2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

{{Short description|none}}

{{for|related races|2022 United States gubernatorial elections}}

{{Use American English|date=January 2019}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=January 2019}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

| country = New Hampshire

| type = presidential

| previous_election = 2020 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

| previous_year = 2020

| next_election = 2024 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

| next_year = 2024

| election_date = November 8, 2022

| image1 = File:Chris Sununu 2022.jpg

| image_size = 150x150px

| nominee1 = Chris Sununu

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 352,982

| percentage1 = 56.98%

| image2 = 3x4.svg

| nominee2 = Tom Sherman

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 256,774

| percentage2 = 41.47%

| map = {{switcher

|x240px

|County results

|x240px

|Municipality results

|x240px

|Congressional district results

|x240px

|Precinct results}}

| map_caption = Sununu: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#D75D5D|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#a80000|>90%}}
Sherman: {{legend0|#a5b0ff|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996E2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674DE|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584CDE|70–80%}} {{legend0|#0d056c|>90%}}

| title = Governor

| before_election = Chris Sununu

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Chris Sununu

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

| turnout = 67.63% {{decrease}}

}}

{{Elections in New Hampshire sidebar}}

The 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu won election to a fourth term, defeating Democratic nominee Tom Sherman.

Sununu had "expressed interest" in running for the U.S. Senate in 2022 against incumbent Democrat (and former governor) Maggie Hassan. However, on November 9, 2021, he announced that he would instead run for a fourth term as governor.{{Cite web|date=2021-11-09|title=New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu Not Running For US Senate, Will Seek 4th Term As Governor|url=https://boston.cbslocal.com/2021/11/09/chris-sununu-senate-new-hampshire-governor-2022-running-hassan/|url-status=live|access-date=2021-11-09|website=CBS Boston|language=en-US|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211109144422/https://boston.cbslocal.com/2021/11/09/chris-sununu-senate-new-hampshire-governor-2022-running-hassan/ |archive-date=November 9, 2021 }} Sununu became the first Republican to win a fourth term as governor, also tying John Lynch's modern record of four terms overall.

Republican primary

=Candidates=

==Nominee==

==Eliminated in primary==

  • Julian Acciard, security specialist, Iraq War veteran, and former candidate for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional district in 2022{{cite web |url=https://nhjournal.com/acciard-leaves-nh-01-race-to-challenge-sununu-in-primary/|work=NH Journal|title=Acciard Leaves NH-01 Race to Challenge Sununu in Primary|date=May 5, 2022 |access-date=May 21, 2022}}
  • Jay Lewis, Laconia resident{{Cite web|url=https://www.sos.nh.gov/welcome|title=Welcome|website=New Hampshire Secretary of State}}
  • Richard McMenamon II{{Cite web |title=2022 Republican Cumulative Filings |url=https://www.sos.nh.gov/2022-republican-cumulative-filings |access-date=2022-07-07 |website=New Hampshire Secretary of State |language=en}}
  • Thad Riley, entrepreneur, former Brentwood school board member and community advocate{{Cite news|last=Bailey|first=Kathleen D.|date=November 3, 2021|title=Ex-Brentwood School Board member runs for NH governor, criticizes Sununu, vaccine mandates|work=The Portsmouth Herald|publisher=Gannett|url=https://www.seacoastonline.com/story/news/politics/2021/11/03/ex-brentwood-nh-school-board-member-thad-riley-running-nh-governor/6246892001/|url-status=live|access-date=November 6, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211106054702/https://www.seacoastonline.com/story/news/politics/2021/11/03/ex-brentwood-nh-school-board-member-thad-riley-running-nh-governor/6246892001/|archive-date=November 6, 2021}}
  • Karen Testerman, former Franklin city councilor and candidate for governor in 2020{{Cite news|last=DiStaso|first=John|date=July 29, 2021|title=NH Primary Source: Karen Testerman, running again for governor, says, 'I'm not a protest candidate'|work=WMUR-TV|url=https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-karen-testerman-running-again-for-governor-says-im-not-a-protest-candidate/37162007|url-status=live|access-date=July 30, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210729085922/https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-karen-testerman-running-again-for-governor-says-im-not-a-protest-candidate/37162007|archive-date=July 29, 2021}}

