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2022 United States Senate election in Iowa

{{Short description|none}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=March 2024}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa

| country = Iowa

| type = presidential

| previous_election = 2016 United States Senate election in Iowa

| previous_year = 2016

| next_election = 2028 United States Senate election in Iowa

| next_year = 2028

| election_date = November 8, 2022

| image1 = File:Chuck Grassley official photo 2017 (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Chuck Grassley

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 681,501

| percentage1 = 56.01%

| image2 = VICE ADMIRAL MICHAEL T. FRANKEN (cropped).jpg

| nominee2 = Michael Franken

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 533,330

| percentage2 = 43.84%

| map_image = {{switcher |240px |County results |240px |Congressional district results |240px |Precinct results |default=1}}

| map_caption = Grassley: {{legend0|#FFB2B2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#E27F7F|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#D72F30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#C21B18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#A80000|>90%}}
Franken: {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No votes}}

| title = U.S. Senator

| before_election = Chuck Grassley

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Chuck Grassley

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Elections in Iowa sidebar}}

The 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa. Incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Grassley defeated Democratic nominee Michael Franken to win re-election to an eighth term.{{Cite web |title=Chuck Grassley Defeats Mike Franken, Wins Eighth Senate Term |url=https://nz.news.yahoo.com/chuck-grassley-defeats-mike-franken-035134865.html |access-date=November 9, 2022 |website=nz.news.yahoo.com |date=November 9, 2022 |language=en-NZ}}

Grassley was first elected in 1980 and was most recently re-elected in 2016. Grassley, who turned 89 years old on September 17, 2022, ran for reelection to an eighth term. With U.S. Senator Patrick Leahy retiring the same year, he became the second-oldest person ever to be re-elected for another term (behind Strom Thurmond in 1996 at age 93), on January 3, 2023, upon the departure of Patrick Leahy from the United States Senate Chuck Grassley became the most senior member in the Senate, and on January 4, 2023, he became the longest-serving Republican senator in history (overtaking Orrin Hatch), as well as the most senior member of Congress since January 3, 2023.

Despite his victory, this was Grassley's closest Senate race since he was first elected in 1980 and worst performance as he did not crack 60% of the vote. Franken also beat Grassley in Linn, Story, and Polk counties, all of which Grassley had won in every election since 1986. In addition, this election was the first time that Grassley lost Black Hawk County. This election also saw the Class III seat's worst performance by a Republican since 1962, and best performance by a Democrat since 1980.

Republican primary

File:Iowa State Senator Jim Carlin (cropped).jpg challenged Grassley in the primary.]]

=Candidates=

==Nominee==

  • Chuck Grassley, incumbent U.S. Senator (1981–present) and president pro tempore emeritus (2021–present){{Cite web|date=September 24, 2021|title=Grassley will seek reelection, boosting GOP's majority hopes|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2021/09/24/chuck-grassley-2022-elections-iowa-514090|access-date=September 24, 2021|website=Politico|language=en}}

==Eliminated in primary==

  • Jim Carlin, state senator from the 3rd district (2017–2023){{Cite web|last=Hall|first=Jacob|date=February 12, 2021|title=BREAKING: State Sen. Jim Carlin is running for United States Senate seat currently held by Chuck Grassley, says if our votes do not count, we no longer have a representative government|url=https://theiowastandard.com/breaking-state-sen-jim-carlin-is-running-for-united-states-senate-seat-currently-held-by-chuck-grassley/|access-date=February 15, 2021|website=The Iowa Standard|language=en-US}}

==Declined==

  • Ashley Hinson, U.S. Representative for {{ushr|IA|1}} (2021–2023) (ran for re-election; endorsed Grassley){{cite web |last1=Dunlap |first1=Natalie |title=Rep. Ashley Hinson announces reelection campaign, with support of Iowa Republicans, Sen. Ted Cruz |url=https://dailyiowan.com/2021/08/28/rep-ashley-hinson-announces-reelection-with-support-of-iowa-republicans-sen-ted-cruz/ |website=www.dailyiowan.com |publisher=The Daily Iowan |access-date=August 29, 2021}}
  • Matthew Whitaker, former acting U.S. Attorney General, former U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Iowa, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014{{Cite news|last=Belin|first=Laura|date=February 20, 2020|title=Chuck Grassley says grandson's "never expressed" interest in U.S. Senate bid|work=Bleeding Heartland|url=https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2020/02/20/chuck-grassley-says-grandsons-never-expressed-interest-in-u-s-senate-bid/|access-date=September 14, 2020}} (endorsed Grassley){{cite news |last=Rood|first=Lee |title=Grassley endorsed by Iowans who worked in Trump administration |url=https://wcfcourier.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/grassley-endorsed-by-iowans-who-worked-in-trump-administration/article_199e6e6f-0335-5ab2-9dca-b7387e862742.html |work=The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier |access-date=November 30, 2021 |date=November 24, 2021}}

=Fundraising=

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Candidate

! Total receipts

! Coverage ending

Chuck Grassley

|$6,881,288

|Coverage ending: May 18, 2022

Jim Carlin

|$508,308

|Coverage ending: May 18, 2022

=Results=

[[File:2022 United States Senate Republican primary election in Iowa results map by county.svg|thumb|240px|Results by county

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#E27F7F|Grassley}}

|{{legend|#E27F7F|50–60%}}

|{{legend|#D75D5D|60–70%}}

|{{legend|#D72F30|70–80%}}

|{{legend|#C21B18|80–90%}}

}}

]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results{{cite web |title=Official Results - 2022 Primary Election |url=https://electionresults.iowa.gov/IA/112996/web.285569/#/summary |website=IOWA SECRETARY OF STATE |access-date=June 11, 2022}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Chuck Grassley (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 143,634

| percentage = 73.34%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Jim Carlin

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 51,891

| percentage = 26.50%

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 312

|percentage = 0.16%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 195,837

| percentage = 100.0%

}}

{{Election box end}}

Democratic primary

File:CongresswomanFinkenauer (cropped).jpg Abby Finkenauer finished second in the primary.]]

