, 2019}}

==Results==

[[File:2020IA03GOPprimary.svg|thumb|180px|2020 Iowa's 3rd congressional district Republican primary results by county:

{{collapsible list

|title=Map legend

|{{legend|#a02c2c|Young—70–80%}}

|{{legend|#c83737|Young—60–70%}}

|{{legend|#d35f5f|Young—50–60%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = David Young

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 39,103

| percentage = 69.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Bill Schafer

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 16,904

| percentage = 30.1

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 227

| percentage = 0.4

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 56,234

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Third parties=

==Candidates==

  • Bryan Jack Holder (Libertarian){{cite web |last1=Rodriguez |first1=Barbara |title=Libertarian congressional candidate Bryan Jack Holder says it's 'good to be at the adults' table' |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2018/08/15/iowa-state-fair-2018-soapbox-politics-dates-bryan-jack-holder-fairgrounds-libertarian-axne-young/928088002/ |website=The Des Moines Register |date=August 15, 2019}}

=General election=

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|November 2, 2020

align=left | Inside Elections

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|October 28, 2020

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|November 2, 2020

align="left" |Politico

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|November 2, 2020

align="left" |Daily Kos

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|October 15, 2020

align="left" |RCP

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|October 13, 2020

align="left" |Niskanen

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|July 26, 2020

align="left" |The Economist

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|D}}

|October 2, 2020

==Polling==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Cindy
Axne (D)

! style="width:105px"| David
Young (R)

! style="width:105px"| Bryan
Holder (L)

! Other/
Undecided

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University

|rowspan=3 |October 15–20, 2020

|426 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 4.8%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

|43%

| –

|2%{{efn|"Other" with 0%; Undecided with 2%}}

426 (LV){{efn|name="High"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

|42%

| –

| –

426 (LV){{efn|name="Low"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|55%

|41%

| –

| –

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University

|rowspan=3 |July 25 – August 3, 2020

|507 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 4.4%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

|42%

|2%

|8%{{efn|name="onu16"}}

507 (LV){{efn|name="High"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|50%

|42%

| –

|8%{{efn|"Holder (L)/Other" with 3%; Undecided with 5%}}

507 (LV){{efn|name="Low"}}

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

|41%

| –

|7%{{efn|"Holder (L)/Other" with 2%; Undecided with 5%}}

style="text-align:left;"|The Tarrance Group (R)[https://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/IA-03-0720-polling-memo.pdf The Tarrance Group (R)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200721154023/https://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/IA-03-0720-polling-memo.pdf |date=July 21, 2020 }}{{efn-ua|name="NRCC"}}

| July 7–9, 2020

| 400 (LV)

| ± 4.9%

| 43%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|44%

| 6%

| 7%{{efn|Undecided with 7%}}

style="text-align:left;"|The Tarrance Group (R)[https://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/IA-03-0720-polling-memo.pdf The Tarrance Group (R)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200721154023/https://www.nrcc.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/IA-03-0720-polling-memo.pdf |date=July 21, 2020 }}{{efn-ua|name="NRCC"}}

| March 10–12, 2020

| 400 (LV)

| ± 4.9%

| 48%

| 48%

| –

| 5%{{efn|Undecided with 5%}}

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Democrat

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Republican

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register

|October 26–29, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|name=not}}

|± 6.6%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|45%

|39%

|8%{{efn|"Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 1%}}

|9%{{efn|name="nomemory"}}

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register

| September 14–17, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 658}}

| ± 7.7%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

| 42%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register

| June 7–10, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 674}}

| <= ± 7.7%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|52%

| 36%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register

| March 2–5, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-03 subsample of statewide sample of 667}}

| –

| 42%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|43%

| –

| –

{{hidden end}}

==Results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Iowa's 3rd congressional district, 2020

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Cindy Axne (incumbent)

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 219,205

| percentage = 48.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = David Young

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 212,997

| percentage = 47.6

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Bryan Jack Holder

| party = Libertarian Party (United States)

| votes = 15,361

| percentage = 3.4

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 384

| percentage = 0.1

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 447,947

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

District 4

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district election

| country = Iowa

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 4

| previous_year = 2018

| next_election = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 4

| next_year = 2022

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Randy Feenstra, official portrait, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Randy Feenstra

| party1 = Republican Party (US)

| popular_vote1 = 237,369

| percentage1 = 62.0%

| image2 = File:J. D. Scholten (2019).jpg

| nominee2 = J. D. Scholten

| party2 = Democratic Party (US)

| popular_vote2 = 144,761

| percentage2 = 37.8%

| map_image = File:2020IA04.svg

| map_size = 200px

| map_caption = County results
Feenstra: {{legend0|#ed8783|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55651|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02923|70–80%}} {{legend0|#b00600|80–90%}}
Scholten: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Steve King

| before_party = Republican Party (US)

| after_election = Randy Feenstra

| after_party = Republican Party (US)

}}

{{see also|Iowa's 4th congressional district}}

The 4th district is based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The incumbent was Republican Steve King, who had been re-elected with 50.3% of the vote in 2018.

