2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 2

{{Short description|none}}

{{Distinguish|2022 Iowa House of Representatives election}}

{{for|related races|2022 United States House of Representatives elections}}

{{Use mdy dates|date=July 2020}}

{{use American English|date=November 2020}}

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

| country = Iowa

| type = legislative

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

| previous_year = 2020

| next_election = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

| next_year = 2024

| seats_for_election = All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives

| election_date = November 8, 2022

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| last_election1 = 3

| seats1 = 4

| seat_change1 = {{increase}} 1

| popular_vote1 = 677,857

| percentage1 = 55.94%

| swing1 = {{increase}} 3.52%

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| last_election2 = 1

| seats2 = 0

| seat_change2 = {{decrease}} 1

| popular_vote2 = 526,460

| percentage2 = 43.45%

| swing2 = {{decrease}} 3.05%

| map_image = {{switcher |260px |Results by party gains |260px{{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Republican

{{legend|#e27f90|50–60%}}

{{legend|#cc2f4a|60–70%}}

{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}

{{legend|#aa0000|80–90%}}

{{col-2}}

Democratic

{{legend|#86b6f2|50–60%}}

{{legend|#1666cb|70–80%}}

{{col-end}} |Election results by district |260px{{col-begin}}

{{col-2}}

Republican

{{legend|#e27f90|50–60%}}

{{legend|#cc2f4a|60–70%}}

{{legend|#D40000|70–80%}}

{{legend|#aa0000|80–90%}}

{{col-2}}

Democratic

{{legend|#86b6f2|50–60%}}

{{legend|#1666cb|70–80%}}

{{col-end}} |Election results by county |default=1}}

| map_caption = {{legend0|#F48882|Republican hold}} {{legend0|#CA0120|Republican gain}}

}}

{{Elections in Iowa}}

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the State of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. These were the first congressional elections held in Iowa after the 2020 redistricting cycle.

Republicans won all four House seats, making this the first time since 1994 that Democrats had been completely shut out of Iowa's House delegation. This also marks the first time since 1956 that there are no Democrats in Iowa's Congressional delegation.

{{toclimit|2}}

Background

In the 2020 elections, Republicans flipped the 1st and 2nd congressional districts while holding the 4th, while Democrats only managed to hold onto the 3rd. Iowa was considered to be an important state in the 2022 midterm elections, as Republicans only needed a net gain of five seats to flip the House of Representatives, and the 3rd district had one of the closest House elections won by a Democrat in 2020. At an event in 2021, United States Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX), claimed that the "road to the majority...comes through Iowa."{{Cite web |date=August 28, 2021 |title=Iowa GOP sets sight on 2022 election to flip house and senate majority |url=https://cbs2iowa.com/news/local/iowa-gop-sets-sight-on-2022-election-to-flip-house-and-senate-majority |website=KGAN}} However, Democrats remained optimistic, with former U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer saying she "couldn't be more excited" about the roster of Iowa Democrats running for Congress in 2022.{{Cite web |date=July 27, 2021 |title=Democratic State Senator Liz Mathis running for U.S. Congress |url=https://dailyiowan.com/2021/07/27/democratic-state-senator-liz-mathis-running-for-u-s-congress/ |website=The Daily Iowan}}

District 1

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2022 Iowa's 1st congressional district election

| country = Iowa

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 2

| previous_year = 2020

| election_date =

| next_election = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 1

| next_year = 2024

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Mariannette Miller-Meeks, official portrait, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Mariannette Miller-Meeks

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 162,947

| percentage1 = 53.4%

| image2 = File:Christina Bohannan (3x4).jpg

| nominee2 = Christina Bohannan

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 142,173

| percentage2 = 46.6%

| map_image = File:IA-2022-1.svg

| map_size = 220px

| map_caption = Results by county
Miller-Meeks: {{legend0|#ed8883|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55751|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02823|70–80%}}
Bohannan: {{legend0|#416fcd|70–80%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Mariannette Miller-Meeks

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Mariannette Miller-Meeks

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{see also|Iowa's 1st congressional district}}

After redistricting, most of the old 2nd district became the 1st district. The reconfigured 1st covers southeastern Iowa, and includes Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The 1st district was based in northeastern Iowa, and included the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. First-term Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks sought reelection in this district. Miller-Meeks flipped the 2nd district with 49.9% of the vote in 2020, defeating Democratic nominee Rita Hart by just six votes out of more than 394,000 cast, a margin of 0.002%.{{cite web |title=General Election - 2020 Canvass Summary |url=https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2020/general/canvsummary.pdf |website=Iowa Secretary of State}}

= Republican primary =

== Candidates ==

=== Nominee ===

  • Mariannette Miller-Meeks, incumbent U.S. Representative{{cite web |last1=Shillcock |first1=George |title=Mariannete Miller-Meeks announces re-election bid, blasts Joe Biden |url=https://www.press-citizen.com/story/news/2021/09/18/mariannette-miller-meeks-announces-re-election-bid-blasts-joe-biden-tom-cotton-republican-party/8317443002/ |website=www.press-citizen.com |publisher=Iowa City Press-Citizen |access-date=19 September 2021}}{{cite web |title=Will Axne and Miller-Meeks face off in new 3rd district?|url=https://www.kcci.com/article/will-axne-and-miller-meeks-face-off-in-new-3rd-district/38109370 |website=www.kcci.com |date=October 29, 2021 |publisher=kcci.com |access-date=29 October 2021}}

==Withdrawn==

  • Kyle Kuehl, business owner{{cite web |last1=Doster |first1=Meg |title=Kyle Kuehl, Republican candidate for Iowa's 1st Congressional District, drops out of race as petition is rejected by state panel |url=https://dailyiowan.com/2022/03/29/kyle-kuehl-republican-candidate-for-iowas-1st-congressional-district-drops-out-of-race-as-petition-is-rejected-by-state-panel/ |website=www.dailyiowan.com |publisher=Student Publications |access-date=31 March 2022}}