=Candidates=

==Nominee==

  • Michael Franken, retired U.S. Navy Admiral, former aide to U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020{{cite news|last1=Lynch|first1=James Q.|date=March 15, 2021|title=Iowa Democrat group looks to draft retired admiral Mike Franken to challenge Chuck Grassley|language=en|work=The Gazette (Cedar Rapids, Iowa)|url=https://www.thegazette.com/subject/news/government/iowa-democratic-group-looks-to-draft-retired-admiral-mike-franken-to-challenge-chuck-grassley-20210315|access-date=April 3, 2021}}{{Cite web|title=Can't let the "philosophically unhinged" win control of Senate|url=https://www.thegazette.com/government-politics/michael-franken-confirms-plans-to-run-for-u-s-senate/|access-date=August 3, 2021|work=The Gazette (Cedar Rapids, Iowa)|language=en-US}}{{Cite web|title=Michael Franken launches US Senate campaign challenging Chuck Grassley|url=https://www.weareiowa.com/article/news/local/local-politics/michael-franken-launches-senate-campaign-challenging-chuck-grassley-democratic-primary-2022-election-sioux-city-congress/524-d205730e-121e-4a70-92b2-43f7b01c8b0b|website=We Are Iowa|date=October 14, 2021|access-date=October 14, 2021}}

==Eliminated in primary==

  • Abby Finkenauer, former U.S. Representative for {{ushr|IA|1}} (2019–2021){{Cite news|last=Gruber-Miller|first=Stephen|title=U.S. Senate candidate Abby Finkenauer will appear on primary ballot, Iowa Supreme Court rules

|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2022/04/15/abby-finkenauer-democratic-senate-primary-2022-election-ballot-iowa-supreme-court-ruling/7313038001/|date = April 15, 2022|access-date=April 15, 2022|work=Des Moines Register|language=en}}

  • Glenn Hurst, Minden city councilor and chair of the Iowa Democratic Party Rural Caucus{{Cite news|last=Gruber-Miller|first=Stephen|date=July 29, 2021|title=Democrat Glenn Hurst, a rural Iowa doctor and city council member, is running for U.S. Senate|work=The Des Moines Register|publisher=Gannett|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/07/29/rural-iowa-doctor-running-us-senate-democrat-glenn-hurst-against-republican-chuck-grassley-election/5395391001/|url-status=live|url-access=limited|access-date=September 24, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.today/20210924111615/https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/07/29/rural-iowa-doctor-running-us-senate-democrat-glenn-hurst-against-republican-chuck-grassley-election/5395391001/|archive-date=September 24, 2021}}

==Withdrew==

  • Bob Krause, former state representative{{cite web |last1=Pfannenstiel |first1=Brianne |title=Bob Krause to run for U.S. Senate, aiming for Chuck Grassley's seat |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/10/07/iowa-bob-krause-run-us-senate-elections-2022-sen-chuck-grassley-seat/6035720001/ |access-date=October 7, 2021 |website=www.desmoinesregister.com |publisher=Des Moines Register}}{{cite web |date=March 14, 2022 |access-date=March 17, 2022 |title=Krause withdraws from Iowa Senate Race. |url=https://www.kcrg.com/2022/03/14/krause-withdraws-iowa-senate-race/ |url-status=live |website=KCRG|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220314131837/https://www.kcrg.com/2022/03/14/krause-withdraws-iowa-senate-race/ |archive-date=March 14, 2022 }} (endorsed Franken){{Cite web|date=June 2, 2022|title=Mike Franken has the right experience, perspective|url=https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2022/05/31/mike-franken-has-the-right-experience-perspective/|access-date=June 2, 2022|website=Bleeding Heartland|language=en-US}}
  • Dave Muhlbauer, former Crawford County supervisor (2017–2021){{Cite news|date=November 23, 2021|title=Dave Muhlbauer drops out of 2022 Senate race|url=https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/dave-muhlbauer-drops-out-of-2022-senate-race/|access-date=November 23, 2021|work=The Gazette|language=en-US}}{{Cite web|last=Greenwood|first=Max|date=May 24, 2021|title=First Democrat announces Senate bid against Iowa's Grassley|url=https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/555017-first-democrat-announces-senate-bid-against-iowas-grassley|access-date=May 24, 2021|website=TheHill}} (endorsed Franken){{Cite news|date=April 19, 2022|title=Campaign Almanac: Ashley's Army returns for 2022 race|url=https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/campaign-almanac-ashleys-army-returns-for-2022-race/|access-date=May 17, 2022|work=The Gazette|language=en-US}}

==Declined==

  • Cindy Axne, U.S. representative for {{ushr|IA|3}} (2019–2023) (ran for re-election; endorsed Finkenauer){{Cite web|last=Pfannenstiel|first=Brianne|title=Cindy Axne to endorse Abby Finkenauer for U.S. Senate — an indication she will not seek the seat herself|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/08/02/axne-endorses-finkenauer-senate-seat-held-iowas-chuck-grassley-us-representative/5456276001/|access-date=August 2, 2021|website=Des Moines Register|language=en-US}}
  • Rob Sand, Iowa State Auditor (2019–present){{Cite news|last1=Mutnick|first1=Ally|last2=Arkin|first2=James|date=May 27, 2021|title=Abby Finkenauer moves toward Iowa Senate run|work=Politico|url=https://www.politico.com/amp/news/2021/05/27/iowa-abby-finkenauer-senate-run-491213|access-date=May 27, 2021}}{{cite news |last1=Murphy |first1=Erin |title=State Auditor Rob Sand considering run for Iowa governor or U.S. Senate |url=https://www.thegazette.com/state-government/state-auditor-rob-sand-considering-run-for-iowa-governor-or-u-s-senate/ |work=The Gazette (Cedar Rapids, Iowa) |date=April 23, 2021}} (ran for reelection)
  • J. D. Scholten, former paralegal, former professional baseball player and nominee for {{ushr|IA|4}} in 2018 and 2020{{cite web |title=Iowa Democrat J.D. Scholten won't seek office in 2022, narrowing field of possible contenders|url=https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/iowa-democrat-jd-scholten-wont-seek-office-in-2022-narrowing-field-of-possible-contenders/ar-AAM6SFQ?ocid=BingNewsSearch |website=MSN |language=en}} (ran for state house)