==Declined==

  • Kelly Ayotte, former U.S. senator{{Cite tweet |last= DiStaso |first=John |author-link=John DiStaso |user=jdistaso |number=1458120889497788420 |date=November 9, 2021 |title=BREAKING: Sources close to former Sen @KellyAyotte tell @WMUR9 she "will NOT be a candidate for any office in 2022…." Ayotte "thankful" @ChrisSununu ChrisSununu "will continue his service to our state." #nhsen #NHgov #NHPolitics #WMUR |access-date=November 9, 2021}}
  • Scott Brown, former U.S. senator from Massachusetts and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014{{Cite tweet |last=DiStaso |first=John |author-link=John DiStaso |user=jdistaso |number=1458095469431775237 |date=November 9, 2021 |title=Now: @SenScottBrown has essentially taken himself out of the running for the #nhsen seat, says he wants to focus on his wife, @gailhuffbrown in her bid for #nh01 - His comments to @WMUR9 below #nhpolitics #WMUR |access-date=November 9, 2021}}

=Endorsements=

{{Endorsements box

| title = Chris Sununu

| list =

Organizations

  • NRA Political Victory Fund{{cite web |title=New Hampshire Grades & Endorsements |url=https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/new-hampshire/ |website=nrapvf.org |publisher=NRA-PVF |access-date=February 15, 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221108111202/https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/new-hampshire |archive-date=November 8, 2022 |url-status=usurped}}

}}

=Polling=

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign="bottom"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:60px;"| Thad
Riley

! style="width:60px;"| Chris
Sununu

! style="width:60px;"| Karen
Testerman

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire[https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1703&context=survey_center_polls University of New Hampshire]

|August 25–29, 2022

|892 (LV)

|± 3.3%

|7%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|72%

|5%

|2%{{efn|Acciard and "Other" with 1%}}

|14%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College[https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/SACSC_NHSW_0822_Book1.pdf Saint Anselm College]

|August 9–11, 2022

|820 (RV)

|± 3.4%

|5%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|68%

|6%

|2%

|19%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign="bottom"

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:60px;"| Kelly
Ayotte

! style="width:60px;"| Scott
Brown

! style="width:60px;"| Frank
Edelbut

! style="width:60px;"| Chuck
Morse

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Praecones Analytica[https://nhjournal.com/exclusive-poll-nhgop-voters-love-trump-hate-crt-want-secure-border/ Praecones Analytica]

|August 13–20, 2021

|792 (LV)

|± 3.5%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

|13%

|7%

|6%

|29%

{{hidden end}}

=Results=

[[File:2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial Republican primary election results map by county.svg|thumb|225px|Results by county:

{{collapsible list

|title={{legend|#e27f7f|Sununu}}

|{{legend|#d72f30|70–80%}}

|{{legend|#c21b18|80–90%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change|title=Republican primary results{{cite web |title=2022 State Primary Election Results |url=https://www.sos.nh.gov/elections/elections/election-results/2022-state-primary-election-results |website=New Hampshire Department of State}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Chris Sununu (incumbent)|votes=113,443|percentage=78.66%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Karen Testerman|votes=14,473|percentage=10.04%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Thaddeus Riley|votes=11,107|percentage=7.70%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Julian Acciard|votes=2,906|percentage=2.01%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Jay Lewis|votes=1,318|percentage=0.91%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|party=Republican Party (United States)|candidate=Richard McMenamon II|votes=817|percentage=0.57%}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 160

|percentage = 0.11%

}}

{{Election box total no change|votes=144,224|percentage=100.0%}}

{{Election box end}}

Democratic primary

=Candidates=

==Nominee==

  • Tom Sherman, state senator from the 24th district{{Cite news|date=February 15, 2022|title=NH state Sen. Tom Sherman exploring gubernatorial run|work=Associated Press|url=https://apnews.com/article/business-new-hampshire-39bb9dbbeb42ef0093a338da5de3e664|url-status=live|access-date=February 15, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220215232548/https://www.ncadvertiser.com/news/article/NH-state-Sen-Tom-Sherman-exploring-gubernatorial-16920777.php|archive-date=February 15, 2022}}