=Republican primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Randy Feenstra, state senator{{cite news|last1=Hayworth|first1=Bret|title=Update: Steve King responds to challenge by fellow Republican Randy Feenstra|url=https://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/randy-feenstra-to-challenge-fellow-republican-steve-king-in-iowa/article_5e317bca-0624-5439-a0c6-1e3e0813d83a.html|newspaper=Sioux City Journal|date=January 9, 2019|access-date=February 15, 2019}}

===Defeated in primary===

  • Steve King, incumbent U.S. representative{{cite news|last1=Leys|first1=Tony|title=Steve King: 'I have nothing to apologize for,' plans to run for re-election|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2019/02/21/steve-king-run-2020-sorry-apologize-racism-iowa-representative-rep-election-confederate-defiant/2941915002/|newspaper=The Des Moines Register|date=February 21, 2019|access-date=February 21, 2019}}
  • Steve Reeder, businessman{{Cite web|url=https://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/arnolds-park-businessman-becomes-fourth-republican-in-race-to-oust/article_8ec55a6d-685a-5c73-aa73-68e8640779ee.html|title=Arnolds Park businessman becomes fourth Republican in race to oust Steve King|last=Hayworth|first=Bret|website=Sioux City Journal|date=September 26, 2019 |access-date=September 26, 2019}}
  • Bret Richards, U.S. Army veteran and former businessman{{cite news|last1=Obradovich|first1=Kathie|title=Steve King's second GOP challenger: 'I know I won't embarrass the state'|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/columnists/kathie-obradovich/2019/01/10/steve-king-gop-primary-challenger-i-wont-embarrass-iowa-white-supremacy-racism-immigration-2020/2535478002/|newspaper=The Des Moines Register|date=January 10, 2019|access-date=February 15, 2019}}
  • Jeremy Taylor, Woodbury County supervisor and former state representative{{cite news|last1=Gruber-Miller|first1=Stephen|title=Iowa U.S. Rep. Steve King now has three Republican challengers for 2020|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2019/01/24/iowa-steve-king-challenge-primary-election-white-supremacy-nationalism-jeremy-taylor-district-4th/2667001002/|newspaper=The Des Moines Register|date=January 24, 2019|access-date=February 15, 2019}}

===Declined===

  • Rick Bertrand, state senator and candidate for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2016{{cite news|last1=Weigel|first1=David|title=The Trailer: The message of Julián Castro's visit to Puerto Rico|url=https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/paloma/the-trailer/2019/01/15/the-trailer-the-message-of-julian-castro-s-visit-to-puerto-rico/5c3e00681b326b66fc5a1c53/|newspaper=The Washington Post|date=January 15, 2019|access-date=February 15, 2019}}
  • Cyndi Hanson, candidate for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018{{cite news |last1=Hayworth |first1=Bret |title=Jeremy Taylor of Sioux City enters GOP primary to unseat Iowa's Steve King |url=https://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/jeremy-taylor-of-sioux-city-enters-gop-primary-to-unseat/article_f5f25f13-0f9a-503c-b828-f030648c00ad.html |access-date=April 13, 2019 |work=Sioux City Journal |date=January 24, 2019}}
  • Chris McGowan, president of the Siouxland Chamber of Commerce{{cite news|last1=Mutnick|first1=Ally|title=GOP Efforts to Oust Steve King Gain Steam|url=https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/676344/gop-efforts-to-oust-steve-king-gain-steam|work=National Journal|date=January 31, 2019|access-date=February 15, 2019}}
  • Rick Sanders, Story County supervisor{{cite news|last1=Belin|first1=Laura|title=IA-04: Randy Feenstra to challenge Steve King; Rick Sanders thinking about it|url=https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/01/09/ia-04-randy-feenstra-to-challenge-steve-king-rick-sanders-thinking-about-it-2/|publisher=Bleeding Heartland|date=January 9, 2019|access-date=February 15, 2019}}
  • Linda Upmeyer, Speaker of the Iowa House of Representatives{{Cite web|url=https://www.radioiowa.com/2019/09/30/upmeyer-stepping-down-as-speaker-of-iowa-house/|title=Upmeyer stepping down as speaker of Iowa House|date=September 3, 2019|website=Radio Iowa|access-date=September 30, 2019}}