=Campaign=

Former U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer was the original frontrunner in the Democratic primary, with her campaign being backed by several prominent politicians and labor unions, as well as the influential political action committee EMILY's List.{{cite web|url=https://www.bleedingheartland.com/2022/06/08/what-went-right-for-mike-franken-and-wrong-for-abby-finkenauer/|title=What went right for Mike Franken and wrong for Abby Finkenauer|website=Bleeding Heartland|date=June 8, 2022|access-date=September 5, 2022}} However, in an upset, retired vice-admiral Michael Franken managed to slowly overtake her as the perceived frontrunner, assisted by an effective campaign that highlighted his leadership credentials.

=Fundraising=

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Candidate

! Total receipts

! Coverage ending

Abby Finkenauer

|$3,740,881

|Coverage ending: May 18, 2022{{cite web |title=FEC Iowa Senate Candidate financial totals |url=https://www.fec.gov/data/elections/senate/IA/2022/ |website=FEC |access-date=May 26, 2022 |language=en}}

Michael Franken

|$2,863,882

|Coverage ending: May 18, 2022

Glenn Hurst

|$129,618

|Coverage ending: May 18, 2022

=Endorsements=

{{Endorsements box

|title=Abby Finkenauer

|list=

U.S. Representatives

State official

  • Michael Fitzgerald, Treasurer of Iowa (1983–2023){{Cite news|last=|first=|title=Campaign Almanac: Fitzgerald endorses Finkenauer|url=https://nonpareilonline.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/article_42467aae-06af-11ec-8820-5f484735a04e.html|access-date=August 26, 2021|work=The Daily Nonpareil |date=August 26, 2021 |language=en}}

State legislators

  • Janet Petersen, state senator{{Cite news |last=|first=|title=Campaign Almanac: Former Iowa Senate leader endorses Finkenauer for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/campaign-almanac-former-iowa-senate-leader-endorses-finkenauer-for-u-s-senate/|date=May 11, 2022|website=The Gazette|language=en}}

Labor unions

  • American Federation of Government Employees{{Cite news|last=|first=|title=Campaign Almanac: Union endorses Finkenauer|url=https://nonpareilonline.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/campaign-almanac-union-endorses-finkenauer/article_40d3727e-0cfb-11ec-ae78-73c34c22ca4d.html|access-date=September 3, 2021|work=The Daily Nonpareil|date=September 3, 2021 |language=en}}
  • International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers{{Cite news|title=Democrats question Mariannette Miller-Meeks' finances|url=https://www.thegazette.com/government-politics/democrats-question-mariannette-miller-meeks-finances|date=September 15, 2021|access-date=September 16, 2021|work=The Gazette|language=en}}
  • International Brotherhood of Teamsters{{Cite news|last=Murphy|first=Erin|date=September 22, 2021|title=Campaign Almanac for Wednesday, September 22, 2021|work=Quad-City Times|url=https://qctimes.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/campaign-almanac-for-wednesday-september-22-2021/article_9d041435-56f7-5a40-82ff-6b651dd7f56a.html|url-status=live|access-date=September 30, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210922215308/https://qctimes.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/campaign-almanac-for-wednesday-september-22-2021/article_9d041435-56f7-5a40-82ff-6b651dd7f56a.html|archive-date=September 22, 2021}}
  • Iowa Professional Fire Fighters Association{{Cite news|last=|first=|title=Campaign Almanac for Tuesday, September 7, 2021|url=https://nonpareilonline.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/campaign-almanac-for-tuesday-september-7-2021/article_76ca39e1-be54-5ec2-bdbe-183822fc78b7.html|access-date=September 8, 2021|work=The Daily Nonpareil|date=September 7, 2021 |language=en}}
  • United Steelworkers{{Cite press release|last=Montana|first=Tony|title=USW Proudly Endorses Abby Finkenauer for Senate|url=https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/usw-proudly-endorses-abby-finkenauer-for-senate-301367499.html|access-date=September 1, 2021|website=PR Newswire|language=en}}

Organizations

  • EMILY's List{{cite web |last1=Pfannenstiel |first1=Brianne |title=Iowa Democrat Abby Finkenauer backed by EMILY's List in Senate race |url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/12/15/iowa-democrat-abby-finkenauer-backed-emilys-list-senate-race-chuck-grassley-seat/8894646002/ |website=www.desmoinesregister.com |publisher=The Des Moines Register |access-date=December 16, 2021}}
  • Feminist Majority PAC{{cite web |title=2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements |url=https://feministmajoritypac.org/endorsements/2022/ |website=feministmajoritypac.org |access-date=April 9, 2022}}
  • Giffords{{Cite web|date=February 22, 2022|title=Giffords PAC Endorses Abby Finkenauer for US Senate|url=https://giffords.org/articles/giffords-pac-endorses-abby-finkenauer-for-us-senate/|website=www.giffords.org|language=en-US}}
  • League of Conservation Voters{{Cite web|date=February 2, 2022|title=LCV ACTION FUND ANNOUNCES FIRST ROUND OF NON-INCUMBENT SENATE ENDORSEMENTS|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-announces-first-round-of-non-incumbent-senate-endorsements/|access-date=February 2, 2022|website=www.lcv.org}}

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title= Glenn Hurst

|list=

Organizations

  • Iowa Citizens for Community Improvement{{Cite news|last=|first=|title=Campaign Almanac: Abby Finkenauer poll shows her with strong lead in Iowa U.S. Senate primary race|url=https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/campaign-almanac-finkenauer-poll-shows-her-with-strong-lead/|date=April 7, 2022|work=The Gazette|language=en|access-date=May 17, 2022}}