==Declined==

  • Dan Feltes, former majority leader of the New Hampshire Senate from the 15th district and nominee for governor in 2020{{Cite news|last=Steinhauser|first=Paul|date=October 29, 2021|title=On the trail: Who would replace Sununu in governor's office?|work=Concord Monitor|url=https://www.concordmonitor.com/on-the-trail-43260249|url-status=live|access-date=November 6, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211103082643/https://www.concordmonitor.com/on-the-trail-43260249|archive-date=November 3, 2021}} (moved out of state in 2021)
  • John Lynch, former governor{{Cite news|last=DiStaso|first=John|date=November 11, 2021|title=Former Gov. John Lynch says he's 'not even considering' running for governor again|work=WMUR-TV|url=https://www.wmur.com/article/former-gov-john-lynch-says-hes-not-considering-running-for-governor-again/38227457|url-status=live|access-date=November 15, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211112075148/http://www.wmur.com/article/former-gov-john-lynch-says-hes-not-considering-running-for-governor-again/38227457|archive-date=November 12, 2021}}
  • Jodi Picoult, author{{Cite news |last=Sexton |first=Adam |date=2021-04-14 |title=Progressive activists try to recruit author Picoult into run for governor |work=WMUR-TV |location=Concord, N.H. |url=https://www.wmur.com/article/progressive-activists-try-to-recruit-author-picoult-into-run-for-governor/36124453 |url-status=live |access-date=2021-06-20 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210415005648/https://www.wmur.com/article/progressive-activists-try-to-recruit-author-picoult-into-run-for-governor/36124453 |archive-date=2021-04-15 |quote=Picoult announced on Wednesday evening via Twitter that she would not be running for governor.}}
  • Andru Volinsky, former Executive Councilor and candidate for governor in 2020{{Cite web|url=https://www.franklinpierce.edu/about/news/first-civic-scholar.htm|title = Franklin Pierce University Names Andru Volinsky as its First Civic Scholar-In-Residence}}
  • Cinde Warmington, Executive Councilor (running for re-election)

=Endorsements=

{{Endorsements box

| title = Tom Sherman

| list =

Organizations

  • American Federation of Teachers New Hampshire{{cite web |last1=Staff Report |title=Sherman Outraises Sununu; Wins AFT-NH Endorsement |url=https://indepthnh.org/2022/08/24/sherman-outraises-sununu-wins-aft-nh-endorsement/ |website=InDepthNH |date=August 24, 2022 |access-date=August 27, 2022}}
  • National Education Association New Hampshire{{cite web |last1=Sexton |first1=Adam |title=New Hampshire's largest teachers union endorses Democrat Sherman for governor |url=https://www.wmur.com/article/new-hampshire-teachers-union-endorses-sherman/40787751# |website=WMUR9 |date=August 2, 2022 |access-date=August 27, 2022}}

}}

=Results=

{{Election box begin no change|title=Democratic primary results}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|candidate=Tom Sherman|party=Democratic Party (United States)|votes=82,607|percentage=97.57%}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change|candidate=Chris Sununu (incumbent) (write-in)|party=Republican Party (United States)|votes=1,963|percentage=2.32%}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 95

|percentage = 0.11%

}}

{{Election box total no change|votes=84,665|percentage=100.0%}}

{{Election box end}}

Other candidates

= Libertarian Party =

==Nominees==

  • Karlyn Borysenko, activist and author{{Cite web |title=Nh sos |url=https://www.nh.sos.gov }}{{Dead link|date=July 2023 |bot=InternetArchiveBot |fix-attempted=yes }}
  • Kelly Halldorson

General election

=Predictions=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

! Source

! Ranking

! As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{cite web | title=2022 Governor Race Ratings | url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/governor-race-ratings |website=The Cook Political Report | access-date=January 14, 2021}}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

| March 4, 2022

align=left |Inside Elections{{Cite web |access-date=February 19, 2021 |title=Gubernatorial Ratings |url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/governor |publisher=Inside Elections}}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

| September 23, 2022

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web | title=2022 Gubernatorial race ratings | url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2022-governor/ | website=Sabato's Crystal Ball | access-date=March 11, 2021}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

| August 18, 2022

align=left |Politico{{cite web |url=https://www.politico.com/2022-election/race-forecasts-ratings-and-predictions/new-hampshire/governor/ |title=New Hampshire Governor Race 2022|date=April 1, 2022 |publisher=Politico}}

