2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana

{{Infobox election

| election_name = 2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana

| country = Louisiana

| type = presidential

| ongoing = no

| previous_election = 2016 United States Senate election in Louisiana

| previous_year = 2016

| next_election = 2028 United States Senate election in Louisiana

| next_year = 2028

| election_date = November 8, 2022

| turnout =

| image1 = John Neely Kennedy, official portrait, 115th Congress.jpg

| party1 = Republican Party (United States)

| candidate1 = John Kennedy

| popular_vote1 = 851,568

| percentage1 = 61.56%

| image2 = Gary Chambers Jr mirror.png

| party2 = Democratic Party (United States)

| candidate2 = Gary Chambers

| popular_vote2 = 246,933

| percentage2 = 17.85%

| image3 = 3x4.svg

| party3 = Democratic Party (United States)

| candidate3 = Luke Mixon

| popular_vote3 = 182,887

| percentage3 = 13.22%

| map_image = {{switcher |280px |Parish results |280px |Precinct results}}

| map_size = 280px

| map_caption = Kennedy: {{legend0|#ffc8cd|30–40%}} {{legend0|#ffb2b2|40–50%}} {{legend0|#e27f7f|50–60%}} {{legend0|#d75d5d|60–70%}} {{legend0|#d72f30|70–80%}} {{legend0|#c21b18|80–90%}} {{legend0|#a80000|>90%}}
Chambers: {{legend0|#DFEEFF|20–30%}} {{legend0|#BDD3FF|30–40%}} {{legend0|#A5B0FF|40–50%}} {{legend0|#7996e2|50–60%}} {{legend0|#6674de|60–70%}} {{legend0|#584cde|70–80%}} {{legend0|#3933e5|80–90%}} {{legend0|#0D0596|>90%}}
Mixon: {{legend0|#FF8E65|20–30%}} {{legend0|#FF7644|30–40%}} {{legend0|#F8581E|40–50%}} {{legend0|#CD3700|50–60%}} {{legend0|#973714|60–70%}} {{legend0|#31170e|>90%}}
Steib: {{legend0|#7EE5C1|40–50%}} {{legend0|#47CC9D|50–60%}}
Billiot: {{legend0|#481E40|>90%}}
Tie: {{legend0|#EFE7F5|20–30%}} {{legend0|#DECDE6|30–40%}} {{legend0|#d2b1d9|40–50%}} {{legend0|#808080|No votes}}

| title = U.S. Senator

| before_election = John Kennedy

| before_party = Republican Party (United States)

| after_election = John Kennedy

| after_party = Republican Party (United States)

}}

The 2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana. Incumbent Republican U.S. senator John Kennedy was first elected in 2016. He ran for re-election to a second term, and was re-elected after receiving a majority of votes in the first round.{{Cite web |date=June 2021 |title=Sen. John Kennedy launches 2022 re-election bid: 'I will not let you down. I'd rather drink weed killer.' |url=http://www.foxnews.com/politics/john-kennedy-2022-re-election-campaign-weed-killer |access-date=2021-06-01 |website=Fox News |language=en-US}}{{Cite web |last=writer |first=MARK BALLARD {{!}} Staff |title=John Kennedy wins second term in the U.S. Senate |url=https://www.nola.com/news/politics/elections/article_50111c32-5fb1-11ed-abe8-af87c0809f56.html |access-date=2022-11-09 |website=NOLA.com |date=November 8, 2022 |language=en}}

Kennedy won White voters (79% to 9%), while Chambers and Mixon both won a split majority of African Americans (48% to 24% to 16%).{{cite web | url=https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2022/midterm-results/voter-analysis?year=2022&state=LA | title=Fox News Voter Analysis | website=Fox News | date=18 November 2022 }}

Candidates

=Republican Party=

==Declared==

Devin Lance Graham, business owner and real estate broker
John Kennedy, incumbent U.S. Senator