== Endorsements ==

{{Endorsements box

|title=Randy Feenstra

|list=

State senators

  • Annette Sweeney, state senator, District 25{{cite news |last=Belin |first=Laura |title=IA-04: Randy Feenstra going all in on beating Steve King (updated) |url=https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2019/06/12/ia-04-randy-feenstra-going-all-in-on-beating-steve-king/ |website=Bleeding Heartland |date=June 12, 2019 |access-date=September 7, 2019}}

State representatives

  • Dan Huseman, state representative, District 3
  • Megan Jones, state representative, District 2
  • Tim Kraayenbrink, state representative, District 5{{cite news |last=Vander Hart |first=Shane |title=Kraayenbrink Endorses Feenstra in Iowa's 4th Congressional District Race |url=https://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2019/09/kraayenbrink-endorses-feenstra-in-iowas-4th-congressional-district-race/ |website=Caffeinated Thoughts |date=September 5, 2019 |access-date=September 7, 2019}}

Individuals

  • Ben Shapiro, conservative commentator and host of The Daily Wire{{cite news |last1=Wise |first1=Justin |title=Ben Shapiro urges Congress to censure Steve King after he questions why term 'white supremacist' is offensive |url=https://thehill.com/homenews/house/424731-ben-shapiro-urges-congress-censure-steve-king-after-he-questions-why-term/ |access-date=October 27, 2023 |work=The Hill |publisher=Nexstar Media Group |date=January 10, 2019}}
  • Bob Vander Plaats, president and CEO of The Family Leader, candidate for Governor of Iowa in 2002, 2006 and 2010 and nominee for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2006{{cite news |last=Opsahl |first=Robin |title=Family Leader president endorses Steve King challenger in 4th District Republican primary |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2019/07/18/steve-king-4th-district-primary-gop-republican-randy-feenstra-the-family-leader-bob-vander-plaats/1770105001/ |newspaper=The Des Moines Register |date=July 18, 2019 |access-date=September 7, 2019}}

Organizations

  • Republican Jewish Coalition{{cite news|url=https://www.algemeiner.com/2020/05/08/republican-jewish-coalition-endorses-rep-steve-kings-primary-opponent/|title=Republican Jewish Coalition Endorses Rep. Steve King's Primary Opponent |publisher=Algemeiner Journal|date=May 8, 2020|access-date=May 10, 2020}}
  • Republican Main Street Partnership PAC{{Cite web |url=http://mainstreetpac.com/republican-main-street-partnership-pac-announces-endorsement-of-seven-congressional-candidates-in-key-suburban-districts-2 |title=Archived copy |access-date=June 2, 2020 |archive-date=May 14, 2020 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20200514081235/http://mainstreetpac.com/republican-main-street-partnership-pac-announces-endorsement-of-seven-congressional-candidates-in-key-suburban-districts-2/ |url-status=dead }}
  • U.S. Chamber of Commerce{{cite news|last=Gruber-Miller|first=Stephen|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2020/05/05/steve-king-randy-feenstra-republican-primary-us-chamber-of-commerce-endorsement/3078584001/|title=U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorses challenger Randy Feenstra over Rep. Steve King in primary race|newspaper=The Des Moines Register|date=May 5, 2020|access-date=May 10, 2020}}

Newspapers

  • Sioux City Journal{{Cite web|url=https://siouxcityjournal.com/opinion/editorial/our-opinion-feenstra-represents-best-choice-for-republicans-in-4th-district-u-s-house-primary/article_e89b30a3-289b-5911-b77f-ebff6a685691.html|title=OUR OPINION: Feenstra represents best choice for Republicans in 4th District U.S. House primary|first=Journal editorial|last=board|website=Sioux City Journal|date=May 31, 2020 }}

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title=Steve King

|list=

State representatives

  • Ralph Klemme, former state representative (District 3){{cite web|url=https://www.siouxlandproud.com/news/local-news/congressman-steve-king-receives-campaign-endorsement-from-former-rep-klemme/|title=Congressman Steve King receives campaign endorsement from former Rep. Klemme|publisher=KCAU|date=February 22, 2020|access-date=May 10, 2020}}