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|November 3, 2022

align=left | RCP{{Cite web |date=January 10, 2022 |title= 2022 Governor Races|url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/governor/elections-map.html|access-date=January 10, 2022 |publisher=RCP}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|June 8, 2022

align=left |Fox News{{cite web |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/power-rankings-ohio-senate-governor|website=Fox News |date=May 12, 2022 |access-date=May 12, 2022}}

| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|May 12, 2022

align="left" |538{{cite web |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220630140054/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/|url-status=dead|archive-date=June 30, 2022|website=FiveThirtyEight |date=June 30, 2022 |access-date=June 30, 2022}}

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|August 26, 2022

align="left" |Elections Daily{{cite web |title=Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings |url=https://elections-daily.com/2022/11/07/elections-daily-unveils-final-2022-midterm-ratings/ |last=Szymanski |first=Joe |website=Elections Daily |date=November 7, 2022 |access-date=November 28, 2022}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 7, 2022

=Post-primary endorsements=

{{Endorsements box

| title = Chris Sununu (R)

| list =

U.S. executive branch officials

Organizations

  • Humane Society Legislative Fund{{cite web|url=https://justfacts.votesmart.org/candidate/evaluations/125989/chris-sununu|title=Chris Sununu's Ratings and Endorsements|website=justfacts.votesmart.org|access-date=October 27, 2022}}

}}

{{Endorsements box

| title = Tom Sherman (D)

| list =

U.S. senators

  • Maggie Hassan, U.S. senator from New Hampshire (2017–present) and Governor of New Hampshire (2013–2017){{cite web | url=https://indepthnh.org/2022/10/18/congressional-delegation-endorses-tom-sherman-for-governor/ | title=Congressional Delegation Endorses Tom Sherman for Governor | date=October 18, 2022 }}
  • Jeanne Shaheen, U.S. senator from New Hampshire (2009–present) and Governor of New Hampshire (1997–2003)

U.S. representatives

}}

=Polling=

Aggregate polls

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

!Source of poll
aggregation

!Dates
administered

!Dates
updated

! style="width:100px;"| Chris
Sununu (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Tom
Sherman (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Other
{{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=|group=}}

!Margin

Real Clear Politics[https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/governor/nh/new_hampshire_governor_sununu_vs_sherman-7498.html Real Clear Politics]

|October 28 – November 6, 2022

|November 8, 2022

|{{party shading/Republican}}|56.4%

|39.4%

|4.2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|Sununu +17.0

FiveThirtyEight[https://web.archive.org/web/20220604185735/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/2022/new-hampshire/ FiveThirtyEight]

|September 15, 2021 – November 8, 2022

|November 8, 2022

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55.4%

|39.0%

|5.6%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|Sununu +16.4

colspan="3" |Average

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55.9%

|39.2%

|4.9%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|Sununu +16.7

Graphical summary

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Sununu

| y2Title=Sherman

| y3Title=Undecided/Other

| type=line

|xGrid=

| x= 2022/03/24, 2022/04/08, 2022/04/18, 2022/07/06, 2022/08/11, 2022/09/15, 2022/09/19, 2022/09/19, 2022/09/26, 2022/09/28, 2022/09/30, 2022/10/06, 2022/10/19 00:00, 2022/10/19 08:00, 2022/10/19 16:00, 2022/10/23, 2022/10/26, 2022/10/29, 2022/11/01, 2022/11/05 04:00, 2022/11/05 08:00, 2022/11/05 12:00, 2022/11/06 00:00, 2022/11/06 12:00

| y1= 51, 73, 55, 43, 48, 52, 55, 53, 53, 50, 52, 55, 53, 57, 52, 54, 52, 55, 57, 53, 58, 56, 55, 58

| y2= 24, 24, 29, 33, 29, 37, 37, 38, 36, 34, 39, 41, 40, 40, 40, 37, 34, 37, 36, 43, 40, 40, 43, 36

| y3= 25, 3, 15, 24, 22, 11, 8, 9, 11, 16, 9, 4, 4, 4, 5, 6, 13, 8, 8, 4, 2, 4, 3, 6

| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, #DDDDDD

| showSymbols = 1

| yGrid = true

| linewidth = 2.0

}}

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Chris
Sununu (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Tom
Sherman (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Phillips Academy[https://andoverpoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/New-Hampshire-November-Poll.pdf Phillips Academy]

|November 5–6, 2022

|1,056 (LV)

|± 3.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|58%

|36%

|–

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire[https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1717&context=survey_center_polls University of New Hampshire]