=Democratic Party=

== Declared==

Gary Chambers, activist, candidate for Louisiana's 15th State Senate district in 2019, and candidate for {{ushr|LA|2}} in 2021{{Cite web|url=https://www.theadvertiser.com/story/opinion/2021/10/13/democrats-rally-around-new-personalities/6103269001/|title = Democrats rally around new personalities}}{{Cite web|url=https://www.wafb.com/2022/01/11/baton-rouge-community-activist-gary-chambers-launches-campaign-us-senate/|title=Baton Rouge community activist Gary Chambers launches campaign for U.S. Senate|date=January 11, 2022 }}
MV "Vinny" Mendoza, perennial candidate
Luke Mixon, member of the U.S. Navy Reserve and former member of the U.S. Navy{{Cite web|url=https://www.knoe.com/2021/10/05/sen-john-kennedy-draws-challenger-navy-veteran-luke-mixon/|title=Sen. John Kennedy draws a challenger: Navy veteran Luke Mixon|date=October 5, 2021 }}
Salvador P. Rodriguez, store manager
Syrita Steib, nonprofit executive and criminal justice reform advocate{{cite web | url=https://www.kplctv.com/2022/05/25/kalb-exclusive-syrita-steib-seeking-us-senate-seat/ | title=KALB Exclusive: Syrita Steib seeking U.S. Senate seat | date=May 25, 2022 }}

==Declined==

John Bel Edwards, Governor of Louisiana{{Cite web|date=2022-01-28|title=Here's what 5 governors have to say on Covid, climate change and campaign plans|url=https://www.politico.com/news/2022/01/28/governors-covid-climate-change-campaigns-00003325|website=Politico}} (endorsed Mixon)
Helena Moreno, President of the New Orleans City Council and former state representative (endorsed Chambers){{cite web |last1=Bridges |first1=Tyler |title=New Orleans City Council members back Gary Chambers' bid to unseat Sen. John Kennedy |url=https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/elections/article_748b1596-a22d-11ec-a608-a3c97fe2ebe4.html |website=The Advocate |date=March 12, 2022 |access-date=4 April 2022 |language=en}}

= Libertarian Party =

Aaron C. Sigler, neurosurgeon and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020

=Nonpartisans and independents=

==Declared==

Beryl A. Billiot, businessman and perennial candidate
Alexander "Xan" John, businessman, law student and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020{{cite magazine |url=https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/gary-chambers-louisiana-senate-candidate-marijuana-1286656/|title=Louisiana Senate Candidate Rips Enormous Blunt in First Campaign Ad|magazine=Rolling Stone|date=January 18, 2022|access-date=July 13, 2022}}
Bradley McMorris, realtor
W. Thomas La Fontaine Olson, author, advocate and 2020 U.S. House candidate in Illinois{{Cite web |title=Who is William Olson, Democratic candidate for 8th Congressional District? |url=https://www.chicagotribune.com/opinion/editorials/ct-who-is-william-olson-8th-congressional-district-candidate-20200221-6n7wmgokmjazhgh72fvfzcid4u-story.html |access-date=2022-10-12 |website=Chicago Tribune|date=March 6, 2020 }}
Thomas Wenn

Endorsements

{{Endorsements box

|title= Gary Chambers (D)

|list=

U.S. Representatives

Troy Carter, U.S. Representative from Louisiana's 2nd congressional district (2021–present){{cite web|url=https://www.brproud.com/news/carter-throws-support-behind-chambers-run-for-senate/amp/|title=Carter throws support behind Chambers run for Senate|website=www.brproud.com|date=September 17, 2022|access-date=October 11, 2022}}

State legislators

Edward James, former Louisiana state representative from the 101st district (2012–2022){{Cite web|date=2022-01-27|title=Senate candidate Gary Chambers gets first endorsement from La. elected official|url=https://www.brproud.com/news/rep-ted-james-endorses-gary-chambers-jr-bid-for-u-s-senate/|access-date=2022-01-29|website=BRProud.com|language=en-US}}

Local officials

Helena Moreno, President of New Orleans City Council (2019–present) and former Louisiana state representative from the 93rd district (2010–2018)
JP Morrell, New Orleans city councilor (2022–present)
Oliver Thomas, New Orleans city councilor (1994–2007, 2022–present)