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title= Mariannette Miller-Meeks

| width= 60em

|list=

Federal officials

Statewide officials

Organizations

  • Americans for Prosperity
  • Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions{{cite web |title=Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle |url=https://cresenergy.com/pressreleases/citizens-for-responsible-energy-solutions-announces-second-round-of-congressional-endorsements-for-the-2022-election-cycle/ |website=cresenergy.com |publisher=Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions |access-date=7 June 2022 |date=4 May 2022 |archive-date=August 21, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220821091958/https://cresenergy.com/pressreleases/citizens-for-responsible-energy-solutions-announces-second-round-of-congressional-endorsements-for-the-2022-election-cycle/ |url-status=dead }}
  • Maggie's List{{Cite web|title=2022 Candidates|url=http://maggieslist.org/candidates/2022-candidates|access-date=January 2, 2021|website=www.maggieslist.org|language=en-US}}

}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results{{cite web |title=2022 Primary Election - Election Canvass Summary |url=https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2022/primary/canvsummary.pdf |website=Iowa Secretary of State}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = {{nowrap|Mariannette Miller-Meeks (incumbent)}}

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 41,260

| percentage = 98.7

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 546

|percentage = 1.3

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 41,806

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Democratic primary{{Anchor|Iowa 1 Dem primary}}=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Christina Bohannan, state representative{{Cite web|url=https://qctimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/she-beat-a-20-year-incumbent-in-2020-now-this-iowa-lawmaker-has-her-sights/article_75d89a48-d3fb-59f6-9c60-fe50792f133f.html|title = UPDATED: She beat a 20-year incumbent in 2020, now this Iowa lawmaker has her sights on Congress| date=August 24, 2021 }}

===Withdrawn===

  • Joseph Kerner{{cite news |last1=Akin |first1=Katie |title=Iowa election 2022: Who's running for governor and for Congress? |url=https://www.3newsnow.com/news/local-news/iowa-election-2022-whos-running-for-governor-and-for-congress |publisher=3 News Now Omaha |date=February 8, 2022 |access-date=February 12, 2022}} (ran for state house){{cite web | url=https://ballotpedia.org/Joseph_Kerner | title=Joseph Kerner }}

===Declined===

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title= Christina Bohannan

|list=

Federal officials

  • Cindy Axne, U.S. Representative for Iowa's 3rd congressional district (2019–present){{Cite news|last=Murphy|first=Erin|date=September 22, 2021|title=Campaign Almanac for Wednesday, September 22, 2021|work=Quad-City Times|url=https://qctimes.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/campaign-almanac-for-wednesday-september-22-2021/article_9d041435-56f7-5a40-82ff-6b651dd7f56a.html|url-status=live|access-date=September 30, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210922215308/https://qctimes.com/news/state-and-regional/govt-and-politics/campaign-almanac-for-wednesday-september-22-2021/article_9d041435-56f7-5a40-82ff-6b651dd7f56a.html|archive-date=September 22, 2021}}
  • Jim Leach, former U.S. Representative for this district (1977–2007) (Democrat, served in Congress as a Republican){{cite web |last1=Watson |first1=Sarah |title=A former 30-year Republican Iowa Congressman is endorsing Democrats in 2022. Here's why. |url=https://qctimes.com/news/local/government-and-politics/elections/a-former-30-year-republican-iowa-congressman-is-endorsing-democrats-in-2022-heres-why/article_730ae674-84d6-5882-98c8-4aeb5b58da4d.html |publisher=Quad City Times |access-date=28 July 2022 |date=27 July 2022}}
  • Dave Loebsack, former U.S. Representative for Iowa's 2nd congressional district (2007–2021){{cite web |last1=Dunlap |first1=Natalie |title=Former U.S. Rep. Dave Loebsack endorses Congressional candidate and state Rep. Christina Bohannan |url=https://dailyiowan.com/2021/08/30/former-u-s-rep-dave-loebsack-endorses-congressional-candidate-and-state-rep-christina-bohannan/ |website=www.dailyiowan.com |publisher=The Daily Iowan |access-date=30 August 2021}}

Organizations

  • 314 Action{{Cite web|date=September 9, 2021|title=314 ACTION FUND ENDORSES STATE REP. CHRISTINA BOHANNAN IN IA-02 RACE|url=https://314action.org/2021/09/09/314-action-fund-endorses-state-rep-christina-bohannan-in-ia-02-race/|access-date=November 20, 2021|website=314 Action|language=en-US}}
  • EMILY's List{{Cite web|date=December 16, 2021|title=EMILY'S LIST ENDORSES CHRISTINA BOHANNAN AND LIZ MATHIS FOR CONGRESS|url=https://www.emilyslist.org/news/entry/emilys-list-endorses-christina-bohannan-and-liz-mathis-for-congress|access-date=December 29, 2021|website=www.emilyslist.com|language=en-US}}
  • Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund{{cite web |title=2022 Endorsed Candidates |url=https://gunsensevoter.org/2022-endorsed-moms-demand-action-students-demand-action-volunteers/ |publisher=Everytown for Gun Safety |access-date=23 June 2022}}
  • Human Rights Campaign PAC{{cite web |title=Human Rights Campaign Endorses 14 Pro-Equality Champions for U.S. House of Representatives |url=https://www.hrc.org/press-releases/human-rights-campaign-endorses-14-pro-equality-champions-for-u-s-house-of-representatives |publisher=Human Rights Campaign |access-date=7 July 2022 |date=6 July 2022}}
  • League of Conservation Voters{{Cite web|date=February 3, 2022|title=LCV ACTION FUND ENDORSES LIZ MATHIS AND CHRISTINA BOHANNAN FOR CONGRESS|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-endorses-liz-mathis-and-christina-bohannan-for-congress/|access-date=February 3, 2022|website=www.lcv.org}}
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America{{cite web |title=NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Future Leaders for Reproductive Freedom in Key U.S. House Races in Iowa, Illinois, and New York |url=https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/2022/03/15/naral-pro-choice-america-endorses-future-leaders-for-reproductive-freedom-in-key-us-house-races-in-iowa-illinois-new-york/ |website=www.prochoiceamerica.org |date=March 15, 2022 |publisher=NARAL Pro-Choice America |access-date=16 March 2022}}
  • New Democrat Coalition Action Fund{{cite web |title=Endorsed Candidates – NewDem Action Fund |url=https://newdemactionfund.com/candidates |website=newdemactionfund.com |access-date=30 May 2022}}
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund{{cite web |last1=McIntire |first1=Mary |last2=Akin |first2=Stephanie |last3=Ackley |first3=Kate |title=At the Races: KBJ OK TBD |url=https://rollcall.com/2022/03/24/at-the-races-kbj-ok-tk/ |website=rollcall.com |publisher=Roll Call |access-date=30 March 2022 |date=24 March 2022}}