|November 2–6, 2022

|2,077 (LV)

|± 2.2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55%

|43%

|2%{{efn|Halldorson (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%}}

|<1%

style="text-align:left;"|InsiderAdvantage (R)[https://amgreatness.com/2022/11/06/insideradvantage-hassan-and-bolduc-neck-and-neck-in-new-hampshire-senate-race/ InsiderAdvantage (R)]{{efn-ua|name=AG}}

|November 5, 2022

|700 (LV)

|± 3.7%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|56%

|40%

|2%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Data for Progress (D)[https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/11/dfp_nh_final_midterm_tabs.pdf Data for Progress (D)]

|November 2–5, 2022

|1,995 (LV)

|± 2.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|58%

|40%

|2%{{efn|Halldorson (L) with 2%}}

|–

style="text-align:left;"|Wick Insights[https://my.wick.io/analysis/shared/item/FF64AE80-53D4-4044-AD93-C4EE89DDDDBF/view Wick Insights]

|November 2–5, 2022

|725 (LV)

|± 3.6%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|43%

|2%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Emerson College[https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-hassan-maintains-narrow-lead-over-bolduc/ Emerson College]

|rowspan="2"|October 30 – November 1, 2022

|rowspan="2"|850 (LV)

|rowspan="2"|± 3.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|57%

|36%

|4%{{efn|Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%}}

|4%

{{party shading/Republican}}|58%

|37%

|6%{{efn|Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%}}

|–

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College[https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/SACSC_NHLV_1022_Book%20Final.pdf Saint Anselm College]

|October 28–29, 2022

|1,541 (LV)

|± 2.5%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55%

|37%

|2%{{efn|Borysenko (L) with 1%; Halldorson (L) with 1%}}

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|co/efficient (R)[https://app.displayr.com/Dashboard?id=e10e5ac6-2079-46a6-ace0-03ff5873ff59#page=a5a26ba5-6062-44e0-87b6-68e3ea5ac332 co/efficient (R)]

|October 25–26, 2022

|1,098 (LV)

|± 3.2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52%

|34%

|5%{{efn|Borysenko (L) with 4%; Halldorson (L) with 1%}}

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|UMass Lowell/YouGov[https://www.uml.edu/docs/NH-Midterms-Topline_tcm18-359143.pdf UMass Lowell/YouGov]

|October 14–25, 2022

|600 (LV)

|± 5.1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|51%

|35%

|12%{{efn|Halldorson (L) with 5%; Borysenko (L) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 5%}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|InsiderAdvantage (R)[https://amgreatness.com/2022/10/24/republican-don-bolduc-in-dead-heat-with-democrat-maggie-hassan-in-new-hampshire-u-s-senate-race/ InsiderAdvantage (R)]{{efn-ua|name=AG|Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.}}

|October 23, 2022

|600 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|54%

|37%

|4%{{efn|"Someone else" with 4%}}

|6%

style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Emerson College[https://emersoncollegepolling.com/bolduc-gains-on-hassan-in-us-senate-election/ Emerson College]

|rowspan="2"|October 18–19, 2022

|rowspan="2"|727 (LV)

|rowspan="2"|± 3.6%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52%

|40%

|3%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%}}

|5%

{{party shading/Republican}}|54%

|41%

|4%{{efn|"Someone else" with 3%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%}}

|–

style="text-align:left;"|Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[https://twitter.com/WMUR9/status/1583435213396668416 Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)]{{efn-ua|This poll was sponsored by Bolduc's campaign, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate.|name="Bolduc"}}

|October 17–19, 2022

|600 (LV)

|–

|{{party shading/Republican}}|57%

|40%

|–

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Data for Progress (D)[https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_nh_midterm_tabs.pdf Data for Progress (D)]

|October 14–19, 2022

|1,392 (LV)

|± 3.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|40%

|3%{{efn|Halldorson (L) with 3%}}

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2022/aarp-new-hampshire-2022-elections-voter-survey.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00550.026.pdf Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)]

|October 2–6, 2022

|500 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55%

|41%

|1%

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Data for Progress (D)[https://www.filesforprogress.org/datasets/2022/10/dfp_nh_midterm_toplines.pdf Data for Progress (D)]

|September 23–30, 2022

|1,147 (LV)