Individuals

}}

=Polling=

Graphical summary

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Finkenauer

| y2Title=Franken

| y3Title=Hurst

| y4Title=Undecided/Other

| type=line

|xGrid=

| x=

2022/04/03, 2022/04/11, 2022/05/08

|y1=

64,53,40

|y2=

15,26,42

|y3=

6,7,4

|y4=

15,14,14

| colors = #FDB462, #80B1D3, #E6D564, #D2D2D4

| showSymbols = 1,1,1,1

| symbolsShape = cross

| yGrid = true

| linewidth = 2.0

}}

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:60px;"| Abby
Finkenauer

! style="width:60px;"| Michael
Franken

! style="width:60px;"| Glenn
Hurst

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D)[https://insideelections.com/Mike_Franken_Iowa_Poll_5-16-22.pdf Change Research (D)]{{efn-ua|name="Franken"}}

|May 4–8, 2022

|866 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|40%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|42%

|4%

|14%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D){{efn-ua|name="Franken"}}

|April 6–11, 2022

|416 (LV)

|± 6.3%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|53%

|26%

|7%

|14%

style="text-align:left;"|GBAO (D)[https://abbyfinkenauer.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/122/Abby-Finkenauer-Primary-Poll-Memo-April-7-2022.pdf GBAO (D)]{{efn-ua|This poll was sponsored by Finkenauer's campaign|name="Finkenauer"}}

|March 30 – April 3, 2022

|600 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|64%

|15%

|6%

|15%

=Results=

[[File:2022 United States Senate Democratic primary election in Iowa results map by county.svg|thumb|240px|Results by county

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#7996E2|Franken}}

|{{legend|#A5B0FF|40–50%}}

|{{legend|#7996E2|50–60%}}

|{{legend|#6674DE|60–70%}}

|{{legend|#584CDE|70–80%}}

}}

{{collapsible list

| title = {{legend|#FF9A50|Finkenauer}}

|{{legend|#FFB580|40–50%}}

|{{legend|#FF9A50|50–60%}}

|{{legend|#EE8E50|60–70%}}

}}]]

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Michael Franken

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 86,527

| percentage = 55.17%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Abby Finkenauer

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 62,581

| percentage = 39.90%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Glenn Hurst

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 7,571

| percentage = 4.83%

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 158

|percentage = 0.10%

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 156,837

| percentage = 100.0%

}}

{{Election box end}}

General election

=Predictions=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{cite web | title=2022 Senate Race ratings | url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings |website=The Cook Political Report | access-date=April 7, 2022}}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|November 7, 2022

align=left | Inside Elections{{cite web | title=Senate ratings | url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate|website= Inside Elections | access-date=January 18, 2021}}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|August 25, 2022

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web |title=2022 Senate |url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2022-senate/ |website=Sabato's Crystal Ball |access-date=January 28, 2021}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|August 31, 2022

align="left" |Politico{{cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2022-election/race-forecasts-ratings-and-predictions/iowa/senate/|title=Iowa Senate Race 2022|date=April 1, 2022 |publisher=Politico}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|October 18, 2022

align="left" |RCP{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map.html|title=Battle for the Senate 2022|date=January 10, 2022 |publisher=RCP}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|October 15, 2022

align=left |Fox News{{cite web |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-power-rankings-gop-house-majority-shrinks-democrats-score-key-victories|website=Fox News |date=August 22, 2022 |access-date=August 22, 2022}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|August 22, 2022

align="left" |DDHQ{{cite web |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://forecast.decisiondeskhq.com/senate|website=DDHQ |date=July 20, 2022 |access-date=July 20, 2022}}

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|July 20, 2022

align="left" |538{{cite web |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220630140054/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/|url-status=dead|archive-date=June 30, 2022|website=FiveThirtyEight |date=June 30, 2022 |access-date=June 30, 2022}}

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|September 6, 2022

align="left" |The Economist{{cite news |title=Economist's 2022 Senate forecast |url=https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-midterms-2022/forecast/senate/|newspaper=The Economist |date=September 7, 2022 |access-date=September 7, 2022}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|September 7, 2022

= Debates =

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ class="nowrap" | 2022 United States Senate general election in Iowa debates

style="font-size:small;"

!scope="col"| {{abbr|No.|Number}}

!scope="col"| Date

!scope="col"| Host

!scope="col"| Moderator

!scope="col"| Link

!scope="col"| Republican

!scope="col"| Democratic

colspan="5" rowspan="2" |{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant  {{Colors|black|#ff9090| A }} Absent  {{Colors|black|#A2B2C2| N }} Non-invitee  {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invitee

{{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn

! scope="col" style="background:#E81B23;"|

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}};"|

scope="col"| Chuck Grassley

!scope="col"| Michael Franken

style="background:#FFFFFF;font-size:small;"

!scope="row"| 1

|style="white-space:nowrap;"| October 6, 2022

|style="white-space:nowrap;"| Iowa PBS

|style="white-space:nowrap;"| O. Kay Henderson

|style="white-space:nowrap;"|[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18RjchPjJmE Youtube]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