Newspapers

The New Orleans Tribune{{cite web|url=https://theneworleanstribune.com/2022/10/20/the-new-orleans-tribune-endorses-the-following-candidates-in-the-nov-8-primary/|title=The New Orleans Tribune Endorses the Following Candidates in the Nov. 8 Primary|website=The New Orleans Tribune|date=October 20, 2022|access-date=November 6, 2022}}

Organizations

Louisiana Democratic Party (co-endorsed with Mixon and Steib){{cite web|url=https://www.kalb.com/2022/08/16/closer-look-la-democratic-partys-controversial-senatorial-endorsement/|title=Closer look at La. Democratic Party's controversial senatorial endorsement|website=www.kalb.com|date=August 15, 2022|access-date=October 12, 2022}}
Our Black Party{{cite web|url=https://www.ourblackparty.org/endorsements|title=Endorsements – Our Black Party|website=www.ourblackparty.com|access-date=November 6, 2022}}

}}

{{Endorsements box

| title = John Kennedy (R)

| list =

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States (2017–2021){{Cite web|last=Barrabi|first=Thomas|date=2021-03-06|title=Trump endorses Louisiana Sen. John Kennedy in 2022 reelection bid|url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-endorses-louisiana-sen-john-kennedy-2022-reelection-bid|access-date=2021-03-06|website=Fox News}}

U.S. Representatives

Julia Letlow, U.S. Representative from Louisiana's 5th congressional district (2021–present){{cite web|url=https://www.kalb.com/2022/10/24/sen-kennedyrep-letlow-hold-campaign-rally-bastrop/|title=Sen. Kennedy, Rep. Letlow hold campaign rally in Bastrop|website=www.kalb.com|date=October 24, 2022|access-date=November 7, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221025042207/https://www.kalb.com/2022/10/24/sen-kennedyrep-letlow-hold-campaign-rally-bastrop/|archive-date=October 25, 2022|url-status=live}}

Organizations

Animal Wellness Action{{cite web|url=https://www.wjhl.com/business/press-releases/ein-presswire/597925105/senator-john-kennedy-earns-endorsement-from-animal-wellness-action-in-re-election-campaign/|title=Senator John Kennedy Earns Endorsement from Animal Wellness Action in Re-Election Campaign|website=www.wjhl.com|date=October 26, 2022|access-date=November 3, 2022}}
Campaign for Working Families{{cite web|url=https://justfacts.votesmart.org/candidate/evaluations/35496/john-kennedy|title=John Kennedy's Ratings and Endorsements|website=justfacts.votesmart.org|access-date=October 11, 2022}}
Citizens Against Government Waste{{cite web|url=https://finance.yahoo.com/amphtml/news/ccagw-pac-endorses-sen-john-213600369.html|title=CCAGW PAC Endorses Sen. John Kennedy and Five Louisiana House Candidates|website=www.businesswire.com|date=October 13, 2022|access-date=November 3, 2022}}
ClearPath Action Fund
National Federation of Independent Business{{cite web|url=https://www.nfib.com/content/news/elections/louisiana-small-business-community-endorses-senator-john-kennedy-for-re-election/|title=Louisiana Small Business Community Endorses Senator John Kennedy for Re-Election|website=www.nfib.com|date=September 19, 2022|access-date=October 11, 2022}}
National Rifle Association - Political Victory Fund{{cite web |title=NRA-PVF - Grades - Louisiana |url=https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/Louisiana |website=nrapvf.org |publisher=NRA-PVF |access-date=17 July 2023 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20221108113418/https://www.nrapvf.org/grades/Louisiana |archive-date=November 8, 2022 |language=en-US |url-status=usurped}}{{cite web|url=https://www.nrapvf.org/campaigns/2022/vote-john-kennedy/|title=Vote Freedom First. Vote John Kennedy for U.S. Senate!|website=nrapvf.org|access-date=October 11, 2022|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20230326214959/https://www.nrapvf.org/campaigns/2022/vote-john-kennedy/|archive-date=March 26, 2023 |url-status=live}}
National Right to Life Committee
U.S. Chamber of Commerce{{cite web|url=https://johnkennedy.com/hello-5/|title=U.S. Chamber of Commerce Endorses Kennedy for Senate|website=johnkennedy.com|date=3 February 2021 |access-date=October 11, 2022}}
Louisiana Republican Party{{cite web | url=https://www.lagop.com/post/republican-party-endorses-senator-john-kennedy-for-re-election | title=Republican Party Endorses Senator John Kennedy for Re-Election | date=14 August 2021 }}