|± 3.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52%

|39%

|4%{{efn|Halldorson (L) with 4%}}

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College[https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/SACSC_NHSW_0922_Book.pdf Saint Anselm College]

|September 27–28, 2022

|901 (RV)

|± 3.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|50%

|34%

|5%{{efn|"Someone else" with 5%}}

|11%

style="text-align:left;"|Suffolk University[https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/new-hampshire/2022/9_29_2022_marginals.pdf?la=en&hash=344D24807488E7D3A2004FD024BE4660428888BE Suffolk University]

|September 23–26, 2022

|500 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|36%

|4%{{efn|Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 2%}}

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|American Research Group[https://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/nhgov22/ American Research Group]

|September 15–19, 2022

|555 (RV)

|± 4.2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|38%

|–

|9%

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire[https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1706&context=survey_center_polls University of New Hampshire]

|September 15–19, 2022

|870 (LV)

|± 3.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55%

|37%

|1%{{efn|Borysenko (L) with 1%}}

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://emersoncollegepolling.com/new-hampshire-2022-senator-hassan-leads-freshley-nominated-bolduc-by-11/ Emerson College]

|September 14–15, 2022

|800 (LV)

|± 3.4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52%

|37%

|4%{{efn|"Someone else" with 4%}}

|7%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College

|August 9–11, 2022

|1,898 (RV)

|± 2.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|29%

|4%

|18%

style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D)[https://sports.yahoo.com/state-house-dome-sherman-poll-080900397.html Public Policy Polling (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Sherman's campaign|name=Sherman}}

|July 5–6, 2022

|601 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|43%

|33%

|8%{{efn|Borysenko (L) with 8%}}

|16%

style="text-align:left;"|University of New Hampshire[https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1692&context=survey_center_polls University of New Hampshire]

|April 14–18, 2022

|868 (LV)

|± 3.5%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55%

|29%

|1%

|14%

style="text-align:left;" rowspan="2"|Phillips Academy[https://andoverpoll.com/2022/04/11/new-hampshire-2022-sununu-polling-at-72-5-hassan-leading-republican-opponents/ Phillips Academy]

|rowspan="2"|April 4–8, 2022

|533 (A)

|± 4.2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|62%

|24%

|–

|14%

471 (RV)

|± 4.5%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|73%

|24%

|–

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College[https://www.anselm.edu/sites/default/files/Documents/NHIOP/Polls/SACSC_NHSW_0322_Book2.pdf Saint Anselm College]

|March 23–24, 2022

|1,265 (RV)

|± 2.8%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|51%

|24%

|10%

|15%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

Chris Sununu vs. generic opponent

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Chris
Sununu (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Opponent

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Saint Anselm College[https://htv-prod-media.s3.amazonaws.com/files/sacsc-nhsw-0122-2-1642631595.pdf Saint Anselm College]

|January 11–12, 2022

|1,215 (RV)

|± 2.8%

|45%

|45%

|10%

{{hidden end}}

= Results =

{{Election box begin |title=2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election{{cite web |title=2022 General Election Results |url=https://www.sos.nh.gov/elections/elections/election-results/2022-general-election-results |website=New Hampshire Department of State}}}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = Chris Sununu (incumbent)

|votes = 352,813

|percentage = 56.98%

|change = -8.14%

}}{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Democratic Party (United States)

|candidate = Tom Sherman

|votes = 256,766

|percentage = 41.47%

|change = +8.11%

}}{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Libertarian Party (United States)

|candidate = Kelly Halldorson

|votes = 5,071

|percentage = 0.82%

|change = N/A

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

|party = Libertarian Party (United States)