= Endorsements =

{{Endorsements box

|title=Chuck Grassley (R)

|colwidth=60

|list=

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. Senators

  • Marsha Blackburn, U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2019–present){{cite web | url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2022/10/26/sen-marsha-blackburn-not-running-president-iowa-campaign-election/69590885007/ | title=US Sen. Marsha Blackburn, campaigning in Iowa: 'I am not' running for president | website=The Des Moines Register }}
  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present){{cite news|last=Steinhauser|first=Paul|date=August 17, 2022|title=Ted Cruz stopping in Iowa on Thursday to support Chuck Grassley's Senate re-election bid|url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/ted-cruz-stopping-iowa-thursday-support-chuck-grassleys-senate-re-election-bid|access-date=November 2, 2022|website=Fox News}}
  • Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa (2015–present){{Cite news|last=Dunlap|first=Natalie|date=September 24, 2021|title=Sen. Chuck Grassley will seek an eighth term|work=The Daily Iowan|url=https://dailyiowan.com/2021/09/24/sen-chuck-grassley-will-seek-an-eighth-term/|url-status=live|access-date=September 30, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210925233404/https://dailyiowan.com/2021/09/24/sen-chuck-grassley-will-seek-an-eighth-term/|archive-date=September 25, 2021}}
  • Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina (2013–present){{cite news|last=Sandbulte|first=Eric|date=October 15, 2022|title=Sen. Scott makes GOP stop in Sioux Center|url=https://www.nwestiowa.com/news/sen-scott-makes-gop-stop-in-sioux-center/article_44d1e4ca-4a88-11ed-aa90-07abd2984a97.html|access-date=November 2, 2022|website=nwestiowa}}

U.S. Representatives

  • Randy Feenstra, U.S. Representative for {{ushr|IA|4}} (2021–present)
  • Tulsi Gabbard, former U.S. Representative from Hawaii's 2nd congressional district (2013–2021) and former Vice Chair of the Democratic National Committee (2013–2016){{citetweet|user=TulsiGabbard|number=1589351692486656000|title=I’m endorsing @ChuckGrassley because unlike his opponent, Chuck will stand up for freedom, the Constitution & the American people against the radical “woke” agenda of the Biden Admin. Chuck Grassley is committed to putting the well-being of Iowans & America first. Vote on Nov 8!|date=November 6, 2022|access-date=November 6, 2022}}(Independent)
  • Ashley Hinson, U.S. Representative for {{ushr|IA|1}} (2021–2023)
  • Mariannette Miller-Meeks, U.S. Representative for {{ushr|IA|2}} (2021–2023){{Cite web|url=https://qctimes.com/opinion/columnists/column-chuck-grassley-knows-iowa/article_130cb3fa-2310-5ed0-a2a5-0f4f8653a9d1.html|title=Chuck Grassley knows Iowa|website=qctimes.com|date=October 2021 |access-date=October 1, 2021|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211001072156/https://qctimes.com/opinion/columnists/column-chuck-grassley-knows-iowa/article_130cb3fa-2310-5ed0-a2a5-0f4f8653a9d1.html |archive-date=October 1, 2021 }}
  • Elise Stefanik, Chair of the House Republican Conference (2021–present) and U.S. Representative for {{ushr|NY|21}} (2015–present){{cite news|last=|first=|date=April 21, 2022|title=Campaign Almanac: Trump ally, leading House conservative endorses Grassley re-election|url=https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/campaign-almanac-trump-ally-leading-house-conservative-endorses-grassley-re-election/|access-date=November 2, 2022|work=The Gazette (Cedar Rapids, Iowa)}}
  • David Young, U.S. Representative for {{ushr|IA|3}} (2015–2019)

State officials

State legislators

Individuals

  • Bob Vander Plaats, political activist{{cite news|last=Martz|first=Luke|date=January 25, 2022|title=Pro-Life Family Leader Endorses Grassley's Re-Election|url=https://www.iowafieldreport.com/campaigns/pro-life-family-leader-endorses-grassleys-re-election/|access-date=November 2, 2022|website=Iowa Field Report}}

Newspapers

  • Telegraph Herald{{cite news|last=Editorial Board|first=Telegraph Herald|date=October 14, 2022|title=Our opinion: Despite flaws, Grassley continues to deliver for Iowa|url=https://www.telegraphherald.com/news/opinion/article_44d1a8fd-7785-5a30-b835-ed58a347b2da.html|access-date=November 2, 2022|website=Telegraph Herald}}

Organization

  • American Israel Public Affairs Committee{{Cite web|url=https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured| title=Featured Candidates|website=AIPAC PAC}}
  • BIPAC{{Cite web|url=https://bipacaction.org/2022-endorsements/|title=2022 Endorsements|website=BIPAC Action Fung|access-date=November 2, 2022|archive-date=November 2, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221102100529/https://bipacaction.org/2022-endorsements/|url-status=dead}}
  • Campaign for Working Families{{cite web |title=Endorsed Candidates |url=https://www.cwfpac.com/endorsedcandidates |website=Campaign for Working Families |access-date=November 2, 2022}}
  • Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions{{cite web |title=Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle |url=https://cresenergy.com/pressreleases/citizens-for-responsible-energy-solutions-announces-second-round-of-congressional-endorsements-for-the-2022-election-cycle/ |website=cresenergy.com |publisher=Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions |access-date=June 7, 2022 |date=May 4, 2022 |archive-date=August 21, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220821091958/https://cresenergy.com/pressreleases/citizens-for-responsible-energy-solutions-announces-second-round-of-congressional-endorsements-for-the-2022-election-cycle/ |url-status=dead }}
  • Home School Legal Defense Association{{Cite web|url=https://hsldaactionpac.org//| title=Home|website=HSLDA Action PAC}}
  • Huck PAC{{Cite web|url=https://www.huckpac.com/ia/| title=Iowa|website=HUCK PAC}}
  • National Federation of Independent Business{{cite news|url=https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/campaign-almanac-democrat-mike-franken-launches-new-tv-ad-in-u-s-senate-primary/|title=Campaign Almanac: Democrat Mike Franken launches new TV ad in U.S. Senate primary|date=May 4, 2022|work=The Gazette|language=en}}
  • National Republican Senatorial Committee
  • National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund{{cite web |title=NRA-PVF - Grades - Iowa |url=https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/iowa |website=nrapvf.org |publisher=NRA-PVF |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221108112323/https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/iowa |archive-date=November 8, 2022 |language=en-US |url-status=usurped}}{{Cite web|url=https://www.nrapvf.org/campaigns/2022/vote-chuck-grassley/| title=Vote Freedom First. Vote Chuck Grassley for U.S. Senate! |website=NRA-PVF|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221009182925/https://www.nrapvf.org/campaigns/2022/vote-chuck-grassley|archive-date=October 9, 2022|url-status=live}}
  • National Right to Life Committee{{cite news|last=Release|first=Press|date=May 3, 2022|title=National Right to Life Endorses Chuck Grassley in Iowa Senate Race|url=https://www.nrlc.org/communications/national-right-to-life-endorses-chuck-grassley-in-iowa-senate-race/|website=National Right to Life}}
  • Pro-Israel America{{cite web|url=https://proisraelamerica.org/endorsements/|title=Endorsed Candidates|website=proisraelamerica.org|access-date=January 21, 2022|archive-date=December 20, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211220023717/https://proisraelamerica.org/endorsements/|url-status=dead}}
  • Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America{{cite news|last=Stacy|first=Nicole|date=January 20, 2022|title=SBA List's Candidate Fund PAC Endorses IA Sen. Chuck Grassley for Re-election|url=https://sbaprolife.org/newsroom/press-releases/sba-lists-candidate-fund-pac-endorses-ia-sen-chuck-grassley-for-re-election|access-date=November 2, 2022|website=Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America}}
  • Tea Party Express{{cite news|last=Release|first=For Immediate|date=May 25, 2022|title=ELECTION ALERT: Tea Party Express Endorses Chuck Grassley for Senate in Iowa|url=http://teapartyexpress.org/10707/election-alert-tea-party-express-endorses-chuck-grassley-for-senate-in-iowa.html|access-date=November 2, 2022|website=Tea Party Express}}
  • United States Chamber of Commerce{{cite news|last=Release|first=Press|date=October 14, 2022|title=U.S. Chamber Endorses Chuck Grassley for U.S. Senate|url=https://www.uschamber.com/improving-government/elections/u-s-chamber-endorses-chuck-grassley-for-u-s-senate|access-date=November 2, 2022|website=U.S. Chamber of Commerce}}