Individuals

  • Sam Clovis, national co-chair of Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, candidate for State Treasurer of Iowa in 2014{{Cite web|url=https://caffeinatedthoughts.com/2020/05/sam-clovis-endorses-steve-king/|title=Sam Clovis Endorses Steve King | Caffeinated Thoughts|date=May 29, 2020 }}

}}

==Polling==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:50px;"| Steve
King

! style="width:50px;"| Randy
Feenstra

! style="width:50px;"| Steve
Reeder

! style="width:50px;"| Jeremy
Taylor

! Other

! Undecided

rowspan=2 style="text-align:left;"|Public Opinion Strategies (R)[https://twitter.com/robertblizzard/status/1263050383884197889 Public Opinion Strategies (R)]{{efn-ua|American Future Fund is a PAC supporting Randy Feenstra}}

|rowspan=2 |May 16–18, 2020

|rowspan=2 |400 (V)

|rowspan=2 |± 4.9%

|39%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|41%

|1%

|4%

|3%{{efn-ua|Richards with 3%}}

| –

41%{{efn|If only King and Feenstra were candidates}}

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

| –

| –

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|American Viewpoint[https://drive.google.com/file/d/12lTkIrwJXXkZko4R0aPdnzpNcy_dttZW/view American Viewpoint]{{efn-ua|name=Feenstra|Poll sponsored by Feenstra's campaign}}

|May 7–8, 2020

|350 (LV)

|± 5.2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|39%

|36%

| –

| –

|9%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 9%}}

|10%

style="text-align:left;"|American Viewpoint[https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000171-c3ae-d9e7-a3f1-cbffde2f0000 American Viewpoint]{{efn-ua|name=Feenstra}}

|April 27–29, 2020

|400 (LV)

|± 4.9%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|41%

|34%

| –

| –

|8%{{efn|"Another candidate" with 8%}}

|15%

style="text-align:left;"|American Viewpoint{{efn-ua|name=Feenstra}}

|January 27–29, 2020

| – (V){{efn|name=not}}

| –

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|22%

| –

| –

| –

| –{{efn|name=not}}

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|G1 Survey Research[https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5a95c6f4f2e6b174b5780c4e/t/5d9b81dd265a9f6db3c94050/1570472414702/King+Primary+Poll.pdf G1 Survey Research][https://twitter.com/SteveKingIA/status/1181292497651171328]

| rowspan=3 |October 1–3, 2019

| rowspan=3 |400 (LV)

| rowspan=3 |± 4.89%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|59%

| 15%

| 6%

| 0%

| 2%{{efn|Bret Richards with 2%}}

| 17%

{{party shading/Republican}}|64%{{efn|name="hadto"|If respondents had to choose between the two candidates for which percentages are listed}}

|24%

| –

| –

| –

|12%{{efn|"Undecided/don't know/refused" with 12%}}

{{party shading/Republican}}|64%{{efn|name="hadto"}}

| –

| –

|19%

| –

|17%{{efn|"Undecided/don't know/refused" with 17%}}

==Results==

[[File:2020IA04GOP.svg|thumb|180px|2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district Republican primary results by county:

{{collapsible list

|title=Map legend

|{{legend|#782121|Feenstra—80–90%}}

|{{legend|#c83737|Feenstra—60–70%}}

|{{legend|#d35f5f|Feenstra—50–60%}}

|{{legend|#de8787|Feenstra—40–50%}}

|{{legend|#e9afaf|Feenstra—30–40%}}

|{{legend|#afe9af|King—30–40%}}

|{{legend|#87de87|King—40–50%}}

|{{legend|#5fd35f|King—50–60%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Randy Feenstra

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 37,329

| percentage = 45.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Steve King (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 29,366

| percentage = 35.9

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Jeremy Taylor

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 6,418

| percentage = 7.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Bret Richards

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 6,140

| percentage = 7.5

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Steve Reeder

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 2,528

| percentage = 3.1

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 176

| percentage = 0.2

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 81,957

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Democratic primary=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • J. D. Scholten, former paralegal, former professional baseball player, and nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2018{{cite news |last1=Judd |first1=Donald |title=Iowa native JD Scholten announces second bid to unseat GOP Rep. Steve King |url=https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/05/politics/jd-scholten-challenges-steve-king/index.html |publisher=CNN |date=August 5, 2019 |access-date=August 5, 2019}}

== Endorsements ==

{{Endorsements box

|title=J.D. Scholten

|list=

Organizations

}}

==Results==

[[File:2020IA04Democratic.svg|thumb|180px|2020 Iowa's 4th congressional district Democratic primary results by county:

{{collapsible list

|title=Map legend

|{{legend|#0b1728|Scholten—100%}}

|{{legend|#162d50|Scholten—≥90%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = J. D. Scholten

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 46,370

| percentage = 99.6

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 166

| percentage = 0.4

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 46,536

| percentage= 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=General election=

==Predictions==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 2, 2020

align=left | Inside Elections

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|October 16, 2020

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

| October 15, 2020

align="left" |Politico{{Cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2020-election/race-forecasts-and-predictions/house/ |title=2020 Election Forecast|date=July 6, 2020 |work=Politico}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|November 2, 2020

align="left" |Daily Kos

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

| October 15, 2020

align="left" |RCP

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

|October 13, 2020

align="left" |Niskanen

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|July 26, 2020

align="left" |The Economist

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|October 2, 2020

==Polling==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Randy
Feenstra (R)

! style="width:105px"| J.D.
Scholten (D)

! Other/
Undecided

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University

|rowspan=3 |October 15–20, 2020

|414 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 4.8%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|42%

|10%{{efn|"Other" and "No one" with 2%; Undecided with 6%}}

414 (LV){{efn|name="High"}}

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|43%

| –

414 (LV){{efn|name="Low"}}

|{{party shading/Republican}}|47%

|44%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D)[https://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/scholten-poll-shows-him-trailing-feenstra-by-5-points-in-iowa-4th-district/article_1677efa1-1fb6-55d0-9b80-ceb17e6f5729.html Change Research (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Scholten's campaign.}}

|October 13–15, 2020

|603 (LV)

|± 4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|50%

|45%

| –

style="text-align:left;"|American Viewpoint (R)[https://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/feenstra-internal-poll-shows-23-point-lead-over-scholten-in-iowa-4th-race/article_0ba1571a-28bc-5dbf-8046-53290ae3b321.html American Viewpoint (R)]{{efn-ua|name=Feenstra}}

|October 6–8, 2020

|400 (LV)

|± 5.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|54%

|31%

|11%{{efn|Undecided with 11%}}

rowspan=3 style="text-align:left;"|Monmouth University

|rowspan=3 |July 25 – August 3, 2020

|374 (RV)

|rowspan=3 |± 5.1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|54%

|34%

|12%{{efn|"Other/none" with 4%; Undecided with 8%}}

374 (LV){{efn|name="High"}}

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55%

|34%

|10%{{efn|name="on3u7"|"Other/none" with 3%; Undecided with 7%}}

374 (LV){{efn|name="Low"}}

|{{party shading/Republican}}|56%

|33%

|10%{{efn|name="on3u7"}}

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

with Steve King and J.D. Scholten

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key|Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Steve
King (R)

! style="width:100px;"| J.D.
Scholten (D)

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|20 Insight (D)[https://iowastartingline.com/2019/01/18/ia-04-poll-steve-kings-support-sinking-back-home-dem-leads-matchup/ 20/20 Insight (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Majority Rules PAC|name="MRPAC"}}

| January 16–17, 2019

| 472 (LV)

| ± 4.5%

| 39%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 44%

| 17%

with Steve King and Generic Democrat

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Steve
King (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Democrat

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|20/20 Insight (D){{efn-ua|name="MRPAC"}}

| January 16–17, 2019

| 472 (LV)

| ± 4.5%

| 37%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}| 45%

| 18%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name=key}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Republican

! style="width:105px"| Generic
Democrat

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co./Des Moines Register

|October 26–29, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|name=not}}

|± 6.9%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|50%

|33%

|10%{{efn|"Refused" with 4%; "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%}}

|8%{{efn|name="nomemory"}}

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register

| September 14–17, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 658}}

| ± 7.5%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|49%

| 44%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register

| June 7–10, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 674}}

| <= ± 7.7%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|57%

| 35%

| –

| –

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer and Co./Des Moines Register

| March 2–5, 2020

| – (LV){{efn|Not yet released; IA-04 subsample of statewide sample of 667}}

| –

| {{party shading/Republican}}|51%

| 40%

| –

| –

{{hidden end}}

==Results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Iowa's 4th congressional district, 2020

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Randy Feenstra

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 237,369

| percentage = 62.0

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = J. D. Scholten

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 144,761

| percentage = 37.8

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 892

| percentage = 0.2

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 383,022

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

See also

Notes

{{notelist}}

Partisan clients

{{notelist-ua}}

References

{{reflist}}