Labor unions

  • United Auto Workers{{Cite web|title=Iowa - UAW Endorsements|url=https://uawendorsements.org/map/iowa/|website=United Auto Workers|language=en-US}}

}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Christina Bohannan

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 37,475

| percentage = 99.7

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 110

|percentage = 0.3

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 37,585

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

= General election =

==Debate==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2022 Iowa's 1st congressional district debate

scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}}

! scope="col" | Date

! scope="col" | Host

! scope="col" | Moderator

! scope="col" | Link

! scope="col"| Republican

! scope="col"| Democratic

colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key:
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant  {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent  {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited  {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"|

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"|

scope="col" | Mariannette Miller-Meeks

! scope="col" | Christina Bohannan

1

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Sep. 26, 2022

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Iowa PBS

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Kay Henderson

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ah5HXp251rc YouTube]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

== Predictions ==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{cite web |date=September 1, 2022 |title=2022 House Race Ratings |url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings |access-date=September 7, 2022 |website=The Cook Political Report}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

| October 5, 2022

align=left | Inside Elections{{cite web |date=September 1, 2022 |title=House Ratings |url=http://insideelections.com/ratings/house |access-date=September 7, 2022 |publisher=The Rothenberg Political Report}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

|September 1, 2022

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web |date=September 7, 2022 |title=2022 House Ratings |url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2022-house/ |access-date=September 7, 2022 |website=Sabato's Crystal Ball}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

| September 7, 2022

align="left" |Politico{{Cite web |date=August 12, 2022 |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://www.politico.com/2022-election/race-forecasts-ratings-and-predictions/house/ |access-date=September 6, 2022 |work=Politico}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

|August 12, 2022

align="left" |RCP{{cite web |date=September 1, 2022 |title=Battle for the House 2022 |url=https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/house/elections-map.html |access-date=September 6, 2022 |publisher=RCP}}

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

|September 1, 2022

align=left |Fox News{{cite web |date=August 22, 2022 |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-power-rankings-gop-house-majority-shrinks-democrats-score-key-victories |access-date=September 6, 2022 |website=Fox News}}

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

|October 18, 2022

align="left" |DDHQ{{cite web |date=September 6, 2022 |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://forecast.decisiondeskhq.com/house |access-date=September 6, 2022 |website=DDHQ}}

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|September 6, 2022

align="left" |FiveThirtyEight{{cite web |date=September 6, 2022 |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/ |archive-url=https://archive.today/20220630173353/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/ |url-status=dead |archive-date=June 30, 2022 |access-date=September 6, 2022 |website=FiveThirtyEight}}

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|November 8, 2022

align="left" |The Economist

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

| September 28, 2022

==Polling==

Graphical summary

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Miller-Meeks

| y2Title=Bohannan

| y3Title=Undecided

| type=line

|xGrid=

| x= 2022/04/06, 2022/07/04

| y1= 43, 39

| y2= 47, 38

| y3= 15, 22

| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, #DDDDDD

| showSymbols = 1

| yGrid = true

| linewidth = 2.0

}}

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Mariannette
{{nowrap|Miller-Meeks (R)}}

! style="width:100px;"| Christina
Bohannan (D)

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Change Research (D)[https://www.kpvi.com/news/national_news/poll-iowas-1st-2nd-and-3rd-districts-tied-or-separated-by-just-1-point/article_b8fc7017-ba59-55f1-a651-31d499b7a0e8.html Change Research (D)]{{efn-ua|This poll was sponsored by Michael Franken's campaign for U.S. Senate|name=Franken}}

|June 30 – July 4, 2022

|375 (LV)

|± 5.1%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|39%

|38%

|22%

style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D)[https://admin.314action.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/IA1Toplines1.pdf Public Policy Polling (D)]{{efn-ua|This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Bohannan|name=Bohannan}}

|April 5–6, 2022

|534 (V)

|± 3.4%

43%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

|15%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Republican

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Democrat

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.[https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2022/10/17/iowa-poll-us-house-race-axne-nunn-hinson-mathis-election/69563109007/ Selzer & Co.]

|October 9–12, 2022

|155 (LV)

|± 8.4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|50%

|41%

|1%

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.[https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2022/07/20/iowa-poll-house-election-2022-republicans-favored-democrats-congressional-districts/10072584002/ Selzer & Co.]

|July 10–13, 2022

|149 (LV)

|± 8.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|50%

|40%

|–

|10%

{{hidden end}}

== Results ==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = 2022 Iowa's 1st congressional district election{{cite web |title=2022 General Election - Election Canvass Summary |url=https://sos.iowa.gov/elections/pdf/2022/general/canvsummary.pdf |website=Iowa Secretary of State}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = {{nowrap|Mariannette Miller-Meeks (incumbent)}}