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title=Michael Franken (D)

|colwidth=60

|list=

U.S. Senators

  • Doug Jones, former U.S. Senator from Alabama (2018–2021){{cite news | url=https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/can-mike-franken-upset-iowa-political-icon-chuck-grassley-these-national-dems-think-so/ | title=Can Mike Franken upset Iowa political icon Chuck Grassley? These national Dems think so|work=The Gazette (Cedar Rapids, Iowa) }}

U.S. Representatives

  • Jim Leach, former U.S. Representative for Iowa's 1st congressional district (1977–2007){{cite web |last1=Watson |first1=Sarah |title=A former 30-year Republican Iowa Congressman is endorsing Democrats in 2022. Here's why. |url=https://qctimes.com/news/local/government-and-politics/elections/a-former-30-year-republican-iowa-congressman-is-endorsing-democrats-in-2022-heres-why/article_730ae674-84d6-5882-98c8-4aeb5b58da4d.html |publisher=Quad City Times |access-date=July 28, 2022 |date=July 27, 2022}}
  • Dave Nagle, former U.S. Representative from Iowa's 3rd congressional district (1987–1993) {{cite web |title=Campaign Almanac: Nagle endorses Franken for US Senate |url=https://wcfcourier.com/news/state-and-regional/campaign-almanac-nagle-endorses-franken-for-us-senate/article_12eb36ff-6f32-5a22-85af-bb86bc345c09.html |website=wcfcourier.com |publisher=The Waterloo-Cedar Falls Courier |access-date=May 20, 2022 |date=May 17, 2022 |archive-date=May 18, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220518012125/https://wcfcourier.com/news/state-and-regional/campaign-almanac-nagle-endorses-franken-for-us-senate/article_12eb36ff-6f32-5a22-85af-bb86bc345c09.html |url-status=dead }}

State officials

  • Bonnie Campbell, former attorney general of Iowa (1991–1995) and Director of the Office on Violence Against Women (1995–2001){{Cite news|last=|first=|title=Campaign Almanac: Two TV debates set for Iowa's U.S. Senate Democratic primary|url=https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/campaign-almanac-two-tv-debates-set-for-iowas-u-s-senate-democratic-primary/|date=April 27, 2022|work=The Gazette|language=en}}
  • Patty Judge, former lieutenant governor of Iowa (2007–2011) Secretary of Agriculture of Iowa (1999–2007) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016{{cite web |last1=Murphy |first1=Erin |title=Former Iowa ag secretary endorses Franken |url=https://www.news-journal.com/former-iowa-ag-secretary-endorses-franken/article_76d1d313-1ffb-5d1a-a262-a78193c8fca9.html |website=www.news-journal.com |publisher=Longview News-Journal |access-date=March 18, 2022 |date=February 24, 2022 |archive-date=March 19, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220319124201/https://www.news-journal.com/former-iowa-ag-secretary-endorses-franken/article_76d1d313-1ffb-5d1a-a262-a78193c8fca9.html |url-status=dead }}

State legislators

Local officials

Labor unions

  • Laborers' International Union of North America{{Cite news|last=|first=|title=Campaign Almanac: Pence to join Feenstra at 4th District convention|url=https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/campaign-almanac-pence-to-join-feenstra-at-4th-district-convention/|date=April 22, 2022|work=The Gazette|language=en|access-date=May 17, 2022}}
  • National Education Association{{cite web |title=OUR RECOMMENDED CANDIDATES |url=https://educationvotes.nea.org/our-recommended-candidates/ |access-date=October 29, 2022}}