}}

{{Endorsements box

| title = Luke Mixon (D)

| list =

State officials

John Bel Edwards, Governor of Louisiana (2016–present){{Cite news |last=Bridges |first=Tyler |date=June 2, 2022 |title=John Bel Edwards endorses Luke Mixon in uphill Senate race against John Kennedy |work=The Advocate |url=https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/elections/article_05fbf46c-e20e-11ec-9e7e-47e32911147a.amp.html |url-status=live |access-date=June 12, 2022 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20220602112143/https://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/elections/article_05fbf46c-e20e-11ec-9e7e-47e32911147a.amp.html |archive-date=June 2, 2022}}

State legislators

Kenny Ray Cox, state representative from the 23rd district (2012–present){{cite web|url=https://www.lukemixon.com/rep-kenny-cox-endorses-luke-mixon-for-u-s-senate|title=Rep. Kenny Cox Endorses Luke Mixon for U.S. Senate|website=www.lukemixon.com|date=May 31, 2022|access-date=November 7, 2022}}
Sam Jenkins, state representative from the 2nd district (2016–present){{cite web | url=https://www.theadvertiser.com/story/news/2022/09/08/luke-mixon-endorsed-by-louisiana-house-chair-sam-jenkins-in-upset-bid-of-john-kennedy/66769227007/ | title=Louisiana House Democratic chairman endorses Luke Mixon in US Senate race }}
C. Denise Marcelle, state representative from the 61st district (2016–present){{cite web|url=https://mobile.twitter.com/lukemixonla/status/1581807006008369153|title=I'm honored to have the endorsement of Representative C. Denise Marcelle. She's a fierce advocate for the people of Baton Rouge. I'll fight for Louisiana everyday in the Senate. We've got 23 days until Election Day. Let's win this! 🗳 Vote Luke Mixon #9 on your ballot|website=Twitter|date=October 16, 2022|access-date=November 7, 2022}}

Organizations

Louisiana Democratic Party (co-endorsed with Chambers and Steib)
Louisiana Federation of Teachers{{cite web|url=http://la.aft.org/news/vote-november-8th|title=VOTE: November 8th - Louisiana Federation of Teachers|website=la.aft.org|date=25 October 2022 |access-date=November 7, 2022}}
National Education Association – Louisiana{{cite web | url=https://educationvotes.nea.org/our-recommended-candidates/ | title=Our Recommended Candidates }}
The Steady State{{cite web|url=https://thesteadystate.org/the-steady-state-endorses-luke-mixon-for-senate/|title=The Steady State Endorses Luke Mixon for Senate|website=thesteadystate.org|date=July 7, 2022|access-date=October 12, 2022}}
VoteVets.org{{cite web | url=https://votevets.org/press-releases/votevets-announces-final-endorsements-of-the-quarter | title=VoteVets Announces Final Endorsements of the Quarter | date=30 March 2022 }}

}}

{{Endorsements box

|title= Syrita Steib (D)

|list=

Organizations

Louisiana Democratic Party (co-endorsed with Mixon and Chambers)

}}

General election

=Predictions=

class="wikitable" style="text-align:center"