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 162,947

| percentage = 53.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Christina Bohannan

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 142,173

| percentage = 46.6

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 260

| percentage = 0.1

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 305,380

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

{{clear}}

District 2

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2022 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election

| country = Iowa

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 1

| previous_year = 2020

| election_date =

| next_election = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 2

| next_year = 2024

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Ashley Hinson, official portrait, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Ashley Hinson

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 172,181

| percentage1 = 54.1%

| image2 = File:Liz Mathis (3x4).jpg

| nominee2 = Liz Mathis

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 145,940

| percentage2 = 45.8%

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Ashley Hinson

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Ashley Hinson

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

| map_image = File:Iowa's 2nd Congressional District 2022 results.svg

| map_size = 250px

| map_caption = Results by county
Hinson: {{legend0|#ed8883|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55751|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02823|70–80%}}
Mathis: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}}

}}

{{see also|Iowa's 2nd congressional district}}

After redistricting, most of the old 1st district became the 2nd district. The reconfigured 2nd is located in northeastern Iowa and includes Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, Waterloo and Mason City. Freshman Republican Ashley Hinson, who flipped the district with 51.2% of the vote in 2020, sought reelection in the 2nd.

=Republican primary{{Anchor|Iowa 1 GOP primary}}=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Ashley Hinson, incumbent U.S. Representative{{cite web |last1=Dunlap |first1=Natalie |title=Rep. Ashley Hinson announces reelection campaign, with support of Iowa Republicans, Sen. Ted Cruz |url=https://dailyiowan.com/2021/08/28/rep-ashley-hinson-announces-reelection-with-support-of-iowa-republicans-sen-ted-cruz/ |website=www.dailyiowan.com |publisher=The Daily Iowan |access-date=29 August 2021}}{{cite web |title=Ashley Hinson announces run for re-election of Iowa's new 2nd Congressional District|url=https://ktvo.com/news/local/ashley-hinson-announces-run-for-re-election-of-iowas-new-2nd-congressional-district |website=www.ktvo.com |date=October 29, 2021 |publisher=ktvo.com |access-date=29 October 2021}}

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title= Ashley Hinson

| width= 60em

|list=

Federal officials

Statewide officials

Individuals

Organizations

}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Ashley Hinson (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 39,897

| percentage = 99.3

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 284

|percentage = 0.7

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 40,181

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Democratic primary{{Anchor|Iowa 2 Dem primary}}=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Liz Mathis, state senator{{Cite web|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/07/27/democrat-liz-mathis-announces-campaign-congress-iowa-1st-district-republican-ashley-hinson/5381313001|title = Democratic state Sen. Liz Mathis launches campaign for Congress in Iowa's 1st District| website=The Des Moines Register }}

===Declined===

  • Abby Finkenauer, former U.S. Representative (ran for the U.S. Senate){{Cite web|last=|first=|title=Former Rep. Abby Finkenauer announces run for GOP Sen. Chuck Grassley's Iowa seat|url=https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/rep-abby-finkenauer-announces-run-senate-iowa/story?id=78990494|url-status=live|access-date=2021-07-22|website=ABC News|language=en|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210722153720/https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/rep-abby-finkenauer-announces-run-senate-iowa/story?id=78990494 |archive-date=July 22, 2021 }}

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title= Liz Mathis

|colwidth = 60

|list=

Federal officials

Statewide officials

State legislators

Local officials

Individuals

Organizations

Labor unions

}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Liz Mathis

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 40,737

| percentage = 99.6

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 150

|percentage = 0.4

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 40,887

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

= General election =

== Predictions ==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

| October 25, 2022

align=left | Inside Elections

| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R}}

|October 21, 2022

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

| September 7, 2022

align="left" |Politico

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

|August 12, 2022

align="left" |RCP

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|September 1, 2022

align=left |Fox News

| {{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|August 22, 2022

align="left" |DDHQ

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|September 6, 2022

align="left" |FiveThirtyEight

|{{USRaceRating|Likely|R}}

|September 7, 2022

align="left" |The Economist

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R}}

| September 28, 2022

==Polling==

Graphical summary

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Hinson

| y2Title=Mathis

| y3Title=Undecided

| type=line

|xGrid=

| x= 2022/02/03, 2022/07/20

| y1= 43, 44

| y2= 42, 44

| y3= 15, 12

| colors = #E81B23, #3333FF, #DDDDDD

| showSymbols = 1

| yGrid = true

| linewidth = 2.0

}}

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Ashley
Hinson (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Liz
Mathis (D)

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D)[https://www.kpvi.com/news/national_news/poll-iowas-1st-2nd-and-3rd-districts-tied-or-separated-by-just-1-point/article_b8fc7017-ba59-55f1-a651-31d499b7a0e8.html Public Policy Polling (D)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Mathis's campaign|name=Mathis}}

|July 19–20, 2022

|594 (V)

|± 4.0%

|44%

|44%

|12%

style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D)[https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000017e-d215-ddf9-a9fe-da17763f0000 Public Policy Polling (D)]{{efn-ua|name=Mathis}}

|February 2–3, 2022

|623 (V)

|± 3.9%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|43%

|42%

|15%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Republican

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Democrat

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.

|October 9–12, 2022

|155 (LV)

|± 8.4%

|46%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|48%

|1%

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D){{efn-ua|name=Mathis}}

|July 19–20, 2022

|594 (V)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|50%

|43%

|–

|7%

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.

|July 10–13, 2022

|149 (LV)

|± 8.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|54%

|42%

|–

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D){{efn-ua|name=Mathis}}

|February 2–3, 2022

|623 (V)

|± 3.9%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|45%

|42%

|13%

{{hidden end}}

== Results ==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = 2022 Iowa's 2nd congressional district election