Newspaper and other media

  • The Gazette{{Cite news|last=Willems|first=Arlie|url=https://www.thegazette.com/letters-to-the-editor/franken-will-be-an-effective-leader-for-iowa/|title=Franken will be an effective leader for Iowa|date=May 19, 2022|work=The Gazette (Cedar Rapids, Iowa)|language=en|access-date=June 6, 2022}}
  • Iowa City Press-Citizen{{cite web | url=https://www.press-citizen.com/story/opinion/editorials/our-view/2022/10/31/iowa-city-press-citizen-editorial-board-endorses-michael-franken-christina-bohannan/69606955007/ | title=Press-Citizen editorial board endorses Franken, Bohannan }}
  • KXRA (AM){{Cite web |url=https://www.voiceofalexandria.com/news/national/journal-editorial-board-endorses-franken-reynolds-feenstra-for-u-s-senate-iowa-4th-district-iowa/article_7b0839b9-39e0-5682-87cf-2d6b2811ca1d.html |title=Voice of Alexandria |access-date=November 6, 2022 |archive-date=November 6, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221106102512/https://www.voiceofalexandria.com/news/national/journal-editorial-board-endorses-franken-reynolds-feenstra-for-u-s-senate-iowa-4th-district-iowa/article_7b0839b9-39e0-5682-87cf-2d6b2811ca1d.html |url-status=dead }}
  • Sioux City Journal{{Cite web |last=board |first=Journal editorial |title=Journal Editorial Board endorses Franken, Reynolds, Feenstra for U.S. Senate, Iowa 4th district, Iowa governor |url=https://siouxcityjournal.com/opinion/editorial/journal-editorial-board-endorses-franken-reynolds-feenstra-for-u-s-senate-iowa-4th-district-iowa/article_003e5521-b774-594a-8706-d59b8fa6554b.html |access-date=November 6, 2022 |website=Sioux City Journal |date=November 5, 2022 |language=en}}
  • Storm Lake Times{{cite web | url=https://www.stormlake.com/articles/editorial-franken-for-senate/ | title=Editorial: Franken for Senate - Storm Lake Times Pilot | date=November 2, 2022 }}

Organizations

  • 314 Action{{Cite news|last=|first=|title=Campaign Almanac: STEM group backs Franken in Senate race|url=https://www.thegazette.com/campaigns-elections/campaign-almanac-national-progressive-group-endorses-in-iowa-state-local-campaigns/|date=June 1, 2022|work=The Gazette|language=en|access-date=June 6, 2022}}
  • Brady Campaign
  • End Citizens United{{cite news |title=End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Admiral Mike Franken for U.S. Senate|url=https://endcitizensunited.org/latest-news/press-releases/end-citizens-united-let-america-vote-endorses-admiral-mike-franken-for-u-s-senate/2 |work=End Citizens United |date=June 15, 2022}}
  • Iowa Unity Coalition
  • Jewish Dems
  • League of Conservation Voters{{Cite web|date=August 10, 2022|title=LCV Action Fund Endorses Admiral Franken for Senate|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-admiral-franken-for-senate/|website=www.lcv.org}}
  • Let America Vote
  • Sierra Club{{cite web|url=https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements|title=Congressional Endorsements|website=Sierra Club Independent Action}}
  • The Steady State
  • VoteVets.org{{cite web |title=VoteVets Announces Final Endorsements of the Quarter |url=https://votevets.org/press-releases/votevets-announces-final-endorsements-of-the-quarter |website=VoteVets.org |date=March 30, 2022 |access-date=April 10, 2022}}

Individuals

}}

=Polling=

Aggregate polls

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

!Source of poll
aggregation

!Dates
administered

!Dates
updated

! style="width:100px;"| Chuck
Grassley (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Michael
Franken (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Undecided
{{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=|group=}}

!Margin

FiveThirtyEight[https://web.archive.org/web/20220429105304/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2022/iowa/ FiveThirtyEight]

|October 2 – November 8, 2022

|November 8, 2022

|{{party shading/Republican}}|51.8%

|42.2%

|6.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|Grassley +9.6

270towin[https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-polls/iowa 270towin]

|October 26 – November 5, 2022

|November 8, 2022

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53.0%

|42.7%

|4.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|Grassley +10.3

colspan="3" |Average

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52.4%

|42.5%

|5.1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|Grassley +9.9

Graphical summary

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| yAxisMin = 0

| yAxisMax = 60

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Grassley

| y2Title=Franken

| y3Title=Undecided/Other

| type=line

|xGrid=

| x= 2022/04/11, 2022/07/04, 2022/07/13, 2022/07/14, 2022/09/08, 2022/10/04, 2022/10/04, 2022/10/12, 2022/10/19, 2022/10/25, 2022/10/27, 2022/11/03

| y1= 45, 49, 47, 52, 48, 54, 49, 46, 53, 52, 54, 53

| y2= 42, 44, 39, 43, 44, 40, 38, 43, 42, 44, 43, 41

| y3= 13, 7, 12, 5, 8, 6, 13, 11, 5, 4, 3, 6

| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, #DDDDDD

| showSymbols = 1

| yGrid = true

| linewidth = 2.0

}}

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Chuck
Grassley (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Michael
Franken (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.[https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/23271977/senate-iowa-poll-nov-2022-methodology.pdf Selzer & Co.]

|October 31 – November 3, 2022

|801 (LV)

|± 3.5%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|41%

|4%{{efn|"Someone else" with 3%; "Don't want to tell" with 1%}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R)[https://taxrelief.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/ITR-Foundation-Poll-October-31-2022.pdf Cygnal (R)]{{efn-ua|name="ITR"}}

|October 26–27, 2022

|600 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|54%

|43%

|–

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Civiqs[https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_IA_banner_book_2022_10_8v2a49.pdf Civiqs]

|October 22–25, 2022

|623 (LV)

|± 5.2%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52%

|44%

|3%{{efn|"Someone else" with 3%}}

|2%

style="text-align:left;"|The Tarrance Group (R)[https://www.nrsc.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/17529-release-v4.pdf The Tarrance Group (R)]{{efn-ua|name=NRSC|Poll conducted for the NRSC.}}

|October 15–19, 2022

|600 (LV)

|± 4.1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|42%

|–

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D)[https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/Franken-for-Iowa-_-Poll-Results-2022-10-19.pdf?emci=9016cc6b-7f51-ed11-819c-002248258e08&emdi=4a18036d-8051-ed11-819c-002248258e08&ceid=13225110 Change Research (D)]{{efn-ua|name="Franken"}}

|October 14–18, 2022

|1,008 (LV)

|± 3.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|45%

|–

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.[https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2022/10/15/iowa-us-senate-race-chuck-grassley-mike-franken-poll-election/69562063007/ Selzer & Co.]