|candidate = Karlyn Borysenko

|votes = 2,772

|percentage = 0.45%

|change = N/A

}}{{Election box write-in with party link

|votes = 1,713

|percentage = 0.28%

|change = +0.19%

}}{{Election box total

|votes = 619,135

|percentage = 100.0%

}}{{Election box turnout

|votes = 626,845

|percentage = 67.63%

|change =

}}{{Election box registered electors

|reg. electors = 925,401

}}{{Election box hold with party link no swing

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

==By county==

{{collapse top|1=By county|left=yes|bg=#B0CEFF;line-height:135%;|border=none}}

{{align|right|{{Switcher

|300px|Shift by municipality

|300px|Trend by municipality

{{collapsible list | title = Legend

|{{legend|#d40000|Republican — >15%}}

|{{legend|#ff0000|Republican — +12.5−15%}}

|{{legend|#ff2a2a|Republican — +10−12.5%}}

|{{legend|#ff5555|Republican — +7.5−10%}}

|{{legend|#ff8080|Republican — +5−7.5%}}

|{{legend|#ffaaaa|Republican — +2.5−5%}}

|{{legend|#ffd5d5|Republican — +0−2.5%}}

|{{legend|#ae8bb1|No change}}

|{{legend|#d5f6ff|Democratic — +0−2.5%}}

|{{legend|#aaeeff|Democratic — +2.5−5%}}

|{{legend|#77e3ff|Democratic — +5−7.5%}}

|{{legend|#4bdbff|Democratic — +7.5-10%}}

|{{legend|#09ceff|Democratic — +10−12.5%}}

|{{legend|#00bdec|Democratic — +12.5−15%}}

|{{legend|#00a1c8|Democratic — >15%}}}}}}}}

class="wikitable sortable"

! colspan="8" | 2022 gubernatorial election results in New Hampshire (by county) {{cite web | url=https://www.sos.nh.gov/elections/elections/election-results/2022-election-results-0/2022-general-election-results | title=2022 General Election Results }}

colspan="1" style="text-align:center;"| County

!colspan="2" style="text-align:center;"| Tom Sherman
Democratic

!colspan="2" style="text-align:center;"| Chris Sununu
Republican

!colspan="2" style="text-align:center;"| Other votes

!colspan="1" style="text-align:center;"|Total
votes

colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" |

! colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" | #

! colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" | %

! colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" | #

! colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" | %

! colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" | #

! colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" | %

! colspan="1" style="text-align: center;" | #

align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Belknap

|align="center"|9,429

|align="center"|31.1%

|align="center"|20,499

|align="center"|67.5%

|align="center"|425

|align="center"|1.4%

|align="center"|30,353

align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Carroll

|align="center"|10,306

|align="center"|37.9%

|align="center"|16,554

|align="center"|60.9%

|align="center"|342

|align="center"|1.3%

|align="center"|27,202

align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Cheshire

|align="center"|16,890

|align="center"|49.8%

|align="center"| 16,503

|align="center"|48.7%

|align="center"|516

|align="center"|1.5%

|align="center"|33,909

align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Coös

|align="center"|4,194

|align="center"|32.8%

|align="center"|8,251

|align="center"|64.4%

|align="center"|360

|align="center"|2.8%

|align="center"|12,805

align="center" {{party shading/Democratic}}|Grafton

|align="center"|21,483

|align="center"|50.4%

|align="center"| 20,427

|align="center"|48.0%

|align="center"|676

|align="center"|1.6%

|align="center"|42,586

align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Hillsborough

|align="center"|69,673

|align="center"|40.5%

|align="center"| 99,608

|align="center"|58.0%

|align="center"|2,585

|align="center"|1.5%

|align="center"|171,866

align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Merrimack

|align="center"|30,835

|align="center"|43.6%

|align="center"|38,669

|align="center"|54.7%

|align="center"|1,248

|align="center"|1.8%

|align="center"|70,752

align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Rockingham

|align="center"|59,759

|align="center"|38.8%

|align="center"| 92,043

|align="center"|59.8%

|align="center"|2,216

|align="center"|1.4%

|align="center"|154,018

align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Strafford

|align="center"|26,495

|align="center"|46.9%

|align="center"| 29,100

|align="center"|51.5%

|align="center"|929

|align="center"|1.6%

|align="center"|56,524

align="center" {{party shading/Republican}}|Sullivan

|align="center"|7,702

|align="center"|40.3%

|align="center"|11,159

|align="center"|58.4%

|align="center"|259

|align="center"|1.4%

|align="center"|19,120

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

{{collapse bottom}}

==By congressional district==

Sununu won both congressional districts, which both elected Democrats.https://www.davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::a1a2b285-f862-402c-9e89-b45791a46473

class=wikitable

! District

! Sununu

! Sherman

! Representative

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Hampshire|1|1st}}

| 58%

| 40%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Chris Pappas

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|New Hampshire|2|2nd}}

| 56%

| 43%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Annie Kuster

See also

Notes

{{notelist}}

Partisan clients

{{notelist-ua}}

References

{{Reflist}}