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Ashley Hinson (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 172,181

| percentage = 54.1

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Liz Mathis

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 145,940

| percentage = 45.8

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 278

| percentage = 0.1

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 318,399

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

District 3

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2022 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election

| country = Iowa

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 3

| previous_year = 2020

| election_date =

| next_election = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 3

| next_year = 2024

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Rep. Zach Nunn official photo, 118th Congress (3x4).jpg

| nominee1 = Zach Nunn

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 156,262

| percentage1 = 50.2%

| image2 = File:Cindy Axne, official portrait, 116th Congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee2 = Cindy Axne

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 154,117

| percentage2 = 49.6%

| map_image = File:Iowa's 3rd Congressional District 2022 results.svg

| map_size = 250px

| map_caption = Results by county
Nunn: {{legend0|#ed8883|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55751|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02823|70–80%}}
Axne: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Cindy Axne

| before_party = Democratic Party (United States)

| after_election = Zach Nunn

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{see also|Iowa's 3rd congressional district}}

Before redistricting, the 3rd district encompassed southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The new 3rd is still anchored in Des Moines, but now covers south-central Iowa. The incumbent was Democrat Cindy Axne, who was re-elected with 48.9% of the vote in 2020.

During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of then-candidate Zach Nunn.{{cite news|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/23/house-gop-candidates-air-force-records-00084053|title=2 former House GOP candidates alerted to improper requests for Air Force records}}

=Democratic primary{{Anchor|Iowa 3 Dem primary}}=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Cindy Axne, incumbent U.S. Representative{{Cite web|last=Pfannenstiel|first=Brianne|title= Cindy Axne will run for reelection in Congress, closing the door on Iowa gubernatorial bid|url= https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/11/12/cindy-axne-reelection-for-congress-third-district-2022-close-door-iowa-governor-bid/6343377001/|access-date=12 November 2021|website=Des Moines Register|language=en}}

===Endorsements===

{{Endorsements box

| title= Cindy Axne

| width= 60em

| list=

Organizations

  • American Israel Public Affairs Committee{{cite web |title=AIPAC PAC Featured Candidates|url=https://candidates.aipacpac.org/page/featured|website=aipacpac.org}}
  • EMILY's List{{cite web |title=EMILY's List Endorses 17 Congresswomen for Reelection|url=https://www.emilyslist.org/news/entry/emilys-list-endorses-17-congresswomen-for-reelection|website=www.emilyslist.org |publisher=EMILY's List |language=en |date=March 26, 2021 |url-status=live |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210424092124/https://www.emilyslist.org/news/entry/emilys-list-endorses-17-congresswomen-for-reelection |archive-date=April 24, 2021 }}
  • Feminist Majority PAC{{cite web |title=2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements |url=https://feministmajoritypac.org/endorsements/2022/ |website=feministmajoritypac.org |access-date=9 April 2022}}
  • Giffords{{Cite web|date=March 23, 2022|title=Giffords Endorses Slate of Gun Safety Champions|url=https://giffords.org/press-release/2022/03/giffords-endorses-slate-of-gun-safety-champions/|website=www.giffords.org|publisher=Giffords|language=en-US}}
  • Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund{{cite web |last1=Society |first1=Humane |title=2022 Endorsements|url=http://elections.hslf.org/#|website=Humane Society Legislative Fund |language=en}}
  • Jewish Democratic Council of America{{Cite web|title=N2022 Endorsements|url=https://jewishdems.org/2022-endorsements/|website=Jewish Democratic Council of America}}
  • League of Conservation Voters{{Cite web|date=February 10, 2022|title=LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Incumbent House Endorsements|url=https://www.lcv.org/article/lcv-action-fund-announces-first-round-of-incumbent-house-endorsements/|website=www.lcv.org}}
  • NARAL Pro-Choice America{{cite web|title=We're proud to endorse these reproductive freedom champions and leaders!|url=https://www.prochoiceamerica.org/elections/endorsements-2/|website=NARAL Pro-Choice America|date=August 30, 2021}}
  • National Women's Political Caucus{{Cite web|title=NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates|url=https://www.nwpc.org/endorsedcandidates/|website=National Women's Political Caucus}}
  • Natural Resources Defense Council{{cite news |last1=Turrentine |first1=Jeff |title=NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections |url=https://www.nrdcactionfund.org/nrdc-action-fund-endorses-these-candidates-in-the-2022-elections/ |access-date=March 15, 2022 |work=Natural Resources Defense Council |date=March 8, 2022}}
  • Planned Parenthood Action Fund{{Cite web|title= Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates |url=https://www.plannedparenthoodaction.org/2022-endorsements|access-date=December 22, 2021|website=www.plannedparenthoodaction.org|language=en-US}}
  • Sierra Club{{Cite web|url=https://www.sierraclubindependentaction.org/endorsements|title=Sierra Club Voter Guide: Endorsements|date=March 19, 2021|website=Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide}}

Labor unions

}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Cindy Axne (incumbent)

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 47,710

| percentage = 99.5

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 252

|percentage = 0.5

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 47,962

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Republican primary{{Anchor|Iowa 3 GOP primary}}=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

  • Zach Nunn, state senator{{Cite web|last=Pfannenstiel|first=Brianne|title=Republican state Sen. Zach Nunn announces congressional campaign in Iowa's 3rd District|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/07/13/iowa-state-senator-sen-zach-nunn-announces-2022-campaign-congress-against-cindy-axne-third-district/7944052002/|date=July 13, 2021|access-date=August 12, 2021|website=The Des Moines Register|language=en-US}}