|October 9–12, 2022

|620 (LV)

|± 3.9%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

|43%

|8%{{efn|"Someone else" with 4%; "Would not vote" with 4%}}

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Emerson College[https://emersoncollegepolling.com/iowa-2022-republican-candidates-grassley-and-reynolds-hold-double-digit-leads-in-us-senate-and-gubernatorial-elections/ Emerson College]

|October 2–4, 2022

|959 (LV)

|± 3.1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|49%

|38%

|4%

|9%

style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R)[https://taxrelief.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/ITR-Foundation-Poll-October-2022.pdf Cygnal (R)]{{efn-ua|name="ITR"}}

|October 2–4, 2022

|600 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|54%

|40%

|–

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D){{usurped|1=[https://web.archive.org/web/20220913152957/https://frankenforiowa.com/new-poll-admiral-michael-franken-within-4-points-of-sen-chuck-grassley/ Change Research (D)]}}{{efn-ua|name="Franken"}}

|September 3–8, 2022

|1,143 (LV)

|± 3.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|48%

|44%

|–

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R)[https://taxrelief.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/ITR-Foundation-July-2022-poll-toplines.pdf Cygnal (R)]{{efn-ua|name="ITR"}}

|July 13–14, 2022

|600 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|52%

|43%

|–

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.[https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2022/07/16/iowa-poll-chuck-grassley-senate-race-mike-franken-approval-rating-elections/10062297002/ Selzer & Co.]

|July 10–13, 2022

|597 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|47%

|39%

|7%

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D)[https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/Franken-for-Iowa-_-July-Poll-Results-1.pdf Change Research (D)]{{efn-ua|name="Franken"}}

|June 30 – July 4, 2022

|1,488 (LV)

|± 2.7%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|49%

|44%

|–

|7%

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D){{usurped|1=[https://web.archive.org/web/20220423001419/https://frankenforiowa.com/new-poll-shows-franken-grassley-neck-and-neck-in-the-2022-general-election/ Change Research (D)]}}{{efn-ua|This poll was sponsored by Franken's campaign|name="Franken"}}

|April 6–11, 2022

|1,070 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|45%

|42%

|–

|13%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

Chuck Grassley vs. Abby Finkenauer

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Chuck
Grassley (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Abby
Finkenauer (D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Moore Information Group (R)[https://www.protectingtaxpayers.org/wp-content/uploads/Iowa-Memo-and-Topline.pdf Moore Information Group (R)]

|March 8–13, 2022

|400 (LV)

|± 5.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|45%

|36%

|6%

|14%

style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R)[https://itrfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/ITR-Foundation-Poll-Toplines-02-28-2022.pdf Cygnal (R)] {{Webarchive|url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220228170124/https://itrfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/ITR-Foundation-Poll-Toplines-02-28-2022.pdf |date=February 28, 2022 }}{{efn-ua|name="ITR"}}

|February 20–22, 2022

|610 (LV)

|± 3.9%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|39%

|–

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Data for Progress (D)[https://www.scribd.com/document/547885400/Data-For-Progress-Iowa-Poll Data for Progress (D)]

|December 2–13, 2021

|770 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|39%

|–

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Cygnal (R)[https://itrfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/10/ITR-Foundation-Poll-Toplines-10-22-2021.pdf Cygnal (R)]{{efn-ua|This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation|name="ITR"}}

|October 18–19, 2021

|600 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55%

|39%

|–

|6%

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.[https://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/21066409/grassley-iowa-poll.pdf Selzer & Co.]

|September 12–15, 2021

|620 (LV)

|± 3.9%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55%

|37%

|1%{{efn|"Would not vote" (volunteered answer) with 1%}}

|7%

{{hidden end}}

=Results=

{{Election box begin

| title = 2022 United States Senate election in Iowa

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link

| candidate = Chuck Grassley (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 681,501

| percentage = 56.01%

| change = -4.08%

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link

| candidate = Michael Franken

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 533,330

| percentage = 43.84%

| change = +8.18%

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link

| votes = 1,815

| percentage = 0.15%

| change = +0.04%

}}

{{Election box total

| votes = 1,216,646

| percentage = 100.00%

| change = N/A

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no swing

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

== Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic ==

==By congressional district==

Grassley won all 4 congressional districts.{{cite web | url=https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRXYCnfsuOCgN6RiQhkxlzl5yqY9EUJkYDrgEW_z4NhezMAMQzOz6zuV32-5T-oqj_dlXUcURE7d9yu/pubhtml | title=2022 Iowa Election Results by Congressional District }}

class=wikitable

! District

! Grassley

! Franken

! Representative

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Iowa|1|1st}}

| 53%

| 47%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Mariannette Miller-Meeks

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Iowa|2|2nd}}

| 55%

| 45%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Ashley Hinson

align=center

! rowspan=2 {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Iowa|3|3rd}}

| rowspan=2|51%

| rowspan=2|48%

| {{party shading/Democratic}}|Cindy Axne (117th Congress)

align=center

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Zach Nunn (118th Congress)

align=center

! {{party shading/Republican}}|{{ushr|Iowa|4|4th}}

| 66%

| 34%

| {{party shading/Republican}}|Randy Feenstra

See also

Notes

{{notelist}}

Partisan clients

{{notelist-ua}}

References

{{reflist}}

External links

Official campaign websites

  • {{usurped|1=[https://web.archive.org/web/20211021111724/https://www.frankenforiowa.com/ Michael Franken (D) for Senate]}}
  • [https://grassleyworks.com/ Chuck Grassley (R) for Senate]

{{2022 United States elections}}

2022

Iowa

United States Senate