!Source

!Ranking

!As of

align=left | The Cook Political Report{{cite web | title=2022 Senate Race ratings | url=https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings |website=The Cook Political Report | access-date=January 14, 2021}}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|November 19, 2021

align=left | Inside Elections{{cite web | title=Senate ratings | url=https://www.insideelections.com/ratings/senate|website= Inside Elections | access-date=January 18, 2021}}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|January 7, 2022

align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball{{cite web |title=2022 Senate |url=https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2022-senate/ |website=Sabato's Crystal Ball |access-date=January 28, 2021}}

| {{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|November 3, 2021

align="left" |Politico{{cite web |url= https://www.politico.com/2022-election/race-forecasts-ratings-and-predictions/louisiana/senate/|title=Louisiana Senate Race 2022|date=April 1, 2022 |publisher=Politico}}

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|April 1, 2022

align="left" |RCP{{cite web |url= https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map.html|title=Battle for the Senate 2022|date=January 10, 2022 |publisher=RCP}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|January 10, 2022

align=left |Fox News{{cite web |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://www.foxnews.com/politics/power-rankings-ohio-senate-governor|website=Fox News |date=12 May 2022 |access-date=May 12, 2022}}

| {{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|May 12, 2022

align="left" |DDHQ{{cite web |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://forecast.decisiondeskhq.com/senate|website=DDHQ |date=July 20, 2022 |access-date=July 20, 2022}}

|{{USRaceRating|Solid|R}}

|July 20, 2022

align="left" |538{{cite web |title=2022 Election Forecast |url=https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/|archive-url=https://archive.today/20220630173353/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/|url-status=dead|archive-date=June 30, 2022|website=FiveThirtyEight |date=June 30, 2022 |access-date=June 30, 2022}}

|style="background:#f66" |{{sort|096|Solid R
(Kennedy)}}

|June 30, 2022

align="left" |The Economist{{cite news |title=Economist's 2022 Senate forecast |url=https://www.economist.com/interactive/us-midterms-2022/forecast/senate/|newspaper=The Economist |date=September 7, 2022 |access-date=September 7, 2022}}

|{{USRaceRating|Safe|R}}

|September 7, 2022

=Polling=

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"

valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:60px;"| Gary
Chambers
(D)

! style="width:60px;"| John
Kennedy
(R)

! style="width:60px;"| Luke
Mixon
(D)

! style="width:60px;"| Syrita
Steib
(D)

! Other

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|Public Policy Polling (D)[https://web.archive.org/web/20221011222325/https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20221011_LA_PPP.pdf Public Policy Polling (D)]

|October 10–11, 2022

|633 (RV)

|–

|8%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|16%

|6%

|2%{{efn|"Someone else" with 2%}}

|14%

style="text-align:left;"|Echelon Insights[https://netchoice.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/NetChoice-August-2022-Polling-Echelon-Insights.pdf Echelon Insights]

|August 31 – September 7, 2022

|506 (RV)

|± 6.5%

|16%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|51%

|8%

|6%

|–

|19%

style="text-align:left;"|JMC Analytics (R)[https://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/Statewide-Executive-Summary-2022-Mar.pdf JMC Analytics (R)]

|March 21–23, 2022

|600 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|14%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|53%

|7%

|3%

|–

|23%

{{hidden begin|titlestyle=background:#cff|title=Hypothetical polling|contentstyle=border:solid 1px silver; padding:8px; background:white;}}

Runoff election

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

class="wikitable" style="font-size:90%;text-align:center;"

valign=bottom

! Poll source

! Date(s)
administered

! Sample
size{{efn|name="Key"}}

! Margin
of error

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Republican

! style="width:100px;"| Generic
Democrat

! Undecided

style="text-align:left;"|JMC Analytics (R)

|March 21–23, 2022

|600 (LV)

|± 4.0%

|{{party shading/Republican}}|51%

|33%

|16%

=Results=

{{Election box begin no change| title=2022 United States Senate election in Louisiana{{cite web |title=2022 Official Election Results |url=https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/static/2022-11-08/resultsRace/Statewide |website=Louisiana Secretary of State}}

}}

{{Election box winning candidate with party link no change|

|party = Republican Party (United States)

|candidate = John Kennedy (incumbent)

|votes = 851,568

|percentage = 61.56%

}}