===Eliminated in primary===

  • Nicole Hasso, financial planner{{cite web|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/07/07/iowa-republican-nicole-hasso-announces-campaign-for-third-district-seat-cindy-axne/7891658002/|title=Johnston Republican Nicole Hasso announces her candidacy for Iowa's 3rd District congressional race|date=July 7, 2021|access-date=August 12, 2021|last=Pfannenstiel|first=Brianne|website=The Des Moines Register|language=en}}
  • Gary Leffler, construction consultant{{cite web | url=https://www.kmaland.com/news/meet-the-candidates-gary-leffler/article_ca8a78d4-d562-11ec-a5fd-0bc68e62af68.html | title=Meet the Candidates: Gary Leffler | date=May 19, 2022 }}

===Withdrawn===

  • Mary Ann Hanusa, former state representative{{Cite web|last=Brownlee|first=Brownlee|title=Hanusa officially launches run for Congress|url=https://nonpareilonline.com/news/national/govt-and-politics/hanusa-officially-launches-run-for-congress/article_a7c6023a-bf21-11eb-81ef-c3ec2ab20df8.html|date=May 27, 2021|access-date=August 12, 2021|website=The Daily Nonpareil|language=en}} (running for State Auditor){{Cite web|last=Pfannenstiel|first=Brianne|date=January 5, 2022|title= Retired GOP state Rep. Mary Ann Hanusa to run for state auditor against Democrat Rob Sand|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2022/01/05/republican-mary-ann-hanusa-run-against-democrat-rob-sand-iowa-auditor-election-2022/9096116002/|access-date=January 5, 2022|website=www.desmoinesregister.com|publisher=The Des Moines Register|language=en-US}}

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title= Nicole Hasso

|list=

U.S. Senators

  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas (2013–present) and candidate for President in 2016{{cite web|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2021/08/12/cruz-endorses-iowa-house-challenger-504115|title=Ted Cruz endorses Iowa House challenger|last=Isenstadt|first=Alex|date=August 12, 2021|access-date=August 12, 2021|website=Politico|language=en}}

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title= Zach Nunn

|list=

U.S. Executive Branch officials

  • Mike Pompeo, 70th U.S. Secretary of State (2018–2021) and former Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (2017–2018){{Cite web|last=Vander Hart|first=Shane|date=March 25, 2022|title=Pompeo endorses Zach Nunn in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District race|url=https://iowatorch.com/2022/03/25/pompeo-endorses-zach-nunn-in-iowas-3rd-congressional-district-race/|access-date=March 26, 2022|website=The Iowa Torch}}
  • Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021){{cite web|url=https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/news-cbqjtbk2pk0|title=Endorsement of Zach Nunn|website=Donald Trump|date=July 6, 2022|access-date=July 7, 2022}}
  • Ryan Zinke, 52nd U.S. Secretary of the Interior (2017–2019) and U.S. Representative for Montana's at-large congressional district (2015–2017){{cite web|url=https://mobile.twitter.com/NunnForCongress/status/1493996618382782467|title=Honored to have the endorsement of @sealpacusa and Navy SEAL/Trump Secretary @RyanZinke & join the ranks of other combat veterans running to take back the House. We've had enough of our freedoms being trampled on by DC, it's time to put our Constitution & our country first again!|website=Twitter|date=February 16, 2022|access-date=July 7, 2022}}

Organizations

  • Americans for Prosperity{{Cite web|date=December 14, 2021|title=Miller-Meeks, Nunn Endorsed By Americans for Prosperity Action|url=https://iowatorch.com/2021/12/14/miller-meeks-nunn-endorsed-americans-for-prosperity-action/|access-date=March 26, 2022|website=The Iowa Torch}}
  • SEAL PAC{{cite web |title=Accomplished Veterans Endorsed by SEAL PAC |url=https://www.sealpac.org/ |website=SEAL PAC |access-date=5 May 2022}}

}}

==Debates and forums==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2022 IA-03 Republican primary debates and forums

style="font-size:small;"

!scope="col"| {{abbr|No.|Number}}

!scope="col"| Date

!scope="col"| Host

!scope="col"| Moderator

!scope="col"| Link

!scope="col" colspan="3"| Participants

colspan="5" rowspan="2" |{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant  {{Colors|black|#ff9090| A }} Absent  {{Colors|black|#A2B2C2| N }} Non-invitee  {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invitee{{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn

! scope="col" style="background:#E81B23;"|

! scope="col" style="background:#E81B23;"|

! scope="col" style="background:#E81B23;"|

scope="col"| Hasso

!scope="col"| Leffler

!scope="col"| Nunn

style="background:#FFFFFF;font-size:small;"

!scope="row"| 1

|style="white-space:nowrap;"| May 3, 2022

|style="white-space:nowrap;"| Polk County Republican Party
WHO-DT

|style="white-space:nowrap;"| Dave Price

|style="white-space:nowrap;"| [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1MWS3cFWL1g Youtube (Part 1)]
[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m5Eu5fJ7xs8 YouTube (Part 2)]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

style="background:#FFFFFF;font-size:small;"

!scope="row"| 2{{Cite web|url=https://www.kcci.com/article/third-district-republican-candidates-for-us-congress-square-off-in-kcci-debate/40000202#|title=Republican candidates for U.S. Congress square off in KCCI debate|date=May 14, 2022|accessdate=May 15, 2022}}

|style="white-space:nowrap;"| May 14, 2022

|style="white-space:nowrap;"| KCCI

|style="white-space:nowrap;"| Stacey Horst and Laura Terrell

|style="white-space:nowrap;"|YouTube[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY1-t6sqgyc Youtube]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

==Polling==

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear|name="key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:60px;"| {{nowrap|Mary Ann}}
Hanusa

! style="width:60px;"| Nicole
Hasso

! style="width:60px;"| Zach
Nunn

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Moore Information Group (R)[https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1438488648706629640 Moore Information Group (R)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Nunn's campaign|name=Nunn}}

|September 9, 2021

|1,000 (LV)

|± 3.0%

|13%

|3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|24%

|{{party shading/Undecided}}|60%

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Zach Nunn

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 30,502

| percentage = 65.8

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Nicole Hasso

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 8,991

| percentage = 19.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Gary Leffler

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 6,800

| percentage = 14.7

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 89

|percentage = 0.2

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 46,382

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=General election=

==Debate==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"

|+ 2022 Iowa's 3rd congressional district debate

scope="col" | {{abbr|No.|Number}}

! scope="col" | Date

! scope="col" | Host

! scope="col" | Moderator

! scope="col" | Link

! scope="col"| Democratic

! scope="col"| Republican

colspan="5" rowspan="2" |Key:
{{Colors|black|#90ff90| P }} Participant  {{Colors|black|#FFFFDD| A }} Absent  {{Colors|black|#ff9090| N }} Not invited  {{Colors|black|#CCFFCC| I }} Invited {{color box|#f0e68c|W}} Withdrawn

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Democratic Party (US)}}"|

! scope="col" style="background:{{party color|Republican Party (US)}}"|

scope="col" | Zach Nunn

! scope="col" | Cindy Axne

1

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Oct. 6, 2022

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | KCCI

| style="white-space:nowrap;" | Eric Hanson
Stacy Horst

| style="white-space:nowrap;" |[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E_7jkuul-TM YouTube]

| {{Yes|P}}

| {{Yes|P}}

== Predictions ==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}}

| September 1, 2022

align=left | Inside Elections

| {{USRaceRating|Tilt|R|Flip}}

|November 3, 2022

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}}

| September 7, 2022

align="left" |Politico

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}}

|November 3, 2022

align="left" |RCP

|{{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}}

|September 1, 2022

align=left |Fox News

| {{USRaceRating|Lean|R|Flip}}

|August 22, 2022

align="left" |DDHQ

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|September 23, 2022

align="left" |FiveThirtyEight

|{{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

|November 8, 2022

align="left" |The Economist{{cite news |title=The Economist's 2022 House Election forecast |url=https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-midterms-2022/forecast/house |newspaper=The Economist |access-date=September 28, 2022}}

| {{USRaceRating|Tossup}}

| September 28, 2022

==Polling==

Aggregate polls

class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:90%;line-height:17px"

!Source of poll
aggregation

!Dates
administered

!Dates
updated

! style="width:100px;"| Cindy
Axne (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Zach
Nunn (R)

! style="width:100px;"| Undecided
{{Efn|Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.|name=|group=}}

!Margin

FiveThirtyEight[https://web.archive.org/web/20220604084122/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/house/2022/iowa/3/ FiveThirtyEight]

|July 9 – October 25, 2022

|November 1, 2022

|44.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46.4%

|9.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|Nunn +2.1

Graphical summary

{{Graph:Chart

| width=700

| height=400

| xAxisTitle=

| yAxisTitle=%support

| xAxisAngle = -40

| legend=Candidate

| interpolate = bundle

| size = 77

| xType = date

| y1Title=Axne

| y2Title=Nunn

| y3Title=Other/Undecided

| type=line

|xGrid=

| x= 2021/09/09, 2022/07/11, 2022/08/05, 2022/09/11, 2022/09/25, 2022/10/25

| y1= 46, 43, 41, 43, 45, 44

| y2= 42, 43, 46, 47, 46, 48

| y3= 12, 14, 10, 5, 10, 10

| colors = #3333FF, #E81B23, #DDDDDD

| showSymbols = 1

| yGrid = true

| linewidth = 2.0

}}

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Cindy
Axne (D)

! style="width:100px;"| Zach
Nunn (R)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Moore Information Group (R)[https://drive.google.com/file/d/1oae0TCAbEBiNLK167imglPuKL66jKsCB/view Moore Information Group (R)]{{efn-ua|name=Nunn}}

|October 24–25, 2022

|400 (LV)

|± 5.0%

|44%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

|–

|10%

style="text-align:left;"|Moore Information Group (R)[https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000183-8f29-d824-a1d7-af29e21a0000&nname=playbook-pm&nid=0000015a-dd3e-d536-a37b-dd7fd8af0000&nrid=0000014e-f111-dd93-ad7f-f9152af40000&nlid=964328 Moore Information Group (R)]{{efn-ua|name=Nunn}}

|September 21–25, 2022

|400 (LV)

|± 5.0%

|44%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|46%

|–

|10%

style="text-align:left;"|Impact Research (D){{usurped|1=[https://web.archive.org/web/20220923161840/https://cindyaxneforcongress.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/IA-CD3-SEPT-2022-POLLING-MEMO_REV-FINAL-1.pdf Impact Research (D)]}}{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored by Axne's campaign|name="Axne"}}

|September 7–11, 2022

|500 (LV)

|± 4.4%

|47%

|47%

|–

|5%

style="text-align:left;"|RMG Research[https://www.termlimits.com/library/USTL%20IA03%20Toplines.pdf RMG Research]

|July 29 – August 5, 2022

|400 (LV)

|± 4.9%

|41%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|49%

|2%

|8%

style="text-align:left;"|Moore Information Group (R)[https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/biden-unpopularity-boosts-iowa-gop-challenger-nunn Moore Information Group (R)]{{efn-ua|Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Nunn's campaign committee|name=NRCCNunn}}

|July 9–11, 2022

|400 (LV)

|± 5.0%

|43%

|43%

|–

|14%

style="text-align:left;"|Moore Information Group (R){{efn-ua|name=Nunn}}

|September 9, 2021

|– (LV)

|–

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|46%

|42%

|–

|12%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Democrat

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Republican

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.

|October 9–12, 2022

|155 (LV)

|± 8.4%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|49%

|48%

|0%

|3%

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.

|July 10–13, 2022

|150 (LV)

|± 8.3%

|{{party shading/Democratic}}|47%

|44%

|–

|9%

{{hidden end}}

== Results ==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = 2022 Iowa's 3rd congressional district election

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Zach Nunn

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 156,262

| percentage = 50.2

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Cindy Axne (incumbent)

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 154,117

| percentage = 49.6

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 534

| percentage = 0.2

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 310,913

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box gain with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

| loser = Democratic Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

District 4

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2022 Iowa's 4th congressional district election

| country = Iowa

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 4

| previous_year = 2020

| election_date =

| next_election = 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa#District 4

| next_year = 2024

| image_size = x150px

| image1 = File:Randy Feenstra, official portrait, 117th Congress (cropped).jpg

| nominee1 = Randy Feenstra

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| popular_vote1 = 186,467

| percentage1 = 67.3%

| image2 = 3x4.svg

| nominee2 = Ryan Melton

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| popular_vote2 = 84,230

| percentage2 = 30.4%

| map_image = File:Iowa's 4th Congressional District 2022 results.svg

| map_size = 250px

| map_caption = Results by county
Feenstra: {{legend0|#ed8883|50–60%}} {{legend0|#e55751|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d02823|70–80%}} {{legend0|#b00000|80–90%}}
Melton: {{legend0|#8da9e2|50–60%}}

| title = U.S. Representative

| before_election = Randy Feenstra

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = Randy Feenstra

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{see also|Iowa's 4th congressional district}}

Before redistricting, the 4th district was based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The redrawn 4th also covers much of southwestern Iowa, including Council Bluffs. The incumbent was Republican Randy Feenstra, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2020.

=Republican primary{{Anchor|Iowa 4 GOP primary}}=

==Candidates==

===Nominee===

==Endorsements==

{{Endorsements box

|title= Randy Feenstra

| width= 60em

|list=

Executive branch officials

  • Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2019) and former governor of South Carolina (2011–2017){{Cite web|last=Gehr|first=Danielle|title= Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley endorses U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra's 2022 bid for reelection|url= https://www.amestrib.com/story/news/2021/09/29/nikki-haley-endorses-iowa-us-rep-randy-feenstra-reelection-2022-election/5898432001/|access-date=29 September 2021|website=Ames Tribune|language=en}}
  • Mike Pence, former vice president of the United States{{Cite web|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/09/04/running-office-iowa-2022-kim-reynolds-chuck-grassley-ashley-hinson-cindy-axne-democrats-republicans/5573733001/|title=Iowa election 2022: An early look at candidates for U.S. Senate, House races|first=Brianne|last=Pfannenstiel|website=Des Moines Register}}
  • Donald Trump, former president of the United States{{cite web |title=Endorsement of Congressman Randy Feenstra |url=https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/news-ptjs6ju7ah2102 |access-date=24 July 2022 |date=5 June 2022}}

}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Republican primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Randy Feenstra (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 51,271

| percentage = 98.9

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 596

|percentage = 1.1

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 51,867

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Democratic primary{{Anchor|Iowa 4 Dem primary}}=

==Candidates ==

===Nominee===

  • Ryan Melton, Nationwide insurance supervisor{{Cite web|url=https://www.amestrib.com/story/news/2022/02/04/nevada-man-announces-bid-iowa-4th-district-against-rep-feenstra/6651663001/|title=Nevada Democrat announces candidacy for Congress against U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra|first=Danielle |last=Gehr|work=Ames Tribune|date=February 4, 2022|access-date=May 28, 2022}}

===Declined===

  • J. D. Scholten, former professional baseball player and nominee for this district in 2018 and 2020 (running for state house){{cite web|url=https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2022/03/16/j-d-scholten-running-iowa-house-sioux-city-democrat-twitter/7060885001/|title=Democrat J.D. Scholten, former Congressional candidate, is running for Iowa House|first=Ian |last=Richardson|work=Des Moines Register|date=March 16, 2022|accessdate=March 16, 2022}}

==Primary results==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = Democratic primary results

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Ryan Melton

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 20,794

| percentage = 99.7

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

|votes = 69

|percentage = 0.3

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 20,863

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box end}}

=Other parties and independents=

== Candidates ==

  • Bryan Jack Holder, photographer and perennial candidate (Liberty)

== Independents ==

=== Candidates ===

= General election =

== Predictions ==

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

| September 1, 2022

align=left | Inside Elections

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|September 1, 2022

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

| September 7, 2022

align="left" |Politico

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|April 5, 2022

align="left" |RCP

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|September 1, 2022

align=left |Fox News

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|August 22, 2022

align="left" |DDHQ

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|September 6, 2022

align="left" |FiveThirtyEight

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|September 7, 2022

align="left" |The Economist

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

| September 28, 2022

=Polling=

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"
valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Republican

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Democrat

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.

|October 9–12, 2022

|155 (LV)

|± 8.4%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|62%

|33%

|1%

|4%

style="text-align:left;"|Selzer & Co.

|July 10–13, 2022

|149 (LV)

|± 8.3%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|55%

|36%

|–

|8%

{{hidden end}}

== Results ==

{{Election box begin no change

| title = 2022 Iowa's 4th congressional district election

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Randy Feenstra (incumbent)

| party = Republican Party (United States)

| votes = 186,467

| percentage = 67.3

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Ryan Melton

| party = Democratic Party (United States)

| votes = 84,230

| percentage = 30.4

}}

{{Election box candidate with party link no change

| candidate = Bryan Jack Holder

| party = Liberty Caucus

| votes = 6,035

| percentage = 2.2

}}

{{Election box write-in with party link no change

| votes = 276

| percentage = 0.1

}}

{{Election box total no change

| votes = 277,008

| percentage = 100.0

}}

{{Election box hold with party link no change

| winner = Republican Party (United States)

}}

{{Election box end}}

See also

Notes

{{notelist}}

Partisan clients

{{notelist-ua}}

References

{{reflist}}